Transportation Services

Booking Holdings Inc. vs Expedia Group Inc.

WatchlistBKNG / EXPEPrices through Oct 22, 2026

Why these are rivals: #1 and #2 by market value ($122B vs $33B) in Nasdaq's "Transportation Services" industry; SEC SIC 4700 / 4700 (same major group); #1 and #2 by market value ($122B vs $33B) with SEC SIC 4700 (Transportation Services).

Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.

  • Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.77 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Business leadership

BKNG is the larger business

Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.

YearBKNGEXPELarger
2025$26.9B$14.7BBKNG
2024$23.7B$13.7BBKNG
2023$21.4B$12.8BBKNG
2022$17.1B$11.7BBKNG
2021$11.0B$8.6BBKNG
2020$6.8B$5.2BBKNG

BKNG led in every year with figures for both. Market value: BKNG $122.2B, EXPE $33.4B.

Stock leadership

EXPE is ahead now

Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.

EXPE leads BKNG by 2.63 standard deviations: +32.3% over its usual price ratio. 0 lead switches in the last year.

Price change3 mo6 mo12 mo
BKNG-9.2%-8.9%-23.8%
EXPE+14.8%+19.2%+32.0%
Relationship

Not a measured twin today

Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.

Pass
Aligned sessions: 2521 (needs >= 254)
Pass
Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.73 (needs >= 0.60)
Fail
Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.77 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Pass
Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 29.97 (needs <= 63)
Data
Both stocks current
The twins over two years

Prices side by side, and the gap between them

BKNG Booking Holdings Inc. EXPE Expedia Group Inc.Price index, 100 = 2024-10-18. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).
100150200Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026BKNG 93EXPE 187
Spread z-score: BKNG relative to EXPE, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: BKNG ahead; below 0: EXPE ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).
-4stop-2idea0+2idea+4stopOct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026
Data table (504 sessions)
DateBKNG indexEXPE indexzAhead
2026-10-2292.57187.01-2.63EXPE ahead
2026-10-2191.01178.96-2.39EXPE ahead
2026-10-2094.19188.43-2.57EXPE ahead
2026-10-1993.43182.77-2.38EXPE ahead
2026-10-1693.92181.04-2.26EXPE ahead
2026-10-1595.27182.86-2.23EXPE ahead
2026-10-1492.33172.10-1.96EXPE ahead
2026-10-1390.51171.32-2.11EXPE ahead
2026-10-1291.03168.20-1.89EXPE ahead
2026-10-0992.13171.81-1.98EXPE ahead
2026-10-0891.92169.24-1.87EXPE ahead
2026-10-0789.56162.18-1.73EXPE ahead
2026-10-0690.57162.94-1.67EXPE ahead
2026-10-0590.98163.00-1.64EXPE ahead
2026-10-0291.37166.03-1.76EXPE ahead
2026-10-0192.10164.57-1.62EXPE ahead
2026-09-3093.61165.00-1.50EXPE ahead
2026-09-2993.28166.86-1.64EXPE ahead
2026-09-2894.16165.55-1.49EXPE ahead
2026-09-2594.21165.51-1.48EXPE ahead
2026-09-2490.45163.99-1.75EXPE ahead
2026-09-2389.58162.30-1.76EXPE ahead
2026-09-2294.36175.87-2.00EXPE ahead
2026-09-2196.83176.07-1.81EXPE ahead
2026-09-1896.48175.02-1.80EXPE ahead
2026-09-1797.98178.28-1.83EXPE ahead
2026-09-1698.49179.79-1.87EXPE ahead
2026-09-1598.44183.62-2.06EXPE ahead
2026-09-14100.76180.35-1.74EXPE ahead
2026-09-1199.94175.95-1.61EXPE ahead
2026-09-10100.17173.47-1.48EXPE ahead
2026-09-0999.65170.79-1.40EXPE ahead
2026-09-08103.60172.01-1.15EXPE ahead
2026-09-04111.07186.73-1.26EXPE ahead
2026-09-03112.12189.93-1.32EXPE ahead
2026-09-02114.69193.01-1.27EXPE ahead
2026-09-01112.44190.61-1.33EXPE ahead
2026-08-31114.40198.68-1.52EXPE ahead
2026-08-28118.16206.40-1.57EXPE ahead
2026-08-27116.39199.81-1.44EXPE ahead
2026-08-26120.03208.91-1.55EXPE ahead
2026-08-25122.84211.75-1.49EXPE ahead
2026-08-24122.60212.47-1.53EXPE ahead
2026-08-21120.45201.51-1.27EXPE ahead
2026-08-20120.59203.10-1.33EXPE ahead
2026-08-19122.39204.42-1.27EXPE ahead
2026-08-18119.66201.38-1.33EXPE ahead
2026-08-17117.66199.55-1.40EXPE ahead
2026-08-14121.85208.44-1.46EXPE ahead
2026-08-13122.59205.70-1.33EXPE ahead
2026-08-12121.97203.98-1.32EXPE ahead
2026-08-11122.32201.16-1.20EXPE ahead
2026-08-10122.32196.74-1.05EXPE ahead
2026-08-07123.21194.65-0.93EXPE ahead
2026-08-06119.17192.07-1.07EXPE ahead
2026-08-05118.95200.28-1.36EXPE ahead
2026-08-04111.63195.51-1.62EXPE ahead
2026-08-03110.73186.72-1.38EXPE ahead
2026-07-31110.84184.66-1.30EXPE ahead
2026-07-30111.04183.53-1.25EXPE ahead
2026-07-29115.67190.63-1.24EXPE ahead
2026-07-28114.52185.32-1.13EXPE ahead
2026-07-27107.33174.41-1.16EXPE ahead
2026-07-24101.97162.86-1.05EXPE ahead
2026-07-2399.31161.40-1.16EXPE ahead
2026-07-22102.20163.57-1.08EXPE ahead
2026-07-21103.08165.99-1.12EXPE ahead
2026-07-20103.11166.08-1.12EXPE ahead
2026-07-17104.39168.39-1.13EXPE ahead
2026-07-16106.08169.76-1.09EXPE ahead
2026-07-15105.04167.35-1.07EXPE ahead
2026-07-14100.47166.83-1.31EXPE ahead
2026-07-13101.02166.42-1.27EXPE ahead
2026-07-10102.50169.68-1.30EXPE ahead
2026-07-09100.85167.77-1.33EXPE ahead
2026-07-08100.15163.09-1.22EXPE ahead
2026-07-07104.55169.08-1.18EXPE ahead
2026-07-06104.02167.13-1.15EXPE ahead
2026-07-02106.05168.34-1.09EXPE ahead
2026-07-01104.95165.74-1.07EXPE ahead
2026-06-30102.42160.32-1.02EXPE ahead
2026-06-29104.81166.21-1.10EXPE ahead
2026-06-26104.27164.65-1.08EXPE ahead
2026-06-25101.73157.23-0.98EXPE ahead
2026-06-24104.15164.24-1.08EXPE ahead
2026-06-2397.07153.54-1.10EXPE ahead
2026-06-2296.40149.13-1.00EXPE ahead
2026-06-1898.71150.93-0.95EXPE ahead
2026-06-1798.62150.03-0.93EXPE ahead
2026-06-16100.97152.60-0.90EXPE ahead
2026-06-15100.35148.47-0.80EXPE ahead
2026-06-1294.78140.90-0.83EXPE ahead
2026-06-1194.00140.76-0.87EXPE ahead
2026-06-1092.30137.17-0.84EXPE ahead
2026-06-0994.23144.77-1.01EXPE ahead
2026-06-0893.26141.53-0.96EXPE ahead
2026-06-0595.29143.40-0.92EXPE ahead
2026-06-0496.24142.33-0.85EXPE ahead
2026-06-0394.68141.23-0.89EXPE ahead
2026-06-0296.08141.83-0.85EXPE ahead
2026-06-0197.25143.08-0.84EXPE ahead
2026-05-2996.21141.46-0.85EXPE ahead
2026-05-2897.58142.57-0.82EXPE ahead
2026-05-2796.75141.95-0.85EXPE ahead
2026-05-2693.83139.70-0.92EXPE ahead
2026-05-2292.55134.48-0.82EXPE ahead
2026-05-2191.75136.66-0.94EXPE ahead
2026-05-2090.18136.33-1.01EXPE ahead
2026-05-1988.80134.70-1.03EXPE ahead
2026-05-1889.10134.70-1.02EXPE ahead
2026-05-1588.56136.41-1.12EXPE ahead
2026-05-1488.76136.06-1.10EXPE ahead
2026-05-1389.08136.30-1.10EXPE ahead
2026-05-1292.26138.76-1.03EXPE ahead
2026-05-1190.67138.75-1.12EXPE ahead
2026-05-0895.34144.09-1.07EXPE ahead
2026-05-0798.42158.38-1.36EXPE ahead
2026-05-0696.72154.54-1.34EXPE ahead
2026-05-0596.32155.79-1.40EXPE ahead
2026-05-0495.14154.44-1.43EXPE ahead
2026-05-0197.47157.78-1.43EXPE ahead
2026-04-3096.74155.61-1.41EXPE ahead
2026-04-2999.97156.99-1.32EXPE ahead
2026-04-2899.62151.73-1.19EXPE ahead
2026-04-27102.00153.64-1.15EXPE ahead
2026-04-24103.57157.53-1.21EXPE ahead
2026-04-23101.56156.86-1.28EXPE ahead
2026-04-22103.08165.78-1.48EXPE ahead
2026-04-21109.67171.54-1.36EXPE ahead
2026-04-20110.34171.19-1.34EXPE ahead
2026-04-17110.33166.56-1.23EXPE ahead
2026-04-16106.05159.41-1.22EXPE ahead
2026-04-15106.70161.29-1.25EXPE ahead
2026-04-14104.07155.74-1.22EXPE ahead
2026-04-13101.85150.50-1.17EXPE ahead
2026-04-1099.67142.90-1.05EXPE ahead
2026-04-09101.48144.26-1.02EXPE ahead
2026-04-08104.00148.42-1.04EXPE ahead
2026-04-0799.64140.53-1.00EXPE ahead
2026-04-06101.24143.50-1.03EXPE ahead
2026-04-0296.40141.16-1.18EXPE ahead
2026-04-0196.18142.64-1.25EXPE ahead
2026-03-3196.77144.66-1.30EXPE ahead
2026-03-3094.64141.91-1.32EXPE ahead
2026-03-2793.36141.48-1.38EXPE ahead
2026-03-2696.85145.88-1.36EXPE ahead
2026-03-2597.40148.02-1.42EXPE ahead
2026-03-2498.62148.48-1.39EXPE ahead
2026-03-23101.06148.27-1.28EXPE ahead
2026-03-2099.38147.35-1.34EXPE ahead
2026-03-1998.70150.00-1.46EXPE ahead
2026-03-18100.70150.39-1.40EXPE ahead
2026-03-17102.10151.15-1.37EXPE ahead
2026-03-1698.67145.02-1.34EXPE ahead
2026-03-1397.48143.08-1.35EXPE ahead
2026-03-1296.94142.63-1.37EXPE ahead
2026-03-1199.35144.32-1.32EXPE ahead
2026-03-10100.48145.14-1.31EXPE ahead
2026-03-09102.07151.33-1.44EXPE ahead
2026-03-06104.59156.39-1.50EXPE ahead
2026-03-05106.03157.60-1.48EXPE ahead
2026-03-0497.77138.92-1.27EXPE ahead
2026-03-0395.47134.79-1.25EXPE ahead
2026-03-0296.07133.60-1.19EXPE ahead
2026-02-2797.44135.14-1.18EXPE ahead
2026-02-2697.69136.54-1.23EXPE ahead
2026-02-2595.68127.65-1.01EXPE ahead
2026-02-2493.51124.13-0.99EXPE ahead
2026-02-2388.97118.11-0.99EXPE ahead
2026-02-2093.70127.49-1.12EXPE ahead
2026-02-1992.11125.16-1.12EXPE ahead
2026-02-1898.14127.68-0.91EXPE ahead
2026-02-1795.16125.57-0.99EXPE ahead
2026-02-1395.17133.24-1.29EXPE ahead
2026-02-1295.59142.37-1.61EXPE ahead
2026-02-1199.12146.36-1.58EXPE ahead
2026-02-1098.40151.33-1.80EXPE ahead
2026-02-0997.39148.14-1.77EXPE ahead
2026-02-06102.44148.39-1.53EXPE ahead
2026-02-05102.13144.92-1.44EXPE ahead
2026-02-04105.89148.16-1.38EXPE ahead
2026-02-03106.75146.90-1.31EXPE ahead
2026-02-02117.73173.34-1.67EXPE ahead
2026-01-30114.96165.93-1.58EXPE ahead
2026-01-29117.53170.90-1.64EXPE ahead
2026-01-28116.88166.51-1.54EXPE ahead
2026-01-27118.45167.12-1.51EXPE ahead
2026-01-26117.39168.84-1.62EXPE ahead
2026-01-23117.18169.88-1.68EXPE ahead
2026-01-22118.39175.21-1.81EXPE ahead
2026-01-21118.68170.14-1.66EXPE ahead
2026-01-20115.54170.51-1.83EXPE ahead
2026-01-16117.58178.63-2.01EXPE ahead
2026-01-15119.36184.37-2.13EXPE ahead
2026-01-14119.22182.17-2.10EXPE ahead
2026-01-13122.15187.94-2.16EXPE ahead
2026-01-12123.92182.65-1.95EXPE ahead
2026-01-09126.23185.66-1.96EXPE ahead
2026-01-08125.15188.78-2.13EXPE ahead
2026-01-07125.17186.19-2.07EXPE ahead
2026-01-06122.93187.46-2.25EXPE ahead
2026-01-05123.36180.11-2.02EXPE ahead
2026-01-02122.35177.27-2.00EXPE ahead
2025-12-31123.09177.50-1.99EXPE ahead
2025-12-30124.74178.56-1.97EXPE ahead
2025-12-29125.06179.70-2.02EXPE ahead
2025-12-26125.04180.16-2.06EXPE ahead
2025-12-24125.18179.54-2.06EXPE ahead
2025-12-23125.02180.58-2.13EXPE ahead
2025-12-22124.28181.25-2.22EXPE ahead
2025-12-19123.97181.22-2.27EXPE ahead
2025-12-18122.86178.93-2.28EXPE ahead
2025-12-17122.76177.19-2.25EXPE ahead
2025-12-16124.96178.57-2.22EXPE ahead
2025-12-15125.44177.59-2.19EXPE ahead
2025-12-12121.85171.80-2.19EXPE ahead
2025-12-11121.35176.15-2.42EXPE ahead
2025-12-10121.29171.71-2.29EXPE ahead
2025-12-09119.42163.69-2.09EXPE ahead
2025-12-08119.00165.66-2.23EXPE ahead
2025-12-05119.45165.05-2.21EXPE ahead
2025-12-04115.55161.88-2.34EXPE ahead
2025-12-03116.01164.41-2.46EXPE ahead
2025-12-02118.03165.22-2.41EXPE ahead
2025-12-01112.43162.24-2.68EXPE ahead
2025-11-28112.96160.20-2.60EXPE ahead
2025-11-26112.89161.41-2.71EXPE ahead
2025-11-25112.77161.73-2.78EXPE ahead
2025-11-24112.06156.09-2.60EXPE ahead
2025-11-21109.59155.06-2.78EXPE ahead
2025-11-20105.34147.09-2.73EXPE ahead
2025-11-19107.81150.34-2.77EXPE ahead
2025-11-18109.93150.37-2.66EXPE ahead
2025-11-17110.42152.97-2.82EXPE ahead
2025-11-14116.02165.82-3.15EXPE ahead
2025-11-13116.66167.50-3.27EXPE ahead
2025-11-12118.96171.45-3.39EXPE ahead
2025-11-11116.09166.23-3.42EXPE ahead
2025-11-10113.96167.93-3.80EXPE ahead
2025-11-07113.54161.80-3.59EXPE ahead
2025-11-06112.60137.65-2.15EXPE ahead
2025-11-05112.88133.96-1.88EXPE ahead
2025-11-04114.73132.91-1.67EXPE ahead
2025-11-03115.62135.09-1.77EXPE ahead
2025-10-31116.71137.84-1.89EXPE ahead
2025-10-30116.76138.13-1.93EXPE ahead
2025-10-29116.66137.69-1.93EXPE ahead
2025-10-28117.69141.16-2.12EXPE ahead
2025-10-27120.77139.40-1.74EXPE ahead
2025-10-24118.28137.12-1.80EXPE ahead
2025-10-23117.07135.11-1.77EXPE ahead
2025-10-22120.22141.84-2.02EXPE ahead
2025-10-21121.49141.68-1.92EXPE ahead
2025-10-20118.18136.74-1.86EXPE ahead
2025-10-17116.53134.55-1.86EXPE ahead
2025-10-16113.82133.81-2.08EXPE ahead
2025-10-15116.78136.85-2.07EXPE ahead
2025-10-14121.36139.79-1.91EXPE ahead
2025-10-13120.76135.10-1.60EXPE ahead
2025-10-10118.71131.78-1.53EXPE ahead
2025-10-09119.33135.84-1.82EXPE ahead
2025-10-08117.94133.08-1.74EXPE ahead
2025-10-07120.48135.43-1.72EXPE ahead
2025-10-06124.57140.24-1.75EXPE ahead
2025-10-03124.53137.35-1.53EXPE ahead
2025-10-02124.68136.39-1.45EXPE ahead
2025-10-01122.98136.55-1.64EXPE ahead
2025-09-30124.10133.92-1.32EXPE ahead
2025-09-29125.37138.16-1.58EXPE ahead
2025-09-26127.52139.63-1.52EXPE ahead
2025-09-25128.15134.82-1.06EXPE ahead
2025-09-24127.00136.48-1.32EXPE ahead
2025-09-23126.62138.60-1.54EXPE ahead
2025-09-22125.43140.04-1.79EXPE ahead
2025-09-19125.14139.36-1.78EXPE ahead
2025-09-18125.10139.04-1.78EXPE ahead
2025-09-17127.65141.08-1.73EXPE ahead
2025-09-16125.84140.96-1.91EXPE ahead
2025-09-15127.79143.00-1.92EXPE ahead
2025-09-12125.45139.21-1.84EXPE ahead
2025-09-11126.37138.69-1.72EXPE ahead
2025-09-10125.83135.01-1.46EXPE ahead
2025-09-09128.06136.39-1.37EXPE ahead
2025-09-08128.01136.08-1.36EXPE ahead
2025-09-05126.55134.67-1.38EXPE ahead
2025-09-04128.39135.66-1.30EXPE ahead
2025-09-03128.32133.16-1.08EXPE ahead
2025-09-02126.54132.90-1.24EXPE ahead
2025-08-29128.69134.58-1.19EXPE ahead
2025-08-28129.91134.52-1.07EXPE ahead
2025-08-27129.07132.96-1.01EXPE ahead
2025-08-26131.14133.84-0.90EXPE ahead
2025-08-25131.09133.67-0.89EXPE ahead
2025-08-22131.49134.58-0.94EXPE ahead
2025-08-21131.26128.66-0.39near the usual relationship
2025-08-20129.63128.86-0.57EXPE ahead
2025-08-19128.35130.34-0.84EXPE ahead
2025-08-18127.15129.48-0.88EXPE ahead
2025-08-15125.36129.97-1.11EXPE ahead
2025-08-14126.06129.82-1.03EXPE ahead
2025-08-13125.22131.37-1.27EXPE ahead
2025-08-12125.53127.30-0.84EXPE ahead
2025-08-11123.29120.69-0.39near the usual relationship
2025-08-08124.25122.34-0.47near the usual relationship
2025-08-07124.85117.54+0.10near the usual relationship
2025-08-06127.25116.00+0.52BKNG ahead
2025-08-05125.44113.93+0.56BKNG ahead
2025-08-04125.86115.90+0.39near the usual relationship
2025-08-01123.80111.56+0.67BKNG ahead
2025-07-31126.51112.91+0.79BKNG ahead
2025-07-30129.01112.64+1.08BKNG ahead
2025-07-29128.50114.54+0.82BKNG ahead
2025-07-28130.52117.26+0.72BKNG ahead
2025-07-25129.45117.37+0.60BKNG ahead
2025-07-24129.86119.34+0.43near the usual relationship
2025-07-23131.84120.41+0.51BKNG ahead
2025-07-22132.75118.69+0.79BKNG ahead
2025-07-21130.48116.20+0.84BKNG ahead
2025-07-18131.08115.86+0.94BKNG ahead
2025-07-17130.64114.08+1.10BKNG ahead
2025-07-16130.05111.71+1.32BKNG ahead
2025-07-15130.45112.14+1.31BKNG ahead
2025-07-14132.53115.01+1.19BKNG ahead
2025-07-11131.40115.06+1.08BKNG ahead
2025-07-10131.44114.64+1.12BKNG ahead
2025-07-09130.28110.33+1.51BKNG ahead
2025-07-08131.32111.24+1.51BKNG ahead
2025-07-07133.67111.40+1.73BKNG ahead
2025-07-03131.40110.57+1.60BKNG ahead
2025-07-02131.05107.14+1.99BKNG ahead
2025-07-01131.72109.04+1.83BKNG ahead
2025-06-30133.06105.68+2.40BKNG ahead
2025-06-27130.85106.99+2.03BKNG ahead
2025-06-26128.62104.50+2.14BKNG ahead
2025-06-25126.08103.85+1.97BKNG ahead
2025-06-24126.00106.02+1.68BKNG ahead
2025-06-23122.58103.89+1.59BKNG ahead
2025-06-20121.91103.30+1.59BKNG ahead
2025-06-18121.50101.79+1.75BKNG ahead
2025-06-17121.84101.49+1.84BKNG ahead
2025-06-16123.40103.13+1.81BKNG ahead
2025-06-13121.78103.77+1.55BKNG ahead
2025-06-12125.54107.57+1.47BKNG ahead
2025-06-11125.64108.59+1.36BKNG ahead
2025-06-10126.14109.05+1.35BKNG ahead
2025-06-09127.32110.66+1.27BKNG ahead
2025-06-06129.05110.61+1.45BKNG ahead
2025-06-05128.03108.63+1.59BKNG ahead
2025-06-04127.72106.40+1.83BKNG ahead
2025-06-03125.84105.65+1.71BKNG ahead
2025-06-02127.31104.74+1.98BKNG ahead
2025-05-30126.85104.47+1.95BKNG ahead
2025-05-29126.46103.78+1.99BKNG ahead
2025-05-28125.84105.06+1.75BKNG ahead
2025-05-27125.30103.37+1.90BKNG ahead
2025-05-23122.5799.61+2.10BKNG ahead
2025-05-22122.78100.70+1.98BKNG ahead
2025-05-21121.6699.83+1.98BKNG ahead
2025-05-20122.06101.82+1.76BKNG ahead
2025-05-19123.61103.68+1.67BKNG ahead
2025-05-16122.21104.42+1.42BKNG ahead
2025-05-15120.39104.14+1.25BKNG ahead
2025-05-14119.90106.02+0.95BKNG ahead
2025-05-13120.95106.11+1.05BKNG ahead
2025-05-12119.40104.79+1.03BKNG ahead
2025-05-09116.5998.15+1.57BKNG ahead
2025-05-08118.72105.88+0.83BKNG ahead
2025-05-07119.43104.35+1.09BKNG ahead
2025-05-06118.65103.21+1.16BKNG ahead
2025-05-05119.31103.77+1.17BKNG ahead
2025-05-02119.58101.37+1.51BKNG ahead
2025-05-01117.2598.97+1.58BKNG ahead
2025-04-30117.2098.32+1.67BKNG ahead
2025-04-29112.83100.34+0.93BKNG ahead
2025-04-28112.39101.02+0.80BKNG ahead
2025-04-25111.21100.31+0.76BKNG ahead
2025-04-24110.9799.96+0.78BKNG ahead
2025-04-23108.7497.91+0.80BKNG ahead
2025-04-22105.6895.81+0.71BKNG ahead
2025-04-21102.0091.89+0.80BKNG ahead
2025-04-17105.1194.70+0.81BKNG ahead
2025-04-16104.3795.59+0.60BKNG ahead
2025-04-15106.0194.98+0.89BKNG ahead
2025-04-14104.7493.50+0.94BKNG ahead
2025-04-11105.4294.31+0.92BKNG ahead
2025-04-10103.3193.68+0.75BKNG ahead
2025-04-09106.10101.30+0.09near the usual relationship
2025-04-0895.7185.60+0.94BKNG ahead
2025-04-0797.5687.60+0.90BKNG ahead
2025-04-0498.4688.88+0.83BKNG ahead
2025-04-03102.2995.46+0.41near the usual relationship
2025-04-02107.78105.16-0.16near the usual relationship
2025-04-01107.70105.07-0.16near the usual relationship
2025-03-31105.89105.32-0.40near the usual relationship
2025-03-28106.51105.32-0.33near the usual relationship
2025-03-27109.24105.93-0.07near the usual relationship
2025-03-26109.50108.66-0.37near the usual relationship
2025-03-25109.82110.81-0.58EXPE ahead
2025-03-24108.25111.70-0.86EXPE ahead
2025-03-21106.12108.90-0.79EXPE ahead
2025-03-20105.48108.45-0.81EXPE ahead
2025-03-19105.54108.06-0.76EXPE ahead
2025-03-18102.77103.48-0.54EXPE ahead
2025-03-17104.89104.23-0.37near the usual relationship
2025-03-14102.64101.57-0.31near the usual relationship
2025-03-1398.7398.43-0.40near the usual relationship
2025-03-12101.14101.82-0.52EXPE ahead
2025-03-11100.06102.59-0.75EXPE ahead
2025-03-10102.30110.64-1.42EXPE ahead
2025-03-07107.41115.49-1.35EXPE ahead
2025-03-06107.93115.32-1.27EXPE ahead
2025-03-05113.02119.66-1.16EXPE ahead
2025-03-04112.59118.23-1.05EXPE ahead
2025-03-03113.68121.23-1.24EXPE ahead
2025-02-28115.29124.03-1.36EXPE ahead
2025-02-27113.04121.26-1.32EXPE ahead
2025-02-26115.71125.02-1.41EXPE ahead
2025-02-25115.70125.16-1.44EXPE ahead
2025-02-24116.05125.29-1.43EXPE ahead
2025-02-21114.71123.31-1.38EXPE ahead
2025-02-20115.34128.53-1.86EXPE ahead
2025-02-19117.46129.39-1.72EXPE ahead
2025-02-18118.18127.94-1.51EXPE ahead
2025-02-14115.94126.80-1.66EXPE ahead
2025-02-13115.12127.31-1.82EXPE ahead
2025-02-12115.34126.94-1.78EXPE ahead
2025-02-11112.56123.54-1.73EXPE ahead
2025-02-10112.93127.19-2.07EXPE ahead
2025-02-07112.33126.79-2.09EXPE ahead
2025-02-06109.86108.12-0.29near the usual relationship
2025-02-05108.01106.34-0.28near the usual relationship
2025-02-04107.54105.55-0.23near the usual relationship
2025-02-03107.86106.27-0.27near the usual relationship
2025-01-31108.89107.10-0.23near the usual relationship
2025-01-30109.73107.73-0.20near the usual relationship
2025-01-29108.53107.31-0.27near the usual relationship
2025-01-28107.67107.62-0.39near the usual relationship
2025-01-27107.46105.95-0.22near the usual relationship
2025-01-24109.52107.28-0.13near the usual relationship
2025-01-23110.74110.83-0.38near the usual relationship
2025-01-22106.17108.80-0.65EXPE ahead
2025-01-21107.71113.65-0.98EXPE ahead
2025-01-17113.24117.34-0.76EXPE ahead
2025-01-16111.82118.21-0.98EXPE ahead
2025-01-15111.01116.86-0.92EXPE ahead
2025-01-14109.84114.77-0.83EXPE ahead
2025-01-13109.49113.59-0.73EXPE ahead
2025-01-10108.93112.90-0.71EXPE ahead
2025-01-08111.99114.42-0.54EXPE ahead
2025-01-07110.23114.23-0.69EXPE ahead
2025-01-06112.85115.90-0.58EXPE ahead
2025-01-03112.71116.59-0.65EXPE ahead
2025-01-02113.20116.11-0.55EXPE ahead
2024-12-31114.20116.74-0.50EXPE ahead
2024-12-30114.71116.84-0.45near the usual relationship
2024-12-27115.78116.60-0.33near the usual relationship
2024-12-26117.13119.12-0.42near the usual relationship
2024-12-24117.75118.84-0.33near the usual relationship
2024-12-23116.37118.31-0.40near the usual relationship
2024-12-20116.04115.75-0.19near the usual relationship
2024-12-19114.47112.41-0.03near the usual relationship
2024-12-18113.62110.41+0.09near the usual relationship
2024-12-17118.48113.18+0.26near the usual relationship
2024-12-16118.42114.40+0.16near the usual relationship
2024-12-13120.15114.65+0.29near the usual relationship
2024-12-12121.10115.63+0.29near the usual relationship
2024-12-11121.66119.22+0.04near the usual relationship
2024-12-10119.18118.04-0.06near the usual relationship
2024-12-09118.36118.74-0.17near the usual relationship
2024-12-06121.82119.49+0.05near the usual relationship
2024-12-05121.54119.67+0.02near the usual relationship
2024-12-04120.51117.98+0.08near the usual relationship
2024-12-03119.85115.09+0.27near the usual relationship
2024-12-02120.08115.91+0.23near the usual relationship
2024-11-29119.56115.67+0.22near the usual relationship
2024-11-27120.05115.86+0.24near the usual relationship
2024-11-26119.86116.71+0.17near the usual relationship
2024-11-25117.42115.33+0.10near the usual relationship
2024-11-22118.99115.86+0.18near the usual relationship
2024-11-21119.77114.97+0.32near the usual relationship
2024-11-20115.30112.21+0.20near the usual relationship
2024-11-19114.39110.93+0.24near the usual relationship
2024-11-18115.33113.03+0.15near the usual relationship
2024-11-15114.35113.62+0.03near the usual relationship
2024-11-14114.25114.19-0.02near the usual relationship
2024-11-13114.63112.98+0.10near the usual relationship
2024-11-12115.45114.03+0.09near the usual relationship
2024-11-11116.42115.48+0.05near the usual relationship
2024-11-08113.62113.25+0.01near the usual relationship
2024-11-07113.10109.10+0.30near the usual relationship
2024-11-06114.95107.67+0.57BKNG ahead
2024-11-05112.97103.30+0.79BKNG ahead
2024-11-04109.78100.94+0.74BKNG ahead
2024-11-01109.1599.87+0.78BKNG ahead
2024-10-31107.4897.93+0.82BKNG ahead
2024-10-30102.60100.96+0.13near the usual relationship
2024-10-29101.7699.53+0.19near the usual relationship
2024-10-2899.9398.99+0.07near the usual relationship
2024-10-2599.9399.24+0.05near the usual relationship
2024-10-2499.72100.53-0.09near the usual relationship
2024-10-2399.1399.22-0.03near the usual relationship
2024-10-22100.62100.99-0.05near the usual relationship
2024-10-21100.30102.23-0.19near the usual relationship
2024-10-18100.00100.00-0.03near the usual relationship

One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Feb 7, 2025 (BKNG +2.3%, EXPE +17.3%); Nov 7, 2025 (BKNG +0.8%, EXPE +17.6%). Upcoming earnings: BKNG Nov 3, 2026 (after-hours); EXPE Nov 4, 2026 (after-hours).

Paired trades

The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart

Forward paper record

No paper position on this pair yet.

Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)

No simulated trade through Oct 20, 2026: the pair rarely passed every test while 2 standard deviations apart.

Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.

The companies

BKNG and EXPE at a glance

BKNG Booking Holdings Inc.

Listing
Nasdaq · SEC CIK 1075531
Industry
Transportation Services · SIC 4700 Transportation Services
Market value
$122.2B
Price history
2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026

EXPE Expedia Group Inc.

Listing
Nasdaq · SEC CIK 1324424
Industry
Transportation Services · SIC 4700 Transportation Services
Market value
$33.4B
Price history
2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026

Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.

Related
All pairs →
PairStatusAhead nowIndustry
BKNG / XPOWatchlistXPO by 0.69 sdTransportation Services
EXPE / XPOWatchlistEXPE by 0.48 sdTransportation Services

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Paper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.