Republic Services Inc. vs Waste Connections Inc.
Why these are rivals: #2 and #3 by market value ($70B vs $42B) in Nasdaq's "Environmental Services" industry; SEC SIC 4953 / 4953 (same major group); #2 and #3 by market value ($70B vs $42B) with SEC SIC 4953 (Refuse Systems).
Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.76 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
RSG is the larger business
Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.
| Year | RSG | WCN | Larger |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $19.0B | $9.5B | RSG |
| 2024 | $18.4B | $8.9B | RSG |
| 2023 | $17.3B | $8.0B | RSG |
| 2022 | $15.6B | $7.2B | RSG |
| 2021 | $13.3B | $6.2B | RSG |
| 2020 | $12.0B | $5.4B | RSG |
RSG led in every year with figures for both. Market value: RSG $70.1B, WCN $42.3B.
Neither is clearly ahead
Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.
The gap is 0.06 standard deviations, close to the usual relationship. 5 lead switches in the last year.
| Price change | 3 mo | 6 mo | 12 mo |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSG | +11.5% | +13.0% | +9.5% |
| WCN | +9.0% | +9.5% | +6.4% |
Not a measured twin today
Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.
- Pass
- Aligned sessions: 2521 (needs >= 254)
- Pass
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.76 (needs >= 0.60)
- Fail
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.76 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
- Pass
- Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 26.27 (needs <= 63)
- Data
- Both stocks current
Prices side by side, and the gap between them
Data table (504 sessions)
| Date | RSG index | WCN index | z | Ahead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | 118.12 | 101.25 | +0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-21 | 112.46 | 92.16 | +1.15 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-10-20 | 113.76 | 92.81 | +1.27 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-10-19 | 111.83 | 90.74 | +1.41 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-10-16 | 113.06 | 91.95 | +1.37 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-10-15 | 112.13 | 90.64 | +1.53 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-10-14 | 109.59 | 85.88 | +2.32 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-10-13 | 107.38 | 84.16 | +2.36 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-10-12 | 107.30 | 84.18 | +2.37 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-10-09 | 105.90 | 83.70 | +2.21 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-10-08 | 105.88 | 84.72 | +1.92 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-10-07 | 105.56 | 84.97 | +1.78 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-10-06 | 104.85 | 84.68 | +1.72 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-10-05 | 103.92 | 84.50 | +1.55 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-10-02 | 102.32 | 84.24 | +1.24 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-10-01 | 101.06 | 82.51 | +1.47 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-09-30 | 102.48 | 84.30 | +1.27 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-09-29 | 103.48 | 85.19 | +1.26 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-09-28 | 103.97 | 85.52 | +1.29 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-09-25 | 103.56 | 85.19 | +1.30 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-09-24 | 103.87 | 85.39 | +1.32 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-09-23 | 104.05 | 85.11 | +1.47 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-09-22 | 104.43 | 85.12 | +1.58 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-09-21 | 104.46 | 85.19 | +1.57 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-09-18 | 106.48 | 85.07 | +2.16 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-09-17 | 106.90 | 85.01 | +2.32 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-09-16 | 107.32 | 85.71 | +2.23 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-09-15 | 108.91 | 87.33 | +2.14 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-09-14 | 110.28 | 88.19 | +2.25 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-09-11 | 108.76 | 87.48 | +2.11 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-09-10 | 107.95 | 87.32 | +1.98 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-09-09 | 108.63 | 88.31 | +1.85 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-09-08 | 108.22 | 89.35 | +1.41 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-09-04 | 108.75 | 90.29 | +1.26 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-09-03 | 109.92 | 91.35 | +1.24 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-09-02 | 108.65 | 89.86 | +1.39 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-09-01 | 109.03 | 89.75 | +1.55 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-08-31 | 107.87 | 90.54 | +0.98 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-08-28 | 108.45 | 90.87 | +1.04 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-08-27 | 107.07 | 90.73 | +0.70 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-08-26 | 108.49 | 91.54 | +0.84 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-08-25 | 107.89 | 90.99 | +0.86 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-08-24 | 108.93 | 92.54 | +0.65 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-08-21 | 107.75 | 92.77 | +0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-20 | 107.18 | 92.19 | +0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-19 | 107.93 | 92.42 | +0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-18 | 105.94 | 90.65 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-17 | 105.11 | 90.37 | +0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-14 | 104.84 | 91.07 | +0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-13 | 105.09 | 90.65 | +0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-12 | 104.62 | 90.55 | +0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-11 | 105.02 | 91.37 | -0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-10 | 104.79 | 91.03 | +0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-07 | 104.77 | 91.30 | -0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-06 | 102.34 | 91.67 | -0.87 | WCN ahead |
| 2026-08-05 | 101.08 | 90.09 | -0.72 | WCN ahead |
| 2026-08-04 | 101.40 | 90.67 | -0.82 | WCN ahead |
| 2026-08-03 | 102.35 | 91.90 | -0.93 | WCN ahead |
| 2026-07-31 | 102.81 | 91.66 | -0.72 | WCN ahead |
| 2026-07-30 | 103.19 | 91.06 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-29 | 106.89 | 94.64 | -0.52 | WCN ahead |
| 2026-07-28 | 105.78 | 92.67 | -0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-27 | 105.91 | 92.74 | -0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-24 | 105.91 | 92.89 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-23 | 106.16 | 92.00 | +0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-22 | 105.72 | 91.95 | -0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-21 | 104.80 | 92.24 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-20 | 107.68 | 93.58 | +0.00 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-17 | 108.55 | 94.15 | +0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-16 | 109.62 | 95.47 | -0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-15 | 106.12 | 93.17 | -0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-14 | 107.44 | 92.86 | +0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-13 | 109.07 | 93.74 | +0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-10 | 107.03 | 93.69 | -0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-09 | 106.78 | 93.18 | -0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-08 | 107.65 | 93.96 | -0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-07 | 108.62 | 94.70 | -0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-06 | 104.78 | 91.80 | -0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-02 | 106.12 | 92.45 | -0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-01 | 104.84 | 90.20 | +0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-30 | 104.04 | 91.29 | -0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-29 | 104.82 | 91.53 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-26 | 105.66 | 91.95 | -0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-25 | 104.25 | 91.02 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-24 | 104.29 | 91.16 | -0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-23 | 102.10 | 87.32 | +0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-22 | 99.79 | 84.03 | +0.85 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-06-18 | 100.07 | 84.32 | +0.83 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-06-17 | 101.28 | 84.95 | +0.96 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-06-16 | 102.07 | 86.02 | +0.83 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-06-15 | 101.61 | 84.87 | +1.09 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-06-12 | 102.50 | 85.49 | +1.13 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-06-11 | 101.59 | 85.14 | +1.00 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-06-10 | 103.80 | 87.09 | +0.97 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-06-09 | 102.63 | 86.30 | +0.91 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-06-08 | 100.06 | 84.18 | +0.90 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-06-05 | 102.56 | 85.01 | +1.33 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-06-04 | 101.52 | 84.31 | +1.28 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-06-03 | 99.71 | 82.63 | +1.35 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-06-02 | 98.47 | 81.65 | +1.34 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-06-01 | 98.06 | 81.88 | +1.14 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-05-29 | 97.87 | 81.61 | +1.19 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-05-28 | 99.46 | 82.72 | +1.27 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-05-27 | 100.39 | 82.99 | +1.46 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-05-26 | 101.10 | 84.16 | +1.27 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-05-22 | 102.02 | 85.27 | +1.15 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-05-21 | 101.61 | 85.31 | +1.03 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-05-20 | 103.61 | 85.97 | +1.39 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-05-19 | 104.97 | 86.18 | +1.72 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-05-18 | 104.75 | 87.03 | +1.38 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-05-15 | 101.72 | 85.77 | +0.94 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-05-14 | 101.89 | 84.84 | +1.33 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-05-13 | 99.45 | 83.33 | +1.14 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-05-12 | 98.82 | 82.83 | +1.14 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-05-11 | 96.55 | 82.68 | +0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-08 | 97.67 | 83.14 | +0.68 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-05-07 | 98.41 | 84.10 | +0.57 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-05-06 | 97.50 | 84.05 | +0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-05 | 99.55 | 86.34 | +0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-04 | 100.85 | 87.96 | -0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-01 | 100.86 | 88.30 | -0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-30 | 102.16 | 90.21 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-29 | 101.71 | 89.68 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-28 | 101.64 | 89.56 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-27 | 100.64 | 88.47 | -0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-24 | 102.44 | 90.95 | -0.57 | WCN ahead |
| 2026-04-23 | 104.51 | 92.49 | -0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-22 | 100.24 | 85.71 | +0.57 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-04-21 | 100.24 | 86.49 | +0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-20 | 101.78 | 87.56 | +0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-17 | 101.40 | 87.42 | +0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-16 | 102.37 | 87.62 | +0.56 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-04-15 | 102.96 | 87.51 | +0.77 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-04-14 | 103.38 | 87.40 | +0.94 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-04-13 | 104.24 | 88.56 | +0.80 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-04-10 | 104.81 | 88.49 | +0.99 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-04-09 | 105.96 | 89.70 | +0.92 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-04-08 | 105.72 | 89.27 | +1.00 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-04-07 | 107.61 | 89.81 | +1.36 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-04-06 | 107.84 | 90.64 | +1.16 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-04-02 | 108.98 | 90.95 | +1.38 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-04-01 | 107.74 | 89.17 | +1.65 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-03-31 | 106.94 | 88.96 | +1.51 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-03-30 | 108.24 | 88.64 | +2.01 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-03-27 | 105.39 | 85.44 | +2.34 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-03-26 | 106.09 | 86.08 | +2.35 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-03-25 | 105.25 | 86.01 | +2.16 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-03-24 | 105.11 | 86.41 | +2.00 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-03-23 | 105.83 | 88.88 | +1.34 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-03-20 | 107.08 | 89.04 | +1.67 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-03-19 | 108.90 | 90.27 | +1.79 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-03-18 | 108.39 | 89.65 | +1.88 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-03-17 | 109.75 | 91.48 | +1.65 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-03-16 | 109.44 | 91.59 | +1.54 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-03-13 | 109.51 | 91.19 | +1.71 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-03-12 | 110.24 | 91.43 | +1.86 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-03-11 | 109.27 | 91.29 | +1.65 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-03-10 | 109.15 | 90.66 | +1.85 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-03-09 | 112.37 | 94.05 | +1.62 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-03-06 | 112.82 | 93.18 | +2.08 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-03-05 | 113.12 | 93.50 | +2.08 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-03-04 | 113.07 | 93.01 | +2.27 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-03-03 | 113.41 | 94.51 | +1.86 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-03-02 | 112.49 | 94.83 | +1.49 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-02-27 | 111.82 | 94.27 | +1.50 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-02-26 | 109.66 | 92.74 | +1.41 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-02-25 | 108.20 | 91.24 | +1.52 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-02-24 | 107.78 | 90.62 | +1.63 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-02-23 | 108.00 | 89.27 | +2.24 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-02-20 | 107.18 | 89.61 | +1.87 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-02-19 | 108.22 | 90.94 | +1.71 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-02-18 | 105.88 | 89.13 | +1.66 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-02-17 | 108.00 | 88.32 | +2.70 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-02-13 | 108.97 | 87.77 | +3.27 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-02-12 | 107.85 | 86.30 | +3.56 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-02-11 | 110.34 | 94.03 | +1.34 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-02-10 | 108.92 | 93.46 | +1.10 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-02-09 | 109.41 | 94.11 | +1.01 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-02-06 | 107.39 | 92.66 | +0.91 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-02-05 | 106.80 | 92.65 | +0.73 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-02-04 | 106.54 | 92.71 | +0.64 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-02-03 | 104.47 | 91.08 | +0.58 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-02-02 | 105.34 | 92.06 | +0.51 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-01-30 | 105.02 | 91.79 | +0.51 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-01-29 | 104.86 | 91.58 | +0.54 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-01-28 | 106.25 | 92.75 | +0.56 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-01-27 | 106.05 | 92.86 | +0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-26 | 106.97 | 93.81 | +0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-23 | 106.25 | 93.22 | +0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-22 | 105.35 | 93.18 | +0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-21 | 104.63 | 91.18 | +0.64 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-01-20 | 102.84 | 89.95 | +0.54 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-01-16 | 103.01 | 91.52 | +0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-15 | 102.92 | 91.80 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-14 | 103.02 | 90.25 | +0.50 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-01-13 | 102.37 | 89.30 | +0.63 | RSG ahead |
| 2026-01-12 | 102.95 | 91.03 | +0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-09 | 103.62 | 91.08 | +0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-08 | 103.45 | 92.12 | +0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-07 | 102.09 | 92.29 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-06 | 102.99 | 95.45 | -1.08 | WCN ahead |
| 2026-01-05 | 103.93 | 95.26 | -0.75 | WCN ahead |
| 2026-01-02 | 102.64 | 95.36 | -1.13 | WCN ahead |
| 2025-12-31 | 103.48 | 96.04 | -1.09 | WCN ahead |
| 2025-12-30 | 104.83 | 97.56 | -1.17 | WCN ahead |
| 2025-12-29 | 104.75 | 97.78 | -1.24 | WCN ahead |
| 2025-12-26 | 104.18 | 97.56 | -1.33 | WCN ahead |
| 2025-12-24 | 104.10 | 97.39 | -1.29 | WCN ahead |
| 2025-12-23 | 104.03 | 97.31 | -1.28 | WCN ahead |
| 2025-12-22 | 103.96 | 96.93 | -1.18 | WCN ahead |
| 2025-12-19 | 104.07 | 95.94 | -0.86 | WCN ahead |
| 2025-12-18 | 104.23 | 96.18 | -0.88 | WCN ahead |
| 2025-12-17 | 104.85 | 96.39 | -0.76 | WCN ahead |
| 2025-12-16 | 104.50 | 96.40 | -0.84 | WCN ahead |
| 2025-12-15 | 105.14 | 96.64 | -0.73 | WCN ahead |
| 2025-12-12 | 104.32 | 94.54 | -0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-11 | 103.12 | 93.84 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-10 | 101.35 | 92.01 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-09 | 102.21 | 92.18 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-08 | 103.24 | 93.32 | -0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-05 | 105.73 | 94.80 | -0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-04 | 105.04 | 94.88 | -0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-03 | 105.16 | 95.43 | -0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-02 | 103.84 | 94.90 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-01 | 104.53 | 95.38 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-28 | 105.99 | 96.69 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-26 | 106.14 | 96.95 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-25 | 106.00 | 96.66 | -0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-24 | 105.06 | 94.82 | -0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-21 | 106.93 | 96.00 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-20 | 106.66 | 95.03 | +0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-19 | 106.19 | 95.66 | -0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-18 | 104.47 | 94.28 | -0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-17 | 102.45 | 92.72 | -0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-14 | 102.44 | 92.35 | -0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-13 | 100.60 | 91.67 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-12 | 100.17 | 92.44 | -0.51 | WCN ahead |
| 2025-11-11 | 101.14 | 91.70 | -0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-10 | 99.67 | 90.88 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-07 | 100.39 | 91.01 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-06 | 99.72 | 90.53 | -0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-05 | 100.80 | 90.89 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-04 | 101.44 | 92.40 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-03 | 100.23 | 90.78 | -0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-31 | 101.68 | 91.83 | +0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-30 | 102.50 | 93.64 | -0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-29 | 102.78 | 92.24 | +0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-28 | 106.31 | 95.37 | +0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-27 | 107.93 | 95.72 | +0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-24 | 108.93 | 96.83 | +0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-23 | 108.94 | 96.83 | +0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-22 | 109.02 | 97.74 | +0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-21 | 107.88 | 95.18 | +0.51 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-10-20 | 107.49 | 95.29 | +0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-17 | 107.33 | 94.73 | +0.52 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-10-16 | 106.56 | 93.56 | +0.62 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-10-15 | 107.92 | 92.96 | +0.98 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-10-14 | 109.61 | 94.50 | +0.97 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-10-13 | 108.91 | 94.19 | +0.92 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-10-10 | 109.94 | 94.66 | +1.01 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-10-09 | 108.25 | 93.21 | +1.01 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-10-08 | 110.03 | 95.12 | +0.95 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-10-07 | 108.76 | 94.99 | +0.77 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-10-06 | 108.97 | 95.37 | +0.74 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-10-03 | 109.45 | 95.52 | +0.80 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-10-02 | 108.68 | 94.76 | +0.82 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-10-01 | 110.98 | 95.90 | +0.99 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-09-30 | 112.05 | 96.28 | +1.10 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-09-29 | 111.85 | 95.45 | +1.23 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-09-26 | 111.43 | 94.42 | +1.36 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-09-25 | 110.77 | 93.82 | +1.38 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-09-24 | 111.04 | 94.33 | +1.34 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-09-23 | 111.10 | 94.21 | +1.38 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-09-22 | 110.48 | 94.73 | +1.19 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-09-19 | 110.81 | 95.27 | +1.15 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-09-18 | 110.70 | 96.06 | +1.00 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-09-17 | 110.48 | 94.93 | +1.18 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-09-16 | 110.02 | 95.06 | +1.09 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-09-15 | 111.40 | 96.15 | +1.11 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-09-12 | 111.56 | 96.42 | +1.10 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-09-11 | 113.38 | 97.56 | +1.18 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-09-10 | 111.58 | 96.50 | +1.10 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-09-09 | 111.85 | 97.27 | +1.02 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-09-08 | 111.39 | 97.69 | +0.88 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-09-05 | 112.17 | 98.19 | +0.92 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-09-04 | 114.18 | 99.27 | +1.04 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-09-03 | 113.52 | 98.95 | +1.00 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-09-02 | 113.83 | 100.14 | +0.85 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-08-29 | 114.24 | 101.21 | +0.74 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-08-28 | 113.82 | 100.35 | +0.83 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-08-27 | 114.70 | 100.35 | +0.97 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-08-26 | 114.42 | 100.15 | +0.97 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-08-25 | 113.39 | 99.78 | +0.88 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-08-22 | 114.41 | 101.19 | +0.80 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-08-21 | 114.96 | 102.12 | +0.74 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-08-20 | 115.29 | 101.75 | +0.85 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-08-19 | 114.65 | 101.96 | +0.73 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-08-18 | 113.49 | 101.22 | +0.69 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-08-15 | 113.70 | 101.19 | +0.73 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-08-14 | 113.53 | 101.17 | +0.72 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-08-13 | 113.64 | 101.72 | +0.65 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-08-12 | 114.03 | 102.63 | +0.57 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-08-11 | 115.74 | 104.37 | +0.54 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-08-08 | 114.85 | 102.90 | +0.65 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-08-07 | 115.05 | 103.00 | +0.67 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-08-06 | 115.00 | 102.88 | +0.69 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-08-05 | 113.32 | 102.31 | +0.54 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-08-04 | 113.14 | 102.61 | +0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-01 | 112.90 | 102.17 | +0.52 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-07-31 | 112.62 | 102.23 | +0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-30 | 113.13 | 103.61 | +0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-29 | 120.12 | 105.06 | +1.08 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-07-28 | 117.88 | 101.89 | +1.28 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-07-25 | 119.71 | 102.38 | +1.46 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-07-24 | 119.68 | 103.09 | +1.36 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-07-23 | 118.78 | 101.00 | +1.58 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-07-22 | 118.32 | 101.19 | +1.50 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-07-21 | 117.21 | 99.68 | +1.61 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-07-18 | 117.43 | 100.02 | +1.60 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-07-17 | 117.27 | 99.80 | +1.63 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-07-16 | 117.85 | 100.13 | +1.67 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-07-15 | 118.10 | 100.56 | +1.65 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-07-14 | 119.22 | 101.01 | +1.75 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-07-11 | 117.78 | 100.43 | +1.66 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-07-10 | 117.23 | 99.68 | +1.72 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-07-09 | 117.44 | 99.71 | +1.76 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-07-08 | 116.85 | 99.23 | +1.77 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-07-07 | 118.40 | 99.79 | +1.92 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-07-03 | 117.74 | 98.98 | +1.98 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-07-02 | 116.06 | 97.54 | +2.01 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-07-01 | 119.47 | 101.79 | +1.80 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-06-30 | 120.42 | 101.79 | +1.96 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-06-27 | 119.32 | 101.81 | +1.82 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-06-26 | 119.49 | 102.68 | +1.71 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-06-25 | 119.08 | 101.69 | +1.84 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-06-24 | 122.44 | 103.04 | +2.11 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-06-23 | 122.40 | 102.75 | +2.19 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-06-20 | 121.19 | 101.71 | +2.22 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-06-18 | 121.23 | 102.49 | +2.12 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-06-17 | 121.57 | 102.80 | +2.14 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-06-16 | 121.33 | 102.45 | +2.20 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-06-13 | 122.69 | 104.42 | +2.08 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-06-12 | 122.97 | 104.85 | +2.08 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-06-11 | 121.21 | 103.68 | +2.05 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-06-10 | 121.09 | 103.41 | +2.10 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-06-09 | 121.78 | 103.50 | +2.22 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-06-06 | 123.52 | 104.17 | +2.40 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-06-05 | 123.61 | 105.19 | +2.26 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-06-04 | 124.08 | 104.89 | +2.43 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-06-03 | 125.22 | 105.86 | +2.47 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-06-02 | 126.01 | 107.51 | +2.32 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-05-30 | 125.63 | 107.94 | +2.22 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-05-29 | 124.24 | 106.46 | +2.30 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-05-28 | 124.06 | 107.05 | +2.19 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-05-27 | 124.47 | 107.58 | +2.19 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-05-23 | 123.47 | 107.80 | +2.01 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-05-22 | 122.56 | 106.74 | +2.09 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-05-21 | 123.14 | 107.30 | +2.11 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-05-20 | 123.14 | 107.35 | +2.12 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-05-19 | 122.25 | 105.90 | +2.29 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-05-16 | 120.99 | 105.10 | +2.26 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-05-15 | 119.61 | 104.58 | +2.15 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-05-14 | 116.25 | 102.02 | +2.10 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-05-13 | 116.21 | 101.74 | +2.18 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-05-12 | 117.90 | 102.18 | +2.44 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-05-09 | 121.38 | 106.95 | +2.10 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-05-08 | 121.74 | 107.10 | +2.17 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-05-07 | 122.95 | 108.65 | +2.10 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-05-06 | 122.49 | 108.64 | +2.04 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-05-05 | 122.43 | 108.39 | +2.11 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-05-02 | 122.32 | 108.32 | +2.13 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-05-01 | 121.78 | 107.44 | +2.24 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-04-30 | 122.44 | 108.23 | +2.22 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-04-29 | 120.95 | 107.08 | +2.21 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-04-28 | 120.17 | 106.29 | +2.27 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-04-25 | 118.93 | 106.50 | +1.99 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-04-24 | 117.56 | 107.73 | +1.45 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-04-23 | 117.86 | 107.16 | +1.65 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-04-22 | 118.44 | 108.38 | +1.51 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-04-21 | 116.39 | 106.56 | +1.51 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-04-17 | 118.79 | 108.09 | +1.68 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-04-16 | 118.95 | 107.65 | +1.83 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-04-15 | 119.63 | 107.33 | +2.08 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-04-14 | 119.90 | 107.22 | +2.19 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-04-11 | 119.10 | 106.63 | +2.19 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-04-10 | 117.30 | 105.05 | +2.21 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-04-09 | 116.83 | 105.64 | +1.99 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-04-08 | 110.94 | 100.36 | +2.00 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-04-07 | 112.76 | 101.18 | +2.25 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-04-04 | 114.95 | 102.38 | +2.48 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-04-03 | 121.31 | 109.50 | +2.15 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-04-02 | 119.54 | 107.68 | +2.24 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-04-01 | 119.00 | 107.62 | +2.16 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-03-31 | 118.24 | 106.89 | +2.20 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-03-28 | 116.47 | 105.60 | +2.15 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-03-27 | 117.08 | 106.19 | +2.17 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-03-26 | 116.09 | 105.01 | +2.28 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-03-25 | 116.11 | 105.64 | +2.14 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-03-24 | 115.23 | 104.56 | +2.25 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-03-21 | 113.94 | 103.68 | +2.19 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-03-20 | 114.68 | 103.98 | +2.33 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-03-19 | 114.53 | 104.44 | +2.19 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-03-18 | 114.28 | 102.73 | +2.65 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-03-17 | 115.12 | 102.90 | +2.87 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-03-14 | 113.29 | 101.47 | +2.86 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-03-13 | 111.95 | 100.34 | +2.90 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-03-12 | 112.61 | 100.31 | +3.16 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-03-11 | 113.14 | 100.88 | +3.21 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-03-10 | 113.92 | 101.99 | +3.14 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-03-07 | 114.35 | 103.15 | +2.95 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-03-06 | 113.03 | 101.73 | +3.10 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-03-05 | 115.12 | 103.99 | +3.04 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-03-04 | 115.21 | 104.43 | +2.98 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-03-03 | 117.00 | 105.13 | +3.37 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-02-28 | 115.73 | 103.92 | +3.49 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-02-27 | 113.62 | 102.04 | +3.57 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-02-26 | 113.07 | 102.89 | +3.15 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-02-25 | 114.02 | 103.49 | +3.31 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-02-24 | 113.63 | 102.93 | +3.47 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-02-21 | 112.73 | 102.62 | +3.35 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-02-20 | 112.72 | 102.88 | +3.31 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-02-19 | 112.14 | 102.86 | +3.18 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-02-18 | 111.60 | 102.77 | +3.08 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-02-14 | 112.97 | 103.53 | +3.37 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-02-13 | 109.61 | 103.42 | +2.18 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-02-12 | 109.13 | 104.04 | +1.76 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-02-11 | 109.01 | 104.01 | +1.74 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-02-10 | 108.45 | 103.82 | +1.61 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-02-07 | 107.94 | 104.18 | +1.28 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-02-06 | 108.19 | 103.65 | +1.61 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-02-05 | 107.91 | 103.27 | +1.67 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-02-04 | 107.05 | 102.73 | +1.57 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-02-03 | 107.94 | 102.59 | +2.01 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-01-31 | 105.89 | 100.64 | +2.04 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-01-30 | 106.62 | 102.17 | +1.69 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-01-29 | 103.67 | 98.93 | +1.90 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-01-28 | 105.50 | 100.20 | +2.13 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-01-27 | 105.26 | 99.46 | +2.40 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-01-24 | 103.43 | 97.32 | +2.64 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-01-23 | 103.65 | 98.24 | +2.34 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-01-22 | 103.75 | 97.73 | +2.67 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-01-21 | 104.95 | 97.96 | +3.17 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-01-17 | 104.36 | 97.61 | +3.14 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-01-16 | 103.48 | 97.55 | +2.81 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-01-15 | 102.42 | 96.77 | +2.76 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-01-14 | 101.07 | 95.97 | +2.55 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-01-13 | 101.18 | 96.76 | +2.22 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-01-10 | 100.73 | 95.73 | +2.58 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-01-08 | 101.05 | 96.37 | +2.45 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-01-07 | 99.15 | 94.45 | +2.54 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-01-06 | 98.12 | 94.14 | +2.20 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-01-03 | 98.16 | 93.61 | +2.57 | RSG ahead |
| 2025-01-02 | 97.70 | 93.04 | +2.69 | RSG ahead |
| 2024-12-31 | 98.23 | 93.96 | +2.48 | RSG ahead |
| 2024-12-30 | 98.24 | 93.74 | +2.67 | RSG ahead |
| 2024-12-27 | 99.06 | 93.80 | +3.18 | RSG ahead |
| 2024-12-26 | 99.66 | 94.10 | +3.42 | RSG ahead |
| 2024-12-24 | 99.68 | 94.58 | +3.21 | RSG ahead |
| 2024-12-23 | 98.76 | 93.68 | +3.31 | RSG ahead |
| 2024-12-20 | 99.48 | 95.44 | +2.66 | RSG ahead |
| 2024-12-19 | 99.58 | 95.36 | +2.84 | RSG ahead |
| 2024-12-18 | 99.35 | 95.65 | +2.54 | RSG ahead |
| 2024-12-17 | 100.40 | 96.53 | +2.68 | RSG ahead |
| 2024-12-16 | 101.63 | 97.52 | +2.86 | RSG ahead |
| 2024-12-13 | 102.04 | 98.55 | +2.48 | RSG ahead |
| 2024-12-12 | 102.60 | 100.90 | +1.30 | RSG ahead |
| 2024-12-11 | 102.71 | 101.23 | +1.15 | RSG ahead |
| 2024-12-10 | 103.36 | 101.75 | +1.20 | RSG ahead |
| 2024-12-09 | 103.68 | 102.01 | +1.21 | RSG ahead |
| 2024-12-06 | 105.80 | 104.24 | +1.11 | RSG ahead |
| 2024-12-05 | 105.21 | 104.22 | +0.76 | RSG ahead |
| 2024-12-04 | 105.25 | 104.61 | +0.54 | RSG ahead |
| 2024-12-03 | 104.88 | 104.90 | +0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-02 | 104.96 | 104.51 | +0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-29 | 106.59 | 105.41 | +0.75 | RSG ahead |
| 2024-11-27 | 106.58 | 105.79 | +0.50 | RSG ahead |
| 2024-11-26 | 106.81 | 105.83 | +0.57 | RSG ahead |
| 2024-11-25 | 106.38 | 105.59 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-22 | 105.85 | 103.98 | +0.96 | RSG ahead |
| 2024-11-21 | 104.52 | 103.51 | +0.51 | RSG ahead |
| 2024-11-20 | 103.82 | 102.15 | +0.81 | RSG ahead |
| 2024-11-19 | 102.98 | 102.68 | +0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-18 | 102.09 | 101.87 | +0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-15 | 101.58 | 100.49 | +0.51 | RSG ahead |
| 2024-11-14 | 102.28 | 100.62 | +0.76 | RSG ahead |
| 2024-11-13 | 104.82 | 102.68 | +0.93 | RSG ahead |
| 2024-11-12 | 103.63 | 102.74 | +0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-11 | 103.43 | 101.51 | +0.79 | RSG ahead |
| 2024-11-08 | 103.32 | 100.79 | +1.04 | RSG ahead |
| 2024-11-07 | 101.60 | 99.62 | +0.81 | RSG ahead |
| 2024-11-06 | 101.11 | 98.25 | +1.19 | RSG ahead |
| 2024-11-05 | 98.70 | 97.91 | +0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-04 | 97.94 | 97.28 | +0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-01 | 96.96 | 96.91 | -0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-10-31 | 96.68 | 96.80 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-10-30 | 97.08 | 97.33 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-10-29 | 99.76 | 98.81 | +0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-10-28 | 97.86 | 96.88 | +0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-10-25 | 97.57 | 96.28 | +0.52 | RSG ahead |
| 2024-10-24 | 98.40 | 97.79 | +0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-10-23 | 99.60 | 98.77 | +0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-10-22 | 99.57 | 99.32 | +0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-10-21 | 99.66 | 99.51 | +0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-10-18 | 100.00 | 100.00 | -0.01 | near the usual relationship |
One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Jul 30, 2025 (RSG -5.8%, WCN -1.4%); Feb 12, 2026 (RSG -2.3%, WCN -8.2%); Oct 22, 2026 (RSG +5.0%, WCN +9.9%). Upcoming earnings: RSG Oct 29, 2026 (after-hours).
The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart
Forward paper record
No paper position on this pair yet.
Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)
2 simulated trades to Oct 20, 2026: -3.80% per trade on average after costs, 0 won.
| Legs | Entered | Exited | Why | Days | Before costs | Costs + borrow | After costs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long WCN · Short RSG | Dec 16, 2024 | Jan 17, 2025 | divergence stop | 32 | -$195.16 | -$47.92 | -$248.84 (-2.49%) |
| Long WCN · Short RSG | Aug 17, 2021 | Oct 25, 2021 | divergence stop | 69 | -$415.62 | -$75.27 | -$511.36 (-5.11%) |
Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.
RSG and WCN at a glance
RSG Republic Services Inc.
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 1060391
- Industry
- Environmental Services · SIC 4953 Refuse Systems
- Market value
- $70.1B
- Price history
- 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
WCN Waste Connections Inc.
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 1318220
- Industry
- Environmental Services · SIC 4953 Refuse Systems
- Market value
- $42.3B
- Price history
- 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.
Other rivals of RSG and WCN
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Explore the private betaPaper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.
