SIC 3570 Computer & office Equipment

HP Inc. vs International Business Machines Corporation

WatchlistHPQ / IBMPrices through Oct 22, 2026

Why these are rivals: #1 and #3 by market value ($223B vs $27B) with SEC SIC 3570 (Computer & office Equipment).

Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.

  • Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.32 (needs >= 0.60)
  • Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -0.63 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
  • Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 86.51 (needs <= 63)
Business leadership

IBM is the larger business

Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.

YearHPQIBMLarger
2025$55.3B$67.5BIBM
2024$53.6B$62.8BIBM
2023$53.7B$61.9BIBM
2022$62.9B$60.5BHPQ
2021$63.5B$57.4BHPQ
2020$56.6B$55.2BHPQ

Revenue lead switched: 2023 to IBM. Market value: HPQ $27.3B, IBM $222.7B.

Stock leadership

HPQ is ahead now

Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.

HPQ leads IBM by 1.57 standard deviations: +45.5% over its usual price ratio. 3 lead switches in the last year.

Price change3 mo6 mo12 mo
HPQ+31.1%+67.6%+19.9%
IBM+17.7%+9.1%-10.6%
Relationship

Not a measured twin today

Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.

Pass
Aligned sessions: 2521 (needs >= 254)
Fail
Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.32 (needs >= 0.60)
Fail
Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -0.63 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Fail
Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 86.51 (needs <= 63)
Data
Both stocks current
The twins over two years

Prices side by side, and the gap between them

HPQ HP Inc. IBM International Business Machines CorporationPrice index, 100 = 2024-10-18. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).
50100Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026HPQ 91IBM 109
Spread z-score: HPQ relative to IBM, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: HPQ ahead; below 0: IBM ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).
-4stop-2idea0+2idea+4stopOct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026
Data table (504 sessions)
DateHPQ indexIBM indexzAhead
2026-10-2290.56108.57+1.57HPQ ahead
2026-10-2184.01108.29+1.27HPQ ahead
2026-10-2083.72104.19+1.43HPQ ahead
2026-10-1981.12101.80+1.40HPQ ahead
2026-10-1680.5099.97+1.46HPQ ahead
2026-10-1582.75100.83+1.55HPQ ahead
2026-10-1481.7198.14+1.62HPQ ahead
2026-10-1382.1699.39+1.61HPQ ahead
2026-10-1280.1297.77+1.58HPQ ahead
2026-10-0981.0197.82+1.64HPQ ahead
2026-10-0887.0297.59+1.99HPQ ahead
2026-10-0786.4894.97+2.10HPQ ahead
2026-10-0685.1195.30+2.04HPQ ahead
2026-10-0584.4295.43+2.02HPQ ahead
2026-10-0286.1695.88+2.12HPQ ahead
2026-10-0186.2497.17+2.09HPQ ahead
2026-09-3083.9194.72+2.11HPQ ahead
2026-09-2982.4394.74+2.05HPQ ahead
2026-09-2884.0195.03+2.15HPQ ahead
2026-09-2583.9697.12+2.06HPQ ahead
2026-09-2483.5397.79+2.03HPQ ahead
2026-09-2386.27100.24+2.08HPQ ahead
2026-09-2285.9499.65+2.11HPQ ahead
2026-09-2188.3999.88+2.26HPQ ahead
2026-09-1892.2798.86+2.56HPQ ahead
2026-09-1792.97102.39+2.45HPQ ahead
2026-09-1687.71102.28+2.19HPQ ahead
2026-09-1590.72106.96+2.15HPQ ahead
2026-09-1491.26107.27+2.19HPQ ahead
2026-09-1195.17104.78+2.55HPQ ahead
2026-09-1087.80100.78+2.36HPQ ahead
2026-09-0986.88103.33+2.19HPQ ahead
2026-09-0883.6199.95+2.18HPQ ahead
2026-09-0487.55101.16+2.38HPQ ahead
2026-09-0385.65101.08+2.28HPQ ahead
2026-09-0285.8199.78+2.38HPQ ahead
2026-09-0184.0199.66+2.29HPQ ahead
2026-08-3180.53100.72+2.02HPQ ahead
2026-08-2881.87101.46+2.08HPQ ahead
2026-08-2779.48102.84+1.86HPQ ahead
2026-08-2681.8799.00+2.24HPQ ahead
2026-08-2579.18100.86+1.97HPQ ahead
2026-08-2476.6699.50+1.87HPQ ahead
2026-08-2179.69101.50+1.99HPQ ahead
2026-08-2079.05100.64+2.00HPQ ahead
2026-08-1980.31102.14+2.02HPQ ahead
2026-08-1880.36100.20+2.14HPQ ahead
2026-08-1778.8698.56+2.15HPQ ahead
2026-08-1480.77100.91+2.16HPQ ahead
2026-08-1383.96102.13+2.33HPQ ahead
2026-08-1278.54101.63+1.99HPQ ahead
2026-08-1177.98102.68+1.90HPQ ahead
2026-08-1079.94101.77+2.12HPQ ahead
2026-08-0780.61102.19+2.16HPQ ahead
2026-08-0675.59100.53+1.90HPQ ahead
2026-08-0576.50101.60+1.93HPQ ahead
2026-08-0477.31101.27+2.03HPQ ahead
2026-08-0372.7597.46+1.91HPQ ahead
2026-07-3173.1596.32+2.03HPQ ahead
2026-07-3072.0595.50+2.01HPQ ahead
2026-07-2976.2197.52+2.25HPQ ahead
2026-07-2875.8998.00+2.22HPQ ahead
2026-07-2771.2293.14+2.17HPQ ahead
2026-07-2469.0792.24+2.06HPQ ahead
2026-07-2365.7589.00+2.00HPQ ahead
2026-07-2267.3388.62+2.20HPQ ahead
2026-07-2166.5590.65+2.01HPQ ahead
2026-07-2064.9791.73+1.79HPQ ahead
2026-07-1766.6391.59+1.99HPQ ahead
2026-07-1664.7594.34+1.62HPQ ahead
2026-07-1563.7190.96+1.77HPQ ahead
2026-07-1466.0793.48+1.85HPQ ahead
2026-07-1366.44124.99-0.04near the usual relationship
2026-07-1064.97123.84-0.13near the usual relationship
2026-07-0964.73127.17-0.34near the usual relationship
2026-07-0863.79130.08-0.59IBM ahead
2026-07-0761.59131.84-0.92IBM ahead
2026-07-0660.62128.99-0.88IBM ahead
2026-07-0258.83124.69-0.86IBM ahead
2026-07-0159.07123.28-0.76IBM ahead
2026-06-3058.85121.11-0.67IBM ahead
2026-06-2960.73119.72-0.38near the usual relationship
2026-06-2661.37116.98-0.16near the usual relationship
2026-06-2561.48111.23+0.20near the usual relationship
2026-06-2462.47113.25+0.18near the usual relationship
2026-06-2363.49114.10+0.24near the usual relationship
2026-06-2263.14108.62+0.54HPQ ahead
2026-06-1863.04107.28+0.61HPQ ahead
2026-06-1762.18112.98+0.17near the usual relationship
2026-06-1665.16116.63+0.28near the usual relationship
2026-06-1565.99115.72+0.41near the usual relationship
2026-06-1267.70117.24+0.50HPQ ahead
2026-06-1166.20118.37+0.29near the usual relationship
2026-06-1066.23117.30+0.35near the usual relationship
2026-06-0966.90119.50+0.29near the usual relationship
2026-06-0868.08120.94+0.33near the usual relationship
2026-06-0568.62122.67+0.28near the usual relationship
2026-06-0470.55129.96+0.08near the usual relationship
2026-06-0369.85131.62-0.08near the usual relationship
2026-06-0273.20141.79-0.26near the usual relationship
2026-06-0178.70137.99+0.40near the usual relationship
2026-05-2972.53128.25+0.34near the usual relationship
2026-05-2867.09113.79+0.61HPQ ahead
2026-05-2768.37109.91+0.96HPQ ahead
2026-05-2665.53107.96+0.79HPQ ahead
2026-05-2267.70109.32+0.92HPQ ahead
2026-05-2158.74108.94+0.00near the usual relationship
2026-05-2056.5296.90+0.51HPQ ahead
2026-05-1956.2595.75+0.55HPQ ahead
2026-05-1856.1295.93+0.52HPQ ahead
2026-05-1555.8294.44+0.58HPQ ahead
2026-05-1455.7194.04+0.59HPQ ahead
2026-05-1357.0392.44+0.84HPQ ahead
2026-05-1256.5594.41+0.65HPQ ahead
2026-05-1158.1396.27+0.70HPQ ahead
2026-05-0860.8498.95+0.81HPQ ahead
2026-05-0756.3099.62+0.27near the usual relationship
2026-05-0657.4397.22+0.55HPQ ahead
2026-05-0556.7398.63+0.38near the usual relationship
2026-05-0455.7998.83+0.25near the usual relationship
2026-05-0155.87100.00+0.18near the usual relationship
2026-04-3055.9599.47+0.22near the usual relationship
2026-04-2954.0297.80+0.10near the usual relationship
2026-04-2852.92100.36-0.19near the usual relationship
2026-04-2753.0098.21-0.05near the usual relationship
2026-04-2453.0899.91-0.15near the usual relationship
2026-04-2354.0299.52-0.03near the usual relationship
2026-04-2254.83108.47-0.47near the usual relationship
2026-04-2156.57110.11-0.37near the usual relationship
2026-04-2052.55109.26-0.79IBM ahead
2026-04-1753.33109.16-0.70IBM ahead
2026-04-1652.90108.10-0.69IBM ahead
2026-04-1551.58105.43-0.70IBM ahead
2026-04-1450.94103.48-0.67IBM ahead
2026-04-1351.58102.42-0.53IBM ahead
2026-04-1048.9899.38-0.67IBM ahead
2026-04-0949.30102.14-0.80IBM ahead
2026-04-0850.67104.11-0.76IBM ahead
2026-04-0749.92105.54-0.94IBM ahead
2026-04-0650.80106.26-0.88IBM ahead
2026-04-0252.33106.87-0.74IBM ahead
2026-04-0150.83104.71-0.80IBM ahead
2026-03-3151.53104.39-0.71IBM ahead
2026-03-3051.10102.17-0.63IBM ahead
2026-03-2752.15101.78-0.49near the usual relationship
2026-03-2651.82104.08-0.67IBM ahead
2026-03-2552.20103.96-0.63IBM ahead
2026-03-2450.67103.61-0.79IBM ahead
2026-03-2349.70106.99-1.10IBM ahead
2026-03-2049.01104.12-1.03IBM ahead
2026-03-1949.57107.83-1.18IBM ahead
2026-03-1848.87108.35-1.31IBM ahead
2026-03-1750.30110.30-1.25IBM ahead
2026-03-1650.11107.34-1.12IBM ahead
2026-03-1350.78106.06-0.98IBM ahead
2026-03-1250.83106.67-1.01IBM ahead
2026-03-1149.52107.18-1.20IBM ahead
2026-03-1050.40107.75-1.14IBM ahead
2026-03-0950.78109.10-1.18IBM ahead
2026-03-0652.20111.48-1.15IBM ahead
2026-03-0551.88110.49-1.14IBM ahead
2026-03-0451.45107.69-1.05IBM ahead
2026-03-0350.99105.63-1.00IBM ahead
2026-03-0250.16103.09-0.96IBM ahead
2026-02-2750.94103.45-0.89IBM ahead
2026-02-2650.46104.22-1.00IBM ahead
2026-02-2548.85102.30-1.08IBM ahead
2026-02-2448.8298.76-0.89IBM ahead
2026-02-2349.2296.19-0.70IBM ahead
2026-02-2049.87110.75-1.43IBM ahead
2026-02-1949.20110.37-1.49IBM ahead
2026-02-1849.22112.31-1.60IBM ahead
2026-02-1749.60111.24-1.51IBM ahead
2026-02-1351.66113.00-1.38IBM ahead
2026-02-1250.62111.77-1.44IBM ahead
2026-02-1153.00117.49-1.47IBM ahead
2026-02-1053.14125.65-1.85IBM ahead
2026-02-0952.12127.62-2.06IBM ahead
2026-02-0652.71128.74-2.07IBM ahead
2026-02-0551.37124.84-2.06IBM ahead
2026-02-0453.17124.48-1.88IBM ahead
2026-02-0350.97126.75-2.24IBM ahead
2026-02-0253.14135.54-2.41IBM ahead
2026-01-3052.15132.08-2.39IBM ahead
2026-01-2952.01133.18-2.48IBM ahead
2026-01-2851.10126.68-2.31IBM ahead
2026-01-2751.96126.55-2.23IBM ahead
2026-01-2652.20127.62-2.27IBM ahead
2026-01-2352.12125.94-2.22IBM ahead
2026-01-2253.19126.90-2.16IBM ahead
2026-01-2152.39128.14-2.32IBM ahead
2026-01-2053.11125.47-2.14IBM ahead
2026-01-1654.64131.64-2.27IBM ahead
2026-01-1555.28128.32-2.07IBM ahead
2026-01-1455.71133.09-2.25IBM ahead
2026-01-1356.55130.56-2.07IBM ahead
2026-01-1256.81134.44-2.23IBM ahead
2026-01-0957.59131.02-2.02IBM ahead
2026-01-0857.38130.37-2.02IBM ahead
2026-01-0756.57127.79-2.01IBM ahead
2026-01-0659.42130.26-1.85IBM ahead
2026-01-0558.10127.03-1.85IBM ahead
2026-01-0259.33125.54-1.67IBM ahead
2025-12-3159.76127.57-1.73IBM ahead
2025-12-3061.43130.08-1.70IBM ahead
2025-12-2960.97131.67-1.82IBM ahead
2025-12-2662.39131.39-1.69IBM ahead
2025-12-2462.12131.16-1.72IBM ahead
2025-12-2361.51130.83-1.77IBM ahead
2025-12-2262.15130.40-1.71IBM ahead
2025-12-1962.39129.62-1.67IBM ahead
2025-12-1862.90129.39-1.62IBM ahead
2025-12-1765.53130.63-1.46IBM ahead
2025-12-1666.60130.57-1.38IBM ahead
2025-12-1565.69132.93-1.56IBM ahead
2025-12-1266.36133.18-1.52IBM ahead
2025-12-1168.16133.82-1.41IBM ahead
2025-12-1068.37134.66-1.44IBM ahead
2025-12-0968.08133.71-1.43IBM ahead
2025-12-0867.25133.15-1.48IBM ahead
2025-12-0569.50132.62-1.29IBM ahead
2025-12-0469.47132.64-1.30IBM ahead
2025-12-0367.57130.33-1.36IBM ahead
2025-12-0267.46129.97-1.36IBM ahead
2025-12-0165.42131.64-1.60IBM ahead
2025-11-2865.50132.89-1.65IBM ahead
2025-11-2664.32130.58-1.66IBM ahead
2025-11-2565.24131.13-1.61IBM ahead
2025-11-2465.40130.97-1.60IBM ahead
2025-11-2164.27128.10-1.58IBM ahead
2025-11-2060.65125.06-1.76IBM ahead
2025-11-1960.27124.26-1.77IBM ahead
2025-11-1860.92124.87-1.75IBM ahead
2025-11-1761.35127.98-1.85IBM ahead
2025-11-1465.80131.65-1.65IBM ahead
2025-11-1367.01131.29-1.55IBM ahead
2025-11-1267.62135.65-1.68IBM ahead
2025-11-1166.34135.11-1.76IBM ahead
2025-11-1067.84133.13-1.59IBM ahead
2025-11-0770.49131.95-1.36IBM ahead
2025-11-0670.20134.55-1.49IBM ahead
2025-11-0571.46132.11-1.32IBM ahead
2025-11-0469.58129.57-1.36IBM ahead
2025-11-0372.45131.24-1.24IBM ahead
2025-10-3174.22132.39-1.17IBM ahead
2025-10-3073.79133.53-1.24IBM ahead
2025-10-2974.30132.73-1.19IBM ahead
2025-10-2875.30134.61-1.20IBM ahead
2025-10-2774.89134.84-1.25IBM ahead
2025-10-2474.20132.41-1.21IBM ahead
2025-10-2374.65122.74-0.84IBM ahead
2025-10-2274.20123.82-0.91IBM ahead
2025-10-2175.54121.47-0.75IBM ahead
2025-10-2074.20122.16-0.86IBM ahead
2025-10-1773.42121.14-0.88IBM ahead
2025-10-1672.96118.85-0.83IBM ahead
2025-10-1576.74120.91-0.68IBM ahead
2025-10-1476.56118.93-0.62IBM ahead
2025-10-1373.36119.39-0.84IBM ahead
2025-10-1068.54119.65-1.17IBM ahead
2025-10-0972.34124.13-1.10IBM ahead
2025-10-0872.51124.66-1.12IBM ahead
2025-10-0771.22126.56-1.28IBM ahead
2025-10-0671.38124.64-1.21IBM ahead
2025-10-0371.46124.19-1.20IBM ahead
2025-10-0271.03123.48-1.21IBM ahead
2025-10-0171.62123.38-1.18IBM ahead
2025-09-3073.04121.52-1.03IBM ahead
2025-09-2972.13120.50-1.05IBM ahead
2025-09-2671.65122.44-1.16IBM ahead
2025-09-2572.02121.21-1.10IBM ahead
2025-09-2473.77115.22-0.77IBM ahead
2025-09-2376.53117.24-0.69IBM ahead
2025-09-2275.80116.87-0.73IBM ahead
2025-09-1975.54114.73-0.67IBM ahead
2025-09-1875.75114.13-0.64IBM ahead
2025-09-1774.84111.58-0.59IBM ahead
2025-09-1674.36110.90-0.60IBM ahead
2025-09-1574.44110.35-0.58IBM ahead
2025-09-1275.03109.15-0.50IBM ahead
2025-09-1176.02110.68-0.51IBM ahead
2025-09-1076.10110.63-0.51IBM ahead
2025-09-0977.90111.59-0.45near the usual relationship
2025-09-0878.73110.29-0.36near the usual relationship
2025-09-0578.70107.03-0.23near the usual relationship
2025-09-0477.58106.45-0.28near the usual relationship
2025-09-0376.98105.12-0.26near the usual relationship
2025-09-0277.63104.01-0.19near the usual relationship
2025-08-2976.56104.86-0.29near the usual relationship
2025-08-2876.05105.83-0.36near the usual relationship
2025-08-2772.72105.44-0.54IBM ahead
2025-08-2672.45104.49-0.53IBM ahead
2025-08-2573.77103.11-0.40near the usual relationship
2025-08-2274.41104.26-0.42near the usual relationship
2025-08-2171.30103.10-0.55IBM ahead
2025-08-2071.00104.46-0.63IBM ahead
2025-08-1972.42103.91-0.53IBM ahead
2025-08-1871.97103.12-0.54IBM ahead
2025-08-1571.73103.24-0.56IBM ahead
2025-08-1472.24102.11-0.49near the usual relationship
2025-08-1372.80103.39-0.52IBM ahead
2025-08-1271.35101.11-0.51IBM ahead
2025-08-1168.43101.77-0.72IBM ahead
2025-08-0870.04104.34-0.73IBM ahead
2025-08-0768.00107.73-0.99IBM ahead
2025-08-0667.09108.65-1.08IBM ahead
2025-08-0567.19107.95-1.06IBM ahead
2025-08-0466.98108.52-1.10IBM ahead
2025-08-0165.58107.69-1.17IBM ahead
2025-07-3166.52109.02-1.17IBM ahead
2025-07-3067.33112.08-1.24IBM ahead
2025-07-2968.86113.01-1.19IBM ahead
2025-07-2869.34113.35-1.18IBM ahead
2025-07-2568.88111.85-1.16IBM ahead
2025-07-2468.91112.19-1.18IBM ahead
2025-07-2369.42121.45-1.48IBM ahead
2025-07-2268.16121.43-1.56IBM ahead
2025-07-2166.60122.61-1.70IBM ahead
2025-07-1867.22123.11-1.70IBM ahead
2025-07-1766.39121.45-1.71IBM ahead
2025-07-1665.88121.41-1.75IBM ahead
2025-07-1565.77121.75-1.78IBM ahead
2025-07-1466.60122.22-1.76IBM ahead
2025-07-1168.19122.13-1.68IBM ahead
2025-07-1069.02123.79-1.70IBM ahead
2025-07-0968.72124.95-1.77IBM ahead
2025-07-0869.21125.07-1.77IBM ahead
2025-07-0767.97125.96-1.88IBM ahead
2025-07-0369.74125.74-1.79IBM ahead
2025-07-0269.34123.88-1.77IBM ahead
2025-07-0168.40125.41-1.89IBM ahead
2025-06-3065.61126.95-2.13IBM ahead
2025-06-2766.44124.76-2.03IBM ahead
2025-06-2666.28125.72-2.10IBM ahead
2025-06-2565.80125.35-2.14IBM ahead
2025-06-2465.83126.52-2.20IBM ahead
2025-06-2364.14124.54-2.27IBM ahead
2025-06-2064.67121.00-2.13IBM ahead
2025-06-1864.86121.97-2.18IBM ahead
2025-06-1765.16121.90-2.18IBM ahead
2025-06-1665.77121.37-2.15IBM ahead
2025-06-1363.95119.39-2.22IBM ahead
2025-06-1266.36121.03-2.15IBM ahead
2025-06-1166.58121.24-2.16IBM ahead
2025-06-1068.56118.97-1.98IBM ahead
2025-06-0967.38117.17-2.01IBM ahead
2025-06-0667.54115.79-1.96IBM ahead
2025-06-0566.26114.93-2.03IBM ahead
2025-06-0467.54114.35-1.95IBM ahead
2025-06-0368.08114.21-1.92IBM ahead
2025-06-0266.82113.65-2.01IBM ahead
2025-05-3066.79111.57-1.95IBM ahead
2025-05-2966.93111.41-1.96IBM ahead
2025-05-2872.96112.08-1.62IBM ahead
2025-05-2776.02113.36-1.50IBM ahead
2025-05-2375.05111.38-1.50IBM ahead
2025-05-2276.45111.27-1.42IBM ahead
2025-05-2176.74112.35-1.46IBM ahead
2025-05-2077.74114.97-1.52IBM ahead
2025-05-1978.06115.59-1.54IBM ahead
2025-05-1678.65114.88-1.49IBM ahead
2025-05-1577.20114.85-1.59IBM ahead
2025-05-1476.85111.03-1.47IBM ahead
2025-05-1377.20111.37-1.48IBM ahead
2025-05-1275.80109.25-1.49IBM ahead
2025-05-0970.98107.32-1.73IBM ahead
2025-05-0870.63109.45-1.86IBM ahead
2025-05-0769.34109.12-1.95IBM ahead
2025-05-0668.75107.29-1.94IBM ahead
2025-05-0569.47107.31-1.91IBM ahead
2025-05-0269.61105.75-1.85IBM ahead
2025-05-0168.11103.21-1.86IBM ahead
2025-04-3068.59104.14-1.89IBM ahead
2025-04-2968.45103.10-1.88IBM ahead
2025-04-2868.11101.71-1.85IBM ahead
2025-04-2567.81100.09-1.81IBM ahead
2025-04-2467.9598.76-1.76IBM ahead
2025-04-2366.07105.72-2.26IBM ahead
2025-04-2264.86103.75-2.29IBM ahead
2025-04-2163.71101.73-2.31IBM ahead
2025-04-1763.92102.85-2.39IBM ahead
2025-04-1662.96102.74-2.50IBM ahead
2025-04-1563.68103.66-2.53IBM ahead
2025-04-1464.48102.95-2.46IBM ahead
2025-04-1162.88101.41-2.56IBM ahead
2025-04-1061.3598.86-2.60IBM ahead
2025-04-0965.13101.34-2.44IBM ahead
2025-04-0858.6995.19-2.72IBM ahead
2025-04-0762.7197.24-2.51IBM ahead
2025-04-0460.6597.97-2.79IBM ahead
2025-04-0363.79104.86-2.96IBM ahead
2025-04-0274.79107.66-2.21IBM ahead
2025-04-0174.54107.81-2.27IBM ahead
2025-03-3174.28107.09-2.28IBM ahead
2025-03-2874.84105.08-2.15IBM ahead
2025-03-2776.85106.03-2.06IBM ahead
2025-03-2677.01107.81-2.18IBM ahead
2025-03-2577.28107.62-2.18IBM ahead
2025-03-2477.79107.00-2.12IBM ahead
2025-03-2176.93105.03-2.10IBM ahead
2025-03-2076.48104.79-2.15IBM ahead
2025-03-1977.15108.65-2.36IBM ahead
2025-03-1876.98106.35-2.27IBM ahead
2025-03-1777.55108.94-2.41IBM ahead
2025-03-1476.21106.96-2.44IBM ahead
2025-03-1374.87105.86-2.53IBM ahead
2025-03-1276.37107.51-2.54IBM ahead
2025-03-1176.77107.21-2.52IBM ahead
2025-03-1080.42110.64-2.45IBM ahead
2025-03-0781.92112.64-2.49IBM ahead
2025-03-0680.39107.10-2.29IBM ahead
2025-03-0579.18108.25-2.51IBM ahead
2025-03-0478.57109.05-2.67IBM ahead
2025-03-0380.58107.75-2.43IBM ahead
2025-02-2882.81108.72-2.32IBM ahead
2025-02-2788.87109.06-1.83IBM ahead
2025-02-2690.75110.18-1.76IBM ahead
2025-02-2591.47111.00-1.77IBM ahead
2025-02-2493.00112.78-1.78IBM ahead
2025-02-2192.89112.61-1.80IBM ahead
2025-02-2093.13114.01-1.89IBM ahead
2025-02-1993.03113.83-1.90IBM ahead
2025-02-1891.74113.29-1.99IBM ahead
2025-02-1490.24112.52-2.09IBM ahead
2025-02-1389.32111.62-2.13IBM ahead
2025-02-1288.63110.17-2.11IBM ahead
2025-02-1188.92109.69-2.07IBM ahead
2025-02-1088.04107.35-1.99IBM ahead
2025-02-0786.56108.67-2.26IBM ahead
2025-02-0687.45109.15-2.24IBM ahead
2025-02-0587.37113.39-2.60IBM ahead
2025-02-0485.86113.89-2.84IBM ahead
2025-02-0385.84112.29-2.76IBM ahead
2025-01-3187.18110.12-2.49IBM ahead
2025-01-3087.98111.23-2.54IBM ahead
2025-01-2987.4798.46-1.51IBM ahead
2025-01-2887.8297.18-1.37IBM ahead
2025-01-2789.4096.52-1.15IBM ahead
2025-01-2487.8096.81-1.35IBM ahead
2025-01-2389.5497.35-1.23IBM ahead
2025-01-2288.8796.15-1.20IBM ahead
2025-01-2188.3996.58-1.30IBM ahead
2025-01-1787.2096.81-1.46IBM ahead
2025-01-1686.7895.89-1.43IBM ahead
2025-01-1587.9694.76-1.20IBM ahead
2025-01-1487.6393.78-1.15IBM ahead
2025-01-1387.5093.63-1.16IBM ahead
2025-01-1089.0694.64-1.10IBM ahead
2025-01-0889.7396.12-1.19IBM ahead
2025-01-0790.3296.45-1.17IBM ahead
2025-01-0690.8595.90-1.07IBM ahead
2025-01-0388.8995.89-1.28IBM ahead
2025-01-0287.1094.72-1.37IBM ahead
2024-12-3187.5394.67-1.33IBM ahead
2024-12-3087.5394.85-1.36IBM ahead
2024-12-2789.2795.94-1.29IBM ahead
2024-12-2689.6796.85-1.35IBM ahead
2024-12-2489.7096.65-1.34IBM ahead
2024-12-2389.1495.58-1.30IBM ahead
2024-12-2088.3696.19-1.46IBM ahead
2024-12-1987.0796.43-1.64IBM ahead
2024-12-1887.1594.82-1.48IBM ahead
2024-12-1790.7798.61-1.48IBM ahead
2024-12-1691.7198.76-1.41IBM ahead
2024-12-1392.6899.41-1.38IBM ahead
2024-12-1293.83100.03-1.34IBM ahead
2024-12-1192.6899.10-1.38IBM ahead
2024-12-1093.7299.79-1.35IBM ahead
2024-12-0997.7799.05-0.87IBM ahead
2024-12-0697.10102.52-1.28IBM ahead
2024-12-0597.02101.10-1.16IBM ahead
2024-12-0497.53100.56-1.07IBM ahead
2024-12-0398.6998.62-0.77IBM ahead
2024-12-0297.7797.93-0.80IBM ahead
2024-11-2995.0497.94-1.08IBM ahead
2024-11-2792.9797.73-1.29IBM ahead
2024-11-26104.8898.55-0.19near the usual relationship
2024-11-25105.4297.39-0.02near the usual relationship
2024-11-22102.2896.02-0.19near the usual relationship
2024-11-21101.6995.78-0.22near the usual relationship
2024-11-2098.3992.42-0.19near the usual relationship
2024-11-1998.9090.55+0.05near the usual relationship
2024-11-18100.4089.62+0.30near the usual relationship
2024-11-1598.5088.28+0.26near the usual relationship
2024-11-1497.8890.00+0.01near the usual relationship
2024-11-1398.7490.84+0.00near the usual relationship
2024-11-1299.5490.81+0.08near the usual relationship
2024-11-11101.0591.98+0.10near the usual relationship
2024-11-0898.7792.04-0.13near the usual relationship
2024-11-07100.1692.03+0.00near the usual relationship
2024-11-0699.0191.99-0.11near the usual relationship
2024-11-0598.2889.39+0.10near the usual relationship
2024-11-0496.5488.85-0.02near the usual relationship
2024-11-0197.3289.69-0.03near the usual relationship
2024-10-3195.2889.03-0.17near the usual relationship
2024-10-3098.0288.24+0.19near the usual relationship
2024-10-2999.4190.62+0.07near the usual relationship
2024-10-28100.3891.69+0.05near the usual relationship
2024-10-2598.9392.45-0.18near the usual relationship
2024-10-2497.8394.05-0.46near the usual relationship
2024-10-2396.16100.24-1.25IBM ahead
2024-10-2297.18100.02-1.14IBM ahead
2024-10-2197.8099.81-1.07IBM ahead
2024-10-18100.00100.00-0.87IBM ahead

One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Nov 27, 2024 (HPQ -11.4%, IBM -0.8%); Jan 30, 2025 (HPQ +0.6%, IBM +13.0%); Apr 3, 2025 (HPQ -14.7%, IBM -2.6%); Feb 23, 2026 (HPQ -1.3%, IBM -13.2%); May 22, 2026 (HPQ +15.3%, IBM +0.3%); Jul 14, 2026 (HPQ -0.6%, IBM -25.2%).

Paired trades

The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart

Forward paper record

No paper position on this pair yet.

Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)

No simulated trade through Oct 20, 2026: the pair rarely passed every test while 2 standard deviations apart.

Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.

The companies

HPQ and IBM at a glance

HPQ HP Inc.

Listing
NYSE · SEC CIK 47217
Industry
Computer Manufacturing · SIC 3570 Computer & office Equipment
Market value
$27.3B
Price history
2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026

IBM International Business Machines Corporation

Listing
NYSE · SEC CIK 51143
Industry
Computer Manufacturing · SIC 3570 Computer & office Equipment
Market value
$222.7B
Price history
2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026

Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.

Related
All pairs →
PairStatusAhead nowIndustry
AAPL / IBMWatchlistAAPL by 1.14 sdComputer Manufacturing
IBM / HPEWatchlistHPE by 1.11 sdSIC 3570 Computer & office Equipment
DELL / IBMWatchlistDELL by 1.01 sdComputer Manufacturing
HPE / HPQWatchlistHPE by 0.57 sdSIC 3570 Computer & office Equipment

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Paper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.