The Home Depot Inc. vs The Sherwin-Williams Company
WatchlistHD / SHWPrices through Oct 22, 2026
Why these are rivals: #1 and #3 by market value ($309B vs $81B) in Nasdaq's "RETAIL: Building Materials" industry; SEC SIC 5211 / 5200 (same major group).
Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -2.16 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Business leadership
HD is the larger business
Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.
| Year | HD | SHW | Larger |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $164.7B | $23.6B | HD |
| 2024 | $159.5B | $23.1B | HD |
| 2023 | $152.7B | $23.1B | HD |
| 2022 | $157.4B | $22.1B | HD |
| 2021 | $151.2B | $19.9B | HD |
| 2020 | $132.1B | $18.4B | HD |
HD led in every year with figures for both. Market value: HD $309.2B, SHW $80.5B.
Stock leadership
SHW is ahead now
Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.
SHW leads HD by 1.29 standard deviations: +7.6% over its usual price ratio. 3 lead switches in the last year.
| Price change | 3 mo | 6 mo | 12 mo |
|---|---|---|---|
| HD | -1.6% | -3.7% | -16.2% |
| SHW | +8.9% | +2.4% | +2.1% |
Relationship
Not a measured twin today
Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.
- Pass
- Aligned sessions: 2521 (needs >= 254)
- Pass
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.74 (needs >= 0.60)
- Fail
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -2.16 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
- Pass
- Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 24.27 (needs <= 63)
- Data
- Both stocks current
The twins over two years
Prices side by side, and the gap between them
HD The Home Depot Inc. SHW The Sherwin-Williams CompanyPrice index, 100 = 2024-10-18. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).
Spread z-score: HD relative to SHW, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: HD ahead; below 0: SHW ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).
Data table (504 sessions)
| Date | HD index | SHW index | z | Ahead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | 78.97 | 89.00 | -1.29 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-10-21 | 75.70 | 86.84 | -1.61 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-10-20 | 75.93 | 86.52 | -1.49 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-10-19 | 74.67 | 85.39 | -1.56 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-10-16 | 74.61 | 86.31 | -1.77 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-10-15 | 74.27 | 86.75 | -1.95 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-10-14 | 71.21 | 83.57 | -2.05 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-10-13 | 70.82 | 83.45 | -2.14 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-10-12 | 70.03 | 82.45 | -2.15 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-10-09 | 70.06 | 82.23 | -2.11 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-10-08 | 71.20 | 82.66 | -1.94 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-10-07 | 68.86 | 81.11 | -2.21 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-10-06 | 69.08 | 82.70 | -2.52 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-10-05 | 67.75 | 82.00 | -2.76 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-10-02 | 68.16 | 82.27 | -2.75 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-10-01 | 68.06 | 82.60 | -2.88 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-30 | 68.55 | 83.24 | -2.92 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-29 | 69.41 | 85.09 | -3.14 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-28 | 69.85 | 85.69 | -3.19 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-25 | 70.65 | 84.74 | -2.81 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-24 | 70.40 | 82.50 | -2.41 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-23 | 71.50 | 84.06 | -2.49 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-22 | 73.58 | 84.55 | -2.08 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-21 | 71.61 | 82.74 | -2.19 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-18 | 72.28 | 82.59 | -2.00 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-17 | 72.89 | 82.64 | -1.87 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-16 | 72.88 | 82.77 | -1.91 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-15 | 73.61 | 83.23 | -1.85 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-14 | 74.91 | 83.56 | -1.62 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-11 | 74.40 | 83.25 | -1.69 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-10 | 73.66 | 81.74 | -1.55 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-09 | 74.81 | 82.56 | -1.46 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-08 | 75.59 | 83.97 | -1.59 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-04 | 77.36 | 85.93 | -1.61 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-03 | 76.64 | 85.55 | -1.71 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-02 | 76.75 | 85.29 | -1.65 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-09-01 | 77.05 | 84.96 | -1.52 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-31 | 79.00 | 87.24 | -1.56 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-28 | 79.56 | 88.80 | -1.77 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-27 | 79.18 | 88.89 | -1.90 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-26 | 80.69 | 89.78 | -1.76 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-25 | 81.42 | 90.24 | -1.70 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-24 | 81.31 | 89.28 | -1.54 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-21 | 80.87 | 89.24 | -1.65 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-20 | 80.60 | 89.33 | -1.75 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-19 | 82.96 | 91.05 | -1.58 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-18 | 81.32 | 88.90 | -1.52 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-17 | 81.42 | 90.11 | -1.78 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-14 | 81.65 | 92.47 | -2.24 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-13 | 82.34 | 93.10 | -2.24 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-12 | 82.75 | 92.75 | -2.10 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-11 | 85.42 | 93.84 | -1.73 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-10 | 84.53 | 93.40 | -1.86 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-07 | 85.69 | 95.20 | -2.00 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-06 | 84.22 | 93.58 | -2.02 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-05 | 85.09 | 95.19 | -2.19 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-04 | 83.91 | 93.10 | -2.05 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-08-03 | 81.93 | 91.21 | -2.14 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-31 | 79.99 | 87.77 | -1.87 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-30 | 80.33 | 88.79 | -2.05 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-29 | 81.51 | 88.55 | -1.70 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-28 | 83.00 | 91.22 | -1.97 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-27 | 80.99 | 84.27 | -0.83 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-24 | 80.24 | 81.76 | -0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-23 | 78.24 | 79.96 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-22 | 79.87 | 82.37 | -0.66 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-21 | 79.90 | 82.00 | -0.55 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-20 | 80.25 | 83.32 | -0.80 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-17 | 81.66 | 85.31 | -0.93 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-16 | 83.86 | 87.07 | -0.81 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-15 | 82.27 | 85.56 | -0.85 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-14 | 81.38 | 84.59 | -0.84 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-13 | 81.23 | 84.71 | -0.91 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-10 | 82.72 | 86.00 | -0.85 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-09 | 81.62 | 85.50 | -1.01 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-08 | 81.01 | 85.12 | -1.09 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-07 | 83.18 | 88.13 | -1.27 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-06 | 84.49 | 89.90 | -1.37 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-02 | 86.24 | 90.76 | -1.14 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-07-01 | 84.54 | 89.11 | -1.18 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-06-30 | 84.98 | 88.66 | -0.97 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-06-29 | 84.53 | 88.65 | -1.09 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-06-26 | 84.06 | 88.60 | -1.20 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-06-25 | 83.13 | 87.31 | -1.13 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-06-24 | 82.62 | 85.78 | -0.88 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-06-23 | 78.18 | 83.14 | -1.41 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-06-22 | 78.70 | 81.60 | -0.86 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-06-18 | 80.55 | 82.60 | -0.62 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-06-17 | 78.91 | 80.80 | -0.59 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-06-16 | 81.23 | 83.03 | -0.55 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-06-15 | 79.47 | 82.46 | -0.88 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-06-12 | 79.13 | 81.70 | -0.77 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-06-11 | 78.56 | 81.60 | -0.89 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-06-10 | 76.85 | 78.25 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-09 | 77.43 | 79.96 | -0.76 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-06-08 | 74.63 | 77.13 | -0.78 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-06-05 | 74.89 | 78.61 | -1.12 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-06-04 | 74.69 | 77.27 | -0.81 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-06-03 | 75.41 | 76.34 | -0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-02 | 75.07 | 75.45 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-01 | 74.87 | 75.92 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-29 | 76.42 | 78.24 | -0.57 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-05-28 | 77.40 | 78.57 | -0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-27 | 76.59 | 79.82 | -0.95 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-05-26 | 74.83 | 80.14 | -1.55 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-05-22 | 75.44 | 79.59 | -1.23 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-05-21 | 75.61 | 79.65 | -1.20 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-05-20 | 74.84 | 79.23 | -1.32 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-05-19 | 72.88 | 77.00 | -1.28 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-05-18 | 72.24 | 77.96 | -1.76 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-05-15 | 71.69 | 77.27 | -1.75 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-05-14 | 73.34 | 79.61 | -1.92 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-05-13 | 72.90 | 78.88 | -1.87 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-05-12 | 74.81 | 80.23 | -1.68 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-05-11 | 75.04 | 80.52 | -1.70 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-05-08 | 76.49 | 81.58 | -1.57 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-05-07 | 77.74 | 82.45 | -1.45 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-05-06 | 77.84 | 83.33 | -1.66 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-05-05 | 76.00 | 80.46 | -1.41 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-05-04 | 75.28 | 79.95 | -1.48 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-05-01 | 78.04 | 81.88 | -1.21 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-30 | 79.23 | 82.81 | -1.12 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-29 | 77.79 | 81.84 | -1.28 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-28 | 79.29 | 83.50 | -1.31 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-27 | 80.07 | 86.54 | -1.93 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-24 | 80.94 | 86.96 | -1.81 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-23 | 81.97 | 86.95 | -1.53 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-22 | 81.81 | 86.30 | -1.41 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-21 | 82.87 | 86.16 | -1.07 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-20 | 84.58 | 88.56 | -1.25 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-17 | 84.19 | 88.98 | -1.47 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-16 | 81.24 | 85.83 | -1.48 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-15 | 81.67 | 84.67 | -1.03 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-14 | 82.58 | 85.90 | -1.12 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-13 | 82.21 | 86.10 | -1.29 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-10 | 81.29 | 86.55 | -1.69 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-09 | 81.83 | 86.45 | -1.52 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-08 | 81.00 | 86.43 | -1.78 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-07 | 76.81 | 80.84 | -1.45 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-06 | 78.71 | 81.47 | -1.04 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-02 | 77.50 | 81.88 | -1.56 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-04-01 | 79.41 | 83.87 | -1.55 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-03-31 | 79.25 | 82.54 | -1.22 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-03-30 | 77.95 | 81.34 | -1.27 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-03-27 | 77.51 | 81.21 | -1.38 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-03-26 | 79.14 | 82.28 | -1.19 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-03-25 | 80.12 | 82.90 | -1.08 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-03-24 | 79.74 | 80.78 | -0.55 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-03-23 | 79.73 | 80.84 | -0.57 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-03-20 | 77.29 | 78.16 | -0.51 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-03-19 | 79.09 | 79.92 | -0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-18 | 79.74 | 80.37 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-17 | 82.27 | 82.58 | -0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-16 | 82.55 | 83.10 | -0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-13 | 81.69 | 82.34 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-12 | 81.67 | 81.81 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-11 | 84.54 | 83.10 | +0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-10 | 86.06 | 85.06 | +0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-09 | 85.20 | 85.85 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-06 | 86.25 | 84.94 | +0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-05 | 87.15 | 86.38 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-04 | 88.94 | 89.52 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-03 | 88.41 | 89.82 | -0.59 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-03-02 | 89.35 | 91.69 | -0.85 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-02-27 | 91.74 | 93.36 | -0.65 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-02-26 | 90.38 | 92.83 | -0.88 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-02-25 | 90.50 | 91.99 | -0.63 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-02-24 | 92.65 | 93.92 | -0.57 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-02-23 | 90.84 | 93.80 | -1.03 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-02-20 | 92.11 | 92.86 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-19 | 91.22 | 92.08 | -0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-18 | 92.41 | 94.18 | -0.72 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-02-17 | 92.30 | 94.74 | -0.90 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-02-13 | 94.23 | 94.99 | -0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-12 | 94.03 | 95.94 | -0.77 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-02-11 | 94.14 | 94.49 | -0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-10 | 93.90 | 93.89 | -0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-09 | 91.81 | 92.85 | -0.57 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-02-06 | 92.81 | 93.21 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-05 | 92.14 | 92.97 | -0.53 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-02-04 | 93.30 | 94.99 | -0.75 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-02-03 | 91.83 | 92.60 | -0.53 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-02-02 | 91.11 | 91.76 | -0.50 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-01-30 | 90.26 | 91.32 | -0.61 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-01-29 | 89.59 | 91.30 | -0.79 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-01-28 | 90.43 | 90.02 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-27 | 91.65 | 89.11 | +0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-26 | 93.14 | 89.69 | +0.52 | HD ahead |
| 2026-01-23 | 92.47 | 89.74 | +0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-22 | 91.81 | 90.28 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-21 | 92.68 | 91.75 | -0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-20 | 90.39 | 89.34 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-16 | 91.61 | 92.14 | -0.51 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-01-15 | 91.36 | 91.70 | -0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-14 | 90.59 | 91.24 | -0.56 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-01-13 | 91.50 | 91.66 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-12 | 90.35 | 92.09 | -0.84 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-01-09 | 90.27 | 90.97 | -0.58 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-01-08 | 86.64 | 87.81 | -0.72 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-01-07 | 84.11 | 85.34 | -0.75 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-01-06 | 84.17 | 87.57 | -1.32 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-01-05 | 82.91 | 85.54 | -1.14 | SHW ahead |
| 2026-01-02 | 83.33 | 84.42 | -0.74 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-12-31 | 82.92 | 83.44 | -0.60 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-12-30 | 83.46 | 83.98 | -0.61 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-12-29 | 83.72 | 83.74 | -0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-26 | 84.28 | 83.80 | -0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-24 | 83.70 | 83.78 | -0.50 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-12-23 | 83.13 | 83.44 | -0.57 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-12-22 | 83.47 | 83.39 | -0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-19 | 83.13 | 82.62 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-18 | 85.54 | 83.78 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-17 | 85.96 | 84.44 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-16 | 84.98 | 84.42 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-15 | 86.02 | 84.57 | -0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-12 | 86.66 | 84.64 | +0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-11 | 86.13 | 84.79 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-10 | 84.61 | 84.01 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-09 | 83.20 | 82.69 | -0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-08 | 84.32 | 84.23 | -0.50 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-12-05 | 85.45 | 85.77 | -0.61 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-12-04 | 84.62 | 86.36 | -0.97 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-12-03 | 86.24 | 87.35 | -0.81 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-12-02 | 85.31 | 86.90 | -0.94 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-12-01 | 86.10 | 87.93 | -1.00 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-11-28 | 86.00 | 88.50 | -1.17 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-11-26 | 85.66 | 88.42 | -1.25 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-11-25 | 84.60 | 88.23 | -1.49 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-11-24 | 81.10 | 87.03 | -2.14 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-11-21 | 82.73 | 86.79 | -1.65 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-11-20 | 80.09 | 84.46 | -1.79 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-11-19 | 80.60 | 84.92 | -1.78 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-11-18 | 81.08 | 83.38 | -1.23 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-11-17 | 86.27 | 84.15 | -0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-14 | 87.32 | 85.53 | -0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-13 | 88.69 | 87.25 | -0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-12 | 89.43 | 88.76 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-11 | 90.18 | 88.86 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-10 | 89.26 | 88.20 | -0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-07 | 89.42 | 87.59 | -0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-06 | 88.93 | 85.92 | +0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-05 | 90.08 | 86.46 | +0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-04 | 92.31 | 88.31 | +0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-03 | 91.17 | 89.00 | -0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-31 | 91.47 | 88.82 | +0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-30 | 91.46 | 89.58 | -0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-29 | 91.09 | 89.02 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-28 | 92.95 | 91.27 | -0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-27 | 92.84 | 86.54 | +1.03 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-24 | 93.18 | 86.00 | +1.25 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-23 | 92.78 | 85.42 | +1.32 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-22 | 93.73 | 85.95 | +1.42 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-21 | 94.19 | 87.15 | +1.23 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-20 | 93.71 | 85.29 | +1.62 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-17 | 94.43 | 85.16 | +1.85 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-16 | 93.35 | 85.35 | +1.55 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-15 | 93.57 | 85.68 | +1.53 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-14 | 93.43 | 86.33 | +1.33 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-13 | 91.41 | 85.53 | +1.05 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-10 | 90.54 | 85.70 | +0.78 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-09 | 91.01 | 85.80 | +0.87 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-08 | 92.48 | 86.92 | +0.95 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-07 | 93.21 | 86.78 | +1.18 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-06 | 93.81 | 86.75 | +1.35 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-03 | 95.20 | 89.25 | +1.03 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-02 | 95.18 | 88.55 | +1.22 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-01 | 95.67 | 87.86 | +1.54 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-30 | 97.64 | 89.16 | +1.69 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-29 | 98.02 | 88.30 | +2.04 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-26 | 98.82 | 88.04 | +2.34 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-25 | 98.18 | 87.57 | +2.34 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-24 | 98.74 | 88.31 | +2.31 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-23 | 99.01 | 88.69 | +2.30 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-22 | 99.28 | 89.20 | +2.25 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-19 | 100.17 | 89.30 | +2.48 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-18 | 100.60 | 90.01 | +2.42 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-17 | 100.48 | 90.18 | +2.37 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-16 | 101.55 | 90.95 | +2.45 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-15 | 101.86 | 91.95 | +2.27 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-12 | 101.85 | 92.72 | +2.07 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-11 | 102.03 | 94.93 | +1.53 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-10 | 99.57 | 92.04 | +1.70 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-09 | 100.08 | 93.05 | +1.57 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-08 | 101.19 | 96.62 | +0.91 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-05 | 100.95 | 95.90 | +1.04 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-04 | 99.20 | 94.19 | +1.06 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-03 | 98.24 | 93.48 | +1.01 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-02 | 97.91 | 92.93 | +1.08 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-29 | 98.02 | 94.20 | +0.78 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-28 | 98.18 | 94.29 | +0.81 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-27 | 98.37 | 94.60 | +0.78 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-26 | 98.20 | 94.36 | +0.81 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-25 | 98.53 | 94.50 | +0.86 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-22 | 99.47 | 96.03 | +0.70 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-21 | 95.83 | 93.69 | +0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-20 | 96.80 | 94.53 | +0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-19 | 98.12 | 94.74 | +0.71 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-18 | 95.11 | 92.40 | +0.57 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-15 | 96.24 | 93.83 | +0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-14 | 96.46 | 94.13 | +0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-13 | 98.12 | 94.97 | +0.68 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-12 | 95.42 | 92.21 | +0.72 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-11 | 93.38 | 91.30 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-08 | 93.46 | 90.68 | +0.64 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-07 | 93.05 | 90.10 | +0.69 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-06 | 93.20 | 90.31 | +0.68 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-05 | 92.87 | 90.66 | +0.51 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-04 | 91.76 | 89.57 | +0.52 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-01 | 90.04 | 88.43 | +0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-31 | 88.56 | 85.20 | +0.87 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-30 | 89.66 | 85.48 | +1.09 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-29 | 90.93 | 86.77 | +1.08 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-28 | 90.90 | 86.56 | +1.14 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-25 | 90.44 | 87.57 | +0.75 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-24 | 89.90 | 87.60 | +0.59 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-23 | 90.69 | 88.30 | +0.61 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-22 | 89.40 | 87.57 | +0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-21 | 87.72 | 87.88 | -0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-18 | 86.60 | 87.57 | -0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-17 | 86.52 | 87.52 | -0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-16 | 86.12 | 87.51 | -0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-15 | 86.42 | 87.30 | -0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-14 | 89.18 | 88.71 | +0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-11 | 89.17 | 89.07 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-10 | 89.95 | 90.59 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-09 | 89.41 | 90.52 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-08 | 88.55 | 89.09 | -0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-07 | 88.59 | 89.17 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-03 | 89.56 | 91.15 | -0.50 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-07-02 | 89.60 | 90.77 | -0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-01 | 89.92 | 91.49 | -0.50 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-06-30 | 88.35 | 88.41 | -0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-27 | 88.85 | 89.02 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-26 | 87.59 | 88.03 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-25 | 87.20 | 88.48 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-24 | 86.85 | 89.01 | -0.69 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-06-23 | 86.01 | 88.52 | -0.78 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-06-20 | 84.25 | 85.87 | -0.58 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-06-18 | 83.62 | 85.35 | -0.62 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-06-17 | 84.04 | 85.24 | -0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-16 | 85.20 | 86.46 | -0.50 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-06-13 | 85.46 | 86.49 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-12 | 87.51 | 91.72 | -1.21 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-06-11 | 86.86 | 91.96 | -1.44 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-06-10 | 88.65 | 92.89 | -1.22 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-06-09 | 88.00 | 92.17 | -1.22 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-06-06 | 88.51 | 92.05 | -1.07 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-06-05 | 88.98 | 92.15 | -0.99 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-06-04 | 89.73 | 93.27 | -1.08 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-06-03 | 89.90 | 92.12 | -0.77 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-06-02 | 88.67 | 91.52 | -0.94 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-30 | 88.74 | 92.39 | -1.13 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-29 | 88.74 | 91.60 | -0.95 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-28 | 88.69 | 91.34 | -0.91 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-27 | 89.25 | 92.52 | -1.05 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-23 | 87.40 | 90.77 | -1.10 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-22 | 88.22 | 90.88 | -0.93 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-21 | 89.36 | 91.14 | -0.72 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-20 | 90.86 | 92.47 | -0.67 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-19 | 91.42 | 93.21 | -0.72 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-16 | 91.75 | 93.60 | -0.73 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-15 | 91.24 | 93.07 | -0.74 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-14 | 89.83 | 90.48 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-13 | 90.02 | 91.68 | -0.70 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-12 | 90.74 | 91.96 | -0.60 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-09 | 87.40 | 90.60 | -1.10 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-08 | 87.92 | 91.04 | -1.09 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-07 | 87.41 | 90.53 | -1.10 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-06 | 86.60 | 90.77 | -1.38 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-05 | 87.16 | 92.65 | -1.71 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-02 | 87.84 | 92.60 | -1.54 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-05-01 | 86.34 | 91.06 | -1.56 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-04-30 | 86.87 | 90.87 | -1.39 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-04-29 | 86.51 | 89.64 | -1.18 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-04-28 | 86.00 | 85.54 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-25 | 86.16 | 85.39 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-24 | 86.66 | 86.12 | -0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-23 | 85.88 | 85.29 | -0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-22 | 85.40 | 85.48 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-21 | 83.59 | 82.99 | -0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-17 | 85.56 | 85.84 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-16 | 83.37 | 85.30 | -0.90 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-04-15 | 85.33 | 86.74 | -0.76 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-04-14 | 86.07 | 87.81 | -0.84 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-04-11 | 85.27 | 86.72 | -0.78 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-04-10 | 85.21 | 84.95 | -0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-09 | 85.64 | 86.58 | -0.65 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-04-08 | 80.78 | 80.73 | -0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-07 | 82.29 | 83.12 | -0.63 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-04-04 | 85.28 | 85.50 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-03 | 85.76 | 87.72 | -0.92 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-04-02 | 89.37 | 91.06 | -0.84 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-04-01 | 88.08 | 90.27 | -0.98 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-31 | 88.31 | 89.91 | -0.83 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-28 | 86.30 | 87.48 | -0.74 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-27 | 87.40 | 89.00 | -0.85 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-26 | 87.26 | 88.69 | -0.81 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-25 | 86.99 | 87.85 | -0.67 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-24 | 87.66 | 88.25 | -0.60 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-21 | 84.61 | 86.11 | -0.86 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-20 | 85.67 | 86.53 | -0.69 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-19 | 85.16 | 86.24 | -0.76 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-18 | 84.23 | 86.40 | -1.06 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-17 | 85.33 | 88.13 | -1.23 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-14 | 84.65 | 88.01 | -1.39 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-13 | 83.67 | 88.09 | -1.70 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-12 | 87.89 | 90.08 | -1.08 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-11 | 88.71 | 90.90 | -1.08 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-10 | 90.28 | 92.13 | -0.99 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-07 | 90.80 | 93.63 | -1.25 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-06 | 91.98 | 92.72 | -0.72 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-05 | 93.10 | 93.29 | -0.59 | SHW ahead |
| 2025-03-04 | 91.97 | 91.48 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-03 | 93.90 | 91.86 | -0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-28 | 95.57 | 93.28 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-27 | 94.04 | 91.54 | +0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-26 | 94.09 | 92.59 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-25 | 94.77 | 90.90 | +0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-24 | 92.15 | 88.54 | +0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-21 | 92.84 | 88.72 | +0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-20 | 95.09 | 90.13 | +0.67 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-19 | 95.28 | 90.60 | +0.59 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-18 | 97.18 | 90.89 | +0.97 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-14 | 98.67 | 91.89 | +1.06 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-13 | 99.38 | 92.99 | +0.95 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-12 | 98.11 | 91.54 | +1.01 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-11 | 100.33 | 93.05 | +1.14 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-10 | 99.76 | 92.48 | +1.15 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-07 | 98.16 | 92.84 | +0.69 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-06 | 99.80 | 94.04 | +0.77 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-05 | 99.72 | 93.85 | +0.79 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-04 | 99.15 | 92.08 | +1.09 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-03 | 98.50 | 92.09 | +0.94 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-31 | 99.27 | 92.22 | +1.08 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-30 | 99.88 | 94.13 | +0.76 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-29 | 99.62 | 92.80 | +1.01 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-28 | 100.92 | 93.77 | +1.07 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-27 | 102.38 | 93.77 | +1.39 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-24 | 99.88 | 92.74 | +1.09 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-23 | 99.85 | 92.98 | +1.02 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-22 | 98.82 | 92.12 | +0.99 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-21 | 100.83 | 93.09 | +1.20 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-17 | 98.65 | 91.15 | +1.18 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-16 | 98.63 | 91.20 | +1.15 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-15 | 97.85 | 89.33 | +1.43 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-14 | 94.65 | 87.97 | +1.03 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-13 | 93.78 | 86.55 | +1.17 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-10 | 93.95 | 85.01 | +1.61 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-08 | 93.30 | 86.91 | +0.97 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-07 | 92.59 | 86.11 | +1.01 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-06 | 93.82 | 86.99 | +1.08 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-03 | 93.78 | 86.66 | +1.15 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-02 | 93.60 | 85.79 | +1.34 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-31 | 93.73 | 87.53 | +0.93 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-30 | 93.84 | 87.23 | +1.04 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-27 | 94.67 | 88.39 | +0.94 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-26 | 95.21 | 88.97 | +0.93 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-24 | 95.46 | 89.23 | +0.92 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-23 | 94.57 | 88.79 | +0.82 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-20 | 94.60 | 88.96 | +0.79 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-19 | 92.78 | 88.16 | +0.56 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-18 | 94.90 | 89.78 | +0.65 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-17 | 98.43 | 93.42 | +0.58 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-16 | 98.97 | 93.99 | +0.56 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-13 | 100.48 | 93.86 | +0.93 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-12 | 99.86 | 94.46 | +0.65 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-11 | 101.54 | 95.77 | +0.72 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-10 | 101.83 | 95.68 | +0.80 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-09 | 103.42 | 96.93 | +0.86 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-06 | 103.94 | 99.12 | +0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-05 | 102.78 | 99.20 | +0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-04 | 103.11 | 100.96 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-03 | 103.46 | 101.79 | -0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-02 | 102.88 | 101.86 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-29 | 103.40 | 102.33 | -0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-27 | 102.94 | 101.44 | -0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-26 | 103.50 | 102.00 | -0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-25 | 103.29 | 102.92 | -0.51 | SHW ahead |
| 2024-11-22 | 101.20 | 99.98 | -0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-21 | 98.90 | 98.70 | -0.56 | SHW ahead |
| 2024-11-20 | 96.39 | 95.70 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-19 | 98.02 | 96.17 | -0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-18 | 98.90 | 96.65 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-15 | 98.36 | 97.59 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-14 | 97.76 | 100.03 | -1.12 | SHW ahead |
| 2024-11-13 | 98.84 | 99.72 | -0.82 | SHW ahead |
| 2024-11-12 | 97.13 | 98.79 | -1.01 | SHW ahead |
| 2024-11-11 | 98.38 | 100.23 | -1.05 | SHW ahead |
| 2024-11-08 | 97.81 | 99.56 | -1.04 | SHW ahead |
| 2024-11-07 | 96.25 | 98.88 | -1.25 | SHW ahead |
| 2024-11-06 | 93.58 | 98.04 | -1.69 | SHW ahead |
| 2024-11-05 | 96.41 | 97.39 | -0.90 | SHW ahead |
| 2024-11-04 | 95.32 | 96.41 | -0.94 | SHW ahead |
| 2024-11-01 | 94.60 | 92.17 | -0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-10-31 | 94.88 | 92.38 | -0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-10-30 | 94.58 | 93.18 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-10-29 | 95.20 | 93.11 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-10-28 | 97.08 | 93.54 | +0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-10-25 | 96.12 | 92.45 | +0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-10-24 | 97.03 | 93.11 | +0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-10-23 | 96.30 | 93.40 | -0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-10-22 | 96.83 | 93.05 | +0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-10-21 | 97.93 | 98.30 | -0.80 | SHW ahead |
| 2024-10-18 | 100.00 | 100.00 | -0.73 | SHW ahead |
One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Oct 28, 2025 (HD +0.1%, SHW +5.5%); Nov 18, 2025 (HD -6.0%, SHW -0.9%); Jul 28, 2026 (HD +2.5%, SHW +8.3%). Upcoming earnings: SHW Oct 27, 2026 (pre-market).
Paired trades
The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart
Forward paper record
No paper position on this pair yet.
Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)
1 simulated trade to Oct 20, 2026: -9.35% per trade on average after costs, 0 won.
| Legs | Entered | Exited | Why | Days | Before costs | Costs + borrow | After costs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long HD · Short SHW | Jul 14, 2023 | Mar 12, 2024 | divergence stop | 242 | -$960.59 | -$70.61 | -$935.44 (-9.35%) |
Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.
The companies
HD and SHW at a glance
HD The Home Depot Inc.
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 354950
- Industry
- RETAIL: Building Materials · SIC 5211 Retail-Lumber & Other Building Materials Dealers
- Market value
- $309.2B
- Price history
- 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
SHW The Sherwin-Williams Company
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 89800
- Industry
- RETAIL: Building Materials · SIC 5200 Retail-Building Materials, Hardware, Garden Supply
- Market value
- $80.5B
- Price history
- 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.
Related
All pairs →Other rivals of HD and SHW
| Pair | Status | Ahead now | Industry |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW / SHW | Watchlist | SHW by 1.60 sd | RETAIL: Building Materials |
| HD / LOW | Watchlist | HD by 1.33 sd | RETAIL: Building Materials |
| SHW / FAST | Watchlist | FAST by 1.29 sd | SIC 5200 Retail-Building Materials, Hardware, Garden Supply |
| SHW / TSCO | Watchlist | SHW by 0.87 sd | SIC 5200 Retail-Building Materials, Hardware, Garden Supply |
Follow the research behind the paper book
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Explore the private betaPaper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.
