Major Chemicals

Air Products and Chemicals Inc. vs Dow Inc.

WatchlistAPD / DOWPrices through Nov 6, 2026

Why these are rivals: #2 and #3 by market value ($70B vs $24B) in Nasdaq's "Major Chemicals" industry; SEC SIC 2810 / 2821 (same major group).

Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.

  • Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.27 (needs >= 0.60)
  • Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -2.09 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Business leadership

DOW is the larger business

Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.

YearAPDDOWLarger
2025$12.0B$40.0BDOW
2024$12.1B$43.0BDOW
2023$12.6B$44.6BDOW
2022$12.7B$56.9BDOW
2021$10.3B$55.0BDOW
2020$8.9B$38.5BDOW

DOW led in every year with figures for both. Market value: APD $69.7B, DOW $24.5B.

Stock leadership

APD is ahead now

Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.

APD leads DOW by 0.35 standard deviations: +4.6% over its usual price ratio. 2 lead switches in the last year.

Price change3 mo6 mo12 mo
APD-1.1%+3.2%+28.3%
DOW+2.7%-14.8%+37.9%
Relationship

Not a measured twin today

Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.

Pass
Aligned sessions: 1921 (needs >= 254)
Fail
Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.27 (needs >= 0.60)
Fail
Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -2.09 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Pass
Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 29.89 (needs <= 63)
Data
Both stocks current
The twins over two years

Prices side by side, and the gap between them

APD Air Products and Chemicals Inc. DOW Dow Inc.Price index, 100 = 2024-11-04. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).
406080100Nov 2024Nov 2025Nov 2026APD 100DOW 65
Spread z-score: APD relative to DOW, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: APD ahead; below 0: DOW ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).
-4stop-2idea0+2idea+4stopNov 2024Nov 2025Nov 2026
Data table (504 sessions)
DateAPD indexDOW indexzAhead
2026-11-0699.5965.48+0.35near the usual relationship
2026-11-05101.1166.69+0.32near the usual relationship
2026-11-04104.1868.20+0.38near the usual relationship
2026-11-03102.2570.47-0.02near the usual relationship
2026-11-02103.2571.28-0.04near the usual relationship
2026-10-30103.3872.37-0.15near the usual relationship
2026-10-29101.8570.11-0.02near the usual relationship
2026-10-28100.3671.18-0.25near the usual relationship
2026-10-27100.3370.45-0.18near the usual relationship
2026-10-2699.8870.89-0.27near the usual relationship
2026-10-23100.3568.01+0.08near the usual relationship
2026-10-22100.7066.34+0.29near the usual relationship
2026-10-2198.8863.36+0.49near the usual relationship
2026-10-2098.8564.00+0.41near the usual relationship
2026-10-1997.5762.73+0.45near the usual relationship
2026-10-1697.8862.42+0.51APD ahead
2026-10-1596.9061.86+0.49near the usual relationship
2026-10-1495.5760.88+0.50APD ahead
2026-10-1394.4059.46+0.57APD ahead
2026-10-1292.7458.64+0.53APD ahead
2026-10-0991.8959.27+0.38near the usual relationship
2026-10-0890.9559.62+0.26near the usual relationship
2026-10-0790.8657.91+0.45near the usual relationship
2026-10-0691.8058.73+0.42near the usual relationship
2026-10-0591.3059.46+0.29near the usual relationship
2026-10-0290.6858.33+0.37near the usual relationship
2026-10-0189.3057.54+0.35near the usual relationship
2026-09-3090.9057.43+0.48near the usual relationship
2026-09-2991.2157.58+0.48near the usual relationship
2026-09-2891.0758.16+0.39near the usual relationship
2026-09-2592.0558.44+0.43near the usual relationship
2026-09-2492.9459.56+0.36near the usual relationship
2026-09-2393.7559.75+0.39near the usual relationship
2026-09-2294.0458.81+0.51APD ahead
2026-09-2191.3058.96+0.28near the usual relationship
2026-09-1892.8459.92+0.28near the usual relationship
2026-09-1793.4861.50+0.15near the usual relationship
2026-09-1693.7962.73+0.03near the usual relationship
2026-09-1594.9362.25+0.16near the usual relationship
2026-09-1493.8160.27+0.29near the usual relationship
2026-09-1195.2160.54+0.35near the usual relationship
2026-09-1095.9461.81+0.26near the usual relationship
2026-09-0996.4661.31+0.34near the usual relationship
2026-09-0897.2661.67+0.35near the usual relationship
2026-09-0498.4361.40+0.45near the usual relationship
2026-09-0399.3963.32+0.31near the usual relationship
2026-09-02101.1065.23+0.22near the usual relationship
2026-09-0199.7563.52+0.30near the usual relationship
2026-08-31101.1063.65+0.37near the usual relationship
2026-08-28100.6563.63+0.33near the usual relationship
2026-08-2799.8063.25+0.31near the usual relationship
2026-08-26100.1963.25+0.33near the usual relationship
2026-08-2599.2762.90+0.30near the usual relationship
2026-08-24100.0565.57+0.09near the usual relationship
2026-08-2199.6867.47-0.12near the usual relationship
2026-08-2098.1268.61-0.33near the usual relationship
2026-08-1999.0666.21-0.06near the usual relationship
2026-08-1899.0765.05+0.05near the usual relationship
2026-08-1798.2965.36-0.04near the usual relationship
2026-08-14100.9464.80+0.17near the usual relationship
2026-08-1399.8163.32+0.23near the usual relationship
2026-08-1299.3463.75+0.16near the usual relationship
2026-08-11101.0565.19+0.12near the usual relationship
2026-08-10100.6863.77+0.22near the usual relationship
2026-08-0799.1361.19+0.36near the usual relationship
2026-08-0697.9863.19+0.10near the usual relationship
2026-08-0596.4161.88+0.12near the usual relationship
2026-08-0496.2863.25-0.02near the usual relationship
2026-08-0395.7062.34+0.02near the usual relationship
2026-07-3196.3463.17-0.02near the usual relationship
2026-07-3098.0862.75+0.11near the usual relationship
2026-07-2996.1463.50-0.07near the usual relationship
2026-07-2895.6760.17+0.20near the usual relationship
2026-07-2795.5959.96+0.21near the usual relationship
2026-07-2497.3162.23+0.11near the usual relationship
2026-07-2396.1464.44-0.16near the usual relationship
2026-07-2297.0365.17-0.17near the usual relationship
2026-07-2196.8363.55-0.04near the usual relationship
2026-07-2096.9163.34-0.02near the usual relationship
2026-07-1796.5862.40+0.04near the usual relationship
2026-07-1697.1361.11+0.19near the usual relationship
2026-07-1595.9561.94+0.04near the usual relationship
2026-07-1497.8163.21+0.04near the usual relationship
2026-07-1398.6563.34+0.08near the usual relationship
2026-07-1097.8660.54+0.29near the usual relationship
2026-07-0996.6559.44+0.32near the usual relationship
2026-07-0896.9560.54+0.23near the usual relationship
2026-07-0799.6659.73+0.47near the usual relationship
2026-07-06100.9057.00+0.80APD ahead
2026-07-02102.6557.79+0.82APD ahead
2026-07-01100.1056.35+0.83APD ahead
2026-06-3095.7857.06+0.51APD ahead
2026-06-2988.6558.23-0.05near the usual relationship
2026-06-2690.7560.56-0.14near the usual relationship
2026-06-2591.4561.13-0.15near the usual relationship
2026-06-2491.0661.27-0.19near the usual relationship
2026-06-2392.2863.25-0.29near the usual relationship
2026-06-2292.4964.21-0.37near the usual relationship
2026-06-1891.5466.17-0.60DOW ahead
2026-06-1792.0567.78-0.70DOW ahead
2026-06-1691.6368.74-0.81DOW ahead
2026-06-1592.4469.30-0.81DOW ahead
2026-06-1292.0170.59-0.95DOW ahead
2026-06-1190.8670.14-0.98DOW ahead
2026-06-1090.3471.41-1.13DOW ahead
2026-06-0992.4569.28-0.82DOW ahead
2026-06-0890.4271.32-1.12DOW ahead
2026-06-0592.2470.84-0.98DOW ahead
2026-06-0492.4172.55-1.11DOW ahead
2026-06-0392.2273.83-1.23DOW ahead
2026-06-0291.2472.41-1.19DOW ahead
2026-06-0191.1172.35-1.20DOW ahead
2026-05-2991.0370.39-1.05DOW ahead
2026-05-2892.6772.51-1.13DOW ahead
2026-05-2793.3571.93-1.04DOW ahead
2026-05-2694.6173.58-1.10DOW ahead
2026-05-2294.5775.10-1.23DOW ahead
2026-05-2194.8174.89-1.21DOW ahead
2026-05-2094.4875.64-1.29DOW ahead
2026-05-1995.3278.71-1.49DOW ahead
2026-05-1895.8280.42-1.59DOW ahead
2026-05-1596.5080.81-1.59DOW ahead
2026-05-1497.9780.88-1.52DOW ahead
2026-05-13100.0481.00-1.41DOW ahead
2026-05-1299.1982.23-1.56DOW ahead
2026-05-1199.4880.83-1.45DOW ahead
2026-05-0896.5176.89-1.34DOW ahead
2026-05-0796.3777.83-1.43DOW ahead
2026-05-0698.0880.29-1.52DOW ahead
2026-05-0599.2985.09-1.82DOW ahead
2026-05-0497.4784.63-1.92DOW ahead
2026-05-0198.3684.03-1.83DOW ahead
2026-04-3098.0384.44-1.90DOW ahead
2026-04-2998.8382.48-1.71DOW ahead
2026-04-2899.1079.27-1.45DOW ahead
2026-04-2798.7979.46-1.49DOW ahead
2026-04-2498.5980.63-1.61DOW ahead
2026-04-2399.2080.35-1.56DOW ahead
2026-04-2296.9580.94-1.77DOW ahead
2026-04-2196.3179.90-1.74DOW ahead
2026-04-2096.7576.68-1.45DOW ahead
2026-04-1795.3374.24-1.35DOW ahead
2026-04-1697.1183.25-2.00DOW ahead
2026-04-1596.4581.00-1.88DOW ahead
2026-04-1496.9181.67-1.92DOW ahead
2026-04-1397.5783.65-2.06DOW ahead
2026-04-1097.5981.36-1.89DOW ahead
2026-04-0997.2779.33-1.75DOW ahead
2026-04-0896.9081.92-2.02DOW ahead
2026-04-0795.5286.36-2.51DOW ahead
2026-04-0696.0984.59-2.35DOW ahead
2026-04-0295.9086.34-2.53DOW ahead
2026-04-0194.5684.86-2.54DOW ahead
2026-03-3194.9086.86-2.72DOW ahead
2026-03-3095.2587.32-2.76DOW ahead
2026-03-2795.4685.13-2.59DOW ahead
2026-03-2695.7882.31-2.34DOW ahead
2026-03-2594.7782.63-2.46DOW ahead
2026-03-2493.5279.90-2.32DOW ahead
2026-03-2391.0475.16-2.07DOW ahead
2026-03-2091.8176.43-2.14DOW ahead
2026-03-1992.8378.19-2.23DOW ahead
2026-03-1891.9478.60-2.35DOW ahead
2026-03-1793.4976.98-2.07DOW ahead
2026-03-1694.4775.08-1.81DOW ahead
2026-03-1394.0876.37-1.97DOW ahead
2026-03-1294.9078.37-2.11DOW ahead
2026-03-1190.7271.68-1.78DOW ahead
2026-03-1089.8870.68-1.74DOW ahead
2026-03-0989.6571.55-1.86DOW ahead
2026-03-0688.9269.41-1.69DOW ahead
2026-03-0590.2870.32-1.68DOW ahead
2026-03-0489.5867.45-1.43DOW ahead
2026-03-0389.2064.11-1.07DOW ahead
2026-03-0290.3163.82-0.93DOW ahead
2026-02-2790.0664.09-0.98DOW ahead
2026-02-2690.2462.36-0.75DOW ahead
2026-02-2591.5762.61-0.66DOW ahead
2026-02-2491.3064.75-0.92DOW ahead
2026-02-2392.5463.19-0.63DOW ahead
2026-02-2091.8663.65-0.73DOW ahead
2026-02-1991.7165.46-0.94DOW ahead
2026-02-1892.2665.86-0.94DOW ahead
2026-02-1790.7265.53-1.02DOW ahead
2026-02-1391.3967.76-1.20DOW ahead
2026-02-1295.2368.09-0.93DOW ahead
2026-02-1195.7770.91-1.18DOW ahead
2026-02-1094.9970.07-1.15DOW ahead
2026-02-0993.5666.90-0.92DOW ahead
2026-02-0692.5066.28-0.94DOW ahead
2026-02-0592.6263.82-0.65DOW ahead
2026-02-0493.6367.57-0.99DOW ahead
2026-02-0390.8163.59-0.77DOW ahead
2026-02-0288.5360.23-0.56DOW ahead
2026-01-3089.0357.46-0.17near the usual relationship
2026-01-2983.6456.64-0.51DOW ahead
2026-01-2883.6057.94-0.66DOW ahead
2026-01-2784.6558.00-0.57DOW ahead
2026-01-2685.8058.77-0.56DOW ahead
2026-01-2385.3858.92-0.61DOW ahead
2026-01-2286.2659.08-0.55DOW ahead
2026-01-2185.9659.25-0.58DOW ahead
2026-01-2084.3555.43-0.25near the usual relationship
2026-01-1687.4057.50-0.25near the usual relationship
2026-01-1586.9058.27-0.37near the usual relationship
2026-01-1487.3158.94-0.40near the usual relationship
2026-01-1386.9655.37-0.01near the usual relationship
2026-01-1287.2455.27+0.03near the usual relationship
2026-01-0986.1654.91+0.00near the usual relationship
2026-01-0885.3454.06+0.05near the usual relationship
2026-01-0785.5551.72+0.35near the usual relationship
2026-01-0684.4153.22+0.09near the usual relationship
2026-01-0582.9351.93+0.15near the usual relationship
2026-01-0281.8350.62+0.23near the usual relationship
2025-12-3180.7048.76+0.38near the usual relationship
2025-12-3081.2949.03+0.40near the usual relationship
2025-12-2980.9748.70+0.42near the usual relationship
2025-12-2680.8348.57+0.43near the usual relationship
2025-12-2480.3248.09+0.46near the usual relationship
2025-12-2379.9747.76+0.48near the usual relationship
2025-12-2279.9748.84+0.35near the usual relationship
2025-12-1978.4048.51+0.28near the usual relationship
2025-12-1879.6348.05+0.44near the usual relationship
2025-12-1780.4948.11+0.50APD ahead
2025-12-1679.1447.63+0.47near the usual relationship
2025-12-1580.0548.91+0.38near the usual relationship
2025-12-1279.3949.99+0.21near the usual relationship
2025-12-1179.6351.26+0.09near the usual relationship
2025-12-1077.3351.28-0.07near the usual relationship
2025-12-0975.3948.20+0.14near the usual relationship
2025-12-0877.1247.67+0.34near the usual relationship
2025-12-0585.1747.88+0.89APD ahead
2025-12-0485.4747.70+0.94APD ahead
2025-12-0385.0649.55+0.70APD ahead
2025-12-0283.8949.76+0.60APD ahead
2025-12-0185.2249.72+0.70APD ahead
2025-11-2885.2949.74+0.71APD ahead
2025-11-2684.6049.86+0.66APD ahead
2025-11-2584.5948.38+0.83APD ahead
2025-11-2483.8346.99+0.95APD ahead
2025-11-2184.0846.30+1.06APD ahead
2025-11-2082.0343.69+1.25APD ahead
2025-11-1982.7444.44+1.21APD ahead
2025-11-1882.3845.57+1.06APD ahead
2025-11-1782.6845.19+1.13APD ahead
2025-11-1484.7347.82+0.96APD ahead
2025-11-1385.9348.20+1.00APD ahead
2025-11-1285.4546.26+1.20APD ahead
2025-11-1185.6746.53+1.19APD ahead
2025-11-1084.4346.09+1.17APD ahead
2025-11-0784.8646.49+1.16APD ahead
2025-11-0684.5546.34+1.16APD ahead
2025-11-0577.6147.49+0.59APD ahead
2025-11-0478.6647.11+0.70APD ahead
2025-11-0378.2048.45+0.53APD ahead
2025-10-3179.2549.74+0.47near the usual relationship
2025-10-3079.9349.64+0.53APD ahead
2025-10-2981.1351.85+0.39near the usual relationship
2025-10-2883.1252.93+0.42near the usual relationship
2025-10-2783.5653.66+0.38near the usual relationship
2025-10-2483.2851.74+0.55APD ahead
2025-10-2383.2951.12+0.62APD ahead
2025-10-2282.7045.26+1.19APD ahead
2025-10-2183.2145.36+1.22APD ahead
2025-10-2083.0545.11+1.24APD ahead
2025-10-1782.7245.65+1.17APD ahead
2025-10-1682.7145.67+1.18APD ahead
2025-10-1584.1046.30+1.20APD ahead
2025-10-1485.6045.71+1.35APD ahead
2025-10-1385.2244.67+1.45APD ahead
2025-10-1083.9943.07+1.56APD ahead
2025-10-0985.8346.05+1.35APD ahead
2025-10-0887.7547.13+1.35APD ahead
2025-10-0788.5046.92+1.42APD ahead
2025-10-0688.5248.84+1.24APD ahead
2025-10-0388.6949.68+1.17APD ahead
2025-10-0288.4149.41+1.19APD ahead
2025-10-0187.7848.07+1.28APD ahead
2025-09-3089.1047.82+1.38APD ahead
2025-09-2988.3747.74+1.36APD ahead
2025-09-2687.1647.88+1.29APD ahead
2025-09-2586.8346.30+1.43APD ahead
2025-09-2488.9548.24+1.37APD ahead
2025-09-2390.3647.67+1.50APD ahead
2025-09-2293.9248.32+1.62APD ahead
2025-09-1994.7948.99+1.61APD ahead
2025-09-1895.5450.28+1.54APD ahead
2025-09-1794.9551.18+1.45APD ahead
2025-09-1693.0951.05+1.38APD ahead
2025-09-1594.5950.41+1.51APD ahead
2025-09-1295.6652.22+1.42APD ahead
2025-09-1196.2252.18+1.45APD ahead
2025-09-1093.9349.70+1.57APD ahead
2025-09-0993.8150.34+1.52APD ahead
2025-09-0894.3950.01+1.58APD ahead
2025-09-0594.7051.09+1.51APD ahead
2025-09-0494.7349.86+1.63APD ahead
2025-09-0395.1649.91+1.66APD ahead
2025-09-0295.4650.91+1.60APD ahead
2025-08-2996.0951.37+1.60APD ahead
2025-08-2896.3851.24+1.63APD ahead
2025-08-2796.2451.60+1.60APD ahead
2025-08-2696.0451.60+1.61APD ahead
2025-08-2596.1151.97+1.59APD ahead
2025-08-2297.7852.37+1.64APD ahead
2025-08-2195.8949.41+1.82APD ahead
2025-08-2095.5250.22+1.74APD ahead
2025-08-1994.8249.07+1.82APD ahead
2025-08-1894.1448.47+1.86APD ahead
2025-08-1594.8948.72+1.89APD ahead
2025-08-1495.4548.74+1.93APD ahead
2025-08-1396.1247.80+2.06APD ahead
2025-08-1294.5045.28+2.24APD ahead
2025-08-1192.7743.52+2.36APD ahead
2025-08-0894.3344.25+2.39APD ahead
2025-08-0794.2745.07+2.34APD ahead
2025-08-0694.4344.42+2.44APD ahead
2025-08-0595.5546.67+2.31APD ahead
2025-08-0493.9245.03+2.42APD ahead
2025-08-0192.0545.44+2.31APD ahead
2025-07-3194.0548.57+2.14APD ahead
2025-07-3094.7949.89+2.07APD ahead
2025-07-2996.4452.51+1.94APD ahead
2025-07-2896.5653.62+1.87APD ahead
2025-07-2597.7653.20+1.97APD ahead
2025-07-2497.1052.28+2.03APD ahead
2025-07-2397.3263.34+1.21APD ahead
2025-07-2297.4061.86+1.32APD ahead
2025-07-2195.9659.21+1.46APD ahead
2025-07-1896.4859.10+1.50APD ahead
2025-07-1795.9159.35+1.46APD ahead
2025-07-1694.4158.69+1.45APD ahead
2025-07-1593.6558.37+1.45APD ahead
2025-07-1495.0058.92+1.48APD ahead
2025-07-1195.3961.63+1.32APD ahead
2025-07-1096.0863.04+1.26APD ahead
2025-07-0996.1362.23+1.33APD ahead
2025-07-0895.5160.60+1.42APD ahead
2025-07-0794.4257.31+1.62APD ahead
2025-07-0395.3459.35+1.52APD ahead
2025-07-0294.8459.92+1.47APD ahead
2025-07-0193.2658.04+1.55APD ahead
2025-06-3092.1555.22+1.72APD ahead
2025-06-2792.2456.31+1.66APD ahead
2025-06-2692.4656.62+1.66APD ahead
2025-06-2592.1355.93+1.71APD ahead
2025-06-2491.8057.41+1.60APD ahead
2025-06-2389.2556.04+1.60APD ahead
2025-06-2088.3757.89+1.43APD ahead
2025-06-1889.9759.44+1.40APD ahead
2025-06-1790.5161.40+1.30APD ahead
2025-06-1691.6263.75+1.20APD ahead
2025-06-1391.6062.36+1.30APD ahead
2025-06-1292.5562.86+1.32APD ahead
2025-06-1192.2063.98+1.24APD ahead
2025-06-1092.0964.03+1.24APD ahead
2025-06-0991.4561.29+1.41APD ahead
2025-06-0691.4059.54+1.54APD ahead
2025-06-0590.2458.77+1.56APD ahead
2025-06-0491.5458.98+1.61APD ahead
2025-06-0392.5557.96+1.75APD ahead
2025-06-0291.0556.73+1.79APD ahead
2025-05-3091.1257.85+1.72APD ahead
2025-05-2989.2460.04+1.48APD ahead
2025-05-2888.7859.10+1.54APD ahead
2025-05-2789.7060.31+1.51APD ahead
2025-05-2388.1659.06+1.54APD ahead
2025-05-2287.9659.79+1.48APD ahead
2025-05-2188.1059.96+1.49APD ahead
2025-05-2090.0662.13+1.44APD ahead
2025-05-1990.6062.79+1.43APD ahead
2025-05-1691.1362.96+1.45APD ahead
2025-05-1589.6562.36+1.44APD ahead
2025-05-1488.6962.92+1.36APD ahead
2025-05-1389.4064.17+1.32APD ahead
2025-05-1290.2464.61+1.34APD ahead
2025-05-0988.5861.48+1.48APD ahead
2025-05-0888.0960.98+1.50APD ahead
2025-05-0786.4559.33+1.55APD ahead
2025-05-0687.4360.06+1.56APD ahead
2025-05-0588.9360.38+1.62APD ahead
2025-05-0290.7063.44+1.50APD ahead
2025-05-0188.9263.67+1.42APD ahead
2025-04-3088.5763.80+1.40APD ahead
2025-04-2988.5163.92+1.40APD ahead
2025-04-2888.0362.46+1.48APD ahead
2025-04-2587.2762.61+1.45APD ahead
2025-04-2487.8362.06+1.52APD ahead
2025-04-2386.4960.48+1.57APD ahead
2025-04-2286.6960.48+1.60APD ahead
2025-04-2184.1558.64+1.61APD ahead
2025-04-1785.8958.71+1.70APD ahead
2025-04-1685.3757.29+1.79APD ahead
2025-04-1586.6757.77+1.84APD ahead
2025-04-1489.0560.23+1.79APD ahead
2025-04-1187.8959.29+1.82APD ahead
2025-04-1085.6156.91+1.89APD ahead
2025-04-0988.2762.27+1.66APD ahead
2025-04-0881.2253.83+1.94APD ahead
2025-04-0784.6557.39+1.86APD ahead
2025-04-0486.0858.81+1.85APD ahead
2025-04-0392.5265.61+1.71APD ahead
2025-04-0296.3672.76+1.46APD ahead
2025-04-0195.8772.18+1.48APD ahead
2025-03-3196.3572.83+1.48APD ahead
2025-03-2895.4871.66+1.52APD ahead
2025-03-2796.4273.49+1.47APD ahead
2025-03-2696.4674.20+1.44APD ahead
2025-03-2595.7873.66+1.46APD ahead
2025-03-2495.8775.68+1.36APD ahead
2025-03-2195.2875.43+1.36APD ahead
2025-03-2095.7076.35+1.34APD ahead
2025-03-1996.0577.56+1.30APD ahead
2025-03-1895.3478.44+1.23APD ahead
2025-03-1796.5878.23+1.30APD ahead
2025-03-1495.3777.10+1.32APD ahead
2025-03-1395.6775.56+1.43APD ahead
2025-03-1296.2674.56+1.53APD ahead
2025-03-1197.3876.48+1.48APD ahead
2025-03-1099.2278.00+1.49APD ahead
2025-03-07103.3778.10+1.67APD ahead
2025-03-06101.5978.08+1.61APD ahead
2025-03-05101.7978.79+1.60APD ahead
2025-03-0499.7674.29+1.78APD ahead
2025-03-03101.4975.20+1.82APD ahead
2025-02-28103.2979.48+1.67APD ahead
2025-02-27102.0680.15+1.60APD ahead
2025-02-26102.5481.02+1.59APD ahead
2025-02-25103.6881.81+1.61APD ahead
2025-02-24101.0881.44+1.54APD ahead
2025-02-21101.2482.40+1.51APD ahead
2025-02-20102.6882.57+1.57APD ahead
2025-02-19103.5881.17+1.70APD ahead
2025-02-18103.5682.84+1.62APD ahead
2025-02-14103.2880.65+1.74APD ahead
2025-02-13102.9679.96+1.79APD ahead
2025-02-12101.3979.79+1.75APD ahead
2025-02-11101.1180.56+1.71APD ahead
2025-02-10101.4680.44+1.75APD ahead
2025-02-07101.4280.46+1.76APD ahead
2025-02-06107.2080.86+2.00APD ahead
2025-02-05108.8479.14+2.19APD ahead
2025-02-04109.6680.40+2.19APD ahead
2025-02-03110.4577.96+2.39APD ahead
2025-01-31109.5381.44+2.19APD ahead
2025-01-30109.4880.40+2.28APD ahead
2025-01-29106.9385.61+1.90APD ahead
2025-01-28106.8386.38+1.88APD ahead
2025-01-27106.7187.42+1.84APD ahead
2025-01-24107.5786.28+1.96APD ahead
2025-01-23105.8586.49+1.90APD ahead
2025-01-22103.5685.13+1.89APD ahead
2025-01-21104.4786.72+1.86APD ahead
2025-01-17103.8385.59+1.92APD ahead
2025-01-16101.9585.23+1.87APD ahead
2025-01-15100.2684.25+1.87APD ahead
2025-01-14100.6183.59+1.95APD ahead
2025-01-1398.5882.73+1.92APD ahead
2025-01-1095.7580.29+1.95APD ahead
2025-01-0893.1981.17+1.77APD ahead
2025-01-0793.5482.19+1.75APD ahead
2025-01-0692.5382.90+1.66APD ahead
2025-01-0392.7582.17+1.74APD ahead
2025-01-0292.5582.48+1.73APD ahead
2024-12-3194.7683.69+1.79APD ahead
2024-12-3094.3282.25+1.88APD ahead
2024-12-2795.6683.48+1.90APD ahead
2024-12-2696.4083.88+1.93APD ahead
2024-12-2496.7183.61+1.99APD ahead
2024-12-2395.9083.36+1.99APD ahead
2024-12-2096.3783.30+2.04APD ahead
2024-12-1995.7881.54+2.15APD ahead
2024-12-1896.4883.73+2.07APD ahead
2024-12-1799.5584.61+2.22APD ahead
2024-12-16100.2183.65+2.36APD ahead
2024-12-13102.0385.21+2.39APD ahead
2024-12-12101.5786.09+2.34APD ahead
2024-12-11102.0586.55+2.37APD ahead
2024-12-10102.9887.97+2.36APD ahead
2024-12-09103.4489.11+2.34APD ahead
2024-12-06104.5887.57+2.56APD ahead
2024-12-05105.1987.99+2.61APD ahead
2024-12-04106.9989.36+2.66APD ahead
2024-12-03108.0291.49+2.62APD ahead
2024-12-02109.6592.55+2.68APD ahead
2024-11-29109.2392.20+2.73APD ahead
2024-11-27108.8693.10+2.70APD ahead
2024-11-26109.3792.89+2.79APD ahead
2024-11-25109.1195.66+2.62APD ahead
2024-11-22108.4194.81+2.68APD ahead
2024-11-21107.4593.45+2.77APD ahead
2024-11-20107.1191.62+2.94APD ahead
2024-11-19107.1691.03+3.06APD ahead
2024-11-18107.1292.22+3.02APD ahead
2024-11-15103.6091.85+2.86APD ahead
2024-11-14103.2092.99+2.79APD ahead
2024-11-13102.2293.83+2.69APD ahead
2024-11-12101.6493.93+2.68APD ahead
2024-11-11102.5596.50+2.58APD ahead
2024-11-08102.2596.96+2.55APD ahead
2024-11-07102.20101.98+2.17APD ahead
2024-11-06100.21100.83+2.12APD ahead
2024-11-05100.0999.90+2.20APD ahead
2024-11-04100.00100.00+2.19APD ahead

One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Jan 30, 2025 (APD +2.4%, DOW -6.1%); Jul 24, 2025 (APD -0.2%, DOW -17.4%); Oct 23, 2025 (APD +0.7%, DOW +12.9%); Nov 6, 2025 (APD +8.9%, DOW -2.4%).

Paired trades

The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart

Forward paper record

No paper position on this pair yet.

Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)

No simulated trade through Nov 3, 2026: the pair rarely passed every test while 2 standard deviations apart.

Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.

The companies

APD and DOW at a glance

APD Air Products and Chemicals Inc.

Listing
NYSE · SEC CIK 2969
Industry
Major Chemicals · SIC 2810 Industrial Inorganic Chemicals
Market value
$69.7B
Price history
2,532 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Nov 6, 2026

DOW Dow Inc.

Listing
NYSE · SEC CIK 1751788
Industry
Major Chemicals · SIC 2821 Plastic Materials, Synth Resins & Nonvulcan Elastomers
Market value
$24.5B
Price history
1,921 daily closes, Mar 20, 2019 to Nov 6, 2026

Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.

Related
All pairs →
PairStatusAhead nowIndustry
DOW / ALBWatchlistDOW by 1.97 sdSIC 2821 Plastic Materials, Synth Resins & Nonvulcan Elastomers
DOW / DDWatchlistDD by 0.40 sdSIC 2821 Plastic Materials, Synth Resins & Nonvulcan Elastomers
LIN / DOWWatchlistLIN by 0.37 sdMajor Chemicals
LIN / APDWatchlistneitherMajor Chemicals

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Explore the private beta

Paper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.