McDonald's Corporation vs Starbucks Corporation
WatchlistMCD / SBUXPrices through Oct 22, 2026
Why these are rivals: #1 and #2 by market value ($172B vs $112B) in Nasdaq's "Restaurants" industry; SEC SIC 5812 / 5810 (same major group).
Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.33 (needs >= 0.60)
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -0.90 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
- Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 103.35 (needs <= 63)
Business leadership
SBUX is the larger business
Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.
| Year | MCD | SBUX | Larger |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $26.9B | $37.2B | SBUX |
| 2024 | $25.9B | $36.2B | SBUX |
| 2023 | $25.5B | $36.0B | SBUX |
| 2022 | $23.2B | $32.3B | SBUX |
| 2021 | $23.2B | $29.1B | SBUX |
| 2020 | $19.2B | $23.5B | SBUX |
SBUX led in every year with figures for both. Market value: MCD $171.7B, SBUX $111.6B.
Stock leadership
SBUX is ahead now
Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.
SBUX leads MCD by 1.30 standard deviations: +21.1% over its usual price ratio. 1 lead switch in the last year.
| Price change | 3 mo | 6 mo | 12 mo |
|---|---|---|---|
| MCD | -4.6% | -16.5% | -17.8% |
| SBUX | -1.3% | +2.4% | +18.6% |
Relationship
Not a measured twin today
Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.
- Pass
- Aligned sessions: 2521 (needs >= 254)
- Fail
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.33 (needs >= 0.60)
- Fail
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -0.90 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
- Fail
- Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 103.36 (needs <= 63)
- Data
- Both stocks current
The twins over two years
Prices side by side, and the gap between them
MCD McDonald's Corporation SBUX Starbucks CorporationPrice index, 100 = 2024-10-18. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).
Spread z-score: MCD relative to SBUX, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: MCD ahead; below 0: SBUX ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).
Data table (504 sessions)
| Date | MCD index | SBUX index | z | Ahead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | 79.80 | 105.24 | -1.30 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-10-21 | 77.79 | 102.31 | -1.29 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-10-20 | 77.87 | 102.61 | -1.32 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-10-19 | 76.66 | 101.06 | -1.33 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-10-16 | 76.75 | 100.70 | -1.31 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-10-15 | 76.60 | 100.04 | -1.29 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-10-14 | 75.28 | 96.29 | -1.15 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-10-13 | 74.49 | 95.00 | -1.14 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-10-12 | 74.44 | 95.30 | -1.18 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-10-09 | 74.31 | 93.71 | -1.08 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-10-08 | 74.84 | 96.25 | -1.23 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-10-07 | 72.93 | 96.63 | -1.44 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-10-06 | 73.43 | 99.25 | -1.59 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-10-05 | 73.62 | 97.51 | -1.46 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-10-02 | 73.25 | 97.80 | -1.53 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-10-01 | 73.23 | 97.98 | -1.56 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-09-30 | 72.95 | 97.03 | -1.53 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-09-29 | 73.91 | 98.54 | -1.57 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-09-28 | 73.79 | 98.38 | -1.58 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-09-25 | 74.71 | 97.96 | -1.48 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-09-24 | 74.87 | 96.71 | -1.39 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-09-23 | 75.28 | 97.21 | -1.40 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-09-22 | 79.08 | 98.21 | -1.14 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-09-21 | 78.30 | 98.00 | -1.20 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-09-18 | 78.42 | 98.96 | -1.27 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-09-17 | 78.49 | 99.82 | -1.33 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-09-16 | 78.52 | 100.52 | -1.39 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-09-15 | 79.85 | 99.73 | -1.23 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-09-14 | 81.34 | 102.30 | -1.29 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-09-11 | 79.77 | 101.96 | -1.41 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-09-10 | 79.94 | 102.46 | -1.44 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-09-09 | 80.07 | 103.30 | -1.50 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-09-08 | 80.81 | 105.34 | -1.59 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-09-04 | 80.77 | 107.88 | -1.78 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-09-03 | 82.02 | 109.27 | -1.78 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-09-02 | 82.43 | 110.20 | -1.82 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-09-01 | 82.48 | 109.61 | -1.80 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-08-31 | 83.25 | 109.72 | -1.76 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-08-28 | 83.71 | 111.37 | -1.85 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-08-27 | 82.15 | 110.76 | -1.96 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-08-26 | 84.32 | 112.03 | -1.88 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-08-25 | 84.69 | 109.21 | -1.68 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-08-24 | 86.09 | 111.00 | -1.69 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-08-21 | 85.59 | 110.57 | -1.73 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-08-20 | 85.02 | 107.38 | -1.57 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-08-19 | 84.49 | 108.41 | -1.71 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-08-18 | 84.34 | 109.47 | -1.81 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-08-17 | 83.88 | 111.44 | -2.01 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-08-14 | 86.19 | 111.20 | -1.81 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-08-13 | 86.00 | 112.09 | -1.91 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-08-12 | 87.09 | 112.03 | -1.83 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-08-11 | 86.60 | 110.14 | -1.76 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-08-10 | 86.47 | 108.06 | -1.64 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-08-07 | 86.71 | 109.03 | -1.71 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-08-06 | 87.27 | 108.59 | -1.64 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-08-05 | 86.56 | 109.46 | -1.79 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-08-04 | 84.77 | 108.40 | -1.90 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-08-03 | 83.79 | 106.74 | -1.89 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-07-31 | 85.49 | 108.68 | -1.89 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-07-30 | 84.80 | 109.30 | -2.03 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-07-29 | 85.77 | 107.54 | -1.82 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-07-28 | 86.25 | 106.46 | -1.71 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-07-27 | 85.50 | 107.03 | -1.84 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-07-24 | 83.64 | 106.62 | -2.01 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-07-23 | 83.02 | 106.58 | -2.10 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-07-22 | 83.26 | 107.37 | -2.16 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-07-21 | 83.37 | 107.86 | -2.22 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-07-20 | 84.55 | 108.23 | -2.16 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-07-17 | 84.57 | 108.93 | -2.24 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-07-16 | 86.38 | 111.91 | -2.32 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-07-15 | 83.70 | 108.54 | -2.37 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-07-14 | 84.96 | 109.63 | -2.36 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-07-13 | 86.12 | 110.84 | -2.36 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-07-10 | 86.75 | 109.47 | -2.21 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-07-09 | 87.34 | 109.88 | -2.21 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-07-08 | 87.90 | 107.26 | -1.94 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-07-07 | 89.15 | 106.99 | -1.80 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-07-06 | 88.29 | 105.44 | -1.77 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-07-02 | 88.65 | 107.67 | -1.95 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-07-01 | 85.11 | 106.76 | -2.29 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-06-30 | 85.39 | 105.52 | -2.17 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-06-29 | 84.40 | 107.46 | -2.50 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-06-26 | 85.22 | 108.01 | -2.49 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-06-25 | 83.57 | 106.53 | -2.59 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-06-24 | 86.52 | 106.91 | -2.30 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-06-23 | 85.82 | 104.35 | -2.16 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-06-22 | 85.32 | 103.42 | -2.15 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-06-18 | 88.01 | 103.93 | -1.90 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-06-17 | 89.66 | 103.08 | -1.63 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-06-16 | 90.96 | 105.00 | -1.69 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-06-15 | 90.38 | 104.90 | -1.76 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-06-12 | 89.97 | 106.40 | -1.98 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-06-11 | 89.96 | 105.62 | -1.93 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-06-10 | 89.25 | 101.98 | -1.65 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-06-09 | 89.16 | 100.59 | -1.53 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-06-08 | 87.75 | 97.91 | -1.42 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-06-05 | 88.40 | 98.40 | -1.40 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-06-04 | 86.15 | 97.21 | -1.57 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-06-03 | 86.33 | 99.02 | -1.77 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-06-02 | 87.30 | 98.63 | -1.61 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-06-01 | 87.22 | 99.66 | -1.76 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-05-29 | 88.20 | 102.40 | -1.96 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-05-28 | 87.81 | 104.04 | -2.21 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-05-27 | 88.74 | 105.43 | -2.27 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-05-26 | 88.22 | 104.73 | -2.30 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-05-22 | 89.17 | 106.47 | -2.39 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-05-21 | 89.77 | 107.53 | -2.47 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-05-20 | 88.54 | 109.98 | -2.94 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-05-19 | 88.70 | 109.85 | -2.97 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-05-18 | 89.23 | 110.08 | -2.98 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-05-15 | 87.31 | 110.30 | -3.36 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-05-14 | 86.86 | 109.87 | -3.47 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-05-13 | 87.09 | 109.41 | -3.47 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-05-12 | 86.82 | 110.06 | -3.68 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-05-11 | 86.75 | 109.19 | -3.69 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-05-08 | 87.11 | 108.35 | -3.62 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-05-07 | 89.62 | 107.66 | -3.21 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-05-06 | 89.75 | 109.91 | -3.57 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-05-05 | 90.08 | 108.36 | -3.40 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-05-04 | 89.75 | 108.40 | -3.55 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-05-01 | 90.55 | 109.36 | -3.62 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-04-30 | 92.74 | 108.77 | -3.26 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-04-29 | 91.64 | 108.94 | -3.56 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-04-28 | 92.36 | 100.45 | -2.19 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-04-27 | 91.68 | 101.08 | -2.44 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-04-24 | 94.57 | 101.89 | -2.09 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-04-23 | 95.57 | 102.79 | -2.08 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-04-22 | 94.79 | 102.77 | -2.24 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-04-21 | 95.35 | 100.99 | -1.88 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-04-20 | 96.96 | 102.18 | -1.82 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-04-17 | 98.36 | 103.26 | -1.77 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-04-16 | 96.97 | 101.57 | -1.75 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-04-15 | 96.75 | 101.55 | -1.81 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-04-14 | 95.79 | 101.68 | -2.02 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-04-13 | 96.19 | 100.66 | -1.80 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-04-10 | 96.56 | 99.75 | -1.60 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-04-09 | 97.79 | 100.08 | -1.46 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-04-08 | 96.98 | 100.38 | -1.66 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-04-07 | 96.30 | 98.32 | -1.45 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-04-06 | 97.85 | 97.87 | -1.10 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-04-02 | 97.02 | 93.32 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-01 | 97.07 | 93.38 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-31 | 98.18 | 92.51 | -0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-30 | 97.46 | 89.55 | +0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-27 | 96.63 | 89.64 | +0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-26 | 97.59 | 94.20 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-25 | 98.46 | 95.72 | -0.57 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-03-24 | 97.25 | 94.98 | -0.64 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-03-23 | 97.44 | 96.89 | -0.92 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-03-20 | 97.56 | 95.57 | -0.67 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-03-19 | 97.80 | 98.96 | -1.18 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-03-18 | 99.74 | 95.68 | -0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-17 | 103.08 | 100.75 | -0.61 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-03-16 | 103.19 | 101.01 | -0.62 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-03-13 | 103.13 | 102.39 | -0.83 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-03-12 | 102.32 | 103.45 | -1.10 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-03-11 | 102.73 | 104.75 | -1.23 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-03-10 | 103.59 | 104.06 | -0.99 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-03-09 | 104.50 | 103.03 | -0.69 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-03-06 | 103.63 | 102.22 | -0.67 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-03-05 | 103.44 | 101.91 | -0.63 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-03-04 | 104.80 | 100.32 | -0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-03 | 104.93 | 99.83 | -0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-02 | 105.77 | 99.92 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-27 | 107.74 | 101.22 | +0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-26 | 105.68 | 101.28 | -0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-25 | 105.20 | 101.13 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-24 | 105.21 | 99.66 | +0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-23 | 105.69 | 97.87 | +0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-20 | 104.00 | 100.67 | -0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-19 | 103.33 | 98.93 | -0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-18 | 103.58 | 98.88 | -0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-17 | 103.49 | 98.50 | +0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-13 | 103.48 | 96.85 | +0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-12 | 104.90 | 99.92 | +0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-11 | 102.10 | 102.35 | -0.52 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-02-10 | 102.97 | 100.71 | -0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-09 | 102.86 | 102.21 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-06 | 103.35 | 102.70 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-05 | 102.19 | 99.20 | -0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-04 | 102.25 | 100.13 | -0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-03 | 100.92 | 96.08 | +0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-02 | 100.62 | 94.68 | +0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-30 | 99.51 | 94.95 | +0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-29 | 99.67 | 96.94 | -0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-28 | 98.81 | 98.27 | -0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-27 | 99.23 | 98.84 | -0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-26 | 98.86 | 99.47 | -0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-23 | 97.69 | 100.81 | -0.64 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-01-22 | 96.67 | 98.96 | -0.55 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-01-21 | 96.57 | 99.58 | -0.62 | SBUX ahead |
| 2026-01-20 | 95.67 | 96.72 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-16 | 97.12 | 96.02 | -0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-15 | 97.49 | 96.32 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-14 | 97.34 | 94.12 | +0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-13 | 97.75 | 93.52 | +0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-12 | 96.90 | 92.90 | +0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-09 | 97.08 | 91.78 | +0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-08 | 97.57 | 91.06 | +0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-07 | 96.08 | 89.52 | +0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-06 | 95.64 | 92.38 | +0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-05 | 94.72 | 89.38 | +0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-02 | 95.80 | 86.71 | +0.66 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-12-31 | 96.55 | 86.96 | +0.72 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-12-30 | 97.31 | 88.03 | +0.68 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-12-29 | 97.46 | 88.36 | +0.66 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-12-26 | 98.14 | 87.86 | +0.79 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-12-24 | 98.98 | 87.33 | +0.93 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-12-23 | 98.19 | 86.60 | +0.94 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-12-22 | 99.89 | 88.98 | +0.85 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-12-19 | 99.77 | 91.21 | +0.61 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-12-18 | 100.98 | 92.34 | +0.61 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-12-17 | 100.67 | 87.99 | +1.05 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-12-16 | 99.35 | 87.86 | +0.95 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-12-15 | 100.69 | 88.19 | +1.05 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-12-12 | 100.05 | 88.14 | +1.00 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-12-11 | 97.84 | 87.51 | +0.86 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-12-10 | 98.10 | 86.59 | +0.99 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-12-09 | 98.18 | 84.96 | +1.19 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-12-08 | 97.86 | 86.13 | +1.04 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-12-05 | 98.32 | 87.90 | +0.90 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-12-04 | 97.47 | 87.77 | +0.84 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-12-03 | 97.20 | 89.95 | +0.58 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-12-02 | 95.00 | 87.98 | +0.58 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-12-01 | 95.90 | 87.68 | +0.71 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-11-28 | 98.50 | 89.95 | +0.73 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-11-26 | 98.69 | 89.53 | +0.79 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-11-25 | 98.07 | 88.71 | +0.83 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-11-24 | 96.32 | 86.06 | +0.95 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-11-21 | 97.72 | 88.14 | +0.87 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-11-20 | 96.08 | 85.32 | +1.02 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-11-19 | 95.63 | 86.41 | +0.87 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-11-18 | 96.22 | 86.05 | +0.97 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-11-17 | 96.32 | 86.42 | +0.95 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-11-14 | 96.99 | 87.55 | +0.90 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-11-13 | 97.16 | 89.26 | +0.74 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-11-12 | 96.96 | 90.11 | +0.64 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-11-11 | 96.93 | 89.24 | +0.73 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-11-10 | 94.48 | 87.36 | +0.70 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-11-07 | 94.66 | 88.36 | +0.61 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-11-06 | 94.27 | 84.90 | +0.96 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-11-05 | 96.56 | 85.58 | +1.11 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-11-04 | 94.52 | 82.20 | +1.30 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-11-03 | 93.62 | 83.60 | +1.06 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-10-31 | 94.27 | 83.51 | +1.15 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-10-30 | 95.54 | 85.86 | +1.02 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-10-29 | 95.51 | 86.92 | +0.91 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-10-28 | 96.79 | 88.22 | +0.90 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-10-27 | 97.93 | 90.07 | +0.82 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-10-24 | 96.60 | 88.90 | +0.82 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-10-23 | 96.97 | 88.23 | +0.93 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-10-22 | 97.96 | 88.29 | +1.03 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-10-21 | 97.13 | 88.70 | +0.91 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-10-20 | 97.22 | 87.29 | +1.08 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-10-17 | 97.32 | 88.15 | +1.00 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-10-16 | 96.45 | 87.09 | +1.03 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-10-15 | 96.43 | 85.56 | +1.21 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-10-14 | 96.21 | 83.80 | +1.40 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-10-13 | 94.80 | 82.64 | +1.40 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-10-10 | 93.82 | 81.02 | +1.51 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-10-09 | 92.81 | 82.38 | +1.25 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-10-08 | 93.00 | 82.65 | +1.25 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-10-07 | 93.61 | 83.94 | +1.17 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-10-06 | 93.52 | 84.79 | +1.07 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-10-03 | 95.08 | 89.24 | +0.73 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-10-02 | 94.73 | 89.55 | +0.67 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-10-01 | 94.93 | 87.15 | +0.96 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-09-30 | 96.00 | 87.36 | +1.06 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-09-29 | 95.71 | 88.43 | +0.91 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-09-26 | 96.42 | 86.11 | +1.26 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-09-25 | 95.50 | 86.57 | +1.12 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-09-24 | 96.14 | 87.02 | +1.14 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-09-23 | 95.78 | 88.49 | +0.95 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-09-22 | 95.71 | 88.07 | +0.99 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-09-19 | 95.52 | 87.32 | +1.07 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-09-18 | 95.13 | 86.14 | +1.17 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-09-17 | 96.34 | 85.94 | +1.33 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-09-16 | 95.81 | 87.12 | +1.15 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-09-15 | 95.42 | 85.38 | +1.32 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-09-12 | 96.47 | 84.57 | +1.54 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-09-11 | 97.43 | 85.05 | +1.60 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-09-10 | 96.65 | 85.58 | +1.47 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-09-09 | 98.72 | 86.54 | +1.58 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-09-08 | 98.81 | 86.92 | +1.56 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-09-05 | 99.31 | 88.22 | +1.48 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-09-04 | 100.14 | 89.85 | +1.38 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-09-03 | 99.95 | 90.10 | +1.35 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-09-02 | 99.75 | 92.71 | +1.04 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-08-29 | 99.05 | 91.07 | +1.16 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-08-28 | 98.63 | 90.89 | +1.14 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-08-27 | 98.38 | 90.52 | +1.17 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-08-26 | 98.86 | 89.46 | +1.35 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-08-25 | 99.01 | 88.61 | +1.48 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-08-22 | 99.21 | 91.26 | +1.20 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-08-21 | 98.94 | 91.45 | +1.16 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-08-20 | 98.90 | 92.43 | +1.05 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-08-19 | 98.22 | 93.90 | +0.82 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-08-18 | 97.52 | 95.56 | +0.56 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-08-15 | 97.59 | 93.56 | +0.80 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-08-14 | 97.60 | 96.10 | +0.51 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-08-13 | 96.37 | 97.25 | +0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-12 | 95.29 | 96.42 | +0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-11 | 96.15 | 94.73 | +0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-08 | 96.49 | 95.13 | +0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-07 | 97.27 | 93.99 | +0.68 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-08-06 | 97.19 | 91.89 | +0.90 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-08-05 | 94.38 | 93.14 | +0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-04 | 96.11 | 92.71 | +0.69 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-08-01 | 95.68 | 89.69 | +0.99 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-07-31 | 94.79 | 92.07 | +0.62 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-07-30 | 95.91 | 95.79 | +0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-29 | 95.61 | 95.99 | +0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-28 | 94.52 | 96.73 | +0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-25 | 94.29 | 97.50 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-24 | 93.03 | 96.76 | -0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-23 | 94.17 | 99.05 | -0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-22 | 94.51 | 100.10 | -0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-21 | 93.42 | 95.68 | +0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-18 | 93.84 | 96.86 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-17 | 94.89 | 96.23 | +0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-16 | 94.42 | 95.53 | +0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-15 | 94.65 | 95.50 | +0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-14 | 95.36 | 96.47 | +0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-11 | 94.74 | 98.04 | -0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-10 | 94.26 | 98.25 | -0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-09 | 92.56 | 98.36 | -0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-08 | 92.14 | 98.04 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-07 | 92.72 | 96.70 | -0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-03 | 92.90 | 97.52 | -0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-02 | 93.07 | 97.25 | -0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-01 | 93.98 | 98.02 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-30 | 92.30 | 94.62 | +0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-27 | 92.10 | 95.12 | -0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-26 | 90.23 | 94.84 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-25 | 90.20 | 94.07 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-24 | 92.07 | 94.49 | -0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-23 | 91.46 | 95.35 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-20 | 90.81 | 96.16 | -0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-18 | 91.49 | 95.29 | -0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-17 | 92.34 | 94.58 | +0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-16 | 93.60 | 96.53 | -0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-13 | 95.37 | 96.30 | +0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-12 | 95.77 | 97.40 | +0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-11 | 95.31 | 98.50 | -0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-10 | 94.90 | 94.41 | +0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-09 | 96.28 | 93.63 | +0.54 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-06-06 | 97.09 | 92.57 | +0.75 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-06-05 | 97.61 | 89.83 | +1.12 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-06-04 | 98.42 | 90.99 | +1.08 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-06-03 | 98.68 | 89.43 | +1.29 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-06-02 | 98.77 | 87.97 | +1.48 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-05-30 | 99.14 | 86.69 | +1.69 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-05-29 | 98.52 | 86.79 | +1.62 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-05-28 | 98.82 | 88.81 | +1.42 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-05-27 | 99.49 | 89.85 | +1.38 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-05-23 | 99.37 | 87.15 | +1.70 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-05-22 | 99.29 | 86.71 | +1.76 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-05-21 | 99.96 | 85.69 | +1.97 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-05-20 | 101.02 | 88.38 | +1.75 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-05-19 | 101.48 | 87.37 | +1.93 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-05-16 | 100.65 | 88.36 | +1.73 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-05-15 | 99.34 | 90.11 | +1.38 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-05-14 | 97.14 | 89.36 | +1.23 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-05-13 | 97.51 | 89.71 | +1.23 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-05-12 | 98.53 | 88.47 | +1.49 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-05-09 | 99.09 | 82.92 | +2.26 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-05-08 | 99.03 | 84.87 | +2.01 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-05-07 | 100.50 | 85.41 | +2.11 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-05-06 | 100.07 | 85.48 | +2.06 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-05-05 | 99.73 | 84.32 | +2.18 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-05-02 | 98.55 | 87.45 | +1.67 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-05-01 | 99.08 | 84.69 | +2.11 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-04-30 | 100.98 | 82.66 | +2.64 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-04-29 | 99.35 | 87.62 | +1.82 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-04-28 | 100.08 | 86.64 | +2.05 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-04-25 | 100.06 | 86.54 | +2.09 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-04-24 | 99.89 | 86.60 | +2.09 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-04-23 | 100.61 | 85.51 | +2.36 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-04-22 | 100.80 | 84.42 | +2.57 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-04-21 | 97.52 | 83.31 | +2.37 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-04-17 | 98.34 | 84.16 | +2.39 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-04-16 | 97.64 | 83.40 | +2.45 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-04-15 | 98.71 | 86.44 | +2.17 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-04-14 | 99.85 | 88.28 | +2.08 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-04-11 | 97.90 | 88.22 | +1.86 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-04-10 | 96.91 | 87.36 | +1.87 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-04-09 | 96.02 | 91.57 | +1.17 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-04-08 | 94.72 | 82.29 | +2.39 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-04-07 | 94.73 | 82.61 | +2.38 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-04-04 | 94.80 | 84.78 | +2.08 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-04-03 | 100.54 | 91.14 | +1.92 | MCD ahead |
| 2025-04-02 | 98.43 | 102.65 | +0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-01 | 99.07 | 101.44 | +0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-31 | 98.68 | 101.29 | +0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-28 | 97.01 | 100.92 | +0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-27 | 98.78 | 102.08 | +0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-26 | 99.06 | 101.17 | +0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-25 | 96.95 | 99.01 | +0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-24 | 96.56 | 98.84 | +0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-21 | 96.49 | 100.24 | +0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-20 | 96.98 | 102.52 | -0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-19 | 96.95 | 102.43 | -0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-18 | 95.91 | 101.49 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-17 | 96.02 | 102.31 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-14 | 94.72 | 101.31 | -0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-13 | 93.98 | 99.17 | -0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-12 | 94.58 | 101.91 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-11 | 96.90 | 102.83 | -0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-10 | 100.22 | 104.42 | +0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-07 | 101.49 | 109.95 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-06 | 98.04 | 108.91 | -0.77 | SBUX ahead |
| 2025-03-05 | 97.12 | 115.33 | -1.67 | SBUX ahead |
| 2025-03-04 | 96.59 | 115.72 | -1.81 | SBUX ahead |
| 2025-03-03 | 96.12 | 119.18 | -2.30 | SBUX ahead |
| 2025-02-28 | 97.40 | 119.59 | -2.20 | SBUX ahead |
| 2025-02-27 | 97.91 | 118.23 | -1.99 | SBUX ahead |
| 2025-02-26 | 96.12 | 116.69 | -2.09 | SBUX ahead |
| 2025-02-25 | 98.16 | 118.33 | -2.02 | SBUX ahead |
| 2025-02-24 | 97.16 | 116.88 | -2.01 | SBUX ahead |
| 2025-02-21 | 96.29 | 115.40 | -1.98 | SBUX ahead |
| 2025-02-20 | 95.73 | 117.04 | -2.30 | SBUX ahead |
| 2025-02-19 | 95.38 | 116.16 | -2.28 | SBUX ahead |
| 2025-02-18 | 96.29 | 116.72 | -2.24 | SBUX ahead |
| 2025-02-14 | 97.47 | 116.22 | -2.02 | SBUX ahead |
| 2025-02-13 | 97.93 | 116.69 | -2.03 | SBUX ahead |
| 2025-02-12 | 97.17 | 116.73 | -2.17 | SBUX ahead |
| 2025-02-11 | 97.99 | 114.65 | -1.79 | SBUX ahead |
| 2025-02-10 | 97.43 | 115.09 | -1.95 | SBUX ahead |
| 2025-02-07 | 92.97 | 115.86 | -2.81 | SBUX ahead |
| 2025-02-06 | 92.99 | 115.34 | -2.79 | SBUX ahead |
| 2025-02-05 | 91.24 | 115.91 | -3.25 | SBUX ahead |
| 2025-02-04 | 91.54 | 114.21 | -3.02 | SBUX ahead |
| 2025-02-03 | 91.63 | 111.69 | -2.69 | SBUX ahead |
| 2025-01-31 | 91.20 | 111.19 | -2.75 | SBUX ahead |
| 2025-01-30 | 91.71 | 112.56 | -2.91 | SBUX ahead |
| 2025-01-29 | 91.64 | 112.12 | -2.92 | SBUX ahead |
| 2025-01-28 | 91.97 | 103.69 | -1.52 | SBUX ahead |
| 2025-01-27 | 92.59 | 103.28 | -1.35 | SBUX ahead |
| 2025-01-24 | 90.18 | 102.03 | -1.61 | SBUX ahead |
| 2025-01-23 | 89.85 | 101.19 | -1.54 | SBUX ahead |
| 2025-01-22 | 88.88 | 100.92 | -1.70 | SBUX ahead |
| 2025-01-21 | 89.28 | 101.18 | -1.69 | SBUX ahead |
| 2025-01-17 | 88.75 | 98.23 | -1.27 | SBUX ahead |
| 2025-01-16 | 88.37 | 97.51 | -1.23 | SBUX ahead |
| 2025-01-15 | 89.18 | 96.12 | -0.81 | SBUX ahead |
| 2025-01-14 | 88.95 | 96.11 | -0.86 | SBUX ahead |
| 2025-01-13 | 89.60 | 96.56 | -0.82 | SBUX ahead |
| 2025-01-10 | 89.18 | 95.26 | -0.66 | SBUX ahead |
| 2025-01-08 | 90.63 | 95.62 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-07 | 91.40 | 95.87 | -0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-06 | 92.30 | 96.17 | -0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-03 | 93.12 | 95.60 | +0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-02 | 92.40 | 95.18 | -0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-31 | 91.58 | 94.23 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-30 | 91.48 | 93.54 | +0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-27 | 92.75 | 95.26 | +0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-26 | 93.13 | 94.86 | +0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-24 | 92.87 | 92.84 | +0.55 | MCD ahead |
| 2024-12-23 | 92.02 | 90.29 | +0.89 | MCD ahead |
| 2024-12-20 | 92.46 | 90.84 | +0.87 | MCD ahead |
| 2024-12-19 | 91.68 | 91.66 | +0.56 | MCD ahead |
| 2024-12-18 | 91.89 | 92.83 | +0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-17 | 93.53 | 95.10 | +0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-16 | 94.05 | 96.16 | +0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-13 | 93.69 | 100.60 | -0.69 | SBUX ahead |
| 2024-12-12 | 93.70 | 101.01 | -0.76 | SBUX ahead |
| 2024-12-11 | 93.54 | 101.63 | -0.90 | SBUX ahead |
| 2024-12-10 | 94.99 | 101.36 | -0.57 | SBUX ahead |
| 2024-12-09 | 95.20 | 102.55 | -0.74 | SBUX ahead |
| 2024-12-06 | 94.45 | 103.38 | -1.02 | SBUX ahead |
| 2024-12-05 | 94.60 | 102.47 | -0.83 | SBUX ahead |
| 2024-12-04 | 93.22 | 103.99 | -1.35 | SBUX ahead |
| 2024-12-03 | 93.03 | 104.88 | -1.54 | SBUX ahead |
| 2024-12-02 | 92.38 | 104.82 | -1.65 | SBUX ahead |
| 2024-11-29 | 93.51 | 105.80 | -1.59 | SBUX ahead |
| 2024-11-27 | 93.21 | 104.82 | -1.47 | SBUX ahead |
| 2024-11-26 | 93.61 | 103.97 | -1.24 | SBUX ahead |
| 2024-11-25 | 93.57 | 105.16 | -1.43 | SBUX ahead |
| 2024-11-22 | 91.70 | 105.84 | -1.88 | SBUX ahead |
| 2024-11-21 | 91.13 | 103.33 | -1.55 | SBUX ahead |
| 2024-11-20 | 91.90 | 101.47 | -1.08 | SBUX ahead |
| 2024-11-19 | 91.84 | 101.56 | -1.08 | SBUX ahead |
| 2024-11-18 | 91.96 | 103.68 | -1.37 | SBUX ahead |
| 2024-11-15 | 92.44 | 101.63 | -0.93 | SBUX ahead |
| 2024-11-14 | 94.31 | 102.47 | -0.72 | SBUX ahead |
| 2024-11-13 | 93.93 | 103.06 | -0.85 | SBUX ahead |
| 2024-11-12 | 94.34 | 102.02 | -0.61 | SBUX ahead |
| 2024-11-11 | 95.25 | 103.58 | -0.67 | SBUX ahead |
| 2024-11-08 | 94.44 | 100.73 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-07 | 93.08 | 99.26 | -0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-06 | 92.87 | 99.22 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-05 | 93.92 | 100.26 | -0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-04 | 92.51 | 100.20 | -0.53 | SBUX ahead |
| 2024-11-01 | 93.26 | 102.10 | -0.67 | SBUX ahead |
| 2024-10-31 | 92.28 | 100.89 | -0.65 | SBUX ahead |
| 2024-10-30 | 92.09 | 100.50 | -0.62 | SBUX ahead |
| 2024-10-29 | 93.19 | 100.57 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-10-28 | 93.75 | 101.22 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-10-25 | 92.43 | 100.49 | -0.54 | SBUX ahead |
| 2024-10-24 | 95.27 | 100.32 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-10-23 | 94.32 | 100.84 | -0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-10-22 | 99.41 | 99.98 | +0.51 | MCD ahead |
| 2024-10-21 | 99.47 | 99.60 | +0.58 | MCD ahead |
| 2024-10-18 | 100.00 | 100.00 | +0.60 | MCD ahead |
One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Apr 3, 2025 (MCD +2.1%, SBUX -11.2%); Apr 29, 2026 (MCD -0.8%, SBUX +8.4%). Upcoming earnings: SBUX Oct 29, 2026 (after-hours); MCD Nov 4, 2026 (pre-market).
Paired trades
The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart
Forward paper record
No paper position on this pair yet.
Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)
No simulated trade through Oct 20, 2026: the pair rarely passed every test while 2 standard deviations apart.
Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.
The companies
MCD and SBUX at a glance
MCD McDonald's Corporation
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 63908
- Industry
- Restaurants · SIC 5812 Retail-Eating Places
- Market value
- $171.7B
- Price history
- 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
SBUX Starbucks Corporation
- Listing
- Nasdaq · SEC CIK 829224
- Industry
- Restaurants · SIC 5810 Retail-Eating & Drinking Places
- Market value
- $111.6B
- Price history
- 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.
Related
All pairs →Other rivals of MCD and SBUX
| Pair | Status | Ahead now | Industry |
|---|---|---|---|
| MCD / YUM | Watchlist | YUM by 1.89 sd | Restaurants |
| MCD / CMG | Watchlist | MCD by 0.70 sd | SIC 5812 Retail-Eating Places |
| SBUX / YUM | Watchlist | SBUX by 0.56 sd | Restaurants |
Follow the research behind the paper book
Boostio is a research-first platform in private beta: crypto candidates, daily market stories, public paper trading and now rival stocks. Exploring these pages stays free and open.
Explore the private betaPaper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.
