Expedia Group Inc. vs XPO Inc.
Why these are rivals: #2 and #3 by market value ($33B vs $22B) in Nasdaq's "Transportation Services" industry; SEC SIC 4700 / 4700 (same major group); #2 and #3 by market value ($33B vs $22B) with SEC SIC 4700 (Transportation Services).
Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.15 (needs >= 0.60)
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.71 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
EXPE is the larger business
Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.
| Year | EXPE | XPO | Larger |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $14.7B | $8.2B | EXPE |
| 2024 | $13.7B | $8.1B | EXPE |
| 2023 | $12.8B | $7.7B | EXPE |
| 2022 | $11.7B | $7.7B | EXPE |
| 2021 | $8.6B | $7.2B | EXPE |
| 2020 | $5.2B | $6.2B | XPO |
Revenue lead switched: 2020 to XPO, 2021 to EXPE. Market value: EXPE $33.4B, XPO $21.7B.
EXPE is ahead now
Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.
EXPE leads XPO by 0.48 standard deviations: +11.4% over its usual price ratio. 2 lead switches in the last year.
| Price change | 3 mo | 6 mo | 12 mo |
|---|---|---|---|
| EXPE | +14.8% | +19.2% | +32.0% |
| XPO | -11.4% | -16.0% | +38.8% |
Not a measured twin today
Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.
- Pass
- Aligned sessions: 2521 (needs >= 254)
- Fail
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.15 (needs >= 0.60)
- Fail
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.72 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
- Pass
- Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 44.16 (needs <= 63)
- Data
- Both stocks current
Prices side by side, and the gap between them
Data table (504 sessions)
| Date | EXPE index | XPO index | z | Ahead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | 187.01 | 167.18 | +0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-21 | 178.96 | 166.93 | +0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-20 | 188.43 | 165.41 | +0.56 | EXPE ahead |
| 2026-10-19 | 182.77 | 164.17 | +0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-16 | 181.04 | 165.34 | +0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-15 | 182.86 | 167.25 | +0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-14 | 172.10 | 163.95 | +0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-13 | 171.32 | 160.45 | +0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-12 | 168.20 | 159.89 | +0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-09 | 171.81 | 162.51 | +0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-08 | 169.24 | 161.16 | +0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-07 | 162.18 | 159.75 | +0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-06 | 162.94 | 162.52 | -0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-05 | 163.00 | 161.97 | -0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-02 | 166.03 | 164.83 | -0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-01 | 164.57 | 159.19 | +0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-30 | 165.00 | 155.87 | +0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-29 | 166.86 | 157.10 | +0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-28 | 165.55 | 156.47 | +0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-25 | 165.51 | 153.38 | +0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-24 | 163.99 | 156.00 | +0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-23 | 162.30 | 159.36 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-22 | 175.87 | 157.37 | +0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-21 | 176.07 | 154.42 | +0.51 | EXPE ahead |
| 2026-09-18 | 175.02 | 154.34 | +0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-17 | 178.28 | 155.31 | +0.54 | EXPE ahead |
| 2026-09-16 | 179.79 | 154.48 | +0.60 | EXPE ahead |
| 2026-09-15 | 183.62 | 157.87 | +0.60 | EXPE ahead |
| 2026-09-14 | 180.35 | 159.87 | +0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-11 | 175.95 | 161.36 | +0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-10 | 173.47 | 161.51 | +0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-09 | 170.79 | 163.20 | +0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-08 | 172.01 | 168.34 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-04 | 186.73 | 171.04 | +0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-03 | 189.93 | 163.68 | +0.58 | EXPE ahead |
| 2026-09-02 | 193.01 | 164.73 | +0.62 | EXPE ahead |
| 2026-09-01 | 190.61 | 163.94 | +0.58 | EXPE ahead |
| 2026-08-31 | 198.68 | 171.82 | +0.56 | EXPE ahead |
| 2026-08-28 | 206.40 | 167.02 | +0.85 | EXPE ahead |
| 2026-08-27 | 199.81 | 169.72 | +0.64 | EXPE ahead |
| 2026-08-26 | 208.91 | 170.47 | +0.82 | EXPE ahead |
| 2026-08-25 | 211.75 | 170.00 | +0.89 | EXPE ahead |
| 2026-08-24 | 212.47 | 170.05 | +0.91 | EXPE ahead |
| 2026-08-21 | 201.51 | 175.15 | +0.55 | EXPE ahead |
| 2026-08-20 | 203.10 | 174.35 | +0.60 | EXPE ahead |
| 2026-08-19 | 204.42 | 174.87 | +0.62 | EXPE ahead |
| 2026-08-18 | 201.38 | 179.56 | +0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-17 | 199.55 | 186.88 | +0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-14 | 208.44 | 186.94 | +0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-13 | 205.70 | 186.95 | +0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-12 | 203.98 | 185.07 | +0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-11 | 201.16 | 180.16 | +0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-10 | 196.74 | 177.57 | +0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-07 | 194.65 | 179.43 | +0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-06 | 192.07 | 173.91 | +0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-05 | 200.28 | 177.31 | +0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-04 | 195.51 | 180.06 | +0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-03 | 186.72 | 174.50 | +0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-31 | 184.66 | 178.01 | +0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-30 | 183.53 | 176.49 | +0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-29 | 190.63 | 176.60 | +0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-28 | 185.32 | 181.34 | +0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-27 | 174.41 | 184.41 | -0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-24 | 162.86 | 188.67 | -0.71 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-07-23 | 161.40 | 189.69 | -0.78 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-07-22 | 163.57 | 189.24 | -0.71 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-07-21 | 165.99 | 190.19 | -0.67 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-07-20 | 166.08 | 186.55 | -0.59 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-07-17 | 168.39 | 190.45 | -0.62 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-07-16 | 169.76 | 194.23 | -0.67 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-07-15 | 167.35 | 181.42 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-14 | 166.83 | 185.98 | -0.56 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-07-13 | 166.42 | 185.52 | -0.56 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-07-10 | 169.68 | 184.13 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-09 | 167.77 | 184.26 | -0.50 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-07-08 | 163.09 | 181.21 | -0.55 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-07-07 | 169.08 | 179.62 | -0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-06 | 167.13 | 183.15 | -0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-02 | 168.34 | 182.75 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-01 | 165.74 | 183.40 | -0.54 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-06-30 | 160.32 | 181.83 | -0.65 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-06-29 | 166.21 | 182.59 | -0.51 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-06-26 | 164.65 | 178.44 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-25 | 157.23 | 179.82 | -0.69 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-06-24 | 164.24 | 174.34 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-23 | 153.54 | 176.46 | -0.71 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-06-22 | 149.13 | 178.20 | -0.89 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-06-18 | 150.93 | 176.71 | -0.80 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-06-17 | 150.03 | 178.73 | -0.88 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-06-16 | 152.60 | 189.79 | -1.08 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-06-15 | 148.47 | 195.52 | -1.34 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-06-12 | 140.90 | 202.24 | -1.75 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-06-11 | 140.76 | 201.64 | -1.75 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-06-10 | 137.17 | 191.55 | -1.65 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-06-09 | 144.77 | 201.58 | -1.66 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-06-08 | 141.53 | 198.99 | -1.72 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-06-05 | 143.40 | 193.92 | -1.55 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-06-04 | 142.33 | 194.21 | -1.61 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-06-03 | 141.23 | 193.70 | -1.65 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-06-02 | 141.83 | 192.15 | -1.61 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-06-01 | 143.08 | 195.93 | -1.67 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-05-29 | 141.46 | 189.77 | -1.59 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-05-28 | 142.57 | 189.57 | -1.56 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-05-27 | 141.95 | 188.61 | -1.57 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-05-26 | 139.70 | 186.67 | -1.60 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-05-22 | 134.48 | 179.73 | -1.62 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-05-21 | 136.66 | 180.31 | -1.56 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-05-20 | 136.33 | 186.65 | -1.76 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-05-19 | 134.70 | 179.19 | -1.63 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-05-18 | 134.70 | 177.56 | -1.60 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-05-15 | 136.41 | 180.89 | -1.64 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-05-14 | 136.06 | 182.06 | -1.70 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-05-13 | 136.30 | 175.62 | -1.52 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-05-12 | 138.76 | 173.62 | -1.38 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-05-11 | 138.75 | 178.57 | -1.53 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-05-08 | 144.09 | 181.13 | -1.43 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-05-07 | 158.38 | 183.24 | -1.01 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-05-06 | 154.54 | 187.40 | -1.26 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-05-05 | 155.79 | 183.84 | -1.13 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-05-04 | 154.44 | 177.10 | -0.99 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-05-01 | 157.78 | 190.68 | -1.27 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-04-30 | 155.61 | 194.98 | -1.47 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-04-29 | 156.99 | 191.95 | -1.35 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-04-28 | 151.73 | 196.64 | -1.67 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-04-27 | 153.64 | 194.86 | -1.57 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-04-24 | 157.53 | 198.12 | -1.54 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-04-23 | 156.86 | 199.08 | -1.60 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-04-22 | 165.78 | 195.85 | -1.24 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-04-21 | 171.54 | 201.60 | -1.22 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-04-20 | 171.19 | 202.28 | -1.25 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-04-17 | 166.56 | 199.31 | -1.33 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-04-16 | 159.41 | 196.74 | -1.51 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-04-15 | 161.29 | 186.30 | -1.16 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-04-14 | 155.74 | 188.36 | -1.42 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-04-13 | 150.50 | 187.91 | -1.61 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-04-10 | 142.90 | 188.43 | -1.93 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-04-09 | 144.26 | 187.54 | -1.87 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-04-08 | 148.42 | 187.51 | -1.73 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-04-07 | 140.53 | 177.42 | -1.74 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-04-06 | 143.50 | 181.68 | -1.78 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-04-02 | 141.16 | 177.61 | -1.76 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-04-01 | 142.64 | 175.76 | -1.66 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-03-31 | 144.66 | 172.32 | -1.48 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-03-30 | 141.91 | 165.10 | -1.35 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-03-27 | 141.48 | 167.45 | -1.46 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-03-26 | 145.88 | 169.52 | -1.37 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-03-25 | 148.02 | 170.82 | -1.34 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-03-24 | 148.48 | 165.04 | -1.13 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-03-23 | 148.27 | 164.39 | -1.13 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-03-20 | 147.35 | 161.07 | -1.05 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-03-19 | 150.00 | 165.96 | -1.13 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-03-18 | 150.39 | 168.04 | -1.19 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-03-17 | 151.15 | 166.83 | -1.13 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-03-16 | 145.02 | 164.11 | -1.28 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-03-13 | 143.08 | 160.95 | -1.25 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-03-12 | 142.63 | 161.92 | -1.32 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-03-11 | 144.32 | 171.74 | -1.61 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-03-10 | 145.14 | 172.44 | -1.62 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-03-09 | 151.33 | 172.12 | -1.37 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-03-06 | 156.39 | 167.09 | -1.00 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-03-05 | 157.60 | 182.65 | -1.50 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-03-04 | 138.92 | 189.96 | -2.54 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-03-03 | 134.79 | 190.76 | -2.80 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-03-02 | 133.60 | 190.59 | -2.91 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-02-27 | 135.14 | 186.42 | -2.75 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-02-26 | 136.54 | 181.69 | -2.57 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-02-25 | 127.65 | 175.81 | -2.85 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-02-24 | 124.13 | 181.16 | -3.31 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-02-23 | 118.11 | 178.19 | -3.64 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-02-20 | 127.49 | 185.89 | -3.49 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-02-19 | 125.16 | 180.11 | -3.49 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-02-18 | 127.68 | 179.77 | -3.41 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-02-17 | 125.57 | 179.04 | -3.60 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-02-13 | 133.24 | 173.01 | -2.94 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-02-12 | 142.37 | 168.12 | -2.23 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-02-11 | 146.36 | 178.77 | -2.52 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-02-10 | 151.33 | 177.24 | -2.22 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-02-09 | 148.14 | 183.22 | -2.65 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-02-06 | 148.39 | 180.35 | -2.53 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-02-05 | 144.92 | 164.41 | -1.99 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-02-04 | 148.16 | 159.03 | -1.55 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-02-03 | 146.90 | 150.24 | -1.16 | XPO ahead |
| 2026-02-02 | 173.34 | 144.43 | +0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-30 | 165.93 | 131.19 | +0.87 | EXPE ahead |
| 2026-01-29 | 170.90 | 133.67 | +0.96 | EXPE ahead |
| 2026-01-28 | 166.51 | 131.29 | +0.90 | EXPE ahead |
| 2026-01-27 | 167.12 | 131.62 | +0.92 | EXPE ahead |
| 2026-01-26 | 168.84 | 131.79 | +0.99 | EXPE ahead |
| 2026-01-23 | 169.88 | 130.44 | +1.13 | EXPE ahead |
| 2026-01-22 | 175.21 | 132.51 | +1.25 | EXPE ahead |
| 2026-01-21 | 170.14 | 132.70 | +1.03 | EXPE ahead |
| 2026-01-20 | 170.51 | 129.23 | +1.25 | EXPE ahead |
| 2026-01-16 | 178.63 | 133.22 | +1.39 | EXPE ahead |
| 2026-01-15 | 184.37 | 136.78 | +1.44 | EXPE ahead |
| 2026-01-14 | 182.17 | 133.00 | +1.57 | EXPE ahead |
| 2026-01-13 | 187.94 | 130.40 | +1.98 | EXPE ahead |
| 2026-01-12 | 182.65 | 129.43 | +1.84 | EXPE ahead |
| 2026-01-09 | 185.66 | 129.96 | +1.96 | EXPE ahead |
| 2026-01-08 | 188.78 | 127.41 | +2.26 | EXPE ahead |
| 2026-01-07 | 186.19 | 127.46 | +2.18 | EXPE ahead |
| 2026-01-06 | 187.46 | 133.31 | +1.91 | EXPE ahead |
| 2026-01-05 | 180.11 | 128.57 | +1.90 | EXPE ahead |
| 2026-01-02 | 177.27 | 122.93 | +2.16 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-12-31 | 177.50 | 120.38 | +2.37 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-12-30 | 178.56 | 121.96 | +2.35 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-12-29 | 179.70 | 123.14 | +2.36 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-12-26 | 180.16 | 125.17 | +2.28 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-12-24 | 179.54 | 125.01 | +2.29 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-12-23 | 180.58 | 124.08 | +2.43 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-12-22 | 181.25 | 125.14 | +2.41 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-12-19 | 181.22 | 122.69 | +2.60 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-12-18 | 178.93 | 124.82 | +2.37 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-12-17 | 177.19 | 128.52 | +2.05 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-12-16 | 178.57 | 131.22 | +1.95 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-12-15 | 177.59 | 129.92 | +2.01 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-12-12 | 171.80 | 132.03 | +1.61 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-12-11 | 176.15 | 132.97 | +1.77 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-12-10 | 171.71 | 133.24 | +1.55 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-12-09 | 163.69 | 126.43 | +1.61 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-12-08 | 165.66 | 124.74 | +1.83 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-12-05 | 165.05 | 126.59 | +1.69 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-12-04 | 161.88 | 124.76 | +1.66 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-12-03 | 164.41 | 123.79 | +1.87 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-12-02 | 165.22 | 119.88 | +2.20 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-12-01 | 162.24 | 127.04 | +1.58 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-11-28 | 160.20 | 125.83 | +1.56 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-11-26 | 161.41 | 125.54 | +1.66 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-11-25 | 161.73 | 123.99 | +1.79 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-11-24 | 156.09 | 118.51 | +1.89 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-11-21 | 155.06 | 117.39 | +1.94 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-11-20 | 147.09 | 111.28 | +1.96 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-11-19 | 150.34 | 112.24 | +2.10 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-11-18 | 150.37 | 114.11 | +1.98 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-11-17 | 152.97 | 113.30 | +2.21 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-11-14 | 165.82 | 118.47 | +2.55 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-11-13 | 167.50 | 119.99 | +2.56 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-11-12 | 171.45 | 124.45 | +2.48 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-11-11 | 166.23 | 122.47 | +2.37 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-11-10 | 167.93 | 123.47 | +2.41 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-11-07 | 161.80 | 124.69 | +2.02 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-11-06 | 137.65 | 120.67 | +0.90 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-11-05 | 133.96 | 122.53 | +0.53 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-11-04 | 132.91 | 124.59 | +0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-03 | 135.09 | 122.49 | +0.62 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-10-31 | 137.84 | 127.43 | +0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-30 | 138.13 | 120.43 | +0.97 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-10-29 | 137.69 | 110.50 | +1.70 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-10-28 | 141.16 | 109.53 | +2.01 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-10-27 | 139.40 | 110.94 | +1.81 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-10-24 | 137.12 | 111.40 | +1.65 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-10-23 | 135.11 | 111.12 | +1.55 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-10-22 | 141.84 | 116.25 | +1.60 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-10-21 | 141.68 | 120.46 | +1.28 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-10-20 | 136.74 | 118.50 | +1.12 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-10-17 | 134.55 | 115.08 | +1.25 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-10-16 | 133.81 | 116.10 | +1.13 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-10-15 | 136.85 | 114.40 | +1.47 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-10-14 | 139.79 | 114.63 | +1.66 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-10-13 | 135.10 | 113.76 | +1.44 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-10-10 | 131.78 | 114.60 | +1.15 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-10-09 | 135.84 | 121.94 | +0.87 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-10-08 | 133.08 | 121.86 | +0.69 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-10-07 | 135.43 | 117.28 | +1.21 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-10-06 | 140.24 | 118.20 | +1.47 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-10-03 | 137.35 | 113.82 | +1.64 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-10-02 | 136.39 | 112.35 | +1.71 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-10-01 | 136.55 | 112.43 | +1.74 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-09-30 | 133.92 | 114.50 | +1.40 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-09-29 | 138.16 | 112.80 | +1.85 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-09-26 | 139.63 | 111.65 | +2.07 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-09-25 | 134.82 | 114.39 | +1.52 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-09-24 | 136.48 | 115.24 | +1.58 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-09-23 | 138.60 | 118.05 | +1.52 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-09-22 | 140.04 | 116.35 | +1.77 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-09-19 | 139.36 | 115.98 | +1.77 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-09-18 | 139.04 | 116.60 | +1.71 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-09-17 | 141.08 | 114.91 | +2.02 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-09-16 | 140.96 | 119.93 | +1.61 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-09-15 | 143.00 | 118.62 | +1.88 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-09-12 | 139.21 | 115.31 | +1.91 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-09-11 | 138.69 | 119.04 | +1.58 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-09-10 | 135.01 | 115.40 | +1.64 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-09-09 | 136.39 | 115.66 | +1.73 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-09-08 | 136.08 | 117.47 | +1.57 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-09-05 | 134.67 | 115.95 | +1.61 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-09-04 | 135.66 | 115.88 | +1.70 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-09-03 | 133.16 | 111.47 | +1.92 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-09-02 | 132.90 | 112.43 | +1.84 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-08-29 | 134.58 | 114.88 | +1.76 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-08-28 | 134.52 | 115.28 | +1.73 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-08-27 | 132.96 | 117.02 | +1.47 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-08-26 | 133.84 | 120.74 | +1.23 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-08-25 | 133.67 | 119.28 | +1.34 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-08-22 | 134.58 | 121.70 | +1.22 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-08-21 | 128.66 | 113.30 | +1.49 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-08-20 | 128.86 | 112.20 | +1.61 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-08-19 | 130.34 | 116.42 | +1.36 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-08-18 | 129.48 | 113.27 | +1.57 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-08-15 | 129.97 | 112.84 | +1.66 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-08-14 | 129.82 | 113.98 | +1.56 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-08-13 | 131.37 | 115.42 | +1.57 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-08-12 | 127.30 | 112.08 | +1.55 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-08-11 | 120.69 | 105.45 | +1.62 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-08-08 | 122.34 | 106.48 | +1.67 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-08-07 | 117.54 | 106.63 | +1.29 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-08-06 | 116.00 | 108.99 | +0.97 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-08-05 | 113.93 | 106.66 | +1.00 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-08-04 | 115.90 | 105.84 | +1.24 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-08-01 | 111.56 | 105.22 | +0.95 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-07-31 | 112.91 | 106.55 | +0.96 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-07-30 | 112.64 | 117.17 | +0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-29 | 114.54 | 119.10 | +0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-28 | 117.26 | 120.23 | +0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-25 | 117.37 | 122.51 | +0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-24 | 119.34 | 120.19 | +0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-23 | 120.41 | 119.57 | +0.52 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-07-22 | 118.69 | 117.87 | +0.53 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-07-21 | 116.20 | 113.76 | +0.66 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-07-18 | 115.86 | 114.82 | +0.56 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-07-17 | 114.08 | 115.48 | +0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-16 | 111.71 | 113.82 | +0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-15 | 112.14 | 113.63 | +0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-14 | 115.01 | 117.30 | +0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-11 | 115.06 | 117.23 | +0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-10 | 114.64 | 118.64 | +0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-09 | 110.33 | 117.03 | -0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-08 | 111.24 | 117.15 | +0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-07 | 111.40 | 114.87 | +0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-03 | 110.57 | 117.03 | +0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-02 | 107.14 | 117.36 | -0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-01 | 109.04 | 114.67 | +0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-30 | 105.68 | 111.86 | +0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-27 | 106.99 | 112.91 | +0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-26 | 104.50 | 109.98 | +0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-25 | 103.85 | 109.86 | +0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-24 | 106.02 | 111.54 | +0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-23 | 103.89 | 110.21 | +0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-20 | 103.30 | 106.16 | +0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-18 | 101.79 | 106.84 | +0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-17 | 101.49 | 106.10 | +0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-16 | 103.13 | 108.56 | +0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-13 | 103.77 | 106.69 | +0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-12 | 107.57 | 108.27 | +0.51 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-06-11 | 108.59 | 106.81 | +0.71 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-06-10 | 109.05 | 109.42 | +0.55 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-06-09 | 110.66 | 105.88 | +0.95 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-06-06 | 110.61 | 104.93 | +1.03 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-06-05 | 108.63 | 103.34 | +1.01 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-06-04 | 106.40 | 101.80 | +0.97 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-06-03 | 105.65 | 101.84 | +0.92 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-06-02 | 104.74 | 99.99 | +1.00 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-05-30 | 104.47 | 100.82 | +0.92 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-05-29 | 103.78 | 104.11 | +0.61 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-05-28 | 105.06 | 104.80 | +0.66 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-05-27 | 103.37 | 105.23 | +0.51 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-05-23 | 99.61 | 103.63 | +0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-22 | 100.70 | 105.21 | +0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-21 | 99.83 | 106.85 | +0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-20 | 101.82 | 110.22 | +0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-19 | 103.68 | 111.33 | +0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-16 | 104.42 | 113.46 | +0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-15 | 104.14 | 111.32 | +0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-14 | 106.02 | 113.13 | +0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-13 | 106.11 | 111.60 | +0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-12 | 104.79 | 112.05 | +0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-09 | 98.15 | 98.33 | +0.68 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-05-08 | 105.88 | 99.26 | +1.17 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-05-07 | 104.35 | 96.97 | +1.25 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-05-06 | 103.21 | 95.40 | +1.30 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-05-05 | 103.77 | 96.80 | +1.24 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-05-02 | 101.37 | 97.20 | +1.04 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-05-01 | 98.97 | 92.06 | +1.28 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-04-30 | 98.32 | 93.99 | +1.08 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-04-29 | 100.34 | 86.30 | +1.89 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-04-28 | 101.02 | 86.39 | +1.96 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-04-25 | 100.31 | 85.40 | +2.01 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-04-24 | 99.96 | 91.87 | +1.45 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-04-23 | 97.91 | 88.54 | +1.58 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-04-22 | 95.81 | 85.40 | +1.71 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-04-21 | 91.89 | 83.13 | +1.61 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-04-17 | 94.70 | 85.69 | +1.63 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-04-16 | 95.59 | 82.81 | +1.98 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-04-15 | 94.98 | 84.84 | +1.76 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-04-14 | 93.50 | 86.32 | +1.52 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-04-11 | 94.31 | 83.06 | +1.90 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-04-10 | 93.68 | 86.17 | +1.58 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-04-09 | 101.30 | 93.50 | +1.56 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-04-08 | 85.60 | 81.01 | +1.38 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-04-07 | 87.60 | 81.53 | +1.52 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-04-04 | 88.88 | 81.09 | +1.69 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-04-03 | 95.46 | 85.04 | +1.90 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-04-02 | 105.16 | 98.59 | +1.51 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-04-01 | 105.07 | 96.71 | +1.67 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-03-31 | 105.32 | 95.29 | +1.83 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-03-28 | 105.32 | 94.85 | +1.89 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-03-27 | 105.93 | 100.27 | +1.50 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-03-26 | 108.66 | 98.20 | +1.90 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-03-25 | 110.81 | 98.33 | +2.07 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-03-24 | 111.70 | 99.65 | +2.05 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-03-21 | 108.90 | 96.20 | +2.16 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-03-20 | 108.45 | 95.62 | +2.20 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-03-19 | 108.06 | 98.78 | +1.93 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-03-18 | 103.48 | 96.63 | +1.77 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-03-17 | 104.23 | 98.55 | +1.68 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-03-14 | 101.57 | 94.99 | +1.79 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-03-13 | 98.43 | 93.99 | +1.63 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-03-12 | 101.82 | 96.58 | +1.71 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-03-11 | 102.59 | 94.92 | +1.94 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-03-10 | 110.64 | 94.12 | +2.70 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-03-07 | 115.49 | 95.97 | +2.96 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-03-06 | 115.32 | 98.37 | +2.79 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-03-05 | 119.66 | 99.85 | +3.05 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-03-04 | 118.23 | 103.45 | +2.67 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-03-03 | 121.23 | 105.94 | +2.73 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-02-28 | 124.03 | 108.91 | +2.74 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-02-27 | 121.26 | 106.77 | +2.76 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-02-26 | 125.02 | 108.39 | +2.97 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-02-25 | 125.16 | 108.15 | +3.07 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-02-24 | 125.29 | 109.66 | +3.01 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-02-21 | 123.31 | 110.35 | +2.84 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-02-20 | 128.53 | 117.28 | +2.69 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-02-19 | 129.39 | 121.70 | +2.42 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-02-18 | 127.94 | 127.81 | +1.81 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-02-14 | 126.80 | 129.00 | +1.63 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-02-13 | 127.31 | 127.04 | +1.86 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-02-12 | 126.94 | 128.26 | +1.74 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-02-11 | 123.54 | 131.10 | +1.22 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-02-10 | 127.19 | 129.74 | +1.65 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-02-07 | 126.79 | 131.23 | +1.47 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-02-06 | 108.12 | 130.12 | -0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-05 | 106.34 | 120.74 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-04 | 105.55 | 116.47 | +0.71 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-02-03 | 106.27 | 113.92 | +0.96 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-01-31 | 107.10 | 118.40 | +0.63 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-01-30 | 107.73 | 120.88 | +0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-29 | 107.31 | 120.42 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-28 | 107.62 | 124.09 | +0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-27 | 105.95 | 122.57 | +0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-24 | 107.28 | 123.21 | +0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-23 | 110.83 | 123.13 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-22 | 108.80 | 121.10 | +0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-21 | 113.65 | 122.51 | +0.65 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-01-17 | 117.34 | 121.86 | +0.93 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-01-16 | 118.21 | 122.70 | +0.91 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-01-15 | 116.86 | 120.81 | +0.92 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-01-14 | 114.77 | 120.04 | +0.81 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-01-13 | 113.59 | 120.17 | +0.71 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-01-10 | 112.90 | 118.86 | +0.72 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-01-08 | 114.42 | 121.51 | +0.64 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-01-07 | 114.23 | 119.98 | +0.70 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-01-06 | 115.90 | 125.00 | +0.50 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-01-03 | 116.59 | 122.64 | +0.66 | EXPE ahead |
| 2025-01-02 | 116.11 | 117.36 | +0.92 | EXPE ahead |
| 2024-12-31 | 116.74 | 116.16 | +1.01 | EXPE ahead |
| 2024-12-30 | 116.84 | 117.44 | +0.93 | EXPE ahead |
| 2024-12-27 | 116.60 | 117.15 | +0.92 | EXPE ahead |
| 2024-12-26 | 119.12 | 117.95 | +1.00 | EXPE ahead |
| 2024-12-24 | 118.84 | 119.60 | +0.88 | EXPE ahead |
| 2024-12-23 | 118.31 | 117.73 | +0.95 | EXPE ahead |
| 2024-12-20 | 115.75 | 119.80 | +0.68 | EXPE ahead |
| 2024-12-19 | 112.41 | 128.88 | +0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-18 | 110.41 | 130.64 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-17 | 113.18 | 139.89 | -0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-16 | 114.40 | 140.12 | -0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-13 | 114.65 | 138.44 | -0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-12 | 115.63 | 140.10 | -0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-11 | 119.22 | 140.06 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-10 | 118.04 | 137.04 | -0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-09 | 118.74 | 135.97 | -0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-06 | 119.49 | 134.30 | +0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-05 | 119.67 | 133.21 | +0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-04 | 117.98 | 137.40 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-03 | 115.09 | 135.84 | -0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-02 | 115.91 | 136.87 | -0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-29 | 115.67 | 135.00 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-27 | 115.86 | 133.06 | -0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-26 | 116.71 | 134.03 | -0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-25 | 115.33 | 134.27 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-22 | 115.86 | 131.95 | -0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-21 | 114.97 | 132.59 | -0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-20 | 112.21 | 129.79 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-19 | 110.93 | 129.11 | -0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-18 | 113.03 | 127.96 | -0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-15 | 113.62 | 129.13 | -0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-14 | 114.19 | 131.91 | -0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-13 | 112.98 | 132.43 | -0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-12 | 114.03 | 134.22 | -0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-11 | 115.48 | 137.45 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-08 | 113.25 | 134.84 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-07 | 109.10 | 133.37 | -0.53 | XPO ahead |
| 2024-11-06 | 107.67 | 134.38 | -0.65 | XPO ahead |
| 2024-11-05 | 103.30 | 122.41 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-04 | 100.94 | 118.25 | -0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-01 | 99.87 | 115.31 | -0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-10-31 | 97.93 | 115.62 | -0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-10-30 | 100.96 | 118.68 | -0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-10-29 | 99.53 | 106.51 | +0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-10-28 | 98.99 | 105.90 | +0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-10-25 | 99.24 | 104.25 | +0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-10-24 | 100.53 | 99.21 | +0.67 | EXPE ahead |
| 2024-10-23 | 99.22 | 96.96 | +0.73 | EXPE ahead |
| 2024-10-22 | 100.99 | 98.17 | +0.76 | EXPE ahead |
| 2024-10-21 | 102.23 | 97.19 | +0.89 | EXPE ahead |
| 2024-10-18 | 100.00 | 100.00 | +0.61 | EXPE ahead |
One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Feb 7, 2025 (EXPE +17.3%, XPO +0.8%); Nov 7, 2025 (EXPE +17.6%, XPO +3.3%); Feb 3, 2026 (EXPE -15.3%, XPO +4.0%); Mar 5, 2026 (EXPE +13.4%, XPO -3.9%). Upcoming earnings: XPO Oct 29, 2026 (pre-market); EXPE Nov 4, 2026 (after-hours).
The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart
Forward paper record
No paper position on this pair yet.
Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)
1 simulated trade to Oct 20, 2026: +15.89% per trade on average after costs, 1 won.
| Legs | Entered | Exited | Why | Days | Before costs | Costs + borrow | After costs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long XPO · Short EXPE | Feb 12, 2021 | Aug 4, 2021 | converged | 173 | $1,698.98 | -$92.36 | $1,589.38 (+15.89%) |
Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.
EXPE and XPO at a glance
EXPE Expedia Group Inc.
- Listing
- Nasdaq · SEC CIK 1324424
- Industry
- Transportation Services · SIC 4700 Transportation Services
- Market value
- $33.4B
- Price history
- 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
XPO XPO Inc.
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 1166003
- Industry
- Transportation Services · SIC 4700 Transportation Services
- Market value
- $21.7B
- Price history
- 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.
Other rivals of EXPE and XPO
| Pair | Status | Ahead now | Industry |
|---|---|---|---|
| BKNG / EXPE | Watchlist | EXPE by 2.63 sd | Transportation Services |
| BKNG / XPO | Watchlist | XPO by 0.69 sd | Transportation Services |
Follow the research behind the paper book
Boostio is a research-first platform in private beta: crypto candidates, daily market stories, public paper trading and now rival stocks. Exploring these pages stays free and open.
Explore the private betaPaper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.
