SIC 2844 Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations

Colgate-Palmolive Company vs Haleon plc

WatchlistCL / HLNPrices through Oct 22, 2026

Why these are rivals: #1 and #2 by market value ($74B vs $45B) with SEC SIC 2844 (Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations).

Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.

Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.53 (needs >= 0.60)
Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.54 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))

Business leadership

Business size

Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.

Year	CL	HLN	Larger
2025	$20.4B	-	-
2024	$20.1B	-	-
2023	$19.5B	-	-
2022	$18.0B	-	-
2021	$17.4B	-	-
2020	$16.5B	-	-

Market value: CL $74.4B, HLN $44.6B.

Stock leadership

CL is ahead now

Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.

CL leads HLN by 0.73 standard deviations: +5.3% over its usual price ratio. 3 lead switches in the last year.

Price change	3 mo	6 mo	12 mo
CL	+7.3%	+16.3%	+23.9%
HLN	+6.0%	+8.8%	+11.1%

Relationship

Not a measured twin today

Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.

Pass: Aligned sessions: 1072 (needs >= 254)
Fail: Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.53 (needs >= 0.60)
Fail: Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.54 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Pass: Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 34.29 (needs <= 63)
Data: Both stocks current

The twins over two years

Prices side by side, and the gap between them

CL Colgate-Palmolive Company HLN Haleon plcPrice index, 100 = 2024-10-18. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).

Spread z-score: CL relative to HLN, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: CL ahead; below 0: HLN ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).

Data table (504 sessions)

Date	CL index	HLN index	z	Ahead
2026-10-22	96.94	102.78	+0.73	CL ahead
2026-10-21	92.97	99.31	+0.63	CL ahead
2026-10-20	94.11	100.79	+0.59	CL ahead
2026-10-19	92.96	100.50	+0.47	near the usual relationship
2026-10-16	93.68	100.40	+0.59	CL ahead
2026-10-15	92.25	98.51	+0.65	CL ahead
2026-10-14	92.36	95.94	+1.05	CL ahead
2026-10-13	89.54	93.56	+0.97	CL ahead
2026-10-12	89.57	94.15	+0.89	CL ahead
2026-10-09	87.87	92.37	+0.90	CL ahead
2026-10-08	87.70	91.77	+0.97	CL ahead
2026-10-07	86.81	89.40	+1.21	CL ahead
2026-10-06	86.85	87.91	+1.46	CL ahead
2026-10-05	85.80	87.41	+1.38	CL ahead
2026-10-02	83.87	87.22	+1.10	CL ahead
2026-10-01	84.14	86.42	+1.28	CL ahead
2026-09-30	84.93	89.20	+0.96	CL ahead
2026-09-29	86.06	89.89	+1.05	CL ahead
2026-09-28	86.12	90.88	+0.90	CL ahead
2026-09-25	85.67	91.77	+0.69	CL ahead
2026-09-24	84.93	91.38	+0.63	CL ahead
2026-09-23	85.54	90.29	+0.91	CL ahead
2026-09-22	86.65	91.67	+0.88	CL ahead
2026-09-21	85.87	92.77	+0.58	CL ahead
2026-09-18	87.07	91.97	+0.91	CL ahead
2026-09-17	87.33	92.77	+0.83	CL ahead
2026-09-16	86.62	91.28	+0.96	CL ahead
2026-09-15	86.60	91.58	+0.92	CL ahead
2026-09-14	87.49	93.06	+0.83	CL ahead
2026-09-11	86.40	91.08	+0.98	CL ahead
2026-09-10	87.50	91.38	+1.12	CL ahead
2026-09-09	87.63	91.48	+1.13	CL ahead
2026-09-08	88.01	91.67	+1.17	CL ahead
2026-09-04	88.36	95.14	+0.69	CL ahead
2026-09-03	89.68	97.72	+0.52	CL ahead
2026-09-02	89.69	98.22	+0.45	near the usual relationship
2026-09-01	89.22	99.80	+0.14	near the usual relationship
2026-08-31	89.41	99.41	+0.23	near the usual relationship
2026-08-28	90.33	100.20	+0.26	near the usual relationship
2026-08-27	90.54	99.50	+0.40	near the usual relationship
2026-08-26	91.64	100.79	+0.39	near the usual relationship
2026-08-25	90.91	100.89	+0.26	near the usual relationship
2026-08-24	92.13	100.69	+0.49	near the usual relationship
2026-08-21	90.66	99.11	+0.49	near the usual relationship
2026-08-20	89.29	97.82	+0.46	near the usual relationship
2026-08-19	90.45	97.82	+0.66	CL ahead
2026-08-18	91.04	96.33	+0.99	CL ahead
2026-08-17	89.80	94.95	+1.00	CL ahead
2026-08-14	91.53	96.13	+1.11	CL ahead
2026-08-13	92.50	97.13	+1.12	CL ahead
2026-08-12	91.90	97.13	+1.03	CL ahead
2026-08-11	91.89	98.41	+0.83	CL ahead
2026-08-10	92.72	98.41	+0.97	CL ahead
2026-08-07	92.84	99.41	+0.84	CL ahead
2026-08-06	92.57	99.41	+0.80	CL ahead
2026-08-05	92.85	98.61	+0.97	CL ahead
2026-08-04	92.11	96.93	+1.12	CL ahead
2026-08-03	89.47	97.13	+0.65	CL ahead
2026-07-31	90.88	97.82	+0.79	CL ahead
2026-07-30	91.18	100.20	+0.47	near the usual relationship
2026-07-29	93.06	101.88	+0.53	CL ahead
2026-07-28	92.31	101.78	+0.42	near the usual relationship
2026-07-27	91.56	98.51	+0.80	CL ahead
2026-07-24	90.33	96.93	+0.84	CL ahead
2026-07-23	89.67	96.23	+0.84	CL ahead
2026-07-22	91.21	97.62	+0.88	CL ahead
2026-07-21	90.09	98.32	+0.59	CL ahead
2026-07-20	91.51	99.50	+0.64	CL ahead
2026-07-17	92.55	100.10	+0.73	CL ahead
2026-07-16	93.64	100.20	+0.89	CL ahead
2026-07-15	91.05	96.63	+1.02	CL ahead
2026-07-14	90.61	96.13	+1.03	CL ahead
2026-07-13	92.78	97.72	+1.15	CL ahead
2026-07-10	91.82	96.73	+1.15	CL ahead
2026-07-09	90.59	96.23	+1.02	CL ahead
2026-07-08	92.61	96.63	+1.31	CL ahead
2026-07-07	94.59	97.52	+1.50	CL ahead
2026-07-06	92.96	96.33	+1.43	CL ahead
2026-07-02	94.69	97.32	+1.57	CL ahead
2026-07-01	92.34	93.16	+1.88	CL ahead
2026-06-30	91.26	92.47	+1.83	CL ahead
2026-06-29	91.98	92.47	+1.98	CL ahead
2026-06-26	91.65	91.58	+2.11	CL ahead
2026-06-25	90.64	91.87	+1.90	CL ahead
2026-06-24	91.46	91.48	+2.14	CL ahead
2026-06-23	91.01	88.70	+2.61	CL ahead
2026-06-22	88.26	86.92	+2.48	CL ahead
2026-06-18	89.07	88.80	+2.31	CL ahead
2026-06-17	90.17	87.91	+2.74	CL ahead
2026-06-16	90.24	90.09	+2.37	CL ahead
2026-06-15	90.17	89.89	+2.43	CL ahead
2026-06-12	89.04	90.49	+2.12	CL ahead
2026-06-11	88.98	89.49	+2.34	CL ahead
2026-06-10	89.54	89.99	+2.39	CL ahead
2026-06-09	87.40	90.39	+1.89	CL ahead
2026-06-08	85.68	88.11	+2.02	CL ahead
2026-06-05	88.17	90.39	+2.10	CL ahead
2026-06-04	84.71	88.80	+1.71	CL ahead
2026-06-03	84.48	86.42	+2.19	CL ahead
2026-06-02	87.87	86.22	+3.02	CL ahead
2026-06-01	88.03	87.61	+2.80	CL ahead
2026-05-29	89.72	89.79	+2.75	CL ahead
2026-05-28	91.24	91.28	+2.81	CL ahead
2026-05-27	90.87	92.37	+2.54	CL ahead
2026-05-26	89.44	91.58	+2.43	CL ahead
2026-05-22	90.20	92.07	+2.54	CL ahead
2026-05-21	90.03	92.37	+2.47	CL ahead
2026-05-20	89.94	91.97	+2.58	CL ahead
2026-05-19	89.61	91.18	+2.74	CL ahead
2026-05-18	89.51	90.88	+2.84	CL ahead
2026-05-15	87.73	88.80	+2.97	CL ahead
2026-05-14	88.43	88.31	+3.35	CL ahead
2026-05-13	87.47	89.40	+2.89	CL ahead
2026-05-12	87.04	90.19	+2.63	CL ahead
2026-05-11	86.34	89.00	+2.80	CL ahead
2026-05-08	87.15	90.29	+2.74	CL ahead
2026-05-07	86.96	92.17	+2.23	CL ahead
2026-05-06	87.76	91.48	+2.68	CL ahead
2026-05-05	85.93	90.88	+2.36	CL ahead
2026-05-04	84.98	91.58	+1.93	CL ahead
2026-05-01	86.86	92.96	+2.10	CL ahead
2026-04-30	84.97	91.58	+1.94	CL ahead
2026-04-29	84.10	92.17	+1.54	CL ahead
2026-04-28	85.28	93.86	+1.43	CL ahead
2026-04-27	83.78	94.05	+0.94	CL ahead
2026-04-24	84.26	94.95	+0.84	CL ahead
2026-04-23	83.34	94.45	+0.69	CL ahead
2026-04-22	81.97	92.77	+0.71	CL ahead
2026-04-21	81.44	94.45	+0.11	near the usual relationship
2026-04-20	83.15	95.94	+0.23	near the usual relationship
2026-04-17	85.42	96.63	+0.69	CL ahead
2026-04-16	83.24	95.04	+0.46	near the usual relationship
2026-04-15	83.11	95.74	+0.24	near the usual relationship
2026-04-14	83.77	96.13	+0.32	near the usual relationship
2026-04-13	83.60	97.42	-0.05	near the usual relationship
2026-04-10	83.95	97.52	+0.02	near the usual relationship
2026-04-09	85.65	99.21	+0.07	near the usual relationship
2026-04-08	85.16	98.81	+0.03	near the usual relationship
2026-04-07	82.75	97.92	-0.41	near the usual relationship
2026-04-06	84.14	98.32	-0.14	near the usual relationship
2026-04-02	84.75	98.41	-0.01	near the usual relationship
2026-04-01	85.02	98.81	-0.03	near the usual relationship
2026-03-31	84.84	99.21	-0.17	near the usual relationship
2026-03-30	85.34	99.11	-0.03	near the usual relationship
2026-03-27	83.90	97.13	+0.03	near the usual relationship
2026-03-26	83.75	96.63	+0.10	near the usual relationship
2026-03-25	85.10	96.53	+0.46	near the usual relationship
2026-03-24	84.14	96.13	+0.31	near the usual relationship
2026-03-23	84.76	98.41	-0.04	near the usual relationship
2026-03-20	84.73	99.80	-0.35	near the usual relationship
2026-03-19	85.11	101.39	-0.59	HLN ahead
2026-03-18	87.12	102.18	-0.26	near the usual relationship
2026-03-17	89.53	105.05	-0.28	near the usual relationship
2026-03-16	89.89	103.67	+0.09	near the usual relationship
2026-03-13	88.43	99.41	+0.64	CL ahead
2026-03-12	87.55	99.80	+0.34	near the usual relationship
2026-03-11	89.20	99.11	+0.87	CL ahead
2026-03-10	92.07	100.79	+1.18	CL ahead
2026-03-09	92.57	101.68	+1.11	CL ahead
2026-03-06	93.13	101.88	+1.21	CL ahead
2026-03-05	92.25	102.38	+0.91	CL ahead
2026-03-04	94.84	103.77	+1.22	CL ahead
2026-03-03	95.07	105.15	+0.99	CL ahead
2026-03-02	96.85	107.73	+0.86	CL ahead
2026-02-27	98.69	109.71	+0.87	CL ahead
2026-02-26	97.10	106.64	+1.13	CL ahead
2026-02-25	96.23	103.47	+1.59	CL ahead
2026-02-24	97.66	109.81	+0.64	CL ahead
2026-02-23	96.66	109.81	+0.42	near the usual relationship
2026-02-20	94.65	111.69	-0.40	near the usual relationship
2026-02-19	93.55	110.11	-0.34	near the usual relationship
2026-02-18	95.14	111.20	-0.20	near the usual relationship
2026-02-17	95.21	111.30	-0.20	near the usual relationship
2026-02-13	96.23	111.00	+0.08	near the usual relationship
2026-02-12	95.73	110.60	+0.04	near the usual relationship
2026-02-11	94.87	110.60	-0.15	near the usual relationship
2026-02-10	93.50	109.42	-0.24	near the usual relationship
2026-02-09	93.73	107.83	+0.12	near the usual relationship
2026-02-06	93.98	108.82	-0.02	near the usual relationship
2026-02-05	94.45	107.63	+0.31	near the usual relationship
2026-02-04	93.94	106.84	+0.35	near the usual relationship
2026-02-03	92.72	103.96	+0.64	CL ahead
2026-02-02	91.47	104.66	+0.21	near the usual relationship
2026-01-30	89.88	103.77	+0.02	near the usual relationship
2026-01-29	84.85	102.08	-0.84	HLN ahead
2026-01-28	84.61	102.18	-0.92	HLN ahead
2026-01-27	85.37	103.27	-0.97	HLN ahead
2026-01-26	84.81	102.78	-1.01	HLN ahead
2026-01-23	86.26	103.67	-0.85	HLN ahead
2026-01-22	85.42	102.38	-0.80	HLN ahead
2026-01-21	84.34	101.49	-0.88	HLN ahead
2026-01-20	85.05	100.40	-0.51	HLN ahead
2026-01-16	84.13	97.42	-0.14	near the usual relationship
2026-01-15	83.95	96.83	-0.07	near the usual relationship
2026-01-14	84.16	98.61	-0.38	near the usual relationship
2026-01-13	82.58	97.32	-0.50	HLN ahead
2026-01-12	81.55	97.03	-0.68	HLN ahead
2026-01-09	81.11	98.22	-1.03	HLN ahead
2026-01-08	80.50	99.50	-1.43	HLN ahead
2026-01-07	76.74	99.60	-2.39	HLN ahead
2026-01-06	76.85	101.78	-2.82	HLN ahead
2026-01-05	76.58	100.20	-2.62	HLN ahead
2026-01-02	77.33	99.11	-2.24	HLN ahead
2025-12-31	78.66	100.20	-2.14	HLN ahead
2025-12-30	79.15	99.90	-1.98	HLN ahead
2025-12-29	79.33	100.00	-1.98	HLN ahead
2025-12-26	79.36	100.40	-2.07	HLN ahead
2025-12-24	79.88	100.10	-1.90	HLN ahead
2025-12-23	79.56	100.20	-2.01	HLN ahead
2025-12-22	78.68	98.81	-1.98	HLN ahead
2025-12-19	78.00	98.12	-2.03	HLN ahead
2025-12-18	77.37	97.52	-2.09	HLN ahead
2025-12-17	79.36	97.32	-1.56	HLN ahead
2025-12-16	78.59	97.62	-1.83	HLN ahead
2025-12-15	79.07	97.42	-1.68	HLN ahead
2025-12-12	77.98	94.35	-1.32	HLN ahead
2025-12-11	76.90	95.04	-1.76	HLN ahead
2025-12-10	77.40	93.76	-1.37	HLN ahead
2025-12-09	76.63	92.27	-1.26	HLN ahead
2025-12-08	75.76	93.16	-1.68	HLN ahead
2025-12-05	77.71	94.35	-1.44	HLN ahead
2025-12-04	77.24	94.45	-1.58	HLN ahead
2025-12-03	77.84	94.25	-1.39	HLN ahead
2025-12-02	78.46	95.84	-1.57	HLN ahead
2025-12-01	79.57	97.13	-1.56	HLN ahead
2025-11-28	80.02	96.93	-1.42	HLN ahead
2025-11-26	79.67	96.73	-1.47	HLN ahead
2025-11-25	79.45	97.32	-1.65	HLN ahead
2025-11-24	78.82	95.84	-1.52	HLN ahead
2025-11-21	80.56	97.82	-1.50	HLN ahead
2025-11-20	78.50	95.14	-1.48	HLN ahead
2025-11-19	78.11	94.25	-1.40	HLN ahead
2025-11-18	78.97	95.24	-1.40	HLN ahead
2025-11-17	78.45	95.94	-1.67	HLN ahead
2025-11-14	77.69	95.04	-1.69	HLN ahead
2025-11-13	78.43	98.12	-2.12	HLN ahead
2025-11-12	78.20	97.92	-2.16	HLN ahead
2025-11-11	79.11	97.62	-1.91	HLN ahead
2025-11-10	78.11	94.85	-1.63	HLN ahead
2025-11-07	78.40	93.76	-1.35	HLN ahead
2025-11-06	76.92	93.26	-1.63	HLN ahead
2025-11-05	76.56	92.27	-1.53	HLN ahead
2025-11-04	76.20	92.37	-1.65	HLN ahead
2025-11-03	74.64	92.96	-2.19	HLN ahead
2025-10-31	76.70	91.87	-1.46	HLN ahead
2025-10-30	76.16	90.98	-1.42	HLN ahead
2025-10-29	75.38	89.69	-1.35	HLN ahead
2025-10-28	76.79	90.39	-1.16	HLN ahead
2025-10-27	77.47	91.18	-1.16	HLN ahead
2025-10-24	77.64	91.67	-1.23	HLN ahead
2025-10-23	78.08	92.86	-1.37	HLN ahead
2025-10-22	79.49	93.66	-1.20	HLN ahead
2025-10-21	78.26	92.47	-1.26	HLN ahead
2025-10-20	78.39	93.26	-1.40	HLN ahead
2025-10-17	78.76	93.95	-1.46	HLN ahead
2025-10-16	77.72	91.18	-1.16	HLN ahead
2025-10-15	77.27	91.08	-1.25	HLN ahead
2025-10-14	78.04	90.88	-1.04	HLN ahead
2025-10-13	76.63	89.99	-1.20	HLN ahead
2025-10-10	77.60	89.20	-0.82	HLN ahead
2025-10-09	77.45	89.40	-0.90	HLN ahead
2025-10-08	77.64	89.59	-0.90	HLN ahead
2025-10-07	78.75	87.41	-0.21	near the usual relationship
2025-10-06	77.10	87.12	-0.54	HLN ahead
2025-10-03	77.64	88.70	-0.74	HLN ahead
2025-10-02	77.95	88.01	-0.53	HLN ahead
2025-10-01	78.65	89.30	-0.64	HLN ahead
2025-09-30	79.57	88.90	-0.36	near the usual relationship
2025-09-29	80.03	87.61	+0.00	near the usual relationship
2025-09-26	79.23	87.41	-0.15	near the usual relationship
2025-09-25	79.34	86.42	+0.07	near the usual relationship
2025-09-24	80.76	87.91	+0.08	near the usual relationship
2025-09-23	79.78	88.50	-0.26	near the usual relationship
2025-09-22	79.00	89.20	-0.57	HLN ahead
2025-09-19	80.80	90.78	-0.49	near the usual relationship
2025-09-18	81.16	91.58	-0.57	HLN ahead
2025-09-17	81.84	93.16	-0.73	HLN ahead
2025-09-16	81.11	91.97	-0.67	HLN ahead
2025-09-15	81.75	95.94	-1.26	HLN ahead
2025-09-12	82.90	97.22	-1.26	HLN ahead
2025-09-11	83.68	97.82	-1.21	HLN ahead
2025-09-10	82.82	97.42	-1.32	HLN ahead
2025-09-09	83.89	96.63	-0.97	HLN ahead
2025-09-08	83.80	96.53	-0.98	HLN ahead
2025-09-05	84.74	97.13	-0.90	HLN ahead
2025-09-04	83.29	97.52	-1.26	HLN ahead
2025-09-03	83.43	98.02	-1.32	HLN ahead
2025-09-02	84.00	96.73	-1.00	HLN ahead
2025-08-29	83.69	97.13	-1.13	HLN ahead
2025-08-28	83.04	96.04	-1.08	HLN ahead
2025-08-27	84.06	96.23	-0.92	HLN ahead
2025-08-26	83.75	95.44	-0.86	HLN ahead
2025-08-25	83.68	95.94	-0.96	HLN ahead
2025-08-22	85.55	97.32	-0.84	HLN ahead
2025-08-21	85.88	97.22	-0.77	HLN ahead
2025-08-20	85.66	98.22	-0.97	HLN ahead
2025-08-19	85.46	96.53	-0.75	HLN ahead
2025-08-18	83.87	95.94	-0.95	HLN ahead
2025-08-15	84.68	95.64	-0.76	HLN ahead
2025-08-14	84.26	96.13	-0.92	HLN ahead
2025-08-13	85.94	96.04	-0.62	HLN ahead
2025-08-12	84.58	94.95	-0.69	HLN ahead
2025-08-11	84.06	93.86	-0.62	HLN ahead
2025-08-08	84.30	94.55	-0.69	HLN ahead
2025-08-07	84.32	93.76	-0.57	HLN ahead
2025-08-06	84.22	91.67	-0.27	near the usual relationship
2025-08-05	82.68	92.07	-0.60	HLN ahead
2025-08-04	82.98	94.25	-0.89	HLN ahead
2025-08-01	83.13	95.74	-1.09	HLN ahead
2025-07-31	83.47	93.46	-0.70	HLN ahead
2025-07-30	85.41	95.54	-0.69	HLN ahead
2025-07-29	86.46	97.22	-0.77	HLN ahead
2025-07-28	86.07	96.13	-0.68	HLN ahead
2025-07-25	87.53	97.92	-0.71	HLN ahead
2025-07-24	88.04	97.62	-0.60	HLN ahead
2025-07-23	88.38	96.63	-0.42	near the usual relationship
2025-07-22	88.29	95.64	-0.30	near the usual relationship
2025-07-21	86.24	94.45	-0.45	near the usual relationship
2025-07-18	86.44	95.14	-0.52	HLN ahead
2025-07-17	86.84	95.04	-0.46	near the usual relationship
2025-07-16	87.26	96.04	-0.53	HLN ahead
2025-07-15	87.75	96.43	-0.52	HLN ahead
2025-07-14	88.44	98.12	-0.65	HLN ahead
2025-07-11	89.17	98.71	-0.62	HLN ahead
2025-07-10	90.21	100.20	-0.67	HLN ahead
2025-07-09	91.16	99.60	-0.48	near the usual relationship
2025-07-08	91.72	99.60	-0.41	near the usual relationship
2025-07-07	92.90	100.59	-0.38	near the usual relationship
2025-07-03	92.36	101.59	-0.57	HLN ahead
2025-07-02	91.98	101.68	-0.64	HLN ahead
2025-07-01	91.62	102.58	-0.79	HLN ahead
2025-06-30	90.48	102.78	-0.96	HLN ahead
2025-06-27	88.30	102.87	-1.26	HLN ahead
2025-06-26	87.39	103.27	-1.43	HLN ahead
2025-06-25	87.40	104.06	-1.52	HLN ahead
2025-06-24	87.78	103.96	-1.47	HLN ahead
2025-06-23	88.26	103.96	-1.42	HLN ahead
2025-06-20	87.38	103.17	-1.45	HLN ahead
2025-06-18	87.79	103.57	-1.45	HLN ahead
2025-06-17	88.22	104.06	-1.46	HLN ahead
2025-06-16	89.70	106.24	-1.52	HLN ahead
2025-06-13	89.85	107.73	-1.67	HLN ahead
2025-06-12	92.71	109.12	-1.47	HLN ahead
2025-06-11	91.69	108.13	-1.50	HLN ahead
2025-06-10	91.52	107.93	-1.52	HLN ahead
2025-06-09	90.45	107.83	-1.65	HLN ahead
2025-06-06	89.83	109.71	-1.94	HLN ahead
2025-06-05	89.74	110.21	-2.02	HLN ahead
2025-06-04	89.79	108.33	-1.84	HLN ahead
2025-06-03	90.21	109.51	-1.93	HLN ahead
2025-06-02	91.51	113.08	-2.16	HLN ahead
2025-05-30	92.51	112.49	-2.00	HLN ahead
2025-05-29	91.88	112.29	-2.08	HLN ahead
2025-05-28	91.34	111.50	-2.09	HLN ahead
2025-05-27	92.01	111.30	-2.01	HLN ahead
2025-05-23	92.17	110.41	-1.91	HLN ahead
2025-05-22	90.48	109.61	-2.06	HLN ahead
2025-05-21	91.25	110.01	-2.03	HLN ahead
2025-05-20	91.57	109.22	-1.92	HLN ahead
2025-05-19	91.32	107.83	-1.82	HLN ahead
2025-05-16	90.81	107.04	-1.82	HLN ahead
2025-05-15	89.22	105.75	-1.90	HLN ahead
2025-05-14	87.17	103.07	-1.88	HLN ahead
2025-05-13	87.48	103.57	-1.92	HLN ahead
2025-05-12	88.73	106.14	-2.06	HLN ahead
2025-05-09	89.40	106.44	-2.02	HLN ahead
2025-05-08	90.41	104.76	-1.72	HLN ahead
2025-05-07	90.46	106.64	-1.94	HLN ahead
2025-05-06	90.58	105.75	-1.84	HLN ahead
2025-05-05	90.32	105.35	-1.85	HLN ahead
2025-05-02	90.07	106.05	-1.99	HLN ahead
2025-05-01	90.27	102.38	-1.55	HLN ahead
2025-04-30	91.77	100.59	-1.15	HLN ahead
2025-04-29	91.91	101.88	-1.30	HLN ahead
2025-04-28	90.54	101.39	-1.43	HLN ahead
2025-04-25	93.48	100.89	-0.99	HLN ahead
2025-04-24	92.28	102.18	-1.31	HLN ahead
2025-04-23	93.46	101.39	-1.07	HLN ahead
2025-04-22	95.37	103.57	-1.09	HLN ahead
2025-04-21	94.27	100.99	-0.94	HLN ahead
2025-04-17	95.06	101.29	-0.88	HLN ahead
2025-04-16	93.06	100.69	-1.07	HLN ahead
2025-04-15	93.83	100.30	-0.93	HLN ahead
2025-04-14	94.55	100.20	-0.83	HLN ahead
2025-04-11	93.57	99.70	-0.90	HLN ahead
2025-04-10	91.38	95.44	-0.66	HLN ahead
2025-04-09	89.82	95.64	-0.91	HLN ahead
2025-04-08	88.19	92.67	-0.75	HLN ahead
2025-04-07	88.78	91.87	-0.57	HLN ahead
2025-04-04	91.24	98.02	-1.04	HLN ahead
2025-04-03	95.56	103.57	-1.15	HLN ahead
2025-04-02	93.12	100.69	-1.13	HLN ahead
2025-04-01	93.47	100.89	-1.12	HLN ahead
2025-03-31	93.27	101.98	-1.29	HLN ahead
2025-03-28	92.39	101.49	-1.36	HLN ahead
2025-03-27	92.76	100.30	-1.17	HLN ahead
2025-03-26	91.61	99.60	-1.25	HLN ahead
2025-03-25	89.18	99.50	-1.59	HLN ahead
2025-03-24	90.48	100.50	-1.55	HLN ahead
2025-03-21	89.89	101.88	-1.82	HLN ahead
2025-03-20	89.87	102.97	-1.99	HLN ahead
2025-03-19	90.03	102.78	-1.96	HLN ahead
2025-03-18	89.08	101.98	-2.02	HLN ahead
2025-03-17	90.29	102.18	-1.89	HLN ahead
2025-03-14	89.41	100.59	-1.84	HLN ahead
2025-03-13	90.11	100.99	-1.81	HLN ahead
2025-03-12	90.40	100.99	-1.78	HLN ahead
2025-03-11	93.67	102.97	-1.58	HLN ahead
2025-03-10	97.05	102.78	-1.09	HLN ahead
2025-03-07	96.30	103.57	-1.31	HLN ahead
2025-03-06	92.86	102.97	-1.74	HLN ahead
2025-03-05	91.33	104.46	-2.19	HLN ahead
2025-03-04	90.64	105.75	-2.49	HLN ahead
2025-03-03	92.39	104.86	-2.14	HLN ahead
2025-02-28	90.75	100.89	-1.88	HLN ahead
2025-02-27	89.79	97.03	-1.49	HLN ahead
2025-02-26	89.76	101.09	-2.10	HLN ahead
2025-02-25	91.87	100.59	-1.72	HLN ahead
2025-02-24	89.70	100.59	-2.09	HLN ahead
2025-02-21	89.06	99.90	-2.12	HLN ahead
2025-02-20	87.47	98.12	-2.14	HLN ahead
2025-02-19	87.02	98.91	-2.37	HLN ahead
2025-02-18	85.99	99.01	-2.61	HLN ahead
2025-02-14	85.65	96.23	-2.27	HLN ahead
2025-02-13	87.35	98.61	-2.38	HLN ahead
2025-02-12	86.33	97.72	-2.46	HLN ahead
2025-02-11	86.97	97.62	-2.36	HLN ahead
2025-02-10	85.57	95.94	-2.38	HLN ahead
2025-02-07	86.36	94.65	-2.04	HLN ahead
2025-02-06	85.29	94.25	-2.20	HLN ahead
2025-02-05	86.22	95.44	-2.25	HLN ahead
2025-02-04	86.10	94.35	-2.12	HLN ahead
2025-02-03	86.63	93.95	-1.97	HLN ahead
2025-01-31	86.30	93.86	-2.04	HLN ahead
2025-01-30	90.47	94.85	-1.44	HLN ahead
2025-01-29	89.16	94.45	-1.62	HLN ahead
2025-01-28	89.45	94.55	-1.60	HLN ahead
2025-01-27	90.79	94.95	-1.43	HLN ahead
2025-01-24	87.48	93.06	-1.73	HLN ahead
2025-01-23	87.51	93.06	-1.73	HLN ahead
2025-01-22	87.15	91.38	-1.48	HLN ahead
2025-01-21	87.83	91.58	-1.39	HLN ahead
2025-01-17	88.28	91.58	-1.30	HLN ahead
2025-01-16	88.15	91.08	-1.23	HLN ahead
2025-01-15	87.46	90.29	-1.21	HLN ahead
2025-01-14	87.27	89.30	-1.05	HLN ahead
2025-01-13	86.70	90.19	-1.33	HLN ahead
2025-01-10	85.96	90.19	-1.47	HLN ahead
2025-01-08	87.06	94.05	-1.96	HLN ahead
2025-01-07	86.99	93.76	-1.93	HLN ahead
2025-01-06	87.14	93.66	-1.89	HLN ahead
2025-01-03	89.74	93.76	-1.41	HLN ahead
2025-01-02	90.14	93.56	-1.31	HLN ahead
2024-12-31	90.49	94.55	-1.42	HLN ahead
2024-12-30	90.37	94.25	-1.39	HLN ahead
2024-12-27	91.39	95.54	-1.43	HLN ahead
2024-12-26	91.95	96.53	-1.51	HLN ahead
2024-12-24	91.97	96.53	-1.51	HLN ahead
2024-12-23	91.49	96.33	-1.56	HLN ahead
2024-12-20	91.61	96.04	-1.49	HLN ahead
2024-12-19	92.49	96.13	-1.34	HLN ahead
2024-12-18	92.33	96.23	-1.39	HLN ahead
2024-12-17	93.06	98.22	-1.61	HLN ahead
2024-12-16	92.49	96.33	-1.38	HLN ahead
2024-12-13	93.01	96.73	-1.35	HLN ahead
2024-12-12	93.13	96.43	-1.28	HLN ahead
2024-12-11	92.34	96.83	-1.49	HLN ahead
2024-12-10	93.46	95.84	-1.10	HLN ahead
2024-12-09	92.51	95.54	-1.22	HLN ahead
2024-12-06	93.80	95.84	-1.04	HLN ahead
2024-12-05	94.66	96.43	-0.98	HLN ahead
2024-12-04	94.38	96.04	-0.95	HLN ahead
2024-12-03	94.18	96.23	-1.02	HLN ahead
2024-12-02	96.67	95.84	-0.50	HLN ahead
2024-11-29	96.19	95.74	-0.55	HLN ahead
2024-11-27	96.32	96.33	-0.62	HLN ahead
2024-11-26	96.14	95.04	-0.42	near the usual relationship
2024-11-25	94.90	94.95	-0.60	HLN ahead
2024-11-22	94.49	95.64	-0.78	HLN ahead
2024-11-21	93.82	94.65	-0.72	HLN ahead
2024-11-20	93.48	93.95	-0.65	HLN ahead
2024-11-19	93.18	93.95	-0.69	HLN ahead
2024-11-18	94.19	93.46	-0.43	near the usual relationship
2024-11-15	93.13	93.06	-0.53	HLN ahead
2024-11-14	91.03	92.27	-0.75	HLN ahead
2024-11-13	90.65	91.48	-0.68	HLN ahead
2024-11-12	91.08	91.97	-0.68	HLN ahead
2024-11-11	91.54	94.25	-0.97	HLN ahead
2024-11-08	92.15	95.24	-1.03	HLN ahead
2024-11-07	90.35	95.14	-1.31	HLN ahead
2024-11-06	89.81	94.55	-1.30	HLN ahead
2024-11-05	93.83	96.83	-0.99	HLN ahead
2024-11-04	93.18	96.73	-1.08	HLN ahead
2024-11-01	92.90	96.43	-1.07	HLN ahead
2024-10-31	93.28	96.04	-0.94	HLN ahead
2024-10-30	94.23	97.13	-0.96	HLN ahead
2024-10-29	94.29	98.12	-1.09	HLN ahead
2024-10-28	95.30	98.91	-1.05	HLN ahead
2024-10-25	95.17	97.62	-0.86	HLN ahead
2024-10-24	99.28	98.02	-0.28	near the usual relationship
2024-10-23	98.53	98.12	-0.40	near the usual relationship
2024-10-22	99.21	98.22	-0.30	near the usual relationship
2024-10-21	98.91	98.91	-0.44	near the usual relationship
2024-10-18	100.00	100.00	-0.43	near the usual relationship

No one-day company-specific move of 4+ standard deviations in this window. Upcoming earnings: HLN Oct 29, 2026 (pre-market); CL Oct 30, 2026 (pre-market).

Paired trades

The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart

Forward paper record

No paper position on this pair yet.

Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)

No simulated trade through Oct 20, 2026: the pair rarely passed every test while 2 standard deviations apart.

Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.

The companies

CL and HLN at a glance

CL Colgate-Palmolive Company

Listing: NYSE · SEC CIK 21665
Industry: Package Goods/Cosmetics · SIC 2844 Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations
Market value: $74.4B
Price history: 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026

HLN Haleon plc

Listing: NYSE · SEC CIK 1900304
Industry: Package Goods/Cosmetics · SIC 2844 Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations
Market value: $44.6B
Price history: 1,072 daily closes, Jul 18, 2022 to Oct 22, 2026

Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.

All pairs →

Pair	Status	Ahead now	Industry
HLN / EL	Watchlist	EL by 0.75 sd	SIC 2844 Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations
CL / EL	Watchlist	EL by 0.26 sd	SIC 2844 Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations

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Paper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.