RETAIL: Building Materials

The Home Depot Inc. vs Lowe's Companies Inc.

WatchlistHD / LOWReel example: Home Depot and Lowe's.Prices through Oct 22, 2026

Why these are rivals: #1 and #2 by market value ($309B vs $110B) in Nasdaq's "RETAIL: Building Materials" industry; SEC SIC 5211 / 5211 (same major group); #1 and #2 by market value ($309B vs $110B) with SEC SIC 5211 (Retail-Lumber & Other Building Materials Dealers).

Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.

  • Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.26 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
  • Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 71.88 (needs <= 63)
Business leadership

HD is the larger business

Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.

YearHDLOWLarger
2025$164.7B$86.3BHD
2024$159.5B$83.7BHD
2023$152.7B$86.4BHD
2022$157.4B$97.1BHD
2021$151.2B$96.3BHD
2020$132.1B$89.6BHD

HD led in every year with figures for both. Market value: HD $309.2B, LOW $109.9B.

Stock leadership

HD is ahead now

Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.

HD leads LOW by 1.33 standard deviations: +8.2% over its usual price ratio. 1 lead switch in the last year.

Price change3 mo6 mo12 mo
HD-1.6%-3.7%-16.2%
LOW-1.6%-17.1%-16.7%
Relationship

Not a measured twin today

Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.

Pass
Aligned sessions: 2521 (needs >= 254)
Pass
Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.88 (needs >= 0.60)
Fail
Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.26 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Fail
Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 71.89 (needs <= 63)
Data
Both stocks current
The twins over two years

Prices side by side, and the gap between them

HD The Home Depot Inc. LOW Lowe's Companies Inc.Price index, 100 = 2024-10-18. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).
80100Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026HD 79LOW 73
Spread z-score: HD relative to LOW, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: HD ahead; below 0: LOW ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).
-4stop-2idea0+2idea+4stopOct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026
Data table (504 sessions)
DateHD indexLOW indexzAhead
2026-10-2278.9772.56+1.33HD ahead
2026-10-2175.7069.79+1.27HD ahead
2026-10-2075.9370.49+1.15HD ahead
2026-10-1974.6769.56+1.09HD ahead
2026-10-1674.6170.08+0.95HD ahead
2026-10-1574.2769.49+1.02HD ahead
2026-10-1471.2166.86+0.95HD ahead
2026-10-1370.8267.01+0.82HD ahead
2026-10-1270.0365.89+0.91HD ahead
2026-10-0970.0666.04+0.87HD ahead
2026-10-0871.2067.05+0.88HD ahead
2026-10-0768.8664.46+0.98HD ahead
2026-10-0669.0865.21+0.84HD ahead
2026-10-0567.7563.73+0.89HD ahead
2026-10-0268.1664.20+0.87HD ahead
2026-10-0168.0664.76+0.70HD ahead
2026-09-3068.5565.43+0.64HD ahead
2026-09-2969.4166.49+0.58HD ahead
2026-09-2869.8566.63+0.65HD ahead
2026-09-2570.6567.21+0.69HD ahead
2026-09-2470.4066.93+0.70HD ahead
2026-09-2371.5067.94+0.70HD ahead
2026-09-2273.5869.62+0.77HD ahead
2026-09-2171.6167.81+0.76HD ahead
2026-09-1872.2868.35+0.78HD ahead
2026-09-1772.8968.95+0.77HD ahead
2026-09-1672.8868.92+0.78HD ahead
2026-09-1573.6169.10+0.90HD ahead
2026-09-1474.9170.36+0.89HD ahead
2026-09-1174.4069.88+0.89HD ahead
2026-09-1073.6669.80+0.75HD ahead
2026-09-0974.8170.52+0.84HD ahead
2026-09-0875.5971.30+0.83HD ahead
2026-09-0477.3672.59+0.91HD ahead
2026-09-0376.6471.69+0.97HD ahead
2026-09-0276.7570.96+1.16HD ahead
2026-09-0177.0571.03+1.21HD ahead
2026-08-3179.0072.68+1.24HD ahead
2026-08-2879.5673.87+1.09HD ahead
2026-08-2779.1873.41+1.12HD ahead
2026-08-2680.6974.69+1.14HD ahead
2026-08-2581.4276.20+0.97HD ahead
2026-08-2481.3177.04+0.76HD ahead
2026-08-2180.8776.73+0.74HD ahead
2026-08-2080.6077.17+0.59HD ahead
2026-08-1982.9678.11+0.86HD ahead
2026-08-1881.3276.57+0.86HD ahead
2026-08-1781.4276.63+0.87HD ahead
2026-08-1481.6577.57+0.71HD ahead
2026-08-1382.3477.48+0.86HD ahead
2026-08-1282.7576.68+1.11HD ahead
2026-08-1185.4278.56+1.23HD ahead
2026-08-1084.5377.72+1.23HD ahead
2026-08-0785.6979.30+1.13HD ahead
2026-08-0684.2277.55+1.21HD ahead
2026-08-0585.0978.09+1.26HD ahead
2026-08-0483.9177.43+1.16HD ahead
2026-08-0381.9375.29+1.22HD ahead
2026-07-3179.9973.79+1.16HD ahead
2026-07-3080.3374.59+1.05HD ahead
2026-07-2981.5176.58+0.85HD ahead
2026-07-2883.0077.49+0.95HD ahead
2026-07-2780.9975.11+1.05HD ahead
2026-07-2480.2473.73+1.19HD ahead
2026-07-2378.2471.69+1.23HD ahead
2026-07-2279.8772.56+1.36HD ahead
2026-07-2179.9072.26+1.44HD ahead
2026-07-2080.2572.68+1.41HD ahead
2026-07-1781.6674.11+1.37HD ahead
2026-07-1683.8676.75+1.24HD ahead
2026-07-1582.2774.44+1.41HD ahead
2026-07-1481.3873.74+1.39HD ahead
2026-07-1381.2373.75+1.35HD ahead
2026-07-1082.7275.14+1.34HD ahead
2026-07-0981.6275.63+1.03HD ahead
2026-07-0881.0175.58+0.92HD ahead
2026-07-0783.1878.43+0.75HD ahead
2026-07-0684.4979.46+0.78HD ahead
2026-07-0286.2480.78+0.84HD ahead
2026-07-0184.5478.80+0.91HD ahead
2026-06-3084.9878.29+1.09HD ahead
2026-06-2984.5377.99+1.06HD ahead
2026-06-2684.0678.99+0.77HD ahead
2026-06-2583.1378.80+0.64HD ahead
2026-06-2482.6278.63+0.57HD ahead
2026-06-2378.1875.82+0.28near the usual relationship
2026-06-2278.7076.13+0.31near the usual relationship
2026-06-1880.5578.90+0.12near the usual relationship
2026-06-1778.9177.14+0.14near the usual relationship
2026-06-1681.2379.54+0.11near the usual relationship
2026-06-1579.4778.18+0.04near the usual relationship
2026-06-1279.1378.39-0.07near the usual relationship
2026-06-1178.5678.49-0.20near the usual relationship
2026-06-1076.8576.76-0.20near the usual relationship
2026-06-0977.4377.18-0.17near the usual relationship
2026-06-0874.6373.84-0.07near the usual relationship
2026-06-0574.8974.83-0.22near the usual relationship
2026-06-0474.6973.69-0.04near the usual relationship
2026-06-0375.4173.73+0.09near the usual relationship
2026-06-0275.0773.37+0.08near the usual relationship
2026-06-0174.8773.75-0.03near the usual relationship
2026-05-2976.4276.11-0.20near the usual relationship
2026-05-2877.4077.38-0.25near the usual relationship
2026-05-2776.5976.99-0.34near the usual relationship
2026-05-2674.8375.30-0.36near the usual relationship
2026-05-2275.4476.35-0.44near the usual relationship
2026-05-2175.6177.19-0.57LOW ahead
2026-05-2074.8478.49-0.96LOW ahead
2026-05-1972.8877.54-1.17LOW ahead
2026-05-1872.2477.41-1.28LOW ahead
2026-05-1571.6977.55-1.43LOW ahead
2026-05-1473.3479.40-1.45LOW ahead
2026-05-1372.9078.27-1.35LOW ahead
2026-05-1274.8179.72-1.25LOW ahead
2026-05-1175.0480.27-1.31LOW ahead
2026-05-0876.4981.38-1.25LOW ahead
2026-05-0777.7481.98-1.13LOW ahead
2026-05-0677.8482.86-1.27LOW ahead
2026-05-0576.0079.97-1.12LOW ahead
2026-05-0475.2879.43-1.17LOW ahead
2026-05-0178.0482.85-1.26LOW ahead
2026-04-3079.2384.79-1.39LOW ahead
2026-04-2977.7982.91-1.35LOW ahead
2026-04-2879.2985.33-1.50LOW ahead
2026-04-2780.0786.12-1.50LOW ahead
2026-04-2480.9486.80-1.47LOW ahead
2026-04-2381.9787.54-1.43LOW ahead
2026-04-2281.8187.06-1.39LOW ahead
2026-04-2182.8789.19-1.57LOW ahead
2026-04-2084.5889.93-1.40LOW ahead
2026-04-1784.1989.38-1.39LOW ahead
2026-04-1681.2486.07-1.37LOW ahead
2026-04-1581.6786.63-1.40LOW ahead
2026-04-1482.5888.21-1.52LOW ahead
2026-04-1382.2187.73-1.52LOW ahead
2026-04-1081.2986.71-1.53LOW ahead
2026-04-0981.8387.99-1.67LOW ahead
2026-04-0881.0086.51-1.58LOW ahead
2026-04-0776.8182.24-1.63LOW ahead
2026-04-0678.7183.51-1.51LOW ahead
2026-04-0277.5082.03-1.48LOW ahead
2026-04-0179.4183.79-1.45LOW ahead
2026-03-3179.2583.89-1.51LOW ahead
2026-03-3077.9582.58-1.54LOW ahead
2026-03-2777.5181.77-1.49LOW ahead
2026-03-2679.1483.81-1.56LOW ahead
2026-03-2580.1283.86-1.39LOW ahead
2026-03-2479.7483.24-1.36LOW ahead
2026-03-2379.7383.17-1.36LOW ahead
2026-03-2077.2979.76-1.20LOW ahead
2026-03-1979.0981.56-1.20LOW ahead
2026-03-1879.7482.05-1.17LOW ahead
2026-03-1782.2785.11-1.27LOW ahead
2026-03-1682.5585.96-1.38LOW ahead
2026-03-1381.6984.36-1.26LOW ahead
2026-03-1281.6785.02-1.40LOW ahead
2026-03-1184.5487.66-1.35LOW ahead
2026-03-1086.0689.16-1.34LOW ahead
2026-03-0985.2088.84-1.46LOW ahead
2026-03-0686.2589.44-1.38LOW ahead
2026-03-0587.1590.44-1.41LOW ahead
2026-03-0488.9491.83-1.33LOW ahead
2026-03-0388.4191.50-1.38LOW ahead
2026-03-0289.3591.31-1.19LOW ahead
2026-02-2791.7493.94-1.23LOW ahead
2026-02-2690.3893.88-1.48LOW ahead
2026-02-2590.5093.39-1.38LOW ahead
2026-02-2492.6598.92-1.97LOW ahead
2026-02-2390.8497.42-2.07LOW ahead
2026-02-2092.1199.55-2.24LOW ahead
2026-02-1991.2298.77-2.30LOW ahead
2026-02-1892.41100.17-2.36LOW ahead
2026-02-1792.3099.83-2.35LOW ahead
2026-02-1394.23102.04-2.41LOW ahead
2026-02-1294.03101.38-2.37LOW ahead
2026-02-1194.14101.92-2.48LOW ahead
2026-02-1093.90101.08-2.42LOW ahead
2026-02-0991.8198.31-2.36LOW ahead
2026-02-0692.8198.84-2.29LOW ahead
2026-02-0592.1497.60-2.22LOW ahead
2026-02-0493.3097.94-2.08LOW ahead
2026-02-0391.8397.59-2.34LOW ahead
2026-02-0291.1195.53-2.11LOW ahead
2026-01-3090.2694.82-2.18LOW ahead
2026-01-2989.5994.67-2.33LOW ahead
2026-01-2890.4395.66-2.38LOW ahead
2026-01-2791.6597.27-2.49LOW ahead
2026-01-2693.1498.68-2.50LOW ahead
2026-01-2392.4798.26-2.60LOW ahead
2026-01-2291.8197.62-2.66LOW ahead
2026-01-2192.6898.39-2.68LOW ahead
2026-01-2090.3995.30-2.57LOW ahead
2026-01-1691.6198.55-3.08LOW ahead
2026-01-1591.3698.36-3.17LOW ahead
2026-01-1490.5997.62-3.27LOW ahead
2026-01-1391.5097.38-3.05LOW ahead
2026-01-1290.3596.18-3.13LOW ahead
2026-01-0990.2794.88-2.87LOW ahead
2026-01-0886.6490.97-2.91LOW ahead
2026-01-0784.1187.74-2.80LOW ahead
2026-01-0684.1787.52-2.77LOW ahead
2026-01-0582.9186.90-3.04LOW ahead
2026-01-0283.3387.66-3.21LOW ahead
2025-12-3182.9285.63-2.78LOW ahead
2025-12-3083.4686.34-2.88LOW ahead
2025-12-2983.7286.58-2.93LOW ahead
2025-12-2684.2886.81-2.88LOW ahead
2025-12-2483.7086.28-2.96LOW ahead
2025-12-2383.1385.98-3.13LOW ahead
2025-12-2283.4785.95-3.06LOW ahead
2025-12-1983.1385.37-3.05LOW ahead
2025-12-1885.5487.95-3.16LOW ahead
2025-12-1785.9688.04-3.11LOW ahead
2025-12-1684.9887.51-3.36LOW ahead
2025-12-1586.0288.33-3.36LOW ahead
2025-12-1286.6687.80-2.98LOW ahead
2025-12-1186.1388.08-3.37LOW ahead
2025-12-1084.6187.42-3.84LOW ahead
2025-12-0983.2086.16-4.06LOW ahead
2025-12-0884.3286.93-4.04LOW ahead
2025-12-0585.4588.22-4.24LOW ahead
2025-12-0484.6287.41-4.44LOW ahead
2025-12-0386.2487.68-3.93LOW ahead
2025-12-0285.3186.34-3.86LOW ahead
2025-12-0186.1087.48-4.17LOW ahead
2025-11-2886.0086.10-3.61LOW ahead
2025-11-2685.6685.79-3.74LOW ahead
2025-11-2584.6084.54-3.74LOW ahead
2025-11-2481.1081.22-3.92LOW ahead
2025-11-2182.7383.19-4.27LOW ahead
2025-11-2080.0981.11-4.75LOW ahead
2025-11-1980.6081.10-4.55LOW ahead
2025-11-1881.0877.96-2.14LOW ahead
2025-11-1786.2779.89-0.18near the usual relationship
2025-11-1487.3280.90-0.19near the usual relationship
2025-11-1388.6982.19-0.18near the usual relationship
2025-11-1289.4383.33-0.43near the usual relationship
2025-11-1190.1883.56-0.15near the usual relationship
2025-11-1089.2682.74-0.15near the usual relationship
2025-11-0789.4282.79-0.08near the usual relationship
2025-11-0688.9382.14+0.03near the usual relationship
2025-11-0590.0883.21+0.04near the usual relationship
2025-11-0492.3184.42+0.48near the usual relationship
2025-11-0391.1783.67+0.34near the usual relationship
2025-10-3191.4784.55+0.04near the usual relationship
2025-10-3091.4685.15-0.25near the usual relationship
2025-10-2991.0984.68-0.17near the usual relationship
2025-10-2892.9586.66-0.28near the usual relationship
2025-10-2792.8486.51-0.24near the usual relationship
2025-10-2493.1886.18+0.07near the usual relationship
2025-10-2392.7886.59-0.27near the usual relationship
2025-10-2293.7386.47+0.18near the usual relationship
2025-10-2194.1987.09+0.11near the usual relationship
2025-10-2093.7186.02+0.38near the usual relationship
2025-10-1794.4386.88+0.31near the usual relationship
2025-10-1693.3586.32+0.13near the usual relationship
2025-10-1593.5785.76+0.45near the usual relationship
2025-10-1493.4385.48+0.52HD ahead
2025-10-1391.4183.26+0.69HD ahead
2025-10-1090.5482.45+0.70HD ahead
2025-10-0991.0183.32+0.52HD ahead
2025-10-0892.4884.36+0.65HD ahead
2025-10-0793.2185.18+0.60HD ahead
2025-10-0693.8185.81+0.57HD ahead
2025-10-0395.2087.47+0.42near the usual relationship
2025-10-0295.1887.82+0.29near the usual relationship
2025-10-0195.6788.05+0.38near the usual relationship
2025-09-3097.6489.23+0.62HD ahead
2025-09-2998.0289.94+0.49near the usual relationship
2025-09-2698.8291.29+0.27near the usual relationship
2025-09-2598.1890.73+0.27near the usual relationship
2025-09-2498.7491.37+0.23near the usual relationship
2025-09-2399.0192.25+0.02near the usual relationship
2025-09-2299.2892.45+0.04near the usual relationship
2025-09-19100.1794.16-0.25near the usual relationship
2025-09-18100.6095.00-0.39near the usual relationship
2025-09-17100.4895.14-0.46near the usual relationship
2025-09-16101.5596.05-0.42near the usual relationship
2025-09-15101.8696.61-0.50LOW ahead
2025-09-12101.8596.52-0.46near the usual relationship
2025-09-11102.0396.72-0.47near the usual relationship
2025-09-1099.5794.64-0.54LOW ahead
2025-09-09100.0895.52-0.66LOW ahead
2025-09-08101.1996.94-0.76LOW ahead
2025-09-05100.9595.86-0.49near the usual relationship
2025-09-0499.2093.94-0.40near the usual relationship
2025-09-0398.2492.56-0.24near the usual relationship
2025-09-0297.9191.87-0.11near the usual relationship
2025-08-2998.0291.63+0.00near the usual relationship
2025-08-2898.1891.44+0.12near the usual relationship
2025-08-2798.3791.84+0.05near the usual relationship
2025-08-2698.2091.72+0.04near the usual relationship
2025-08-2598.5391.92+0.08near the usual relationship
2025-08-2299.4793.64-0.18near the usual relationship
2025-08-2195.8390.77-0.35near the usual relationship
2025-08-2096.8091.30-0.22near the usual relationship
2025-08-1998.1291.02+0.26near the usual relationship
2025-08-1895.1189.08-0.01near the usual relationship
2025-08-1596.2489.50+0.20near the usual relationship
2025-08-1496.4689.85+0.16near the usual relationship
2025-08-1398.1291.01+0.28near the usual relationship
2025-08-1295.4286.94+0.79HD ahead
2025-08-1193.3885.16+0.77HD ahead
2025-08-0893.4685.62+0.65HD ahead
2025-08-0793.0584.70+0.84HD ahead
2025-08-0693.2084.61+0.92HD ahead
2025-08-0592.8784.31+0.92HD ahead
2025-08-0491.7683.02+1.03HD ahead
2025-08-0190.0480.39+1.40HD ahead
2025-07-3188.5679.38+1.30HD ahead
2025-07-3089.6680.75+1.18HD ahead
2025-07-2990.9381.68+1.26HD ahead
2025-07-2890.9081.66+1.27HD ahead
2025-07-2590.4480.53+1.53HD ahead
2025-07-2489.9080.09+1.53HD ahead
2025-07-2390.6981.17+1.41HD ahead
2025-07-2289.4080.54+1.24HD ahead
2025-07-2187.7278.44+1.46HD ahead
2025-07-1886.6077.82+1.34HD ahead
2025-07-1786.5277.61+1.40HD ahead
2025-07-1686.1276.91+1.54HD ahead
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2025-07-1489.1878.97+1.82HD ahead
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2025-07-0888.5579.42+1.50HD ahead
2025-07-0788.5979.89+1.35HD ahead
2025-07-0389.5681.06+1.25HD ahead
2025-07-0289.6080.58+1.45HD ahead
2025-07-0189.9281.18+1.35HD ahead
2025-06-3088.3578.78+1.73HD ahead
2025-06-2788.8579.40+1.68HD ahead
2025-06-2687.5978.55+1.59HD ahead
2025-06-2587.2078.36+1.54HD ahead
2025-06-2486.8578.11+1.53HD ahead
2025-06-2386.0177.61+1.45HD ahead
2025-06-2084.2575.54+1.65HD ahead
2025-06-1883.6274.86+1.72HD ahead
2025-06-1784.0475.24+1.73HD ahead
2025-06-1685.2076.72+1.57HD ahead
2025-06-1385.4677.14+1.51HD ahead
2025-06-1287.5179.36+1.38HD ahead
2025-06-1186.8678.68+1.43HD ahead
2025-06-1088.6579.85+1.62HD ahead
2025-06-0988.0079.40+1.58HD ahead
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2025-06-0489.7381.09+1.57HD ahead
2025-06-0389.9081.24+1.59HD ahead
2025-06-0288.6780.07+1.63HD ahead
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2025-05-2387.4078.49+1.90HD ahead
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2025-05-2189.3680.73+1.74HD ahead
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2025-05-1991.4283.24+1.51HD ahead
2025-05-1691.7583.17+1.67HD ahead
2025-05-1591.2482.53+1.75HD ahead
2025-05-1489.8381.14+1.82HD ahead
2025-05-1390.0281.94+1.58HD ahead
2025-05-1290.7482.65+1.56HD ahead
2025-05-0987.4078.92+1.87HD ahead
2025-05-0887.9279.70+1.75HD ahead
2025-05-0787.4179.36+1.72HD ahead
2025-05-0686.6079.18+1.49HD ahead
2025-05-0587.1679.96+1.40HD ahead
2025-05-0287.8480.67+1.37HD ahead
2025-05-0186.3478.94+1.52HD ahead
2025-04-3086.8779.38+1.55HD ahead
2025-04-2986.5179.27+1.47HD ahead
2025-04-2886.0078.52+1.60HD ahead
2025-04-2586.1678.44+1.71HD ahead
2025-04-2486.6678.84+1.74HD ahead
2025-04-2385.8877.32+2.10HD ahead
2025-04-2285.4077.78+1.74HD ahead
2025-04-2183.5975.55+2.01HD ahead
2025-04-1785.5677.76+1.84HD ahead
2025-04-1683.3776.13+1.70HD ahead
2025-04-1585.3378.29+1.56HD ahead
2025-04-1486.0779.58+1.32HD ahead
2025-04-1185.2778.24+1.58HD ahead
2025-04-1085.2178.54+1.45HD ahead
2025-04-0985.6479.25+1.33HD ahead
2025-04-0880.7875.16+1.16HD ahead
2025-04-0782.2977.03+0.96HD ahead
2025-04-0485.2879.28+1.20HD ahead
2025-04-0385.7679.01+1.52HD ahead
2025-04-0289.3783.54+1.04HD ahead
2025-04-0188.0883.09+0.74HD ahead
2025-03-3188.3182.81+0.95HD ahead
2025-03-2886.3081.10+0.88HD ahead
2025-03-2787.4082.44+0.76HD ahead
2025-03-2687.2682.39+0.73HD ahead
2025-03-2586.9981.91+0.83HD ahead
2025-03-2487.6682.69+0.77HD ahead
2025-03-2184.6180.62+0.44near the usual relationship
2025-03-2085.6780.34+0.98HD ahead
2025-03-1985.1680.07+0.90HD ahead
2025-03-1884.2379.16+0.92HD ahead
2025-03-1785.3380.19+0.92HD ahead
2025-03-1484.6579.69+0.87HD ahead
2025-03-1383.6779.06+0.74HD ahead
2025-03-1287.8981.07+1.57HD ahead
2025-03-1188.7182.61+1.25HD ahead
2025-03-1090.2886.06+0.45near the usual relationship
2025-03-0790.8086.16+0.60HD ahead
2025-03-0691.9886.46+0.93HD ahead
2025-03-0593.1086.27+1.42HD ahead
2025-03-0491.9785.16+1.44HD ahead
2025-03-0393.9087.40+1.27HD ahead
2025-02-2895.5788.28+1.52HD ahead
2025-02-2794.0487.17+1.40HD ahead
2025-02-2694.0987.73+1.20HD ahead
2025-02-2594.7786.06+2.10HD ahead
2025-02-2492.1584.18+1.91HD ahead
2025-02-2192.8484.92+1.86HD ahead
2025-02-2095.0987.49+1.66HD ahead
2025-02-1995.2887.59+1.70HD ahead
2025-02-1897.1889.02+1.83HD ahead
2025-02-1498.6789.40+2.23HD ahead
2025-02-1399.3889.71+2.37HD ahead
2025-02-1298.1188.86+2.25HD ahead
2025-02-11100.3391.26+2.09HD ahead
2025-02-1099.7691.05+1.96HD ahead
2025-02-0798.1689.45+2.01HD ahead
2025-02-0699.8091.23+1.89HD ahead
2025-02-0599.7291.77+1.65HD ahead
2025-02-0499.1591.33+1.61HD ahead
2025-02-0398.5091.07+1.46HD ahead
2025-01-3199.2792.33+1.24HD ahead
2025-01-3099.8893.74+0.91HD ahead
2025-01-2999.6292.93+1.09HD ahead
2025-01-28100.9293.88+1.16HD ahead
2025-01-27102.3895.31+1.12HD ahead
2025-01-2499.8893.10+1.07HD ahead
2025-01-2399.8592.79+1.16HD ahead
2025-01-2298.8291.61+1.22HD ahead
2025-01-21100.8393.86+1.08HD ahead
2025-01-1798.6592.69+0.78HD ahead
2025-01-1698.6391.88+1.03HD ahead
2025-01-1597.8591.15+1.03HD ahead
2025-01-1494.6589.19+0.67HD ahead
2025-01-1393.7888.29+0.69HD ahead
2025-01-1093.9588.02+0.83HD ahead
2025-01-0893.3087.66+0.75HD ahead
2025-01-0792.5987.55+0.55HD ahead
2025-01-0693.8288.67+0.56HD ahead
2025-01-0393.7888.23+0.69HD ahead
2025-01-0293.6087.69+0.81HD ahead
2024-12-3193.7387.63+0.88HD ahead
2024-12-3093.8487.60+0.92HD ahead
2024-12-2794.6788.18+0.99HD ahead
2024-12-2695.2188.56+1.03HD ahead
2024-12-2495.4688.84+1.02HD ahead
2024-12-2394.5787.83+1.08HD ahead
2024-12-2094.6087.96+1.06HD ahead
2024-12-1992.7886.82+0.86HD ahead
2024-12-1894.9088.70+0.90HD ahead
2024-12-1798.4391.52+1.06HD ahead
2024-12-1698.9792.35+0.95HD ahead
2024-12-13100.4893.17+1.14HD ahead
2024-12-1299.8693.56+0.83HD ahead
2024-12-11101.5495.12+0.83HD ahead
2024-12-10101.8395.91+0.67HD ahead
2024-12-09103.4297.34+0.69HD ahead
2024-12-06103.9497.08+0.92HD ahead
2024-12-05102.7895.89+0.95HD ahead
2024-12-04103.1196.67+0.81HD ahead
2024-12-03103.4697.43+0.68HD ahead
2024-12-02102.8896.59+0.77HD ahead
2024-11-29103.4096.73+0.88HD ahead
2024-11-27102.9497.00+0.66HD ahead
2024-11-26103.5097.45+0.68HD ahead
2024-11-25103.2997.76+0.53HD ahead
2024-11-22101.2093.98+1.10HD ahead
2024-11-2198.9094.17+0.36near the usual relationship
2024-11-2096.3993.39-0.16near the usual relationship
2024-11-1998.0292.05+0.77HD ahead
2024-11-1898.9096.50-0.36near the usual relationship
2024-11-1598.3695.65-0.27near the usual relationship
2024-11-1497.7695.99-0.55LOW ahead
2024-11-1398.8496.69-0.44near the usual relationship
2024-11-1297.1395.83-0.69LOW ahead
2024-11-1198.3897.47-0.82LOW ahead
2024-11-0897.8196.26-0.62LOW ahead
2024-11-0796.2594.55-0.57LOW ahead
2024-11-0693.5892.93-0.89LOW ahead
2024-11-0596.4195.58-0.85LOW ahead
2024-11-0495.3294.08-0.72LOW ahead
2024-11-0194.6093.01-0.60LOW ahead
2024-10-3194.8892.97-0.50LOW ahead
2024-10-3094.5892.81-0.54LOW ahead
2024-10-2995.2093.37-0.53LOW ahead
2024-10-2897.0895.15-0.51LOW ahead
2024-10-2596.1295.03-0.77LOW ahead
2024-10-2497.0396.35-0.90LOW ahead
2024-10-2396.3095.91-1.00LOW ahead
2024-10-2296.8396.66-1.07LOW ahead
2024-10-2197.9398.30-1.24LOW ahead
2024-10-18100.00100.00-1.13LOW ahead

One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Nov 19, 2024 (HD -0.9%, LOW -4.6%); Nov 20, 2024 (HD -1.7%, LOW +1.4%); Nov 18, 2025 (HD -6.0%, LOW -2.4%); Nov 19, 2025 (HD -0.6%, LOW +4.0%); Feb 25, 2026 (HD -2.3%, LOW -5.6%).

Paired trades

The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart

Forward paper record

No paper position on this pair yet.

Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)

1 simulated trade to Oct 20, 2026: -6.22% per trade on average after costs, 0 won.

LegsEnteredExitedWhyDaysBefore costsCosts + borrowAfter costs
Long HD · Short LOWJan 14, 2022Feb 23, 2022divergence stop40-$600.26-$27.69-$622.12 (-6.22%)

Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.

The companies

HD and LOW at a glance

HD The Home Depot Inc.

Listing
NYSE · SEC CIK 354950
Industry
RETAIL: Building Materials · SIC 5211 Retail-Lumber & Other Building Materials Dealers
Market value
$309.2B
Price history
2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026

LOW Lowe's Companies Inc.

Listing
NYSE · SEC CIK 60667
Industry
RETAIL: Building Materials · SIC 5211 Retail-Lumber & Other Building Materials Dealers
Market value
$109.9B
Price history
2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026

Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.

Related
All pairs →
PairStatusAhead nowIndustry
LOW / SHWWatchlistSHW by 1.60 sdRETAIL: Building Materials
HD / SHWWatchlistSHW by 1.29 sdRETAIL: Building Materials

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Explore the private beta

Paper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.