Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)

Teck Resources Ltd vs Vulcan Materials Company (Holding Company)

WatchlistTECK / VMCPrices through Oct 22, 2026

Why these are rivals: #2 and #3 by market value ($33B vs $31B) in Nasdaq's "Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)" industry; SEC SIC 1400 / 1400 (same major group); #2 and #3 by market value ($33B vs $31B) with SEC SIC 1400 (Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)).

Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.

Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.23 (needs >= 0.60)
Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.53 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))

Business leadership

Business size

Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.

Year	TECK	VMC	Larger
2025	-	$7.9B	-
2024	-	$7.4B	-
2023	-	$7.8B	-
2022	-	$7.3B	-
2021	-	$5.6B	-
2020	-	$4.9B	-

Market value: TECK $31.1B, VMC $33.4B.

Stock leadership

TECK is ahead now

Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.

TECK leads VMC by 0.51 standard deviations: +10.7% over its usual price ratio. 1 lead switch in the last year.

Price change	3 mo	6 mo	12 mo
TECK	-2.1%	-3.0%	+37.5%
VMC	-3.9%	-8.2%	-9.7%

Relationship

Not a measured twin today

Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.

Pass: Aligned sessions: 2521 (needs >= 254)
Fail: Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.23 (needs >= 0.60)
Fail: Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.53 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Pass: Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 44.51 (needs <= 63)
Data: Both stocks current

The twins over two years

Prices side by side, and the gap between them

TECK Teck Resources Ltd VMC Vulcan Materials Company (Holding Company)Price index, 100 = 2024-10-18. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).

Spread z-score: TECK relative to VMC, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: TECK ahead; below 0: VMC ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).

Data table (504 sessions)

Date	TECK index	VMC index	z	Ahead
2026-10-22	116.77	102.67	+0.51	TECK ahead
2026-10-21	124.46	101.12	+0.92	TECK ahead
2026-10-20	127.54	100.08	+1.11	TECK ahead
2026-10-19	125.85	98.37	+1.14	TECK ahead
2026-10-16	128.11	98.44	+1.23	TECK ahead
2026-10-15	130.33	96.44	+1.43	TECK ahead
2026-10-14	128.47	92.38	+1.59	TECK ahead
2026-10-13	133.17	93.05	+1.75	TECK ahead
2026-10-12	133.90	93.67	+1.76	TECK ahead
2026-10-09	134.91	93.45	+1.82	TECK ahead
2026-10-08	128.51	94.09	+1.55	TECK ahead
2026-10-07	129.64	93.28	+1.66	TECK ahead
2026-10-06	133.03	95.08	+1.70	TECK ahead
2026-10-05	134.56	93.83	+1.85	TECK ahead
2026-10-02	135.92	92.87	+1.97	TECK ahead
2026-10-01	129.30	93.22	+1.71	TECK ahead
2026-09-30	130.43	93.47	+1.76	TECK ahead
2026-09-29	128.57	92.75	+1.74	TECK ahead
2026-09-28	129.18	94.05	+1.71	TECK ahead
2026-09-25	130.95	93.61	+1.81	TECK ahead
2026-09-24	131.86	92.35	+1.93	TECK ahead
2026-09-23	132.43	93.38	+1.92	TECK ahead
2026-09-22	136.56	94.71	+2.02	TECK ahead
2026-09-21	132.36	94.07	+1.91	TECK ahead
2026-09-18	129.90	92.02	+1.94	TECK ahead
2026-09-17	129.30	93.42	+1.86	TECK ahead
2026-09-16	127.38	93.34	+1.80	TECK ahead
2026-09-15	128.17	95.22	+1.75	TECK ahead
2026-09-14	131.34	95.73	+1.87	TECK ahead
2026-09-11	131.72	96.57	+1.85	TECK ahead
2026-09-10	130.65	95.75	+1.87	TECK ahead
2026-09-09	139.45	95.48	+2.24	TECK ahead
2026-09-08	142.68	98.69	+2.21	TECK ahead
2026-09-04	136.99	100.35	+1.92	TECK ahead
2026-09-03	136.44	99.43	+1.95	TECK ahead
2026-09-02	132.97	100.84	+1.76	TECK ahead
2026-09-01	132.41	99.22	+1.83	TECK ahead
2026-08-31	135.05	103.00	+1.75	TECK ahead
2026-08-28	137.47	104.89	+1.75	TECK ahead
2026-08-27	139.85	104.63	+1.86	TECK ahead
2026-08-26	141.00	104.59	+1.92	TECK ahead
2026-08-25	141.99	104.73	+1.96	TECK ahead
2026-08-24	139.18	105.43	+1.83	TECK ahead
2026-08-21	137.19	105.47	+1.77	TECK ahead
2026-08-20	131.17	103.42	+1.65	TECK ahead
2026-08-19	130.75	105.57	+1.53	TECK ahead
2026-08-18	126.70	103.79	+1.47	TECK ahead
2026-08-17	128.55	106.28	+1.43	TECK ahead
2026-08-14	125.95	107.75	+1.27	TECK ahead
2026-08-13	126.41	106.04	+1.37	TECK ahead
2026-08-12	130.75	107.13	+1.49	TECK ahead
2026-08-11	131.13	109.96	+1.39	TECK ahead
2026-08-10	132.57	109.02	+1.49	TECK ahead
2026-08-07	131.78	108.78	+1.49	TECK ahead
2026-08-06	131.09	107.61	+1.52	TECK ahead
2026-08-05	130.95	109.57	+1.44	TECK ahead
2026-08-04	128.35	108.93	+1.38	TECK ahead
2026-08-03	119.35	108.36	+1.07	TECK ahead
2026-07-31	119.43	102.62	+1.34	TECK ahead
2026-07-30	123.89	103.64	+1.48	TECK ahead
2026-07-29	113.96	108.48	+0.88	TECK ahead
2026-07-28	116.24	110.20	+0.90	TECK ahead
2026-07-27	118.46	108.70	+1.06	TECK ahead
2026-07-24	119.33	106.87	+1.19	TECK ahead
2026-07-23	118.66	105.05	+1.25	TECK ahead
2026-07-22	113.42	106.16	+1.00	TECK ahead
2026-07-21	112.67	105.74	+0.99	TECK ahead
2026-07-20	108.05	107.22	+0.74	TECK ahead
2026-07-17	109.14	110.17	+0.66	TECK ahead
2026-07-16	110.61	112.13	+0.65	TECK ahead
2026-07-15	114.89	110.47	+0.90	TECK ahead
2026-07-14	119.13	111.53	+1.04	TECK ahead
2026-07-13	115.92	111.87	+0.90	TECK ahead
2026-07-10	118.60	112.81	+0.98	TECK ahead
2026-07-09	117.43	110.32	+1.04	TECK ahead
2026-07-08	111.28	109.50	+0.83	TECK ahead
2026-07-07	115.72	114.59	+0.81	TECK ahead
2026-07-06	121.83	116.48	+0.98	TECK ahead
2026-07-02	118.97	115.85	+0.90	TECK ahead
2026-07-01	117.66	112.73	+0.98	TECK ahead
2026-06-30	117.88	112.72	+1.00	TECK ahead
2026-06-29	115.36	116.09	+0.76	TECK ahead
2026-06-26	115.42	118.96	+0.65	TECK ahead
2026-06-25	116.97	119.58	+0.69	TECK ahead
2026-06-24	114.39	117.41	+0.68	TECK ahead
2026-06-23	118.20	114.28	+0.97	TECK ahead
2026-06-22	125.97	116.30	+1.20	TECK ahead
2026-06-18	127.60	115.71	+1.30	TECK ahead
2026-06-17	130.37	112.65	+1.54	TECK ahead
2026-06-16	132.81	114.94	+1.55	TECK ahead
2026-06-15	131.17	111.95	+1.63	TECK ahead
2026-06-12	128.55	109.46	+1.66	TECK ahead
2026-06-11	126.09	107.06	+1.69	TECK ahead
2026-06-10	118.77	104.18	+1.55	TECK ahead
2026-06-09	122.72	106.60	+1.61	TECK ahead
2026-06-08	123.10	103.16	+1.81	TECK ahead
2026-06-05	122.26	107.51	+1.58	TECK ahead
2026-06-04	133.39	108.15	+2.01	TECK ahead
2026-06-03	133.29	109.01	+1.99	TECK ahead
2026-06-02	139.89	107.69	+2.34	TECK ahead
2026-06-01	134.52	107.58	+2.17	TECK ahead
2026-05-29	131.17	108.10	+2.04	TECK ahead
2026-05-28	131.03	105.74	+2.18	TECK ahead
2026-05-27	129.34	105.32	+2.16	TECK ahead
2026-05-26	129.28	102.76	+2.32	TECK ahead
2026-05-22	124.23	99.59	+2.31	TECK ahead
2026-05-21	124.90	100.14	+2.34	TECK ahead
2026-05-20	121.37	100.59	+2.19	TECK ahead
2026-05-19	117.72	99.14	+2.13	TECK ahead
2026-05-18	119.43	101.76	+2.09	TECK ahead
2026-05-15	121.63	102.33	+2.19	TECK ahead
2026-05-14	129.66	105.11	+2.44	TECK ahead
2026-05-13	132.51	104.90	+2.62	TECK ahead
2026-05-12	130.79	106.73	+2.48	TECK ahead
2026-05-11	129.44	108.02	+2.39	TECK ahead
2026-05-08	128.61	108.41	+2.37	TECK ahead
2026-05-07	120.46	110.40	+1.89	TECK ahead
2026-05-06	122.94	112.99	+1.90	TECK ahead
2026-05-05	114.59	111.38	+1.58	TECK ahead
2026-05-04	112.55	109.93	+1.56	TECK ahead
2026-05-01	114.89	113.60	+1.50	TECK ahead
2026-04-30	115.84	115.29	+1.48	TECK ahead
2026-04-29	111.50	113.13	+1.37	TECK ahead
2026-04-28	114.61	111.36	+1.65	TECK ahead
2026-04-27	119.39	111.31	+1.93	TECK ahead
2026-04-24	119.29	111.60	+1.93	TECK ahead
2026-04-23	120.44	111.84	+2.00	TECK ahead
2026-04-22	117.49	110.85	+1.92	TECK ahead
2026-04-21	112.43	111.08	+1.65	TECK ahead
2026-04-20	117.23	112.63	+1.84	TECK ahead
2026-04-17	117.72	111.46	+1.96	TECK ahead
2026-04-16	114.71	109.19	+1.95	TECK ahead
2026-04-15	115.54	111.28	+1.90	TECK ahead
2026-04-14	116.75	113.43	+1.86	TECK ahead
2026-04-13	113.80	113.54	+1.71	TECK ahead
2026-04-10	112.03	112.90	+1.66	TECK ahead
2026-04-09	108.37	111.96	+1.51	TECK ahead
2026-04-08	110.41	111.79	+1.66	TECK ahead
2026-04-07	104.16	106.16	+1.63	TECK ahead
2026-04-06	104.80	107.61	+1.59	TECK ahead
2026-04-02	104.74	106.94	+1.64	TECK ahead
2026-04-01	105.43	107.03	+1.69	TECK ahead
2026-03-31	102.60	104.04	+1.72	TECK ahead
2026-03-30	95.80	101.99	+1.39	TECK ahead
2026-03-27	96.23	99.90	+1.57	TECK ahead
2026-03-26	96.29	101.84	+1.45	TECK ahead
2026-03-25	99.84	102.98	+1.62	TECK ahead
2026-03-24	96.27	101.90	+1.45	TECK ahead
2026-03-23	95.60	100.78	+1.48	TECK ahead
2026-03-20	89.93	98.73	+1.20	TECK ahead
2026-03-19	93.89	98.20	+1.53	TECK ahead
2026-03-18	96.93	98.53	+1.73	TECK ahead
2026-03-17	99.05	101.43	+1.69	TECK ahead
2026-03-16	99.33	101.62	+1.70	TECK ahead
2026-03-13	98.20	101.41	+1.64	TECK ahead
2026-03-12	102.84	100.80	+2.02	TECK ahead
2026-03-11	105.61	101.86	+2.15	TECK ahead
2026-03-10	104.02	103.93	+1.91	TECK ahead
2026-03-09	101.01	104.82	+1.65	TECK ahead
2026-03-06	100.20	105.07	+1.58	TECK ahead
2026-03-05	106.01	109.75	+1.68	TECK ahead
2026-03-04	110.03	113.09	+1.74	TECK ahead
2026-03-03	109.95	114.63	+1.65	TECK ahead
2026-03-02	113.38	117.00	+1.74	TECK ahead
2026-02-27	116.75	118.45	+1.88	TECK ahead
2026-02-26	120.92	118.06	+2.18	TECK ahead
2026-02-25	121.79	116.74	+2.34	TECK ahead
2026-02-24	118.58	121.46	+1.87	TECK ahead
2026-02-23	117.21	118.75	+1.96	TECK ahead
2026-02-20	117.76	116.65	+2.15	TECK ahead
2026-02-19	117.55	115.72	+2.23	TECK ahead
2026-02-18	117.68	114.38	+2.35	TECK ahead
2026-02-17	114.75	115.47	+2.11	TECK ahead
2026-02-13	116.79	125.19	+1.63	TECK ahead
2026-02-12	116.12	123.00	+1.73	TECK ahead
2026-02-11	119.71	122.18	+2.04	TECK ahead
2026-02-10	115.66	126.23	+1.53	TECK ahead
2026-02-09	114.69	125.06	+1.54	TECK ahead
2026-02-06	109.06	123.69	+1.24	TECK ahead
2026-02-05	106.03	118.74	+1.35	TECK ahead
2026-02-04	110.82	119.02	+1.70	TECK ahead
2026-02-03	117.45	118.83	+2.20	TECK ahead
2026-02-02	108.17	116.89	+1.68	TECK ahead
2026-01-30	106.58	114.83	+1.72	TECK ahead
2026-01-29	115.60	114.42	+2.45	TECK ahead
2026-01-28	112.71	114.52	+2.26	TECK ahead
2026-01-27	111.90	114.12	+2.26	TECK ahead
2026-01-26	108.54	114.78	+1.97	TECK ahead
2026-01-23	105.10	114.65	+1.72	TECK ahead
2026-01-22	101.59	115.88	+1.35	TECK ahead
2026-01-21	105.08	114.25	+1.77	TECK ahead
2026-01-20	99.54	113.16	+1.39	TECK ahead
2026-01-16	100.20	116.91	+1.17	TECK ahead
2026-01-15	103.63	115.28	+1.59	TECK ahead
2026-01-14	103.45	114.05	+1.67	TECK ahead
2026-01-13	98.71	118.84	+0.91	TECK ahead
2026-01-12	100.24	118.30	+1.08	TECK ahead
2026-01-09	98.31	119.07	+0.86	TECK ahead
2026-01-08	97.94	114.29	+1.18	TECK ahead
2026-01-07	98.57	111.62	+1.44	TECK ahead
2026-01-06	101.78	114.57	+1.50	TECK ahead
2026-01-05	99.13	113.35	+1.37	TECK ahead
2026-01-02	95.22	111.82	+1.14	TECK ahead
2025-12-31	94.94	108.98	+1.35	TECK ahead
2025-12-30	95.10	110.38	+1.26	TECK ahead
2025-12-29	94.63	111.58	+1.12	TECK ahead
2025-12-26	94.85	112.41	+1.08	TECK ahead
2025-12-24	92.29	112.20	+0.86	TECK ahead
2025-12-23	92.68	111.89	+0.92	TECK ahead
2025-12-22	89.55	111.52	+0.65	TECK ahead
2025-12-19	88.70	111.52	+0.56	TECK ahead
2025-12-18	89.69	110.17	+0.77	TECK ahead
2025-12-17	87.73	109.05	+0.66	TECK ahead
2025-12-16	85.59	111.57	+0.24	near the usual relationship
2025-12-15	85.37	113.36	+0.07	near the usual relationship
2025-12-12	85.61	113.08	+0.12	near the usual relationship
2025-12-11	89.29	114.35	+0.38	near the usual relationship
2025-12-10	86.72	113.39	+0.20	near the usual relationship
2025-12-09	88.68	111.20	+0.56	TECK ahead
2025-12-08	87.89	113.01	+0.34	near the usual relationship
2025-12-05	89.35	112.67	+0.51	TECK ahead
2025-12-04	88.98	112.20	+0.50	TECK ahead
2025-12-03	88.12	111.80	+0.45	near the usual relationship
2025-12-02	85.71	110.74	+0.29	near the usual relationship
2025-12-01	85.84	111.51	+0.24	near the usual relationship
2025-11-28	85.03	113.57	-0.01	near the usual relationship
2025-11-26	84.42	112.75	-0.01	near the usual relationship
2025-11-25	83.74	111.84	-0.02	near the usual relationship
2025-11-24	81.48	109.73	-0.09	near the usual relationship
2025-11-21	79.06	109.98	-0.37	near the usual relationship
2025-11-20	75.79	109.27	-0.68	VMC ahead
2025-11-19	79.46	108.60	-0.23	near the usual relationship
2025-11-18	77.48	107.70	-0.38	near the usual relationship
2025-11-17	80.10	107.02	-0.05	near the usual relationship
2025-11-14	81.50	107.21	+0.08	near the usual relationship
2025-11-13	83.03	108.55	+0.13	near the usual relationship
2025-11-12	86.70	112.75	+0.17	near the usual relationship
2025-11-11	85.11	112.75	+0.01	near the usual relationship
2025-11-10	83.94	111.89	-0.05	near the usual relationship
2025-11-07	81.46	109.77	-0.15	near the usual relationship
2025-11-06	82.18	109.39	-0.05	near the usual relationship
2025-11-05	82.69	108.93	+0.03	near the usual relationship
2025-11-04	81.48	111.67	-0.30	near the usual relationship
2025-11-03	84.64	110.25	+0.11	near the usual relationship
2025-10-31	85.09	110.61	+0.12	near the usual relationship
2025-10-30	85.41	110.81	+0.13	near the usual relationship
2025-10-29	87.11	112.70	+0.14	near the usual relationship
2025-10-28	85.65	111.80	+0.06	near the usual relationship
2025-10-27	82.87	111.57	-0.19	near the usual relationship
2025-10-24	84.28	111.85	-0.09	near the usual relationship
2025-10-23	84.22	111.59	-0.08	near the usual relationship
2025-10-22	83.60	112.21	-0.19	near the usual relationship
2025-10-21	84.93	113.70	-0.18	near the usual relationship
2025-10-20	87.81	112.90	+0.12	near the usual relationship
2025-10-17	85.94	112.85	-0.05	near the usual relationship
2025-10-16	87.83	113.19	+0.08	near the usual relationship
2025-10-15	86.86	115.81	-0.18	near the usual relationship
2025-10-14	85.73	118.09	-0.42	near the usual relationship
2025-10-13	88.36	115.68	-0.06	near the usual relationship
2025-10-10	82.99	115.17	-0.48	near the usual relationship
2025-10-09	86.99	115.73	-0.19	near the usual relationship
2025-10-08	85.27	116.32	-0.38	near the usual relationship
2025-10-07	84.06	114.97	-0.40	near the usual relationship
2025-10-06	85.33	116.41	-0.39	near the usual relationship
2025-10-03	85.71	116.42	-0.37	near the usual relationship
2025-10-02	86.00	115.91	-0.32	near the usual relationship
2025-10-01	87.47	115.25	-0.18	near the usual relationship
2025-09-30	87.01	117.54	-0.35	near the usual relationship
2025-09-29	87.43	115.78	-0.23	near the usual relationship
2025-09-26	82.16	114.36	-0.56	VMC ahead
2025-09-25	79.24	112.62	-0.69	VMC ahead
2025-09-24	79.32	112.26	-0.67	VMC ahead
2025-09-23	76.57	113.71	-0.99	VMC ahead
2025-09-22	76.82	114.20	-1.00	VMC ahead
2025-09-19	77.80	113.78	-0.90	VMC ahead
2025-09-18	78.19	114.08	-0.90	VMC ahead
2025-09-17	78.63	111.67	-0.73	VMC ahead
2025-09-16	79.68	111.55	-0.65	VMC ahead
2025-09-15	83.15	112.35	-0.44	near the usual relationship
2025-09-12	83.05	112.69	-0.47	near the usual relationship
2025-09-11	82.59	115.26	-0.65	VMC ahead
2025-09-10	80.19	112.50	-0.68	VMC ahead
2025-09-09	77.46	111.74	-0.86	VMC ahead
2025-09-08	69.61	114.21	-1.67	VMC ahead
2025-09-05	68.02	112.64	-1.74	VMC ahead
2025-09-04	64.97	111.70	-1.99	VMC ahead
2025-09-03	66.87	110.06	-1.74	VMC ahead
2025-09-02	66.51	111.76	-1.88	VMC ahead
2025-08-29	67.78	111.25	-1.75	VMC ahead
2025-08-28	66.95	111.25	-1.85	VMC ahead
2025-08-27	65.29	111.24	-2.03	VMC ahead
2025-08-26	65.96	111.26	-1.98	VMC ahead
2025-08-25	66.04	110.92	-1.98	VMC ahead
2025-08-22	66.63	111.72	-1.99	VMC ahead
2025-08-21	62.97	110.15	-2.28	VMC ahead
2025-08-20	61.99	109.38	-2.37	VMC ahead
2025-08-19	62.25	111.89	-2.52	VMC ahead
2025-08-18	62.71	110.76	-2.45	VMC ahead
2025-08-15	63.92	111.42	-2.39	VMC ahead
2025-08-14	63.98	111.99	-2.46	VMC ahead
2025-08-13	64.89	112.96	-2.46	VMC ahead
2025-08-12	64.45	111.53	-2.46	VMC ahead
2025-08-11	64.04	108.99	-2.38	VMC ahead
2025-08-08	65.48	109.48	-2.29	VMC ahead
2025-08-07	65.82	107.79	-2.18	VMC ahead
2025-08-06	64.20	107.59	-2.38	VMC ahead
2025-08-05	64.61	108.20	-2.41	VMC ahead
2025-08-04	64.45	107.69	-2.43	VMC ahead
2025-08-01	62.67	105.05	-2.49	VMC ahead
2025-07-31	64.35	104.95	-2.33	VMC ahead
2025-07-30	63.70	104.22	-2.39	VMC ahead
2025-07-29	65.46	104.66	-2.25	VMC ahead
2025-07-28	66.87	103.21	-2.01	VMC ahead
2025-07-25	65.42	105.01	-2.34	VMC ahead
2025-07-24	69.63	103.71	-1.79	VMC ahead
2025-07-23	76.51	102.82	-1.02	VMC ahead
2025-07-22	76.90	102.32	-0.95	VMC ahead
2025-07-21	75.28	101.26	-1.04	VMC ahead
2025-07-18	74.39	101.86	-1.18	VMC ahead
2025-07-17	75.44	100.49	-0.98	VMC ahead
2025-07-16	73.51	99.58	-1.12	VMC ahead
2025-07-15	74.41	99.94	-1.06	VMC ahead
2025-07-14	76.05	103.14	-1.14	VMC ahead
2025-07-11	75.95	102.78	-1.13	VMC ahead
2025-07-10	76.94	103.44	-1.09	VMC ahead
2025-07-09	76.21	103.14	-1.15	VMC ahead
2025-07-08	77.56	101.81	-0.93	VMC ahead
2025-07-07	79.86	102.02	-0.73	VMC ahead
2025-07-03	80.93	101.73	-0.61	VMC ahead
2025-07-02	82.69	101.52	-0.44	near the usual relationship
2025-07-01	79.90	101.13	-0.68	VMC ahead
2025-06-30	80.06	99.66	-0.56	VMC ahead
2025-06-27	80.35	100.18	-0.57	VMC ahead
2025-06-26	82.24	98.18	-0.26	near the usual relationship
2025-06-25	75.83	97.29	-0.80	VMC ahead
2025-06-24	76.43	101.05	-1.03	VMC ahead
2025-06-23	75.75	99.74	-1.00	VMC ahead
2025-06-20	74.25	97.79	-1.02	VMC ahead
2025-06-18	75.81	98.63	-0.93	VMC ahead
2025-06-17	76.31	98.98	-0.92	VMC ahead
2025-06-16	77.56	99.79	-0.86	VMC ahead
2025-06-13	76.53	99.64	-0.96	VMC ahead
2025-06-12	75.28	101.46	-1.22	VMC ahead
2025-06-11	76.92	99.77	-0.95	VMC ahead
2025-06-10	77.34	101.29	-1.03	VMC ahead
2025-06-09	77.30	101.64	-1.06	VMC ahead
2025-06-06	76.47	101.18	-1.12	VMC ahead
2025-06-05	76.53	101.51	-1.15	VMC ahead
2025-06-04	73.89	101.67	-1.43	VMC ahead
2025-06-03	73.47	101.23	-1.45	VMC ahead
2025-06-02	73.28	100.63	-1.44	VMC ahead
2025-05-30	73.45	101.28	-1.48	VMC ahead
2025-05-29	74.70	101.37	-1.37	VMC ahead
2025-05-28	74.15	100.31	-1.36	VMC ahead
2025-05-27	75.06	103.22	-1.50	VMC ahead
2025-05-23	72.56	102.47	-1.71	VMC ahead
2025-05-22	70.32	103.81	-2.06	VMC ahead
2025-05-21	70.66	103.37	-2.02	VMC ahead
2025-05-20	71.29	104.44	-2.05	VMC ahead
2025-05-19	71.35	105.46	-2.15	VMC ahead
2025-05-16	70.74	105.27	-2.23	VMC ahead
2025-05-15	72.34	103.57	-1.96	VMC ahead
2025-05-14	73.55	101.76	-1.71	VMC ahead
2025-05-13	75.28	102.62	-1.61	VMC ahead
2025-05-12	74.68	104.07	-1.80	VMC ahead
2025-05-09	70.84	103.02	-2.17	VMC ahead
2025-05-08	68.81	102.56	-2.40	VMC ahead
2025-05-07	67.39	101.57	-2.53	VMC ahead
2025-05-06	69.59	102.11	-2.35	VMC ahead
2025-05-05	69.17	103.18	-2.52	VMC ahead
2025-05-02	70.32	102.04	-2.33	VMC ahead
2025-05-01	67.80	100.73	-2.57	VMC ahead
2025-04-30	67.39	100.23	-2.62	VMC ahead
2025-04-29	69.85	93.75	-1.76	VMC ahead
2025-04-28	70.14	93.76	-1.75	VMC ahead
2025-04-25	70.54	94.39	-1.77	VMC ahead
2025-04-24	71.85	95.33	-1.72	VMC ahead
2025-04-23	69.15	93.44	-1.90	VMC ahead
2025-04-22	67.09	91.92	-2.05	VMC ahead
2025-04-21	64.89	89.47	-2.13	VMC ahead
2025-04-17	65.25	92.44	-2.41	VMC ahead
2025-04-16	66.32	91.91	-2.24	VMC ahead
2025-04-15	67.05	93.43	-2.33	VMC ahead
2025-04-14	66.87	93.03	-2.35	VMC ahead
2025-04-11	66.61	92.58	-2.37	VMC ahead
2025-04-10	62.95	90.01	-2.69	VMC ahead
2025-04-09	66.22	91.52	-2.40	VMC ahead
2025-04-08	57.59	86.54	-3.29	VMC ahead
2025-04-07	60.15	87.32	-3.01	VMC ahead
2025-04-04	59.40	88.16	-3.32	VMC ahead
2025-04-03	67.57	90.62	-2.31	VMC ahead
2025-04-02	74.54	91.74	-1.42	VMC ahead
2025-04-01	72.80	90.66	-1.56	VMC ahead
2025-03-31	72.22	89.14	-1.47	VMC ahead
2025-03-28	74.25	89.00	-1.16	VMC ahead
2025-03-27	77.95	90.76	-0.85	VMC ahead
2025-03-26	79.54	90.58	-0.62	VMC ahead
2025-03-25	84.71	92.08	-0.13	near the usual relationship
2025-03-24	83.09	92.01	-0.32	near the usual relationship
2025-03-21	82.22	89.44	-0.13	near the usual relationship
2025-03-20	84.22	91.21	-0.08	near the usual relationship
2025-03-19	84.44	92.13	-0.15	near the usual relationship
2025-03-18	83.80	90.36	-0.03	near the usual relationship
2025-03-17	84.79	89.82	+0.16	near the usual relationship
2025-03-14	83.51	88.38	+0.17	near the usual relationship
2025-03-13	80.27	85.99	+0.05	near the usual relationship
2025-03-12	79.34	86.80	-0.16	near the usual relationship
2025-03-11	76.37	85.86	-0.43	near the usual relationship
2025-03-10	74.09	84.57	-0.57	VMC ahead
2025-03-07	78.87	84.40	+0.09	near the usual relationship
2025-03-06	80.85	89.86	-0.28	near the usual relationship
2025-03-05	82.36	91.83	-0.31	near the usual relationship
2025-03-04	76.61	89.74	-0.78	VMC ahead
2025-03-03	78.43	91.61	-0.74	VMC ahead
2025-02-28	79.96	94.49	-0.85	VMC ahead
2025-02-27	79.82	93.66	-0.77	VMC ahead
2025-02-26	82.04	95.72	-0.71	VMC ahead
2025-02-25	80.49	95.44	-0.86	VMC ahead
2025-02-24	81.01	96.12	-0.86	VMC ahead
2025-02-21	81.54	96.61	-0.84	VMC ahead
2025-02-20	85.96	98.80	-0.55	VMC ahead
2025-02-19	84.66	101.24	-0.92	VMC ahead
2025-02-18	85.47	104.22	-1.10	VMC ahead
2025-02-14	85.41	103.34	-1.03	VMC ahead
2025-02-13	86.95	102.91	-0.82	VMC ahead
2025-02-12	85.13	100.80	-0.82	VMC ahead
2025-02-11	83.84	102.31	-1.10	VMC ahead
2025-02-10	85.59	102.61	-0.94	VMC ahead
2025-02-07	85.35	104.28	-1.12	VMC ahead
2025-02-06	84.44	105.92	-1.37	VMC ahead
2025-02-05	84.26	104.82	-1.30	VMC ahead
2025-02-04	83.17	103.95	-1.35	VMC ahead
2025-02-03	79.48	103.61	-1.77	VMC ahead
2025-01-31	81.05	104.75	-1.71	VMC ahead
2025-01-30	82.69	105.59	-1.60	VMC ahead
2025-01-29	81.58	104.00	-1.60	VMC ahead
2025-01-28	80.99	105.11	-1.80	VMC ahead
2025-01-27	84.14	105.07	-1.43	VMC ahead
2025-01-24	85.96	106.04	-1.32	VMC ahead
2025-01-23	85.94	105.01	-1.23	VMC ahead
2025-01-22	85.07	104.84	-1.32	VMC ahead
2025-01-21	86.72	105.28	-1.18	VMC ahead
2025-01-17	85.57	103.20	-1.12	VMC ahead
2025-01-16	83.98	102.85	-1.27	VMC ahead
2025-01-15	84.81	102.47	-1.14	VMC ahead
2025-01-14	84.26	99.37	-0.91	VMC ahead
2025-01-13	83.72	97.83	-0.82	VMC ahead
2025-01-10	83.33	96.17	-0.70	VMC ahead
2025-01-08	82.22	97.54	-0.98	VMC ahead
2025-01-07	81.62	96.28	-0.93	VMC ahead
2025-01-06	82.16	98.34	-1.08	VMC ahead
2025-01-03	81.26	98.25	-1.19	VMC ahead
2025-01-02	81.13	97.65	-1.15	VMC ahead
2024-12-31	80.35	98.28	-1.33	VMC ahead
2024-12-30	79.98	98.64	-1.42	VMC ahead
2024-12-27	80.91	100.24	-1.48	VMC ahead
2024-12-26	81.50	101.08	-1.51	VMC ahead
2024-12-24	81.64	100.99	-1.49	VMC ahead
2024-12-23	81.78	100.44	-1.43	VMC ahead
2024-12-20	81.17	100.54	-1.54	VMC ahead
2024-12-19	79.28	99.69	-1.71	VMC ahead
2024-12-18	79.54	101.21	-1.85	VMC ahead
2024-12-17	83.45	104.18	-1.67	VMC ahead
2024-12-16	84.73	105.84	-1.69	VMC ahead
2024-12-13	87.41	105.37	-1.32	VMC ahead
2024-12-12	89.61	106.26	-1.15	VMC ahead
2024-12-11	90.92	106.82	-1.06	VMC ahead
2024-12-10	90.19	105.57	-1.02	VMC ahead
2024-12-09	92.76	107.45	-0.91	VMC ahead
2024-12-06	89.14	109.61	-1.57	VMC ahead
2024-12-05	90.05	109.90	-1.50	VMC ahead
2024-12-04	90.76	109.14	-1.34	VMC ahead
2024-12-03	91.44	109.47	-1.30	VMC ahead
2024-12-02	91.46	109.68	-1.33	VMC ahead
2024-11-29	92.55	110.09	-1.25	VMC ahead
2024-11-27	91.67	109.43	-1.29	VMC ahead
2024-11-26	91.79	110.19	-1.36	VMC ahead
2024-11-25	93.38	110.95	-1.25	VMC ahead
2024-11-22	92.80	108.75	-1.10	VMC ahead
2024-11-21	93.60	107.44	-0.88	VMC ahead
2024-11-20	92.49	106.15	-0.88	VMC ahead
2024-11-19	93.44	106.22	-0.77	VMC ahead
2024-11-18	91.53	106.50	-1.03	VMC ahead
2024-11-15	89.20	106.71	-1.34	VMC ahead
2024-11-14	89.97	108.01	-1.39	VMC ahead
2024-11-13	89.00	109.93	-1.72	VMC ahead
2024-11-12	92.05	110.19	-1.37	VMC ahead
2024-11-11	94.37	111.58	-1.23	VMC ahead
2024-11-08	96.53	111.69	-0.99	VMC ahead
2024-11-07	101.23	111.03	-0.39	near the usual relationship
2024-11-06	97.32	110.98	-0.83	VMC ahead
2024-11-05	96.73	104.18	-0.19	near the usual relationship
2024-11-04	93.04	102.73	-0.47	near the usual relationship
2024-11-01	92.68	103.31	-0.58	VMC ahead
2024-10-31	92.17	104.67	-0.79	VMC ahead
2024-10-30	93.56	105.54	-0.72	VMC ahead
2024-10-29	94.79	99.17	+0.13	near the usual relationship
2024-10-28	94.65	98.77	+0.16	near the usual relationship
2024-10-25	93.87	98.02	+0.15	near the usual relationship
2024-10-24	92.80	97.87	+0.05	near the usual relationship
2024-10-23	98.24	96.89	+0.80	TECK ahead
2024-10-22	99.76	96.94	+0.97	TECK ahead
2024-10-21	98.55	99.32	+0.55	TECK ahead
2024-10-18	100.00	100.00	+0.64	TECK ahead

One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Apr 4, 2025 (TECK -12.1%, VMC -2.7%); Apr 30, 2025 (TECK -3.5%, VMC +6.9%); Jul 24, 2025 (TECK -9.0%, VMC +0.9%); Sep 9, 2025 (TECK +11.3%, VMC -2.2%); Jul 30, 2026 (TECK +8.7%, VMC -4.5%). Upcoming earnings: TECK Oct 29, 2026 (pre-market); VMC Oct 29, 2026 (pre-market).

Paired trades

The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart

Forward paper record

No paper position on this pair yet.

Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)

No simulated trade through Oct 20, 2026: the pair rarely passed every test while 2 standard deviations apart.

Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.

The companies

TECK and VMC at a glance

TECK Teck Resources Ltd

Listing: NYSE · SEC CIK 886986
Industry: Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) · SIC 1400 Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)
Market value: $31.1B
Price history: 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026

VMC Vulcan Materials Company (Holding Company)

Listing: NYSE · SEC CIK 1396009
Industry: Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) · SIC 1400 Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)
Market value: $33.4B
Price history: 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026

Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.

All pairs →

Pair	Status	Ahead now	Industry
MLM / VMC	Watchlist	VMC by 1.68 sd	Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)
MLM / TECK	Watchlist	TECK by 0.76 sd	Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)

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Paper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.