Hormel Foods Corporation vs Tyson Foods Inc.
WatchlistHRL / TSNPrices through Oct 22, 2026
Why these are rivals: #1 and #3 by market value ($19B vs $11B) in Nasdaq's "Meat/Poultry/Fish" industry; SEC SIC 2015 / 2011 (same major group).
Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.21 (needs >= 0.60)
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -2.04 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Business leadership
TSN is the larger business
Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.
| Year | HRL | TSN | Larger |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $12.1B | $54.4B | TSN |
| 2024 | $11.9B | $53.3B | TSN |
| 2023 | $12.1B | $52.9B | TSN |
| 2022 | $12.5B | $53.3B | TSN |
| 2021 | $11.4B | $47.0B | TSN |
| 2020 | $9.6B | $43.2B | TSN |
TSN led in every year with figures for both. Market value: HRL $11.2B, TSN $19.0B.
Stock leadership
TSN is ahead now
Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.
TSN leads HRL by 0.41 standard deviations: +4.2% over its usual price ratio. 2 lead switches in the last year.
| Price change | 3 mo | 6 mo | 12 mo |
|---|---|---|---|
| HRL | -15.6% | -1.8% | -11.3% |
| TSN | -0.7% | -12.5% | +9.0% |
Relationship
Not a measured twin today
Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.
- Pass
- Aligned sessions: 2521 (needs >= 254)
- Fail
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.21 (needs >= 0.60)
- Fail
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -2.04 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
- Pass
- Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 24.15 (needs <= 63)
- Data
- Both stocks current
The twins over two years
Prices side by side, and the gap between them
HRL Hormel Foods Corporation TSN Tyson Foods Inc.Price index, 100 = 2024-10-18. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).
Spread z-score: HRL relative to TSN, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: HRL ahead; below 0: TSN ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).
Data table (504 sessions)
| Date | HRL index | TSN index | z | Ahead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | 66.36 | 95.10 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-21 | 63.50 | 93.15 | -0.64 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-10-20 | 63.72 | 92.28 | -0.52 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-10-19 | 63.22 | 89.99 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-16 | 63.37 | 91.48 | -0.50 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-10-15 | 62.72 | 90.05 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-14 | 61.54 | 90.35 | -0.68 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-10-13 | 59.68 | 89.64 | -0.90 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-10-12 | 59.96 | 89.27 | -0.83 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-10-09 | 59.61 | 89.04 | -0.86 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-10-08 | 60.33 | 87.22 | -0.56 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-10-07 | 60.73 | 86.15 | -0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-06 | 61.76 | 86.60 | -0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-05 | 62.38 | 86.17 | -0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-02 | 62.91 | 86.47 | -0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-01 | 62.01 | 84.10 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-30 | 61.94 | 84.20 | -0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-29 | 61.67 | 84.95 | -0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-28 | 62.04 | 84.90 | -0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-25 | 61.23 | 84.85 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-24 | 61.63 | 85.22 | -0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-23 | 61.88 | 85.59 | -0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-22 | 63.16 | 86.35 | -0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-21 | 63.56 | 86.69 | -0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-18 | 64.71 | 87.94 | -0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-17 | 64.49 | 87.09 | +0.00 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-16 | 64.55 | 86.85 | +0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-15 | 64.59 | 87.57 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-14 | 65.11 | 88.59 | -0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-11 | 63.90 | 88.29 | -0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-10 | 64.74 | 87.42 | -0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-09 | 65.14 | 86.22 | +0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-08 | 65.89 | 87.12 | +0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-04 | 66.92 | 85.69 | +0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-03 | 67.35 | 86.25 | +0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-02 | 68.50 | 93.00 | -0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-01 | 68.31 | 91.75 | +0.00 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-31 | 67.88 | 91.88 | -0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-28 | 67.01 | 92.32 | -0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-27 | 66.11 | 92.23 | -0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-26 | 73.66 | 94.23 | +0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-25 | 73.87 | 95.27 | +0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-24 | 74.84 | 96.43 | +0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-21 | 74.18 | 97.45 | +0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-20 | 74.81 | 97.32 | +0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-19 | 75.83 | 97.57 | +0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-18 | 75.61 | 96.63 | +0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-17 | 74.62 | 97.67 | +0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-14 | 76.23 | 96.93 | +0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-13 | 75.92 | 93.97 | +0.58 | HRL ahead |
| 2026-08-12 | 75.77 | 93.00 | +0.64 | HRL ahead |
| 2026-08-11 | 75.49 | 94.03 | +0.52 | HRL ahead |
| 2026-08-10 | 76.73 | 95.25 | +0.53 | HRL ahead |
| 2026-08-07 | 77.73 | 96.72 | +0.51 | HRL ahead |
| 2026-08-06 | 77.94 | 97.55 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-05 | 78.38 | 96.97 | +0.53 | HRL ahead |
| 2026-08-04 | 78.72 | 97.88 | +0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-03 | 78.38 | 99.33 | +0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-31 | 77.69 | 96.58 | +0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-30 | 78.81 | 101.07 | +0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-29 | 80.15 | 101.72 | +0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-28 | 79.40 | 101.95 | +0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-27 | 80.93 | 101.17 | +0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-24 | 78.63 | 95.73 | +0.56 | HRL ahead |
| 2026-07-23 | 77.73 | 94.57 | +0.56 | HRL ahead |
| 2026-07-22 | 78.32 | 95.08 | +0.56 | HRL ahead |
| 2026-07-21 | 78.01 | 95.07 | +0.52 | HRL ahead |
| 2026-07-20 | 78.53 | 96.65 | +0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-17 | 78.88 | 96.27 | +0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-16 | 79.87 | 96.37 | +0.56 | HRL ahead |
| 2026-07-15 | 78.13 | 95.77 | +0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-14 | 77.07 | 95.78 | +0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-13 | 75.99 | 96.52 | +0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-10 | 76.83 | 96.37 | +0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-09 | 75.58 | 96.17 | +0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-08 | 76.23 | 97.15 | +0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-07 | 76.73 | 98.02 | +0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-06 | 75.43 | 97.90 | +0.00 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-02 | 77.66 | 98.13 | +0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-01 | 77.29 | 97.37 | +0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-30 | 77.10 | 95.40 | +0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-29 | 81.73 | 97.73 | +0.50 | HRL ahead |
| 2026-06-26 | 82.35 | 97.57 | +0.55 | HRL ahead |
| 2026-06-25 | 80.83 | 96.32 | +0.50 | HRL ahead |
| 2026-06-24 | 79.37 | 96.33 | +0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-23 | 76.79 | 95.68 | +0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-22 | 74.90 | 92.50 | +0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-18 | 75.05 | 92.42 | +0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-17 | 75.58 | 93.65 | +0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-16 | 76.58 | 95.38 | +0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-15 | 76.36 | 95.48 | +0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-12 | 76.89 | 95.70 | +0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-11 | 75.92 | 92.72 | +0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-10 | 75.46 | 93.53 | +0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-09 | 74.50 | 94.10 | +0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-08 | 73.44 | 94.97 | -0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-05 | 73.38 | 97.87 | -0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-04 | 72.35 | 94.78 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-03 | 71.85 | 95.13 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-02 | 72.54 | 99.30 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-01 | 72.54 | 99.87 | -0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-29 | 72.17 | 101.68 | -0.61 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-05-28 | 73.28 | 103.32 | -0.62 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-05-27 | 65.11 | 110.01 | -1.67 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-05-26 | 64.90 | 108.53 | -1.62 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-05-22 | 65.98 | 108.40 | -1.53 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-05-21 | 65.49 | 110.76 | -1.72 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-05-20 | 64.49 | 110.85 | -1.83 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-05-19 | 63.37 | 110.25 | -1.92 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-05-18 | 63.31 | 111.11 | -1.99 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-05-15 | 61.32 | 109.63 | -2.12 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-05-14 | 62.13 | 111.08 | -2.15 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-05-13 | 61.85 | 111.46 | -2.22 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-05-12 | 62.69 | 112.41 | -2.22 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-05-11 | 62.63 | 111.78 | -2.23 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-05-08 | 63.50 | 113.95 | -2.29 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-05-07 | 64.46 | 113.21 | -2.19 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-05-06 | 64.31 | 113.46 | -2.25 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-05-05 | 65.02 | 114.05 | -2.24 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-05-04 | 64.18 | 114.56 | -2.39 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-05-01 | 66.26 | 106.12 | -1.72 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-04-30 | 66.70 | 106.77 | -1.74 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-04-29 | 64.80 | 105.95 | -1.90 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-04-28 | 66.20 | 106.83 | -1.83 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-04-27 | 66.70 | 106.00 | -1.75 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-04-24 | 66.95 | 106.70 | -1.79 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-04-23 | 67.60 | 108.70 | -1.87 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-04-22 | 66.57 | 107.57 | -1.92 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-04-21 | 66.01 | 107.60 | -2.00 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-04-20 | 66.26 | 106.10 | -1.91 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-04-17 | 65.83 | 108.02 | -2.10 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-04-16 | 64.93 | 106.63 | -2.13 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-04-15 | 64.18 | 105.62 | -2.18 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-04-14 | 64.49 | 108.25 | -2.34 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-04-13 | 63.62 | 107.40 | -2.42 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-04-10 | 64.83 | 109.38 | -2.46 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-04-09 | 65.64 | 109.02 | -2.38 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-04-08 | 67.23 | 107.73 | -2.16 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-04-07 | 66.64 | 106.97 | -2.20 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-04-06 | 67.91 | 107.48 | -2.13 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-04-02 | 68.62 | 107.70 | -2.09 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-04-01 | 68.44 | 107.15 | -2.10 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-03-31 | 70.36 | 106.77 | -1.89 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-03-30 | 71.51 | 106.25 | -1.76 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-03-27 | 71.67 | 106.52 | -1.78 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-03-26 | 70.98 | 104.92 | -1.75 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-03-25 | 71.61 | 102.40 | -1.52 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-03-24 | 70.36 | 101.47 | -1.60 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-03-23 | 69.65 | 99.48 | -1.54 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-03-20 | 68.78 | 96.95 | -1.45 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-03-19 | 69.49 | 98.52 | -1.51 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-03-18 | 70.55 | 102.02 | -1.68 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-03-17 | 71.20 | 103.43 | -1.73 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-03-16 | 70.49 | 103.03 | -1.80 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-03-13 | 70.33 | 100.52 | -1.64 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-03-12 | 70.52 | 101.70 | -1.73 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-03-11 | 71.54 | 99.67 | -1.47 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-03-10 | 72.51 | 100.38 | -1.43 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-03-09 | 74.18 | 102.20 | -1.41 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-03-06 | 75.86 | 102.37 | -1.25 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-03-05 | 75.15 | 103.42 | -1.42 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-03-04 | 75.92 | 104.85 | -1.46 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-03-03 | 76.42 | 104.98 | -1.43 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-03-02 | 77.10 | 107.32 | -1.55 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-02-27 | 79.53 | 108.30 | -1.38 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-02-26 | 77.10 | 106.00 | -1.47 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-02-25 | 78.63 | 104.33 | -1.19 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-02-24 | 80.15 | 105.68 | -1.15 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-02-23 | 78.16 | 104.92 | -1.30 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-02-20 | 77.63 | 106.42 | -1.49 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-02-19 | 76.27 | 107.20 | -1.72 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-02-18 | 76.05 | 106.58 | -1.71 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-02-17 | 72.82 | 104.82 | -1.96 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-02-13 | 73.87 | 106.55 | -2.00 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-02-12 | 72.82 | 105.50 | -2.07 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-02-11 | 74.40 | 107.22 | -2.05 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-02-10 | 75.49 | 108.25 | -2.03 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-02-09 | 75.83 | 108.98 | -2.07 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-02-06 | 77.45 | 108.75 | -1.89 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-02-05 | 77.94 | 108.65 | -1.85 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-02-04 | 78.60 | 108.32 | -1.76 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-02-03 | 76.48 | 107.92 | -2.00 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-02-02 | 75.99 | 109.55 | -2.22 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-01-30 | 76.45 | 108.87 | -2.14 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-01-29 | 75.92 | 108.68 | -2.21 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-01-28 | 76.42 | 107.65 | -2.09 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-01-27 | 78.29 | 109.57 | -2.05 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-01-26 | 77.20 | 106.20 | -1.91 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-01-23 | 76.42 | 102.75 | -1.72 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-01-22 | 75.68 | 101.85 | -1.74 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-01-21 | 75.89 | 99.97 | -1.56 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-01-20 | 76.30 | 101.48 | -1.66 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-01-16 | 75.24 | 100.10 | -1.68 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-01-15 | 76.79 | 100.70 | -1.56 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-01-14 | 76.08 | 100.72 | -1.67 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-01-13 | 73.00 | 100.12 | -2.03 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-01-12 | 70.98 | 99.02 | -2.22 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-01-09 | 72.17 | 96.70 | -1.85 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-01-08 | 71.05 | 95.60 | -1.91 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-01-07 | 69.40 | 93.65 | -1.96 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-01-06 | 70.98 | 93.27 | -1.72 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-01-05 | 71.33 | 95.20 | -1.89 | TSN ahead |
| 2026-01-02 | 72.66 | 96.72 | -1.89 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-12-31 | 73.63 | 97.68 | -1.87 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-12-30 | 74.50 | 98.62 | -1.87 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-12-29 | 75.09 | 97.62 | -1.71 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-12-26 | 75.37 | 97.58 | -1.68 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-12-24 | 75.64 | 97.08 | -1.61 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-12-23 | 74.84 | 96.30 | -1.65 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-12-22 | 74.93 | 97.72 | -1.81 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-12-19 | 73.53 | 97.43 | -1.99 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-12-18 | 74.56 | 97.07 | -1.83 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-12-17 | 74.53 | 97.48 | -1.90 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-12-16 | 73.50 | 96.97 | -2.01 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-12-15 | 74.56 | 99.20 | -2.13 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-12-12 | 74.71 | 99.83 | -2.20 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-12-11 | 73.66 | 99.25 | -2.32 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-12-10 | 73.75 | 96.10 | -1.99 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-12-09 | 73.41 | 93.17 | -1.73 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-12-08 | 74.09 | 93.68 | -1.70 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-12-05 | 75.61 | 94.85 | -1.63 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-12-04 | 75.05 | 93.55 | -1.58 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-12-03 | 72.29 | 94.62 | -2.14 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-12-02 | 71.73 | 95.55 | -2.37 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-12-01 | 72.38 | 97.15 | -2.49 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-11-28 | 72.10 | 96.73 | -2.53 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-11-26 | 72.17 | 96.50 | -2.53 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-11-25 | 71.39 | 95.22 | -2.54 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-11-24 | 70.21 | 95.27 | -2.79 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-11-21 | 70.49 | 89.44 | -2.01 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-11-20 | 69.34 | 87.84 | -2.01 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-11-19 | 68.93 | 88.40 | -2.17 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-11-18 | 69.34 | 89.42 | -2.27 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-11-17 | 69.21 | 88.50 | -2.19 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-11-14 | 70.33 | 89.95 | -2.22 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-11-13 | 70.39 | 90.48 | -2.32 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-11-12 | 69.18 | 90.08 | -2.52 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-11-11 | 69.93 | 92.50 | -2.78 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-11-10 | 68.81 | 89.82 | -2.65 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-11-07 | 68.44 | 87.79 | -2.46 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-11-06 | 67.47 | 86.14 | -2.44 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-11-05 | 66.95 | 87.37 | -2.79 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-11-04 | 67.04 | 86.72 | -2.71 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-11-03 | 66.73 | 86.04 | -2.72 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-10-31 | 67.07 | 85.67 | -2.63 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-10-30 | 66.14 | 85.67 | -2.89 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-10-29 | 66.76 | 84.52 | -2.61 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-10-28 | 73.47 | 86.89 | -1.63 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-10-27 | 73.75 | 86.80 | -1.57 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-10-24 | 74.03 | 85.62 | -1.33 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-10-23 | 73.84 | 86.34 | -1.50 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-10-22 | 75.02 | 87.85 | -1.54 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-10-21 | 74.81 | 87.24 | -1.49 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-10-20 | 74.43 | 87.45 | -1.62 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-10-17 | 74.65 | 87.45 | -1.59 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-10-16 | 73.78 | 86.92 | -1.69 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-10-15 | 73.47 | 88.00 | -1.97 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-10-14 | 74.31 | 88.07 | -1.82 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-10-13 | 73.16 | 86.82 | -1.87 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-10-10 | 73.72 | 86.82 | -1.77 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-10-09 | 73.84 | 85.95 | -1.60 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-10-08 | 74.22 | 87.35 | -1.79 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-10-07 | 74.56 | 90.33 | -2.28 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-10-06 | 75.52 | 90.23 | -2.09 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-10-03 | 76.55 | 91.13 | -2.06 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-10-02 | 76.61 | 90.68 | -1.99 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-10-01 | 77.04 | 90.77 | -1.93 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-09-30 | 76.86 | 90.48 | -1.94 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-09-29 | 76.55 | 89.92 | -1.93 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-09-26 | 76.79 | 90.30 | -1.97 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-09-25 | 75.83 | 89.57 | -2.07 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-09-24 | 76.76 | 90.75 | -2.11 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-09-23 | 75.92 | 89.74 | -2.14 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-09-22 | 75.52 | 89.42 | -2.20 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-09-19 | 77.10 | 89.30 | -1.84 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-09-18 | 77.54 | 90.00 | -1.90 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-09-17 | 77.32 | 90.18 | -2.01 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-09-16 | 77.73 | 90.55 | -2.01 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-09-15 | 76.83 | 89.99 | -2.13 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-09-12 | 77.91 | 91.87 | -2.28 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-09-11 | 78.97 | 93.45 | -2.38 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-09-10 | 77.57 | 92.35 | -2.52 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-09-09 | 79.28 | 93.05 | -2.28 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-09-08 | 79.22 | 93.15 | -2.33 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-09-05 | 79.71 | 93.65 | -2.35 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-09-04 | 78.41 | 93.62 | -2.70 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-09-03 | 78.75 | 93.90 | -2.72 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-09-02 | 77.76 | 94.22 | -3.09 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-08-29 | 79.03 | 94.62 | -2.91 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-08-28 | 78.35 | 93.52 | -2.90 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-08-27 | 90.15 | 95.70 | -0.51 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-08-26 | 89.34 | 95.37 | -0.62 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-08-25 | 89.69 | 95.75 | -0.63 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-08-22 | 90.87 | 96.00 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-21 | 89.81 | 94.93 | -0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-20 | 88.97 | 94.28 | -0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-19 | 88.26 | 94.50 | -0.70 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-08-18 | 87.85 | 93.43 | -0.56 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-08-15 | 88.47 | 94.65 | -0.69 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-08-14 | 87.92 | 93.82 | -0.64 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-08-13 | 90.00 | 96.13 | -0.66 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-08-12 | 89.34 | 94.05 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-11 | 88.79 | 94.45 | -0.58 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-08-08 | 88.47 | 95.05 | -0.79 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-08-07 | 88.69 | 93.88 | -0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-06 | 87.79 | 93.43 | -0.60 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-08-05 | 87.92 | 91.30 | -0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-04 | 87.67 | 89.67 | +0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-01 | 87.36 | 87.54 | +0.63 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-07-31 | 87.26 | 87.15 | +0.71 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-07-30 | 87.88 | 88.19 | +0.61 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-07-29 | 89.16 | 89.40 | +0.63 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-07-28 | 88.69 | 89.07 | +0.60 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-07-25 | 90.84 | 89.89 | +0.90 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-07-24 | 91.02 | 89.99 | +0.93 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-07-23 | 91.71 | 90.63 | +0.94 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-07-22 | 91.49 | 90.77 | +0.86 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-07-21 | 89.75 | 88.84 | +0.91 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-07-18 | 90.53 | 89.00 | +1.05 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-07-17 | 92.20 | 89.95 | +1.22 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-07-16 | 92.92 | 89.37 | +1.52 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-07-15 | 90.74 | 87.90 | +1.38 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-07-14 | 92.48 | 90.52 | +1.16 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-07-11 | 94.78 | 90.35 | +1.73 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-07-10 | 97.98 | 91.05 | +2.29 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-07-09 | 97.14 | 91.78 | +1.96 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-07-08 | 96.61 | 92.83 | +1.61 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-07-07 | 94.78 | 92.90 | +1.19 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-07-03 | 94.66 | 95.58 | +0.55 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-07-02 | 95.71 | 95.73 | +0.75 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-07-01 | 95.37 | 95.57 | +0.71 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-06-30 | 93.97 | 93.22 | +0.93 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-06-27 | 94.66 | 92.05 | +1.37 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-06-26 | 93.97 | 91.68 | +1.30 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-06-25 | 92.70 | 91.05 | +1.16 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-06-24 | 94.44 | 92.50 | +1.22 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-06-23 | 95.84 | 91.83 | +1.70 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-06-20 | 94.47 | 90.67 | +1.67 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-06-18 | 93.69 | 90.53 | +1.52 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-06-17 | 93.38 | 91.20 | +1.27 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-06-16 | 94.07 | 91.48 | +1.36 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-06-13 | 95.00 | 91.33 | +1.61 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-06-12 | 96.46 | 92.77 | +1.61 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-06-11 | 96.09 | 92.27 | +1.65 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-06-10 | 96.77 | 92.78 | +1.69 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-06-09 | 96.89 | 92.08 | +1.90 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-06-06 | 95.25 | 92.17 | +1.51 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-06-05 | 95.40 | 92.05 | +1.58 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-06-04 | 95.37 | 92.68 | +1.42 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-06-03 | 95.84 | 92.97 | +1.47 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-06-02 | 95.84 | 93.58 | +1.30 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-05-30 | 95.31 | 93.58 | +1.15 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-05-29 | 94.38 | 93.52 | +0.93 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-05-28 | 93.32 | 92.25 | +0.97 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-05-27 | 93.82 | 93.02 | +0.89 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-05-23 | 91.46 | 92.57 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-22 | 91.49 | 92.45 | +0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-21 | 91.39 | 93.83 | +0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-20 | 93.63 | 94.57 | +0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-19 | 93.57 | 93.40 | +0.65 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-05-16 | 94.84 | 93.22 | +0.93 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-05-15 | 93.69 | 92.73 | +0.78 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-05-14 | 90.59 | 90.82 | +0.53 | HRL ahead |
| 2025-05-13 | 90.93 | 92.25 | +0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-12 | 91.80 | 93.30 | +0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-09 | 90.74 | 92.15 | +0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-08 | 91.30 | 93.88 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-07 | 90.43 | 91.95 | +0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-06 | 90.56 | 92.90 | +0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-05 | 90.74 | 93.45 | -0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-02 | 91.05 | 101.30 | -1.37 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-05-01 | 91.30 | 101.00 | -1.28 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-04-30 | 92.89 | 102.05 | -1.17 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-04-29 | 91.99 | 100.95 | -1.16 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-04-28 | 91.71 | 100.17 | -1.08 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-04-25 | 92.26 | 101.02 | -1.13 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-04-24 | 93.79 | 102.35 | -1.08 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-04-23 | 95.71 | 103.37 | -0.92 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-04-22 | 95.40 | 102.30 | -0.80 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-04-21 | 94.44 | 101.30 | -0.81 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-04-17 | 95.00 | 102.00 | -0.84 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-04-16 | 93.76 | 101.08 | -0.91 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-04-15 | 94.38 | 101.63 | -0.90 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-04-14 | 94.91 | 102.60 | -0.97 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-04-11 | 94.16 | 100.88 | -0.83 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-04-10 | 91.67 | 100.20 | -1.16 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-04-09 | 92.30 | 99.58 | -0.96 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-04-08 | 91.08 | 96.07 | -0.60 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-04-07 | 93.32 | 97.03 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-04 | 95.50 | 99.67 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-03 | 97.67 | 105.92 | -1.05 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-04-02 | 95.12 | 104.57 | -1.27 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-04-01 | 95.50 | 105.17 | -1.30 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-03-31 | 96.12 | 106.33 | -1.38 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-03-28 | 94.32 | 103.93 | -1.33 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-03-27 | 94.19 | 103.95 | -1.37 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-03-26 | 91.89 | 102.63 | -1.56 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-03-25 | 89.50 | 99.90 | -1.56 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-03-24 | 90.90 | 100.60 | -1.44 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-03-21 | 93.13 | 100.70 | -1.09 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-03-20 | 92.20 | 100.68 | -1.25 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-03-19 | 92.48 | 101.30 | -1.30 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-03-18 | 93.01 | 100.83 | -1.15 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-03-17 | 93.07 | 100.97 | -1.17 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-03-14 | 91.77 | 99.78 | -1.21 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-03-13 | 91.61 | 99.98 | -1.27 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-03-12 | 90.77 | 100.22 | -1.45 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-03-11 | 92.95 | 102.17 | -1.39 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-03-10 | 94.04 | 103.20 | -1.37 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-03-07 | 93.01 | 102.05 | -1.37 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-03-06 | 90.09 | 100.87 | -1.66 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-03-05 | 89.34 | 101.22 | -1.84 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-03-04 | 89.78 | 100.82 | -1.72 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-03-03 | 91.58 | 103.03 | -1.77 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-02-28 | 88.94 | 102.22 | -2.10 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-02-27 | 88.16 | 101.63 | -2.17 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-02-26 | 89.25 | 100.48 | -1.85 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-02-25 | 91.39 | 102.22 | -1.77 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-02-24 | 90.80 | 101.43 | -1.77 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-02-21 | 92.11 | 100.73 | -1.47 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-02-20 | 89.62 | 98.50 | -1.56 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-02-19 | 88.72 | 95.98 | -1.34 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-02-18 | 87.88 | 96.47 | -1.57 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-02-14 | 88.41 | 95.15 | -1.28 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-02-13 | 88.66 | 95.93 | -1.38 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-02-12 | 88.63 | 96.28 | -1.45 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-02-11 | 90.09 | 97.93 | -1.47 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-02-10 | 89.69 | 96.17 | -1.27 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-02-07 | 90.71 | 96.55 | -1.17 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-02-06 | 90.65 | 95.68 | -1.05 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-02-05 | 90.93 | 95.13 | -0.92 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-02-04 | 91.30 | 95.00 | -0.84 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-02-03 | 91.95 | 96.22 | -0.93 | TSN ahead |
| 2025-01-31 | 93.13 | 94.13 | -0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-30 | 94.53 | 94.58 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-29 | 93.76 | 94.32 | -0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-28 | 94.63 | 94.12 | -0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-27 | 97.70 | 96.75 | -0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-24 | 95.93 | 94.05 | +0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-23 | 95.87 | 93.43 | +0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-22 | 94.28 | 92.65 | +0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-21 | 95.87 | 94.08 | +0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-17 | 92.98 | 92.83 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-16 | 92.85 | 93.35 | -0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-15 | 91.95 | 92.92 | -0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-14 | 93.23 | 92.42 | -0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-13 | 94.00 | 92.70 | -0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-10 | 93.35 | 90.43 | +0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-08 | 94.56 | 92.42 | +0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-07 | 93.63 | 92.62 | -0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-06 | 95.31 | 94.65 | -0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-03 | 97.42 | 96.95 | -0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-02 | 97.92 | 96.90 | -0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-31 | 97.45 | 95.72 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-30 | 96.92 | 95.22 | -0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-27 | 98.94 | 96.60 | +0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-26 | 98.42 | 96.78 | -0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-24 | 98.20 | 96.22 | -0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-23 | 98.01 | 96.37 | -0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-20 | 98.42 | 96.68 | -0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-19 | 98.11 | 96.98 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-18 | 99.10 | 98.25 | -0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-17 | 99.88 | 98.98 | -0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-16 | 100.47 | 99.55 | -0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-13 | 102.33 | 100.78 | -0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-12 | 102.64 | 101.98 | -0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-11 | 102.92 | 103.18 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-10 | 104.22 | 103.98 | -0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-09 | 103.08 | 104.38 | -0.56 | TSN ahead |
| 2024-12-06 | 100.87 | 104.38 | -0.87 | TSN ahead |
| 2024-12-05 | 102.08 | 106.15 | -0.94 | TSN ahead |
| 2024-12-04 | 99.38 | 106.00 | -1.29 | TSN ahead |
| 2024-12-03 | 98.85 | 106.97 | -1.50 | TSN ahead |
| 2024-12-02 | 99.84 | 107.22 | -1.40 | TSN ahead |
| 2024-11-29 | 100.75 | 107.48 | -1.32 | TSN ahead |
| 2024-11-27 | 99.16 | 107.40 | -1.53 | TSN ahead |
| 2024-11-26 | 98.23 | 106.33 | -1.52 | TSN ahead |
| 2024-11-25 | 97.64 | 106.28 | -1.60 | TSN ahead |
| 2024-11-22 | 95.28 | 106.27 | -1.92 | TSN ahead |
| 2024-11-21 | 94.75 | 106.27 | -2.00 | TSN ahead |
| 2024-11-20 | 93.88 | 105.40 | -2.03 | TSN ahead |
| 2024-11-19 | 92.36 | 104.85 | -2.19 | TSN ahead |
| 2024-11-18 | 91.33 | 107.55 | -2.69 | TSN ahead |
| 2024-11-15 | 90.74 | 107.18 | -2.76 | TSN ahead |
| 2024-11-14 | 94.47 | 106.67 | -2.18 | TSN ahead |
| 2024-11-13 | 94.41 | 105.48 | -2.05 | TSN ahead |
| 2024-11-12 | 94.41 | 104.42 | -1.92 | TSN ahead |
| 2024-11-11 | 94.32 | 98.00 | -1.13 | TSN ahead |
| 2024-11-08 | 94.19 | 99.30 | -1.31 | TSN ahead |
| 2024-11-07 | 94.04 | 97.83 | -1.15 | TSN ahead |
| 2024-11-06 | 95.43 | 98.58 | -1.07 | TSN ahead |
| 2024-11-05 | 96.61 | 98.75 | -0.94 | TSN ahead |
| 2024-11-04 | 95.50 | 97.18 | -0.89 | TSN ahead |
| 2024-11-01 | 96.05 | 97.25 | -0.84 | TSN ahead |
| 2024-10-31 | 94.91 | 97.63 | -1.03 | TSN ahead |
| 2024-10-30 | 95.12 | 98.03 | -1.05 | TSN ahead |
| 2024-10-29 | 95.34 | 97.27 | -0.94 | TSN ahead |
| 2024-10-28 | 96.12 | 98.65 | -1.02 | TSN ahead |
| 2024-10-25 | 96.49 | 97.77 | -0.87 | TSN ahead |
| 2024-10-24 | 96.58 | 98.37 | -0.94 | TSN ahead |
| 2024-10-23 | 96.89 | 98.12 | -0.88 | TSN ahead |
| 2024-10-22 | 96.58 | 98.13 | -0.92 | TSN ahead |
| 2024-10-21 | 97.30 | 98.62 | -0.90 | TSN ahead |
| 2024-10-18 | 100.00 | 100.00 | -0.76 | TSN ahead |
One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): May 5, 2025 (HRL -0.3%, TSN -7.8%); Aug 28, 2025 (HRL -13.1%, TSN -2.3%); Oct 29, 2025 (HRL -9.1%, TSN -2.7%); Nov 24, 2025 (HRL -0.4%, TSN +6.5%); May 4, 2026 (HRL -3.1%, TSN +8.0%); May 28, 2026 (HRL +12.6%, TSN -6.1%).
Paired trades
The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart
Forward paper record
No paper position on this pair yet.
Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)
No simulated trade through Oct 20, 2026: the pair rarely passed every test while 2 standard deviations apart.
Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.
The companies
HRL and TSN at a glance
HRL Hormel Foods Corporation
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 48465
- Industry
- Meat/Poultry/Fish · SIC 2011 Meat Packing Plants
- Market value
- $11.2B
- Price history
- 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
TSN Tyson Foods Inc.
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 100493
- Industry
- Meat/Poultry/Fish · SIC 2015 Poultry Slaughtering and Processing
- Market value
- $19.0B
- Price history
- 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.
Related
All pairs →Other rivals of HRL and TSN
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Explore the private betaPaper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.
