Transportation Services

Expedia Group Inc. vs XPO Inc.

WatchlistEXPE / XPOPrices through Oct 22, 2026

Why these are rivals: #2 and #3 by market value ($33B vs $22B) in Nasdaq's "Transportation Services" industry; SEC SIC 4700 / 4700 (same major group); #2 and #3 by market value ($33B vs $22B) with SEC SIC 4700 (Transportation Services).

Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.

  • Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.15 (needs >= 0.60)
  • Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.71 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Business leadership

EXPE is the larger business

Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.

YearEXPEXPOLarger
2025$14.7B$8.2BEXPE
2024$13.7B$8.1BEXPE
2023$12.8B$7.7BEXPE
2022$11.7B$7.7BEXPE
2021$8.6B$7.2BEXPE
2020$5.2B$6.2BXPO

Revenue lead switched: 2020 to XPO, 2021 to EXPE. Market value: EXPE $33.4B, XPO $21.7B.

Stock leadership

EXPE is ahead now

Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.

EXPE leads XPO by 0.48 standard deviations: +11.4% over its usual price ratio. 2 lead switches in the last year.

Price change3 mo6 mo12 mo
EXPE+14.8%+19.2%+32.0%
XPO-11.4%-16.0%+38.8%
Relationship

Not a measured twin today

Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.

Pass
Aligned sessions: 2521 (needs >= 254)
Fail
Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.15 (needs >= 0.60)
Fail
Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.72 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Pass
Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 44.16 (needs <= 63)
Data
Both stocks current
The twins over two years

Prices side by side, and the gap between them

EXPE Expedia Group Inc. XPO XPO Inc.Price index, 100 = 2024-10-18. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).
100150200Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026EXPE 187XPO 167
Spread z-score: EXPE relative to XPO, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: EXPE ahead; below 0: XPO ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).
-4stop-2idea0+2idea+4stopOct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026
Data table (504 sessions)
DateEXPE indexXPO indexzAhead
2026-10-22187.01167.18+0.48near the usual relationship
2026-10-21178.96166.93+0.29near the usual relationship
2026-10-20188.43165.41+0.56EXPE ahead
2026-10-19182.77164.17+0.46near the usual relationship
2026-10-16181.04165.34+0.38near the usual relationship
2026-10-15182.86167.25+0.37near the usual relationship
2026-10-14172.10163.95+0.19near the usual relationship
2026-10-13171.32160.45+0.26near the usual relationship
2026-10-12168.20159.89+0.20near the usual relationship
2026-10-09171.81162.51+0.22near the usual relationship
2026-10-08169.24161.16+0.19near the usual relationship
2026-10-07162.18159.75+0.03near the usual relationship
2026-10-06162.94162.52-0.03near the usual relationship
2026-10-05163.00161.97-0.01near the usual relationship
2026-10-02166.03164.83-0.01near the usual relationship
2026-10-01164.57159.19+0.10near the usual relationship
2026-09-30165.00155.87+0.20near the usual relationship
2026-09-29166.86157.10+0.21near the usual relationship
2026-09-28165.55156.47+0.20near the usual relationship
2026-09-25165.51153.38+0.28near the usual relationship
2026-09-24163.99156.00+0.16near the usual relationship
2026-09-23162.30159.36+0.02near the usual relationship
2026-09-22175.87157.37+0.43near the usual relationship
2026-09-21176.07154.42+0.51EXPE ahead
2026-09-18175.02154.34+0.49near the usual relationship
2026-09-17178.28155.31+0.54EXPE ahead
2026-09-16179.79154.48+0.60EXPE ahead
2026-09-15183.62157.87+0.60EXPE ahead
2026-09-14180.35159.87+0.46near the usual relationship
2026-09-11175.95161.36+0.31near the usual relationship
2026-09-10173.47161.51+0.24near the usual relationship
2026-09-09170.79163.20+0.13near the usual relationship
2026-09-08172.01168.34+0.02near the usual relationship
2026-09-04186.73171.04+0.31near the usual relationship
2026-09-03189.93163.68+0.58EXPE ahead
2026-09-02193.01164.73+0.62EXPE ahead
2026-09-01190.61163.94+0.58EXPE ahead
2026-08-31198.68171.82+0.56EXPE ahead
2026-08-28206.40167.02+0.85EXPE ahead
2026-08-27199.81169.72+0.64EXPE ahead
2026-08-26208.91170.47+0.82EXPE ahead
2026-08-25211.75170.00+0.89EXPE ahead
2026-08-24212.47170.05+0.91EXPE ahead
2026-08-21201.51175.15+0.55EXPE ahead
2026-08-20203.10174.35+0.60EXPE ahead
2026-08-19204.42174.87+0.62EXPE ahead
2026-08-18201.38179.56+0.44near the usual relationship
2026-08-17199.55186.88+0.22near the usual relationship
2026-08-14208.44186.94+0.41near the usual relationship
2026-08-13205.70186.95+0.35near the usual relationship
2026-08-12203.98185.07+0.36near the usual relationship
2026-08-11201.16180.16+0.41near the usual relationship
2026-08-10196.74177.57+0.38near the usual relationship
2026-08-07194.65179.43+0.29near the usual relationship
2026-08-06192.07173.91+0.37near the usual relationship
2026-08-05200.28177.31+0.47near the usual relationship
2026-08-04195.51180.06+0.29near the usual relationship
2026-08-03186.72174.50+0.23near the usual relationship
2026-07-31184.66178.01+0.10near the usual relationship
2026-07-30183.53176.49+0.11near the usual relationship
2026-07-29190.63176.60+0.27near the usual relationship
2026-07-28185.32181.34+0.03near the usual relationship
2026-07-27174.41184.41-0.31near the usual relationship
2026-07-24162.86188.67-0.71XPO ahead
2026-07-23161.40189.69-0.78XPO ahead
2026-07-22163.57189.24-0.71XPO ahead
2026-07-21165.99190.19-0.67XPO ahead
2026-07-20166.08186.55-0.59XPO ahead
2026-07-17168.39190.45-0.62XPO ahead
2026-07-16169.76194.23-0.67XPO ahead
2026-07-15167.35181.42-0.44near the usual relationship
2026-07-14166.83185.98-0.56XPO ahead
2026-07-13166.42185.52-0.56XPO ahead
2026-07-10169.68184.13-0.45near the usual relationship
2026-07-09167.77184.26-0.50XPO ahead
2026-07-08163.09181.21-0.55XPO ahead
2026-07-07169.08179.62-0.35near the usual relationship
2026-07-06167.13183.15-0.49near the usual relationship
2026-07-02168.34182.75-0.45near the usual relationship
2026-07-01165.74183.40-0.54XPO ahead
2026-06-30160.32181.83-0.65XPO ahead
2026-06-29166.21182.59-0.51XPO ahead
2026-06-26164.65178.44-0.45near the usual relationship
2026-06-25157.23179.82-0.69XPO ahead
2026-06-24164.24174.34-0.36near the usual relationship
2026-06-23153.54176.46-0.71XPO ahead
2026-06-22149.13178.20-0.89XPO ahead
2026-06-18150.93176.71-0.80XPO ahead
2026-06-17150.03178.73-0.88XPO ahead
2026-06-16152.60189.79-1.08XPO ahead
2026-06-15148.47195.52-1.34XPO ahead
2026-06-12140.90202.24-1.75XPO ahead
2026-06-11140.76201.64-1.75XPO ahead
2026-06-10137.17191.55-1.65XPO ahead
2026-06-09144.77201.58-1.66XPO ahead
2026-06-08141.53198.99-1.72XPO ahead
2026-06-05143.40193.92-1.55XPO ahead
2026-06-04142.33194.21-1.61XPO ahead
2026-06-03141.23193.70-1.65XPO ahead
2026-06-02141.83192.15-1.61XPO ahead
2026-06-01143.08195.93-1.67XPO ahead
2026-05-29141.46189.77-1.59XPO ahead
2026-05-28142.57189.57-1.56XPO ahead
2026-05-27141.95188.61-1.57XPO ahead
2026-05-26139.70186.67-1.60XPO ahead
2026-05-22134.48179.73-1.62XPO ahead
2026-05-21136.66180.31-1.56XPO ahead
2026-05-20136.33186.65-1.76XPO ahead
2026-05-19134.70179.19-1.63XPO ahead
2026-05-18134.70177.56-1.60XPO ahead
2026-05-15136.41180.89-1.64XPO ahead
2026-05-14136.06182.06-1.70XPO ahead
2026-05-13136.30175.62-1.52XPO ahead
2026-05-12138.76173.62-1.38XPO ahead
2026-05-11138.75178.57-1.53XPO ahead
2026-05-08144.09181.13-1.43XPO ahead
2026-05-07158.38183.24-1.01XPO ahead
2026-05-06154.54187.40-1.26XPO ahead
2026-05-05155.79183.84-1.13XPO ahead
2026-05-04154.44177.10-0.99XPO ahead
2026-05-01157.78190.68-1.27XPO ahead
2026-04-30155.61194.98-1.47XPO ahead
2026-04-29156.99191.95-1.35XPO ahead
2026-04-28151.73196.64-1.67XPO ahead
2026-04-27153.64194.86-1.57XPO ahead
2026-04-24157.53198.12-1.54XPO ahead
2026-04-23156.86199.08-1.60XPO ahead
2026-04-22165.78195.85-1.24XPO ahead
2026-04-21171.54201.60-1.22XPO ahead
2026-04-20171.19202.28-1.25XPO ahead
2026-04-17166.56199.31-1.33XPO ahead
2026-04-16159.41196.74-1.51XPO ahead
2026-04-15161.29186.30-1.16XPO ahead
2026-04-14155.74188.36-1.42XPO ahead
2026-04-13150.50187.91-1.61XPO ahead
2026-04-10142.90188.43-1.93XPO ahead
2026-04-09144.26187.54-1.87XPO ahead
2026-04-08148.42187.51-1.73XPO ahead
2026-04-07140.53177.42-1.74XPO ahead
2026-04-06143.50181.68-1.78XPO ahead
2026-04-02141.16177.61-1.76XPO ahead
2026-04-01142.64175.76-1.66XPO ahead
2026-03-31144.66172.32-1.48XPO ahead
2026-03-30141.91165.10-1.35XPO ahead
2026-03-27141.48167.45-1.46XPO ahead
2026-03-26145.88169.52-1.37XPO ahead
2026-03-25148.02170.82-1.34XPO ahead
2026-03-24148.48165.04-1.13XPO ahead
2026-03-23148.27164.39-1.13XPO ahead
2026-03-20147.35161.07-1.05XPO ahead
2026-03-19150.00165.96-1.13XPO ahead
2026-03-18150.39168.04-1.19XPO ahead
2026-03-17151.15166.83-1.13XPO ahead
2026-03-16145.02164.11-1.28XPO ahead
2026-03-13143.08160.95-1.25XPO ahead
2026-03-12142.63161.92-1.32XPO ahead
2026-03-11144.32171.74-1.61XPO ahead
2026-03-10145.14172.44-1.62XPO ahead
2026-03-09151.33172.12-1.37XPO ahead
2026-03-06156.39167.09-1.00XPO ahead
2026-03-05157.60182.65-1.50XPO ahead
2026-03-04138.92189.96-2.54XPO ahead
2026-03-03134.79190.76-2.80XPO ahead
2026-03-02133.60190.59-2.91XPO ahead
2026-02-27135.14186.42-2.75XPO ahead
2026-02-26136.54181.69-2.57XPO ahead
2026-02-25127.65175.81-2.85XPO ahead
2026-02-24124.13181.16-3.31XPO ahead
2026-02-23118.11178.19-3.64XPO ahead
2026-02-20127.49185.89-3.49XPO ahead
2026-02-19125.16180.11-3.49XPO ahead
2026-02-18127.68179.77-3.41XPO ahead
2026-02-17125.57179.04-3.60XPO ahead
2026-02-13133.24173.01-2.94XPO ahead
2026-02-12142.37168.12-2.23XPO ahead
2026-02-11146.36178.77-2.52XPO ahead
2026-02-10151.33177.24-2.22XPO ahead
2026-02-09148.14183.22-2.65XPO ahead
2026-02-06148.39180.35-2.53XPO ahead
2026-02-05144.92164.41-1.99XPO ahead
2026-02-04148.16159.03-1.55XPO ahead
2026-02-03146.90150.24-1.16XPO ahead
2026-02-02173.34144.43+0.46near the usual relationship
2026-01-30165.93131.19+0.87EXPE ahead
2026-01-29170.90133.67+0.96EXPE ahead
2026-01-28166.51131.29+0.90EXPE ahead
2026-01-27167.12131.62+0.92EXPE ahead
2026-01-26168.84131.79+0.99EXPE ahead
2026-01-23169.88130.44+1.13EXPE ahead
2026-01-22175.21132.51+1.25EXPE ahead
2026-01-21170.14132.70+1.03EXPE ahead
2026-01-20170.51129.23+1.25EXPE ahead
2026-01-16178.63133.22+1.39EXPE ahead
2026-01-15184.37136.78+1.44EXPE ahead
2026-01-14182.17133.00+1.57EXPE ahead
2026-01-13187.94130.40+1.98EXPE ahead
2026-01-12182.65129.43+1.84EXPE ahead
2026-01-09185.66129.96+1.96EXPE ahead
2026-01-08188.78127.41+2.26EXPE ahead
2026-01-07186.19127.46+2.18EXPE ahead
2026-01-06187.46133.31+1.91EXPE ahead
2026-01-05180.11128.57+1.90EXPE ahead
2026-01-02177.27122.93+2.16EXPE ahead
2025-12-31177.50120.38+2.37EXPE ahead
2025-12-30178.56121.96+2.35EXPE ahead
2025-12-29179.70123.14+2.36EXPE ahead
2025-12-26180.16125.17+2.28EXPE ahead
2025-12-24179.54125.01+2.29EXPE ahead
2025-12-23180.58124.08+2.43EXPE ahead
2025-12-22181.25125.14+2.41EXPE ahead
2025-12-19181.22122.69+2.60EXPE ahead
2025-12-18178.93124.82+2.37EXPE ahead
2025-12-17177.19128.52+2.05EXPE ahead
2025-12-16178.57131.22+1.95EXPE ahead
2025-12-15177.59129.92+2.01EXPE ahead
2025-12-12171.80132.03+1.61EXPE ahead
2025-12-11176.15132.97+1.77EXPE ahead
2025-12-10171.71133.24+1.55EXPE ahead
2025-12-09163.69126.43+1.61EXPE ahead
2025-12-08165.66124.74+1.83EXPE ahead
2025-12-05165.05126.59+1.69EXPE ahead
2025-12-04161.88124.76+1.66EXPE ahead
2025-12-03164.41123.79+1.87EXPE ahead
2025-12-02165.22119.88+2.20EXPE ahead
2025-12-01162.24127.04+1.58EXPE ahead
2025-11-28160.20125.83+1.56EXPE ahead
2025-11-26161.41125.54+1.66EXPE ahead
2025-11-25161.73123.99+1.79EXPE ahead
2025-11-24156.09118.51+1.89EXPE ahead
2025-11-21155.06117.39+1.94EXPE ahead
2025-11-20147.09111.28+1.96EXPE ahead
2025-11-19150.34112.24+2.10EXPE ahead
2025-11-18150.37114.11+1.98EXPE ahead
2025-11-17152.97113.30+2.21EXPE ahead
2025-11-14165.82118.47+2.55EXPE ahead
2025-11-13167.50119.99+2.56EXPE ahead
2025-11-12171.45124.45+2.48EXPE ahead
2025-11-11166.23122.47+2.37EXPE ahead
2025-11-10167.93123.47+2.41EXPE ahead
2025-11-07161.80124.69+2.02EXPE ahead
2025-11-06137.65120.67+0.90EXPE ahead
2025-11-05133.96122.53+0.53EXPE ahead
2025-11-04132.91124.59+0.33near the usual relationship
2025-11-03135.09122.49+0.62EXPE ahead
2025-10-31137.84127.43+0.46near the usual relationship
2025-10-30138.13120.43+0.97EXPE ahead
2025-10-29137.69110.50+1.70EXPE ahead
2025-10-28141.16109.53+2.01EXPE ahead
2025-10-27139.40110.94+1.81EXPE ahead
2025-10-24137.12111.40+1.65EXPE ahead
2025-10-23135.11111.12+1.55EXPE ahead
2025-10-22141.84116.25+1.60EXPE ahead
2025-10-21141.68120.46+1.28EXPE ahead
2025-10-20136.74118.50+1.12EXPE ahead
2025-10-17134.55115.08+1.25EXPE ahead
2025-10-16133.81116.10+1.13EXPE ahead
2025-10-15136.85114.40+1.47EXPE ahead
2025-10-14139.79114.63+1.66EXPE ahead
2025-10-13135.10113.76+1.44EXPE ahead
2025-10-10131.78114.60+1.15EXPE ahead
2025-10-09135.84121.94+0.87EXPE ahead
2025-10-08133.08121.86+0.69EXPE ahead
2025-10-07135.43117.28+1.21EXPE ahead
2025-10-06140.24118.20+1.47EXPE ahead
2025-10-03137.35113.82+1.64EXPE ahead
2025-10-02136.39112.35+1.71EXPE ahead
2025-10-01136.55112.43+1.74EXPE ahead
2025-09-30133.92114.50+1.40EXPE ahead
2025-09-29138.16112.80+1.85EXPE ahead
2025-09-26139.63111.65+2.07EXPE ahead
2025-09-25134.82114.39+1.52EXPE ahead
2025-09-24136.48115.24+1.58EXPE ahead
2025-09-23138.60118.05+1.52EXPE ahead
2025-09-22140.04116.35+1.77EXPE ahead
2025-09-19139.36115.98+1.77EXPE ahead
2025-09-18139.04116.60+1.71EXPE ahead
2025-09-17141.08114.91+2.02EXPE ahead
2025-09-16140.96119.93+1.61EXPE ahead
2025-09-15143.00118.62+1.88EXPE ahead
2025-09-12139.21115.31+1.91EXPE ahead
2025-09-11138.69119.04+1.58EXPE ahead
2025-09-10135.01115.40+1.64EXPE ahead
2025-09-09136.39115.66+1.73EXPE ahead
2025-09-08136.08117.47+1.57EXPE ahead
2025-09-05134.67115.95+1.61EXPE ahead
2025-09-04135.66115.88+1.70EXPE ahead
2025-09-03133.16111.47+1.92EXPE ahead
2025-09-02132.90112.43+1.84EXPE ahead
2025-08-29134.58114.88+1.76EXPE ahead
2025-08-28134.52115.28+1.73EXPE ahead
2025-08-27132.96117.02+1.47EXPE ahead
2025-08-26133.84120.74+1.23EXPE ahead
2025-08-25133.67119.28+1.34EXPE ahead
2025-08-22134.58121.70+1.22EXPE ahead
2025-08-21128.66113.30+1.49EXPE ahead
2025-08-20128.86112.20+1.61EXPE ahead
2025-08-19130.34116.42+1.36EXPE ahead
2025-08-18129.48113.27+1.57EXPE ahead
2025-08-15129.97112.84+1.66EXPE ahead
2025-08-14129.82113.98+1.56EXPE ahead
2025-08-13131.37115.42+1.57EXPE ahead
2025-08-12127.30112.08+1.55EXPE ahead
2025-08-11120.69105.45+1.62EXPE ahead
2025-08-08122.34106.48+1.67EXPE ahead
2025-08-07117.54106.63+1.29EXPE ahead
2025-08-06116.00108.99+0.97EXPE ahead
2025-08-05113.93106.66+1.00EXPE ahead
2025-08-04115.90105.84+1.24EXPE ahead
2025-08-01111.56105.22+0.95EXPE ahead
2025-07-31112.91106.55+0.96EXPE ahead
2025-07-30112.64117.17+0.09near the usual relationship
2025-07-29114.54119.10+0.10near the usual relationship
2025-07-28117.26120.23+0.23near the usual relationship
2025-07-25117.37122.51+0.07near the usual relationship
2025-07-24119.34120.19+0.40near the usual relationship
2025-07-23120.41119.57+0.52EXPE ahead
2025-07-22118.69117.87+0.53EXPE ahead
2025-07-21116.20113.76+0.66EXPE ahead
2025-07-18115.86114.82+0.56EXPE ahead
2025-07-17114.08115.48+0.38near the usual relationship
2025-07-16111.71113.82+0.33near the usual relationship
2025-07-15112.14113.63+0.38near the usual relationship
2025-07-14115.01117.30+0.32near the usual relationship
2025-07-11115.06117.23+0.34near the usual relationship
2025-07-10114.64118.64+0.20near the usual relationship
2025-07-09110.33117.03-0.01near the usual relationship
2025-07-08111.24117.15+0.06near the usual relationship
2025-07-07111.40114.87+0.25near the usual relationship
2025-07-03110.57117.03+0.03near the usual relationship
2025-07-02107.14117.36-0.26near the usual relationship
2025-07-01109.04114.67+0.09near the usual relationship
2025-06-30105.68111.86+0.04near the usual relationship
2025-06-27106.99112.91+0.06near the usual relationship
2025-06-26104.50109.98+0.09near the usual relationship
2025-06-25103.85109.86+0.05near the usual relationship
2025-06-24106.02111.54+0.10near the usual relationship
2025-06-23103.89110.21+0.03near the usual relationship
2025-06-20103.30106.16+0.31near the usual relationship
2025-06-18101.79106.84+0.13near the usual relationship
2025-06-17101.49106.10+0.17near the usual relationship
2025-06-16103.13108.56+0.12near the usual relationship
2025-06-13103.77106.69+0.32near the usual relationship
2025-06-12107.57108.27+0.51EXPE ahead
2025-06-11108.59106.81+0.71EXPE ahead
2025-06-10109.05109.42+0.55EXPE ahead
2025-06-09110.66105.88+0.95EXPE ahead
2025-06-06110.61104.93+1.03EXPE ahead
2025-06-05108.63103.34+1.01EXPE ahead
2025-06-04106.40101.80+0.97EXPE ahead
2025-06-03105.65101.84+0.92EXPE ahead
2025-06-02104.7499.99+1.00EXPE ahead
2025-05-30104.47100.82+0.92EXPE ahead
2025-05-29103.78104.11+0.61EXPE ahead
2025-05-28105.06104.80+0.66EXPE ahead
2025-05-27103.37105.23+0.51EXPE ahead
2025-05-2399.61103.63+0.34near the usual relationship
2025-05-22100.70105.21+0.31near the usual relationship
2025-05-2199.83106.85+0.13near the usual relationship
2025-05-20101.82110.22+0.05near the usual relationship
2025-05-19103.68111.33+0.12near the usual relationship
2025-05-16104.42113.46+0.04near the usual relationship
2025-05-15104.14111.32+0.17near the usual relationship
2025-05-14106.02113.13+0.19near the usual relationship
2025-05-13106.11111.60+0.30near the usual relationship
2025-05-12104.79112.05+0.19near the usual relationship
2025-05-0998.1598.33+0.68EXPE ahead
2025-05-08105.8899.26+1.17EXPE ahead
2025-05-07104.3596.97+1.25EXPE ahead
2025-05-06103.2195.40+1.30EXPE ahead
2025-05-05103.7796.80+1.24EXPE ahead
2025-05-02101.3797.20+1.04EXPE ahead
2025-05-0198.9792.06+1.28EXPE ahead
2025-04-3098.3293.99+1.08EXPE ahead
2025-04-29100.3486.30+1.89EXPE ahead
2025-04-28101.0286.39+1.96EXPE ahead
2025-04-25100.3185.40+2.01EXPE ahead
2025-04-2499.9691.87+1.45EXPE ahead
2025-04-2397.9188.54+1.58EXPE ahead
2025-04-2295.8185.40+1.71EXPE ahead
2025-04-2191.8983.13+1.61EXPE ahead
2025-04-1794.7085.69+1.63EXPE ahead
2025-04-1695.5982.81+1.98EXPE ahead
2025-04-1594.9884.84+1.76EXPE ahead
2025-04-1493.5086.32+1.52EXPE ahead
2025-04-1194.3183.06+1.90EXPE ahead
2025-04-1093.6886.17+1.58EXPE ahead
2025-04-09101.3093.50+1.56EXPE ahead
2025-04-0885.6081.01+1.38EXPE ahead
2025-04-0787.6081.53+1.52EXPE ahead
2025-04-0488.8881.09+1.69EXPE ahead
2025-04-0395.4685.04+1.90EXPE ahead
2025-04-02105.1698.59+1.51EXPE ahead
2025-04-01105.0796.71+1.67EXPE ahead
2025-03-31105.3295.29+1.83EXPE ahead
2025-03-28105.3294.85+1.89EXPE ahead
2025-03-27105.93100.27+1.50EXPE ahead
2025-03-26108.6698.20+1.90EXPE ahead
2025-03-25110.8198.33+2.07EXPE ahead
2025-03-24111.7099.65+2.05EXPE ahead
2025-03-21108.9096.20+2.16EXPE ahead
2025-03-20108.4595.62+2.20EXPE ahead
2025-03-19108.0698.78+1.93EXPE ahead
2025-03-18103.4896.63+1.77EXPE ahead
2025-03-17104.2398.55+1.68EXPE ahead
2025-03-14101.5794.99+1.79EXPE ahead
2025-03-1398.4393.99+1.63EXPE ahead
2025-03-12101.8296.58+1.71EXPE ahead
2025-03-11102.5994.92+1.94EXPE ahead
2025-03-10110.6494.12+2.70EXPE ahead
2025-03-07115.4995.97+2.96EXPE ahead
2025-03-06115.3298.37+2.79EXPE ahead
2025-03-05119.6699.85+3.05EXPE ahead
2025-03-04118.23103.45+2.67EXPE ahead
2025-03-03121.23105.94+2.73EXPE ahead
2025-02-28124.03108.91+2.74EXPE ahead
2025-02-27121.26106.77+2.76EXPE ahead
2025-02-26125.02108.39+2.97EXPE ahead
2025-02-25125.16108.15+3.07EXPE ahead
2025-02-24125.29109.66+3.01EXPE ahead
2025-02-21123.31110.35+2.84EXPE ahead
2025-02-20128.53117.28+2.69EXPE ahead
2025-02-19129.39121.70+2.42EXPE ahead
2025-02-18127.94127.81+1.81EXPE ahead
2025-02-14126.80129.00+1.63EXPE ahead
2025-02-13127.31127.04+1.86EXPE ahead
2025-02-12126.94128.26+1.74EXPE ahead
2025-02-11123.54131.10+1.22EXPE ahead
2025-02-10127.19129.74+1.65EXPE ahead
2025-02-07126.79131.23+1.47EXPE ahead
2025-02-06108.12130.12-0.14near the usual relationship
2025-02-05106.34120.74+0.45near the usual relationship
2025-02-04105.55116.47+0.71EXPE ahead
2025-02-03106.27113.92+0.96EXPE ahead
2025-01-31107.10118.40+0.63EXPE ahead
2025-01-30107.73120.88+0.47near the usual relationship
2025-01-29107.31120.42+0.45near the usual relationship
2025-01-28107.62124.09+0.18near the usual relationship
2025-01-27105.95122.57+0.14near the usual relationship
2025-01-24107.28123.21+0.19near the usual relationship
2025-01-23110.83123.13+0.45near the usual relationship
2025-01-22108.80121.10+0.42near the usual relationship
2025-01-21113.65122.51+0.65EXPE ahead
2025-01-17117.34121.86+0.93EXPE ahead
2025-01-16118.21122.70+0.91EXPE ahead
2025-01-15116.86120.81+0.92EXPE ahead
2025-01-14114.77120.04+0.81EXPE ahead
2025-01-13113.59120.17+0.71EXPE ahead
2025-01-10112.90118.86+0.72EXPE ahead
2025-01-08114.42121.51+0.64EXPE ahead
2025-01-07114.23119.98+0.70EXPE ahead
2025-01-06115.90125.00+0.50EXPE ahead
2025-01-03116.59122.64+0.66EXPE ahead
2025-01-02116.11117.36+0.92EXPE ahead
2024-12-31116.74116.16+1.01EXPE ahead
2024-12-30116.84117.44+0.93EXPE ahead
2024-12-27116.60117.15+0.92EXPE ahead
2024-12-26119.12117.95+1.00EXPE ahead
2024-12-24118.84119.60+0.88EXPE ahead
2024-12-23118.31117.73+0.95EXPE ahead
2024-12-20115.75119.80+0.68EXPE ahead
2024-12-19112.41128.88+0.01near the usual relationship
2024-12-18110.41130.64-0.20near the usual relationship
2024-12-17113.18139.89-0.48near the usual relationship
2024-12-16114.40140.12-0.43near the usual relationship
2024-12-13114.65138.44-0.35near the usual relationship
2024-12-12115.63140.10-0.38near the usual relationship
2024-12-11119.22140.06-0.20near the usual relationship
2024-12-10118.04137.04-0.13near the usual relationship
2024-12-09118.74135.97-0.06near the usual relationship
2024-12-06119.49134.30+0.05near the usual relationship
2024-12-05119.67133.21+0.10near the usual relationship
2024-12-04117.98137.40-0.18near the usual relationship
2024-12-03115.09135.84-0.26near the usual relationship
2024-12-02115.91136.87-0.27near the usual relationship
2024-11-29115.67135.00-0.20near the usual relationship
2024-11-27115.86133.06-0.12near the usual relationship
2024-11-26116.71134.03-0.12near the usual relationship
2024-11-25115.33134.27-0.20near the usual relationship
2024-11-22115.86131.95-0.08near the usual relationship
2024-11-21114.97132.59-0.16near the usual relationship
2024-11-20112.21129.79-0.18near the usual relationship
2024-11-19110.93129.11-0.22near the usual relationship
2024-11-18113.03127.96-0.07near the usual relationship
2024-11-15113.62129.13-0.09near the usual relationship
2024-11-14114.19131.91-0.19near the usual relationship
2024-11-13112.98132.43-0.27near the usual relationship
2024-11-12114.03134.22-0.30near the usual relationship
2024-11-11115.48137.45-0.37near the usual relationship
2024-11-08113.25134.84-0.37near the usual relationship
2024-11-07109.10133.37-0.53XPO ahead
2024-11-06107.67134.38-0.65XPO ahead
2024-11-05103.30122.41-0.36near the usual relationship
2024-11-04100.94118.25-0.30near the usual relationship
2024-11-0199.87115.31-0.21near the usual relationship
2024-10-3197.93115.62-0.34near the usual relationship
2024-10-30100.96118.68-0.32near the usual relationship
2024-10-2999.53106.51+0.21near the usual relationship
2024-10-2898.99105.90+0.21near the usual relationship
2024-10-2599.24104.25+0.32near the usual relationship
2024-10-24100.5399.21+0.67EXPE ahead
2024-10-2399.2296.96+0.73EXPE ahead
2024-10-22100.9998.17+0.76EXPE ahead
2024-10-21102.2397.19+0.89EXPE ahead
2024-10-18100.00100.00+0.61EXPE ahead

One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Feb 7, 2025 (EXPE +17.3%, XPO +0.8%); Nov 7, 2025 (EXPE +17.6%, XPO +3.3%); Feb 3, 2026 (EXPE -15.3%, XPO +4.0%); Mar 5, 2026 (EXPE +13.4%, XPO -3.9%). Upcoming earnings: XPO Oct 29, 2026 (pre-market); EXPE Nov 4, 2026 (after-hours).

Paired trades

The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart

Forward paper record

No paper position on this pair yet.

Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)

1 simulated trade to Oct 20, 2026: +15.89% per trade on average after costs, 1 won.

LegsEnteredExitedWhyDaysBefore costsCosts + borrowAfter costs
Long XPO · Short EXPEFeb 12, 2021Aug 4, 2021converged173$1,698.98-$92.36$1,589.38 (+15.89%)

Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.

The companies

EXPE and XPO at a glance

EXPE Expedia Group Inc.

Listing
Nasdaq · SEC CIK 1324424
Industry
Transportation Services · SIC 4700 Transportation Services
Market value
$33.4B
Price history
2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026

XPO XPO Inc.

Listing
NYSE · SEC CIK 1166003
Industry
Transportation Services · SIC 4700 Transportation Services
Market value
$21.7B
Price history
2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026

Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.

Related
All pairs →
PairStatusAhead nowIndustry
BKNG / EXPEWatchlistEXPE by 2.63 sdTransportation Services
BKNG / XPOWatchlistXPO by 0.69 sdTransportation Services

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Paper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.