Steel/Iron Ore

Nucor Corporation vs Steel Dynamics Inc.

WatchlistNUE / STLDPrices through Oct 22, 2026

Why these are rivals: #1 and #3 by market value ($59B vs $35B) in Nasdaq's "Steel/Iron Ore" industry; SEC SIC 3312 / 3312 (same major group); #1 and #3 by market value ($59B vs $35B) with SEC SIC 3312 (Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens)).

Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.

  • Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.56 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Business leadership

NUE is the larger business

Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.

YearNUESTLDLarger
2025$32.5B$18.2BNUE
2024$30.7B$17.5BNUE
2023$34.7B$18.8BNUE
2022$41.5B$22.3BNUE
2021$36.5B$18.4BNUE
2020$20.1B$9.6BNUE

NUE led in every year with figures for both. Market value: NUE $59.2B, STLD $35.1B.

Stock leadership

NUE is ahead now

Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.

NUE leads STLD by 1.88 standard deviations: +9.4% over its usual price ratio. 3 lead switches in the last year.

Price change3 mo6 mo12 mo
NUE+4.2%+21.2%+83.6%
STLD-2.9%+6.6%+56.0%
Relationship

Not a measured twin today

Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.

Pass
Aligned sessions: 2521 (needs >= 254)
Pass
Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.88 (needs >= 0.60)
Fail
Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.56 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Pass
Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 27.48 (needs <= 63)
Data
Both stocks current
The twins over two years

Prices side by side, and the gap between them

NUE Nucor Corporation STLD Steel Dynamics Inc.Price index, 100 = 2024-10-18. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).
100150200Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026NUE 163STLD 176
Spread z-score: NUE relative to STLD, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: NUE ahead; below 0: STLD ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).
-4stop-2idea0+2idea+4stopOct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026
Data table (504 sessions)
DateNUE indexSTLD indexzAhead
2026-10-22163.08175.66+1.88NUE ahead
2026-10-21167.18181.57+1.72NUE ahead
2026-10-20165.26178.93+1.81NUE ahead
2026-10-19164.77179.52+1.69NUE ahead
2026-10-16161.96176.13+1.75NUE ahead
2026-10-15160.95176.29+1.61NUE ahead
2026-10-14162.48177.87+1.64NUE ahead
2026-10-13160.39176.20+1.58NUE ahead
2026-10-12159.14175.10+1.56NUE ahead
2026-10-09158.20174.55+1.51NUE ahead
2026-10-08155.55171.47+1.55NUE ahead
2026-10-07155.74171.41+1.60NUE ahead
2026-10-06158.66174.39+1.64NUE ahead
2026-10-05158.88176.50+1.42NUE ahead
2026-10-02151.91169.87+1.29NUE ahead
2026-10-01149.13165.61+1.45NUE ahead
2026-09-30147.72162.27+1.71NUE ahead
2026-09-29149.29162.48+1.94NUE ahead
2026-09-28154.51168.70+1.89NUE ahead
2026-09-25156.25171.09+1.84NUE ahead
2026-09-24156.70172.22+1.77NUE ahead
2026-09-23156.08171.55+1.79NUE ahead
2026-09-22155.25171.33+1.71NUE ahead
2026-09-21153.19168.40+1.82NUE ahead
2026-09-18156.96172.26+1.86NUE ahead
2026-09-17167.56179.65+2.44NUE ahead
2026-09-16164.74174.44+2.74NUE ahead
2026-09-15163.56175.16+2.47NUE ahead
2026-09-14160.91171.73+2.57NUE ahead
2026-09-11163.95175.58+2.49NUE ahead
2026-09-10161.44173.60+2.39NUE ahead
2026-09-09162.99176.24+2.26NUE ahead
2026-09-08162.03175.96+2.14NUE ahead
2026-09-04164.98177.24+2.38NUE ahead
2026-09-03165.87180.15+2.09NUE ahead
2026-09-02166.82181.33+2.03NUE ahead
2026-09-01159.20171.41+2.22NUE ahead
2026-08-31157.76170.33+2.12NUE ahead
2026-08-28158.30171.83+1.97NUE ahead
2026-08-27159.49172.69+1.99NUE ahead
2026-08-26159.76172.73+2.00NUE ahead
2026-08-25156.44169.20+1.97NUE ahead
2026-08-24154.60167.88+1.86NUE ahead
2026-08-21153.96167.45+1.79NUE ahead
2026-08-20151.97160.36+2.40NUE ahead
2026-08-19157.19169.15+1.96NUE ahead
2026-08-18166.96182.92+1.56NUE ahead
2026-08-17172.32189.03+1.52NUE ahead
2026-08-14169.94187.28+1.40NUE ahead
2026-08-13172.07190.77+1.27NUE ahead
2026-08-12171.77192.71+1.02NUE ahead
2026-08-11171.86193.08+0.97NUE ahead
2026-08-10173.54196.68+0.79NUE ahead
2026-08-07172.29192.17+1.07NUE ahead
2026-08-06171.89191.46+1.08NUE ahead
2026-08-05173.62194.74+0.93NUE ahead
2026-08-04173.18194.11+0.93NUE ahead
2026-08-03165.12189.19+0.53NUE ahead
2026-07-31162.59183.98+0.73NUE ahead
2026-07-30162.44184.89+0.62NUE ahead
2026-07-29161.79184.77+0.55NUE ahead
2026-07-28167.86190.19+0.68NUE ahead
2026-07-27156.64183.25+0.12near the usual relationship
2026-07-24156.45180.94+0.31near the usual relationship
2026-07-23152.40176.15+0.31near the usual relationship
2026-07-22149.08174.74+0.08near the usual relationship
2026-07-21147.37170.99+0.24near the usual relationship
2026-07-20145.82168.77+0.27near the usual relationship
2026-07-17149.53172.45+0.33near the usual relationship
2026-07-16148.93172.06+0.29near the usual relationship
2026-07-15149.69172.48+0.33near the usual relationship
2026-07-14147.98170.86+0.29near the usual relationship
2026-07-13147.24171.44+0.15near the usual relationship
2026-07-10143.69167.25+0.16near the usual relationship
2026-07-09140.47162.60+0.24near the usual relationship
2026-07-08143.25167.50+0.08near the usual relationship
2026-07-07143.72168.13+0.07near the usual relationship
2026-07-06141.51166.27+0.00near the usual relationship
2026-07-02139.50161.38+0.24near the usual relationship
2026-07-01138.41162.38+0.02near the usual relationship
2026-06-30140.77168.02-0.26near the usual relationship
2026-06-29144.45171.50-0.18near the usual relationship
2026-06-26151.53179.75-0.17near the usual relationship
2026-06-25157.29183.79+0.08near the usual relationship
2026-06-24152.00176.78+0.15near the usual relationship
2026-06-23151.43178.44-0.06near the usual relationship
2026-06-22154.78183.77-0.18near the usual relationship
2026-06-18154.09182.99-0.18near the usual relationship
2026-06-17159.63197.80-0.86STLD ahead
2026-06-16163.73200.84-0.69STLD ahead
2026-06-15163.88199.30-0.55STLD ahead
2026-06-12168.32207.04-0.73STLD ahead
2026-06-11164.88204.69-0.87STLD ahead
2026-06-10158.30196.49-0.87STLD ahead
2026-06-09160.72197.55-0.71STLD ahead
2026-06-08160.14195.65-0.61STLD ahead
2026-06-05160.76196.60-0.62STLD ahead
2026-06-04165.75202.72-0.61STLD ahead
2026-06-03162.87201.46-0.78STLD ahead
2026-06-02163.33198.73-0.52STLD ahead
2026-06-01158.93191.54-0.36near the usual relationship
2026-05-29157.99190.49-0.36near the usual relationship
2026-05-28157.55190.93-0.43near the usual relationship
2026-05-27155.76189.08-0.44near the usual relationship
2026-05-26151.85183.42-0.36near the usual relationship
2026-05-22146.61175.76-0.24near the usual relationship
2026-05-21143.10169.76-0.07near the usual relationship
2026-05-20142.61167.17+0.11near the usual relationship
2026-05-19140.12163.56+0.18near the usual relationship
2026-05-18143.12167.37+0.16near the usual relationship
2026-05-15143.47167.93+0.15near the usual relationship
2026-05-14147.15171.84+0.19near the usual relationship
2026-05-13146.83173.60+0.02near the usual relationship
2026-05-12145.24170.46+0.13near the usual relationship
2026-05-11146.61172.78+0.08near the usual relationship
2026-05-08143.77172.15-0.14near the usual relationship
2026-05-07143.26170.55-0.05near the usual relationship
2026-05-06148.02177.09-0.12near the usual relationship
2026-05-05146.66173.87+0.01near the usual relationship
2026-05-04142.70168.28+0.09near the usual relationship
2026-05-01142.85167.88+0.14near the usual relationship
2026-04-30142.37167.43+0.13near the usual relationship
2026-04-29140.54164.29+0.22near the usual relationship
2026-04-28142.26166.19+0.24near the usual relationship
2026-04-27135.87164.78-0.28near the usual relationship
2026-04-24135.42166.06-0.42near the usual relationship
2026-04-23134.57164.79-0.40near the usual relationship
2026-04-22135.40166.55-0.47near the usual relationship
2026-04-21131.48161.24-0.42near the usual relationship
2026-04-20127.82153.29-0.12near the usual relationship
2026-04-17123.78146.68+0.05near the usual relationship
2026-04-16121.24143.33+0.08near the usual relationship
2026-04-15119.82142.13+0.04near the usual relationship
2026-04-14120.10143.00-0.01near the usual relationship
2026-04-13119.86143.13-0.04near the usual relationship
2026-04-10117.62139.54+0.05near the usual relationship
2026-04-09116.28139.12-0.07near the usual relationship
2026-04-08115.12137.34-0.03near the usual relationship
2026-04-07109.49129.74+0.07near the usual relationship
2026-04-06107.17129.26-0.17near the usual relationship
2026-04-02108.99131.95-0.23near the usual relationship
2026-04-01109.78133.89-0.33near the usual relationship
2026-03-31106.86131.80-0.48near the usual relationship
2026-03-30104.11125.78-0.20near the usual relationship
2026-03-27103.24125.19-0.25near the usual relationship
2026-03-26104.91127.71-0.31near the usual relationship
2026-03-25104.38127.02-0.31near the usual relationship
2026-03-24102.84124.26-0.21near the usual relationship
2026-03-23101.50122.02-0.15near the usual relationship
2026-03-20100.21120.05-0.10near the usual relationship
2026-03-19102.34122.69-0.12near the usual relationship
2026-03-18101.85123.56-0.28near the usual relationship
2026-03-17102.43126.40-0.52STLD ahead
2026-03-16102.84127.61-0.60STLD ahead
2026-03-13103.31124.92-0.25near the usual relationship
2026-03-12104.70128.21-0.43near the usual relationship
2026-03-11108.58134.92-0.63STLD ahead
2026-03-10107.70133.40-0.59STLD ahead
2026-03-09107.10133.53-0.69STLD ahead
2026-03-06106.64132.98-0.70STLD ahead
2026-03-05108.76139.11-1.04STLD ahead
2026-03-04111.27141.99-1.02STLD ahead
2026-03-03112.11144.58-1.17STLD ahead
2026-03-02114.11147.55-1.22STLD ahead
2026-02-27111.78141.41-0.93STLD ahead
2026-02-26110.98140.97-0.99STLD ahead
2026-02-25110.89140.24-0.94STLD ahead
2026-02-24110.69139.76-0.92STLD ahead
2026-02-23113.02143.52-1.01STLD ahead
2026-02-20113.76141.61-0.74STLD ahead
2026-02-19113.78139.55-0.55STLD ahead
2026-02-18116.62141.13-0.37near the usual relationship
2026-02-17116.05140.53-0.38near the usual relationship
2026-02-13115.79140.35-0.40near the usual relationship
2026-02-12119.32146.09-0.54STLD ahead
2026-02-11122.86150.68-0.56STLD ahead
2026-02-10121.33147.27-0.43near the usual relationship
2026-02-09122.02148.46-0.46near the usual relationship
2026-02-06121.87148.20-0.46near the usual relationship
2026-02-05117.86141.33-0.28near the usual relationship
2026-02-04120.04145.62-0.44near the usual relationship
2026-02-03117.86141.28-0.28near the usual relationship
2026-02-02114.36136.60-0.23near the usual relationship
2026-01-30112.31131.49+0.04near the usual relationship
2026-01-29113.69133.24+0.03near the usual relationship
2026-01-28109.44127.69+0.09near the usual relationship
2026-01-27109.69128.62+0.02near the usual relationship
2026-01-26112.27126.91+0.52NUE ahead
2026-01-23114.79132.77+0.21near the usual relationship
2026-01-22113.92130.93+0.29near the usual relationship
2026-01-21113.90131.68+0.21near the usual relationship
2026-01-20110.27125.80+0.40near the usual relationship
2026-01-16110.21127.10+0.25near the usual relationship
2026-01-15110.46128.22+0.16near the usual relationship
2026-01-14108.88125.06+0.31near the usual relationship
2026-01-13107.10124.36+0.16near the usual relationship
2026-01-12104.88124.00-0.09near the usual relationship
2026-01-09103.49123.94-0.26near the usual relationship
2026-01-08106.09126.06-0.16near the usual relationship
2026-01-07104.15122.89-0.07near the usual relationship
2026-01-06107.02126.48-0.09near the usual relationship
2026-01-05106.25125.82-0.12near the usual relationship
2026-01-02107.05128.92-0.35near the usual relationship
2025-12-31103.08124.08-0.35near the usual relationship
2025-12-30104.15125.23-0.34near the usual relationship
2025-12-29104.58126.59-0.43near the usual relationship
2025-12-26105.13128.48-0.56STLD ahead
2025-12-24104.58128.42-0.63STLD ahead
2025-12-23103.44129.75-0.92STLD ahead
2025-12-22103.80128.70-0.77STLD ahead
2025-12-19100.58127.61-1.09STLD ahead
2025-12-1899.74127.83-1.24STLD ahead
2025-12-17101.55126.48-0.86STLD ahead
2025-12-16102.54123.84-0.44near the usual relationship
2025-12-15102.39123.71-0.45near the usual relationship
2025-12-12104.34125.92-0.44near the usual relationship
2025-12-11105.26126.68-0.40near the usual relationship
2025-12-10103.85125.38-0.45near the usual relationship
2025-12-0999.94121.13-0.51STLD ahead
2025-12-08100.67121.65-0.47near the usual relationship
2025-12-05100.76120.98-0.39near the usual relationship
2025-12-04102.72123.09-0.37near the usual relationship
2025-12-03104.09125.58-0.46near the usual relationship
2025-12-02101.80122.74-0.46near the usual relationship
2025-12-01101.55122.74-0.50STLD ahead
2025-11-28100.79122.89-0.62STLD ahead
2025-11-26100.56122.00-0.56STLD ahead
2025-11-2598.74120.27-0.62STLD ahead
2025-11-2497.10118.03-0.60STLD ahead
2025-11-2196.28115.81-0.46near the usual relationship
2025-11-2093.02112.11-0.49near the usual relationship
2025-11-1993.90113.83-0.57STLD ahead
2025-11-1893.85113.21-0.51STLD ahead
2025-11-1793.95113.55-0.54STLD ahead
2025-11-1493.39113.80-0.66STLD ahead
2025-11-1392.14113.19-0.77STLD ahead
2025-11-1293.77115.58-0.82STLD ahead
2025-11-1191.03111.58-0.76STLD ahead
2025-11-1090.15111.61-0.90STLD ahead
2025-11-0791.20111.25-0.71STLD ahead
2025-11-0691.42111.97-0.77STLD ahead
2025-11-0591.79112.86-0.82STLD ahead
2025-11-0491.18111.02-0.70STLD ahead
2025-11-0393.60114.21-0.73STLD ahead
2025-10-3194.82114.81-0.64STLD ahead
2025-10-3094.63115.82-0.79STLD ahead
2025-10-2997.59119.70-0.82STLD ahead
2025-10-2896.05117.94-0.84STLD ahead
2025-10-2791.10115.71-1.30STLD ahead
2025-10-2487.65111.99-1.39STLD ahead
2025-10-2387.49110.36-1.23STLD ahead
2025-10-2286.36108.78-1.22STLD ahead
2025-10-2188.80112.63-1.32STLD ahead
2025-10-2086.33107.11-1.03STLD ahead
2025-10-1783.28104.53-1.19STLD ahead
2025-10-1683.83104.45-1.10STLD ahead
2025-10-1586.43106.94-1.02STLD ahead
2025-10-1487.53107.62-0.94STLD ahead
2025-10-1386.56106.57-0.97STLD ahead
2025-10-1084.46103.41-0.90STLD ahead
2025-10-0987.32108.21-1.06STLD ahead
2025-10-0887.11107.31-0.99STLD ahead
2025-10-0785.82104.51-0.86STLD ahead
2025-10-0685.69103.71-0.78STLD ahead
2025-10-0387.23106.24-0.87STLD ahead
2025-10-0287.85105.73-0.73STLD ahead
2025-10-0185.56103.24-0.77STLD ahead
2025-09-3085.59102.09-0.63STLD ahead
2025-09-2986.00101.69-0.53STLD ahead
2025-09-2687.29102.24-0.42near the usual relationship
2025-09-2585.1699.65-0.42near the usual relationship
2025-09-2486.2099.85-0.31near the usual relationship
2025-09-2385.48100.09-0.44near the usual relationship
2025-09-2285.11101.83-0.70STLD ahead
2025-09-1984.24101.98-0.84STLD ahead
2025-09-1884.87102.39-0.80STLD ahead
2025-09-1790.24100.21+0.13near the usual relationship
2025-09-1690.32102.27-0.10near the usual relationship
2025-09-1589.4796.35+0.44near the usual relationship
2025-09-1289.3395.67+0.49near the usual relationship
2025-09-1190.8498.11+0.39near the usual relationship
2025-09-1089.6697.18+0.34near the usual relationship
2025-09-0989.1295.40+0.46near the usual relationship
2025-09-0891.0198.51+0.34near the usual relationship
2025-09-0593.0698.58+0.55NUE ahead
2025-09-0491.6095.82+0.67NUE ahead
2025-09-0391.7794.89+0.78NUE ahead
2025-09-0292.5294.47+0.90NUE ahead
2025-08-2993.9995.86+0.90NUE ahead
2025-08-2894.6796.34+0.92NUE ahead
2025-08-2795.0097.17+0.86NUE ahead
2025-08-2693.5096.46+0.77NUE ahead
2025-08-2594.5197.59+0.75NUE ahead
2025-08-2293.4897.15+0.68NUE ahead
2025-08-2190.5392.08+0.89NUE ahead
2025-08-2090.6791.86+0.92NUE ahead
2025-08-1992.2193.89+0.86NUE ahead
2025-08-1891.4192.19+0.95NUE ahead
2025-08-1591.8992.57+0.96NUE ahead
2025-08-1491.2293.34+0.80NUE ahead
2025-08-1392.1694.63+0.76NUE ahead
2025-08-1289.3891.97+0.74NUE ahead
2025-08-1187.0389.63+0.72NUE ahead
2025-08-0887.8390.08+0.76NUE ahead
2025-08-0787.0889.38+0.74NUE ahead
2025-08-0687.5489.50+0.77NUE ahead
2025-08-0588.1390.45+0.73NUE ahead
2025-08-0486.5688.86+0.72NUE ahead
2025-08-0187.6389.60+0.75NUE ahead
2025-07-3190.4193.40+0.65NUE ahead
2025-07-3090.3493.32+0.65NUE ahead
2025-07-2988.8893.37+0.48near the usual relationship
2025-07-2891.3395.35+0.53NUE ahead
2025-07-2592.1695.80+0.57NUE ahead
2025-07-2489.3892.87+0.56NUE ahead
2025-07-2391.6395.72+0.50NUE ahead
2025-07-2290.8696.83+0.31near the usual relationship
2025-07-2189.8398.51+0.05near the usual relationship
2025-07-1888.8796.38+0.14near the usual relationship
2025-07-1788.9596.03+0.18near the usual relationship
2025-07-1687.0893.34+0.24near the usual relationship
2025-07-1587.4594.35+0.17near the usual relationship
2025-07-1489.4797.55+0.08near the usual relationship
2025-07-1189.9998.90+0.00near the usual relationship
2025-07-1090.56100.59-0.10near the usual relationship
2025-07-0988.2899.64-0.24near the usual relationship
2025-07-0888.3099.61-0.24near the usual relationship
2025-07-0786.5597.74-0.26near the usual relationship
2025-07-0387.1397.56-0.19near the usual relationship
2025-07-0287.7598.16-0.19near the usual relationship
2025-07-0184.7595.30-0.24near the usual relationship
2025-06-3081.8693.73-0.40near the usual relationship
2025-06-2783.0696.08-0.49near the usual relationship
2025-06-2682.5496.29-0.57STLD ahead
2025-06-2581.0294.08-0.53STLD ahead
2025-06-2481.0293.89-0.52STLD ahead
2025-06-2379.6293.31-0.62STLD ahead
2025-06-2078.5592.19-0.64STLD ahead
2025-06-1879.7495.27-0.80STLD ahead
2025-06-1777.2297.50-1.27STLD ahead
2025-06-1676.8996.74-1.25STLD ahead
2025-06-1377.0597.74-1.33STLD ahead
2025-06-1274.8596.54-1.48STLD ahead
2025-06-1174.0295.21-1.47STLD ahead
2025-06-1078.7997.98-1.20STLD ahead
2025-06-0977.4397.85-1.34STLD ahead
2025-06-0676.8397.80-1.41STLD ahead
2025-06-0575.0496.73-1.53STLD ahead
2025-06-0477.0198.83-1.51STLD ahead
2025-06-0377.30100.20-1.60STLD ahead
2025-06-0276.0999.37-1.68STLD ahead
2025-05-3069.1190.11-1.69STLD ahead
2025-05-2968.8491.64-1.88STLD ahead
2025-05-2868.7892.79-2.01STLD ahead
2025-05-2769.1294.27-2.13STLD ahead
2025-05-2368.5691.76-1.99STLD ahead
2025-05-2269.9595.11-2.15STLD ahead
2025-05-2170.6096.81-2.25STLD ahead
2025-05-2072.6799.13-2.23STLD ahead
2025-05-1973.1999.63-2.24STLD ahead
2025-05-1673.4198.69-2.16STLD ahead
2025-05-1572.9797.97-2.18STLD ahead
2025-05-1474.0097.91-2.07STLD ahead
2025-05-1375.1899.16-2.06STLD ahead
2025-05-1275.9199.97-2.07STLD ahead
2025-05-0972.8195.56-2.06STLD ahead
2025-05-0872.9894.92-2.00STLD ahead
2025-05-0772.7795.70-2.13STLD ahead
2025-05-0673.8496.05-2.05STLD ahead
2025-05-0576.1497.47-1.93STLD ahead
2025-05-0277.7198.81-1.88STLD ahead
2025-05-0175.6695.41-1.82STLD ahead
2025-04-3075.4494.98-1.83STLD ahead
2025-04-2975.0694.66-1.86STLD ahead
2025-04-2873.6793.68-1.96STLD ahead
2025-04-2573.1393.24-2.00STLD ahead
2025-04-2472.8693.27-2.06STLD ahead
2025-04-2370.7389.69-1.98STLD ahead
2025-04-2269.2785.96-1.79STLD ahead
2025-04-2167.4183.14-1.75STLD ahead
2025-04-1769.8386.61-1.82STLD ahead
2025-04-1668.8585.82-1.88STLD ahead
2025-04-1569.8286.58-1.84STLD ahead
2025-04-1470.0386.95-1.87STLD ahead
2025-04-1170.3088.17-1.99STLD ahead
2025-04-1069.1686.03-1.93STLD ahead
2025-04-0972.9989.81-1.84STLD ahead
2025-04-0865.5280.71-1.87STLD ahead
2025-04-0766.3481.31-1.84STLD ahead
2025-04-0465.2379.97-1.86STLD ahead
2025-04-0369.3884.98-1.87STLD ahead
2025-04-0277.7593.26-1.68STLD ahead
2025-04-0175.6290.80-1.71STLD ahead
2025-03-3176.0591.59-1.75STLD ahead
2025-03-2877.0790.77-1.55STLD ahead
2025-03-2780.5593.72-1.45STLD ahead
2025-03-2680.4593.97-1.50STLD ahead
2025-03-2580.6193.72-1.47STLD ahead
2025-03-2480.5192.74-1.39STLD ahead
2025-03-2177.1089.82-1.51STLD ahead
2025-03-2081.8492.73-1.25STLD ahead
2025-03-1982.8294.11-1.29STLD ahead
2025-03-1882.0393.06-1.28STLD ahead
2025-03-1781.8491.48-1.15STLD ahead
2025-03-1483.4793.10-1.14STLD ahead
2025-03-1381.8890.25-1.03STLD ahead
2025-03-1282.7090.45-0.97STLD ahead
2025-03-1182.0988.42-0.83STLD ahead
2025-03-1080.0787.43-0.96STLD ahead
2025-03-0784.5091.55-0.90STLD ahead
2025-03-0683.4191.71-1.04STLD ahead
2025-03-0583.7393.52-1.19STLD ahead
2025-03-0481.8492.53-1.31STLD ahead
2025-03-0384.7395.56-1.30STLD ahead
2025-02-2886.8798.90-1.39STLD ahead
2025-02-2785.1997.62-1.46STLD ahead
2025-02-2685.0497.74-1.49STLD ahead
2025-02-2586.0097.74-1.40STLD ahead
2025-02-2486.0697.50-1.38STLD ahead
2025-02-2185.4695.71-1.28STLD ahead
2025-02-2088.4498.90-1.28STLD ahead
2025-02-1988.33100.14-1.41STLD ahead
2025-02-1890.07101.82-1.39STLD ahead
2025-02-1487.0699.46-1.49STLD ahead
2025-02-1385.6697.30-1.45STLD ahead
2025-02-1284.4096.87-1.55STLD ahead
2025-02-1187.2898.75-1.43STLD ahead
2025-02-1086.9197.29-1.35STLD ahead
2025-02-0782.3292.78-1.42STLD ahead
2025-02-0684.1894.43-1.39STLD ahead
2025-02-0584.1994.76-1.42STLD ahead
2025-02-0482.6792.54-1.38STLD ahead
2025-02-0382.9893.67-1.46STLD ahead
2025-01-3181.1693.87-1.68STLD ahead
2025-01-3081.3295.71-1.84STLD ahead
2025-01-2980.1894.58-1.88STLD ahead
2025-01-2879.9793.03-1.77STLD ahead
2025-01-2777.0889.34-1.76STLD ahead
2025-01-2477.2189.59-1.78STLD ahead
2025-01-2377.1489.60-1.81STLD ahead
2025-01-2277.1589.98-1.86STLD ahead
2025-01-2179.0491.30-1.79STLD ahead
2025-01-1778.7092.14-1.93STLD ahead
2025-01-1677.9691.53-1.97STLD ahead
2025-01-1577.7891.63-2.02STLD ahead
2025-01-1476.9490.44-2.02STLD ahead
2025-01-1377.6590.26-1.94STLD ahead
2025-01-1074.6785.18-1.79STLD ahead
2025-01-0874.6885.29-1.82STLD ahead
2025-01-0776.6487.73-1.86STLD ahead
2025-01-0676.2386.87-1.84STLD ahead
2025-01-0372.9682.85-1.83STLD ahead
2025-01-0272.3581.96-1.82STLD ahead
2024-12-3173.7683.52-1.84STLD ahead
2024-12-3073.2283.33-1.90STLD ahead
2024-12-2774.1284.77-1.97STLD ahead
2024-12-2674.9785.74-1.99STLD ahead
2024-12-2474.2185.71-2.10STLD ahead
2024-12-2373.6984.76-2.09STLD ahead
2024-12-2073.6784.71-2.11STLD ahead
2024-12-1973.1784.42-2.17STLD ahead
2024-12-1874.5485.49-2.14STLD ahead
2024-12-1776.4586.83-2.08STLD ahead
2024-12-1678.4689.12-2.10STLD ahead
2024-12-1379.1589.60-2.10STLD ahead
2024-12-1283.0492.93-2.01STLD ahead
2024-12-1187.4997.79-2.03STLD ahead
2024-12-1088.8399.06-2.03STLD ahead
2024-12-0991.37101.23-1.99STLD ahead
2024-12-0690.10100.24-2.05STLD ahead
2024-12-0591.99101.56-2.00STLD ahead
2024-12-0494.36103.52-1.97STLD ahead
2024-12-0397.94104.85-1.74STLD ahead
2024-12-0298.82106.03-1.79STLD ahead
2024-11-2997.76106.37-1.95STLD ahead
2024-11-2797.81105.32-1.86STLD ahead
2024-11-2697.32105.17-1.92STLD ahead
2024-11-2596.97106.16-2.08STLD ahead
2024-11-2296.01105.13-2.11STLD ahead
2024-11-2194.79106.14-2.37STLD ahead
2024-11-2093.64105.47-2.47STLD ahead
2024-11-1991.43102.69-2.48STLD ahead
2024-11-1893.05103.02-2.36STLD ahead
2024-11-1592.95102.08-2.31STLD ahead
2024-11-1492.51100.91-2.27STLD ahead
2024-11-1396.18103.90-2.20STLD ahead
2024-11-1297.25105.70-2.29STLD ahead
2024-11-11100.52108.22-2.22STLD ahead
2024-11-08100.38108.77-2.33STLD ahead
2024-11-07101.85108.33-2.15STLD ahead
2024-11-06106.00113.00-2.20STLD ahead
2024-11-0591.3999.33-2.46STLD ahead
2024-11-0490.1297.81-2.49STLD ahead
2024-11-0190.7297.86-2.46STLD ahead
2024-10-3189.6495.56-2.35STLD ahead
2024-10-3090.1897.22-2.53STLD ahead
2024-10-2993.0298.97-2.40STLD ahead
2024-10-2893.3699.38-2.45STLD ahead
2024-10-2589.4094.88-2.45STLD ahead
2024-10-2489.3295.44-2.57STLD ahead
2024-10-2389.5294.19-2.42STLD ahead
2024-10-2292.2896.51-2.38STLD ahead
2024-10-2198.6597.72-1.70STLD ahead
2024-10-18100.00100.00-1.84STLD ahead

One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Oct 22, 2024 (NUE -6.5%, STLD -1.2%); Jun 18, 2025 (NUE +3.3%, STLD -2.3%); Sep 16, 2025 (NUE +1.0%, STLD +6.2%); Sep 18, 2025 (NUE -6.0%, STLD +2.2%). Upcoming earnings: NUE Oct 26, 2026 (after-hours).

Paired trades

The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart

Forward paper record

No paper position on this pair yet.

Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)

1 simulated trade to Oct 20, 2026: +13.56% per trade on average after costs, 1 won. One simulated trade is still open (entered Sep 1, 2026).

LegsEnteredExitedWhyDaysBefore costsCosts + borrowAfter costs
Long NUE · Short STLDNov 17, 2020May 17, 2021converged181$1,504.56-$143.53$1,355.59 (+13.56%)

Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.

The companies

NUE and STLD at a glance

NUE Nucor Corporation

Listing
NYSE · SEC CIK 73309
Industry
Steel/Iron Ore · SIC 3312 Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens)
Market value
$59.2B
Price history
2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026

STLD Steel Dynamics Inc.

Listing
Nasdaq · SEC CIK 1022671
Industry
Steel/Iron Ore · SIC 3312 Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens)
Market value
$35.1B
Price history
2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026

Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.

Related
All pairs →
PairStatusAhead nowIndustry
NUE / MTWatchlistNUE by 2.19 sdSteel/Iron Ore
MT / STLDWatchlistSTLD by 1.23 sdSteel/Iron Ore

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Paper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.