Trucking Freight/Courier Services

J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc. vs United Parcel Service Inc.

WatchlistJBHT / UPSPrices through Oct 22, 2026

Why these are rivals: #1 and #3 by market value ($83B vs $21B) in Nasdaq's "Trucking Freight/Courier Services" industry; SEC SIC 4210 / 4213 (same major group).

Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.

Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.45 (needs >= 0.60)
Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.38 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))

Business leadership

UPS is the larger business

Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.

Year	JBHT	UPS	Larger
2025	$12.0B	$88.7B	UPS
2024	$12.1B	$91.1B	UPS
2023	$12.8B	$91.0B	UPS
2022	$14.8B	$100.3B	UPS
2021	$12.2B	$97.3B	UPS
2020	$9.6B	$84.6B	UPS

UPS led in every year with figures for both. Market value: JBHT $21.0B, UPS $82.9B.

Stock leadership

Neither is clearly ahead

Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.

The gap is 0.13 standard deviations, close to the usual relationship. 0 lead switches in the last year.

Price change	3 mo	6 mo	12 mo
JBHT	-20.0%	-9.1%	+36.5%
UPS	-11.6%	-5.8%	+15.3%

Relationship

Not a measured twin today

Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.

Pass: Aligned sessions: 2521 (needs >= 254)
Fail: Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.45 (needs >= 0.60)
Fail: Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.38 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Pass: Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 48.67 (needs <= 63)
Data: Both stocks current

The twins over two years

Prices side by side, and the gap between them

JBHT J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc. UPS United Parcel Service Inc.Price index, 100 = 2024-10-18. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).

Spread z-score: JBHT relative to UPS, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: JBHT ahead; below 0: UPS ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).

Data table (504 sessions)

Date	JBHT index	UPS index	z	Ahead
2026-10-22	130.37	74.69	+0.13	near the usual relationship
2026-10-21	129.24	73.25	+0.22	near the usual relationship
2026-10-20	128.00	72.48	+0.23	near the usual relationship
2026-10-19	126.22	71.70	+0.21	near the usual relationship
2026-10-16	129.35	71.71	+0.39	near the usual relationship
2026-10-15	133.04	71.97	+0.57	JBHT ahead
2026-10-14	131.26	70.46	+0.63	JBHT ahead
2026-10-13	129.50	69.73	+0.61	JBHT ahead
2026-10-12	129.08	70.14	+0.56	JBHT ahead
2026-10-09	129.62	69.57	+0.65	JBHT ahead
2026-10-08	129.15	69.25	+0.66	JBHT ahead
2026-10-07	125.88	67.90	+0.63	JBHT ahead
2026-10-06	127.74	68.50	+0.67	JBHT ahead
2026-10-05	129.89	68.52	+0.79	JBHT ahead
2026-10-02	132.41	68.43	+0.93	JBHT ahead
2026-10-01	128.46	69.07	+0.67	JBHT ahead
2026-09-30	126.67	68.74	+0.62	JBHT ahead
2026-09-29	129.63	69.10	+0.74	JBHT ahead
2026-09-28	127.82	69.34	+0.63	JBHT ahead
2026-09-25	127.47	69.12	+0.64	JBHT ahead
2026-09-24	129.56	67.72	+0.88	JBHT ahead
2026-09-23	132.66	70.49	+0.78	JBHT ahead
2026-09-22	134.23	70.53	+0.86	JBHT ahead
2026-09-21	133.53	69.70	+0.90	JBHT ahead
2026-09-18	132.44	72.88	+0.59	JBHT ahead
2026-09-17	133.88	73.69	+0.59	JBHT ahead
2026-09-16	133.84	72.66	+0.68	JBHT ahead
2026-09-15	154.38	75.30	+1.34	JBHT ahead
2026-09-14	155.48	75.38	+1.39	JBHT ahead
2026-09-11	152.91	73.77	+1.43	JBHT ahead
2026-09-10	151.43	73.55	+1.40	JBHT ahead
2026-09-09	151.41	72.99	+1.45	JBHT ahead
2026-09-08	155.36	73.92	+1.55	JBHT ahead
2026-09-04	154.79	75.25	+1.43	JBHT ahead
2026-09-03	150.55	76.14	+1.20	JBHT ahead
2026-09-02	147.13	75.78	+1.10	JBHT ahead
2026-09-01	145.01	75.52	+1.04	JBHT ahead
2026-08-31	150.09	76.68	+1.16	JBHT ahead
2026-08-28	147.58	77.49	+1.00	JBHT ahead
2026-08-27	148.92	77.75	+1.05	JBHT ahead
2026-08-26	149.06	77.72	+1.06	JBHT ahead
2026-08-25	148.23	77.35	+1.06	JBHT ahead
2026-08-24	146.93	75.57	+1.16	JBHT ahead
2026-08-21	155.74	75.05	+1.56	JBHT ahead
2026-08-20	155.18	75.47	+1.52	JBHT ahead
2026-08-19	154.02	75.67	+1.47	JBHT ahead
2026-08-18	155.02	74.99	+1.58	JBHT ahead
2026-08-17	160.21	75.05	+1.79	JBHT ahead
2026-08-14	158.14	76.88	+1.58	JBHT ahead
2026-08-13	159.62	77.64	+1.59	JBHT ahead
2026-08-12	156.02	76.44	+1.56	JBHT ahead
2026-08-11	150.04	76.83	+1.30	JBHT ahead
2026-08-10	150.47	77.04	+1.31	JBHT ahead
2026-08-07	151.82	76.88	+1.39	JBHT ahead
2026-08-06	151.10	75.92	+1.45	JBHT ahead
2026-08-05	154.16	79.23	+1.32	JBHT ahead
2026-08-04	155.19	80.27	+1.29	JBHT ahead
2026-08-03	150.91	78.62	+1.26	JBHT ahead
2026-07-31	153.64	76.67	+1.53	JBHT ahead
2026-07-30	152.21	77.44	+1.43	JBHT ahead
2026-07-29	156.13	76.92	+1.63	JBHT ahead
2026-07-28	156.96	77.64	+1.62	JBHT ahead
2026-07-27	158.85	83.09	+1.29	JBHT ahead
2026-07-24	163.00	84.45	+1.36	JBHT ahead
2026-07-23	163.61	83.94	+1.42	JBHT ahead
2026-07-22	165.23	85.22	+1.40	JBHT ahead
2026-07-21	165.81	85.59	+1.41	JBHT ahead
2026-07-20	164.31	83.24	+1.53	JBHT ahead
2026-07-17	164.76	86.60	+1.32	JBHT ahead
2026-07-16	168.72	86.21	+1.50	JBHT ahead
2026-07-15	156.21	83.09	+1.27	JBHT ahead
2026-07-14	158.80	83.62	+1.34	JBHT ahead
2026-07-13	160.00	83.05	+1.44	JBHT ahead
2026-07-10	158.29	82.74	+1.40	JBHT ahead
2026-07-09	159.78	81.47	+1.56	JBHT ahead
2026-07-08	156.30	80.88	+1.49	JBHT ahead
2026-07-07	155.48	82.37	+1.36	JBHT ahead
2026-07-06	157.03	80.94	+1.53	JBHT ahead
2026-07-02	161.60	81.41	+1.68	JBHT ahead
2026-07-01	164.00	80.59	+1.84	JBHT ahead
2026-06-30	163.64	79.08	+1.95	JBHT ahead
2026-06-29	162.77	79.46	+1.91	JBHT ahead
2026-06-26	158.48	79.56	+1.76	JBHT ahead
2026-06-25	155.30	80.42	+1.59	JBHT ahead
2026-06-24	152.12	78.08	+1.65	JBHT ahead
2026-06-23	152.22	77.86	+1.69	JBHT ahead
2026-06-22	154.62	78.89	+1.71	JBHT ahead
2026-06-18	153.34	77.14	+1.81	JBHT ahead
2026-06-17	151.09	77.34	+1.72	JBHT ahead
2026-06-16	158.21	80.94	+1.74	JBHT ahead
2026-06-15	160.09	80.06	+1.89	JBHT ahead
2026-06-12	163.60	79.53	+2.07	JBHT ahead
2026-06-11	163.48	79.93	+2.06	JBHT ahead
2026-06-10	158.73	75.97	+2.21	JBHT ahead
2026-06-09	162.37	79.36	+2.11	JBHT ahead
2026-06-08	162.93	79.23	+2.16	JBHT ahead
2026-06-05	161.11	79.85	+2.07	JBHT ahead
2026-06-04	160.18	81.09	+1.96	JBHT ahead
2026-06-03	158.34	79.95	+2.00	JBHT ahead
2026-06-02	155.82	80.14	+1.91	JBHT ahead
2026-06-01	158.00	80.20	+2.01	JBHT ahead
2026-05-29	156.29	78.49	+2.09	JBHT ahead
2026-05-28	154.08	78.47	+2.03	JBHT ahead
2026-05-27	153.15	76.86	+2.14	JBHT ahead
2026-05-26	151.31	75.02	+2.25	JBHT ahead
2026-05-22	146.31	74.32	+2.12	JBHT ahead
2026-05-21	146.57	72.28	+2.34	JBHT ahead
2026-05-20	148.63	72.74	+2.42	JBHT ahead
2026-05-19	145.04	71.24	+2.43	JBHT ahead
2026-05-18	147.83	70.28	+2.68	JBHT ahead
2026-05-15	148.25	72.78	+2.51	JBHT ahead
2026-05-14	143.98	72.40	+2.39	JBHT ahead
2026-05-13	134.45	72.43	+1.96	JBHT ahead
2026-05-12	133.88	72.42	+1.95	JBHT ahead
2026-05-11	136.12	73.57	+1.98	JBHT ahead
2026-05-08	138.75	74.14	+2.08	JBHT ahead
2026-05-07	136.93	73.64	+2.06	JBHT ahead
2026-05-06	139.11	73.49	+2.20	JBHT ahead
2026-05-05	137.41	72.15	+2.27	JBHT ahead
2026-05-04	134.75	70.85	+2.28	JBHT ahead
2026-05-01	140.63	79.14	+1.84	JBHT ahead
2026-04-30	142.21	80.04	+1.86	JBHT ahead
2026-04-29	139.26	78.43	+1.87	JBHT ahead
2026-04-28	142.08	76.47	+2.19	JBHT ahead
2026-04-27	141.44	79.63	+1.91	JBHT ahead
2026-04-24	140.55	78.73	+1.96	JBHT ahead
2026-04-23	143.44	79.25	+2.07	JBHT ahead
2026-04-22	139.67	77.47	+2.06	JBHT ahead
2026-04-21	141.96	78.21	+2.13	JBHT ahead
2026-04-20	142.25	78.80	+2.11	JBHT ahead
2026-04-17	138.57	78.31	+2.00	JBHT ahead
2026-04-16	134.74	77.29	+1.91	JBHT ahead
2026-04-15	126.74	76.19	+1.60	JBHT ahead
2026-04-14	129.82	75.94	+1.81	JBHT ahead
2026-04-13	128.69	75.05	+1.85	JBHT ahead
2026-04-10	128.37	74.82	+1.87	JBHT ahead
2026-04-09	127.34	74.77	+1.84	JBHT ahead
2026-04-08	127.00	73.90	+1.92	JBHT ahead
2026-04-07	123.09	71.78	+1.92	JBHT ahead
2026-04-06	122.90	71.48	+1.96	JBHT ahead
2026-04-02	121.51	72.23	+1.83	JBHT ahead
2026-04-01	120.68	72.03	+1.81	JBHT ahead
2026-03-31	119.81	72.38	+1.74	JBHT ahead
2026-03-30	115.77	69.85	+1.77	JBHT ahead
2026-03-27	116.24	69.74	+1.82	JBHT ahead
2026-03-26	116.57	71.73	+1.66	JBHT ahead
2026-03-25	118.22	72.37	+1.71	JBHT ahead
2026-03-24	115.98	72.42	+1.58	JBHT ahead
2026-03-23	114.65	71.85	+1.56	JBHT ahead
2026-03-20	113.04	70.52	+1.61	JBHT ahead
2026-03-19	113.19	71.04	+1.57	JBHT ahead
2026-03-18	111.74	71.24	+1.47	JBHT ahead
2026-03-17	113.15	71.93	+1.50	JBHT ahead
2026-03-16	114.62	71.65	+1.63	JBHT ahead
2026-03-13	113.22	71.51	+1.57	JBHT ahead
2026-03-12	113.72	72.02	+1.57	JBHT ahead
2026-03-11	118.93	74.16	+1.69	JBHT ahead
2026-03-10	122.04	74.24	+1.88	JBHT ahead
2026-03-09	122.95	73.52	+2.02	JBHT ahead
2026-03-06	120.65	75.30	+1.74	JBHT ahead
2026-03-05	127.98	76.56	+2.06	JBHT ahead
2026-03-04	132.82	81.29	+1.92	JBHT ahead
2026-03-03	130.53	83.30	+1.64	JBHT ahead
2026-03-02	131.21	84.18	+1.61	JBHT ahead
2026-02-27	131.97	85.31	+1.57	JBHT ahead
2026-02-26	129.03	85.80	+1.38	JBHT ahead
2026-02-25	123.96	83.76	+1.28	JBHT ahead
2026-02-24	126.02	84.87	+1.31	JBHT ahead
2026-02-23	125.56	84.62	+1.32	JBHT ahead
2026-02-20	130.13	85.88	+1.48	JBHT ahead
2026-02-19	127.62	85.00	+1.43	JBHT ahead
2026-02-18	126.34	85.43	+1.33	JBHT ahead
2026-02-17	126.37	84.98	+1.38	JBHT ahead
2026-02-13	125.38	87.72	+1.10	JBHT ahead
2026-02-12	123.66	86.86	+1.08	JBHT ahead
2026-02-11	130.25	88.28	+1.35	JBHT ahead
2026-02-10	129.50	87.32	+1.40	JBHT ahead
2026-02-09	127.93	86.75	+1.37	JBHT ahead
2026-02-06	128.86	86.32	+1.48	JBHT ahead
2026-02-05	127.35	85.74	+1.45	JBHT ahead
2026-02-04	129.03	85.88	+1.55	JBHT ahead
2026-02-03	124.73	82.28	+1.64	JBHT ahead
2026-02-02	119.70	81.12	+1.45	JBHT ahead
2026-01-30	114.62	78.14	+1.41	JBHT ahead
2026-01-29	116.02	77.97	+1.53	JBHT ahead
2026-01-28	115.94	76.29	+1.71	JBHT ahead
2026-01-27	114.71	78.86	+1.38	JBHT ahead
2026-01-26	115.97	78.69	+1.49	JBHT ahead
2026-01-23	116.89	79.44	+1.50	JBHT ahead
2026-01-22	119.14	80.41	+1.56	JBHT ahead
2026-01-21	118.56	79.81	+1.60	JBHT ahead
2026-01-20	115.06	78.38	+1.52	JBHT ahead
2026-01-16	115.55	78.65	+1.54	JBHT ahead
2026-01-15	116.76	79.91	+1.51	JBHT ahead
2026-01-14	116.36	79.01	+1.59	JBHT ahead
2026-01-13	116.00	78.41	+1.64	JBHT ahead
2026-01-12	116.66	79.47	+1.59	JBHT ahead
2026-01-09	116.95	79.50	+1.63	JBHT ahead
2026-01-08	116.14	78.69	+1.67	JBHT ahead
2026-01-07	115.24	77.55	+1.74	JBHT ahead
2026-01-06	116.21	77.41	+1.84	JBHT ahead
2026-01-05	114.22	75.04	+1.97	JBHT ahead
2026-01-02	111.26	74.32	+1.86	JBHT ahead
2025-12-31	109.88	72.97	+1.93	JBHT ahead
2025-12-30	110.93	73.30	+1.99	JBHT ahead
2025-12-29	111.69	73.33	+2.07	JBHT ahead
2025-12-26	112.10	73.96	+2.06	JBHT ahead
2025-12-24	112.11	74.05	+2.07	JBHT ahead
2025-12-23	111.40	73.71	+2.08	JBHT ahead
2025-12-22	112.84	74.10	+2.17	JBHT ahead
2025-12-19	111.77	74.98	+2.02	JBHT ahead
2025-12-18	111.05	75.10	+1.98	JBHT ahead
2025-12-17	109.74	74.27	+2.00	JBHT ahead
2025-12-16	111.25	73.65	+2.21	JBHT ahead
2025-12-15	111.72	73.62	+2.29	JBHT ahead
2025-12-12	112.33	74.24	+2.29	JBHT ahead
2025-12-11	112.82	73.92	+2.41	JBHT ahead
2025-12-10	112.02	73.30	+2.46	JBHT ahead
2025-12-09	107.29	71.34	+2.35	JBHT ahead
2025-12-08	107.36	70.29	+2.53	JBHT ahead
2025-12-05	106.52	69.79	+2.57	JBHT ahead
2025-12-04	106.03	69.71	+2.58	JBHT ahead
2025-12-03	106.25	72.25	+2.30	JBHT ahead
2025-12-02	105.01	70.32	+2.49	JBHT ahead
2025-12-01	101.62	70.05	+2.24	JBHT ahead
2025-11-28	98.35	70.47	+1.89	JBHT ahead
2025-11-26	98.04	70.38	+1.89	JBHT ahead
2025-11-25	97.26	69.55	+1.95	JBHT ahead
2025-11-24	94.22	68.83	+1.76	JBHT ahead
2025-11-21	94.10	69.64	+1.65	JBHT ahead
2025-11-20	89.85	66.85	+1.61	JBHT ahead
2025-11-19	90.42	67.98	+1.52	JBHT ahead
2025-11-18	91.61	68.29	+1.62	JBHT ahead
2025-11-17	90.63	69.29	+1.38	JBHT ahead
2025-11-14	92.05	70.61	+1.36	JBHT ahead
2025-11-13	94.03	70.60	+1.59	JBHT ahead
2025-11-12	95.70	70.76	+1.76	JBHT ahead
2025-11-11	95.00	69.91	+1.83	JBHT ahead
2025-11-10	95.26	68.46	+2.10	JBHT ahead
2025-11-07	96.66	70.59	+1.96	JBHT ahead
2025-11-06	95.57	68.86	+2.12	JBHT ahead
2025-11-05	96.26	68.35	+2.31	JBHT ahead
2025-11-04	97.61	68.60	+2.46	JBHT ahead
2025-11-03	95.97	69.22	+2.21	JBHT ahead
2025-10-31	95.47	70.93	+1.91	JBHT ahead
2025-10-30	94.22	69.93	+1.94	JBHT ahead
2025-10-29	95.48	71.65	+1.84	JBHT ahead
2025-10-28	94.17	70.89	+1.82	JBHT ahead
2025-10-27	94.85	65.64	+2.80	JBHT ahead
2025-10-24	93.35	64.17	+2.93	JBHT ahead
2025-10-23	94.27	64.03	+3.13	JBHT ahead
2025-10-22	95.28	64.06	+3.33	JBHT ahead
2025-10-21	95.54	64.78	+3.30	JBHT ahead
2025-10-20	93.57	63.94	+3.29	JBHT ahead
2025-10-17	93.20	63.57	+3.40	JBHT ahead
2025-10-16	95.87	63.00	+3.98	JBHT ahead
2025-10-15	78.49	61.86	+1.69	JBHT ahead
2025-10-14	78.80	61.83	+1.76	JBHT ahead
2025-10-13	78.09	61.19	+1.79	JBHT ahead
2025-10-10	77.51	60.97	+1.76	JBHT ahead
2025-10-09	80.64	62.74	+1.92	JBHT ahead
2025-10-08	82.86	63.45	+2.14	JBHT ahead
2025-10-07	79.15	63.25	+1.61	JBHT ahead
2025-10-06	80.10	63.72	+1.68	JBHT ahead
2025-10-03	78.00	63.84	+1.33	JBHT ahead
2025-10-02	75.87	62.95	+1.17	JBHT ahead
2025-10-01	75.02	62.08	+1.21	JBHT ahead
2025-09-30	75.86	61.45	+1.49	JBHT ahead
2025-09-29	76.21	62.16	+1.42	JBHT ahead
2025-09-26	76.02	61.59	+1.52	JBHT ahead
2025-09-25	74.86	60.75	+1.51	JBHT ahead
2025-09-24	75.12	61.72	+1.36	JBHT ahead
2025-09-23	74.62	62.10	+1.21	JBHT ahead
2025-09-22	73.87	61.97	+1.11	JBHT ahead
2025-09-19	74.93	61.84	+1.33	JBHT ahead
2025-09-18	76.36	62.57	+1.44	JBHT ahead
2025-09-17	76.06	61.93	+1.53	JBHT ahead
2025-09-16	77.91	62.68	+1.71	JBHT ahead
2025-09-15	77.09	61.81	+1.77	JBHT ahead
2025-09-12	77.98	62.05	+1.89	JBHT ahead
2025-09-11	79.97	62.27	+2.20	JBHT ahead
2025-09-10	77.42	61.69	+1.92	JBHT ahead
2025-09-09	79.72	62.09	+2.25	JBHT ahead
2025-09-08	80.84	62.03	+2.49	JBHT ahead
2025-09-05	81.26	62.56	+2.49	JBHT ahead
2025-09-04	82.14	62.15	+2.77	JBHT ahead
2025-09-03	82.20	62.75	+2.70	JBHT ahead
2025-09-02	81.56	62.70	+2.65	JBHT ahead
2025-08-29	81.98	64.33	+2.40	JBHT ahead
2025-08-28	81.40	64.20	+2.36	JBHT ahead
2025-08-27	82.43	64.64	+2.48	JBHT ahead
2025-08-26	81.60	64.34	+2.44	JBHT ahead
2025-08-25	80.71	64.55	+2.26	JBHT ahead
2025-08-22	84.89	65.34	+2.89	JBHT ahead
2025-08-21	81.08	63.38	+2.71	JBHT ahead
2025-08-20	80.58	63.96	+2.51	JBHT ahead
2025-08-19	83.24	64.59	+2.92	JBHT ahead
2025-08-18	80.58	63.64	+2.69	JBHT ahead
2025-08-15	81.10	65.09	+2.47	JBHT ahead
2025-08-14	81.67	65.14	+2.61	JBHT ahead
2025-08-13	82.46	64.87	+2.89	JBHT ahead
2025-08-12	80.75	64.32	+2.74	JBHT ahead
2025-08-11	77.90	63.50	+2.38	JBHT ahead
2025-08-08	78.84	63.76	+2.56	JBHT ahead
2025-08-07	79.34	63.63	+2.75	JBHT ahead
2025-08-06	81.14	63.45	+3.26	JBHT ahead
2025-08-05	80.99	63.84	+3.19	JBHT ahead
2025-08-04	80.32	62.55	+3.50	JBHT ahead
2025-08-01	78.91	62.16	+3.37	JBHT ahead
2025-07-31	81.44	63.39	+3.71	JBHT ahead
2025-07-30	81.34	64.14	+3.56	JBHT ahead
2025-07-29	82.99	66.83	+3.23	JBHT ahead
2025-07-28	83.90	74.73	+1.21	JBHT ahead
2025-07-25	84.42	76.19	+0.96	JBHT ahead
2025-07-24	84.66	75.43	+1.20	JBHT ahead
2025-07-23	84.72	76.16	+1.02	JBHT ahead
2025-07-22	85.90	74.41	+1.70	JBHT ahead
2025-07-21	83.45	72.76	+1.57	JBHT ahead
2025-07-18	84.18	72.99	+1.67	JBHT ahead
2025-07-17	86.33	73.20	+2.08	JBHT ahead
2025-07-16	85.62	73.30	+1.91	JBHT ahead
2025-07-15	84.16	73.22	+1.63	JBHT ahead
2025-07-14	86.05	73.66	+1.93	JBHT ahead
2025-07-11	86.83	74.50	+1.88	JBHT ahead
2025-07-10	87.44	75.72	+1.73	JBHT ahead
2025-07-09	86.32	75.15	+1.64	JBHT ahead
2025-07-08	86.53	75.32	+1.65	JBHT ahead
2025-07-07	84.56	74.19	+1.52	JBHT ahead
2025-07-03	86.44	76.61	+1.35	JBHT ahead
2025-07-02	86.52	77.64	+1.15	JBHT ahead
2025-07-01	85.42	76.86	+1.11	JBHT ahead
2025-06-30	81.19	74.26	+0.84	JBHT ahead
2025-06-27	82.17	74.44	+1.00	JBHT ahead
2025-06-26	81.01	74.01	+0.87	JBHT ahead
2025-06-25	80.70	73.10	+1.01	JBHT ahead
2025-06-24	81.09	74.02	+0.89	JBHT ahead
2025-06-23	80.68	73.86	+0.85	JBHT ahead
2025-06-20	78.94	73.03	+0.69	JBHT ahead
2025-06-18	78.59	72.99	+0.64	JBHT ahead
2025-06-17	78.64	73.32	+0.59	JBHT ahead
2025-06-16	80.56	74.37	+0.74	JBHT ahead
2025-06-13	79.07	73.57	+0.63	JBHT ahead
2025-06-12	79.67	74.24	+0.62	JBHT ahead
2025-06-11	79.66	74.42	+0.58	JBHT ahead
2025-06-10	82.08	75.38	+0.84	JBHT ahead
2025-06-09	80.08	73.06	+0.94	JBHT ahead
2025-06-06	79.27	72.28	+0.95	JBHT ahead
2025-06-05	78.66	71.26	+1.05	JBHT ahead
2025-06-04	79.22	72.50	+0.91	JBHT ahead
2025-06-03	79.51	72.15	+1.04	JBHT ahead
2025-06-02	77.26	71.63	+0.74	JBHT ahead
2025-05-30	78.50	71.76	+0.95	JBHT ahead
2025-05-29	79.15	72.17	+0.99	JBHT ahead
2025-05-28	78.39	71.17	+1.05	JBHT ahead
2025-05-27	79.15	71.76	+1.07	JBHT ahead
2025-05-23	77.70	70.16	+1.13	JBHT ahead
2025-05-22	78.61	71.34	+1.07	JBHT ahead
2025-05-21	78.80	70.51	+1.26	JBHT ahead
2025-05-20	81.99	71.76	+1.56	JBHT ahead
2025-05-19	82.68	72.91	+1.47	JBHT ahead
2025-05-16	83.71	74.54	+1.35	JBHT ahead
2025-05-15	83.60	73.82	+1.46	JBHT ahead
2025-05-14	83.62	73.31	+1.57	JBHT ahead
2025-05-13	83.29	73.43	+1.51	JBHT ahead
2025-05-12	84.08	74.46	+1.46	JBHT ahead
2025-05-09	76.63	70.54	+0.97	JBHT ahead
2025-05-08	77.73	71.32	+1.02	JBHT ahead
2025-05-07	75.17	69.12	+0.99	JBHT ahead
2025-05-06	73.99	69.01	+0.82	JBHT ahead
2025-05-05	75.54	70.30	+0.86	JBHT ahead
2025-05-02	75.52	70.92	+0.75	JBHT ahead
2025-05-01	73.39	69.59	+0.63	JBHT ahead
2025-04-30	73.83	70.11	+0.62	JBHT ahead
2025-04-29	73.73	71.16	+0.43	near the usual relationship
2025-04-28	74.04	71.43	+0.44	near the usual relationship
2025-04-25	73.35	72.03	+0.23	near the usual relationship
2025-04-24	75.19	72.77	+0.41	near the usual relationship
2025-04-23	73.70	71.51	+0.39	near the usual relationship
2025-04-22	72.66	71.24	+0.27	near the usual relationship
2025-04-21	71.87	70.81	+0.22	near the usual relationship
2025-04-17	73.06	70.94	+0.39	near the usual relationship
2025-04-16	70.52	69.30	+0.25	near the usual relationship
2025-04-15	76.39	70.99	+0.92	JBHT ahead
2025-04-14	77.92	72.59	+0.90	JBHT ahead
2025-04-11	75.13	71.42	+0.66	JBHT ahead
2025-04-10	75.95	71.04	+0.86	JBHT ahead
2025-04-09	80.09	73.32	+1.12	JBHT ahead
2025-04-08	73.20	67.62	+1.02	JBHT ahead
2025-04-07	74.67	70.30	+0.79	JBHT ahead
2025-04-04	76.14	71.88	+0.76	JBHT ahead
2025-04-03	77.02	73.66	+0.61	JBHT ahead
2025-04-02	86.38	81.07	+0.84	JBHT ahead
2025-04-01	84.65	80.38	+0.70	JBHT ahead
2025-03-31	83.65	80.92	+0.48	near the usual relationship
2025-03-28	82.61	80.67	+0.37	near the usual relationship
2025-03-27	85.26	81.67	+0.60	JBHT ahead
2025-03-26	85.59	81.67	+0.65	JBHT ahead
2025-03-25	84.78	80.89	+0.66	JBHT ahead
2025-03-24	85.95	85.19	+0.20	near the usual relationship
2025-03-21	83.99	84.68	+0.00	near the usual relationship
2025-03-20	83.39	86.06	-0.28	near the usual relationship
2025-03-19	83.14	86.42	-0.37	near the usual relationship
2025-03-18	83.19	87.44	-0.51	UPS ahead
2025-03-17	84.50	86.85	-0.24	near the usual relationship
2025-03-14	84.24	85.90	-0.14	near the usual relationship
2025-03-13	84.49	84.77	+0.05	near the usual relationship
2025-03-12	87.32	84.79	+0.45	near the usual relationship
2025-03-11	87.17	85.60	+0.31	near the usual relationship
2025-03-10	90.58	88.74	+0.34	near the usual relationship
2025-03-07	92.41	89.47	+0.48	near the usual relationship
2025-03-06	91.74	88.65	+0.51	JBHT ahead
2025-03-05	90.48	87.56	+0.49	near the usual relationship
2025-03-04	89.12	85.92	+0.53	JBHT ahead
2025-03-03	89.23	87.74	+0.29	near the usual relationship
2025-02-28	91.13	87.57	+0.57	JBHT ahead
2025-02-27	89.84	86.54	+0.54	JBHT ahead
2025-02-26	90.64	85.99	+0.71	JBHT ahead
2025-02-25	90.85	86.89	+0.61	JBHT ahead
2025-02-24	91.98	85.46	+0.96	JBHT ahead
2025-02-21	94.82	85.58	+1.32	JBHT ahead
2025-02-20	95.29	85.78	+1.35	JBHT ahead
2025-02-19	95.69	84.60	+1.56	JBHT ahead
2025-02-18	98.52	84.91	+1.87	JBHT ahead
2025-02-14	96.10	85.50	+1.48	JBHT ahead
2025-02-13	93.55	85.07	+1.22	JBHT ahead
2025-02-12	93.08	84.06	+1.30	JBHT ahead
2025-02-11	94.70	84.26	+1.48	JBHT ahead
2025-02-10	94.48	83.98	+1.49	JBHT ahead
2025-02-07	93.94	83.21	+1.53	JBHT ahead
2025-02-06	95.57	83.48	+1.70	JBHT ahead
2025-02-05	96.39	82.32	+1.98	JBHT ahead
2025-02-04	95.53	82.23	+1.90	JBHT ahead
2025-02-03	94.59	81.87	+1.84	JBHT ahead
2025-01-31	96.81	84.04	+1.82	JBHT ahead
2025-01-30	98.02	84.53	+1.92	JBHT ahead
2025-01-29	97.21	98.42	-0.05	near the usual relationship
2025-01-28	97.62	99.62	-0.14	near the usual relationship
2025-01-27	98.42	100.24	-0.12	near the usual relationship
2025-01-24	96.09	97.87	-0.12	near the usual relationship
2025-01-23	96.27	98.29	-0.15	near the usual relationship
2025-01-22	98.89	97.51	+0.28	near the usual relationship
2025-01-21	98.62	97.75	+0.22	near the usual relationship
2025-01-17	97.50	95.44	+0.37	near the usual relationship
2025-01-16	105.28	95.59	+1.30	JBHT ahead
2025-01-15	105.47	93.78	+1.57	JBHT ahead
2025-01-14	102.69	92.58	+1.41	JBHT ahead
2025-01-13	101.33	91.97	+1.34	JBHT ahead
2025-01-10	98.54	90.69	+1.18	JBHT ahead
2025-01-08	100.54	93.25	+1.09	JBHT ahead
2025-01-07	99.78	91.94	+1.18	JBHT ahead
2025-01-06	99.73	91.38	+1.27	JBHT ahead
2025-01-03	99.41	91.07	+1.28	JBHT ahead
2025-01-02	96.79	91.13	+0.94	JBHT ahead
2024-12-31	96.49	92.77	+0.69	JBHT ahead
2024-12-30	96.30	92.19	+0.74	JBHT ahead
2024-12-27	97.25	92.78	+0.79	JBHT ahead
2024-12-26	97.25	92.96	+0.77	JBHT ahead
2024-12-24	97.00	92.89	+0.75	JBHT ahead
2024-12-23	96.42	92.51	+0.73	JBHT ahead
2024-12-20	96.25	92.46	+0.72	JBHT ahead
2024-12-19	95.04	90.23	+0.87	JBHT ahead
2024-12-18	96.28	91.09	+0.92	JBHT ahead
2024-12-17	100.25	93.67	+1.09	JBHT ahead
2024-12-16	100.69	94.57	+1.03	JBHT ahead
2024-12-13	101.65	94.73	+1.14	JBHT ahead
2024-12-12	102.42	94.89	+1.22	JBHT ahead
2024-12-11	102.91	94.99	+1.28	JBHT ahead
2024-12-10	103.06	95.80	+1.20	JBHT ahead
2024-12-09	103.12	94.56	+1.39	JBHT ahead
2024-12-06	102.33	92.41	+1.60	JBHT ahead
2024-12-05	102.82	93.86	+1.47	JBHT ahead
2024-12-04	104.67	94.74	+1.60	JBHT ahead
2024-12-03	104.60	95.42	+1.51	JBHT ahead
2024-12-02	106.99	98.59	+1.39	JBHT ahead
2024-11-29	106.92	99.85	+1.23	JBHT ahead
2024-11-27	107.60	99.82	+1.33	JBHT ahead
2024-11-26	107.91	99.29	+1.45	JBHT ahead
2024-11-25	106.49	101.18	+1.03	JBHT ahead
2024-11-22	103.13	99.18	+0.88	JBHT ahead
2024-11-21	102.66	96.65	+1.17	JBHT ahead
2024-11-20	102.66	97.18	+1.11	JBHT ahead
2024-11-19	101.87	97.99	+0.90	JBHT ahead
2024-11-18	104.03	99.41	+0.99	JBHT ahead
2024-11-15	103.10	98.63	+0.99	JBHT ahead
2024-11-14	104.32	97.58	+1.30	JBHT ahead
2024-11-13	106.97	98.34	+1.54	JBHT ahead
2024-11-12	108.86	95.74	+2.16	JBHT ahead
2024-11-11	111.49	96.82	+2.37	JBHT ahead
2024-11-08	108.63	97.43	+1.95	JBHT ahead
2024-11-07	106.58	98.69	+1.53	JBHT ahead
2024-11-06	109.02	98.52	+1.88	JBHT ahead
2024-11-05	104.91	98.46	+1.37	JBHT ahead
2024-11-04	102.89	97.84	+1.19	JBHT ahead
2024-11-01	102.31	98.62	+1.01	JBHT ahead
2024-10-31	102.12	98.62	+0.99	JBHT ahead
2024-10-30	102.83	98.43	+1.13	JBHT ahead
2024-10-29	101.45	98.81	+0.89	JBHT ahead
2024-10-28	101.14	99.57	+0.74	JBHT ahead
2024-10-25	98.85	101.10	+0.21	near the usual relationship
2024-10-24	99.40	101.78	+0.20	near the usual relationship
2024-10-23	99.20	96.67	+0.90	JBHT ahead
2024-10-22	99.29	96.62	+0.93	JBHT ahead
2024-10-21	100.40	96.62	+1.09	JBHT ahead
2024-10-18	100.00	100.00	+0.56	JBHT ahead

One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Jan 30, 2025 (JBHT +0.8%, UPS -14.1%); Jul 29, 2025 (JBHT -1.1%, UPS -10.6%); Oct 16, 2025 (JBHT +22.1%, UPS +1.8%); Sep 16, 2026 (JBHT -13.3%, UPS -3.5%). Upcoming earnings: UPS Oct 27, 2026 (pre-market).

Paired trades

The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart

Forward paper record

No paper position on this pair yet.

Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)

No simulated trade through Oct 20, 2026: the pair rarely passed every test while 2 standard deviations apart.

Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.

The companies

JBHT and UPS at a glance

JBHT J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc.

Listing: Nasdaq · SEC CIK 728535
Industry: Trucking Freight/Courier Services · SIC 4213 Trucking (No Local)
Market value: $21.0B
Price history: 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026

UPS United Parcel Service Inc.

Listing: NYSE · SEC CIK 1090727
Industry: Trucking Freight/Courier Services · SIC 4210 Trucking & Courier Services (No Air)
Market value: $82.9B
Price history: 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026

Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.

All pairs →

Pair	Status	Ahead now	Industry
JBHT / KNX	Measured twin	KNX by 0.37 sd	SIC 4213 Trucking (No Local)
UPS / ZTO	Watchlist	UPS by 1.26 sd	SIC 4210 Trucking & Courier Services (No Air)
UPS / ODFL	Watchlist	neither	Trucking Freight/Courier Services
ODFL / JBHT	Watchlist	neither	Trucking Freight/Courier Services

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Paper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.