Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. vs Yum! Brands Inc.
WatchlistCMG / YUMPrices through Oct 22, 2026
Why these are rivals: #2 and #3 by market value ($41B vs $38B) with SEC SIC 5812 (Retail-Eating Places).
Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.33 (needs >= 0.60)
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -2.79 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Business leadership
CMG is the larger business
Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.
| Year | CMG | YUM | Larger |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $11.9B | $8.2B | CMG |
| 2024 | $11.3B | $7.5B | CMG |
| 2023 | $9.9B | $7.1B | CMG |
| 2022 | $8.6B | $6.8B | CMG |
| 2021 | $7.5B | $6.6B | CMG |
| 2020 | $6.0B | $5.7B | CMG |
Revenue lead switched: 2020 to CMG. Market value: CMG $37.8B, YUM $40.9B.
Stock leadership
YUM is ahead now
Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.
YUM leads CMG by 2.50 standard deviations: +23.9% over its usual price ratio. 4 lead switches in the last year.
| Price change | 3 mo | 6 mo | 12 mo |
|---|---|---|---|
| CMG | -11.5% | -17.0% | -33.6% |
| YUM | +3.7% | -3.9% | +4.0% |
Relationship
Not a measured twin today
Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.
- Pass
- Aligned sessions: 2521 (needs >= 254)
- Fail
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.33 (needs >= 0.60)
- Fail
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -2.79 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
- Pass
- Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 12.30 (needs <= 63)
- Data
- Both stocks current
The twins over two years
Prices side by side, and the gap between them
CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. YUM Yum! Brands Inc.Price index, 100 = 2024-10-18. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).
Spread z-score: CMG relative to YUM, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: CMG ahead; below 0: YUM ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).
Data table (504 sessions)
| Date | CMG index | YUM index | z | Ahead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | 47.38 | 115.03 | -2.50 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-10-21 | 47.35 | 112.64 | -2.28 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-10-20 | 49.92 | 112.91 | -1.69 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-10-19 | 50.26 | 111.59 | -1.48 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-10-16 | 50.33 | 112.10 | -1.51 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-10-15 | 51.49 | 112.33 | -1.28 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-10-14 | 51.39 | 109.25 | -0.99 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-10-13 | 51.10 | 109.53 | -1.09 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-10-12 | 51.19 | 109.29 | -1.05 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-10-09 | 53.19 | 107.86 | -0.50 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-10-08 | 55.03 | 106.50 | -0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-07 | 51.81 | 104.53 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-06 | 52.03 | 104.15 | -0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-05 | 51.94 | 102.01 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-02 | 54.49 | 101.38 | +0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-01 | 54.42 | 101.80 | +0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-30 | 53.80 | 101.54 | +0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-29 | 53.68 | 102.58 | +0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-28 | 53.63 | 102.99 | +0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-25 | 52.75 | 103.25 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-24 | 53.90 | 102.29 | +0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-23 | 55.08 | 104.74 | +0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-22 | 54.94 | 104.05 | +0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-21 | 55.80 | 103.77 | +0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-18 | 56.29 | 102.77 | +0.50 | CMG ahead |
| 2026-09-17 | 56.42 | 101.10 | +0.68 | CMG ahead |
| 2026-09-16 | 56.71 | 102.75 | +0.56 | CMG ahead |
| 2026-09-15 | 58.65 | 104.84 | +0.69 | CMG ahead |
| 2026-09-14 | 62.35 | 108.98 | +0.91 | CMG ahead |
| 2026-09-11 | 60.95 | 104.92 | +1.06 | CMG ahead |
| 2026-09-10 | 60.84 | 107.16 | +0.83 | CMG ahead |
| 2026-09-09 | 60.67 | 108.11 | +0.71 | CMG ahead |
| 2026-09-08 | 62.23 | 111.35 | +0.66 | CMG ahead |
| 2026-09-04 | 62.23 | 112.24 | +0.57 | CMG ahead |
| 2026-09-03 | 63.26 | 113.61 | +0.60 | CMG ahead |
| 2026-09-02 | 64.86 | 112.66 | +0.91 | CMG ahead |
| 2026-09-01 | 63.16 | 113.23 | +0.60 | CMG ahead |
| 2026-08-31 | 64.03 | 114.18 | +0.64 | CMG ahead |
| 2026-08-28 | 64.03 | 114.59 | +0.59 | CMG ahead |
| 2026-08-27 | 62.67 | 112.27 | +0.57 | CMG ahead |
| 2026-08-26 | 62.87 | 115.00 | +0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-25 | 63.02 | 116.38 | +0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-24 | 64.02 | 117.19 | +0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-21 | 62.13 | 113.94 | +0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-20 | 59.42 | 113.45 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-19 | 58.36 | 108.68 | +0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-18 | 56.17 | 107.89 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-17 | 56.84 | 108.10 | -0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-14 | 56.41 | 110.31 | -0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-13 | 54.91 | 112.35 | -0.67 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-08-12 | 54.96 | 111.97 | -0.64 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-08-11 | 53.88 | 107.81 | -0.50 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-08-10 | 54.12 | 108.24 | -0.50 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-08-07 | 55.21 | 112.28 | -0.64 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-08-06 | 56.76 | 113.41 | -0.50 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-08-05 | 58.09 | 113.48 | -0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-04 | 56.95 | 109.99 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-03 | 63.07 | 110.82 | +0.51 | CMG ahead |
| 2026-07-31 | 62.67 | 114.16 | +0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-30 | 64.86 | 116.93 | +0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-29 | 57.65 | 113.15 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-28 | 56.42 | 111.92 | -0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-27 | 55.90 | 110.08 | -0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-24 | 53.53 | 110.91 | -0.82 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-07-23 | 53.90 | 109.76 | -0.69 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-07-22 | 54.22 | 109.91 | -0.66 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-07-21 | 56.10 | 109.61 | -0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-20 | 55.78 | 109.76 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-17 | 57.99 | 110.17 | -0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-16 | 57.59 | 113.28 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-15 | 58.31 | 113.63 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-14 | 61.34 | 117.81 | -0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-13 | 61.68 | 120.41 | -0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-10 | 59.35 | 121.80 | -0.76 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-07-09 | 58.26 | 120.94 | -0.83 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-07-08 | 56.29 | 123.07 | -1.16 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-07-07 | 57.84 | 124.74 | -1.08 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-07-06 | 57.22 | 123.62 | -1.09 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-07-02 | 59.59 | 122.69 | -0.80 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-07-01 | 58.93 | 120.35 | -0.76 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-06-30 | 57.25 | 119.06 | -0.87 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-06-29 | 55.51 | 117.85 | -0.99 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-06-26 | 56.14 | 116.49 | -0.87 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-06-25 | 54.35 | 112.56 | -0.86 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-06-24 | 53.36 | 113.96 | -1.04 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-06-23 | 52.11 | 112.91 | -1.12 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-06-22 | 51.42 | 112.27 | -1.17 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-06-18 | 54.71 | 113.20 | -0.88 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-06-17 | 53.65 | 114.75 | -1.07 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-06-16 | 54.91 | 117.43 | -1.07 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-06-15 | 55.11 | 115.19 | -0.95 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-06-12 | 54.27 | 114.93 | -1.03 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-06-11 | 52.62 | 114.15 | -1.17 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-06-10 | 51.22 | 112.52 | -1.24 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-06-09 | 50.31 | 112.93 | -1.37 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-06-08 | 49.28 | 109.76 | -1.33 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-06-05 | 49.40 | 112.36 | -1.46 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-06-04 | 47.45 | 110.29 | -1.58 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-06-03 | 48.39 | 110.55 | -1.50 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-06-02 | 49.27 | 109.17 | -1.35 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-06-01 | 51.44 | 109.86 | -1.16 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-05-29 | 53.65 | 110.19 | -0.96 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-05-28 | 54.59 | 111.74 | -0.95 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-05-27 | 55.04 | 113.22 | -0.99 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-05-26 | 54.40 | 114.70 | -1.12 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-05-22 | 55.38 | 115.55 | -1.08 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-05-21 | 55.23 | 114.93 | -1.07 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-05-20 | 55.50 | 113.73 | -1.00 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-05-19 | 55.63 | 113.35 | -0.98 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-05-18 | 56.83 | 113.44 | -0.88 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-05-15 | 54.98 | 111.69 | -0.97 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-05-14 | 54.03 | 112.18 | -1.09 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-05-13 | 54.07 | 111.54 | -1.07 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-05-12 | 55.01 | 113.85 | -1.09 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-05-11 | 53.75 | 111.93 | -1.13 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-05-08 | 54.71 | 113.17 | -1.11 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-05-07 | 56.02 | 117.11 | -1.17 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-05-06 | 55.13 | 116.20 | -1.22 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-05-05 | 54.40 | 114.61 | -1.23 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-05-04 | 53.85 | 114.99 | -1.31 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-05-01 | 55.53 | 117.94 | -1.29 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-04-30 | 57.23 | 118.90 | -1.19 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-04-29 | 55.55 | 119.04 | -1.36 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-04-28 | 55.35 | 116.53 | -1.28 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-04-27 | 56.64 | 115.57 | -1.13 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-04-24 | 57.60 | 119.37 | -1.22 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-04-23 | 57.08 | 119.71 | -1.29 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-04-22 | 59.12 | 118.46 | -1.06 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-04-21 | 60.70 | 119.42 | -0.98 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-04-20 | 60.33 | 120.52 | -1.06 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-04-17 | 60.33 | 121.24 | -1.10 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-04-16 | 59.07 | 118.81 | -1.12 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-04-15 | 59.35 | 120.61 | -1.18 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-04-14 | 58.80 | 120.33 | -1.22 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-04-13 | 58.24 | 120.23 | -1.28 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-04-10 | 57.40 | 120.47 | -1.37 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-04-09 | 57.65 | 119.75 | -1.33 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-04-08 | 56.90 | 119.48 | -1.40 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-04-07 | 55.67 | 116.88 | -1.41 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-04-06 | 56.41 | 117.20 | -1.37 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-04-02 | 55.83 | 116.25 | -1.39 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-04-01 | 54.94 | 114.47 | -1.41 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-03-31 | 53.90 | 115.80 | -1.58 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-03-30 | 52.47 | 115.13 | -1.71 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-03-27 | 51.96 | 114.66 | -1.76 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-03-26 | 54.17 | 116.29 | -1.63 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-03-25 | 54.72 | 118.54 | -1.70 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-03-24 | 55.16 | 118.74 | -1.68 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-03-23 | 56.17 | 118.08 | -1.57 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-03-20 | 56.19 | 116.49 | -1.51 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-03-19 | 55.46 | 116.37 | -1.59 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-03-18 | 54.96 | 118.49 | -1.75 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-03-17 | 57.94 | 121.91 | -1.64 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-03-16 | 57.38 | 120.49 | -1.64 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-03-13 | 54.76 | 119.46 | -1.87 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-03-12 | 54.82 | 118.02 | -1.82 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-03-11 | 57.00 | 116.63 | -1.55 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-03-10 | 58.46 | 118.57 | -1.52 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-03-09 | 59.42 | 119.05 | -1.46 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-03-06 | 59.56 | 119.16 | -1.47 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-03-05 | 62.40 | 118.14 | -1.16 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-03-04 | 61.81 | 118.41 | -1.24 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-03-03 | 62.18 | 119.52 | -1.27 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-03-02 | 61.78 | 121.34 | -1.41 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-02-27 | 62.67 | 125.24 | -1.52 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-02-26 | 64.07 | 123.42 | -1.32 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-02-25 | 63.14 | 123.06 | -1.40 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-02-24 | 61.44 | 123.59 | -1.59 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-02-23 | 61.64 | 123.97 | -1.61 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-02-20 | 63.21 | 121.64 | -1.37 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-02-19 | 63.93 | 121.75 | -1.32 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-02-18 | 65.20 | 121.33 | -1.19 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-02-17 | 63.78 | 120.05 | -1.27 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-02-13 | 61.12 | 119.59 | -1.50 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-02-12 | 60.35 | 121.61 | -1.68 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-02-11 | 62.67 | 118.46 | -1.32 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-02-10 | 64.72 | 118.31 | -1.14 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-02-09 | 66.66 | 118.34 | -0.98 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-02-06 | 66.32 | 121.35 | -1.16 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-02-05 | 64.74 | 119.97 | -1.23 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-02-04 | 67.23 | 118.84 | -0.97 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-02-03 | 65.95 | 118.22 | -1.06 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-02-02 | 64.84 | 116.31 | -1.07 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-01-30 | 65.45 | 115.81 | -1.00 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-01-29 | 65.84 | 115.80 | -0.97 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-01-28 | 65.94 | 114.60 | -0.91 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-01-27 | 66.76 | 114.70 | -0.85 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-01-26 | 66.88 | 113.82 | -0.81 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-01-23 | 68.82 | 113.93 | -0.67 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-01-22 | 68.26 | 114.34 | -0.74 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-01-21 | 68.56 | 115.00 | -0.75 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-01-20 | 65.67 | 114.10 | -0.94 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-01-16 | 67.28 | 119.36 | -1.05 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-01-15 | 67.96 | 119.94 | -1.03 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-01-14 | 68.34 | 117.03 | -0.88 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-01-13 | 66.36 | 116.45 | -1.01 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-01-12 | 67.92 | 116.87 | -0.92 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-01-09 | 67.54 | 115.83 | -0.91 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-01-08 | 65.97 | 114.31 | -0.97 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-01-07 | 65.45 | 112.08 | -0.91 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-01-06 | 65.03 | 112.77 | -0.98 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-01-05 | 64.40 | 111.93 | -1.00 | YUM ahead |
| 2026-01-02 | 63.13 | 112.08 | -1.11 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-12-31 | 62.30 | 112.67 | -1.21 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-12-30 | 62.37 | 113.34 | -1.24 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-12-29 | 62.54 | 113.41 | -1.24 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-12-26 | 63.66 | 114.13 | -1.19 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-12-24 | 63.82 | 114.93 | -1.22 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-12-23 | 63.63 | 115.09 | -1.25 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-12-22 | 63.85 | 115.64 | -1.26 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-12-19 | 63.38 | 114.51 | -1.26 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-12-18 | 63.36 | 115.22 | -1.30 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-12-17 | 62.30 | 114.05 | -1.34 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-12-16 | 60.04 | 112.48 | -1.45 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-12-15 | 60.52 | 114.56 | -1.51 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-12-12 | 60.85 | 112.50 | -1.41 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-12-11 | 58.71 | 110.32 | -1.50 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-12-10 | 57.15 | 107.16 | -1.50 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-12-09 | 56.79 | 106.53 | -1.51 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-12-08 | 56.59 | 106.15 | -1.52 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-12-05 | 57.15 | 107.96 | -1.57 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-12-04 | 57.50 | 108.63 | -1.58 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-12-03 | 57.13 | 110.61 | -1.71 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-12-02 | 57.48 | 109.94 | -1.67 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-12-01 | 57.65 | 112.19 | -1.77 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-11-28 | 58.12 | 114.11 | -1.82 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-11-26 | 57.30 | 114.55 | -1.93 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-11-25 | 56.24 | 114.69 | -2.04 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-11-24 | 52.52 | 112.52 | -2.31 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-11-21 | 53.26 | 113.93 | -2.33 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-11-20 | 51.10 | 111.13 | -2.44 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-11-19 | 52.20 | 110.46 | -2.35 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-11-18 | 51.79 | 110.84 | -2.43 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-11-17 | 51.41 | 110.25 | -2.48 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-11-14 | 53.16 | 110.99 | -2.38 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-11-13 | 52.84 | 111.51 | -2.47 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-11-12 | 52.74 | 111.25 | -2.51 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-11-11 | 50.19 | 112.27 | -2.86 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-11-10 | 51.32 | 110.42 | -2.71 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-11-07 | 51.51 | 111.06 | -2.77 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-11-06 | 51.46 | 109.94 | -2.77 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-11-05 | 53.83 | 111.26 | -2.64 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-11-04 | 53.44 | 111.38 | -2.73 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-11-03 | 53.06 | 103.81 | -2.42 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-10-31 | 53.36 | 102.93 | -2.38 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-10-30 | 54.77 | 103.57 | -2.30 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-10-29 | 66.95 | 103.66 | -1.19 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-10-28 | 67.79 | 105.08 | -1.20 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-10-27 | 69.14 | 106.49 | -1.18 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-10-24 | 69.36 | 106.77 | -1.18 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-10-23 | 70.38 | 109.01 | -1.23 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-10-22 | 70.06 | 109.76 | -1.30 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-10-21 | 71.33 | 110.62 | -1.26 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-10-20 | 70.10 | 110.34 | -1.35 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-10-17 | 70.48 | 108.18 | -1.22 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-10-16 | 70.31 | 106.78 | -1.17 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-10-15 | 70.33 | 107.63 | -1.22 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-10-14 | 70.89 | 107.23 | -1.17 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-10-13 | 68.87 | 104.62 | -1.20 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-10-10 | 67.05 | 105.47 | -1.41 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-10-09 | 68.85 | 106.27 | -1.31 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-10-08 | 69.00 | 108.76 | -1.44 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-10-07 | 68.95 | 109.27 | -1.49 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-10-06 | 70.10 | 110.81 | -1.48 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-10-03 | 70.31 | 112.23 | -1.55 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-10-02 | 67.81 | 112.72 | -1.81 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-10-01 | 65.62 | 114.09 | -2.09 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-09-30 | 65.99 | 113.20 | -2.04 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-09-29 | 67.18 | 114.65 | -2.03 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-09-26 | 67.49 | 113.73 | -1.98 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-09-25 | 66.22 | 112.02 | -2.03 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-09-24 | 66.59 | 111.31 | -1.98 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-09-23 | 66.81 | 111.30 | -1.98 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-09-22 | 67.57 | 111.17 | -1.93 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-09-19 | 66.21 | 108.48 | -1.93 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-09-18 | 67.03 | 108.19 | -1.85 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-09-17 | 66.80 | 110.42 | -2.03 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-09-16 | 66.17 | 110.23 | -2.10 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-09-15 | 64.96 | 110.90 | -2.28 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-09-12 | 65.04 | 111.34 | -2.33 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-09-11 | 65.60 | 111.07 | -2.30 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-09-10 | 65.18 | 108.75 | -2.24 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-09-09 | 66.44 | 108.57 | -2.13 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-09-08 | 66.76 | 110.22 | -2.23 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-09-05 | 69.14 | 107.68 | -1.87 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-09-04 | 69.73 | 107.00 | -1.79 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-09-03 | 70.37 | 107.66 | -1.79 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-09-02 | 70.30 | 108.32 | -1.86 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-08-29 | 70.95 | 109.46 | -1.89 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-08-28 | 71.41 | 108.34 | -1.80 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-08-27 | 71.81 | 108.24 | -1.77 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-08-26 | 71.59 | 109.50 | -1.89 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-08-25 | 71.98 | 109.40 | -1.87 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-08-22 | 73.48 | 110.13 | -1.79 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-08-21 | 72.25 | 110.23 | -1.94 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-08-20 | 72.52 | 111.22 | -2.00 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-08-19 | 72.82 | 113.21 | -2.12 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-08-18 | 73.04 | 111.22 | -2.00 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-08-15 | 74.15 | 110.36 | -1.85 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-08-14 | 72.69 | 109.31 | -1.95 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-08-13 | 73.21 | 107.83 | -1.82 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-08-12 | 72.12 | 105.82 | -1.81 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-08-11 | 70.08 | 105.21 | -2.00 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-08-08 | 69.78 | 105.22 | -2.06 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-08-07 | 71.88 | 106.17 | -1.93 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-08-06 | 71.88 | 105.27 | -1.89 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-08-05 | 71.78 | 103.90 | -1.82 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-08-04 | 72.20 | 109.48 | -2.20 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-08-01 | 71.59 | 108.26 | -2.21 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-07-31 | 72.20 | 107.36 | -2.11 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-07-30 | 73.68 | 109.47 | -2.13 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-07-29 | 74.73 | 108.13 | -1.94 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-07-28 | 75.53 | 107.46 | -1.83 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-07-25 | 78.73 | 109.26 | -1.64 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-07-24 | 77.02 | 108.61 | -1.79 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-07-23 | 88.87 | 110.07 | -0.75 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-07-22 | 88.20 | 110.62 | -0.85 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-07-21 | 88.33 | 108.37 | -0.68 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-07-18 | 90.81 | 110.94 | -0.65 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-07-17 | 90.15 | 110.29 | -0.67 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-07-16 | 89.88 | 108.84 | -0.59 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-07-15 | 90.84 | 107.99 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-14 | 92.31 | 109.61 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-11 | 94.29 | 111.56 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-10 | 94.98 | 113.47 | -0.50 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-07-09 | 94.19 | 112.35 | -0.50 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-07-08 | 93.37 | 112.11 | -0.56 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-07-07 | 93.38 | 111.98 | -0.55 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-07-03 | 96.09 | 111.72 | -0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-02 | 95.59 | 111.85 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-01 | 98.06 | 111.99 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-30 | 94.54 | 110.36 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-27 | 92.69 | 110.53 | -0.53 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-06-26 | 91.38 | 109.52 | -0.58 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-06-25 | 92.84 | 109.61 | -0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-24 | 92.02 | 106.28 | -0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-23 | 90.55 | 105.30 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-20 | 88.87 | 103.57 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-18 | 87.27 | 103.05 | -0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-17 | 86.51 | 104.26 | -0.65 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-06-16 | 88.47 | 105.71 | -0.59 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-06-13 | 84.59 | 107.25 | -1.05 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-06-12 | 85.69 | 107.22 | -0.96 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-06-11 | 87.20 | 106.81 | -0.80 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-06-10 | 85.23 | 107.19 | -1.01 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-06-09 | 86.09 | 106.61 | -0.90 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-06-06 | 88.40 | 107.86 | -0.79 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-06-05 | 88.57 | 106.41 | -0.68 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-06-04 | 87.83 | 107.25 | -0.81 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-06-03 | 84.31 | 107.22 | -1.13 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-06-02 | 83.92 | 107.72 | -1.20 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-05-30 | 84.32 | 107.20 | -1.14 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-05-29 | 83.73 | 107.28 | -1.21 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-05-28 | 84.31 | 106.61 | -1.12 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-05-27 | 85.86 | 107.31 | -1.04 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-05-23 | 85.25 | 108.33 | -1.17 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-05-22 | 85.50 | 108.36 | -1.16 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-05-21 | 85.52 | 109.06 | -1.22 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-05-20 | 86.66 | 110.99 | -1.26 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-05-19 | 88.01 | 111.45 | -1.19 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-05-16 | 88.10 | 110.28 | -1.11 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-05-15 | 87.62 | 109.52 | -1.11 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-05-14 | 87.96 | 108.11 | -0.99 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-05-13 | 85.28 | 108.53 | -1.26 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-05-12 | 85.47 | 109.33 | -1.31 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-05-09 | 83.72 | 109.58 | -1.50 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-05-08 | 86.63 | 110.21 | -1.29 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-05-07 | 86.95 | 111.33 | -1.35 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-05-06 | 84.80 | 110.43 | -1.50 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-05-05 | 84.21 | 109.17 | -1.48 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-05-02 | 86.82 | 111.07 | -1.39 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-05-01 | 84.73 | 110.67 | -1.56 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-04-30 | 85.06 | 112.04 | -1.64 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-04-29 | 85.28 | 109.99 | -1.49 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-04-28 | 85.70 | 110.04 | -1.47 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-04-25 | 87.19 | 109.70 | -1.32 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-04-24 | 83.41 | 109.91 | -1.70 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-04-23 | 82.10 | 108.86 | -1.77 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-04-22 | 79.31 | 108.03 | -2.01 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-04-21 | 78.35 | 104.65 | -1.87 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-04-17 | 81.11 | 106.73 | -1.77 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-04-16 | 80.96 | 106.18 | -1.76 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-04-15 | 82.17 | 107.76 | -1.78 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-04-14 | 83.28 | 108.74 | -1.76 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-04-11 | 83.79 | 107.99 | -1.67 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-04-10 | 84.64 | 108.36 | -1.63 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-04-09 | 85.76 | 108.33 | -1.53 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-04-08 | 77.42 | 105.30 | -2.18 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-04-07 | 78.58 | 107.94 | -2.30 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-04-04 | 79.63 | 110.10 | -2.39 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-04-03 | 84.32 | 120.24 | -2.71 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-04-02 | 87.59 | 117.84 | -2.22 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-04-01 | 87.00 | 118.36 | -2.36 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-03-31 | 84.54 | 117.20 | -2.57 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-03-28 | 84.04 | 116.01 | -2.57 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-03-27 | 85.74 | 117.41 | -2.54 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-03-26 | 84.31 | 118.18 | -2.82 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-03-25 | 83.36 | 116.03 | -2.80 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-03-24 | 83.52 | 116.05 | -2.84 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-03-21 | 81.71 | 116.74 | -3.19 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-03-20 | 82.51 | 117.59 | -3.24 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-03-19 | 82.49 | 117.31 | -3.29 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-03-18 | 80.47 | 117.15 | -3.64 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-03-17 | 83.60 | 117.03 | -3.29 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-03-14 | 84.24 | 115.48 | -3.12 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-03-13 | 82.05 | 114.26 | -3.37 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-03-12 | 84.27 | 114.99 | -3.20 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-03-11 | 84.16 | 116.71 | -3.46 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-03-10 | 83.90 | 117.74 | -3.69 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-03-07 | 84.58 | 121.05 | -4.06 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-03-06 | 86.66 | 118.61 | -3.60 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-03-05 | 90.25 | 118.69 | -3.15 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-03-04 | 89.53 | 117.98 | -3.24 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-03-03 | 91.48 | 116.88 | -2.88 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-02-28 | 90.87 | 116.46 | -2.96 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-02-27 | 88.80 | 114.48 | -3.09 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-02-26 | 89.95 | 112.83 | -2.75 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-02-25 | 88.35 | 114.81 | -3.29 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-02-24 | 86.23 | 111.89 | -3.33 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-02-21 | 86.73 | 110.78 | -3.16 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-02-20 | 89.32 | 112.43 | -2.99 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-02-19 | 90.59 | 110.44 | -2.55 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-02-18 | 91.75 | 109.58 | -2.26 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-02-14 | 96.11 | 110.16 | -1.66 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-02-13 | 97.88 | 110.78 | -1.48 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-02-12 | 96.46 | 109.12 | -1.48 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-02-11 | 94.60 | 109.22 | -1.79 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-02-10 | 97.32 | 110.34 | -1.53 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-02-07 | 96.43 | 106.92 | -1.19 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-02-06 | 96.51 | 107.25 | -1.22 | YUM ahead |
| 2025-02-05 | 96.83 | 97.75 | +0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-04 | 99.38 | 97.91 | +0.58 | CMG ahead |
| 2025-02-03 | 98.27 | 97.94 | +0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-31 | 98.25 | 97.19 | +0.53 | CMG ahead |
| 2025-01-30 | 99.33 | 97.36 | +0.67 | CMG ahead |
| 2025-01-29 | 98.11 | 96.20 | +0.67 | CMG ahead |
| 2025-01-28 | 97.37 | 96.25 | +0.56 | CMG ahead |
| 2025-01-27 | 98.16 | 97.48 | +0.50 | CMG ahead |
| 2025-01-24 | 95.47 | 95.52 | +0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-23 | 96.92 | 94.59 | +0.75 | CMG ahead |
| 2025-01-22 | 94.12 | 94.00 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-21 | 94.63 | 93.62 | +0.58 | CMG ahead |
| 2025-01-17 | 96.85 | 93.33 | +0.93 | CMG ahead |
| 2025-01-16 | 98.27 | 94.02 | +1.02 | CMG ahead |
| 2025-01-15 | 96.60 | 93.67 | +0.85 | CMG ahead |
| 2025-01-14 | 95.03 | 92.88 | +0.76 | CMG ahead |
| 2025-01-13 | 94.73 | 92.15 | +0.82 | CMG ahead |
| 2025-01-10 | 95.13 | 91.79 | +0.93 | CMG ahead |
| 2025-01-08 | 97.52 | 95.14 | +0.80 | CMG ahead |
| 2025-01-07 | 97.64 | 95.74 | +0.74 | CMG ahead |
| 2025-01-06 | 99.01 | 96.95 | +0.76 | CMG ahead |
| 2025-01-03 | 100.52 | 99.38 | +0.65 | CMG ahead |
| 2025-01-02 | 100.84 | 99.47 | +0.68 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-12-31 | 101.53 | 99.92 | +0.71 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-12-30 | 101.18 | 99.44 | +0.73 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-12-27 | 102.34 | 100.71 | +0.73 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-12-26 | 103.50 | 101.29 | +0.80 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-12-24 | 104.80 | 100.54 | +1.03 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-12-23 | 103.69 | 99.69 | +1.01 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-12-20 | 104.18 | 98.58 | +1.19 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-12-19 | 103.96 | 97.09 | +1.35 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-12-18 | 103.28 | 97.91 | +1.19 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-12-17 | 108.25 | 100.34 | +1.45 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-12-16 | 109.11 | 100.58 | +1.52 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-12-13 | 108.76 | 102.03 | +1.33 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-12-12 | 111.40 | 103.25 | +1.48 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-12-11 | 110.41 | 103.18 | +1.40 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-12-10 | 109.16 | 102.94 | +1.31 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-12-09 | 108.74 | 103.58 | +1.21 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-12-06 | 110.12 | 102.50 | +1.47 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-12-05 | 109.82 | 102.87 | +1.41 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-12-04 | 107.58 | 102.90 | +1.19 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-12-03 | 102.61 | 102.57 | +0.72 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-12-02 | 101.94 | 103.55 | +0.55 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-11-29 | 103.59 | 103.48 | +0.74 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-11-27 | 104.48 | 103.77 | +0.80 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-11-26 | 105.59 | 103.25 | +0.98 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-11-25 | 104.39 | 102.07 | +0.98 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-11-22 | 104.41 | 100.74 | +1.13 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-11-21 | 100.99 | 99.96 | +0.87 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-11-20 | 99.14 | 98.96 | +0.79 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-11-19 | 98.89 | 98.41 | +0.82 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-11-18 | 99.02 | 99.81 | +0.70 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-11-15 | 98.72 | 99.49 | +0.70 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-11-14 | 100.88 | 101.84 | +0.69 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-11-13 | 99.80 | 100.74 | +0.70 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-11-12 | 101.85 | 100.25 | +0.96 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-11-11 | 99.80 | 101.75 | +0.61 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-11-08 | 99.02 | 102.19 | +0.50 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-11-07 | 98.01 | 102.08 | +0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-06 | 97.14 | 100.07 | +0.53 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-11-05 | 94.60 | 100.34 | +0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-04 | 94.93 | 98.88 | +0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-01 | 98.65 | 98.56 | +0.84 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-10-31 | 93.90 | 97.68 | +0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-10-30 | 93.84 | 99.34 | +0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-10-29 | 101.85 | 99.78 | +1.03 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-10-28 | 102.04 | 100.44 | +0.99 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-10-25 | 100.08 | 99.08 | +0.94 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-10-24 | 100.08 | 99.17 | +0.94 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-10-23 | 99.38 | 99.81 | +0.82 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-10-22 | 100.83 | 99.32 | +0.99 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-10-21 | 100.52 | 99.80 | +0.93 | CMG ahead |
| 2024-10-18 | 100.00 | 100.00 | +0.87 | CMG ahead |
One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Oct 30, 2024 (CMG -7.9%, YUM -0.4%); Feb 6, 2025 (CMG -0.3%, YUM +9.7%); Jul 24, 2025 (CMG -13.3%, YUM -1.3%); Oct 30, 2025 (CMG -18.2%, YUM -0.1%). Upcoming earnings: CMG Oct 28, 2026 (after-hours); YUM Nov 3, 2026 (pre-market).
Paired trades
The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart
Forward paper record
No paper position on this pair yet.
Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)
No simulated trade through Oct 20, 2026: the pair rarely passed every test while 2 standard deviations apart.
Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.
The companies
CMG and YUM at a glance
CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 1058090
- Industry
- Restaurants · SIC 5812 Retail-Eating Places
- Market value
- $37.8B
- Price history
- 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
YUM Yum! Brands Inc.
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 1041061
- Industry
- Restaurants · SIC 5812 Retail-Eating Places
- Market value
- $40.9B
- Price history
- 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.
Related
All pairs →Other rivals of CMG and YUM
| Pair | Status | Ahead now | Industry |
|---|---|---|---|
| MCD / YUM | Watchlist | YUM by 1.89 sd | Restaurants |
| MCD / CMG | Watchlist | MCD by 0.70 sd | SIC 5812 Retail-Eating Places |
| SBUX / YUM | Watchlist | SBUX by 0.56 sd | Restaurants |
Follow the research behind the paper book
Boostio is a research-first platform in private beta: crypto candidates, daily market stories, public paper trading and now rival stocks. Exploring these pages stays free and open.
Explore the private betaPaper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.
