The Home Depot Inc. vs Lowe's Companies Inc.
Why these are rivals: #1 and #2 by market value ($309B vs $110B) in Nasdaq's "RETAIL: Building Materials" industry; SEC SIC 5211 / 5211 (same major group); #1 and #2 by market value ($309B vs $110B) with SEC SIC 5211 (Retail-Lumber & Other Building Materials Dealers).
Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.26 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
- Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 71.88 (needs <= 63)
HD is the larger business
Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.
| Year | HD | LOW | Larger |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $164.7B | $86.3B | HD |
| 2024 | $159.5B | $83.7B | HD |
| 2023 | $152.7B | $86.4B | HD |
| 2022 | $157.4B | $97.1B | HD |
| 2021 | $151.2B | $96.3B | HD |
| 2020 | $132.1B | $89.6B | HD |
HD led in every year with figures for both. Market value: HD $309.2B, LOW $109.9B.
HD is ahead now
Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.
HD leads LOW by 1.33 standard deviations: +8.2% over its usual price ratio. 1 lead switch in the last year.
| Price change | 3 mo | 6 mo | 12 mo |
|---|---|---|---|
| HD | -1.6% | -3.7% | -16.2% |
| LOW | -1.6% | -17.1% | -16.7% |
Not a measured twin today
Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.
- Pass
- Aligned sessions: 2521 (needs >= 254)
- Pass
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.88 (needs >= 0.60)
- Fail
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.26 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
- Fail
- Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 71.89 (needs <= 63)
- Data
- Both stocks current
Prices side by side, and the gap between them
Data table (504 sessions)
| Date | HD index | LOW index | z | Ahead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | 78.97 | 72.56 | +1.33 | HD ahead |
| 2026-10-21 | 75.70 | 69.79 | +1.27 | HD ahead |
| 2026-10-20 | 75.93 | 70.49 | +1.15 | HD ahead |
| 2026-10-19 | 74.67 | 69.56 | +1.09 | HD ahead |
| 2026-10-16 | 74.61 | 70.08 | +0.95 | HD ahead |
| 2026-10-15 | 74.27 | 69.49 | +1.02 | HD ahead |
| 2026-10-14 | 71.21 | 66.86 | +0.95 | HD ahead |
| 2026-10-13 | 70.82 | 67.01 | +0.82 | HD ahead |
| 2026-10-12 | 70.03 | 65.89 | +0.91 | HD ahead |
| 2026-10-09 | 70.06 | 66.04 | +0.87 | HD ahead |
| 2026-10-08 | 71.20 | 67.05 | +0.88 | HD ahead |
| 2026-10-07 | 68.86 | 64.46 | +0.98 | HD ahead |
| 2026-10-06 | 69.08 | 65.21 | +0.84 | HD ahead |
| 2026-10-05 | 67.75 | 63.73 | +0.89 | HD ahead |
| 2026-10-02 | 68.16 | 64.20 | +0.87 | HD ahead |
| 2026-10-01 | 68.06 | 64.76 | +0.70 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-30 | 68.55 | 65.43 | +0.64 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-29 | 69.41 | 66.49 | +0.58 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-28 | 69.85 | 66.63 | +0.65 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-25 | 70.65 | 67.21 | +0.69 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-24 | 70.40 | 66.93 | +0.70 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-23 | 71.50 | 67.94 | +0.70 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-22 | 73.58 | 69.62 | +0.77 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-21 | 71.61 | 67.81 | +0.76 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-18 | 72.28 | 68.35 | +0.78 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-17 | 72.89 | 68.95 | +0.77 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-16 | 72.88 | 68.92 | +0.78 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-15 | 73.61 | 69.10 | +0.90 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-14 | 74.91 | 70.36 | +0.89 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-11 | 74.40 | 69.88 | +0.89 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-10 | 73.66 | 69.80 | +0.75 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-09 | 74.81 | 70.52 | +0.84 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-08 | 75.59 | 71.30 | +0.83 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-04 | 77.36 | 72.59 | +0.91 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-03 | 76.64 | 71.69 | +0.97 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-02 | 76.75 | 70.96 | +1.16 | HD ahead |
| 2026-09-01 | 77.05 | 71.03 | +1.21 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-31 | 79.00 | 72.68 | +1.24 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-28 | 79.56 | 73.87 | +1.09 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-27 | 79.18 | 73.41 | +1.12 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-26 | 80.69 | 74.69 | +1.14 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-25 | 81.42 | 76.20 | +0.97 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-24 | 81.31 | 77.04 | +0.76 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-21 | 80.87 | 76.73 | +0.74 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-20 | 80.60 | 77.17 | +0.59 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-19 | 82.96 | 78.11 | +0.86 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-18 | 81.32 | 76.57 | +0.86 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-17 | 81.42 | 76.63 | +0.87 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-14 | 81.65 | 77.57 | +0.71 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-13 | 82.34 | 77.48 | +0.86 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-12 | 82.75 | 76.68 | +1.11 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-11 | 85.42 | 78.56 | +1.23 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-10 | 84.53 | 77.72 | +1.23 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-07 | 85.69 | 79.30 | +1.13 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-06 | 84.22 | 77.55 | +1.21 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-05 | 85.09 | 78.09 | +1.26 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-04 | 83.91 | 77.43 | +1.16 | HD ahead |
| 2026-08-03 | 81.93 | 75.29 | +1.22 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-31 | 79.99 | 73.79 | +1.16 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-30 | 80.33 | 74.59 | +1.05 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-29 | 81.51 | 76.58 | +0.85 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-28 | 83.00 | 77.49 | +0.95 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-27 | 80.99 | 75.11 | +1.05 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-24 | 80.24 | 73.73 | +1.19 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-23 | 78.24 | 71.69 | +1.23 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-22 | 79.87 | 72.56 | +1.36 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-21 | 79.90 | 72.26 | +1.44 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-20 | 80.25 | 72.68 | +1.41 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-17 | 81.66 | 74.11 | +1.37 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-16 | 83.86 | 76.75 | +1.24 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-15 | 82.27 | 74.44 | +1.41 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-14 | 81.38 | 73.74 | +1.39 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-13 | 81.23 | 73.75 | +1.35 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-10 | 82.72 | 75.14 | +1.34 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-09 | 81.62 | 75.63 | +1.03 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-08 | 81.01 | 75.58 | +0.92 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-07 | 83.18 | 78.43 | +0.75 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-06 | 84.49 | 79.46 | +0.78 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-02 | 86.24 | 80.78 | +0.84 | HD ahead |
| 2026-07-01 | 84.54 | 78.80 | +0.91 | HD ahead |
| 2026-06-30 | 84.98 | 78.29 | +1.09 | HD ahead |
| 2026-06-29 | 84.53 | 77.99 | +1.06 | HD ahead |
| 2026-06-26 | 84.06 | 78.99 | +0.77 | HD ahead |
| 2026-06-25 | 83.13 | 78.80 | +0.64 | HD ahead |
| 2026-06-24 | 82.62 | 78.63 | +0.57 | HD ahead |
| 2026-06-23 | 78.18 | 75.82 | +0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-22 | 78.70 | 76.13 | +0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-18 | 80.55 | 78.90 | +0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-17 | 78.91 | 77.14 | +0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-16 | 81.23 | 79.54 | +0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-15 | 79.47 | 78.18 | +0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-12 | 79.13 | 78.39 | -0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-11 | 78.56 | 78.49 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-10 | 76.85 | 76.76 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-09 | 77.43 | 77.18 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-08 | 74.63 | 73.84 | -0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-05 | 74.89 | 74.83 | -0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-04 | 74.69 | 73.69 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-03 | 75.41 | 73.73 | +0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-02 | 75.07 | 73.37 | +0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-01 | 74.87 | 73.75 | -0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-29 | 76.42 | 76.11 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-28 | 77.40 | 77.38 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-27 | 76.59 | 76.99 | -0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-26 | 74.83 | 75.30 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-22 | 75.44 | 76.35 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-21 | 75.61 | 77.19 | -0.57 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-05-20 | 74.84 | 78.49 | -0.96 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-05-19 | 72.88 | 77.54 | -1.17 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-05-18 | 72.24 | 77.41 | -1.28 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-05-15 | 71.69 | 77.55 | -1.43 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-05-14 | 73.34 | 79.40 | -1.45 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-05-13 | 72.90 | 78.27 | -1.35 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-05-12 | 74.81 | 79.72 | -1.25 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-05-11 | 75.04 | 80.27 | -1.31 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-05-08 | 76.49 | 81.38 | -1.25 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-05-07 | 77.74 | 81.98 | -1.13 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-05-06 | 77.84 | 82.86 | -1.27 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-05-05 | 76.00 | 79.97 | -1.12 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-05-04 | 75.28 | 79.43 | -1.17 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-05-01 | 78.04 | 82.85 | -1.26 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-30 | 79.23 | 84.79 | -1.39 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-29 | 77.79 | 82.91 | -1.35 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-28 | 79.29 | 85.33 | -1.50 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-27 | 80.07 | 86.12 | -1.50 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-24 | 80.94 | 86.80 | -1.47 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-23 | 81.97 | 87.54 | -1.43 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-22 | 81.81 | 87.06 | -1.39 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-21 | 82.87 | 89.19 | -1.57 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-20 | 84.58 | 89.93 | -1.40 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-17 | 84.19 | 89.38 | -1.39 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-16 | 81.24 | 86.07 | -1.37 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-15 | 81.67 | 86.63 | -1.40 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-14 | 82.58 | 88.21 | -1.52 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-13 | 82.21 | 87.73 | -1.52 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-10 | 81.29 | 86.71 | -1.53 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-09 | 81.83 | 87.99 | -1.67 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-08 | 81.00 | 86.51 | -1.58 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-07 | 76.81 | 82.24 | -1.63 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-06 | 78.71 | 83.51 | -1.51 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-02 | 77.50 | 82.03 | -1.48 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-04-01 | 79.41 | 83.79 | -1.45 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-31 | 79.25 | 83.89 | -1.51 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-30 | 77.95 | 82.58 | -1.54 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-27 | 77.51 | 81.77 | -1.49 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-26 | 79.14 | 83.81 | -1.56 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-25 | 80.12 | 83.86 | -1.39 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-24 | 79.74 | 83.24 | -1.36 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-23 | 79.73 | 83.17 | -1.36 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-20 | 77.29 | 79.76 | -1.20 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-19 | 79.09 | 81.56 | -1.20 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-18 | 79.74 | 82.05 | -1.17 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-17 | 82.27 | 85.11 | -1.27 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-16 | 82.55 | 85.96 | -1.38 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-13 | 81.69 | 84.36 | -1.26 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-12 | 81.67 | 85.02 | -1.40 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-11 | 84.54 | 87.66 | -1.35 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-10 | 86.06 | 89.16 | -1.34 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-09 | 85.20 | 88.84 | -1.46 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-06 | 86.25 | 89.44 | -1.38 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-05 | 87.15 | 90.44 | -1.41 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-04 | 88.94 | 91.83 | -1.33 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-03 | 88.41 | 91.50 | -1.38 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-03-02 | 89.35 | 91.31 | -1.19 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-02-27 | 91.74 | 93.94 | -1.23 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-02-26 | 90.38 | 93.88 | -1.48 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-02-25 | 90.50 | 93.39 | -1.38 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-02-24 | 92.65 | 98.92 | -1.97 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-02-23 | 90.84 | 97.42 | -2.07 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-02-20 | 92.11 | 99.55 | -2.24 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-02-19 | 91.22 | 98.77 | -2.30 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-02-18 | 92.41 | 100.17 | -2.36 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-02-17 | 92.30 | 99.83 | -2.35 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-02-13 | 94.23 | 102.04 | -2.41 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-02-12 | 94.03 | 101.38 | -2.37 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-02-11 | 94.14 | 101.92 | -2.48 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-02-10 | 93.90 | 101.08 | -2.42 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-02-09 | 91.81 | 98.31 | -2.36 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-02-06 | 92.81 | 98.84 | -2.29 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-02-05 | 92.14 | 97.60 | -2.22 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-02-04 | 93.30 | 97.94 | -2.08 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-02-03 | 91.83 | 97.59 | -2.34 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-02-02 | 91.11 | 95.53 | -2.11 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-30 | 90.26 | 94.82 | -2.18 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-29 | 89.59 | 94.67 | -2.33 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-28 | 90.43 | 95.66 | -2.38 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-27 | 91.65 | 97.27 | -2.49 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-26 | 93.14 | 98.68 | -2.50 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-23 | 92.47 | 98.26 | -2.60 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-22 | 91.81 | 97.62 | -2.66 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-21 | 92.68 | 98.39 | -2.68 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-20 | 90.39 | 95.30 | -2.57 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-16 | 91.61 | 98.55 | -3.08 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-15 | 91.36 | 98.36 | -3.17 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-14 | 90.59 | 97.62 | -3.27 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-13 | 91.50 | 97.38 | -3.05 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-12 | 90.35 | 96.18 | -3.13 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-09 | 90.27 | 94.88 | -2.87 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-08 | 86.64 | 90.97 | -2.91 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-07 | 84.11 | 87.74 | -2.80 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-06 | 84.17 | 87.52 | -2.77 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-05 | 82.91 | 86.90 | -3.04 | LOW ahead |
| 2026-01-02 | 83.33 | 87.66 | -3.21 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-31 | 82.92 | 85.63 | -2.78 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-30 | 83.46 | 86.34 | -2.88 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-29 | 83.72 | 86.58 | -2.93 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-26 | 84.28 | 86.81 | -2.88 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-24 | 83.70 | 86.28 | -2.96 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-23 | 83.13 | 85.98 | -3.13 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-22 | 83.47 | 85.95 | -3.06 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-19 | 83.13 | 85.37 | -3.05 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-18 | 85.54 | 87.95 | -3.16 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-17 | 85.96 | 88.04 | -3.11 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-16 | 84.98 | 87.51 | -3.36 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-15 | 86.02 | 88.33 | -3.36 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-12 | 86.66 | 87.80 | -2.98 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-11 | 86.13 | 88.08 | -3.37 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-10 | 84.61 | 87.42 | -3.84 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-09 | 83.20 | 86.16 | -4.06 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-08 | 84.32 | 86.93 | -4.04 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-05 | 85.45 | 88.22 | -4.24 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-04 | 84.62 | 87.41 | -4.44 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-03 | 86.24 | 87.68 | -3.93 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-02 | 85.31 | 86.34 | -3.86 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-12-01 | 86.10 | 87.48 | -4.17 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-11-28 | 86.00 | 86.10 | -3.61 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-11-26 | 85.66 | 85.79 | -3.74 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-11-25 | 84.60 | 84.54 | -3.74 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-11-24 | 81.10 | 81.22 | -3.92 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-11-21 | 82.73 | 83.19 | -4.27 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-11-20 | 80.09 | 81.11 | -4.75 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-11-19 | 80.60 | 81.10 | -4.55 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-11-18 | 81.08 | 77.96 | -2.14 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-11-17 | 86.27 | 79.89 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-14 | 87.32 | 80.90 | -0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-13 | 88.69 | 82.19 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-12 | 89.43 | 83.33 | -0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-11 | 90.18 | 83.56 | -0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-10 | 89.26 | 82.74 | -0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-07 | 89.42 | 82.79 | -0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-06 | 88.93 | 82.14 | +0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-05 | 90.08 | 83.21 | +0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-04 | 92.31 | 84.42 | +0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-03 | 91.17 | 83.67 | +0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-31 | 91.47 | 84.55 | +0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-30 | 91.46 | 85.15 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-29 | 91.09 | 84.68 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-28 | 92.95 | 86.66 | -0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-27 | 92.84 | 86.51 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-24 | 93.18 | 86.18 | +0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-23 | 92.78 | 86.59 | -0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-22 | 93.73 | 86.47 | +0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-21 | 94.19 | 87.09 | +0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-20 | 93.71 | 86.02 | +0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-17 | 94.43 | 86.88 | +0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-16 | 93.35 | 86.32 | +0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-15 | 93.57 | 85.76 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-14 | 93.43 | 85.48 | +0.52 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-13 | 91.41 | 83.26 | +0.69 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-10 | 90.54 | 82.45 | +0.70 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-09 | 91.01 | 83.32 | +0.52 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-08 | 92.48 | 84.36 | +0.65 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-07 | 93.21 | 85.18 | +0.60 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-06 | 93.81 | 85.81 | +0.57 | HD ahead |
| 2025-10-03 | 95.20 | 87.47 | +0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-02 | 95.18 | 87.82 | +0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-01 | 95.67 | 88.05 | +0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-30 | 97.64 | 89.23 | +0.62 | HD ahead |
| 2025-09-29 | 98.02 | 89.94 | +0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-26 | 98.82 | 91.29 | +0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-25 | 98.18 | 90.73 | +0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-24 | 98.74 | 91.37 | +0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-23 | 99.01 | 92.25 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-22 | 99.28 | 92.45 | +0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-19 | 100.17 | 94.16 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-18 | 100.60 | 95.00 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-17 | 100.48 | 95.14 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-16 | 101.55 | 96.05 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-15 | 101.86 | 96.61 | -0.50 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-09-12 | 101.85 | 96.52 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-11 | 102.03 | 96.72 | -0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-10 | 99.57 | 94.64 | -0.54 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-09-09 | 100.08 | 95.52 | -0.66 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-09-08 | 101.19 | 96.94 | -0.76 | LOW ahead |
| 2025-09-05 | 100.95 | 95.86 | -0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-04 | 99.20 | 93.94 | -0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-03 | 98.24 | 92.56 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-02 | 97.91 | 91.87 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-29 | 98.02 | 91.63 | +0.00 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-28 | 98.18 | 91.44 | +0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-27 | 98.37 | 91.84 | +0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-26 | 98.20 | 91.72 | +0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-25 | 98.53 | 91.92 | +0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-22 | 99.47 | 93.64 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-21 | 95.83 | 90.77 | -0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-20 | 96.80 | 91.30 | -0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-19 | 98.12 | 91.02 | +0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-18 | 95.11 | 89.08 | -0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-15 | 96.24 | 89.50 | +0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-14 | 96.46 | 89.85 | +0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-13 | 98.12 | 91.01 | +0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-12 | 95.42 | 86.94 | +0.79 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-11 | 93.38 | 85.16 | +0.77 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-08 | 93.46 | 85.62 | +0.65 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-07 | 93.05 | 84.70 | +0.84 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-06 | 93.20 | 84.61 | +0.92 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-05 | 92.87 | 84.31 | +0.92 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-04 | 91.76 | 83.02 | +1.03 | HD ahead |
| 2025-08-01 | 90.04 | 80.39 | +1.40 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-31 | 88.56 | 79.38 | +1.30 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-30 | 89.66 | 80.75 | +1.18 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-29 | 90.93 | 81.68 | +1.26 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-28 | 90.90 | 81.66 | +1.27 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-25 | 90.44 | 80.53 | +1.53 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-24 | 89.90 | 80.09 | +1.53 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-23 | 90.69 | 81.17 | +1.41 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-22 | 89.40 | 80.54 | +1.24 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-21 | 87.72 | 78.44 | +1.46 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-18 | 86.60 | 77.82 | +1.34 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-17 | 86.52 | 77.61 | +1.40 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-16 | 86.12 | 76.91 | +1.54 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-15 | 86.42 | 76.34 | +1.86 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-14 | 89.18 | 78.97 | +1.82 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-11 | 89.17 | 79.58 | +1.61 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-10 | 89.95 | 80.92 | +1.39 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-09 | 89.41 | 80.09 | +1.52 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-08 | 88.55 | 79.42 | +1.50 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-07 | 88.59 | 79.89 | +1.35 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-03 | 89.56 | 81.06 | +1.25 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-02 | 89.60 | 80.58 | +1.45 | HD ahead |
| 2025-07-01 | 89.92 | 81.18 | +1.35 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-30 | 88.35 | 78.78 | +1.73 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-27 | 88.85 | 79.40 | +1.68 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-26 | 87.59 | 78.55 | +1.59 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-25 | 87.20 | 78.36 | +1.54 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-24 | 86.85 | 78.11 | +1.53 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-23 | 86.01 | 77.61 | +1.45 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-20 | 84.25 | 75.54 | +1.65 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-18 | 83.62 | 74.86 | +1.72 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-17 | 84.04 | 75.24 | +1.73 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-16 | 85.20 | 76.72 | +1.57 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-13 | 85.46 | 77.14 | +1.51 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-12 | 87.51 | 79.36 | +1.38 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-11 | 86.86 | 78.68 | +1.43 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-10 | 88.65 | 79.85 | +1.62 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-09 | 88.00 | 79.40 | +1.58 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-06 | 88.51 | 79.99 | +1.55 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-05 | 88.98 | 80.81 | +1.40 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-04 | 89.73 | 81.09 | +1.57 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-03 | 89.90 | 81.24 | +1.59 | HD ahead |
| 2025-06-02 | 88.67 | 80.07 | +1.63 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-30 | 88.74 | 80.15 | +1.64 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-29 | 88.74 | 79.86 | +1.77 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-28 | 88.69 | 79.72 | +1.83 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-27 | 89.25 | 80.18 | +1.87 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-23 | 87.40 | 78.49 | +1.90 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-22 | 88.22 | 79.45 | +1.83 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-21 | 89.36 | 80.73 | +1.74 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-20 | 90.86 | 82.11 | +1.74 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-19 | 91.42 | 83.24 | +1.51 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-16 | 91.75 | 83.17 | +1.67 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-15 | 91.24 | 82.53 | +1.75 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-14 | 89.83 | 81.14 | +1.82 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-13 | 90.02 | 81.94 | +1.58 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-12 | 90.74 | 82.65 | +1.56 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-09 | 87.40 | 78.92 | +1.87 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-08 | 87.92 | 79.70 | +1.75 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-07 | 87.41 | 79.36 | +1.72 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-06 | 86.60 | 79.18 | +1.49 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-05 | 87.16 | 79.96 | +1.40 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-02 | 87.84 | 80.67 | +1.37 | HD ahead |
| 2025-05-01 | 86.34 | 78.94 | +1.52 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-30 | 86.87 | 79.38 | +1.55 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-29 | 86.51 | 79.27 | +1.47 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-28 | 86.00 | 78.52 | +1.60 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-25 | 86.16 | 78.44 | +1.71 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-24 | 86.66 | 78.84 | +1.74 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-23 | 85.88 | 77.32 | +2.10 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-22 | 85.40 | 77.78 | +1.74 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-21 | 83.59 | 75.55 | +2.01 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-17 | 85.56 | 77.76 | +1.84 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-16 | 83.37 | 76.13 | +1.70 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-15 | 85.33 | 78.29 | +1.56 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-14 | 86.07 | 79.58 | +1.32 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-11 | 85.27 | 78.24 | +1.58 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-10 | 85.21 | 78.54 | +1.45 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-09 | 85.64 | 79.25 | +1.33 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-08 | 80.78 | 75.16 | +1.16 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-07 | 82.29 | 77.03 | +0.96 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-04 | 85.28 | 79.28 | +1.20 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-03 | 85.76 | 79.01 | +1.52 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-02 | 89.37 | 83.54 | +1.04 | HD ahead |
| 2025-04-01 | 88.08 | 83.09 | +0.74 | HD ahead |
| 2025-03-31 | 88.31 | 82.81 | +0.95 | HD ahead |
| 2025-03-28 | 86.30 | 81.10 | +0.88 | HD ahead |
| 2025-03-27 | 87.40 | 82.44 | +0.76 | HD ahead |
| 2025-03-26 | 87.26 | 82.39 | +0.73 | HD ahead |
| 2025-03-25 | 86.99 | 81.91 | +0.83 | HD ahead |
| 2025-03-24 | 87.66 | 82.69 | +0.77 | HD ahead |
| 2025-03-21 | 84.61 | 80.62 | +0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-20 | 85.67 | 80.34 | +0.98 | HD ahead |
| 2025-03-19 | 85.16 | 80.07 | +0.90 | HD ahead |
| 2025-03-18 | 84.23 | 79.16 | +0.92 | HD ahead |
| 2025-03-17 | 85.33 | 80.19 | +0.92 | HD ahead |
| 2025-03-14 | 84.65 | 79.69 | +0.87 | HD ahead |
| 2025-03-13 | 83.67 | 79.06 | +0.74 | HD ahead |
| 2025-03-12 | 87.89 | 81.07 | +1.57 | HD ahead |
| 2025-03-11 | 88.71 | 82.61 | +1.25 | HD ahead |
| 2025-03-10 | 90.28 | 86.06 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-07 | 90.80 | 86.16 | +0.60 | HD ahead |
| 2025-03-06 | 91.98 | 86.46 | +0.93 | HD ahead |
| 2025-03-05 | 93.10 | 86.27 | +1.42 | HD ahead |
| 2025-03-04 | 91.97 | 85.16 | +1.44 | HD ahead |
| 2025-03-03 | 93.90 | 87.40 | +1.27 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-28 | 95.57 | 88.28 | +1.52 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-27 | 94.04 | 87.17 | +1.40 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-26 | 94.09 | 87.73 | +1.20 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-25 | 94.77 | 86.06 | +2.10 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-24 | 92.15 | 84.18 | +1.91 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-21 | 92.84 | 84.92 | +1.86 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-20 | 95.09 | 87.49 | +1.66 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-19 | 95.28 | 87.59 | +1.70 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-18 | 97.18 | 89.02 | +1.83 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-14 | 98.67 | 89.40 | +2.23 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-13 | 99.38 | 89.71 | +2.37 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-12 | 98.11 | 88.86 | +2.25 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-11 | 100.33 | 91.26 | +2.09 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-10 | 99.76 | 91.05 | +1.96 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-07 | 98.16 | 89.45 | +2.01 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-06 | 99.80 | 91.23 | +1.89 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-05 | 99.72 | 91.77 | +1.65 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-04 | 99.15 | 91.33 | +1.61 | HD ahead |
| 2025-02-03 | 98.50 | 91.07 | +1.46 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-31 | 99.27 | 92.33 | +1.24 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-30 | 99.88 | 93.74 | +0.91 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-29 | 99.62 | 92.93 | +1.09 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-28 | 100.92 | 93.88 | +1.16 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-27 | 102.38 | 95.31 | +1.12 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-24 | 99.88 | 93.10 | +1.07 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-23 | 99.85 | 92.79 | +1.16 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-22 | 98.82 | 91.61 | +1.22 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-21 | 100.83 | 93.86 | +1.08 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-17 | 98.65 | 92.69 | +0.78 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-16 | 98.63 | 91.88 | +1.03 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-15 | 97.85 | 91.15 | +1.03 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-14 | 94.65 | 89.19 | +0.67 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-13 | 93.78 | 88.29 | +0.69 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-10 | 93.95 | 88.02 | +0.83 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-08 | 93.30 | 87.66 | +0.75 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-07 | 92.59 | 87.55 | +0.55 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-06 | 93.82 | 88.67 | +0.56 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-03 | 93.78 | 88.23 | +0.69 | HD ahead |
| 2025-01-02 | 93.60 | 87.69 | +0.81 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-31 | 93.73 | 87.63 | +0.88 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-30 | 93.84 | 87.60 | +0.92 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-27 | 94.67 | 88.18 | +0.99 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-26 | 95.21 | 88.56 | +1.03 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-24 | 95.46 | 88.84 | +1.02 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-23 | 94.57 | 87.83 | +1.08 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-20 | 94.60 | 87.96 | +1.06 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-19 | 92.78 | 86.82 | +0.86 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-18 | 94.90 | 88.70 | +0.90 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-17 | 98.43 | 91.52 | +1.06 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-16 | 98.97 | 92.35 | +0.95 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-13 | 100.48 | 93.17 | +1.14 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-12 | 99.86 | 93.56 | +0.83 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-11 | 101.54 | 95.12 | +0.83 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-10 | 101.83 | 95.91 | +0.67 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-09 | 103.42 | 97.34 | +0.69 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-06 | 103.94 | 97.08 | +0.92 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-05 | 102.78 | 95.89 | +0.95 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-04 | 103.11 | 96.67 | +0.81 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-03 | 103.46 | 97.43 | +0.68 | HD ahead |
| 2024-12-02 | 102.88 | 96.59 | +0.77 | HD ahead |
| 2024-11-29 | 103.40 | 96.73 | +0.88 | HD ahead |
| 2024-11-27 | 102.94 | 97.00 | +0.66 | HD ahead |
| 2024-11-26 | 103.50 | 97.45 | +0.68 | HD ahead |
| 2024-11-25 | 103.29 | 97.76 | +0.53 | HD ahead |
| 2024-11-22 | 101.20 | 93.98 | +1.10 | HD ahead |
| 2024-11-21 | 98.90 | 94.17 | +0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-20 | 96.39 | 93.39 | -0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-19 | 98.02 | 92.05 | +0.77 | HD ahead |
| 2024-11-18 | 98.90 | 96.50 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-15 | 98.36 | 95.65 | -0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-14 | 97.76 | 95.99 | -0.55 | LOW ahead |
| 2024-11-13 | 98.84 | 96.69 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-12 | 97.13 | 95.83 | -0.69 | LOW ahead |
| 2024-11-11 | 98.38 | 97.47 | -0.82 | LOW ahead |
| 2024-11-08 | 97.81 | 96.26 | -0.62 | LOW ahead |
| 2024-11-07 | 96.25 | 94.55 | -0.57 | LOW ahead |
| 2024-11-06 | 93.58 | 92.93 | -0.89 | LOW ahead |
| 2024-11-05 | 96.41 | 95.58 | -0.85 | LOW ahead |
| 2024-11-04 | 95.32 | 94.08 | -0.72 | LOW ahead |
| 2024-11-01 | 94.60 | 93.01 | -0.60 | LOW ahead |
| 2024-10-31 | 94.88 | 92.97 | -0.50 | LOW ahead |
| 2024-10-30 | 94.58 | 92.81 | -0.54 | LOW ahead |
| 2024-10-29 | 95.20 | 93.37 | -0.53 | LOW ahead |
| 2024-10-28 | 97.08 | 95.15 | -0.51 | LOW ahead |
| 2024-10-25 | 96.12 | 95.03 | -0.77 | LOW ahead |
| 2024-10-24 | 97.03 | 96.35 | -0.90 | LOW ahead |
| 2024-10-23 | 96.30 | 95.91 | -1.00 | LOW ahead |
| 2024-10-22 | 96.83 | 96.66 | -1.07 | LOW ahead |
| 2024-10-21 | 97.93 | 98.30 | -1.24 | LOW ahead |
| 2024-10-18 | 100.00 | 100.00 | -1.13 | LOW ahead |
One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Nov 19, 2024 (HD -0.9%, LOW -4.6%); Nov 20, 2024 (HD -1.7%, LOW +1.4%); Nov 18, 2025 (HD -6.0%, LOW -2.4%); Nov 19, 2025 (HD -0.6%, LOW +4.0%); Feb 25, 2026 (HD -2.3%, LOW -5.6%).
The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart
Forward paper record
No paper position on this pair yet.
Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)
1 simulated trade to Oct 20, 2026: -6.22% per trade on average after costs, 0 won.
| Legs | Entered | Exited | Why | Days | Before costs | Costs + borrow | After costs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long HD · Short LOW | Jan 14, 2022 | Feb 23, 2022 | divergence stop | 40 | -$600.26 | -$27.69 | -$622.12 (-6.22%) |
Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.
HD and LOW at a glance
HD The Home Depot Inc.
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 354950
- Industry
- RETAIL: Building Materials · SIC 5211 Retail-Lumber & Other Building Materials Dealers
- Market value
- $309.2B
- Price history
- 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
LOW Lowe's Companies Inc.
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 60667
- Industry
- RETAIL: Building Materials · SIC 5211 Retail-Lumber & Other Building Materials Dealers
- Market value
- $109.9B
- Price history
- 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.
Other rivals of HD and LOW
Follow the research behind the paper book
Boostio is a research-first platform in private beta: crypto candidates, daily market stories, public paper trading and now rival stocks. Exploring these pages stays free and open.
Explore the private betaPaper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.
