Colgate-Palmolive Company vs The Estee Lauder Companies Inc.
WatchlistCL / ELPrices through Oct 22, 2026
Why these are rivals: #1 and #3 by market value ($74B vs $38B) with SEC SIC 2844 (Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations).
Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.21 (needs >= 0.60)
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.64 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Business leadership
CL is the larger business
Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.
| Year | CL | EL | Larger |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $20.4B | $14.3B | CL |
| 2024 | $20.1B | $15.6B | CL |
| 2023 | $19.5B | $15.9B | CL |
| 2022 | $18.0B | $17.7B | CL |
| 2021 | $17.4B | $16.2B | CL |
| 2020 | $16.5B | $14.3B | CL |
CL led in every year with figures for both. Market value: CL $74.4B, EL $38.3B.
Stock leadership
EL is ahead now
Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.
EL leads CL by 0.26 standard deviations: +4.1% over its usual price ratio. 2 lead switches in the last year.
| Price change | 3 mo | 6 mo | 12 mo |
|---|---|---|---|
| CL | +7.3% | +16.3% | +23.9% |
| EL | +34.2% | +41.0% | +9.3% |
Relationship
Not a measured twin today
Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.
- Pass
- Aligned sessions: 2521 (needs >= 254)
- Fail
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.21 (needs >= 0.60)
- Fail
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.64 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
- Pass
- Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 30.95 (needs <= 63)
- Data
- Both stocks current
The twins over two years
Prices side by side, and the gap between them
CL Colgate-Palmolive Company EL The Estee Lauder Companies Inc.Price index, 100 = 2024-10-18. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).
Spread z-score: CL relative to EL, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: CL ahead; below 0: EL ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).
Data table (504 sessions)
| Date | CL index | EL index | z | Ahead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | 96.94 | 119.64 | -0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-21 | 92.97 | 115.13 | -0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-20 | 94.11 | 117.86 | -0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-19 | 92.96 | 117.48 | -0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-16 | 93.68 | 116.10 | -0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-15 | 92.25 | 119.05 | -0.54 | EL ahead |
| 2026-10-14 | 92.36 | 112.83 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-13 | 89.54 | 110.76 | -0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-12 | 89.57 | 111.11 | -0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-09 | 87.87 | 108.90 | -0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-08 | 87.70 | 104.75 | -0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-07 | 86.81 | 104.90 | -0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-06 | 86.85 | 103.69 | -0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-05 | 85.80 | 103.62 | -0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-02 | 83.87 | 102.14 | -0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-01 | 84.14 | 100.17 | +0.00 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-30 | 84.93 | 103.03 | -0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-29 | 86.06 | 104.81 | -0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-28 | 86.12 | 106.14 | -0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-25 | 85.67 | 104.92 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-24 | 84.93 | 105.92 | -0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-23 | 85.54 | 109.76 | -0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-22 | 86.65 | 111.38 | -0.50 | EL ahead |
| 2026-09-21 | 85.87 | 107.00 | -0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-18 | 87.07 | 103.76 | -0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-17 | 87.33 | 104.24 | -0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-16 | 86.62 | 106.18 | -0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-15 | 86.60 | 106.90 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-14 | 87.49 | 109.08 | -0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-11 | 86.40 | 107.86 | -0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-10 | 87.50 | 107.14 | -0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-09 | 87.63 | 109.70 | -0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-08 | 88.01 | 112.94 | -0.50 | EL ahead |
| 2026-09-04 | 88.36 | 115.35 | -0.61 | EL ahead |
| 2026-09-03 | 89.68 | 112.02 | -0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-02 | 89.69 | 112.34 | -0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-01 | 89.22 | 111.06 | -0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-31 | 89.41 | 113.62 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-28 | 90.33 | 114.83 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-27 | 90.54 | 117.96 | -0.61 | EL ahead |
| 2026-08-26 | 91.64 | 116.68 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-25 | 90.91 | 116.45 | -0.50 | EL ahead |
| 2026-08-24 | 92.13 | 115.65 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-21 | 90.66 | 113.22 | -0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-20 | 89.29 | 106.79 | -0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-19 | 90.45 | 108.85 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-18 | 91.04 | 93.59 | +0.92 | CL ahead |
| 2026-08-17 | 89.80 | 93.67 | +0.83 | CL ahead |
| 2026-08-14 | 91.53 | 95.62 | +0.82 | CL ahead |
| 2026-08-13 | 92.50 | 96.98 | +0.81 | CL ahead |
| 2026-08-12 | 91.90 | 97.38 | +0.74 | CL ahead |
| 2026-08-11 | 91.89 | 97.49 | +0.74 | CL ahead |
| 2026-08-10 | 92.72 | 96.83 | +0.84 | CL ahead |
| 2026-08-07 | 92.84 | 98.12 | +0.77 | CL ahead |
| 2026-08-06 | 92.57 | 94.95 | +0.97 | CL ahead |
| 2026-08-05 | 92.85 | 96.58 | +0.89 | CL ahead |
| 2026-08-04 | 92.11 | 96.59 | +0.84 | CL ahead |
| 2026-08-03 | 89.47 | 94.05 | +0.83 | CL ahead |
| 2026-07-31 | 90.88 | 93.18 | +1.00 | CL ahead |
| 2026-07-30 | 91.18 | 94.27 | +0.95 | CL ahead |
| 2026-07-29 | 93.06 | 93.44 | +1.15 | CL ahead |
| 2026-07-28 | 92.31 | 94.12 | +1.05 | CL ahead |
| 2026-07-27 | 91.56 | 92.40 | +1.12 | CL ahead |
| 2026-07-24 | 90.33 | 89.17 | +1.28 | CL ahead |
| 2026-07-23 | 89.67 | 88.76 | +1.27 | CL ahead |
| 2026-07-22 | 91.21 | 91.77 | +1.16 | CL ahead |
| 2026-07-21 | 90.09 | 91.48 | +1.10 | CL ahead |
| 2026-07-20 | 91.51 | 92.89 | +1.11 | CL ahead |
| 2026-07-17 | 92.55 | 91.22 | +1.32 | CL ahead |
| 2026-07-16 | 93.64 | 92.00 | +1.34 | CL ahead |
| 2026-07-15 | 91.05 | 91.41 | +1.20 | CL ahead |
| 2026-07-14 | 90.61 | 89.80 | +1.30 | CL ahead |
| 2026-07-13 | 92.78 | 90.13 | +1.45 | CL ahead |
| 2026-07-10 | 91.82 | 91.80 | +1.25 | CL ahead |
| 2026-07-09 | 90.59 | 91.06 | +1.22 | CL ahead |
| 2026-07-08 | 92.61 | 90.85 | +1.39 | CL ahead |
| 2026-07-07 | 94.59 | 93.78 | +1.32 | CL ahead |
| 2026-07-06 | 92.96 | 94.29 | +1.17 | CL ahead |
| 2026-07-02 | 94.69 | 92.97 | +1.39 | CL ahead |
| 2026-07-01 | 92.34 | 91.59 | +1.32 | CL ahead |
| 2026-06-30 | 91.26 | 87.68 | +1.55 | CL ahead |
| 2026-06-29 | 91.98 | 88.15 | +1.57 | CL ahead |
| 2026-06-26 | 91.65 | 89.45 | +1.44 | CL ahead |
| 2026-06-25 | 90.64 | 90.52 | +1.28 | CL ahead |
| 2026-06-24 | 91.46 | 92.48 | +1.20 | CL ahead |
| 2026-06-23 | 91.01 | 93.03 | +1.12 | CL ahead |
| 2026-06-22 | 88.26 | 93.88 | +0.84 | CL ahead |
| 2026-06-18 | 89.07 | 94.19 | +0.87 | CL ahead |
| 2026-06-17 | 90.17 | 91.58 | +1.14 | CL ahead |
| 2026-06-16 | 90.24 | 97.27 | +0.72 | CL ahead |
| 2026-06-15 | 90.17 | 99.96 | +0.52 | CL ahead |
| 2026-06-12 | 89.04 | 99.60 | +0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-11 | 88.98 | 97.76 | +0.55 | CL ahead |
| 2026-06-10 | 89.54 | 94.84 | +0.78 | CL ahead |
| 2026-06-09 | 87.40 | 96.14 | +0.52 | CL ahead |
| 2026-06-08 | 85.68 | 94.00 | +0.53 | CL ahead |
| 2026-06-05 | 88.17 | 92.73 | +0.78 | CL ahead |
| 2026-06-04 | 84.71 | 92.07 | +0.56 | CL ahead |
| 2026-06-03 | 84.48 | 91.13 | +0.60 | CL ahead |
| 2026-06-02 | 87.87 | 92.64 | +0.73 | CL ahead |
| 2026-06-01 | 88.03 | 95.05 | +0.57 | CL ahead |
| 2026-05-29 | 89.72 | 98.79 | +0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-28 | 91.24 | 100.92 | +0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-27 | 90.87 | 101.29 | +0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-26 | 89.44 | 96.18 | +0.54 | CL ahead |
| 2026-05-22 | 90.20 | 98.09 | +0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-21 | 90.03 | 87.64 | +1.08 | CL ahead |
| 2026-05-20 | 89.94 | 86.85 | +1.12 | CL ahead |
| 2026-05-19 | 89.61 | 84.56 | +1.23 | CL ahead |
| 2026-05-18 | 89.51 | 88.86 | +0.94 | CL ahead |
| 2026-05-15 | 87.73 | 89.16 | +0.80 | CL ahead |
| 2026-05-14 | 88.43 | 89.77 | +0.79 | CL ahead |
| 2026-05-13 | 87.47 | 91.22 | +0.64 | CL ahead |
| 2026-05-12 | 87.04 | 94.28 | +0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-11 | 86.34 | 91.90 | +0.50 | CL ahead |
| 2026-05-08 | 87.15 | 95.74 | +0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-07 | 86.96 | 94.72 | +0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-06 | 87.76 | 96.26 | +0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-05 | 85.93 | 92.01 | +0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-04 | 84.98 | 90.33 | +0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-01 | 86.86 | 88.07 | +0.66 | CL ahead |
| 2026-04-30 | 84.97 | 85.20 | +0.70 | CL ahead |
| 2026-04-29 | 84.10 | 84.06 | +0.70 | CL ahead |
| 2026-04-28 | 85.28 | 85.63 | +0.67 | CL ahead |
| 2026-04-27 | 83.78 | 85.87 | +0.56 | CL ahead |
| 2026-04-24 | 84.26 | 86.43 | +0.54 | CL ahead |
| 2026-04-23 | 83.34 | 84.85 | +0.56 | CL ahead |
| 2026-04-22 | 81.97 | 85.14 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-21 | 81.44 | 84.25 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-20 | 83.15 | 86.46 | +0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-17 | 85.42 | 84.63 | +0.61 | CL ahead |
| 2026-04-16 | 83.24 | 83.67 | +0.54 | CL ahead |
| 2026-04-15 | 83.11 | 85.07 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-14 | 83.77 | 84.87 | +0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-13 | 83.60 | 82.80 | +0.56 | CL ahead |
| 2026-04-10 | 83.95 | 80.71 | +0.68 | CL ahead |
| 2026-04-09 | 85.65 | 81.40 | +0.71 | CL ahead |
| 2026-04-08 | 85.16 | 79.34 | +0.78 | CL ahead |
| 2026-04-07 | 82.75 | 76.82 | +0.78 | CL ahead |
| 2026-04-06 | 84.14 | 78.75 | +0.75 | CL ahead |
| 2026-04-02 | 84.75 | 76.77 | +0.88 | CL ahead |
| 2026-04-01 | 85.02 | 78.53 | +0.79 | CL ahead |
| 2026-03-31 | 84.84 | 79.71 | +0.72 | CL ahead |
| 2026-03-30 | 85.34 | 75.50 | +0.96 | CL ahead |
| 2026-03-27 | 83.90 | 74.67 | +0.93 | CL ahead |
| 2026-03-26 | 83.75 | 77.47 | +0.77 | CL ahead |
| 2026-03-25 | 85.10 | 81.20 | +0.64 | CL ahead |
| 2026-03-24 | 84.14 | 79.39 | +0.68 | CL ahead |
| 2026-03-23 | 84.76 | 88.06 | +0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-20 | 84.73 | 95.42 | -0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-19 | 85.11 | 95.07 | -0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-18 | 87.12 | 95.54 | +0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-17 | 89.53 | 98.75 | +0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-16 | 89.89 | 98.58 | +0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-13 | 88.43 | 97.60 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-12 | 87.55 | 93.61 | +0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-11 | 89.20 | 101.67 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-10 | 92.07 | 104.70 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-09 | 92.57 | 102.88 | -0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-06 | 93.13 | 102.98 | +0.00 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-05 | 92.25 | 106.47 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-04 | 94.84 | 110.18 | -0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-03 | 95.07 | 109.63 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-02 | 96.85 | 111.27 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-27 | 98.69 | 121.58 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-26 | 97.10 | 124.28 | -0.60 | EL ahead |
| 2026-02-25 | 96.23 | 125.41 | -0.67 | EL ahead |
| 2026-02-24 | 97.66 | 128.04 | -0.70 | EL ahead |
| 2026-02-23 | 96.66 | 125.52 | -0.67 | EL ahead |
| 2026-02-20 | 94.65 | 126.87 | -0.80 | EL ahead |
| 2026-02-19 | 93.55 | 124.10 | -0.76 | EL ahead |
| 2026-02-18 | 95.14 | 123.94 | -0.70 | EL ahead |
| 2026-02-17 | 95.21 | 124.54 | -0.72 | EL ahead |
| 2026-02-13 | 96.23 | 120.21 | -0.55 | EL ahead |
| 2026-02-12 | 95.73 | 118.19 | -0.51 | EL ahead |
| 2026-02-11 | 94.87 | 117.05 | -0.51 | EL ahead |
| 2026-02-10 | 93.50 | 112.52 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-09 | 93.73 | 109.96 | -0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-06 | 93.98 | 110.47 | -0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-05 | 94.45 | 107.35 | -0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-04 | 93.94 | 132.84 | -1.06 | EL ahead |
| 2026-02-03 | 92.72 | 129.13 | -1.00 | EL ahead |
| 2026-02-02 | 91.47 | 131.90 | -1.14 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-30 | 89.88 | 128.03 | -1.10 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-29 | 84.85 | 127.95 | -1.34 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-28 | 84.61 | 127.30 | -1.34 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-27 | 85.37 | 129.32 | -1.37 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-26 | 84.81 | 129.26 | -1.41 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-23 | 86.26 | 130.71 | -1.40 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-22 | 85.42 | 132.71 | -1.51 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-21 | 84.34 | 130.91 | -1.52 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-20 | 85.05 | 127.12 | -1.38 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-16 | 84.13 | 127.78 | -1.46 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-15 | 83.95 | 128.44 | -1.50 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-14 | 84.16 | 129.84 | -1.55 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-13 | 82.58 | 128.13 | -1.59 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-12 | 81.55 | 125.52 | -1.57 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-09 | 81.11 | 126.31 | -1.64 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-08 | 80.50 | 122.47 | -1.55 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-07 | 76.74 | 116.91 | -1.58 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-06 | 76.85 | 120.56 | -1.71 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-05 | 76.58 | 120.12 | -1.73 | EL ahead |
| 2026-01-02 | 77.33 | 118.57 | -1.65 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-31 | 78.66 | 116.30 | -1.51 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-30 | 79.15 | 117.55 | -1.55 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-29 | 79.33 | 118.50 | -1.59 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-26 | 79.36 | 119.56 | -1.64 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-24 | 79.88 | 119.37 | -1.62 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-23 | 79.56 | 119.55 | -1.66 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-22 | 78.68 | 120.67 | -1.77 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-19 | 78.00 | 119.95 | -1.80 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-18 | 77.37 | 119.88 | -1.85 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-17 | 79.36 | 116.95 | -1.65 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-16 | 78.59 | 115.94 | -1.67 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-15 | 79.07 | 112.21 | -1.51 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-12 | 77.98 | 115.62 | -1.72 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-11 | 76.90 | 117.24 | -1.87 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-10 | 77.40 | 119.15 | -1.94 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-09 | 76.63 | 113.99 | -1.80 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-08 | 75.76 | 114.15 | -1.88 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-05 | 77.71 | 116.76 | -1.89 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-04 | 77.24 | 115.30 | -1.88 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-03 | 77.84 | 113.32 | -1.78 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-02 | 78.46 | 110.66 | -1.65 | EL ahead |
| 2025-12-01 | 79.57 | 105.19 | -1.36 | EL ahead |
| 2025-11-28 | 80.02 | 104.48 | -1.31 | EL ahead |
| 2025-11-26 | 79.67 | 104.06 | -1.32 | EL ahead |
| 2025-11-25 | 79.45 | 102.11 | -1.26 | EL ahead |
| 2025-11-24 | 78.82 | 103.72 | -1.38 | EL ahead |
| 2025-11-21 | 80.56 | 99.84 | -1.11 | EL ahead |
| 2025-11-20 | 78.50 | 96.19 | -1.06 | EL ahead |
| 2025-11-19 | 78.11 | 95.41 | -1.05 | EL ahead |
| 2025-11-18 | 78.97 | 97.80 | -1.13 | EL ahead |
| 2025-11-17 | 78.45 | 95.61 | -1.06 | EL ahead |
| 2025-11-14 | 77.69 | 97.93 | -1.23 | EL ahead |
| 2025-11-13 | 78.43 | 99.87 | -1.29 | EL ahead |
| 2025-11-12 | 78.20 | 102.19 | -1.42 | EL ahead |
| 2025-11-11 | 79.11 | 100.89 | -1.32 | EL ahead |
| 2025-11-10 | 78.11 | 99.54 | -1.33 | EL ahead |
| 2025-11-07 | 78.40 | 97.46 | -1.22 | EL ahead |
| 2025-11-06 | 76.92 | 97.49 | -1.32 | EL ahead |
| 2025-11-05 | 76.56 | 101.17 | -1.54 | EL ahead |
| 2025-11-04 | 76.20 | 103.15 | -1.67 | EL ahead |
| 2025-11-03 | 74.64 | 103.57 | -1.80 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-31 | 76.70 | 107.39 | -1.87 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-30 | 76.16 | 108.41 | -1.97 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-29 | 75.38 | 108.13 | -2.03 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-28 | 76.79 | 109.68 | -2.03 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-27 | 77.47 | 111.57 | -2.10 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-24 | 77.64 | 113.46 | -2.20 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-23 | 78.08 | 110.50 | -2.06 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-22 | 79.49 | 109.54 | -1.94 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-21 | 78.26 | 109.44 | -2.04 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-20 | 78.39 | 113.86 | -2.27 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-17 | 78.76 | 111.93 | -2.18 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-16 | 77.72 | 107.51 | -2.06 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-15 | 77.27 | 105.81 | -2.02 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-14 | 78.04 | 105.51 | -1.97 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-13 | 76.63 | 103.00 | -1.96 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-10 | 77.60 | 97.35 | -1.60 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-09 | 77.45 | 104.36 | -2.01 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-08 | 77.64 | 106.35 | -2.12 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-07 | 78.75 | 102.93 | -1.87 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-06 | 77.10 | 98.47 | -1.76 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-03 | 77.64 | 97.76 | -1.69 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-02 | 77.95 | 98.59 | -1.73 | EL ahead |
| 2025-10-01 | 78.65 | 95.74 | -1.52 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-30 | 79.57 | 97.87 | -1.58 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-29 | 80.03 | 98.99 | -1.63 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-26 | 79.23 | 96.25 | -1.54 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-25 | 79.34 | 93.28 | -1.36 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-24 | 80.76 | 94.77 | -1.36 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-23 | 79.78 | 97.42 | -1.60 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-22 | 79.00 | 96.92 | -1.64 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-19 | 80.80 | 97.51 | -1.56 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-18 | 81.16 | 97.73 | -1.56 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-17 | 81.84 | 97.92 | -1.54 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-16 | 81.11 | 98.31 | -1.63 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-15 | 81.75 | 97.07 | -1.52 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-12 | 82.90 | 92.90 | -1.18 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-11 | 83.68 | 96.41 | -1.36 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-10 | 82.82 | 97.10 | -1.48 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-09 | 83.89 | 98.51 | -1.50 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-08 | 83.80 | 98.68 | -1.53 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-05 | 84.74 | 99.07 | -1.50 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-04 | 83.29 | 97.13 | -1.49 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-03 | 83.43 | 102.10 | -1.81 | EL ahead |
| 2025-09-02 | 84.00 | 100.83 | -1.70 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-29 | 83.69 | 101.88 | -1.81 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-28 | 83.04 | 101.92 | -1.87 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-27 | 84.06 | 102.85 | -1.87 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-26 | 83.75 | 99.76 | -1.71 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-25 | 83.68 | 98.49 | -1.65 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-22 | 85.55 | 101.32 | -1.70 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-21 | 85.88 | 97.42 | -1.43 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-20 | 85.66 | 96.15 | -1.37 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-19 | 85.46 | 99.81 | -1.64 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-18 | 83.87 | 100.78 | -1.84 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-15 | 84.68 | 101.03 | -1.80 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-14 | 84.26 | 99.40 | -1.74 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-13 | 85.94 | 105.80 | -2.05 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-12 | 84.58 | 101.84 | -1.92 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-11 | 84.06 | 99.00 | -1.78 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-08 | 84.30 | 100.72 | -1.90 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-07 | 84.32 | 101.31 | -1.95 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-06 | 84.22 | 100.12 | -1.89 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-05 | 82.68 | 100.98 | -2.09 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-04 | 82.98 | 102.73 | -2.20 | EL ahead |
| 2025-08-01 | 83.13 | 101.11 | -2.09 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-31 | 83.47 | 103.67 | -2.25 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-30 | 85.41 | 104.02 | -2.13 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-29 | 86.46 | 101.51 | -1.87 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-28 | 86.07 | 102.75 | -1.99 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-25 | 87.53 | 100.40 | -1.71 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-24 | 88.04 | 96.37 | -1.37 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-23 | 88.38 | 99.60 | -1.58 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-22 | 88.29 | 98.84 | -1.53 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-21 | 86.24 | 95.56 | -1.46 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-18 | 86.44 | 96.86 | -1.53 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-17 | 86.84 | 96.14 | -1.44 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-16 | 87.26 | 95.96 | -1.39 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-15 | 87.75 | 95.62 | -1.32 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-14 | 88.44 | 99.50 | -1.54 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-11 | 89.17 | 101.16 | -1.59 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-10 | 90.21 | 102.29 | -1.58 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-09 | 91.16 | 96.19 | -1.07 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-08 | 91.72 | 95.02 | -0.93 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-07 | 92.90 | 95.28 | -0.85 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-03 | 92.36 | 98.53 | -1.11 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-02 | 91.98 | 98.38 | -1.12 | EL ahead |
| 2025-07-01 | 91.62 | 94.52 | -0.86 | EL ahead |
| 2025-06-30 | 90.48 | 89.74 | -0.59 | EL ahead |
| 2025-06-27 | 88.30 | 88.95 | -0.68 | EL ahead |
| 2025-06-26 | 87.39 | 87.77 | -0.64 | EL ahead |
| 2025-06-25 | 87.40 | 86.14 | -0.51 | EL ahead |
| 2025-06-24 | 87.78 | 85.57 | -0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-23 | 88.26 | 87.55 | -0.53 | EL ahead |
| 2025-06-20 | 87.38 | 83.51 | -0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-18 | 87.79 | 82.99 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-17 | 88.22 | 83.06 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-16 | 89.70 | 82.84 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-13 | 89.85 | 74.76 | +0.59 | CL ahead |
| 2025-06-12 | 92.71 | 77.73 | +0.55 | CL ahead |
| 2025-06-11 | 91.69 | 77.59 | +0.51 | CL ahead |
| 2025-06-10 | 91.52 | 78.25 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-09 | 90.45 | 76.63 | +0.51 | CL ahead |
| 2025-06-06 | 89.83 | 76.03 | +0.52 | CL ahead |
| 2025-06-05 | 89.74 | 74.91 | +0.60 | CL ahead |
| 2025-06-04 | 89.79 | 76.44 | +0.50 | CL ahead |
| 2025-06-03 | 90.21 | 76.55 | +0.52 | CL ahead |
| 2025-06-02 | 91.51 | 74.02 | +0.79 | CL ahead |
| 2025-05-30 | 92.51 | 74.34 | +0.82 | CL ahead |
| 2025-05-29 | 91.88 | 76.27 | +0.66 | CL ahead |
| 2025-05-28 | 91.34 | 73.60 | +0.82 | CL ahead |
| 2025-05-27 | 92.01 | 74.48 | +0.80 | CL ahead |
| 2025-05-23 | 92.17 | 70.74 | +1.07 | CL ahead |
| 2025-05-22 | 90.48 | 71.55 | +0.93 | CL ahead |
| 2025-05-21 | 91.25 | 70.70 | +1.03 | CL ahead |
| 2025-05-20 | 91.57 | 73.39 | +0.87 | CL ahead |
| 2025-05-19 | 91.32 | 72.58 | +0.91 | CL ahead |
| 2025-05-16 | 90.81 | 72.38 | +0.90 | CL ahead |
| 2025-05-15 | 89.22 | 70.71 | +0.93 | CL ahead |
| 2025-05-14 | 87.17 | 71.20 | +0.80 | CL ahead |
| 2025-05-13 | 87.48 | 72.72 | +0.72 | CL ahead |
| 2025-05-12 | 88.73 | 72.59 | +0.80 | CL ahead |
| 2025-05-09 | 89.40 | 67.74 | +1.16 | CL ahead |
| 2025-05-08 | 90.41 | 68.01 | +1.20 | CL ahead |
| 2025-05-07 | 90.46 | 65.82 | +1.36 | CL ahead |
| 2025-05-06 | 90.58 | 65.00 | +1.42 | CL ahead |
| 2025-05-05 | 90.32 | 64.08 | +1.48 | CL ahead |
| 2025-05-02 | 90.07 | 65.96 | +1.34 | CL ahead |
| 2025-05-01 | 90.27 | 65.40 | +1.39 | CL ahead |
| 2025-04-30 | 91.77 | 66.59 | +1.39 | CL ahead |
| 2025-04-29 | 91.91 | 66.18 | +1.42 | CL ahead |
| 2025-04-28 | 90.54 | 65.68 | +1.40 | CL ahead |
| 2025-04-25 | 93.48 | 65.96 | +1.52 | CL ahead |
| 2025-04-24 | 92.28 | 65.14 | +1.52 | CL ahead |
| 2025-04-23 | 93.46 | 63.59 | +1.68 | CL ahead |
| 2025-04-22 | 95.37 | 62.13 | +1.86 | CL ahead |
| 2025-04-21 | 94.27 | 60.41 | +1.94 | CL ahead |
| 2025-04-17 | 95.06 | 60.50 | +1.99 | CL ahead |
| 2025-04-16 | 93.06 | 58.49 | +2.05 | CL ahead |
| 2025-04-15 | 93.83 | 60.43 | +1.96 | CL ahead |
| 2025-04-14 | 94.55 | 61.74 | +1.91 | CL ahead |
| 2025-04-11 | 93.57 | 61.34 | +1.91 | CL ahead |
| 2025-04-10 | 91.38 | 59.20 | +1.97 | CL ahead |
| 2025-04-09 | 89.82 | 62.37 | +1.69 | CL ahead |
| 2025-04-08 | 88.19 | 55.60 | +2.10 | CL ahead |
| 2025-04-07 | 88.78 | 58.81 | +1.91 | CL ahead |
| 2025-04-04 | 91.24 | 58.78 | +2.03 | CL ahead |
| 2025-04-03 | 95.56 | 64.63 | +1.85 | CL ahead |
| 2025-04-02 | 93.12 | 76.37 | +1.08 | CL ahead |
| 2025-04-01 | 93.47 | 75.38 | +1.15 | CL ahead |
| 2025-03-31 | 93.27 | 73.30 | +1.26 | CL ahead |
| 2025-03-28 | 92.39 | 72.66 | +1.27 | CL ahead |
| 2025-03-27 | 92.76 | 74.36 | +1.20 | CL ahead |
| 2025-03-26 | 91.61 | 73.18 | +1.22 | CL ahead |
| 2025-03-25 | 89.18 | 73.39 | +1.11 | CL ahead |
| 2025-03-24 | 90.48 | 74.91 | +1.10 | CL ahead |
| 2025-03-21 | 89.89 | 74.36 | +1.10 | CL ahead |
| 2025-03-20 | 89.87 | 75.54 | +1.05 | CL ahead |
| 2025-03-19 | 90.03 | 75.08 | +1.09 | CL ahead |
| 2025-03-18 | 89.08 | 75.57 | +1.03 | CL ahead |
| 2025-03-17 | 90.29 | 76.51 | +1.04 | CL ahead |
| 2025-03-14 | 89.41 | 73.88 | +1.14 | CL ahead |
| 2025-03-13 | 90.11 | 72.03 | +1.27 | CL ahead |
| 2025-03-12 | 90.40 | 73.79 | +1.20 | CL ahead |
| 2025-03-11 | 93.67 | 77.30 | +1.16 | CL ahead |
| 2025-03-10 | 97.05 | 80.01 | +1.17 | CL ahead |
| 2025-03-07 | 96.30 | 81.42 | +1.09 | CL ahead |
| 2025-03-06 | 92.86 | 79.45 | +1.05 | CL ahead |
| 2025-03-05 | 91.33 | 79.86 | +0.98 | CL ahead |
| 2025-03-04 | 90.64 | 75.62 | +1.16 | CL ahead |
| 2025-03-03 | 92.39 | 77.94 | +1.12 | CL ahead |
| 2025-02-28 | 90.75 | 79.86 | +0.98 | CL ahead |
| 2025-02-27 | 89.79 | 81.04 | +0.90 | CL ahead |
| 2025-02-26 | 89.76 | 81.39 | +0.89 | CL ahead |
| 2025-02-25 | 91.87 | 83.05 | +0.91 | CL ahead |
| 2025-02-24 | 89.70 | 83.41 | +0.81 | CL ahead |
| 2025-02-21 | 89.06 | 79.74 | +0.95 | CL ahead |
| 2025-02-20 | 87.47 | 79.23 | +0.92 | CL ahead |
| 2025-02-19 | 87.02 | 79.30 | +0.90 | CL ahead |
| 2025-02-18 | 85.99 | 80.18 | +0.83 | CL ahead |
| 2025-02-14 | 85.65 | 76.29 | +0.99 | CL ahead |
| 2025-02-13 | 87.35 | 77.38 | +1.02 | CL ahead |
| 2025-02-12 | 86.33 | 76.67 | +1.02 | CL ahead |
| 2025-02-11 | 86.97 | 78.53 | +0.97 | CL ahead |
| 2025-02-10 | 85.57 | 76.31 | +1.02 | CL ahead |
| 2025-02-07 | 86.36 | 72.22 | +1.25 | CL ahead |
| 2025-02-06 | 85.29 | 71.37 | +1.25 | CL ahead |
| 2025-02-05 | 86.22 | 73.23 | +1.21 | CL ahead |
| 2025-02-04 | 86.10 | 77.15 | +1.04 | CL ahead |
| 2025-02-03 | 86.63 | 91.93 | +0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-31 | 86.30 | 92.66 | +0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-30 | 90.47 | 94.94 | +0.53 | CL ahead |
| 2025-01-29 | 89.16 | 91.38 | +0.61 | CL ahead |
| 2025-01-28 | 89.45 | 92.15 | +0.60 | CL ahead |
| 2025-01-27 | 90.79 | 92.80 | +0.63 | CL ahead |
| 2025-01-24 | 87.48 | 91.60 | +0.56 | CL ahead |
| 2025-01-23 | 87.51 | 88.97 | +0.66 | CL ahead |
| 2025-01-22 | 87.15 | 88.52 | +0.67 | CL ahead |
| 2025-01-21 | 87.83 | 87.54 | +0.74 | CL ahead |
| 2025-01-17 | 88.28 | 86.47 | +0.80 | CL ahead |
| 2025-01-16 | 88.15 | 86.71 | +0.80 | CL ahead |
| 2025-01-15 | 87.46 | 82.76 | +0.93 | CL ahead |
| 2025-01-14 | 87.27 | 82.04 | +0.96 | CL ahead |
| 2025-01-13 | 86.70 | 83.30 | +0.89 | CL ahead |
| 2025-01-10 | 85.96 | 81.57 | +0.94 | CL ahead |
| 2025-01-08 | 87.06 | 81.81 | +0.98 | CL ahead |
| 2025-01-07 | 86.99 | 82.37 | +0.96 | CL ahead |
| 2025-01-06 | 87.14 | 81.71 | +1.00 | CL ahead |
| 2025-01-03 | 89.74 | 80.14 | +1.17 | CL ahead |
| 2025-01-02 | 90.14 | 82.16 | +1.11 | CL ahead |
| 2024-12-31 | 90.49 | 83.27 | +1.09 | CL ahead |
| 2024-12-30 | 90.37 | 82.40 | +1.13 | CL ahead |
| 2024-12-27 | 91.39 | 82.87 | +1.15 | CL ahead |
| 2024-12-26 | 91.95 | 83.30 | +1.17 | CL ahead |
| 2024-12-24 | 91.97 | 83.39 | +1.17 | CL ahead |
| 2024-12-23 | 91.49 | 83.02 | +1.18 | CL ahead |
| 2024-12-20 | 91.61 | 82.59 | +1.21 | CL ahead |
| 2024-12-19 | 92.49 | 82.96 | +1.23 | CL ahead |
| 2024-12-18 | 92.33 | 83.25 | +1.22 | CL ahead |
| 2024-12-17 | 93.06 | 86.83 | +1.12 | CL ahead |
| 2024-12-16 | 92.49 | 88.37 | +1.06 | CL ahead |
| 2024-12-13 | 93.01 | 88.89 | +1.06 | CL ahead |
| 2024-12-12 | 93.13 | 89.98 | +1.04 | CL ahead |
| 2024-12-11 | 92.34 | 90.20 | +1.01 | CL ahead |
| 2024-12-10 | 93.46 | 91.71 | +1.00 | CL ahead |
| 2024-12-09 | 92.51 | 90.72 | +1.01 | CL ahead |
| 2024-12-06 | 93.80 | 88.09 | +1.16 | CL ahead |
| 2024-12-05 | 94.66 | 86.82 | +1.24 | CL ahead |
| 2024-12-04 | 94.38 | 88.06 | +1.20 | CL ahead |
| 2024-12-03 | 94.18 | 86.05 | +1.28 | CL ahead |
| 2024-12-02 | 96.67 | 84.38 | +1.43 | CL ahead |
| 2024-11-29 | 96.19 | 80.10 | +1.60 | CL ahead |
| 2024-11-27 | 96.32 | 82.14 | +1.54 | CL ahead |
| 2024-11-26 | 96.14 | 81.27 | +1.58 | CL ahead |
| 2024-11-25 | 94.90 | 81.04 | +1.56 | CL ahead |
| 2024-11-22 | 94.49 | 77.67 | +1.70 | CL ahead |
| 2024-11-21 | 93.82 | 74.23 | +1.85 | CL ahead |
| 2024-11-20 | 93.48 | 72.56 | +1.93 | CL ahead |
| 2024-11-19 | 93.18 | 71.96 | +1.97 | CL ahead |
| 2024-11-18 | 94.19 | 71.71 | +2.04 | CL ahead |
| 2024-11-15 | 93.13 | 70.80 | +2.07 | CL ahead |
| 2024-11-14 | 91.03 | 72.00 | +1.97 | CL ahead |
| 2024-11-13 | 90.65 | 69.81 | +2.08 | CL ahead |
| 2024-11-12 | 91.08 | 69.68 | +2.13 | CL ahead |
| 2024-11-11 | 91.54 | 71.73 | +2.08 | CL ahead |
| 2024-11-08 | 92.15 | 70.97 | +2.17 | CL ahead |
| 2024-11-07 | 90.35 | 73.65 | +1.99 | CL ahead |
| 2024-11-06 | 89.81 | 70.28 | +2.17 | CL ahead |
| 2024-11-05 | 93.83 | 73.15 | +2.21 | CL ahead |
| 2024-11-04 | 93.18 | 73.80 | +2.18 | CL ahead |
| 2024-11-01 | 92.90 | 73.94 | +2.20 | CL ahead |
| 2024-10-31 | 93.28 | 76.57 | +2.11 | CL ahead |
| 2024-10-30 | 94.23 | 96.79 | +1.30 | CL ahead |
| 2024-10-29 | 94.29 | 98.57 | +1.25 | CL ahead |
| 2024-10-28 | 95.30 | 98.53 | +1.30 | CL ahead |
| 2024-10-25 | 95.17 | 96.90 | +1.37 | CL ahead |
| 2024-10-24 | 99.28 | 98.43 | +1.48 | CL ahead |
| 2024-10-23 | 98.53 | 97.50 | +1.50 | CL ahead |
| 2024-10-22 | 99.21 | 97.28 | +1.55 | CL ahead |
| 2024-10-21 | 98.91 | 99.13 | +1.48 | CL ahead |
| 2024-10-18 | 100.00 | 100.00 | +1.50 | CL ahead |
One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Oct 31, 2024 (CL -1.0%, EL -20.9%); Feb 4, 2025 (CL -0.6%, EL -16.1%); Apr 3, 2025 (CL +2.6%, EL -15.4%); Feb 5, 2026 (CL +0.5%, EL -19.2%); Aug 19, 2026 (CL -0.7%, EL +16.3%). Upcoming earnings: CL Oct 30, 2026 (pre-market); EL Nov 2, 2026 (pre-market).
Paired trades
The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart
Forward paper record
No paper position on this pair yet.
Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)
No simulated trade through Oct 20, 2026: the pair rarely passed every test while 2 standard deviations apart.
Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.
The companies
CL and EL at a glance
CL Colgate-Palmolive Company
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 21665
- Industry
- Package Goods/Cosmetics · SIC 2844 Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations
- Market value
- $74.4B
- Price history
- 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
EL The Estee Lauder Companies Inc.
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 1001250
- Industry
- Package Goods/Cosmetics · SIC 2844 Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations
- Market value
- $38.3B
- Price history
- 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.
Related
All pairs →Other rivals of CL and EL
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Explore the private betaPaper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.
