The Estee Lauder Companies Inc. vs Haleon plc
WatchlistEL / HLNPrices through Oct 22, 2026
Why these are rivals: #2 and #3 by market value ($45B vs $38B) with SEC SIC 2844 (Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations).
Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.23 (needs >= 0.60)
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.94 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Business leadership
Business size
Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.
| Year | EL | HLN | Larger |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $14.3B | - | - |
| 2024 | $15.6B | - | - |
| 2023 | $15.9B | - | - |
| 2022 | $17.7B | - | - |
| 2021 | $16.2B | - | - |
| 2020 | $14.3B | - | - |
Market value: EL $38.3B, HLN $44.6B.
Stock leadership
EL is ahead now
Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.
EL leads HLN by 0.75 standard deviations: +9.6% over its usual price ratio. 2 lead switches in the last year.
| Price change | 3 mo | 6 mo | 12 mo |
|---|---|---|---|
| EL | +34.2% | +41.0% | +9.3% |
| HLN | +6.0% | +8.8% | +11.1% |
Relationship
Not a measured twin today
Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.
- Pass
- Aligned sessions: 1072 (needs >= 254)
- Fail
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.23 (needs >= 0.60)
- Fail
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.94 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
- Pass
- Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 21.77 (needs <= 63)
- Data
- Both stocks current
The twins over two years
Prices side by side, and the gap between them
EL The Estee Lauder Companies Inc. HLN Haleon plcPrice index, 100 = 2024-10-18. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).
Spread z-score: EL relative to HLN, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: EL ahead; below 0: HLN ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).
Data table (504 sessions)
| Date | EL index | HLN index | z | Ahead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | 119.64 | 102.78 | +0.75 | EL ahead |
| 2026-10-21 | 115.13 | 99.31 | +0.71 | EL ahead |
| 2026-10-20 | 117.86 | 100.79 | +0.78 | EL ahead |
| 2026-10-19 | 117.48 | 100.50 | +0.78 | EL ahead |
| 2026-10-16 | 116.10 | 100.40 | +0.69 | EL ahead |
| 2026-10-15 | 119.05 | 98.51 | +1.05 | EL ahead |
| 2026-10-14 | 112.83 | 95.94 | +0.83 | EL ahead |
| 2026-10-13 | 110.76 | 93.56 | +0.89 | EL ahead |
| 2026-10-12 | 111.11 | 94.15 | +0.86 | EL ahead |
| 2026-10-09 | 108.90 | 92.37 | +0.85 | EL ahead |
| 2026-10-08 | 104.75 | 91.77 | +0.59 | EL ahead |
| 2026-10-07 | 104.90 | 89.40 | +0.81 | EL ahead |
| 2026-10-06 | 103.69 | 87.91 | +0.86 | EL ahead |
| 2026-10-05 | 103.62 | 87.41 | +0.90 | EL ahead |
| 2026-10-02 | 102.14 | 87.22 | +0.81 | EL ahead |
| 2026-10-01 | 100.17 | 86.42 | +0.73 | EL ahead |
| 2026-09-30 | 103.03 | 89.20 | +0.70 | EL ahead |
| 2026-09-29 | 104.81 | 89.89 | +0.78 | EL ahead |
| 2026-09-28 | 106.14 | 90.88 | +0.80 | EL ahead |
| 2026-09-25 | 104.92 | 91.77 | +0.62 | EL ahead |
| 2026-09-24 | 105.92 | 91.38 | +0.74 | EL ahead |
| 2026-09-23 | 109.76 | 90.29 | +1.14 | EL ahead |
| 2026-09-22 | 111.38 | 91.67 | +1.14 | EL ahead |
| 2026-09-21 | 107.00 | 92.77 | +0.71 | EL ahead |
| 2026-09-18 | 103.76 | 91.97 | +0.53 | EL ahead |
| 2026-09-17 | 104.24 | 92.77 | +0.50 | EL ahead |
| 2026-09-16 | 106.18 | 91.28 | +0.79 | EL ahead |
| 2026-09-15 | 106.90 | 91.58 | +0.83 | EL ahead |
| 2026-09-14 | 109.08 | 93.06 | +0.87 | EL ahead |
| 2026-09-11 | 107.86 | 91.08 | +0.96 | EL ahead |
| 2026-09-10 | 107.14 | 91.38 | +0.88 | EL ahead |
| 2026-09-09 | 109.70 | 91.48 | +1.08 | EL ahead |
| 2026-09-08 | 112.94 | 91.67 | +1.31 | EL ahead |
| 2026-09-04 | 115.35 | 95.14 | +1.19 | EL ahead |
| 2026-09-03 | 112.02 | 97.72 | +0.72 | EL ahead |
| 2026-09-02 | 112.34 | 98.22 | +0.71 | EL ahead |
| 2026-09-01 | 111.06 | 99.80 | +0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-31 | 113.62 | 99.41 | +0.71 | EL ahead |
| 2026-08-28 | 114.83 | 100.20 | +0.73 | EL ahead |
| 2026-08-27 | 117.96 | 99.50 | +1.02 | EL ahead |
| 2026-08-26 | 116.68 | 100.79 | +0.83 | EL ahead |
| 2026-08-25 | 116.45 | 100.89 | +0.81 | EL ahead |
| 2026-08-24 | 115.65 | 100.69 | +0.77 | EL ahead |
| 2026-08-21 | 113.22 | 99.11 | +0.73 | EL ahead |
| 2026-08-20 | 106.79 | 97.82 | +0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-19 | 108.85 | 97.82 | +0.51 | EL ahead |
| 2026-08-18 | 93.59 | 96.33 | -0.64 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-08-17 | 93.67 | 94.95 | -0.51 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-08-14 | 95.62 | 96.13 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-13 | 96.98 | 97.13 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-12 | 97.38 | 97.13 | -0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-11 | 97.49 | 98.41 | -0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-10 | 96.83 | 98.41 | -0.55 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-08-07 | 98.12 | 99.41 | -0.53 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-08-06 | 94.95 | 99.41 | -0.81 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-08-05 | 96.58 | 98.61 | -0.60 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-08-04 | 96.59 | 96.93 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-03 | 94.05 | 97.13 | -0.71 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-07-31 | 93.18 | 97.82 | -0.85 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-07-30 | 94.27 | 100.20 | -0.96 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-07-29 | 93.44 | 101.88 | -1.19 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-07-28 | 94.12 | 101.78 | -1.12 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-07-27 | 92.40 | 98.51 | -1.00 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-07-24 | 89.17 | 96.93 | -1.18 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-07-23 | 88.76 | 96.23 | -1.16 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-07-22 | 91.77 | 97.62 | -1.00 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-07-21 | 91.48 | 98.32 | -1.10 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-07-20 | 92.89 | 99.50 | -1.07 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-07-17 | 91.22 | 100.10 | -1.29 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-07-16 | 92.00 | 100.20 | -1.23 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-07-15 | 91.41 | 96.63 | -0.97 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-07-14 | 89.80 | 96.13 | -1.09 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-07-13 | 90.13 | 97.72 | -1.21 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-07-10 | 91.80 | 96.73 | -0.96 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-07-09 | 91.06 | 96.23 | -0.98 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-07-08 | 90.85 | 96.63 | -1.04 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-07-07 | 93.78 | 97.52 | -0.84 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-07-06 | 94.29 | 96.33 | -0.69 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-07-02 | 92.97 | 97.32 | -0.90 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-07-01 | 91.59 | 93.16 | -0.64 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-06-30 | 87.68 | 92.47 | -0.95 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-06-29 | 88.15 | 92.47 | -0.89 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-06-26 | 89.45 | 91.58 | -0.67 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-06-25 | 90.52 | 91.87 | -0.58 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-06-24 | 92.48 | 91.48 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-23 | 93.03 | 88.70 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-22 | 93.88 | 86.92 | +0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-18 | 94.19 | 88.80 | +0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-17 | 91.58 | 87.91 | -0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-16 | 97.27 | 90.09 | +0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-15 | 99.96 | 89.89 | +0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-12 | 99.60 | 90.49 | +0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-11 | 97.76 | 89.49 | +0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-10 | 94.84 | 89.99 | +0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-09 | 96.14 | 90.39 | +0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-08 | 94.00 | 88.11 | +0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-05 | 92.73 | 90.39 | -0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-04 | 92.07 | 88.80 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-03 | 91.13 | 86.42 | +0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-02 | 92.64 | 86.22 | +0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-01 | 95.05 | 87.61 | +0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-29 | 98.79 | 89.79 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-28 | 100.92 | 91.28 | +0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-27 | 101.29 | 92.37 | +0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-26 | 96.18 | 91.58 | +0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-22 | 98.09 | 92.07 | +0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-21 | 87.64 | 92.37 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-20 | 86.85 | 91.97 | -0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-19 | 84.56 | 91.18 | -0.52 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-05-18 | 88.86 | 90.88 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-15 | 89.16 | 88.80 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-14 | 89.77 | 88.31 | +0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-13 | 91.22 | 89.40 | +0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-12 | 94.28 | 90.19 | +0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-11 | 91.90 | 89.00 | +0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-08 | 95.74 | 90.29 | +0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-07 | 94.72 | 92.17 | +0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-06 | 96.26 | 91.48 | +0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-05 | 92.01 | 90.88 | +0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-04 | 90.33 | 91.58 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-01 | 88.07 | 92.96 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-30 | 85.20 | 91.58 | -0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-29 | 84.06 | 92.17 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-28 | 85.63 | 93.86 | -0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-27 | 85.87 | 94.05 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-24 | 86.43 | 94.95 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-23 | 84.85 | 94.45 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-22 | 85.14 | 92.77 | -0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-21 | 84.25 | 94.45 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-20 | 86.46 | 95.94 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-17 | 84.63 | 96.63 | -0.51 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-04-16 | 83.67 | 95.04 | -0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-15 | 85.07 | 95.74 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-14 | 84.87 | 96.13 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-13 | 82.80 | 97.42 | -0.61 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-04-10 | 80.71 | 97.52 | -0.71 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-04-09 | 81.40 | 99.21 | -0.74 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-04-08 | 79.34 | 98.81 | -0.83 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-04-07 | 76.82 | 97.92 | -0.92 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-04-06 | 78.75 | 98.32 | -0.83 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-04-02 | 76.77 | 98.41 | -0.94 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-04-01 | 78.53 | 98.81 | -0.86 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-03-31 | 79.71 | 99.21 | -0.81 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-03-30 | 75.50 | 99.11 | -1.04 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-03-27 | 74.67 | 97.13 | -1.00 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-03-26 | 77.47 | 96.63 | -0.81 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-03-25 | 81.20 | 96.53 | -0.60 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-03-24 | 79.39 | 96.13 | -0.68 | HLN ahead |
| 2026-03-23 | 88.06 | 98.41 | -0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-20 | 95.42 | 99.80 | -0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-19 | 95.07 | 101.39 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-18 | 95.54 | 102.18 | -0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-17 | 98.75 | 105.05 | -0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-16 | 98.58 | 103.67 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-13 | 97.60 | 99.41 | +0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-12 | 93.61 | 99.80 | -0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-11 | 101.67 | 99.11 | +0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-10 | 104.70 | 100.79 | +0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-09 | 102.88 | 101.68 | +0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-06 | 102.98 | 101.88 | +0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-05 | 106.47 | 102.38 | +0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-04 | 110.18 | 103.77 | +0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-03 | 109.63 | 105.15 | +0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-02 | 111.27 | 107.73 | +0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-27 | 121.58 | 109.71 | +0.66 | EL ahead |
| 2026-02-26 | 124.28 | 106.64 | +0.87 | EL ahead |
| 2026-02-25 | 125.41 | 103.47 | +1.05 | EL ahead |
| 2026-02-24 | 128.04 | 109.81 | +0.89 | EL ahead |
| 2026-02-23 | 125.52 | 109.81 | +0.81 | EL ahead |
| 2026-02-20 | 126.87 | 111.69 | +0.79 | EL ahead |
| 2026-02-19 | 124.10 | 110.11 | +0.76 | EL ahead |
| 2026-02-18 | 123.94 | 111.20 | +0.72 | EL ahead |
| 2026-02-17 | 124.54 | 111.30 | +0.75 | EL ahead |
| 2026-02-13 | 120.21 | 111.00 | +0.61 | EL ahead |
| 2026-02-12 | 118.19 | 110.60 | +0.56 | EL ahead |
| 2026-02-11 | 117.05 | 110.60 | +0.53 | EL ahead |
| 2026-02-10 | 112.52 | 109.42 | +0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-09 | 109.96 | 107.83 | +0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-06 | 110.47 | 108.82 | +0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-05 | 107.35 | 107.63 | +0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-04 | 132.84 | 106.84 | +1.22 | EL ahead |
| 2026-02-03 | 129.13 | 103.96 | +1.23 | EL ahead |
| 2026-02-02 | 131.90 | 104.66 | +1.30 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-30 | 128.03 | 103.77 | +1.21 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-29 | 127.95 | 102.08 | +1.29 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-28 | 127.30 | 102.18 | +1.27 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-27 | 129.32 | 103.27 | +1.30 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-26 | 129.26 | 102.78 | +1.33 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-23 | 130.71 | 103.67 | +1.35 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-22 | 132.71 | 102.38 | +1.48 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-21 | 130.91 | 101.49 | +1.47 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-20 | 127.12 | 100.40 | +1.40 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-16 | 127.78 | 97.42 | +1.57 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-15 | 128.44 | 96.83 | +1.63 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-14 | 129.84 | 98.61 | +1.61 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-13 | 128.13 | 97.32 | +1.63 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-12 | 125.52 | 97.03 | +1.57 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-09 | 126.31 | 98.22 | +1.55 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-08 | 122.47 | 99.50 | +1.37 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-07 | 116.91 | 99.60 | +1.16 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-06 | 120.56 | 101.78 | +1.21 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-05 | 120.12 | 100.20 | +1.28 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-02 | 118.57 | 99.11 | +1.28 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-31 | 116.30 | 100.20 | +1.15 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-30 | 117.55 | 99.90 | +1.22 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-29 | 118.50 | 100.00 | +1.26 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-26 | 119.56 | 100.40 | +1.29 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-24 | 119.37 | 100.10 | +1.31 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-23 | 119.55 | 100.20 | +1.32 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-22 | 120.67 | 98.81 | +1.44 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-19 | 119.95 | 98.12 | +1.46 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-18 | 119.88 | 97.52 | +1.50 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-17 | 116.95 | 97.32 | +1.40 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-16 | 115.94 | 97.62 | +1.35 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-15 | 112.21 | 97.42 | +1.22 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-12 | 115.62 | 94.35 | +1.52 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-11 | 117.24 | 95.04 | +1.57 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-10 | 119.15 | 93.76 | +1.73 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-09 | 113.99 | 92.27 | +1.60 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-08 | 114.15 | 93.16 | +1.58 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-05 | 116.76 | 94.35 | +1.64 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-04 | 115.30 | 94.45 | +1.59 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-03 | 113.32 | 94.25 | +1.53 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-02 | 110.66 | 95.84 | +1.34 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-01 | 105.19 | 97.13 | +1.03 | EL ahead |
| 2025-11-28 | 104.48 | 96.93 | +1.01 | EL ahead |
| 2025-11-26 | 104.06 | 96.73 | +1.01 | EL ahead |
| 2025-11-25 | 102.11 | 97.32 | +0.89 | EL ahead |
| 2025-11-24 | 103.72 | 95.84 | +1.05 | EL ahead |
| 2025-11-21 | 99.84 | 97.82 | +0.76 | EL ahead |
| 2025-11-20 | 96.19 | 95.14 | +0.72 | EL ahead |
| 2025-11-19 | 95.41 | 94.25 | +0.73 | EL ahead |
| 2025-11-18 | 97.80 | 95.24 | +0.81 | EL ahead |
| 2025-11-17 | 95.61 | 95.94 | +0.67 | EL ahead |
| 2025-11-14 | 97.93 | 95.04 | +0.84 | EL ahead |
| 2025-11-13 | 99.87 | 98.12 | +0.78 | EL ahead |
| 2025-11-12 | 102.19 | 97.92 | +0.92 | EL ahead |
| 2025-11-11 | 100.89 | 97.62 | +0.87 | EL ahead |
| 2025-11-10 | 99.54 | 94.85 | +0.96 | EL ahead |
| 2025-11-07 | 97.46 | 93.76 | +0.92 | EL ahead |
| 2025-11-06 | 97.49 | 93.26 | +0.95 | EL ahead |
| 2025-11-05 | 101.17 | 92.27 | +1.20 | EL ahead |
| 2025-11-04 | 103.15 | 92.37 | +1.31 | EL ahead |
| 2025-11-03 | 103.57 | 92.96 | +1.30 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-31 | 107.39 | 91.87 | +1.55 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-30 | 108.41 | 90.98 | +1.66 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-29 | 108.13 | 89.69 | +1.73 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-28 | 109.68 | 90.39 | +1.78 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-27 | 111.57 | 91.18 | +1.84 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-24 | 113.46 | 91.67 | +1.91 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-23 | 110.50 | 92.86 | +1.72 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-22 | 109.54 | 93.66 | +1.64 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-21 | 109.44 | 92.47 | +1.71 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-20 | 113.86 | 93.26 | +1.89 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-17 | 111.93 | 93.95 | +1.77 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-16 | 107.51 | 91.18 | +1.72 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-15 | 105.81 | 91.08 | +1.65 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-14 | 105.51 | 90.88 | +1.65 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-13 | 103.00 | 89.99 | +1.58 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-10 | 97.35 | 89.20 | +1.33 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-09 | 104.36 | 89.40 | +1.70 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-08 | 106.35 | 89.59 | +1.80 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-07 | 102.93 | 87.41 | +1.77 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-06 | 98.47 | 87.12 | +1.55 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-03 | 97.76 | 88.70 | +1.41 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-02 | 98.59 | 88.01 | +1.51 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-01 | 95.74 | 89.30 | +1.27 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-30 | 97.87 | 88.90 | +1.41 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-29 | 98.99 | 87.61 | +1.57 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-26 | 96.25 | 87.41 | +1.43 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-25 | 93.28 | 86.42 | +1.33 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-24 | 94.77 | 87.91 | +1.33 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-23 | 97.42 | 88.50 | +1.46 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-22 | 96.92 | 89.20 | +1.39 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-19 | 97.51 | 90.78 | +1.33 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-18 | 97.73 | 91.58 | +1.31 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-17 | 97.92 | 93.16 | +1.23 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-16 | 98.31 | 91.97 | +1.33 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-15 | 97.07 | 95.94 | +1.02 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-12 | 92.90 | 97.22 | +0.70 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-11 | 96.41 | 97.82 | +0.87 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-10 | 97.10 | 97.42 | +0.94 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-09 | 98.51 | 96.63 | +1.07 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-08 | 98.68 | 96.53 | +1.09 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-05 | 99.07 | 97.13 | +1.07 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-04 | 97.13 | 97.52 | +0.94 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-03 | 102.10 | 98.02 | +1.20 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-02 | 100.83 | 96.73 | +1.20 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-29 | 101.88 | 97.13 | +1.24 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-28 | 101.92 | 96.04 | +1.30 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-27 | 102.85 | 96.23 | +1.34 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-26 | 99.76 | 95.44 | +1.22 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-25 | 98.49 | 95.94 | +1.11 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-22 | 101.32 | 97.32 | +1.19 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-21 | 97.42 | 97.22 | +0.97 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-20 | 96.15 | 98.22 | +0.83 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-19 | 99.81 | 96.53 | +1.14 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-18 | 100.78 | 95.94 | +1.23 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-15 | 101.03 | 95.64 | +1.26 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-14 | 99.40 | 96.13 | +1.14 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-13 | 105.80 | 96.04 | +1.51 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-12 | 101.84 | 94.95 | +1.36 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-11 | 99.00 | 93.86 | +1.26 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-08 | 100.72 | 94.55 | +1.32 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-07 | 101.31 | 93.76 | +1.40 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-06 | 100.12 | 91.67 | +1.46 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-05 | 100.98 | 92.07 | +1.48 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-04 | 102.73 | 94.25 | +1.43 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-01 | 101.11 | 95.74 | +1.24 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-31 | 103.67 | 93.46 | +1.51 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-30 | 104.02 | 95.54 | +1.40 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-29 | 101.51 | 97.22 | +1.15 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-28 | 102.75 | 96.13 | +1.27 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-25 | 100.40 | 97.92 | +1.03 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-24 | 96.37 | 97.62 | +0.81 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-23 | 99.60 | 96.63 | +1.03 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-22 | 98.84 | 95.64 | +1.04 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-21 | 95.56 | 94.45 | +0.91 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-18 | 96.86 | 95.14 | +0.93 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-17 | 96.14 | 95.04 | +0.89 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-16 | 95.96 | 96.04 | +0.81 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-15 | 95.62 | 96.43 | +0.76 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-14 | 99.50 | 98.12 | +0.86 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-11 | 101.16 | 98.71 | +0.90 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-10 | 102.29 | 100.20 | +0.87 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-09 | 96.19 | 99.60 | +0.58 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-08 | 95.02 | 99.60 | +0.50 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-07 | 95.28 | 100.59 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-03 | 98.53 | 101.59 | +0.55 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-02 | 98.38 | 101.68 | +0.53 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-01 | 94.52 | 102.58 | +0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-30 | 89.74 | 102.78 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-27 | 88.95 | 102.87 | -0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-26 | 87.77 | 103.27 | -0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-25 | 86.14 | 104.06 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-24 | 85.57 | 103.96 | -0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-23 | 87.55 | 103.96 | -0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-20 | 83.51 | 103.17 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-18 | 82.99 | 103.57 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-17 | 83.06 | 104.06 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-16 | 82.84 | 106.24 | -0.54 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-06-13 | 74.76 | 107.73 | -1.04 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-06-12 | 77.73 | 109.12 | -0.93 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-06-11 | 77.59 | 108.13 | -0.91 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-06-10 | 78.25 | 107.93 | -0.87 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-06-09 | 76.63 | 107.83 | -0.96 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-06-06 | 76.03 | 109.71 | -1.06 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-06-05 | 74.91 | 110.21 | -1.14 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-06-04 | 76.44 | 108.33 | -1.00 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-06-03 | 76.55 | 109.51 | -1.04 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-06-02 | 74.02 | 113.08 | -1.30 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-05-30 | 74.34 | 112.49 | -1.27 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-05-29 | 76.27 | 112.29 | -1.17 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-05-28 | 73.60 | 111.50 | -1.28 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-05-27 | 74.48 | 111.30 | -1.23 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-05-23 | 70.74 | 110.41 | -1.40 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-05-22 | 71.55 | 109.61 | -1.34 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-05-21 | 70.70 | 110.01 | -1.40 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-05-20 | 73.39 | 109.22 | -1.24 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-05-19 | 72.58 | 107.83 | -1.24 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-05-16 | 72.38 | 107.04 | -1.23 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-05-15 | 70.71 | 105.75 | -1.27 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-05-14 | 71.20 | 103.07 | -1.16 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-05-13 | 72.72 | 103.57 | -1.11 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-05-12 | 72.59 | 106.14 | -1.21 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-05-09 | 67.74 | 106.44 | -1.47 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-05-08 | 68.01 | 104.76 | -1.40 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-05-07 | 65.82 | 106.64 | -1.59 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-05-06 | 65.00 | 105.75 | -1.61 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-05-05 | 64.08 | 105.35 | -1.66 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-05-02 | 65.96 | 106.05 | -1.59 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-05-01 | 65.40 | 102.38 | -1.50 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-04-30 | 66.59 | 100.59 | -1.39 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-04-29 | 66.18 | 101.88 | -1.46 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-04-28 | 65.68 | 101.39 | -1.48 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-04-25 | 65.96 | 100.89 | -1.45 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-04-24 | 65.14 | 102.18 | -1.54 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-04-23 | 63.59 | 101.39 | -1.60 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-04-22 | 62.13 | 103.57 | -1.76 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-04-21 | 60.41 | 100.99 | -1.78 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-04-17 | 60.50 | 101.29 | -1.80 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-04-16 | 58.49 | 100.69 | -1.90 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-04-15 | 60.43 | 100.30 | -1.80 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-04-14 | 61.74 | 100.20 | -1.73 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-04-11 | 61.34 | 99.70 | -1.75 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-04-10 | 59.20 | 95.44 | -1.74 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-04-09 | 62.37 | 95.64 | -1.58 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-04-08 | 55.60 | 92.67 | -1.86 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-04-07 | 58.81 | 91.87 | -1.67 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-04-04 | 58.78 | 98.02 | -1.89 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-04-03 | 64.63 | 103.57 | -1.78 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-04-02 | 76.37 | 100.69 | -1.16 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-04-01 | 75.38 | 100.89 | -1.21 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-03-31 | 73.30 | 101.98 | -1.34 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-03-28 | 72.66 | 101.49 | -1.37 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-03-27 | 74.36 | 100.30 | -1.27 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-03-26 | 73.18 | 99.60 | -1.30 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-03-25 | 73.39 | 99.50 | -1.30 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-03-24 | 74.91 | 100.50 | -1.27 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-03-21 | 74.36 | 101.88 | -1.35 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-03-20 | 75.54 | 102.97 | -1.34 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-03-19 | 75.08 | 102.78 | -1.36 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-03-18 | 75.57 | 101.98 | -1.33 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-03-17 | 76.51 | 102.18 | -1.30 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-03-14 | 73.88 | 100.59 | -1.37 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-03-13 | 72.03 | 100.99 | -1.47 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-03-12 | 73.79 | 100.99 | -1.41 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-03-11 | 77.30 | 102.97 | -1.34 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-03-10 | 80.01 | 102.78 | -1.23 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-03-07 | 81.42 | 103.57 | -1.21 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-03-06 | 79.45 | 102.97 | -1.28 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-03-05 | 79.86 | 104.46 | -1.32 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-03-04 | 75.62 | 105.75 | -1.53 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-03-03 | 77.94 | 104.86 | -1.42 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-02-28 | 79.86 | 100.89 | -1.24 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-02-27 | 81.04 | 97.03 | -1.09 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-02-26 | 81.39 | 101.09 | -1.21 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-02-25 | 83.05 | 100.59 | -1.14 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-02-24 | 83.41 | 100.59 | -1.13 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-02-21 | 79.74 | 99.90 | -1.26 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-02-20 | 79.23 | 98.12 | -1.23 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-02-19 | 79.30 | 98.91 | -1.26 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-02-18 | 80.18 | 99.01 | -1.24 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-02-14 | 76.29 | 96.23 | -1.32 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-02-13 | 77.38 | 98.61 | -1.36 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-02-12 | 76.67 | 97.72 | -1.37 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-02-11 | 78.53 | 97.62 | -1.30 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-02-10 | 76.31 | 95.94 | -1.35 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-02-07 | 72.22 | 94.65 | -1.49 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-02-06 | 71.37 | 94.25 | -1.52 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-02-05 | 73.23 | 95.44 | -1.49 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-02-04 | 77.15 | 94.35 | -1.31 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-02-03 | 91.93 | 93.95 | -0.78 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-01-31 | 92.66 | 93.86 | -0.76 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-01-30 | 94.94 | 94.85 | -0.73 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-01-29 | 91.38 | 94.45 | -0.84 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-01-28 | 92.15 | 94.55 | -0.82 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-01-27 | 92.80 | 94.95 | -0.82 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-01-24 | 91.60 | 93.06 | -0.81 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-01-23 | 88.97 | 93.06 | -0.90 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-01-22 | 88.52 | 91.38 | -0.87 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-01-21 | 87.54 | 91.58 | -0.91 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-01-17 | 86.47 | 91.58 | -0.96 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-01-16 | 86.71 | 91.08 | -0.94 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-01-15 | 82.76 | 90.29 | -1.06 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-01-14 | 82.04 | 89.30 | -1.06 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-01-13 | 83.30 | 90.19 | -1.06 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-01-10 | 81.57 | 90.19 | -1.13 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-01-08 | 81.81 | 94.05 | -1.26 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-01-07 | 82.37 | 93.76 | -1.24 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-01-06 | 81.71 | 93.66 | -1.27 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-01-03 | 80.14 | 93.76 | -1.34 | HLN ahead |
| 2025-01-02 | 82.16 | 93.56 | -1.27 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-12-31 | 83.27 | 94.55 | -1.27 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-12-30 | 82.40 | 94.25 | -1.30 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-12-27 | 82.87 | 95.54 | -1.34 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-12-26 | 83.30 | 96.53 | -1.36 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-12-24 | 83.39 | 96.53 | -1.37 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-12-23 | 83.02 | 96.33 | -1.39 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-12-20 | 82.59 | 96.04 | -1.41 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-12-19 | 82.96 | 96.13 | -1.41 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-12-18 | 83.25 | 96.23 | -1.42 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-12-17 | 86.83 | 98.22 | -1.36 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-12-16 | 88.37 | 96.33 | -1.26 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-12-13 | 88.89 | 96.73 | -1.26 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-12-12 | 89.98 | 96.43 | -1.23 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-12-11 | 90.20 | 96.83 | -1.24 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-12-10 | 91.71 | 95.84 | -1.17 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-12-09 | 90.72 | 95.54 | -1.20 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-12-06 | 88.09 | 95.84 | -1.31 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-12-05 | 86.82 | 96.43 | -1.39 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-12-04 | 88.06 | 96.04 | -1.35 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-12-03 | 86.05 | 96.23 | -1.44 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-12-02 | 84.38 | 95.84 | -1.50 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-11-29 | 80.10 | 95.74 | -1.67 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-11-27 | 82.14 | 96.33 | -1.63 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-11-26 | 81.27 | 95.04 | -1.64 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-11-25 | 81.04 | 94.95 | -1.66 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-11-22 | 77.67 | 95.64 | -1.84 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-11-21 | 74.23 | 94.65 | -1.97 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-11-20 | 72.56 | 93.95 | -2.05 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-11-19 | 71.96 | 93.95 | -2.10 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-11-18 | 71.71 | 93.46 | -2.12 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-11-15 | 70.80 | 93.06 | -2.18 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-11-14 | 72.00 | 92.27 | -2.13 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-11-13 | 69.81 | 91.48 | -2.23 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-11-12 | 69.68 | 91.97 | -2.29 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-11-11 | 71.73 | 94.25 | -2.31 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-11-08 | 70.97 | 95.24 | -2.42 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-11-07 | 73.65 | 95.14 | -2.32 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-11-06 | 70.28 | 94.55 | -2.50 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-11-05 | 73.15 | 96.83 | -2.49 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-11-04 | 73.80 | 96.73 | -2.49 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-11-01 | 73.94 | 96.43 | -2.51 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-10-31 | 76.57 | 96.04 | -2.41 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-10-30 | 96.79 | 97.13 | -1.58 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-10-29 | 98.57 | 98.12 | -1.57 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-10-28 | 98.53 | 98.91 | -1.62 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-10-25 | 96.90 | 97.62 | -1.65 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-10-24 | 98.43 | 98.02 | -1.62 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-10-23 | 97.50 | 98.12 | -1.68 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-10-22 | 97.28 | 98.22 | -1.71 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-10-21 | 99.13 | 98.91 | -1.68 | HLN ahead |
| 2024-10-18 | 100.00 | 100.00 | -1.70 | HLN ahead |
One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Oct 31, 2024 (EL -20.9%, HLN -1.1%); Feb 4, 2025 (EL -16.1%, HLN +0.4%); Apr 3, 2025 (EL -15.4%, HLN +2.9%); Feb 5, 2026 (EL -19.2%, HLN +0.7%); Aug 19, 2026 (EL +16.3%, HLN +1.5%). Upcoming earnings: HLN Oct 29, 2026 (pre-market); EL Nov 2, 2026 (pre-market).
Paired trades
The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart
Forward paper record
No paper position on this pair yet.
Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)
No simulated trade through Oct 20, 2026: the pair rarely passed every test while 2 standard deviations apart.
Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.
The companies
EL and HLN at a glance
EL The Estee Lauder Companies Inc.
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 1001250
- Industry
- Package Goods/Cosmetics · SIC 2844 Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations
- Market value
- $38.3B
- Price history
- 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
HLN Haleon plc
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 1900304
- Industry
- Package Goods/Cosmetics · SIC 2844 Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations
- Market value
- $44.6B
- Price history
- 1,072 daily closes, Jul 18, 2022 to Oct 22, 2026
Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.
Related
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Explore the private betaPaper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.
