Toyota Motor Corporation vs Tesla Inc.
WatchlistTM / TSLAPrices through Oct 22, 2026
Why these are rivals: #1 and #2 by market value ($1454B vs $253B) in Nasdaq's "Auto Manufacturing" industry; SEC SIC 3711 / 3711 (same major group); #1 and #2 by market value ($1454B vs $253B) with SEC SIC 3711 (Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies).
Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.24 (needs >= 0.60)
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -2.06 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Business leadership
Business size
Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.
| Year | TM | TSLA | Larger |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | - | $94.8B | - |
| 2024 | - | $97.7B | - |
| 2023 | - | $96.8B | - |
| 2022 | - | $81.5B | - |
| 2021 | - | $53.8B | - |
| 2020 | - | $31.5B | - |
Market value: TM $252.9B, TSLA $1.45T.
Stock leadership
TM is ahead now
Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.
TM leads TSLA by 0.45 standard deviations: +5.0% over its usual price ratio. 3 lead switches in the last year.
| Price change | 3 mo | 6 mo | 12 mo |
|---|---|---|---|
| TM | +11.7% | +1.1% | -1.8% |
| TSLA | +19.7% | +0.2% | -15.4% |
Relationship
Not a measured twin today
Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.
- Pass
- Aligned sessions: 2521 (needs >= 254)
- Fail
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.24 (needs >= 0.60)
- Fail
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -2.06 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
- Pass
- Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 18.02 (needs <= 63)
- Data
- Both stocks current
The twins over two years
Prices side by side, and the gap between them
TM Toyota Motor Corporation TSLA Tesla Inc.Price index, 100 = 2024-10-18. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).
Spread z-score: TM relative to TSLA, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: TM ahead; below 0: TSLA ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).
Data table (504 sessions)
| Date | TM index | TSLA index | z | Ahead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | 115.56 | 169.72 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-21 | 113.60 | 175.11 | +0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-20 | 114.57 | 169.33 | +0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-19 | 113.13 | 166.77 | +0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-16 | 113.46 | 160.72 | +0.80 | TM ahead |
| 2026-10-15 | 111.90 | 164.22 | +0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-14 | 109.95 | 166.36 | +0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-13 | 110.02 | 170.02 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-12 | 107.69 | 171.29 | -0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-09 | 108.03 | 173.40 | -0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-08 | 108.44 | 169.91 | -0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-07 | 106.63 | 171.19 | -0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-06 | 108.19 | 172.49 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-05 | 107.34 | 171.60 | -0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-02 | 105.81 | 167.92 | -0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-01 | 106.89 | 160.45 | +0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-30 | 106.75 | 160.77 | +0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-29 | 108.85 | 159.87 | +0.51 | TM ahead |
| 2026-09-28 | 109.78 | 161.96 | +0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-25 | 110.97 | 168.60 | +0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-24 | 108.86 | 171.25 | -0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-23 | 110.98 | 172.23 | +0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-22 | 111.97 | 171.68 | +0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-21 | 112.23 | 170.05 | +0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-18 | 111.66 | 165.05 | +0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-17 | 113.05 | 165.93 | +0.54 | TM ahead |
| 2026-09-16 | 112.06 | 162.25 | +0.66 | TM ahead |
| 2026-09-15 | 113.96 | 161.57 | +0.85 | TM ahead |
| 2026-09-14 | 115.18 | 162.65 | +0.89 | TM ahead |
| 2026-09-11 | 115.55 | 165.58 | +0.76 | TM ahead |
| 2026-09-10 | 112.21 | 164.73 | +0.54 | TM ahead |
| 2026-09-09 | 111.33 | 166.66 | +0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-08 | 111.61 | 166.81 | +0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-04 | 114.91 | 160.43 | +0.97 | TM ahead |
| 2026-09-03 | 116.52 | 170.53 | +0.55 | TM ahead |
| 2026-09-02 | 115.61 | 161.76 | +0.94 | TM ahead |
| 2026-09-01 | 115.46 | 161.35 | +0.94 | TM ahead |
| 2026-08-31 | 114.58 | 166.72 | +0.59 | TM ahead |
| 2026-08-28 | 113.38 | 158.02 | +0.96 | TM ahead |
| 2026-08-27 | 111.93 | 160.77 | +0.70 | TM ahead |
| 2026-08-26 | 111.84 | 156.69 | +0.91 | TM ahead |
| 2026-08-25 | 112.49 | 158.70 | +0.85 | TM ahead |
| 2026-08-24 | 112.99 | 158.11 | +0.91 | TM ahead |
| 2026-08-21 | 115.05 | 164.41 | +0.72 | TM ahead |
| 2026-08-20 | 112.07 | 156.38 | +0.92 | TM ahead |
| 2026-08-19 | 110.06 | 159.09 | +0.62 | TM ahead |
| 2026-08-18 | 109.75 | 152.64 | +0.94 | TM ahead |
| 2026-08-17 | 110.29 | 153.74 | +0.92 | TM ahead |
| 2026-08-14 | 111.41 | 155.08 | +0.93 | TM ahead |
| 2026-08-13 | 110.02 | 154.04 | +0.88 | TM ahead |
| 2026-08-12 | 109.73 | 148.40 | +1.17 | TM ahead |
| 2026-08-11 | 110.66 | 150.80 | +1.11 | TM ahead |
| 2026-08-10 | 110.06 | 149.92 | +1.11 | TM ahead |
| 2026-08-07 | 110.82 | 148.88 | +1.23 | TM ahead |
| 2026-08-06 | 109.30 | 144.78 | +1.35 | TM ahead |
| 2026-08-05 | 108.37 | 145.70 | +1.22 | TM ahead |
| 2026-08-04 | 110.28 | 148.32 | +1.21 | TM ahead |
| 2026-08-03 | 108.53 | 145.94 | +1.22 | TM ahead |
| 2026-07-31 | 110.18 | 141.01 | +1.64 | TM ahead |
| 2026-07-30 | 111.61 | 139.94 | +1.82 | TM ahead |
| 2026-07-29 | 112.42 | 135.17 | +2.19 | TM ahead |
| 2026-07-28 | 108.61 | 139.30 | +1.64 | TM ahead |
| 2026-07-27 | 106.19 | 140.11 | +1.40 | TM ahead |
| 2026-07-24 | 103.43 | 141.84 | +1.07 | TM ahead |
| 2026-07-23 | 103.07 | 144.85 | +0.86 | TM ahead |
| 2026-07-22 | 104.90 | 169.47 | -0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-21 | 105.14 | 171.69 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-20 | 104.08 | 167.45 | -0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-17 | 103.54 | 172.56 | -0.59 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-07-16 | 104.80 | 177.19 | -0.72 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-07-15 | 103.14 | 178.73 | -0.94 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-07-14 | 102.73 | 179.51 | -1.02 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-07-13 | 101.88 | 178.87 | -1.07 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-07-10 | 102.87 | 184.76 | -1.27 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-07-09 | 101.63 | 184.21 | -1.36 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-07-08 | 103.28 | 178.55 | -0.96 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-07-07 | 104.61 | 182.56 | -1.05 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-07-06 | 104.82 | 190.20 | -1.40 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-07-02 | 101.78 | 178.27 | -1.10 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-07-01 | 98.91 | 192.71 | -2.04 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-06-30 | 98.19 | 190.58 | -2.03 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-06-29 | 99.90 | 186.61 | -1.72 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-06-26 | 99.97 | 172.05 | -1.01 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-06-25 | 97.07 | 169.97 | -1.17 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-06-24 | 97.80 | 170.15 | -1.12 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-06-23 | 97.49 | 172.91 | -1.30 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-06-22 | 98.95 | 183.53 | -1.71 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-06-18 | 101.41 | 181.46 | -1.40 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-06-17 | 100.72 | 179.60 | -1.38 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-06-16 | 103.88 | 183.35 | -1.30 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-06-15 | 105.07 | 186.29 | -1.36 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-06-12 | 101.99 | 184.15 | -1.53 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-06-11 | 101.99 | 180.86 | -1.38 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-06-10 | 100.29 | 172.90 | -1.14 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-06-09 | 102.48 | 179.74 | -1.30 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-06-08 | 104.03 | 185.30 | -1.45 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-06-05 | 103.28 | 177.16 | -1.12 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-06-04 | 104.65 | 189.60 | -1.62 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-06-03 | 105.07 | 191.98 | -1.72 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-06-02 | 105.22 | 192.00 | -1.72 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-06-01 | 106.64 | 188.44 | -1.44 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-05-29 | 110.74 | 197.46 | -1.54 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-05-28 | 111.84 | 200.32 | -1.59 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-05-27 | 110.83 | 199.53 | -1.66 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-05-26 | 110.82 | 196.46 | -1.53 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-05-22 | 110.23 | 193.03 | -1.43 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-05-21 | 110.57 | 189.33 | -1.23 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-05-20 | 110.73 | 189.06 | -1.21 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-05-19 | 108.13 | 183.10 | -1.14 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-05-18 | 109.23 | 185.77 | -1.19 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-05-15 | 111.16 | 191.32 | -1.32 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-05-14 | 111.06 | 200.86 | -1.80 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-05-13 | 108.95 | 201.75 | -2.05 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-05-12 | 105.91 | 196.40 | -2.08 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-05-11 | 107.15 | 201.63 | -2.24 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-05-08 | 109.33 | 194.09 | -1.69 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-05-07 | 110.18 | 186.58 | -1.24 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-05-06 | 113.71 | 180.67 | -0.65 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-05-05 | 110.76 | 176.43 | -0.68 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-05-04 | 109.78 | 177.85 | -0.84 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-05-01 | 110.02 | 177.08 | -0.79 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-04-30 | 112.30 | 172.92 | -0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-29 | 111.50 | 168.92 | -0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-28 | 112.51 | 170.38 | -0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-27 | 112.03 | 171.58 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-24 | 112.12 | 170.50 | -0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-23 | 114.31 | 169.33 | -0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-22 | 116.85 | 175.58 | -0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-21 | 118.91 | 175.09 | -0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-20 | 125.49 | 177.84 | +0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-17 | 126.63 | 181.52 | +0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-16 | 124.09 | 176.21 | +0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-15 | 124.28 | 177.59 | +0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-14 | 123.33 | 165.02 | +0.65 | TM ahead |
| 2026-04-13 | 123.05 | 159.68 | +0.88 | TM ahead |
| 2026-04-10 | 122.80 | 158.11 | +0.93 | TM ahead |
| 2026-04-09 | 123.09 | 156.60 | +1.01 | TM ahead |
| 2026-04-08 | 125.34 | 155.53 | +1.20 | TM ahead |
| 2026-04-07 | 118.73 | 157.07 | +0.70 | TM ahead |
| 2026-04-06 | 119.17 | 159.86 | +0.59 | TM ahead |
| 2026-04-02 | 120.68 | 163.38 | +0.52 | TM ahead |
| 2026-04-01 | 122.24 | 172.75 | +0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-31 | 120.15 | 168.44 | +0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-30 | 118.31 | 160.98 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-27 | 120.52 | 163.95 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-26 | 122.39 | 168.60 | +0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-25 | 122.97 | 174.88 | +0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-24 | 122.30 | 173.55 | +0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-23 | 122.80 | 172.56 | +0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-20 | 119.52 | 166.72 | +0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-19 | 121.80 | 172.32 | +0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-18 | 121.91 | 177.97 | -0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-17 | 124.22 | 180.91 | -0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-16 | 124.31 | 179.23 | -0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-13 | 122.92 | 177.25 | -0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-12 | 126.27 | 178.98 | +0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-11 | 128.71 | 184.78 | -0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-10 | 128.85 | 180.89 | +0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-09 | 127.98 | 180.64 | +0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-06 | 127.76 | 179.76 | +0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-05 | 129.12 | 183.76 | -0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-04 | 135.73 | 183.93 | +0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-03 | 135.35 | 177.81 | +0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-02 | 142.05 | 182.75 | +0.59 | TM ahead |
| 2026-02-27 | 141.30 | 182.38 | +0.57 | TM ahead |
| 2026-02-26 | 141.44 | 185.13 | +0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-25 | 140.93 | 189.13 | +0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-24 | 139.12 | 185.49 | +0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-23 | 138.77 | 181.16 | +0.51 | TM ahead |
| 2026-02-20 | 139.68 | 186.60 | +0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-19 | 140.88 | 186.55 | +0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-18 | 141.78 | 186.37 | +0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-17 | 143.13 | 186.06 | +0.55 | TM ahead |
| 2026-02-13 | 144.75 | 189.14 | +0.52 | TM ahead |
| 2026-02-12 | 140.87 | 188.98 | +0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-11 | 141.56 | 194.05 | +0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-10 | 138.89 | 192.66 | +0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-09 | 141.31 | 189.09 | +0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-06 | 142.38 | 186.28 | +0.52 | TM ahead |
| 2026-02-05 | 138.28 | 179.98 | +0.56 | TM ahead |
| 2026-02-04 | 140.73 | 183.96 | +0.54 | TM ahead |
| 2026-02-03 | 134.92 | 191.19 | +0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-02 | 135.01 | 191.12 | +0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-30 | 132.26 | 195.02 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-29 | 132.38 | 188.74 | +0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-28 | 127.61 | 195.50 | -0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-27 | 130.66 | 195.24 | -0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-26 | 131.53 | 197.19 | -0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-23 | 131.92 | 203.47 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-22 | 132.36 | 203.61 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-21 | 132.77 | 195.49 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-20 | 128.53 | 189.96 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-16 | 134.92 | 198.23 | -0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-15 | 135.45 | 198.72 | -0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-14 | 132.51 | 199.00 | -0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-13 | 133.52 | 202.63 | -0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-12 | 129.77 | 203.43 | -0.52 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-01-09 | 129.14 | 201.64 | -0.50 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-01-08 | 125.19 | 197.46 | -0.56 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-01-07 | 124.37 | 195.47 | -0.54 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-01-06 | 125.50 | 196.18 | -0.50 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-01-05 | 127.59 | 204.65 | -0.66 | TSLA ahead |
| 2026-01-02 | 127.02 | 198.49 | -0.50 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-12-31 | 124.79 | 203.77 | -0.76 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-12-30 | 125.26 | 205.90 | -0.80 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-12-29 | 126.18 | 208.26 | -0.82 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-12-26 | 126.29 | 215.31 | -1.00 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-12-24 | 126.35 | 219.94 | -1.13 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-12-23 | 127.81 | 220.01 | -1.05 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-12-22 | 127.97 | 221.45 | -1.07 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-12-19 | 127.90 | 218.03 | -0.97 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-12-18 | 125.97 | 219.02 | -1.08 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-12-17 | 124.90 | 211.72 | -0.92 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-12-16 | 125.00 | 221.97 | -1.19 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-12-15 | 125.23 | 215.36 | -1.00 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-12-12 | 121.33 | 207.96 | -0.98 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-12-11 | 118.67 | 202.49 | -0.95 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-12-10 | 117.05 | 204.55 | -1.09 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-12-09 | 114.46 | 201.71 | -1.14 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-12-08 | 113.81 | 199.18 | -1.11 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-12-05 | 114.59 | 206.16 | -1.27 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-12-04 | 115.59 | 205.95 | -1.22 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-12-03 | 113.94 | 202.42 | -1.21 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-12-02 | 114.84 | 194.49 | -0.94 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-12-01 | 116.14 | 194.90 | -0.89 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-11-28 | 117.69 | 194.91 | -0.81 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-11-26 | 118.02 | 193.29 | -0.75 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-11-25 | 116.75 | 190.03 | -0.72 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-11-24 | 116.05 | 189.30 | -0.73 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-11-21 | 115.21 | 177.20 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-20 | 111.50 | 179.08 | -0.64 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-11-19 | 114.72 | 183.05 | -0.61 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-11-18 | 114.24 | 181.81 | -0.59 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-11-17 | 116.01 | 185.28 | -0.62 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-11-14 | 118.98 | 183.21 | -0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-13 | 118.50 | 182.14 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-12 | 120.85 | 195.11 | -0.69 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-11-11 | 120.09 | 199.19 | -0.85 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-11-10 | 118.89 | 201.74 | -0.99 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-11-07 | 117.75 | 194.62 | -0.84 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-11-06 | 118.31 | 202.04 | -1.04 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-11-05 | 116.10 | 209.37 | -1.37 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-11-04 | 118.87 | 201.30 | -1.01 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-11-03 | 119.93 | 212.22 | -1.28 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-10-31 | 119.04 | 206.87 | -1.18 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-10-30 | 120.80 | 199.41 | -0.89 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-10-29 | 120.73 | 209.11 | -1.18 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-10-28 | 123.15 | 208.68 | -1.06 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-10-27 | 121.97 | 204.99 | -1.02 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-10-24 | 119.73 | 196.52 | -0.89 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-10-23 | 118.96 | 203.43 | -1.13 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-10-22 | 118.64 | 198.90 | -1.02 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-10-21 | 117.73 | 200.54 | -1.12 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-10-20 | 116.66 | 202.73 | -1.24 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-10-17 | 115.33 | 199.05 | -1.21 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-10-16 | 113.92 | 194.27 | -1.15 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-10-15 | 113.29 | 197.17 | -1.27 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-10-14 | 111.78 | 194.49 | -1.28 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-10-13 | 109.53 | 197.51 | -1.49 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-10-10 | 107.98 | 187.35 | -1.28 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-10-09 | 112.13 | 197.34 | -1.37 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-10-08 | 115.55 | 198.77 | -1.26 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-10-07 | 116.53 | 196.23 | -1.15 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-10-06 | 116.12 | 205.37 | -1.43 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-10-03 | 113.44 | 194.76 | -1.27 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-10-02 | 111.07 | 197.55 | -1.48 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-10-01 | 111.83 | 208.18 | -1.76 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-09-30 | 111.40 | 201.50 | -1.61 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-09-29 | 114.52 | 200.82 | -1.45 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-09-26 | 115.49 | 199.55 | -1.38 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-09-25 | 115.01 | 191.84 | -1.19 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-09-24 | 115.48 | 200.63 | -1.43 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-09-23 | 116.98 | 192.95 | -1.14 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-09-22 | 116.99 | 196.74 | -1.26 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-09-19 | 115.99 | 193.05 | -1.21 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-09-18 | 116.87 | 188.88 | -1.05 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-09-17 | 117.40 | 192.96 | -1.16 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-09-16 | 115.89 | 191.04 | -1.18 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-09-15 | 115.01 | 185.79 | -1.08 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-09-12 | 114.34 | 179.40 | -0.92 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-09-11 | 115.22 | 167.11 | -0.50 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-09-10 | 115.07 | 157.58 | -0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-09 | 117.06 | 157.21 | -0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-08 | 118.22 | 156.96 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-05 | 116.38 | 158.97 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-04 | 115.22 | 153.39 | -0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-03 | 112.52 | 151.38 | -0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-02 | 112.85 | 149.23 | -0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-29 | 113.43 | 151.28 | -0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-28 | 115.58 | 156.76 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-27 | 114.70 | 158.41 | -0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-26 | 115.05 | 159.34 | -0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-25 | 115.65 | 157.05 | -0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-22 | 117.40 | 154.06 | -0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-21 | 115.01 | 145.04 | +0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-20 | 116.13 | 146.76 | +0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-19 | 115.78 | 149.21 | +0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-18 | 115.33 | 151.86 | -0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-15 | 112.90 | 149.78 | -0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-14 | 112.21 | 152.05 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-13 | 113.33 | 153.77 | -0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-12 | 113.08 | 154.44 | -0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-11 | 110.26 | 153.62 | -0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-08 | 109.97 | 149.37 | -0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-07 | 105.81 | 146.02 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-06 | 107.26 | 144.95 | -0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-05 | 105.81 | 139.88 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-04 | 106.28 | 140.13 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-01 | 104.76 | 137.12 | -0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-31 | 104.34 | 139.68 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-30 | 106.54 | 144.56 | -0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-29 | 107.43 | 145.54 | -0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-28 | 109.12 | 147.53 | -0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-25 | 109.89 | 143.21 | -0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-24 | 111.74 | 138.33 | +0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-23 | 112.62 | 150.68 | -0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-22 | 99.10 | 150.48 | -0.86 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-07-21 | 99.13 | 148.84 | -0.81 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-07-18 | 98.32 | 149.37 | -0.87 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-07-17 | 99.39 | 144.73 | -0.69 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-07-16 | 99.04 | 145.75 | -0.74 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-07-15 | 99.12 | 140.82 | -0.59 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-07-14 | 100.36 | 143.59 | -0.63 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-07-11 | 99.26 | 142.05 | -0.64 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-07-10 | 99.34 | 140.40 | -0.59 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-07-09 | 99.42 | 134.06 | -0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-08 | 99.22 | 134.94 | -0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-07 | 97.86 | 133.19 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-03 | 101.96 | 142.89 | -0.57 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-07-02 | 100.28 | 143.02 | -0.65 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-07-01 | 100.01 | 136.25 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-30 | 100.43 | 143.93 | -0.68 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-06-27 | 102.45 | 146.64 | -0.68 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-06-26 | 99.48 | 147.61 | -0.84 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-06-25 | 98.61 | 148.41 | -0.90 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-06-24 | 100.03 | 154.27 | -1.01 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-06-23 | 99.62 | 157.99 | -1.13 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-06-20 | 100.51 | 145.97 | -0.78 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-06-18 | 102.37 | 145.92 | -0.71 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-06-17 | 101.41 | 143.34 | -0.68 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-06-16 | 103.58 | 149.13 | -0.76 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-06-13 | 104.21 | 147.40 | -0.69 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-06-12 | 106.10 | 144.59 | -0.55 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-06-11 | 106.46 | 147.91 | -0.63 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-06-10 | 108.00 | 147.75 | -0.58 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-06-09 | 107.23 | 139.82 | -0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-06 | 107.93 | 133.73 | -0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-05 | 107.50 | 129.00 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-04 | 109.58 | 150.45 | -0.61 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-06-03 | 111.58 | 155.99 | -0.68 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-06-02 | 110.27 | 155.27 | -0.71 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-05-30 | 111.10 | 156.98 | -0.73 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-05-29 | 108.50 | 162.41 | -0.94 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-05-28 | 106.62 | 161.71 | -1.00 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-05-27 | 108.83 | 164.43 | -0.99 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-05-23 | 106.28 | 153.76 | -0.84 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-05-22 | 106.58 | 154.53 | -0.86 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-05-21 | 107.54 | 151.62 | -0.76 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-05-20 | 108.65 | 155.79 | -0.83 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-05-19 | 108.04 | 155.00 | -0.84 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-05-16 | 106.80 | 158.58 | -0.96 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-05-15 | 106.95 | 155.33 | -0.89 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-05-14 | 109.02 | 157.54 | -0.88 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-05-13 | 113.08 | 151.37 | -0.63 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-05-12 | 112.12 | 144.26 | -0.51 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-05-09 | 109.33 | 135.14 | -0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-08 | 109.56 | 129.05 | -0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-07 | 110.13 | 125.16 | -0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-06 | 112.18 | 124.76 | -0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-05 | 112.21 | 126.99 | -0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-02 | 112.07 | 130.14 | -0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-01 | 111.11 | 127.10 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-30 | 111.48 | 127.85 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-29 | 113.91 | 132.32 | -0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-28 | 112.59 | 129.53 | -0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-25 | 109.72 | 129.11 | -0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-24 | 108.79 | 117.58 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-23 | 105.77 | 113.61 | -0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-22 | 104.18 | 107.83 | +0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-21 | 101.74 | 103.08 | +0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-17 | 102.83 | 109.37 | -0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-16 | 102.08 | 109.45 | -0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-15 | 101.58 | 115.14 | -0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-14 | 100.27 | 114.34 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-11 | 98.77 | 114.32 | -0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-10 | 97.49 | 114.36 | -0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-09 | 101.52 | 123.33 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-08 | 92.88 | 100.53 | -0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-07 | 93.48 | 105.70 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-04 | 92.48 | 108.49 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-03 | 97.98 | 121.11 | -0.51 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-04-02 | 103.37 | 128.12 | -0.52 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-04-01 | 101.68 | 121.64 | -0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-31 | 102.91 | 117.43 | -0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-28 | 104.40 | 119.42 | -0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-27 | 107.26 | 123.76 | -0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-26 | 110.35 | 123.27 | -0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-25 | 112.52 | 130.56 | -0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-24 | 112.21 | 126.14 | -0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-21 | 111.18 | 112.69 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-20 | 112.03 | 107.05 | +0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-19 | 112.60 | 106.87 | +0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-18 | 110.88 | 102.09 | +0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-17 | 109.84 | 107.84 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-14 | 108.83 | 113.27 | -0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-13 | 106.67 | 109.05 | -0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-12 | 108.23 | 112.41 | -0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-11 | 107.58 | 104.48 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-10 | 109.81 | 100.66 | +0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-07 | 110.87 | 119.02 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-06 | 109.32 | 119.37 | -0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-05 | 112.14 | 126.46 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-04 | 105.32 | 123.26 | -0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-03 | 107.15 | 128.98 | -0.54 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-02-28 | 105.80 | 132.75 | -0.65 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-02-27 | 106.27 | 127.75 | -0.55 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-02-26 | 105.64 | 131.76 | -0.64 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-02-25 | 104.62 | 137.20 | -0.77 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-02-24 | 102.97 | 149.76 | -1.04 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-02-21 | 103.25 | 153.06 | -1.09 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-02-20 | 105.33 | 160.58 | -1.17 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-02-19 | 105.00 | 163.37 | -1.23 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-02-18 | 107.31 | 160.45 | -1.14 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-02-14 | 107.41 | 161.23 | -1.16 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-02-13 | 107.28 | 161.28 | -1.17 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-02-12 | 106.51 | 152.47 | -1.06 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-02-11 | 108.28 | 148.84 | -0.97 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-02-10 | 107.89 | 158.92 | -1.15 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-02-07 | 107.26 | 163.85 | -1.25 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-02-06 | 111.06 | 169.61 | -1.26 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-02-05 | 113.89 | 171.35 | -1.23 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-02-04 | 109.35 | 177.71 | -1.44 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-02-03 | 107.07 | 173.85 | -1.45 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-01-31 | 110.14 | 183.33 | -1.52 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-01-30 | 111.33 | 181.37 | -1.48 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-01-29 | 109.01 | 176.30 | -1.48 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-01-28 | 108.02 | 180.38 | -1.57 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-01-27 | 108.73 | 179.95 | -1.57 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-01-24 | 108.79 | 184.22 | -1.64 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-01-23 | 108.59 | 186.85 | -1.70 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-01-22 | 108.74 | 188.09 | -1.73 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-01-21 | 108.98 | 192.15 | -1.80 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-01-17 | 105.39 | 193.25 | -1.92 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-01-16 | 105.80 | 187.50 | -1.85 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-01-15 | 107.76 | 194.03 | -1.92 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-01-14 | 108.09 | 179.59 | -1.72 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-01-13 | 106.83 | 182.74 | -1.81 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-01-10 | 106.96 | 178.86 | -1.77 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-01-08 | 112.25 | 178.95 | -1.65 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-01-07 | 112.59 | 178.69 | -1.65 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-01-06 | 111.00 | 186.25 | -1.82 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-01-03 | 113.83 | 185.97 | -1.77 | TSLA ahead |
| 2025-01-02 | 112.59 | 171.85 | -1.59 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-12-31 | 113.46 | 182.98 | -1.76 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-12-30 | 114.07 | 189.13 | -1.85 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-12-27 | 116.32 | 195.59 | -1.90 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-12-26 | 115.06 | 205.77 | -2.10 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-12-24 | 105.77 | 209.46 | -2.43 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-12-23 | 105.20 | 195.11 | -2.26 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-12-20 | 103.87 | 190.78 | -2.26 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-12-19 | 101.56 | 197.63 | -2.46 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-12-18 | 101.22 | 199.42 | -2.54 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-12-17 | 101.02 | 217.43 | -2.86 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-12-16 | 101.59 | 209.80 | -2.78 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-12-13 | 102.52 | 197.66 | -2.60 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-12-12 | 103.13 | 189.44 | -2.49 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-12-11 | 103.86 | 192.46 | -2.55 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-12-10 | 102.44 | 181.69 | -2.45 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-12-09 | 103.19 | 176.62 | -2.36 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-12-06 | 102.58 | 176.36 | -2.41 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-12-05 | 101.67 | 167.42 | -2.30 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-12-04 | 101.89 | 162.18 | -2.21 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-12-03 | 102.61 | 159.23 | -2.15 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-12-02 | 102.50 | 161.80 | -2.23 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-11-29 | 99.48 | 156.39 | -2.24 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-11-27 | 98.94 | 150.83 | -2.16 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-11-26 | 100.58 | 153.25 | -2.18 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-11-25 | 102.51 | 153.42 | -2.14 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-11-22 | 101.67 | 159.75 | -2.35 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-11-21 | 101.08 | 153.89 | -2.26 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-11-20 | 100.80 | 154.98 | -2.32 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-11-19 | 102.25 | 156.77 | -2.34 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-11-18 | 101.89 | 153.48 | -2.31 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-11-15 | 100.76 | 145.32 | -2.17 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-11-14 | 101.14 | 141.00 | -2.06 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-11-13 | 100.48 | 149.63 | -2.34 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-11-12 | 102.02 | 148.84 | -2.29 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-11-11 | 101.50 | 158.59 | -2.60 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-11-08 | 100.29 | 145.55 | -2.34 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-11-07 | 104.03 | 134.53 | -1.90 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-11-06 | 102.11 | 130.73 | -1.88 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-11-05 | 101.87 | 113.93 | -1.34 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-11-04 | 100.68 | 110.03 | -1.26 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-11-01 | 100.76 | 112.81 | -1.36 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-10-31 | 100.87 | 113.21 | -1.38 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-10-30 | 102.15 | 116.70 | -1.46 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-10-29 | 102.62 | 117.59 | -1.48 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-10-28 | 102.97 | 118.94 | -1.53 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-10-25 | 100.27 | 121.97 | -1.75 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-10-24 | 99.36 | 118.02 | -1.66 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-10-23 | 99.88 | 96.81 | -0.82 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-10-22 | 99.07 | 98.76 | -0.94 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-10-21 | 98.62 | 99.16 | -0.97 | TSLA ahead |
| 2024-10-18 | 100.00 | 100.00 | -0.95 | TSLA ahead |
One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Oct 24, 2024 (TM -0.5%, TSLA +21.9%); Jul 23, 2026 (TM -1.8%, TSLA -14.5%). Upcoming earnings: TM Nov 4, 2026 (not-supplied).
Paired trades
The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart
Forward paper record
No paper position on this pair yet.
Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)
No simulated trade through Oct 20, 2026: the pair rarely passed every test while 2 standard deviations apart.
Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.
The companies
TM and TSLA at a glance
TM Toyota Motor Corporation
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 1094517
- Industry
- Auto Manufacturing · SIC 3711 Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies
- Market value
- $252.9B
- Price history
- 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
TSLA Tesla Inc.
- Listing
- Nasdaq · SEC CIK 1318605
- Industry
- Auto Manufacturing · SIC 3711 Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies
- Market value
- $1.45T
- Price history
- 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.
Related
All pairs →Other rivals of TM and TSLA
| Pair | Status | Ahead now | Industry |
|---|---|---|---|
| TSLA / RACE | Watchlist | RACE by 0.89 sd | Auto Manufacturing |
| TM / RACE | Watchlist | RACE by 0.59 sd | Auto Manufacturing |
Follow the research behind the paper book
Boostio is a research-first platform in private beta: crypto candidates, daily market stories, public paper trading and now rival stocks. Exploring these pages stays free and open.
Explore the private betaPaper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.
