NVIDIA Corporation vs Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd.
WatchlistNVDA / TSMPrices through Oct 22, 2026
Why these are rivals: #1 and #2 by market value ($5232B vs $2179B) in Nasdaq's "Semiconductors" industry; SEC SIC 3674 / 3674 (same major group); #1 and #2 by market value ($5232B vs $2179B) with SEC SIC 3674 (Semiconductors & Related Devices).
Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.86 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Business leadership
Business size
Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.
| Year | NVDA | TSM | Larger |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $215.9B | - | - |
| 2024 | $130.5B | - | - |
| 2023 | $60.9B | - | - |
| 2022 | $27.0B | - | - |
| 2021 | $26.9B | - | - |
| 2020 | $16.7B | - | - |
Market value: NVDA $5.23T, TSM $2.18T.
Stock leadership
TSM is ahead now
Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.
TSM leads NVDA by 0.41 standard deviations: +4.3% over its usual price ratio. 0 lead switches in the last year.
| Price change | 3 mo | 6 mo | 12 mo |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | +2.6% | +6.3% | +17.1% |
| TSM | +2.2% | +7.8% | +40.0% |
Relationship
Not a measured twin today
Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.
- Pass
- Aligned sessions: 2521 (needs >= 254)
- Pass
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.66 (needs >= 0.60)
- Fail
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.86 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
- Pass
- Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 30.29 (needs <= 63)
- Data
- Both stocks current
The twins over two years
Prices side by side, and the gap between them
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd.Price index, 100 = 2024-10-18. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).
Spread z-score: NVDA relative to TSM, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: NVDA ahead; below 0: TSM ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).
Data table (504 sessions)
| Date | NVDA index | TSM index | z | Ahead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | 153.78 | 205.37 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-21 | 160.85 | 215.11 | -0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-20 | 156.86 | 211.71 | -0.53 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-10-19 | 157.31 | 209.29 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-16 | 155.17 | 205.50 | -0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-15 | 157.41 | 210.30 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-14 | 160.36 | 214.16 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-13 | 165.59 | 221.70 | -0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-12 | 164.00 | 221.31 | -0.56 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-10-09 | 166.14 | 225.77 | -0.63 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-10-08 | 167.01 | 228.11 | -0.69 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-10-07 | 172.08 | 235.18 | -0.70 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-10-06 | 173.36 | 240.21 | -0.84 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-10-05 | 173.12 | 241.96 | -0.93 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-10-02 | 169.53 | 235.47 | -0.87 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-10-01 | 167.29 | 228.71 | -0.73 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-09-30 | 165.49 | 227.21 | -0.78 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-09-29 | 164.64 | 227.58 | -0.85 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-09-28 | 165.84 | 225.56 | -0.70 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-09-25 | 163.09 | 224.43 | -0.82 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-09-24 | 162.74 | 224.70 | -0.85 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-09-23 | 163.41 | 222.42 | -0.73 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-09-22 | 165.85 | 225.12 | -0.71 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-09-21 | 164.77 | 221.71 | -0.64 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-09-18 | 161.07 | 216.49 | -0.63 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-09-17 | 158.94 | 214.29 | -0.67 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-09-16 | 155.00 | 208.05 | -0.63 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-09-15 | 153.75 | 206.07 | -0.63 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-09-14 | 152.87 | 208.19 | -0.77 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-09-11 | 158.18 | 215.78 | -0.79 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-09-10 | 158.23 | 213.18 | -0.69 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-09-09 | 162.08 | 216.83 | -0.64 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-09-08 | 163.57 | 218.65 | -0.64 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-09-04 | 166.93 | 213.62 | -0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-03 | 165.54 | 207.69 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-02 | 162.62 | 206.94 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-01 | 157.57 | 206.20 | -0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-31 | 159.99 | 206.85 | -0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-28 | 157.64 | 207.95 | -0.55 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-08-27 | 165.20 | 212.82 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-26 | 151.93 | 208.03 | -0.85 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-08-25 | 154.38 | 207.89 | -0.73 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-08-24 | 151.07 | 204.26 | -0.76 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-08-21 | 155.59 | 208.66 | -0.71 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-08-20 | 157.14 | 207.19 | -0.58 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-08-19 | 157.65 | 205.24 | -0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-18 | 159.23 | 205.90 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-17 | 163.05 | 214.65 | -0.59 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-08-14 | 163.16 | 212.35 | -0.51 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-08-13 | 163.26 | 214.41 | -0.58 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-08-12 | 162.38 | 213.74 | -0.60 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-08-11 | 157.61 | 210.21 | -0.70 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-08-10 | 157.64 | 208.42 | -0.65 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-08-07 | 162.29 | 209.20 | -0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-06 | 158.69 | 208.29 | -0.61 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-08-05 | 158.86 | 206.20 | -0.54 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-08-04 | 153.58 | 207.77 | -0.83 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-08-03 | 149.74 | 202.27 | -0.82 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-31 | 145.47 | 201.34 | -1.00 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-30 | 141.33 | 200.87 | -1.19 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-29 | 137.69 | 186.61 | -0.87 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-28 | 142.76 | 195.39 | -0.94 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-27 | 142.40 | 198.77 | -1.09 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-24 | 149.88 | 200.92 | -0.82 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-23 | 151.28 | 206.98 | -0.96 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-22 | 153.67 | 209.79 | -0.96 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-21 | 150.21 | 211.48 | -1.17 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-20 | 147.30 | 200.37 | -0.95 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-17 | 146.96 | 198.41 | -0.91 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-16 | 150.29 | 204.07 | -0.95 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-15 | 153.99 | 208.93 | -0.95 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-14 | 153.48 | 209.38 | -1.00 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-13 | 147.49 | 209.97 | -1.29 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-10 | 152.87 | 216.21 | -1.26 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-09 | 146.94 | 217.63 | -1.58 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-08 | 147.91 | 217.64 | -1.55 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-07 | 142.70 | 215.44 | -1.74 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-06 | 141.70 | 225.02 | -2.10 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-02 | 141.18 | 216.24 | -1.88 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-07-01 | 143.17 | 221.25 | -1.96 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-30 | 144.99 | 237.86 | -2.40 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-29 | 141.28 | 226.67 | -2.28 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-26 | 139.51 | 215.34 | -2.04 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-25 | 141.84 | 216.65 | -1.99 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-24 | 144.20 | 219.56 | -1.99 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-23 | 144.96 | 217.35 | -1.90 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-22 | 151.20 | 232.93 | -2.12 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-18 | 152.67 | 230.16 | -1.99 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-17 | 148.30 | 215.24 | -1.74 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-16 | 150.30 | 212.09 | -1.55 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-15 | 153.95 | 219.84 | -1.65 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-12 | 148.69 | 211.14 | -1.63 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-11 | 148.46 | 209.72 | -1.60 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-10 | 145.23 | 203.58 | -1.56 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-09 | 150.86 | 213.13 | -1.64 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-08 | 151.19 | 212.57 | -1.62 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-05 | 148.62 | 206.78 | -1.55 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-04 | 158.45 | 221.60 | -1.61 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-03 | 155.62 | 217.50 | -1.62 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-02 | 161.46 | 222.48 | -1.52 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-06-01 | 162.58 | 216.97 | -1.29 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-29 | 153.00 | 208.41 | -1.46 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-28 | 155.25 | 211.60 | -1.48 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-27 | 154.06 | 210.54 | -1.51 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-26 | 155.70 | 205.36 | -1.26 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-22 | 156.04 | 201.47 | -1.10 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-21 | 159.07 | 202.78 | -1.01 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-20 | 161.93 | 200.03 | -0.78 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-19 | 159.86 | 195.54 | -0.71 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-18 | 161.10 | 197.21 | -0.73 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-15 | 163.28 | 201.39 | -0.79 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-14 | 170.83 | 208.05 | -0.70 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-13 | 163.64 | 199.12 | -0.70 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-12 | 159.99 | 197.87 | -0.83 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-11 | 159.01 | 201.48 | -1.02 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-08 | 155.94 | 205.04 | -1.31 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-07 | 153.26 | 206.27 | -1.50 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-06 | 150.60 | 208.94 | -1.75 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-05 | 142.39 | 196.44 | -1.72 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-04 | 143.83 | 200.02 | -1.81 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-05-01 | 143.80 | 198.06 | -1.75 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-30 | 144.62 | 197.26 | -1.69 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-29 | 151.63 | 196.15 | -1.28 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-28 | 154.47 | 195.41 | -1.12 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-27 | 156.96 | 201.70 | -1.25 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-24 | 150.92 | 200.45 | -1.53 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-23 | 144.67 | 190.59 | -1.47 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-22 | 146.74 | 192.97 | -1.47 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-21 | 144.84 | 183.33 | -1.18 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-20 | 146.42 | 182.41 | -1.06 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-17 | 146.14 | 184.53 | -1.17 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-16 | 143.73 | 180.97 | -1.16 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-15 | 144.11 | 186.82 | -1.41 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-14 | 142.40 | 189.21 | -1.62 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-13 | 137.18 | 184.07 | -1.72 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-10 | 136.69 | 184.58 | -1.79 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-09 | 133.27 | 182.04 | -1.91 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-08 | 131.94 | 182.24 | -2.02 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-07 | 129.06 | 171.99 | -1.74 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-06 | 128.72 | 170.22 | -1.70 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-02 | 128.54 | 168.86 | -1.66 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-04-01 | 127.36 | 170.08 | -1.82 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-31 | 126.38 | 168.32 | -1.81 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-30 | 119.69 | 157.64 | -1.73 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-27 | 121.39 | 162.74 | -1.91 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-26 | 124.09 | 162.42 | -1.72 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-25 | 129.48 | 173.20 | -1.93 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-24 | 126.96 | 170.96 | -2.01 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-23 | 127.28 | 168.57 | -1.89 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-20 | 125.14 | 163.98 | -1.81 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-19 | 129.39 | 168.74 | -1.79 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-18 | 130.72 | 169.13 | -1.74 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-17 | 131.83 | 172.32 | -1.85 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-16 | 132.77 | 169.45 | -1.65 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-13 | 130.62 | 168.50 | -1.77 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-12 | 132.71 | 167.70 | -1.59 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-11 | 134.80 | 176.59 | -1.94 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-10 | 133.89 | 172.87 | -1.83 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-09 | 132.36 | 173.67 | -2.00 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-06 | 128.86 | 168.79 | -2.01 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-05 | 132.86 | 176.24 | -2.16 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-04 | 132.64 | 178.03 | -2.30 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-03 | 130.47 | 175.88 | -2.38 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-03-02 | 132.23 | 183.84 | -2.73 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-02-27 | 128.40 | 186.56 | -3.25 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-02-26 | 133.98 | 187.67 | -2.94 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-02-25 | 141.71 | 193.11 | -2.71 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-02-24 | 139.75 | 192.13 | -2.86 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-02-23 | 138.80 | 184.30 | -2.53 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-02-20 | 137.55 | 184.55 | -2.69 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-02-19 | 136.16 | 179.49 | -2.54 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-02-18 | 136.22 | 180.43 | -2.64 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-02-17 | 134.04 | 181.39 | -2.94 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-02-13 | 132.47 | 182.47 | -3.21 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-02-12 | 135.46 | 183.33 | -3.08 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-02-11 | 137.72 | 186.32 | -3.14 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-02-10 | 136.62 | 180.25 | -2.89 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-02-09 | 137.71 | 177.01 | -2.61 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-02-06 | 134.36 | 173.75 | -2.72 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-02-05 | 124.55 | 164.72 | -3.05 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-02-04 | 126.22 | 162.24 | -2.72 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-02-03 | 130.68 | 167.22 | -2.68 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-02-02 | 134.50 | 170.02 | -2.55 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-30 | 138.50 | 164.64 | -1.76 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-29 | 139.50 | 169.12 | -2.04 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-28 | 138.78 | 170.49 | -2.24 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-27 | 136.61 | 168.51 | -2.33 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-26 | 135.12 | 165.71 | -2.28 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-23 | 135.99 | 166.78 | -2.31 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-22 | 133.94 | 163.05 | -2.24 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-21 | 132.84 | 162.43 | -2.33 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-20 | 129.04 | 162.94 | -2.83 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-16 | 134.95 | 170.53 | -2.90 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-15 | 135.54 | 170.16 | -2.86 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-14 | 132.71 | 162.92 | -2.57 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-13 | 134.64 | 164.96 | -2.59 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-12 | 134.01 | 165.24 | -2.73 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-09 | 133.96 | 161.19 | -2.40 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-08 | 134.09 | 158.39 | -2.14 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-07 | 137.04 | 158.72 | -1.85 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-06 | 135.68 | 163.08 | -2.47 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-05 | 136.32 | 160.50 | -2.18 | TSM ahead |
| 2026-01-02 | 136.85 | 159.18 | -2.01 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-31 | 135.14 | 151.35 | -1.41 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-30 | 135.90 | 149.21 | -1.09 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-29 | 136.39 | 149.88 | -1.11 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-26 | 138.07 | 150.83 | -1.03 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-24 | 136.67 | 148.82 | -0.98 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-23 | 137.11 | 147.90 | -0.83 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-22 | 133.11 | 146.07 | -1.12 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-19 | 131.15 | 143.91 | -1.12 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-18 | 126.19 | 141.79 | -1.52 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-17 | 123.87 | 137.94 | -1.38 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-16 | 128.78 | 142.88 | -1.33 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-15 | 127.75 | 143.31 | -1.53 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-12 | 126.83 | 145.45 | -1.92 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-11 | 131.11 | 151.83 | -2.11 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-10 | 133.17 | 154.47 | -2.16 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-09 | 134.04 | 151.12 | -1.70 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-08 | 134.46 | 150.35 | -1.57 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-05 | 132.18 | 146.79 | -1.47 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-04 | 132.88 | 145.90 | -1.28 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-03 | 130.14 | 147.15 | -1.80 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-02 | 131.49 | 145.48 | -1.44 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-12-01 | 130.38 | 143.28 | -1.33 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-11-28 | 128.26 | 145.19 | -1.86 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-11-26 | 130.62 | 144.42 | -1.46 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-11-25 | 128.86 | 141.79 | -1.39 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-11-24 | 132.28 | 141.77 | -0.95 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-11-21 | 129.62 | 137.00 | -0.72 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-11-20 | 130.90 | 138.21 | -0.71 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-11-19 | 135.16 | 140.64 | -0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-18 | 131.42 | 138.42 | -0.67 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-11-17 | 135.22 | 140.46 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-14 | 137.80 | 141.86 | -0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-13 | 135.41 | 140.55 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-12 | 140.43 | 144.75 | -0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-11 | 139.97 | 145.02 | -0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-10 | 144.24 | 147.06 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-07 | 136.34 | 142.69 | -0.60 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-11-06 | 136.29 | 144.06 | -0.77 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-11-05 | 141.46 | 146.25 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-04 | 143.98 | 146.45 | -0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-03 | 149.91 | 151.84 | -0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-31 | 146.73 | 149.63 | -0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-30 | 147.02 | 151.02 | -0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-29 | 150.03 | 151.95 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-28 | 145.67 | 150.18 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-27 | 138.76 | 148.55 | -0.99 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-10-24 | 134.97 | 146.91 | -1.27 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-10-23 | 132.00 | 144.80 | -1.40 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-10-22 | 130.64 | 143.88 | -1.48 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-10-21 | 131.28 | 146.68 | -1.72 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-10-20 | 132.35 | 148.27 | -1.79 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-10-17 | 132.77 | 146.97 | -1.61 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-10-16 | 131.75 | 149.34 | -2.02 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-10-15 | 130.31 | 151.76 | -2.50 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-10-14 | 130.46 | 147.40 | -2.02 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-10-13 | 136.46 | 150.86 | -1.68 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-10-10 | 132.72 | 139.78 | -0.88 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-10-09 | 139.54 | 149.36 | -1.15 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-10-08 | 137.04 | 151.67 | -1.73 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-10-07 | 134.09 | 146.44 | -1.52 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-10-06 | 134.45 | 150.61 | -1.97 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-10-03 | 135.96 | 145.53 | -1.20 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-10-02 | 136.88 | 143.50 | -0.85 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-10-01 | 135.68 | 143.67 | -1.03 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-09-30 | 135.20 | 139.10 | -0.53 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-09-29 | 131.78 | 136.08 | -0.60 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-09-26 | 129.12 | 136.15 | -0.96 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-09-25 | 128.76 | 137.79 | -1.22 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-09-24 | 128.24 | 139.81 | -1.55 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-09-23 | 129.30 | 140.81 | -1.54 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-09-22 | 133.05 | 135.79 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-19 | 128.02 | 131.92 | -0.58 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-09-18 | 127.71 | 133.80 | -0.88 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-09-17 | 123.40 | 130.88 | -1.10 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-09-16 | 126.72 | 130.52 | -0.59 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-09-15 | 128.80 | 130.18 | -0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-12 | 128.86 | 129.16 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-11 | 128.38 | 128.95 | -0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-10 | 128.50 | 129.71 | -0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-09 | 123.74 | 124.97 | -0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-08 | 121.96 | 123.11 | -0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-05 | 121.03 | 121.23 | -0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-04 | 124.39 | 117.15 | +0.99 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-09-03 | 123.64 | 115.25 | +1.17 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-09-02 | 123.75 | 113.75 | +1.42 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-29 | 126.22 | 114.99 | +1.58 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-28 | 130.56 | 118.67 | +1.62 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-27 | 131.59 | 119.18 | +1.68 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-26 | 131.72 | 118.90 | +1.75 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-25 | 130.30 | 117.34 | +1.79 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-22 | 128.98 | 116.04 | +1.82 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-21 | 126.80 | 113.22 | +1.96 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-20 | 127.10 | 113.86 | +1.92 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-19 | 127.28 | 115.90 | +1.64 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-18 | 131.89 | 120.24 | +1.64 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-15 | 130.76 | 118.98 | +1.69 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-14 | 131.90 | 120.03 | +1.70 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-13 | 131.59 | 120.25 | +1.64 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-12 | 132.72 | 121.67 | +1.60 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-11 | 131.93 | 120.57 | +1.67 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-08 | 132.39 | 120.45 | +1.77 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-07 | 130.99 | 120.84 | +1.53 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-06 | 130.01 | 115.24 | +2.29 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-05 | 129.17 | 115.78 | +2.11 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-04 | 130.43 | 119.04 | +1.79 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-08-01 | 125.88 | 117.15 | +1.43 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-07-31 | 128.89 | 120.34 | +1.38 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-07-30 | 129.91 | 120.98 | +1.43 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-07-29 | 127.18 | 120.20 | +1.16 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-07-28 | 128.08 | 120.90 | +1.19 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-07-25 | 125.72 | 122.32 | +0.61 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-07-24 | 125.90 | 120.33 | +0.94 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-07-23 | 123.75 | 119.70 | +0.72 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-07-22 | 121.04 | 116.84 | +0.75 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-07-21 | 124.19 | 118.96 | +0.91 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-07-18 | 124.93 | 119.73 | +0.90 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-07-17 | 125.36 | 122.32 | +0.56 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-07-16 | 124.18 | 118.32 | +1.02 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-07-15 | 123.70 | 118.01 | +1.00 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-07-14 | 118.89 | 113.89 | +0.93 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-07-11 | 119.51 | 114.75 | +0.88 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-07-10 | 118.91 | 114.43 | +0.84 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-07-09 | 118.03 | 115.47 | +0.53 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-07-08 | 115.94 | 113.49 | +0.52 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-07-07 | 114.67 | 114.14 | +0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-03 | 115.46 | 116.94 | -0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-02 | 113.95 | 116.35 | -0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-01 | 111.09 | 111.90 | -0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-30 | 114.49 | 112.81 | +0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-27 | 114.31 | 113.84 | +0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-26 | 112.33 | 111.57 | +0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-25 | 111.82 | 110.94 | +0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-24 | 107.17 | 109.62 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-23 | 104.47 | 104.75 | +0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-20 | 104.24 | 104.35 | +0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-18 | 105.42 | 106.34 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-17 | 104.43 | 106.53 | -0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-16 | 104.85 | 107.42 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-13 | 102.88 | 105.14 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-12 | 105.07 | 107.30 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-11 | 103.50 | 106.63 | -0.53 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-06-10 | 104.32 | 105.82 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-09 | 103.36 | 103.10 | +0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-06 | 102.70 | 102.19 | +0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-05 | 101.44 | 101.28 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-04 | 102.84 | 100.81 | +0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-03 | 102.33 | 98.42 | +0.68 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-06-02 | 99.55 | 97.04 | +0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-30 | 97.92 | 96.28 | +0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-29 | 100.86 | 98.19 | +0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-28 | 97.69 | 97.69 | -0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-27 | 98.19 | 98.46 | -0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-23 | 95.14 | 95.62 | -0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-22 | 96.25 | 97.71 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-21 | 95.51 | 95.51 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-20 | 97.38 | 96.35 | +0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-19 | 98.24 | 96.37 | +0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-16 | 98.12 | 96.73 | +0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-15 | 97.70 | 96.73 | +0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-14 | 98.07 | 97.00 | +0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-13 | 94.15 | 96.62 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-12 | 89.13 | 93.13 | -0.66 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-05-09 | 84.53 | 87.92 | -0.58 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-05-08 | 85.05 | 87.27 | -0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-07 | 84.83 | 86.93 | -0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-06 | 82.28 | 85.81 | -0.61 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-05-05 | 82.48 | 87.86 | -0.95 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-05-02 | 82.97 | 89.29 | -1.11 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-05-01 | 80.88 | 86.02 | -0.92 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-04-30 | 78.93 | 83.02 | -0.73 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-04-29 | 79.00 | 81.92 | -0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-28 | 78.79 | 81.38 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-25 | 80.44 | 82.23 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-24 | 77.12 | 81.77 | -0.82 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-04-23 | 74.43 | 78.60 | -0.75 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-04-22 | 71.66 | 75.41 | -0.69 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-04-21 | 70.22 | 73.64 | -0.62 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-04-17 | 73.54 | 75.58 | -0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-16 | 75.72 | 75.54 | +0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-15 | 81.30 | 78.36 | +0.70 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-04-14 | 80.22 | 77.62 | +0.64 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-04-11 | 80.38 | 78.23 | +0.56 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-04-10 | 77.95 | 75.27 | +0.68 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-04-09 | 82.85 | 79.07 | +0.87 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-04-08 | 69.78 | 70.41 | +0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-07 | 70.75 | 72.80 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-04 | 68.34 | 73.11 | -0.82 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-04-03 | 73.77 | 78.38 | -0.72 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-04-02 | 80.01 | 84.86 | -0.69 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-04-01 | 79.82 | 83.99 | -0.58 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-03-31 | 78.54 | 82.68 | -0.58 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-03-28 | 79.47 | 82.30 | -0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-27 | 80.75 | 83.79 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-26 | 82.43 | 86.41 | -0.52 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-03-25 | 87.46 | 90.10 | -0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-24 | 87.98 | 90.23 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-21 | 85.29 | 88.02 | -0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-20 | 85.89 | 88.39 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-19 | 85.16 | 86.54 | -0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-18 | 83.64 | 86.23 | -0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-17 | 86.62 | 87.78 | -0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-14 | 88.17 | 86.71 | +0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-13 | 83.75 | 85.46 | -0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-12 | 83.87 | 88.24 | -0.54 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-03-11 | 78.81 | 85.15 | -0.92 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-03-10 | 77.52 | 84.99 | -1.14 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-03-07 | 81.66 | 88.21 | -0.92 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-03-06 | 80.12 | 87.58 | -1.09 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-03-05 | 85.00 | 91.78 | -0.91 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-03-04 | 84.05 | 89.65 | -0.72 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-03-03 | 82.65 | 86.15 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-28 | 90.52 | 89.91 | +0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-27 | 87.07 | 90.19 | -0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-26 | 95.13 | 96.93 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-25 | 91.76 | 94.32 | -0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-24 | 94.41 | 95.45 | +0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-21 | 97.41 | 98.73 | +0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-20 | 101.53 | 99.66 | +0.50 | NVDA ahead |
| 2025-02-19 | 100.89 | 100.08 | +0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-18 | 101.01 | 100.98 | +0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-14 | 100.62 | 101.55 | +0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-13 | 98.04 | 100.52 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-12 | 95.03 | 102.79 | -0.71 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-02-11 | 96.23 | 103.96 | -0.68 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-02-10 | 96.79 | 103.57 | -0.54 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-02-07 | 94.09 | 102.66 | -0.78 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-02-06 | 93.25 | 104.84 | -1.14 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-02-05 | 90.46 | 103.88 | -1.39 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-02-04 | 85.98 | 101.63 | -1.73 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-02-03 | 84.54 | 99.51 | -1.67 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-01-31 | 87.01 | 104.25 | -1.87 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-01-30 | 90.33 | 103.67 | -1.33 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-01-29 | 89.64 | 100.77 | -1.06 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-01-28 | 93.47 | 100.81 | -0.56 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-01-27 | 85.81 | 95.78 | -0.94 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-01-24 | 103.35 | 110.51 | -0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-23 | 106.68 | 111.87 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-22 | 106.57 | 111.17 | -0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-21 | 102.05 | 108.93 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-17 | 99.79 | 105.34 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-16 | 96.79 | 106.98 | -0.71 | TSM ahead |
| 2025-01-15 | 98.72 | 103.00 | -0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-14 | 95.48 | 100.33 | -0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-13 | 96.54 | 100.29 | -0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-10 | 98.49 | 103.78 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-08 | 101.53 | 103.16 | +0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-07 | 101.55 | 105.30 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-06 | 108.28 | 109.58 | +0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-03 | 104.69 | 103.90 | +0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-02 | 100.22 | 100.40 | +0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-31 | 97.31 | 98.36 | +0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-30 | 99.63 | 99.81 | +0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-27 | 99.28 | 100.42 | +0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-26 | 101.40 | 101.14 | +0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-24 | 101.61 | 102.76 | +0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-23 | 101.21 | 103.28 | +0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-20 | 97.61 | 98.22 | +0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-19 | 94.70 | 96.94 | +0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-18 | 93.41 | 97.40 | +0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-17 | 94.49 | 99.94 | +0.00 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-16 | 95.65 | 100.72 | +0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-13 | 97.28 | 100.10 | +0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-12 | 99.52 | 95.36 | +0.80 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-12-11 | 100.95 | 96.92 | +0.79 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-12-10 | 97.88 | 95.60 | +0.66 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-12-09 | 100.59 | 99.20 | +0.59 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-12-06 | 103.22 | 101.12 | +0.65 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-12-05 | 105.12 | 101.75 | +0.74 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-12-04 | 105.17 | 99.96 | +0.88 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-12-03 | 101.64 | 99.06 | +0.70 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-12-02 | 100.46 | 96.82 | +0.79 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-11-29 | 100.18 | 91.97 | +1.14 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-11-27 | 98.07 | 90.24 | +1.14 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-11-26 | 99.22 | 91.56 | +1.12 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-11-25 | 98.57 | 92.18 | +1.03 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-11-22 | 102.86 | 94.67 | +1.15 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-11-21 | 106.28 | 95.25 | +1.35 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-11-20 | 105.72 | 93.81 | +1.43 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-11-19 | 106.53 | 94.47 | +1.45 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-11-18 | 101.56 | 93.38 | +1.20 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-11-15 | 102.88 | 92.64 | +1.36 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-11-14 | 106.35 | 93.88 | +1.51 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-11-13 | 105.99 | 92.97 | +1.56 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-11-12 | 107.46 | 95.51 | +1.48 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-11-11 | 105.26 | 96.65 | +1.27 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-11-08 | 106.98 | 100.21 | +1.14 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-11-07 | 107.88 | 100.20 | +1.20 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-11-06 | 105.51 | 96.23 | +1.34 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-11-05 | 101.38 | 97.50 | +0.98 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-11-04 | 98.59 | 95.41 | +0.94 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-11-01 | 98.12 | 96.10 | +0.87 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-10-31 | 96.20 | 94.90 | +0.82 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-10-30 | 100.97 | 96.86 | +1.02 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-10-29 | 102.36 | 98.09 | +1.03 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-10-28 | 101.83 | 96.96 | +1.08 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-10-25 | 102.57 | 101.32 | +0.84 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-10-24 | 101.75 | 98.58 | +0.98 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-10-23 | 101.13 | 100.04 | +0.85 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-10-22 | 104.05 | 98.85 | +1.12 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-10-21 | 104.14 | 100.58 | +1.02 | NVDA ahead |
| 2024-10-18 | 100.00 | 100.00 | +0.80 | NVDA ahead |
No one-day company-specific move of 4+ standard deviations in this window.
Paired trades
The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart
Forward paper record
No paper position on this pair yet.
Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)
1 simulated trade to Oct 20, 2026: +10.60% per trade on average after costs, 1 won.
| Legs | Entered | Exited | Why | Days | Before costs | Costs + borrow | After costs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long TSM · Short NVDA | Aug 6, 2025 | Sep 9, 2025 | converged | 34 | $1,088.86 | -$28.60 | $1,059.97 (+10.60%) |
Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.
The companies
NVDA and TSM at a glance
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation
- Listing
- Nasdaq · SEC CIK 1045810
- Industry
- Semiconductors · SIC 3674 Semiconductors & Related Devices
- Market value
- $5.23T
- Price history
- 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd.
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 1046179
- Industry
- Semiconductors · SIC 3674 Semiconductors & Related Devices
- Market value
- $2.18T
- Price history
- 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.
Related
All pairs →Other rivals of NVDA and TSM
| Pair | Status | Ahead now | Industry |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA / AVGO | Watchlist | NVDA by 2.16 sd | Semiconductors |
| TSM / AVGO | Watchlist | TSM by 1.57 sd | Semiconductors |
Follow the research behind the paper book
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Explore the private betaPaper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.
