SIC 3585 Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip

Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share vs Lennox International Inc.

WatchlistJCI / LIIPrices through Oct 22, 2026

Why these are rivals: #1 and #3 by market value ($90B vs $12B) with SEC SIC 3585 (Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip).

Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.

Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.36 (needs >= 0.60)
Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -0.61 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 88.61 (needs <= 63)

Business leadership

JCI is the larger business

Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.

Year	JCI	LII	Larger
2025	$23.6B	$5.2B	JCI
2024	$23.0B	$5.3B	JCI
2023	$22.3B	$5.0B	JCI
2022	$20.6B	$4.7B	JCI
2021	$23.7B	$4.2B	JCI
2020	$22.3B	$3.6B	JCI

JCI led in every year with figures for both. Market value: JCI $89.8B, LII $12.3B.

Stock leadership

JCI is ahead now

Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.

JCI leads LII by 1.51 standard deviations: +33.9% over its usual price ratio. 0 lead switches in the last year.

Price change	3 mo	6 mo	12 mo
JCI	-0.3%	+0.9%	+28.6%
LII	-30.0%	-23.3%	-31.0%

Relationship

Not a measured twin today

Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.

Pass: Aligned sessions: 2521 (needs >= 254)
Fail: Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.36 (needs >= 0.60)
Fail: Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -0.61 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Fail: Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 88.61 (needs <= 63)
Data: Both stocks current

The twins over two years

Prices side by side, and the gap between them

JCI Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share LII Lennox International Inc.Price index, 100 = 2024-10-18. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).

Spread z-score: JCI relative to LII, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: JCI ahead; below 0: LII ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).

Data table (504 sessions)

Date	JCI index	LII index	z	Ahead
2026-10-22	184.66	62.80	+1.51	JCI ahead
2026-10-21	195.02	60.75	+1.99	JCI ahead
2026-10-20	191.04	60.32	+1.94	JCI ahead
2026-10-19	191.40	59.00	+2.09	JCI ahead
2026-10-16	187.85	59.32	+1.98	JCI ahead
2026-10-15	190.64	59.45	+2.07	JCI ahead
2026-10-14	196.85	57.85	+2.41	JCI ahead
2026-10-13	202.05	58.06	+2.56	JCI ahead
2026-10-12	200.68	59.15	+2.46	JCI ahead
2026-10-09	203.31	59.11	+2.57	JCI ahead
2026-10-08	198.86	59.95	+2.40	JCI ahead
2026-10-07	201.36	59.44	+2.55	JCI ahead
2026-10-06	205.01	60.63	+2.57	JCI ahead
2026-10-05	202.54	59.89	+2.61	JCI ahead
2026-10-02	201.76	59.08	+2.70	JCI ahead
2026-10-01	195.98	59.77	+2.51	JCI ahead
2026-09-30	191.96	58.87	+2.52	JCI ahead
2026-09-29	192.95	59.72	+2.50	JCI ahead
2026-09-28	192.26	61.09	+2.38	JCI ahead
2026-09-25	193.96	61.98	+2.38	JCI ahead
2026-09-24	187.71	60.99	+2.31	JCI ahead
2026-09-23	188.40	61.74	+2.29	JCI ahead
2026-09-22	189.10	61.63	+2.35	JCI ahead
2026-09-21	187.47	60.30	+2.46	JCI ahead
2026-09-18	185.02	59.57	+2.48	JCI ahead
2026-09-17	182.15	59.54	+2.42	JCI ahead
2026-09-16	181.39	59.87	+2.39	JCI ahead
2026-09-15	178.58	60.06	+2.30	JCI ahead
2026-09-14	177.89	60.61	+2.25	JCI ahead
2026-09-11	188.55	60.70	+2.63	JCI ahead
2026-09-10	184.41	61.79	+2.41	JCI ahead
2026-09-09	187.14	62.31	+2.48	JCI ahead
2026-09-08	189.01	63.87	+2.41	JCI ahead
2026-09-04	187.16	64.76	+2.29	JCI ahead
2026-09-03	183.66	64.02	+2.27	JCI ahead
2026-09-02	179.82	62.02	+2.36	JCI ahead
2026-09-01	179.82	62.56	+2.33	JCI ahead
2026-08-31	178.51	63.45	+2.22	JCI ahead
2026-08-28	180.26	65.23	+2.13	JCI ahead
2026-08-27	183.64	64.86	+2.31	JCI ahead
2026-08-26	186.38	65.29	+2.39	JCI ahead
2026-08-25	183.14	64.52	+2.37	JCI ahead
2026-08-24	184.65	66.18	+2.29	JCI ahead
2026-08-21	184.72	66.81	+2.25	JCI ahead
2026-08-20	184.87	67.33	+2.22	JCI ahead
2026-08-19	187.16	69.54	+2.10	JCI ahead
2026-08-18	193.29	68.16	+2.46	JCI ahead
2026-08-17	198.76	69.00	+2.59	JCI ahead
2026-08-14	198.40	69.98	+2.51	JCI ahead
2026-08-13	195.57	69.37	+2.50	JCI ahead
2026-08-12	197.30	69.80	+2.55	JCI ahead
2026-08-11	199.85	71.44	+2.51	JCI ahead
2026-08-10	194.60	70.19	+2.48	JCI ahead
2026-08-07	196.55	72.92	+2.32	JCI ahead
2026-08-06	199.57	72.25	+2.50	JCI ahead
2026-08-05	198.41	74.10	+2.32	JCI ahead
2026-08-04	198.37	74.08	+2.34	JCI ahead
2026-08-03	189.04	72.13	+2.22	JCI ahead
2026-07-31	189.39	68.96	+2.55	JCI ahead
2026-07-30	185.80	69.22	+2.41	JCI ahead
2026-07-29	180.04	71.31	+2.02	JCI ahead
2026-07-28	181.15	90.23	+0.52	JCI ahead
2026-07-27	185.16	90.76	+0.62	JCI ahead
2026-07-24	185.14	89.73	+0.70	JCI ahead
2026-07-23	185.03	89.19	+0.74	JCI ahead
2026-07-22	184.00	88.35	+0.78	JCI ahead
2026-07-21	182.99	87.87	+0.78	JCI ahead
2026-07-20	179.97	88.48	+0.64	JCI ahead
2026-07-17	181.38	90.20	+0.57	JCI ahead
2026-07-16	182.41	92.62	+0.45	near the usual relationship
2026-07-15	184.35	90.98	+0.63	JCI ahead
2026-07-14	187.55	93.32	+0.59	JCI ahead
2026-07-13	185.86	91.40	+0.67	JCI ahead
2026-07-10	184.41	91.54	+0.61	JCI ahead
2026-07-09	181.47	89.13	+0.68	JCI ahead
2026-07-08	181.08	89.17	+0.67	JCI ahead
2026-07-07	181.59	92.35	+0.49	near the usual relationship
2026-07-06	184.30	94.19	+0.46	near the usual relationship
2026-07-02	181.77	94.52	+0.37	near the usual relationship
2026-07-01	186.98	94.70	+0.53	JCI ahead
2026-06-30	188.68	95.01	+0.57	JCI ahead
2026-06-29	181.39	94.33	+0.39	near the usual relationship
2026-06-26	178.72	93.50	+0.36	near the usual relationship
2026-06-25	187.87	94.64	+0.58	JCI ahead
2026-06-24	184.41	91.49	+0.68	JCI ahead
2026-06-23	182.44	86.82	+0.93	JCI ahead
2026-06-22	191.39	88.89	+1.08	JCI ahead
2026-06-18	187.01	88.29	+0.99	JCI ahead
2026-06-17	185.46	85.58	+1.13	JCI ahead
2026-06-16	187.46	87.61	+1.07	JCI ahead
2026-06-15	188.61	86.92	+1.16	JCI ahead
2026-06-12	187.19	84.93	+1.26	JCI ahead
2026-06-11	185.96	85.74	+1.17	JCI ahead
2026-06-10	179.96	83.71	+1.13	JCI ahead
2026-06-09	190.79	87.73	+1.21	JCI ahead
2026-06-08	186.01	85.14	+1.24	JCI ahead
2026-06-05	185.50	84.31	+1.29	JCI ahead
2026-06-04	190.34	85.91	+1.35	JCI ahead
2026-06-03	189.77	85.45	+1.37	JCI ahead
2026-06-02	183.35	85.63	+1.17	JCI ahead
2026-06-01	172.92	82.38	+1.06	JCI ahead
2026-05-29	173.11	83.27	+1.01	JCI ahead
2026-05-28	175.81	82.42	+1.17	JCI ahead
2026-05-27	178.46	83.44	+1.19	JCI ahead
2026-05-26	181.07	83.34	+1.29	JCI ahead
2026-05-22	178.67	80.36	+1.44	JCI ahead
2026-05-21	174.94	79.68	+1.37	JCI ahead
2026-05-20	177.88	81.81	+1.33	JCI ahead
2026-05-19	174.87	80.04	+1.36	JCI ahead
2026-05-18	177.31	83.15	+1.23	JCI ahead
2026-05-15	184.76	82.91	+1.49	JCI ahead
2026-05-14	187.28	85.30	+1.42	JCI ahead
2026-05-13	185.69	84.16	+1.46	JCI ahead
2026-05-12	182.13	84.33	+1.34	JCI ahead
2026-05-11	183.08	86.47	+1.24	JCI ahead
2026-05-08	180.17	86.44	+1.16	JCI ahead
2026-05-07	179.82	87.32	+1.10	JCI ahead
2026-05-06	184.84	89.77	+1.10	JCI ahead
2026-05-05	187.01	86.59	+1.38	JCI ahead
2026-05-04	186.47	85.38	+1.45	JCI ahead
2026-05-01	187.35	87.28	+1.36	JCI ahead
2026-04-30	188.57	88.70	+1.32	JCI ahead
2026-04-29	182.53	85.83	+1.33	JCI ahead
2026-04-28	182.84	82.17	+1.59	JCI ahead
2026-04-27	185.15	83.28	+1.59	JCI ahead
2026-04-24	183.26	81.41	+1.67	JCI ahead
2026-04-23	183.02	81.86	+1.64	JCI ahead
2026-04-22	180.54	81.21	+1.62	JCI ahead
2026-04-21	180.42	81.70	+1.59	JCI ahead
2026-04-20	182.05	81.83	+1.64	JCI ahead
2026-04-17	181.91	80.77	+1.71	JCI ahead
2026-04-16	177.62	79.47	+1.68	JCI ahead
2026-04-15	177.18	80.31	+1.62	JCI ahead
2026-04-14	183.43	86.30	+1.43	JCI ahead
2026-04-13	184.43	85.88	+1.49	JCI ahead
2026-04-10	184.05	83.79	+1.62	JCI ahead
2026-04-09	183.17	81.03	+1.78	JCI ahead
2026-04-08	179.49	79.28	+1.80	JCI ahead
2026-04-07	171.94	74.73	+1.90	JCI ahead
2026-04-06	172.71	75.22	+1.90	JCI ahead
2026-04-02	171.71	75.39	+1.88	JCI ahead
2026-04-01	173.97	77.08	+1.84	JCI ahead
2026-03-31	169.10	76.96	+1.72	JCI ahead
2026-03-30	163.46	73.62	+1.79	JCI ahead
2026-03-27	169.54	72.61	+2.07	JCI ahead
2026-03-26	169.90	72.68	+2.09	JCI ahead
2026-03-25	177.53	79.87	+1.85	JCI ahead
2026-03-24	176.18	79.09	+1.87	JCI ahead
2026-03-23	172.09	79.09	+1.77	JCI ahead
2026-03-20	167.48	77.59	+1.74	JCI ahead
2026-03-19	172.07	79.13	+1.79	JCI ahead
2026-03-18	172.73	79.26	+1.81	JCI ahead
2026-03-17	171.18	80.75	+1.68	JCI ahead
2026-03-16	170.05	79.41	+1.75	JCI ahead
2026-03-13	168.08	79.75	+1.68	JCI ahead
2026-03-12	169.09	79.98	+1.70	JCI ahead
2026-03-11	174.32	84.35	+1.59	JCI ahead
2026-03-10	172.96	84.88	+1.53	JCI ahead
2026-03-09	171.86	85.72	+1.46	JCI ahead
2026-03-06	170.97	85.81	+1.43	JCI ahead
2026-03-05	177.14	87.67	+1.52	JCI ahead
2026-03-04	180.79	91.31	+1.42	JCI ahead
2026-03-03	180.24	91.58	+1.40	JCI ahead
2026-03-02	187.84	93.43	+1.52	JCI ahead
2026-02-27	186.34	94.51	+1.43	JCI ahead
2026-02-26	185.20	90.28	+1.65	JCI ahead
2026-02-25	186.58	89.54	+1.74	JCI ahead
2026-02-24	186.87	92.58	+1.59	JCI ahead
2026-02-23	184.44	92.01	+1.57	JCI ahead
2026-02-20	185.68	93.03	+1.56	JCI ahead
2026-02-19	184.27	91.26	+1.63	JCI ahead
2026-02-18	180.11	91.85	+1.50	JCI ahead
2026-02-17	183.64	93.77	+1.50	JCI ahead
2026-02-13	179.80	93.96	+1.39	JCI ahead
2026-02-12	178.94	92.62	+1.46	JCI ahead
2026-02-11	182.02	92.45	+1.57	JCI ahead
2026-02-10	179.17	90.96	+1.59	JCI ahead
2026-02-09	179.49	87.77	+1.80	JCI ahead
2026-02-06	177.75	87.88	+1.76	JCI ahead
2026-02-05	171.13	85.76	+1.70	JCI ahead
2026-02-04	167.21	88.64	+1.42	JCI ahead
2026-02-03	160.14	84.32	+1.46	JCI ahead
2026-02-02	158.81	82.13	+1.57	JCI ahead
2026-01-30	154.00	82.10	+1.42	JCI ahead
2026-01-29	155.32	82.27	+1.46	JCI ahead
2026-01-28	150.75	80.84	+1.40	JCI ahead
2026-01-27	151.03	82.71	+1.30	JCI ahead
2026-01-26	148.59	84.97	+1.09	JCI ahead
2026-01-23	146.68	84.53	+1.06	JCI ahead
2026-01-22	147.87	84.52	+1.10	JCI ahead
2026-01-21	149.13	85.63	+1.09	JCI ahead
2026-01-20	147.93	83.81	+1.16	JCI ahead
2026-01-16	148.00	87.20	+0.97	JCI ahead
2026-01-15	145.85	86.61	+0.94	JCI ahead
2026-01-14	144.80	87.10	+0.89	JCI ahead
2026-01-13	144.74	88.05	+0.84	JCI ahead
2026-01-12	143.84	88.43	+0.79	JCI ahead
2026-01-09	143.14	87.92	+0.80	JCI ahead
2026-01-08	143.71	85.67	+0.96	JCI ahead
2026-01-07	145.16	83.74	+1.12	JCI ahead
2026-01-06	147.15	86.20	+1.06	JCI ahead
2026-01-05	156.93	83.56	+1.53	JCI ahead
2026-01-02	157.94	82.73	+1.62	JCI ahead
2025-12-31	154.64	80.52	+1.66	JCI ahead
2025-12-30	156.17	81.92	+1.64	JCI ahead
2025-12-29	157.17	82.34	+1.66	JCI ahead
2025-12-26	157.62	82.61	+1.67	JCI ahead
2025-12-24	156.75	82.45	+1.67	JCI ahead
2025-12-23	156.42	82.01	+1.70	JCI ahead
2025-12-22	154.91	82.16	+1.66	JCI ahead
2025-12-19	154.35	82.40	+1.64	JCI ahead
2025-12-18	152.04	81.92	+1.61	JCI ahead
2025-12-17	150.28	80.83	+1.63	JCI ahead
2025-12-16	153.47	81.66	+1.70	JCI ahead
2025-12-15	150.93	82.27	+1.59	JCI ahead
2025-12-12	148.19	83.87	+1.42	JCI ahead
2025-12-11	152.45	85.38	+1.49	JCI ahead
2025-12-10	149.55	83.87	+1.49	JCI ahead
2025-12-09	149.50	82.99	+1.56	JCI ahead
2025-12-08	148.48	83.48	+1.51	JCI ahead
2025-12-05	147.51	84.84	+1.41	JCI ahead
2025-12-04	147.47	83.70	+1.48	JCI ahead
2025-12-03	147.49	82.91	+1.54	JCI ahead
2025-12-02	148.86	80.80	+1.73	JCI ahead
2025-12-01	148.42	81.16	+1.71	JCI ahead
2025-11-28	150.19	82.72	+1.69	JCI ahead
2025-11-26	150.17	81.82	+1.76	JCI ahead
2025-11-25	148.05	80.29	+1.80	JCI ahead
2025-11-24	147.46	77.14	+2.00	JCI ahead
2025-11-21	146.63	77.13	+2.00	JCI ahead
2025-11-20	145.91	73.67	+2.23	JCI ahead
2025-11-19	147.75	74.03	+2.31	JCI ahead
2025-11-18	147.78	75.54	+2.23	JCI ahead
2025-11-17	150.28	76.26	+2.30	JCI ahead
2025-11-14	153.31	78.19	+2.31	JCI ahead
2025-11-13	155.22	79.04	+2.35	JCI ahead
2025-11-12	158.39	79.09	+2.50	JCI ahead
2025-11-11	157.46	80.82	+2.39	JCI ahead
2025-11-10	158.29	81.16	+2.43	JCI ahead
2025-11-07	157.86	81.62	+2.41	JCI ahead
2025-11-06	157.86	81.42	+2.46	JCI ahead
2025-11-05	156.07	81.25	+2.44	JCI ahead
2025-11-04	143.39	81.61	+1.97	JCI ahead
2025-11-03	146.15	81.90	+2.08	JCI ahead
2025-10-31	147.71	83.74	+2.04	JCI ahead
2025-10-30	147.48	82.20	+2.16	JCI ahead
2025-10-29	146.36	80.89	+2.24	JCI ahead
2025-10-28	144.90	83.10	+2.05	JCI ahead
2025-10-27	145.98	83.28	+2.11	JCI ahead
2025-10-24	145.84	82.29	+2.20	JCI ahead
2025-10-23	142.76	82.08	+2.11	JCI ahead
2025-10-22	140.16	81.76	+2.05	JCI ahead
2025-10-21	143.57	91.04	+1.58	JCI ahead
2025-10-20	142.82	88.67	+1.72	JCI ahead
2025-10-17	140.53	86.72	+1.77	JCI ahead
2025-10-16	141.23	86.88	+1.81	JCI ahead
2025-10-15	143.10	87.39	+1.87	JCI ahead
2025-10-14	139.27	88.03	+1.68	JCI ahead
2025-10-13	137.37	86.93	+1.69	JCI ahead
2025-10-10	136.30	86.97	+1.66	JCI ahead
2025-10-09	139.15	88.61	+1.69	JCI ahead
2025-10-08	140.02	91.96	+1.51	JCI ahead
2025-10-07	139.86	89.88	+1.66	JCI ahead
2025-10-06	141.50	91.80	+1.62	JCI ahead
2025-10-03	140.48	91.31	+1.62	JCI ahead
2025-10-02	140.32	90.64	+1.68	JCI ahead
2025-10-01	140.61	89.06	+1.82	JCI ahead
2025-09-30	141.98	87.78	+1.99	JCI ahead
2025-09-29	139.67	86.34	+2.01	JCI ahead
2025-09-26	138.18	86.55	+1.95	JCI ahead
2025-09-25	136.58	85.59	+1.97	JCI ahead
2025-09-24	137.58	86.63	+1.96	JCI ahead
2025-09-23	139.84	88.00	+1.99	JCI ahead
2025-09-22	141.13	88.52	+2.03	JCI ahead
2025-09-19	140.35	89.49	+1.94	JCI ahead
2025-09-18	140.08	89.83	+1.93	JCI ahead
2025-09-17	138.70	90.53	+1.83	JCI ahead
2025-09-16	138.12	91.27	+1.77	JCI ahead
2025-09-15	139.22	91.51	+1.82	JCI ahead
2025-09-12	138.86	90.29	+1.92	JCI ahead
2025-09-11	139.23	94.07	+1.68	JCI ahead
2025-09-10	139.20	92.66	+1.80	JCI ahead
2025-09-09	137.25	92.54	+1.73	JCI ahead
2025-09-08	138.39	96.25	+1.54	JCI ahead
2025-09-05	137.18	95.85	+1.52	JCI ahead
2025-09-04	138.29	93.09	+1.79	JCI ahead
2025-09-03	136.03	90.38	+1.90	JCI ahead
2025-09-02	136.83	90.14	+1.98	JCI ahead
2025-08-29	138.03	92.51	+1.88	JCI ahead
2025-08-28	140.30	92.78	+1.99	JCI ahead
2025-08-27	141.10	94.02	+1.96	JCI ahead
2025-08-26	140.06	94.13	+1.93	JCI ahead
2025-08-25	137.40	94.61	+1.78	JCI ahead
2025-08-22	138.51	98.15	+1.60	JCI ahead
2025-08-21	135.27	94.63	+1.70	JCI ahead
2025-08-20	136.88	97.68	+1.58	JCI ahead
2025-08-19	134.97	101.73	+1.21	JCI ahead
2025-08-18	136.51	99.50	+1.45	JCI ahead
2025-08-15	133.68	98.11	+1.42	JCI ahead
2025-08-14	135.61	99.35	+1.44	JCI ahead
2025-08-13	136.58	101.43	+1.36	JCI ahead
2025-08-12	137.71	97.92	+1.68	JCI ahead
2025-08-11	136.51	96.57	+1.73	JCI ahead
2025-08-08	136.30	96.54	+1.74	JCI ahead
2025-08-07	134.70	98.48	+1.53	JCI ahead
2025-08-06	135.16	98.65	+1.56	JCI ahead
2025-08-05	135.38	99.99	+1.49	JCI ahead
2025-08-04	137.50	99.57	+1.64	JCI ahead
2025-08-01	137.50	100.47	+1.59	JCI ahead
2025-07-31	135.59	100.99	+1.47	JCI ahead
2025-07-30	134.32	102.08	+1.34	JCI ahead
2025-07-29	133.32	106.05	+1.02	JCI ahead
2025-07-28	144.01	108.52	+1.42	JCI ahead
2025-07-25	144.28	109.58	+1.37	JCI ahead
2025-07-24	142.07	110.20	+1.23	JCI ahead
2025-07-23	142.21	109.58	+1.29	JCI ahead
2025-07-22	139.85	102.81	+1.65	JCI ahead
2025-07-21	139.81	99.67	+1.89	JCI ahead
2025-07-18	140.70	101.06	+1.86	JCI ahead
2025-07-17	140.69	101.46	+1.85	JCI ahead
2025-07-16	138.53	99.02	+1.94	JCI ahead
2025-07-15	136.91	100.19	+1.78	JCI ahead
2025-07-14	137.22	102.02	+1.68	JCI ahead
2025-07-11	136.69	102.29	+1.65	JCI ahead
2025-07-10	137.31	102.38	+1.69	JCI ahead
2025-07-09	137.53	99.89	+1.91	JCI ahead
2025-07-08	136.23	98.59	+1.96	JCI ahead
2025-07-07	136.85	98.18	+2.05	JCI ahead
2025-07-03	137.80	100.19	+1.97	JCI ahead
2025-07-02	135.68	99.84	+1.90	JCI ahead
2025-07-01	135.16	99.27	+1.94	JCI ahead
2025-06-30	136.39	95.06	+2.39	JCI ahead
2025-06-27	135.68	94.10	+2.47	JCI ahead
2025-06-26	134.87	93.61	+2.50	JCI ahead
2025-06-25	133.46	93.69	+2.45	JCI ahead
2025-06-24	133.78	94.38	+2.45	JCI ahead
2025-06-23	133.46	93.55	+2.54	JCI ahead
2025-06-20	132.04	91.23	+2.71	JCI ahead
2025-06-18	133.63	90.86	+2.91	JCI ahead
2025-06-17	134.09	89.13	+3.18	JCI ahead
2025-06-16	134.93	90.20	+3.20	JCI ahead
2025-06-13	131.68	89.23	+3.15	JCI ahead
2025-06-12	133.78	91.24	+3.17	JCI ahead
2025-06-11	133.25	91.36	+3.19	JCI ahead
2025-06-10	132.88	92.08	+3.16	JCI ahead
2025-06-09	133.70	92.21	+3.28	JCI ahead
2025-06-06	134.03	91.59	+3.45	JCI ahead
2025-06-05	132.13	91.30	+3.42	JCI ahead
2025-06-04	132.14	93.11	+3.29	JCI ahead
2025-06-03	130.66	92.98	+3.26	JCI ahead
2025-06-02	129.64	91.50	+3.43	JCI ahead
2025-05-30	130.90	93.60	+3.37	JCI ahead
2025-05-29	131.90	94.44	+3.43	JCI ahead
2025-05-28	131.06	94.23	+3.46	JCI ahead
2025-05-27	130.45	96.05	+3.24	JCI ahead
2025-05-23	126.54	94.05	+3.19	JCI ahead
2025-05-22	126.46	95.28	+3.09	JCI ahead
2025-05-21	125.53	94.51	+3.16	JCI ahead
2025-05-20	126.10	99.01	+2.68	JCI ahead
2025-05-19	126.37	100.24	+2.60	JCI ahead
2025-05-16	126.46	100.45	+2.62	JCI ahead
2025-05-15	124.99	98.54	+2.77	JCI ahead
2025-05-14	124.42	98.06	+2.83	JCI ahead
2025-05-13	124.04	99.88	+2.58	JCI ahead
2025-05-12	123.04	98.79	+2.67	JCI ahead
2025-05-09	118.70	95.13	+2.74	JCI ahead
2025-05-08	117.82	95.58	+2.61	JCI ahead
2025-05-07	115.90	94.18	+2.63	JCI ahead
2025-05-06	114.68	93.97	+2.55	JCI ahead
2025-05-05	115.35	93.35	+2.79	JCI ahead
2025-05-02	114.82	93.11	+2.80	JCI ahead
2025-05-01	112.67	92.37	+2.68	JCI ahead
2025-04-30	108.34	90.66	+2.40	JCI ahead
2025-04-29	106.31	88.70	+2.48	JCI ahead
2025-04-28	104.73	88.08	+2.39	JCI ahead
2025-04-25	104.69	87.44	+2.53	JCI ahead
2025-04-24	103.77	86.90	+2.52	JCI ahead
2025-04-23	101.08	84.36	+2.61	JCI ahead
2025-04-22	98.93	92.68	+0.74	JCI ahead
2025-04-21	96.14	89.71	+0.81	JCI ahead
2025-04-17	99.21	92.22	+0.87	JCI ahead
2025-04-16	98.99	90.85	+1.08	JCI ahead
2025-04-15	101.49	92.40	+1.21	JCI ahead
2025-04-14	101.37	92.64	+1.15	JCI ahead
2025-04-11	100.36	91.94	+1.11	JCI ahead
2025-04-10	98.44	91.25	+0.92	JCI ahead
2025-04-09	101.79	93.06	+1.15	JCI ahead
2025-04-08	91.86	84.66	+1.02	JCI ahead
2025-04-07	93.01	86.93	+0.79	JCI ahead
2025-04-04	92.59	88.10	+0.50	JCI ahead
2025-04-03	99.73	90.68	+1.24	JCI ahead
2025-04-02	107.00	95.27	+1.60	JCI ahead
2025-04-01	105.11	93.66	+1.60	JCI ahead
2025-03-31	103.45	93.00	+1.46	JCI ahead
2025-03-28	102.91	91.71	+1.62	JCI ahead
2025-03-27	106.11	95.73	+1.43	JCI ahead
2025-03-26	106.87	95.99	+1.51	JCI ahead
2025-03-25	108.91	97.49	+1.59	JCI ahead
2025-03-24	109.14	97.21	+1.68	JCI ahead
2025-03-21	106.83	94.44	+1.83	JCI ahead
2025-03-20	107.37	95.97	+1.66	JCI ahead
2025-03-19	107.04	98.07	+1.24	JCI ahead
2025-03-18	105.38	96.40	+1.27	JCI ahead
2025-03-17	105.26	97.70	+1.03	JCI ahead
2025-03-14	102.85	95.34	+1.06	JCI ahead
2025-03-13	100.03	92.61	+1.08	JCI ahead
2025-03-12	101.60	94.46	+1.02	JCI ahead
2025-03-11	99.42	93.88	+0.75	JCI ahead
2025-03-10	100.62	100.26	-0.18	near the usual relationship
2025-03-07	103.38	100.59	+0.24	near the usual relationship
2025-03-06	104.69	96.82	+1.12	JCI ahead
2025-03-05	106.17	97.52	+1.25	JCI ahead
2025-03-04	104.47	95.01	+1.44	JCI ahead
2025-03-03	106.61	97.34	+1.38	JCI ahead
2025-02-28	110.61	99.67	+1.63	JCI ahead
2025-02-27	108.79	99.87	+1.31	JCI ahead
2025-02-26	109.65	103.30	+0.86	JCI ahead
2025-02-25	108.34	102.61	+0.77	JCI ahead
2025-02-24	108.51	101.10	+1.07	JCI ahead
2025-02-21	110.12	101.81	+1.22	JCI ahead
2025-02-20	114.71	106.36	+1.17	JCI ahead
2025-02-19	116.80	107.98	+1.24	JCI ahead
2025-02-18	116.99	105.47	+1.70	JCI ahead
2025-02-14	115.92	103.18	+1.96	JCI ahead
2025-02-13	114.35	102.80	+1.79	JCI ahead
2025-02-12	114.97	100.94	+2.25	JCI ahead
2025-02-11	115.13	99.88	+2.51	JCI ahead
2025-02-10	115.60	96.70	+3.27	JCI ahead
2025-02-07	113.18	95.37	+3.20	JCI ahead
2025-02-06	113.64	97.07	+3.01	JCI ahead
2025-02-05	111.07	97.01	+2.61	JCI ahead
2025-02-04	99.81	95.91	+0.73	JCI ahead
2025-02-03	99.43	96.66	+0.50	JCI ahead
2025-01-31	100.72	98.24	+0.44	near the usual relationship
2025-01-30	100.99	100.58	+0.03	near the usual relationship
2025-01-29	98.50	100.21	-0.39	near the usual relationship
2025-01-28	98.30	109.87	-2.29	LII ahead
2025-01-27	99.51	108.78	-1.86	LII ahead
2025-01-24	105.37	109.88	-0.91	LII ahead
2025-01-23	105.93	110.59	-0.94	LII ahead
2025-01-22	106.02	109.99	-0.81	LII ahead
2025-01-21	106.51	110.04	-0.72	LII ahead
2025-01-17	104.78	107.36	-0.56	LII ahead
2025-01-16	103.90	106.60	-0.58	LII ahead
2025-01-15	102.58	104.59	-0.45	near the usual relationship
2025-01-14	103.58	104.09	-0.17	near the usual relationship
2025-01-13	102.40	102.56	-0.10	near the usual relationship
2025-01-10	101.58	101.16	+0.01	near the usual relationship
2025-01-08	103.36	103.73	-0.14	near the usual relationship
2025-01-07	102.23	101.37	+0.10	near the usual relationship
2025-01-06	102.36	101.15	+0.16	near the usual relationship
2025-01-03	103.20	101.60	+0.24	near the usual relationship
2025-01-02	101.95	100.24	+0.26	near the usual relationship
2024-12-31	101.92	101.04	+0.10	near the usual relationship
2024-12-30	102.20	101.81	+0.00	near the usual relationship
2024-12-27	103.07	102.82	-0.02	near the usual relationship
2024-12-26	104.40	104.41	-0.07	near the usual relationship
2024-12-24	104.58	104.66	-0.09	near the usual relationship
2024-12-23	103.71	103.65	-0.06	near the usual relationship
2024-12-20	104.13	104.18	-0.08	near the usual relationship
2024-12-19	101.64	102.79	-0.29	near the usual relationship
2024-12-18	101.78	105.85	-0.85	LII ahead
2024-12-17	105.69	109.04	-0.68	LII ahead
2024-12-16	108.50	110.78	-0.47	near the usual relationship
2024-12-13	106.70	110.19	-0.70	LII ahead
2024-12-12	107.61	109.78	-0.45	near the usual relationship
2024-12-11	108.50	109.03	-0.16	near the usual relationship
2024-12-10	106.90	107.21	-0.12	near the usual relationship
2024-12-09	108.37	105.93	+0.39	near the usual relationship
2024-12-06	108.91	109.63	-0.20	near the usual relationship
2024-12-05	107.30	108.01	-0.20	near the usual relationship
2024-12-04	108.20	110.36	-0.46	near the usual relationship
2024-12-03	106.51	110.10	-0.73	LII ahead
2024-12-02	108.04	110.68	-0.55	LII ahead
2024-11-29	108.29	110.63	-0.50	LII ahead
2024-11-27	108.10	109.45	-0.33	near the usual relationship
2024-11-26	108.15	110.48	-0.51	LII ahead
2024-11-25	107.62	112.50	-0.96	LII ahead
2024-11-22	107.76	109.06	-0.32	near the usual relationship
2024-11-21	108.46	107.88	+0.02	near the usual relationship
2024-11-20	107.15	103.70	+0.57	JCI ahead
2024-11-19	107.86	103.41	+0.76	JCI ahead
2024-11-18	108.02	102.84	+0.90	JCI ahead
2024-11-15	108.99	101.18	+1.41	JCI ahead
2024-11-14	109.94	102.46	+1.35	JCI ahead
2024-11-13	110.68	102.70	+1.44	JCI ahead
2024-11-12	109.97	102.16	+1.43	JCI ahead
2024-11-11	111.83	104.55	+1.31	JCI ahead
2024-11-08	109.27	104.63	+0.83	JCI ahead
2024-11-07	105.77	103.18	+0.46	near the usual relationship
2024-11-06	105.20	100.29	+0.93	JCI ahead
2024-11-05	96.67	103.74	-1.50	LII ahead
2024-11-04	95.85	100.27	-0.98	LII ahead
2024-11-01	97.49	100.07	-0.60	LII ahead
2024-10-31	97.56	99.92	-0.56	LII ahead
2024-10-30	98.55	99.58	-0.28	near the usual relationship
2024-10-29	99.52	101.29	-0.44	near the usual relationship
2024-10-28	100.37	101.59	-0.33	near the usual relationship
2024-10-25	99.10	101.02	-0.48	near the usual relationship
2024-10-24	99.25	102.92	-0.83	LII ahead
2024-10-23	98.76	101.11	-0.58	LII ahead
2024-10-22	98.97	98.56	-0.03	near the usual relationship
2024-10-21	99.65	99.99	-0.19	near the usual relationship
2024-10-18	100.00	100.00	-0.13	near the usual relationship

One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Nov 6, 2024 (JCI +8.8%, LII -3.3%); Jan 29, 2025 (JCI +0.2%, LII -8.8%); Feb 5, 2025 (JCI +11.3%, LII +1.1%); Apr 23, 2025 (JCI +2.2%, LII -9.0%); Jan 6, 2026 (JCI -6.2%, LII +3.2%); Jul 29, 2026 (JCI -0.6%, LII -21.0%). Upcoming earnings: JCI Oct 27, 2026 (pre-market); LII Oct 28, 2026 (pre-market).

Paired trades

The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart

Forward paper record

No paper position on this pair yet.

Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)

No simulated trade through Oct 20, 2026: the pair rarely passed every test while 2 standard deviations apart.

Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.

The companies

JCI and LII at a glance

JCI Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share

Listing: NYSE · SEC CIK 833444
Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components · SIC 3585 Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip
Market value: $89.8B
Price history: 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026

LII Lennox International Inc.

Listing: NYSE · SEC CIK 1069202
Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components · SIC 3585 Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip
Market value: $12.3B
Price history: 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026

Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.

All pairs →

Pair	Status	Ahead now	Industry
CARR / LII	Watchlist	CARR by 1.40 sd	SIC 3585 Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip
JCI / CARR	Watchlist	JCI by 1.34 sd	SIC 3585 Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip

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Paper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.