Diversified Commercial Services

PayPal Holdings Inc. vs United Rentals Inc.

WatchlistPYPL / URIPrices through Oct 22, 2026

Why these are rivals: #2 and #3 by market value ($64B vs $48B) in Nasdaq's "Diversified Commercial Services" industry; SEC SIC 7359 / 7389 (same major group).

Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.

  • Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: -0.00 (needs >= 0.60)
  • Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.74 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Business leadership

PYPL is the larger business

Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.

YearPYPLURILarger
2025$33.2B$16.1BPYPL
2024$31.8B$15.3BPYPL
2023$29.8B$14.3BPYPL
2022$27.5B$11.6BPYPL
2021$25.4B$9.7BPYPL
2020$21.5B$8.5BPYPL

PYPL led in every year with figures for both. Market value: PYPL $48.3B, URI $63.8B.

Stock leadership

URI is ahead now

Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.

URI leads PYPL by 0.41 standard deviations: +8.5% over its usual price ratio. 0 lead switches in the last year.

Price change3 mo6 mo12 mo
PYPL+2.5%+15.6%-17.9%
URI-2.7%+12.6%+10.8%
Relationship

Not a measured twin today

Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.

Pass
Aligned sessions: 2521 (needs >= 254)
Fail
Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: -0.00 (needs >= 0.60)
Fail
Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.74 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Pass
Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 33.09 (needs <= 63)
Data
Both stocks current
The twins over two years

Prices side by side, and the gap between them

PYPL PayPal Holdings Inc. URI United Rentals Inc.Price index, 100 = 2024-10-18. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).
50100Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026PYPL 71URI 132
Spread z-score: PYPL relative to URI, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: PYPL ahead; below 0: URI ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).
-4stop-2idea0+2idea+4stopOct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026
Data table (504 sessions)
DatePYPL indexURI indexzAhead
2026-10-2271.08132.38-0.41near the usual relationship
2026-10-2170.67127.37-0.25near the usual relationship
2026-10-2070.60124.38-0.14near the usual relationship
2026-10-1969.82122.13-0.11near the usual relationship
2026-10-1670.05122.68-0.12near the usual relationship
2026-10-1570.62124.82-0.17near the usual relationship
2026-10-1469.31123.30-0.20near the usual relationship
2026-10-1369.40126.37-0.32near the usual relationship
2026-10-1269.25125.93-0.32near the usual relationship
2026-10-0968.61125.87-0.37near the usual relationship
2026-10-0867.98125.13-0.39near the usual relationship
2026-10-0767.89123.61-0.35near the usual relationship
2026-10-0667.47128.76-0.58URI ahead
2026-10-0567.22128.00-0.58URI ahead
2026-10-0265.23128.81-0.76URI ahead
2026-10-0165.55123.22-0.52URI ahead
2026-09-3064.90119.24-0.42near the usual relationship
2026-09-2966.58120.88-0.37near the usual relationship
2026-09-2867.06124.38-0.48near the usual relationship
2026-09-2568.00124.76-0.43near the usual relationship
2026-09-2464.99121.73-0.53URI ahead
2026-09-2364.88122.96-0.60URI ahead
2026-09-2265.34124.28-0.62URI ahead
2026-09-2165.01122.72-0.59URI ahead
2026-09-1864.75120.81-0.54URI ahead
2026-09-1765.41119.45-0.44near the usual relationship
2026-09-1665.12119.90-0.48near the usual relationship
2026-09-1566.48117.86-0.31near the usual relationship
2026-09-1466.75118.41-0.32near the usual relationship
2026-09-1166.37117.85-0.33near the usual relationship
2026-09-1065.86117.85-0.37near the usual relationship
2026-09-0964.46122.58-0.66URI ahead
2026-09-0865.70120.96-0.51URI ahead
2026-09-0467.90120.33-0.34near the usual relationship
2026-09-0370.20118.42-0.11near the usual relationship
2026-09-0267.54116.75-0.23near the usual relationship
2026-09-0164.74117.98-0.48near the usual relationship
2026-08-3165.07123.68-0.68URI ahead
2026-08-2866.30122.76-0.57URI ahead
2026-08-2775.95123.62+0.03near the usual relationship
2026-08-2676.37126.02-0.04near the usual relationship
2026-08-2576.93125.48+0.01near the usual relationship
2026-08-2476.20129.11-0.17near the usual relationship
2026-08-2176.04130.89-0.25near the usual relationship
2026-08-2076.97130.50-0.18near the usual relationship
2026-08-1975.67133.10-0.36near the usual relationship
2026-08-1874.66133.02-0.42near the usual relationship
2026-08-1774.71138.79-0.62URI ahead
2026-08-1476.18137.48-0.49near the usual relationship
2026-08-1374.86133.52-0.44near the usual relationship
2026-08-1273.14134.56-0.59URI ahead
2026-08-1172.89136.26-0.67URI ahead
2026-08-1072.98135.54-0.64URI ahead
2026-08-0772.98138.55-0.75URI ahead
2026-08-0673.86138.53-0.70URI ahead
2026-08-0571.57138.46-0.85URI ahead
2026-08-0472.33137.04-0.76URI ahead
2026-08-0371.50132.96-0.68URI ahead
2026-07-3170.68128.60-0.59URI ahead
2026-07-3071.23127.33-0.52URI ahead
2026-07-2972.09125.72-0.41near the usual relationship
2026-07-2872.05130.02-0.57URI ahead
2026-07-2769.27134.39-0.90URI ahead
2026-07-2469.37136.02-0.95URI ahead
2026-07-2369.19135.80-0.96URI ahead
2026-07-2268.58123.33-0.59URI ahead
2026-07-2169.00120.76-0.47near the usual relationship
2026-07-2070.20120.67-0.40near the usual relationship
2026-07-1769.88124.54-0.56URI ahead
2026-07-1670.09127.71-0.66URI ahead
2026-07-1568.59124.78-0.66URI ahead
2026-07-1458.52126.99-1.42URI ahead
2026-07-1358.87129.32-1.48URI ahead
2026-07-1057.23130.54-1.65URI ahead
2026-07-0955.99129.72-1.73URI ahead
2026-07-0855.02127.67-1.75URI ahead
2026-07-0756.40125.83-1.59URI ahead
2026-07-0655.71131.03-1.83URI ahead
2026-07-0256.18130.90-1.81URI ahead
2026-07-0154.45132.47-2.01URI ahead
2026-06-3053.35134.99-2.19URI ahead
2026-06-2954.83133.77-2.06URI ahead
2026-06-2654.72133.65-2.08URI ahead
2026-06-2552.36135.77-2.36URI ahead
2026-06-2452.48129.13-2.16URI ahead
2026-06-2351.52126.67-2.18URI ahead
2026-06-2252.31130.19-2.26URI ahead
2026-06-1852.52128.30-2.20URI ahead
2026-06-1751.99124.99-2.15URI ahead
2026-06-1653.93127.47-2.09URI ahead
2026-06-1552.50129.16-2.29URI ahead
2026-06-1251.31128.00-2.38URI ahead
2026-06-1150.95127.31-2.41URI ahead
2026-06-1050.28125.87-2.45URI ahead
2026-06-0951.22130.37-2.55URI ahead
2026-06-0850.98129.17-2.56URI ahead
2026-06-0551.01127.23-2.52URI ahead
2026-06-0452.82129.23-2.47URI ahead
2026-06-0352.64125.89-2.40URI ahead
2026-06-0255.02118.53-1.94URI ahead
2026-06-0155.83118.89-1.91URI ahead
2026-05-2955.29118.64-1.96URI ahead
2026-05-2854.93117.77-1.98URI ahead
2026-05-2754.06117.75-2.07URI ahead
2026-05-2654.56114.73-1.93URI ahead
2026-05-2254.65111.84-1.82URI ahead
2026-05-2154.73111.07-1.80URI ahead
2026-05-2054.82111.56-1.82URI ahead
2026-05-1954.15110.53-1.85URI ahead
2026-05-1854.84112.55-1.90URI ahead
2026-05-1554.87114.52-1.99URI ahead
2026-05-1455.65115.93-2.01URI ahead
2026-05-1355.88111.44-1.82URI ahead
2026-05-1256.14113.88-1.92URI ahead
2026-05-1155.68111.78-1.88URI ahead
2026-05-0856.05111.64-1.86URI ahead
2026-05-0757.10112.49-1.83URI ahead
2026-05-0657.17114.92-1.94URI ahead
2026-05-0557.44111.28-1.78URI ahead
2026-05-0462.26110.24-1.38URI ahead
2026-05-0162.32113.10-1.50URI ahead
2026-04-3061.95114.37-1.59URI ahead
2026-04-2962.94113.45-1.49URI ahead
2026-04-2861.33114.71-1.68URI ahead
2026-04-2761.49114.37-1.67URI ahead
2026-04-2462.37116.10-1.69URI ahead
2026-04-2361.47117.58-1.83URI ahead
2026-04-2263.2895.65-0.74URI ahead
2026-04-2162.8696.06-0.79URI ahead
2026-04-2063.5896.78-0.78URI ahead
2026-04-1762.7794.86-0.76URI ahead
2026-04-1661.5492.64-0.74URI ahead
2026-04-1561.2491.19-0.70URI ahead
2026-04-1459.2791.87-0.89URI ahead
2026-04-1358.7092.88-0.99URI ahead
2026-04-1055.8991.98-1.18URI ahead
2026-04-0956.8191.43-1.09URI ahead
2026-04-0856.6590.64-1.07URI ahead
2026-04-0755.4487.31-1.00URI ahead
2026-04-0656.1987.75-0.97URI ahead
2026-04-0256.0287.23-0.97URI ahead
2026-04-0155.1487.16-1.04URI ahead
2026-03-3155.8886.81-0.97URI ahead
2026-03-3055.1985.06-0.94URI ahead
2026-03-2753.8587.49-1.19URI ahead
2026-03-2655.8488.44-1.08URI ahead
2026-03-2555.4189.08-1.16URI ahead
2026-03-2454.6288.99-1.22URI ahead
2026-03-2356.2087.22-1.02URI ahead
2026-03-2054.3784.65-1.04URI ahead
2026-03-1954.6085.78-1.09URI ahead
2026-03-1855.0986.42-1.09URI ahead
2026-03-1756.9988.77-1.06URI ahead
2026-03-1656.1288.54-1.13URI ahead
2026-03-1355.4787.84-1.15URI ahead
2026-03-1254.8187.44-1.19URI ahead
2026-03-1156.3093.01-1.35URI ahead
2026-03-1055.6292.44-1.39URI ahead
2026-03-0957.0397.78-1.54URI ahead
2026-03-0658.0396.46-1.42URI ahead
2026-03-0558.86100.44-1.54URI ahead
2026-03-0457.76101.50-1.69URI ahead
2026-03-0357.3099.31-1.64URI ahead
2026-03-0256.3897.77-1.66URI ahead
2026-02-2757.09100.09-1.72URI ahead
2026-02-2656.25102.24-1.90URI ahead
2026-02-2558.46101.81-1.72URI ahead
2026-02-2458.09106.86-1.98URI ahead
2026-02-2354.42105.17-2.23URI ahead
2026-02-2051.46108.32-2.65URI ahead
2026-02-1951.56105.92-2.58URI ahead
2026-02-1851.21104.87-2.61URI ahead
2026-02-1750.42102.86-2.64URI ahead
2026-02-1349.78103.61-2.78URI ahead
2026-02-1248.28103.60-2.99URI ahead
2026-02-1149.99104.12-2.90URI ahead
2026-02-1051.26104.45-2.85URI ahead
2026-02-0950.84104.44-2.95URI ahead
2026-02-0649.94107.18-3.24URI ahead
2026-02-0549.30101.01-3.07URI ahead
2026-02-0450.69101.06-2.98URI ahead
2026-02-0351.5294.46-2.58URI ahead
2026-02-0264.6592.82-1.31URI ahead
2026-01-3065.1093.18-1.31URI ahead
2026-01-2965.6293.78-1.31URI ahead
2026-01-2866.81107.62-1.95URI ahead
2026-01-2768.58108.12-1.86URI ahead
2026-01-2669.93108.57-1.79URI ahead
2026-01-2369.95109.50-1.85URI ahead
2026-01-2270.61113.91-2.04URI ahead
2026-01-2169.05112.01-2.09URI ahead
2026-01-2068.05108.49-2.02URI ahead
2026-01-1670.29109.77-1.92URI ahead
2026-01-1570.10110.40-1.99URI ahead
2026-01-1471.24109.30-1.86URI ahead
2026-01-1369.88112.02-2.12URI ahead
2026-01-1270.78113.01-2.12URI ahead
2026-01-0971.24111.86-2.04URI ahead
2026-01-0871.99109.36-1.88URI ahead
2026-01-0772.29104.96-1.65URI ahead
2026-01-0673.89106.29-1.61URI ahead
2026-01-0573.25105.69-1.64URI ahead
2026-01-0271.83100.69-1.49URI ahead
2025-12-3172.1396.43-1.25URI ahead
2025-12-3073.0297.38-1.24URI ahead
2025-12-2973.5097.65-1.23URI ahead
2025-12-2674.0998.65-1.25URI ahead
2025-12-2474.1898.27-1.24URI ahead
2025-12-2373.4097.45-1.26URI ahead
2025-12-2273.9697.31-1.22URI ahead
2025-12-1973.8996.80-1.20URI ahead
2025-12-1873.4495.38-1.17URI ahead
2025-12-1774.3594.43-1.06URI ahead
2025-12-1675.7797.55-1.14URI ahead
2025-12-1575.0496.56-1.14URI ahead
2025-12-1276.1897.50-1.12URI ahead
2025-12-1176.2299.35-1.23URI ahead
2025-12-1075.5696.94-1.16URI ahead
2025-12-0975.0994.12-1.04URI ahead
2025-12-0875.5193.54-0.98URI ahead
2025-12-0576.9594.95-0.97URI ahead
2025-12-0476.2796.24-1.10URI ahead
2025-12-0375.6696.95-1.19URI ahead
2025-12-0277.7195.42-0.97URI ahead
2025-12-0177.3295.95-1.03URI ahead
2025-11-2877.4597.13-1.10URI ahead
2025-11-2676.3997.10-1.18URI ahead
2025-11-2575.6496.51-1.21URI ahead
2025-11-2474.8296.63-1.29URI ahead
2025-11-2174.8395.32-1.22URI ahead
2025-11-2071.7991.75-1.25URI ahead
2025-11-1974.2694.40-1.23URI ahead
2025-11-1874.9995.38-1.24URI ahead
2025-11-1776.4696.11-1.18URI ahead
2025-11-1477.6099.38-1.30URI ahead
2025-11-1380.71100.48-1.15URI ahead
2025-11-1283.02102.55-1.11URI ahead
2025-11-1183.27101.88-1.07URI ahead
2025-11-1081.85101.82-1.17URI ahead
2025-11-0781.81101.07-1.14URI ahead
2025-11-0681.86100.69-1.12URI ahead
2025-11-0584.09100.62-0.97URI ahead
2025-11-0481.64101.61-1.20URI ahead
2025-11-0384.43102.16-1.05URI ahead
2025-10-3185.58103.80-1.07URI ahead
2025-10-3083.93102.34-1.11URI ahead
2025-10-2986.09103.75-1.05URI ahead
2025-10-2890.21104.34-0.82URI ahead
2025-10-2786.79107.28-1.20URI ahead
2025-10-2486.20108.82-1.34URI ahead
2025-10-2386.06108.94-1.36URI ahead
2025-10-2284.10118.14-1.99URI ahead
2025-10-2186.55119.42-1.90URI ahead
2025-10-2085.50119.19-1.98URI ahead
2025-10-1783.28116.81-2.04URI ahead
2025-10-1681.60119.82-2.35URI ahead
2025-10-1583.99121.53-2.30URI ahead
2025-10-1485.43119.21-2.10URI ahead
2025-10-1385.08116.12-1.99URI ahead
2025-10-1086.29113.20-1.77URI ahead
2025-10-0993.59116.82-1.47URI ahead
2025-10-0894.06118.48-1.54URI ahead
2025-10-0792.18117.79-1.64URI ahead
2025-10-0688.08117.64-1.95URI ahead
2025-10-0385.56116.86-2.11URI ahead
2025-10-0285.16116.56-2.15URI ahead
2025-10-0182.36114.73-2.30URI ahead
2025-09-3082.85113.75-2.24URI ahead
2025-09-2986.09112.47-1.93URI ahead
2025-09-2683.15112.87-2.21URI ahead
2025-09-2582.46110.96-2.18URI ahead
2025-09-2483.84111.50-2.13URI ahead
2025-09-2383.16113.82-2.36URI ahead
2025-09-2283.62112.41-2.27URI ahead
2025-09-1984.28112.18-2.23URI ahead
2025-09-1884.66112.33-2.23URI ahead
2025-09-1784.78110.93-2.16URI ahead
2025-09-1682.59114.22-2.60URI ahead
2025-09-1582.91112.94-2.53URI ahead
2025-09-1282.64111.76-2.52URI ahead
2025-09-1183.11114.34-2.70URI ahead
2025-09-1081.10112.58-2.82URI ahead
2025-09-0983.62112.64-2.63URI ahead
2025-09-0884.51115.60-2.81URI ahead
2025-09-0584.33116.20-2.93URI ahead
2025-09-0484.58114.94-2.87URI ahead
2025-09-0386.04112.63-2.61URI ahead
2025-09-0285.56114.24-2.83URI ahead
2025-08-2986.72113.95-2.74URI ahead
2025-08-2886.56113.82-2.80URI ahead
2025-08-2786.05113.11-2.85URI ahead
2025-08-2686.71112.44-2.78URI ahead
2025-08-2585.84111.94-2.89URI ahead
2025-08-2286.36110.80-2.79URI ahead
2025-08-2183.46106.06-2.75URI ahead
2025-08-2084.11107.46-2.85URI ahead
2025-08-1985.31109.10-2.91URI ahead
2025-08-1885.90108.91-2.88URI ahead
2025-08-1585.53108.29-2.92URI ahead
2025-08-1485.72109.79-3.09URI ahead
2025-08-1387.26111.08-3.09URI ahead
2025-08-1283.98109.26-3.39URI ahead
2025-08-1182.88103.63-3.04URI ahead
2025-08-0883.58102.35-2.86URI ahead
2025-08-0784.28101.83-2.75URI ahead
2025-08-0685.77102.62-2.68URI ahead
2025-08-0583.80103.31-3.06URI ahead
2025-08-0484.03103.49-3.09URI ahead
2025-08-0182.91102.42-3.17URI ahead
2025-07-3184.95105.20-3.20URI ahead
2025-07-3086.13104.90-3.00URI ahead
2025-07-2988.28105.12-2.72URI ahead
2025-07-2896.64107.17-1.89URI ahead
2025-07-2596.34106.04-1.79URI ahead
2025-07-2496.15104.29-1.61URI ahead
2025-07-2394.7195.71-0.81URI ahead
2025-07-2293.9094.25-0.72URI ahead
2025-07-2192.4492.70-0.70URI ahead
2025-07-1891.6496.28-1.19URI ahead
2025-07-1791.2597.32-1.34URI ahead
2025-07-1690.1595.14-1.22URI ahead
2025-07-1590.1495.10-1.22URI ahead
2025-07-1491.2996.35-1.22URI ahead
2025-07-1188.1697.02-1.68URI ahead
2025-07-1093.5397.67-1.12URI ahead
2025-07-0992.4595.80-1.04URI ahead
2025-07-0892.7094.31-0.84URI ahead
2025-07-0794.1293.41-0.57URI ahead
2025-07-0394.6394.43-0.62URI ahead
2025-07-0294.2893.87-0.59URI ahead
2025-07-0193.0292.24-0.55URI ahead
2025-06-3091.8289.77-0.40near the usual relationship
2025-06-2790.9889.68-0.48near the usual relationship
2025-06-2690.4088.42-0.39near the usual relationship
2025-06-2590.2887.72-0.32near the usual relationship
2025-06-2490.9188.26-0.31near the usual relationship
2025-06-2388.9785.38-0.19near the usual relationship
2025-06-2086.5584.05-0.31near the usual relationship
2025-06-1884.7283.25-0.43near the usual relationship
2025-06-1787.3182.81-0.06near the usual relationship
2025-06-1689.2882.02+0.27near the usual relationship
2025-06-1387.5182.79-0.03near the usual relationship
2025-06-1292.4385.42+0.21near the usual relationship
2025-06-1192.1885.78+0.14near the usual relationship
2025-06-1092.3685.28+0.22near the usual relationship
2025-06-0990.8784.26+0.18near the usual relationship
2025-06-0690.7284.20+0.17near the usual relationship
2025-06-0589.5483.31+0.14near the usual relationship
2025-06-0489.9483.00+0.23near the usual relationship
2025-06-0388.1383.75-0.07near the usual relationship
2025-06-0287.6382.35+0.05near the usual relationship
2025-05-3086.8384.40-0.30near the usual relationship
2025-05-2987.6385.19-0.29near the usual relationship
2025-05-2888.2684.85-0.18near the usual relationship
2025-05-2788.3185.50-0.24near the usual relationship
2025-05-2386.3083.42-0.22near the usual relationship
2025-05-2288.2883.84-0.04near the usual relationship
2025-05-2188.5282.91+0.11near the usual relationship
2025-05-2089.7185.25-0.04near the usual relationship
2025-05-1989.3586.26-0.19near the usual relationship
2025-05-1689.1886.46-0.24near the usual relationship
2025-05-1588.4284.99-0.14near the usual relationship
2025-05-1489.7985.00+0.02near the usual relationship
2025-05-1389.3186.02-0.16near the usual relationship
2025-05-1289.3484.82-0.01near the usual relationship
2025-05-0986.8180.12+0.28near the usual relationship
2025-05-0887.0879.83+0.35near the usual relationship
2025-05-0784.8777.66+0.37near the usual relationship
2025-05-0684.0777.64+0.28near the usual relationship
2025-05-0584.6878.37+0.26near the usual relationship
2025-05-0283.0779.28-0.05near the usual relationship
2025-05-0180.8176.33+0.06near the usual relationship
2025-04-3081.3475.24+0.27near the usual relationship
2025-04-2981.9475.09+0.37near the usual relationship
2025-04-2880.2274.97+0.18near the usual relationship
2025-04-2580.7375.49+0.17near the usual relationship
2025-04-2480.0277.13-0.13near the usual relationship
2025-04-2377.1770.21+0.45near the usual relationship
2025-04-2275.8868.48+0.54PYPL ahead
2025-04-2174.4867.99+0.42near the usual relationship
2025-04-1775.3670.48+0.18near the usual relationship
2025-04-1674.4369.73+0.17near the usual relationship
2025-04-1576.6071.15+0.26near the usual relationship
2025-04-1476.9371.11+0.31near the usual relationship
2025-04-1177.3369.45+0.60PYPL ahead
2025-04-1074.8269.10+0.33near the usual relationship
2025-04-0979.0172.82+0.35near the usual relationship
2025-04-0870.9365.76+0.29near the usual relationship
2025-04-0772.3166.82+0.33near the usual relationship
2025-04-0472.1267.27+0.24near the usual relationship
2025-04-0376.2470.44+0.34near the usual relationship
2025-04-0282.9676.99+0.30near the usual relationship
2025-04-0181.6775.30+0.37near the usual relationship
2025-03-3180.6274.67+0.33near the usual relationship
2025-03-2880.4974.79+0.30near the usual relationship
2025-03-2785.0876.96+0.57PYPL ahead
2025-03-2686.4576.45+0.81PYPL ahead
2025-03-2587.5577.85+0.76PYPL ahead
2025-03-2487.6877.10+0.88PYPL ahead
2025-03-2186.7274.85+1.07PYPL ahead
2025-03-2086.0875.15+0.96PYPL ahead
2025-03-1986.4874.70+1.08PYPL ahead
2025-03-1885.1072.57+1.21PYPL ahead
2025-03-1786.0573.96+1.15PYPL ahead
2025-03-1485.1974.22+1.02PYPL ahead
2025-03-1382.6770.80+1.20PYPL ahead
2025-03-1284.7872.60+1.21PYPL ahead
2025-03-1183.9971.58+1.27PYPL ahead
2025-03-1084.2171.46+1.32PYPL ahead
2025-03-0787.0874.92+1.19PYPL ahead
2025-03-0684.1174.57+0.90PYPL ahead
2025-03-0585.8775.53+0.98PYPL ahead
2025-03-0483.3771.24+1.28PYPL ahead
2025-03-0386.1773.58+1.30PYPL ahead
2025-02-2887.7876.53+1.10PYPL ahead
2025-02-2787.3975.44+1.21PYPL ahead
2025-02-2689.0276.61+1.25PYPL ahead
2025-02-2591.5176.09+1.61PYPL ahead
2025-02-2492.9775.30+1.89PYPL ahead
2025-02-2192.6078.32+1.47PYPL ahead
2025-02-2095.9182.78+1.28PYPL ahead
2025-02-1996.8184.52+1.17PYPL ahead
2025-02-1897.1385.83+1.06PYPL ahead
2025-02-1496.3388.32+0.69PYPL ahead
2025-02-1394.6386.91+0.68PYPL ahead
2025-02-1294.2387.52+0.57PYPL ahead
2025-02-1194.1689.72+0.32near the usual relationship
2025-02-1096.6689.04+0.66PYPL ahead
2025-02-0795.5288.26+0.64PYPL ahead
2025-02-0697.0789.30+0.68PYPL ahead
2025-02-0597.8587.96+0.92PYPL ahead
2025-02-0496.0389.78+0.53PYPL ahead
2025-02-03110.5987.96+2.19PYPL ahead
2025-01-31109.4490.32+1.83PYPL ahead
2025-01-30110.6692.23+1.75PYPL ahead
2025-01-29109.6690.36+1.88PYPL ahead
2025-01-28108.9691.38+1.72PYPL ahead
2025-01-27111.4991.74+1.93PYPL ahead
2025-01-24110.0994.08+1.54PYPL ahead
2025-01-23110.8693.96+1.63PYPL ahead
2025-01-22111.0193.24+1.72PYPL ahead
2025-01-21110.9194.01+1.63PYPL ahead
2025-01-17113.4391.87+2.12PYPL ahead
2025-01-16109.8690.25+1.99PYPL ahead
2025-01-15110.7588.35+2.33PYPL ahead
2025-01-14107.7186.96+2.21PYPL ahead
2025-01-13103.7782.11+2.45PYPL ahead
2025-01-10102.9979.94+2.69PYPL ahead
2025-01-08108.6579.83+3.36PYPL ahead
2025-01-07108.6981.67+3.17PYPL ahead
2025-01-06110.6181.50+3.47PYPL ahead
2025-01-03108.2382.85+3.08PYPL ahead
2025-01-02106.4782.19+3.03PYPL ahead
2024-12-31105.4583.93+2.71PYPL ahead
2024-12-30105.5584.12+2.72PYPL ahead
2024-12-27107.3185.38+2.78PYPL ahead
2024-12-26108.9086.52+2.84PYPL ahead
2024-12-24109.0386.67+2.87PYPL ahead
2024-12-23107.3685.74+2.85PYPL ahead
2024-12-20107.6586.10+2.87PYPL ahead
2024-12-19107.2284.71+3.07PYPL ahead
2024-12-18105.5786.28+2.66PYPL ahead
2024-12-17112.2690.36+2.90PYPL ahead
2024-12-16112.8091.14+2.89PYPL ahead
2024-12-13112.4592.80+2.60PYPL ahead
2024-12-12110.4593.72+2.22PYPL ahead
2024-12-11112.1294.96+2.23PYPL ahead
2024-12-10109.6694.85+1.93PYPL ahead
2024-12-09111.1999.60+1.44PYPL ahead
2024-12-06111.05102.34+1.03PYPL ahead
2024-12-05110.01101.87+0.95PYPL ahead
2024-12-04110.37103.45+0.77PYPL ahead
2024-12-03105.19103.54+0.15near the usual relationship
2024-12-02106.91102.12+0.50PYPL ahead
2024-11-29107.20103.18+0.39near the usual relationship
2024-11-27106.96102.11+0.47near the usual relationship
2024-11-26107.41104.04+0.29near the usual relationship
2024-11-25108.44102.99+0.50PYPL ahead
2024-11-22107.20101.20+0.56PYPL ahead
2024-11-21104.79100.18+0.40near the usual relationship
2024-11-20104.6997.77+0.65PYPL ahead
2024-11-19103.8997.84+0.55PYPL ahead
2024-11-18104.6199.25+0.46near the usual relationship
2024-11-15106.0499.61+0.55PYPL ahead
2024-11-14105.99101.23+0.36near the usual relationship
2024-11-13107.87102.33+0.42near the usual relationship
2024-11-12106.75103.47+0.19near the usual relationship
2024-11-11107.41104.12+0.17near the usual relationship
2024-11-08102.56104.26-0.33near the usual relationship
2024-11-07100.51102.76-0.39near the usual relationship
2024-11-06100.58104.89-0.60URI ahead
2024-11-0597.9195.08+0.11near the usual relationship
2024-11-0496.5393.65+0.10near the usual relationship
2024-11-0195.4494.54-0.11near the usual relationship
2024-10-3197.9796.85-0.10near the usual relationship
2024-10-3096.6496.77-0.23near the usual relationship
2024-10-2999.1896.80+0.01near the usual relationship
2024-10-28103.2798.26+0.23near the usual relationship
2024-10-25100.9496.81+0.15near the usual relationship
2024-10-24100.5698.30-0.04near the usual relationship
2024-10-2399.8699.39-0.21near the usual relationship
2024-10-2299.96100.98-0.35near the usual relationship
2024-10-2199.5399.20-0.24near the usual relationship
2024-10-18100.00100.00-0.27near the usual relationship

One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Feb 4, 2025 (PYPL -13.2%, URI +2.1%); Oct 23, 2025 (PYPL +2.3%, URI -7.8%); Jan 29, 2026 (PYPL -1.8%, URI -12.9%); Feb 3, 2026 (PYPL -20.3%, URI +1.8%); Apr 23, 2026 (PYPL -2.9%, URI +22.9%); Jul 15, 2026 (PYPL +17.2%, URI -1.7%). Upcoming earnings: PYPL Oct 27, 2026 (pre-market).

Paired trades

The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart

Forward paper record

No paper position on this pair yet.

Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)

No simulated trade through Oct 20, 2026: the pair rarely passed every test while 2 standard deviations apart.

Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.

The companies

PYPL and URI at a glance

PYPL PayPal Holdings Inc.

Listing
Nasdaq · SEC CIK 1633917
Industry
Diversified Commercial Services · SIC 7389 Services-Business Services, NEC
Market value
$48.3B
Price history
2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026

URI United Rentals Inc.

Listing
NYSE · SEC CIK 1067701
Industry
Diversified Commercial Services · SIC 7359 Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC
Market value
$63.8B
Price history
2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026

Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.

Related
All pairs →
PairStatusAhead nowIndustry
URI / AERWatchlistURI by 1.18 sdSIC 7359 Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC
URI / SUNBWatchlistURI by 0.93 sdSIC 7359 Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC
ABNB / PYPLWatchlistABNB by 0.70 sdDiversified Commercial Services
ABNB / URIWatchlistABNB by 0.44 sdDiversified Commercial Services

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Explore the private beta

Paper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.