American Express Company vs Nu Holdings Ltd.
WatchlistAXP / NUPrices through Oct 22, 2026
Why these are rivals: #1 and #2 by market value ($214B vs $70B) with SEC SIC 6199 (Finance Services).
Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.36 (needs >= 0.60)
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -2.36 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Business leadership
Business size
Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.
| Year | AXP | NU | Larger |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $41.3B | - | - |
| 2024 | $38.8B | - | - |
| 2023 | $37.2B | - | - |
| 2022 | $34.2B | - | - |
| 2021 | $27.7B | - | - |
| 2020 | $22.0B | - | - |
Market value: AXP $213.7B, NU $70.5B.
Stock leadership
Neither is clearly ahead
Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.
The gap is 0.23 standard deviations, close to the usual relationship. 4 lead switches in the last year.
| Price change | 3 mo | 6 mo | 12 mo |
|---|---|---|---|
| AXP | -0.3% | +2.1% | -8.5% |
| NU | +4.5% | +1.9% | -3.3% |
Relationship
Not a measured twin today
Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.
- Pass
- Aligned sessions: 1222 (needs >= 254)
- Fail
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.36 (needs >= 0.60)
- Fail
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -2.36 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
- Pass
- Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 14.32 (needs <= 63)
- Data
- Both stocks current
The twins over two years
Prices side by side, and the gap between them
AXP American Express Company NU Nu Holdings Ltd.Price index, 100 = 2024-10-18. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).
Spread z-score: AXP relative to NU, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: AXP ahead; below 0: NU ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).
Data table (504 sessions)
| Date | AXP index | NU index | z | Ahead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | 117.48 | 101.94 | -0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-21 | 116.92 | 104.15 | -0.54 | NU ahead |
| 2026-10-20 | 115.01 | 104.43 | -0.78 | NU ahead |
| 2026-10-19 | 114.31 | 100.42 | -0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-16 | 113.30 | 100.76 | -0.53 | NU ahead |
| 2026-10-15 | 113.40 | 101.94 | -0.66 | NU ahead |
| 2026-10-14 | 110.90 | 103.32 | -1.09 | NU ahead |
| 2026-10-13 | 111.94 | 107.82 | -1.50 | NU ahead |
| 2026-10-12 | 112.55 | 110.80 | -1.78 | NU ahead |
| 2026-10-09 | 111.34 | 111.56 | -2.01 | NU ahead |
| 2026-10-08 | 111.31 | 106.44 | -1.45 | NU ahead |
| 2026-10-07 | 109.92 | 107.82 | -1.77 | NU ahead |
| 2026-10-06 | 110.03 | 108.37 | -1.84 | NU ahead |
| 2026-10-05 | 109.84 | 105.05 | -1.49 | NU ahead |
| 2026-10-02 | 109.39 | 92.94 | -0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-01 | 109.14 | 91.97 | +0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-30 | 109.87 | 87.61 | +0.78 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-09-29 | 110.34 | 85.47 | +1.15 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-09-28 | 110.67 | 84.64 | +1.32 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-09-25 | 111.60 | 94.05 | +0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-24 | 110.43 | 93.84 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-23 | 109.09 | 94.26 | -0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-22 | 110.22 | 97.99 | -0.54 | NU ahead |
| 2026-09-21 | 113.30 | 97.30 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-18 | 112.56 | 94.46 | +0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-17 | 112.42 | 95.78 | +0.00 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-16 | 112.88 | 95.57 | +0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-15 | 117.21 | 98.20 | +0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-14 | 118.42 | 99.72 | +0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-11 | 117.31 | 101.18 | -0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-10 | 115.87 | 103.94 | -0.62 | NU ahead |
| 2026-09-09 | 116.26 | 103.81 | -0.56 | NU ahead |
| 2026-09-08 | 117.81 | 106.09 | -0.67 | NU ahead |
| 2026-09-04 | 117.84 | 106.37 | -0.70 | NU ahead |
| 2026-09-03 | 119.16 | 108.51 | -0.81 | NU ahead |
| 2026-09-02 | 119.22 | 106.57 | -0.58 | NU ahead |
| 2026-09-01 | 117.12 | 100.07 | -0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-31 | 119.29 | 100.69 | +0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-28 | 120.38 | 98.96 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-27 | 120.73 | 102.98 | +0.00 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-26 | 121.45 | 104.98 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-25 | 121.37 | 104.78 | -0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-24 | 121.87 | 102.15 | +0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-21 | 121.39 | 100.90 | +0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-20 | 119.64 | 98.34 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-19 | 122.80 | 101.11 | +0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-18 | 122.30 | 99.31 | +0.60 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-08-17 | 121.47 | 102.01 | +0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-14 | 123.73 | 105.40 | +0.00 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-13 | 124.16 | 96.40 | +1.13 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-08-12 | 124.31 | 93.84 | +1.48 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-08-11 | 123.13 | 94.46 | +1.29 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-08-10 | 122.42 | 95.92 | +1.03 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-08-07 | 123.17 | 95.78 | +1.13 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-08-06 | 123.78 | 97.72 | +0.94 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-08-05 | 126.08 | 100.21 | +0.86 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-08-04 | 125.26 | 99.17 | +0.90 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-08-03 | 124.54 | 99.93 | +0.74 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-07-31 | 121.48 | 99.17 | +0.52 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-07-30 | 121.94 | 100.28 | +0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-29 | 119.77 | 97.16 | +0.59 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-07-28 | 121.62 | 101.59 | +0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-27 | 121.17 | 100.55 | +0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-24 | 117.84 | 97.51 | +0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-23 | 123.14 | 98.20 | +0.79 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-07-22 | 125.99 | 100.42 | +0.80 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-07-21 | 126.74 | 99.58 | +0.98 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-07-20 | 127.15 | 96.82 | +1.37 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-07-17 | 128.38 | 94.05 | +1.86 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-07-16 | 130.63 | 95.43 | +1.91 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-07-15 | 129.50 | 96.06 | +1.74 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-07-14 | 128.28 | 96.82 | +1.52 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-07-13 | 128.05 | 94.60 | +1.80 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-07-10 | 126.66 | 95.22 | +1.59 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-07-09 | 125.26 | 94.60 | +1.54 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-07-08 | 121.53 | 92.53 | +1.45 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-07-07 | 126.30 | 94.19 | +1.72 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-07-06 | 128.63 | 97.30 | +1.55 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-07-02 | 127.16 | 94.19 | +1.83 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-07-01 | 125.73 | 92.66 | +1.91 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-06-30 | 122.20 | 92.46 | +1.58 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-06-29 | 123.15 | 90.87 | +1.92 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-06-26 | 122.97 | 91.14 | +1.88 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-06-25 | 123.73 | 86.23 | +2.74 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-06-24 | 123.76 | 86.23 | +2.78 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-06-23 | 122.03 | 87.13 | +2.48 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-06-22 | 122.14 | 88.51 | +2.30 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-06-18 | 122.11 | 87.96 | +2.41 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-06-17 | 123.03 | 89.20 | +2.35 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-06-16 | 123.10 | 88.03 | +2.57 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-06-15 | 121.17 | 86.02 | +2.70 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-06-12 | 117.58 | 84.36 | +2.59 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-06-11 | 115.07 | 83.67 | +2.42 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-06-10 | 113.20 | 80.42 | +2.78 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-06-09 | 115.03 | 82.21 | +2.72 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-06-08 | 112.83 | 80.28 | +2.83 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-06-05 | 112.24 | 82.84 | +2.30 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-06-04 | 112.91 | 83.88 | +2.21 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-06-03 | 108.59 | 80.55 | +2.25 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-06-02 | 112.35 | 82.56 | +2.41 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-06-01 | 113.28 | 89.90 | +1.24 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-05-29 | 114.34 | 90.87 | +1.22 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-05-28 | 113.85 | 90.31 | +1.24 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-05-27 | 112.92 | 90.17 | +1.14 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-05-26 | 112.26 | 89.83 | +1.11 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-05-22 | 112.64 | 88.10 | +1.47 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-05-21 | 111.89 | 91.07 | +0.86 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-05-20 | 111.93 | 88.51 | +1.31 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-05-19 | 111.75 | 85.05 | +1.91 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-05-18 | 112.81 | 85.05 | +2.08 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-05-15 | 113.26 | 84.36 | +2.30 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-05-14 | 113.00 | 89.48 | +1.35 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-05-13 | 111.86 | 88.72 | +1.33 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-05-12 | 113.56 | 91.83 | +1.03 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-05-11 | 112.84 | 93.43 | +0.66 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-05-08 | 114.18 | 95.50 | +0.50 | AXP ahead |
| 2026-05-07 | 115.14 | 98.69 | +0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-06 | 116.30 | 100.21 | +0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-05 | 114.15 | 98.62 | -0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-04 | 115.33 | 97.99 | +0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-01 | 115.50 | 99.93 | -0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-30 | 116.71 | 100.21 | +0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-29 | 114.04 | 97.16 | +0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-28 | 114.13 | 100.35 | -0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-27 | 115.19 | 101.31 | -0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-24 | 113.47 | 100.42 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-23 | 115.09 | 100.07 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-22 | 120.27 | 102.77 | +0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-21 | 119.15 | 104.15 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-20 | 119.18 | 104.50 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-17 | 119.83 | 106.16 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-16 | 117.69 | 106.78 | -0.81 | NU ahead |
| 2026-04-15 | 118.88 | 106.16 | -0.56 | NU ahead |
| 2026-04-14 | 118.13 | 106.23 | -0.68 | NU ahead |
| 2026-04-13 | 116.99 | 103.46 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-10 | 113.26 | 103.53 | -0.94 | NU ahead |
| 2026-04-09 | 114.81 | 102.91 | -0.64 | NU ahead |
| 2026-04-08 | 114.29 | 100.42 | -0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-07 | 110.93 | 97.92 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-06 | 110.46 | 98.69 | -0.61 | NU ahead |
| 2026-04-02 | 108.45 | 97.92 | -0.78 | NU ahead |
| 2026-04-01 | 108.91 | 99.93 | -1.02 | NU ahead |
| 2026-03-31 | 109.28 | 99.45 | -0.90 | NU ahead |
| 2026-03-30 | 107.48 | 93.49 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-27 | 105.59 | 94.12 | -0.60 | NU ahead |
| 2026-03-26 | 108.17 | 97.02 | -0.70 | NU ahead |
| 2026-03-25 | 108.47 | 99.10 | -0.98 | NU ahead |
| 2026-03-24 | 109.11 | 98.20 | -0.77 | NU ahead |
| 2026-03-23 | 109.08 | 101.59 | -1.29 | NU ahead |
| 2026-03-20 | 106.76 | 96.47 | -0.84 | NU ahead |
| 2026-03-19 | 106.55 | 97.99 | -1.11 | NU ahead |
| 2026-03-18 | 106.36 | 96.68 | -0.94 | NU ahead |
| 2026-03-17 | 108.48 | 98.62 | -0.95 | NU ahead |
| 2026-03-16 | 107.74 | 98.75 | -1.08 | NU ahead |
| 2026-03-13 | 108.37 | 96.12 | -0.60 | NU ahead |
| 2026-03-12 | 109.07 | 96.68 | -0.59 | NU ahead |
| 2026-03-11 | 110.55 | 100.28 | -0.94 | NU ahead |
| 2026-03-10 | 109.52 | 102.98 | -1.48 | NU ahead |
| 2026-03-09 | 110.33 | 101.52 | -1.17 | NU ahead |
| 2026-03-06 | 108.75 | 100.90 | -1.30 | NU ahead |
| 2026-03-05 | 110.99 | 102.56 | -1.24 | NU ahead |
| 2026-03-04 | 112.44 | 103.81 | -1.22 | NU ahead |
| 2026-03-03 | 111.21 | 102.15 | -1.15 | NU ahead |
| 2026-03-02 | 111.07 | 105.12 | -1.58 | NU ahead |
| 2026-02-27 | 111.60 | 103.67 | -1.33 | NU ahead |
| 2026-02-26 | 121.15 | 104.22 | -0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-25 | 118.17 | 115.22 | -2.01 | NU ahead |
| 2026-02-24 | 115.78 | 114.39 | -2.20 | NU ahead |
| 2026-02-23 | 116.06 | 112.04 | -1.90 | NU ahead |
| 2026-02-20 | 125.07 | 121.31 | -1.99 | NU ahead |
| 2026-02-19 | 123.79 | 119.86 | -1.99 | NU ahead |
| 2026-02-18 | 125.09 | 118.82 | -1.74 | NU ahead |
| 2026-02-17 | 124.47 | 116.40 | -1.53 | NU ahead |
| 2026-02-13 | 121.93 | 116.40 | -1.84 | NU ahead |
| 2026-02-12 | 123.88 | 117.92 | -1.82 | NU ahead |
| 2026-02-11 | 127.90 | 120.48 | -1.68 | NU ahead |
| 2026-02-10 | 131.22 | 121.59 | -1.46 | NU ahead |
| 2026-02-09 | 129.94 | 121.45 | -1.60 | NU ahead |
| 2026-02-06 | 129.76 | 120.42 | -1.51 | NU ahead |
| 2026-02-05 | 128.12 | 116.33 | -1.20 | NU ahead |
| 2026-02-04 | 127.78 | 117.79 | -1.43 | NU ahead |
| 2026-02-03 | 126.32 | 125.40 | -2.56 | NU ahead |
| 2026-02-02 | 127.47 | 125.33 | -2.46 | NU ahead |
| 2026-01-30 | 127.23 | 122.84 | -2.21 | NU ahead |
| 2026-01-29 | 129.52 | 129.83 | -2.83 | NU ahead |
| 2026-01-28 | 128.98 | 129.83 | -2.95 | NU ahead |
| 2026-01-27 | 129.86 | 128.37 | -2.70 | NU ahead |
| 2026-01-26 | 131.24 | 125.81 | -2.24 | NU ahead |
| 2026-01-23 | 130.67 | 124.84 | -2.20 | NU ahead |
| 2026-01-22 | 132.96 | 124.57 | -1.90 | NU ahead |
| 2026-01-21 | 129.92 | 119.31 | -1.60 | NU ahead |
| 2026-01-20 | 127.24 | 117.44 | -1.68 | NU ahead |
| 2026-01-16 | 131.79 | 114.88 | -0.81 | NU ahead |
| 2026-01-15 | 129.11 | 114.95 | -1.13 | NU ahead |
| 2026-01-14 | 129.43 | 115.16 | -1.13 | NU ahead |
| 2026-01-13 | 129.34 | 114.60 | -1.07 | NU ahead |
| 2026-01-12 | 129.91 | 117.92 | -1.43 | NU ahead |
| 2026-01-09 | 135.70 | 120.83 | -1.16 | NU ahead |
| 2026-01-08 | 138.36 | 121.87 | -1.00 | NU ahead |
| 2026-01-07 | 136.65 | 121.11 | -1.10 | NU ahead |
| 2026-01-06 | 138.57 | 123.60 | -1.19 | NU ahead |
| 2026-01-05 | 137.22 | 124.15 | -1.39 | NU ahead |
| 2026-01-02 | 134.66 | 117.79 | -0.92 | NU ahead |
| 2025-12-31 | 133.66 | 115.85 | -0.80 | NU ahead |
| 2025-12-30 | 134.90 | 116.82 | -0.79 | NU ahead |
| 2025-12-29 | 135.60 | 115.29 | -0.55 | NU ahead |
| 2025-12-26 | 137.67 | 115.99 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-24 | 138.41 | 115.85 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-23 | 138.08 | 115.99 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-22 | 137.60 | 115.02 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-19 | 136.03 | 113.08 | -0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-18 | 135.67 | 112.60 | -0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-17 | 135.70 | 109.76 | +0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-16 | 137.56 | 112.11 | -0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-15 | 138.22 | 115.22 | -0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-12 | 138.21 | 116.96 | -0.53 | NU ahead |
| 2025-12-11 | 139.05 | 116.40 | -0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-10 | 135.69 | 115.50 | -0.61 | NU ahead |
| 2025-12-09 | 131.48 | 115.43 | -1.01 | NU ahead |
| 2025-12-08 | 130.89 | 115.02 | -1.03 | NU ahead |
| 2025-12-05 | 133.80 | 115.57 | -0.82 | NU ahead |
| 2025-12-04 | 134.09 | 122.15 | -1.49 | NU ahead |
| 2025-12-03 | 133.00 | 120.69 | -1.46 | NU ahead |
| 2025-12-02 | 130.32 | 121.87 | -1.85 | NU ahead |
| 2025-12-01 | 130.17 | 120.97 | -1.78 | NU ahead |
| 2025-11-28 | 131.97 | 120.35 | -1.54 | NU ahead |
| 2025-11-26 | 131.50 | 119.38 | -1.49 | NU ahead |
| 2025-11-25 | 131.02 | 114.95 | -1.06 | NU ahead |
| 2025-11-24 | 128.59 | 110.17 | -0.76 | NU ahead |
| 2025-11-21 | 127.49 | 109.97 | -0.84 | NU ahead |
| 2025-11-20 | 124.21 | 106.02 | -0.70 | NU ahead |
| 2025-11-19 | 124.51 | 108.37 | -0.93 | NU ahead |
| 2025-11-18 | 123.08 | 106.02 | -0.79 | NU ahead |
| 2025-11-17 | 123.29 | 107.96 | -0.96 | NU ahead |
| 2025-11-14 | 129.04 | 109.48 | -0.56 | NU ahead |
| 2025-11-13 | 131.77 | 107.89 | -0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-12 | 134.68 | 111.97 | -0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-11 | 133.73 | 113.43 | -0.50 | NU ahead |
| 2025-11-10 | 132.91 | 110.87 | -0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-07 | 133.15 | 109.83 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-06 | 132.13 | 110.31 | -0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-05 | 132.16 | 111.90 | -0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-04 | 130.24 | 109.34 | -0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-03 | 130.65 | 111.63 | -0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-31 | 130.33 | 111.49 | -0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-30 | 129.66 | 111.14 | -0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-29 | 129.42 | 111.35 | -0.51 | NU ahead |
| 2025-10-28 | 130.43 | 110.24 | -0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-27 | 130.67 | 110.73 | -0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-24 | 129.18 | 109.62 | -0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-23 | 128.23 | 110.03 | -0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-22 | 127.17 | 104.91 | -0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-21 | 128.34 | 105.47 | +0.00 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-20 | 126.26 | 106.64 | -0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-17 | 125.23 | 103.81 | -0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-16 | 116.74 | 101.94 | -0.55 | NU ahead |
| 2025-10-15 | 119.46 | 105.05 | -0.61 | NU ahead |
| 2025-10-14 | 120.25 | 103.18 | -0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-13 | 116.74 | 104.36 | -0.76 | NU ahead |
| 2025-10-10 | 114.26 | 103.25 | -0.85 | NU ahead |
| 2025-10-09 | 117.22 | 106.37 | -0.89 | NU ahead |
| 2025-10-08 | 116.99 | 106.99 | -0.96 | NU ahead |
| 2025-10-07 | 118.49 | 104.71 | -0.64 | NU ahead |
| 2025-10-06 | 119.94 | 106.44 | -0.68 | NU ahead |
| 2025-10-03 | 119.31 | 105.95 | -0.68 | NU ahead |
| 2025-10-02 | 119.40 | 105.33 | -0.61 | NU ahead |
| 2025-10-01 | 118.70 | 105.12 | -0.64 | NU ahead |
| 2025-09-30 | 120.00 | 110.80 | -1.01 | NU ahead |
| 2025-09-29 | 123.67 | 110.38 | -0.69 | NU ahead |
| 2025-09-26 | 123.44 | 109.20 | -0.60 | NU ahead |
| 2025-09-25 | 122.90 | 109.20 | -0.63 | NU ahead |
| 2025-09-24 | 123.01 | 110.80 | -0.74 | NU ahead |
| 2025-09-23 | 123.37 | 111.76 | -0.78 | NU ahead |
| 2025-09-22 | 123.19 | 112.80 | -0.86 | NU ahead |
| 2025-09-19 | 123.24 | 111.90 | -0.77 | NU ahead |
| 2025-09-18 | 123.44 | 110.66 | -0.65 | NU ahead |
| 2025-09-17 | 121.39 | 110.45 | -0.76 | NU ahead |
| 2025-09-16 | 118.15 | 109.97 | -0.94 | NU ahead |
| 2025-09-15 | 118.23 | 110.10 | -0.93 | NU ahead |
| 2025-09-12 | 117.53 | 108.58 | -0.85 | NU ahead |
| 2025-09-11 | 118.98 | 108.10 | -0.71 | NU ahead |
| 2025-09-10 | 116.82 | 107.34 | -0.79 | NU ahead |
| 2025-09-09 | 117.18 | 106.99 | -0.73 | NU ahead |
| 2025-09-08 | 117.57 | 105.33 | -0.57 | NU ahead |
| 2025-09-05 | 117.86 | 102.01 | -0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-04 | 119.46 | 102.91 | -0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-03 | 116.95 | 103.11 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-02 | 119.65 | 102.84 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-29 | 119.69 | 102.42 | -0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-28 | 118.14 | 102.21 | -0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-27 | 116.50 | 101.31 | -0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-26 | 115.83 | 98.55 | -0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-25 | 114.09 | 98.48 | -0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-22 | 115.31 | 96.47 | +0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-21 | 111.34 | 94.60 | -0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-20 | 111.42 | 94.26 | -0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-19 | 110.59 | 90.80 | +0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-18 | 110.93 | 92.25 | +0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-15 | 110.36 | 90.66 | +0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-14 | 111.18 | 83.11 | +0.89 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-08-13 | 110.87 | 85.61 | +0.66 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-08-12 | 109.55 | 84.71 | +0.66 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-08-11 | 107.02 | 82.49 | +0.69 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-08-08 | 107.46 | 85.12 | +0.50 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-08-07 | 106.48 | 85.88 | +0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-06 | 106.77 | 84.57 | +0.51 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-08-05 | 107.17 | 84.08 | +0.58 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-08-04 | 107.88 | 83.25 | +0.70 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-08-01 | 106.32 | 83.39 | +0.59 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-07-31 | 108.14 | 84.57 | +0.61 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-07-30 | 109.62 | 87.34 | +0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-29 | 111.47 | 87.40 | +0.61 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-07-28 | 112.27 | 87.27 | +0.67 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-07-25 | 112.58 | 88.10 | +0.63 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-07-24 | 111.37 | 88.24 | +0.55 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-07-23 | 111.51 | 89.69 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-22 | 109.88 | 88.51 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-21 | 109.46 | 89.20 | +0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-18 | 111.26 | 90.10 | +0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-17 | 113.93 | 96.82 | +0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-16 | 112.68 | 95.85 | +0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-15 | 112.23 | 93.70 | +0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-14 | 115.94 | 90.45 | +0.70 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-07-11 | 115.42 | 88.79 | +0.80 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-07-10 | 117.50 | 90.17 | +0.82 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-07-09 | 114.65 | 94.39 | +0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-08 | 114.52 | 94.05 | +0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-07 | 116.60 | 92.46 | +0.61 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-07-03 | 118.55 | 94.12 | +0.61 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-07-02 | 117.64 | 93.36 | +0.62 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-07-01 | 116.53 | 94.39 | +0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-30 | 115.24 | 94.95 | +0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-27 | 114.60 | 91.70 | +0.58 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-06-26 | 112.51 | 92.66 | +0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-25 | 111.49 | 91.56 | +0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-24 | 111.41 | 92.94 | +0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-23 | 108.25 | 85.40 | +0.69 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-06-20 | 107.88 | 84.01 | +0.78 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-06-18 | 107.09 | 84.71 | +0.69 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-06-17 | 105.79 | 83.74 | +0.69 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-06-16 | 106.30 | 85.74 | +0.57 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-06-13 | 103.97 | 82.35 | +0.69 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-06-12 | 107.66 | 83.04 | +0.88 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-06-11 | 108.06 | 88.30 | +0.50 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-06-10 | 108.21 | 82.84 | +0.94 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-06-09 | 108.95 | 82.49 | +1.02 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-06-06 | 109.28 | 84.08 | +0.92 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-06-05 | 106.93 | 83.81 | +0.80 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-06-04 | 106.91 | 82.63 | +0.90 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-06-03 | 107.44 | 82.98 | +0.91 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-06-02 | 106.70 | 83.04 | +0.87 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-05-30 | 106.24 | 83.11 | +0.84 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-05-29 | 106.72 | 82.98 | +0.89 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-05-28 | 105.99 | 84.43 | +0.73 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-05-27 | 106.13 | 82.63 | +0.89 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-05-23 | 103.05 | 82.98 | +0.67 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-05-22 | 103.75 | 84.78 | +0.57 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-05-21 | 103.33 | 82.98 | +0.69 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-05-20 | 107.00 | 88.37 | +0.51 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-05-19 | 108.13 | 90.66 | +0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-16 | 108.28 | 90.31 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-15 | 108.22 | 90.87 | +0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-14 | 108.42 | 93.36 | +0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-13 | 109.22 | 90.93 | +0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-12 | 108.00 | 89.62 | +0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-09 | 102.79 | 88.79 | +0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-08 | 102.48 | 88.58 | +0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-07 | 99.80 | 85.61 | +0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-06 | 99.49 | 86.09 | +0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-05 | 100.45 | 86.30 | +0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-02 | 100.02 | 86.16 | +0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-01 | 97.02 | 85.40 | +0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-30 | 96.25 | 86.02 | +0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-29 | 96.47 | 85.88 | +0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-28 | 95.72 | 84.01 | +0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-25 | 95.67 | 83.11 | +0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-24 | 96.58 | 81.31 | +0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-23 | 93.98 | 79.52 | +0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-22 | 91.20 | 77.44 | +0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-21 | 87.62 | 74.12 | +0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-17 | 90.79 | 76.12 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-16 | 91.38 | 74.74 | +0.62 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-04-15 | 93.16 | 75.02 | +0.73 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-04-14 | 92.26 | 73.70 | +0.79 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-04-11 | 90.73 | 73.01 | +0.75 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-04-10 | 89.20 | 70.93 | +0.83 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-04-09 | 94.79 | 75.57 | +0.82 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-04-08 | 83.60 | 69.00 | +0.60 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-04-07 | 84.64 | 67.27 | +0.86 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-04-04 | 84.43 | 66.44 | +0.93 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-04-03 | 89.53 | 71.07 | +0.88 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-04-02 | 99.44 | 73.29 | +1.39 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-04-01 | 97.72 | 72.18 | +1.39 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-03-31 | 97.20 | 70.87 | +1.49 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-03-28 | 95.91 | 71.63 | +1.34 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-03-27 | 98.28 | 76.75 | +1.04 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-03-26 | 99.71 | 75.57 | +1.25 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-03-25 | 100.90 | 78.75 | +1.06 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-03-24 | 100.39 | 80.90 | +0.85 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-03-21 | 97.73 | 80.21 | +0.73 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-03-20 | 97.85 | 78.89 | +0.86 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-03-19 | 97.78 | 82.70 | +0.54 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-03-18 | 94.92 | 79.58 | +0.60 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-03-17 | 95.52 | 81.80 | +0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-14 | 95.97 | 81.18 | +0.55 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-03-13 | 92.64 | 74.39 | +0.91 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-03-12 | 94.20 | 75.36 | +0.94 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-03-11 | 92.27 | 73.36 | +0.99 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-03-10 | 94.41 | 70.03 | +1.48 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-03-07 | 98.71 | 74.81 | +1.35 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-03-06 | 99.58 | 73.70 | +1.52 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-03-05 | 102.67 | 75.22 | +1.61 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-03-04 | 102.41 | 72.39 | +1.88 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-03-03 | 106.76 | 72.46 | +2.19 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-02-28 | 108.73 | 74.39 | +2.17 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-02-27 | 106.29 | 77.85 | +1.70 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-02-26 | 106.98 | 79.45 | +1.61 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-02-25 | 105.98 | 77.58 | +1.73 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-02-24 | 106.77 | 76.26 | +1.93 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-02-21 | 106.72 | 74.88 | +2.09 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-02-20 | 109.78 | 92.32 | +0.76 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-02-19 | 111.97 | 93.29 | +0.83 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-02-18 | 113.03 | 93.70 | +0.87 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-02-14 | 112.37 | 94.81 | +0.75 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-02-13 | 111.10 | 95.43 | +0.62 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-02-12 | 110.70 | 94.39 | +0.67 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-02-11 | 111.84 | 96.47 | +0.59 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-02-10 | 112.09 | 96.54 | +0.60 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-02-07 | 114.44 | 95.02 | +0.87 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-02-06 | 115.67 | 95.36 | +0.93 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-02-05 | 115.80 | 93.84 | +1.06 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-02-04 | 114.10 | 92.04 | +1.10 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-02-03 | 114.36 | 90.93 | +1.21 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-01-31 | 114.69 | 91.63 | +1.17 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-01-30 | 115.23 | 93.01 | +1.10 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-01-29 | 113.90 | 86.85 | +1.54 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-01-28 | 114.54 | 87.47 | +1.54 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-01-27 | 114.32 | 85.26 | +1.74 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-01-24 | 116.10 | 85.40 | +1.86 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-01-23 | 117.73 | 84.36 | +2.09 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-01-22 | 116.42 | 82.98 | +2.16 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-01-21 | 114.87 | 79.45 | +2.43 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-01-17 | 112.92 | 79.79 | +2.29 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-01-16 | 112.53 | 78.06 | +2.48 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-01-15 | 112.84 | 78.96 | +2.45 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-01-14 | 108.52 | 75.50 | +2.54 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-01-13 | 107.31 | 76.68 | +2.35 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-01-10 | 105.96 | 75.78 | +2.38 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-01-08 | 109.42 | 77.09 | +2.54 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-01-07 | 109.12 | 77.23 | +2.54 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-01-06 | 109.06 | 77.16 | +2.58 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-01-03 | 109.50 | 75.92 | +2.80 | AXP ahead |
| 2025-01-02 | 107.82 | 73.56 | +2.99 | AXP ahead |
| 2024-12-31 | 107.23 | 71.70 | +3.24 | AXP ahead |
| 2024-12-30 | 107.42 | 73.70 | +3.06 | AXP ahead |
| 2024-12-27 | 108.76 | 71.49 | +3.54 | AXP ahead |
| 2024-12-26 | 109.83 | 71.70 | +3.71 | AXP ahead |
| 2024-12-24 | 109.64 | 71.76 | +3.78 | AXP ahead |
| 2024-12-23 | 107.95 | 70.87 | +3.87 | AXP ahead |
| 2024-12-20 | 107.90 | 71.83 | +3.83 | AXP ahead |
| 2024-12-19 | 105.89 | 71.49 | +3.79 | AXP ahead |
| 2024-12-18 | 103.97 | 71.97 | +3.61 | AXP ahead |
| 2024-12-17 | 108.87 | 80.97 | +2.87 | AXP ahead |
| 2024-12-16 | 109.68 | 81.25 | +2.97 | AXP ahead |
| 2024-12-13 | 109.16 | 82.63 | +2.78 | AXP ahead |
| 2024-12-12 | 108.49 | 82.98 | +2.70 | AXP ahead |
| 2024-12-11 | 109.23 | 84.84 | +2.56 | AXP ahead |
| 2024-12-10 | 109.15 | 81.38 | +3.11 | AXP ahead |
| 2024-12-09 | 107.20 | 82.56 | +2.77 | AXP ahead |
| 2024-12-06 | 109.83 | 83.25 | +3.03 | AXP ahead |
| 2024-12-05 | 108.58 | 82.77 | +3.02 | AXP ahead |
| 2024-12-04 | 109.32 | 83.04 | +3.13 | AXP ahead |
| 2024-12-03 | 109.15 | 80.76 | +3.56 | AXP ahead |
| 2024-12-02 | 109.20 | 83.04 | +3.27 | AXP ahead |
| 2024-11-29 | 110.08 | 86.71 | +2.85 | AXP ahead |
| 2024-11-27 | 109.92 | 93.63 | +1.80 | AXP ahead |
| 2024-11-26 | 110.40 | 96.47 | +1.46 | AXP ahead |
| 2024-11-25 | 110.27 | 98.48 | +1.16 | AXP ahead |
| 2024-11-22 | 108.86 | 96.26 | +1.31 | AXP ahead |
| 2024-11-21 | 105.86 | 92.73 | +1.45 | AXP ahead |
| 2024-11-20 | 103.95 | 92.18 | +1.29 | AXP ahead |
| 2024-11-19 | 103.16 | 93.15 | +1.04 | AXP ahead |
| 2024-11-18 | 103.16 | 94.46 | +0.84 | AXP ahead |
| 2024-11-15 | 103.64 | 97.30 | +0.50 | AXP ahead |
| 2024-11-14 | 104.16 | 105.12 | -0.51 | NU ahead |
| 2024-11-13 | 103.92 | 108.24 | -0.95 | NU ahead |
| 2024-11-12 | 104.23 | 109.62 | -1.09 | NU ahead |
| 2024-11-11 | 105.85 | 109.97 | -0.92 | NU ahead |
| 2024-11-08 | 103.91 | 105.40 | -0.58 | NU ahead |
| 2024-11-07 | 103.62 | 105.33 | -0.61 | NU ahead |
| 2024-11-06 | 106.64 | 104.01 | -0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-05 | 99.69 | 101.52 | -0.62 | NU ahead |
| 2024-11-04 | 97.62 | 99.45 | -0.63 | NU ahead |
| 2024-11-01 | 98.52 | 99.24 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-10-31 | 97.58 | 104.43 | -1.30 | NU ahead |
| 2024-10-30 | 99.02 | 108.86 | -1.67 | NU ahead |
| 2024-10-29 | 97.70 | 108.37 | -1.80 | NU ahead |
| 2024-10-28 | 98.08 | 107.13 | -1.59 | NU ahead |
| 2024-10-25 | 96.59 | 103.39 | -1.31 | NU ahead |
| 2024-10-24 | 97.54 | 103.94 | -1.25 | NU ahead |
| 2024-10-23 | 97.99 | 102.08 | -0.93 | NU ahead |
| 2024-10-22 | 98.41 | 100.62 | -0.67 | NU ahead |
| 2024-10-21 | 97.81 | 100.62 | -0.75 | NU ahead |
| 2024-10-18 | 100.00 | 100.00 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Feb 21, 2025 (AXP -2.8%, NU -18.9%); Feb 26, 2026 (AXP +2.5%, NU -9.6%); Sep 28, 2026 (AXP -0.8%, NU -10.0%); Oct 5, 2026 (AXP +0.4%, NU +13.0%). Upcoming earnings: AXP Oct 23, 2026 (pre-market).
Paired trades
The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart
Forward paper record
No paper position on this pair yet.
Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)
No simulated trade through Oct 20, 2026: the pair rarely passed every test while 2 standard deviations apart.
Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.
The companies
AXP and NU at a glance
AXP American Express Company
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 4962
- Industry
- Finance: Consumer Services · SIC 6199 Finance Services
- Market value
- $213.7B
- Price history
- 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
NU Nu Holdings Ltd.
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 1691493
- Industry
- Finance: Consumer Services · SIC 6199 Finance Services
- Market value
- $70.5B
- Price history
- 1,222 daily closes, Dec 9, 2021 to Oct 22, 2026
Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.
Related
All pairs →Other rivals of AXP and NU
| Pair | Status | Ahead now | Industry |
|---|---|---|---|
| AXP / MSTR | Watchlist | neither | SIC 6199 Finance Services |
| NU / MSTR | Watchlist | neither | SIC 6199 Finance Services |
Follow the research behind the paper book
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Explore the private betaPaper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.
