SIC 4833 Television Broadcasting Stations

Liberty Media Corporation Series C vs Skydance Corporation

WatchlistFWONK / SKYDPrices through Oct 22, 2026

Why these are rivals: #1 and #3 by market value ($34B vs $23B) with SEC SIC 4833 (Television Broadcasting Stations).

Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.

  • Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.17 (needs >= 0.60)
  • Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -2.07 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Business leadership

SKYD is the larger business

Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.

YearFWONKSKYDLarger
2025$4.5B--
2024$3.7B$29.2BSKYD
2023$3.6B$29.7BSKYD
2022$3.2B--
2021$11.4B--
2020$9.4B--

SKYD led in every year with figures for both. Market value: FWONK $22.5B, SKYD $34.3B.

Stock leadership

FWONK is ahead now

Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.

FWONK leads SKYD by 0.74 standard deviations: +14.2% over its usual price ratio. 0 lead switches in the last year.

Price change3 mo6 mo12 mo
FWONK-6.1%+2.8%-6.2%
SKYD+15.7%-15.7%-42.4%
Relationship

Not a measured twin today

Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.

Pass
Aligned sessions: 305 (needs >= 254)
Fail
Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.17 (needs >= 0.60)
Fail
Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -2.07 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Pass
Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 27.66 (needs <= 63)
Data
Both stocks current
The twins over two years

Prices side by side, and the gap between them

FWONK Liberty Media Corporation Series C SKYD Skydance CorporationPrice index, 100 = 2025-08-07. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).
100150Aug 2025Mar 2026Oct 2026FWONK 94SKYD 81
Spread z-score: FWONK relative to SKYD, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: FWONK ahead; below 0: SKYD ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).
-4stop-2idea0+2idea+4stopAug 2025Mar 2026Oct 2026
Data table (305 sessions)
DateFWONK indexSKYD indexzAhead
2026-10-2293.8780.94+0.74FWONK ahead
2026-10-2194.0081.77+0.69FWONK ahead
2026-10-2095.2473.77+1.34FWONK ahead
2026-10-1992.6270.65+1.43FWONK ahead
2026-10-1693.5271.79+1.41FWONK ahead
2026-10-1593.5275.43+1.14FWONK ahead
2026-10-1493.6173.35+1.31FWONK ahead
2026-10-1395.8078.96+1.04FWONK ahead
2026-10-1296.6178.02+1.16FWONK ahead
2026-10-0996.8578.02+1.18FWONK ahead
2026-10-0897.9179.05+1.18FWONK ahead
2026-10-0798.3775.72+1.44FWONK ahead
2026-10-0698.3981.18+1.08FWONK ahead
2026-10-0597.8483.26+0.92FWONK ahead
2026-10-0293.9280.92+0.86FWONK ahead
2026-10-0194.3479.56+0.98FWONK ahead
2026-09-3095.1687.99+0.51FWONK ahead
2026-09-2995.8685.09+0.72FWONK ahead
2026-09-2897.6987.56+0.68FWONK ahead
2026-09-2597.4484.84+0.83FWONK ahead
2026-09-2497.9286.71+0.75FWONK ahead
2026-09-2396.0484.84+0.77FWONK ahead
2026-09-2297.4586.12+0.77FWONK ahead
2026-09-2199.3184.41+0.97FWONK ahead
2026-09-1897.3686.97+0.73FWONK ahead
2026-09-1796.9890.46+0.53FWONK ahead
2026-09-1698.2194.85+0.37near the usual relationship
2026-09-1597.8493.78+0.41near the usual relationship
2026-09-1498.2592.59+0.50FWONK ahead
2026-09-1198.4490.29+0.63FWONK ahead
2026-09-1098.2988.42+0.73FWONK ahead
2026-09-0999.6987.05+0.88FWONK ahead
2026-09-0897.7991.99+0.53FWONK ahead
2026-09-0498.3592.50+0.53FWONK ahead
2026-09-0399.8494.04+0.53FWONK ahead
2026-09-02100.3193.44+0.59FWONK ahead
2026-09-0199.8589.86+0.76FWONK ahead
2026-08-31102.9492.93+0.75FWONK ahead
2026-08-28104.8492.68+0.86FWONK ahead
2026-08-27105.1491.99+0.91FWONK ahead
2026-08-26106.4391.48+1.01FWONK ahead
2026-08-25107.6290.89+1.10FWONK ahead
2026-08-24109.8588.16+1.35FWONK ahead
2026-08-21108.0788.16+1.29FWONK ahead
2026-08-20107.2787.65+1.29FWONK ahead
2026-08-19107.9790.29+1.18FWONK ahead
2026-08-18105.0788.84+1.14FWONK ahead
2026-08-17105.0387.56+1.22FWONK ahead
2026-08-14107.0086.37+1.39FWONK ahead
2026-08-13106.7984.92+1.47FWONK ahead
2026-08-12106.7080.92+1.71FWONK ahead
2026-08-11105.4479.90+1.72FWONK ahead
2026-08-10105.8078.96n/a
2026-08-07105.9278.28n/a
2026-08-06102.6777.17n/a
2026-08-0598.9274.62n/a
2026-08-0499.3171.38n/a
2026-08-03100.6670.02n/a
2026-07-31101.0667.80n/a
2026-07-30102.9966.52n/a
2026-07-29104.9367.72n/a
2026-07-28104.2268.74n/a
2026-07-27101.2768.40n/a
2026-07-2499.9569.93n/a
2026-07-2399.3672.32n/a
2026-07-2299.8674.79n/a
2026-07-21100.8472.66n/a
2026-07-20102.1673.00n/a
2026-07-17105.2574.53n/a
2026-07-16102.7277.85n/a
2026-07-15102.9978.79n/a
2026-07-14103.8877.68n/a
2026-07-13102.6281.35n/a
2026-07-1099.0080.15n/a
2026-07-0998.7779.47n/a
2026-07-0899.3783.05n/a
2026-07-07101.7884.67n/a
2026-07-06101.9385.95n/a
2026-07-02101.4488.50n/a
2026-07-01101.3286.63n/a
2026-06-3097.9883.99n/a
2026-06-2996.2783.65n/a
2026-06-2694.9282.11n/a
2026-06-2593.1580.32n/a
2026-06-2492.7283.05n/a
2026-06-2391.8582.75n/a
2026-06-2292.0284.24n/a
2026-06-1893.4784.67n/a
2026-06-1793.0585.01n/a
2026-06-1692.3187.73n/a
2026-06-1592.7389.35n/a
2026-06-1291.5989.18n/a
2026-06-1193.1289.35n/a
2026-06-1091.2687.82n/a
2026-06-0990.6087.22n/a
2026-06-0889.4688.50n/a
2026-06-0590.3087.05n/a
2026-06-0488.5490.97n/a
2026-06-0389.4789.01n/a
2026-06-0291.9991.82n/a
2026-06-0193.8093.53n/a
2026-05-2993.5090.38n/a
2026-05-2893.7892.08n/a
2026-05-2793.0390.46n/a
2026-05-2694.1488.33n/a
2026-05-2291.2089.10n/a
2026-05-2191.8687.56n/a
2026-05-2093.1486.29n/a
2026-05-1992.6784.33n/a
2026-05-1893.7183.65n/a
2026-05-1592.2184.24n/a
2026-05-1493.8986.12n/a
2026-05-1394.6089.18n/a
2026-05-1293.4091.06n/a
2026-05-1195.5392.85n/a
2026-05-0897.2794.46n/a
2026-05-0796.2791.65n/a
2026-05-0691.3192.93n/a
2026-05-0590.0190.80n/a
2026-05-0490.8094.80n/a
2026-05-0190.5794.46n/a
2026-04-3088.5287.22n/a
2026-04-2987.6388.07n/a
2026-04-2888.6189.61n/a
2026-04-2789.3090.20n/a
2026-04-2491.2593.44n/a
2026-04-2391.3296.00n/a
2026-04-2290.49100.51n/a
2026-04-2190.4998.89n/a
2026-04-2092.57100.68n/a
2026-04-1793.18100.00n/a
2026-04-1692.6399.91n/a
2026-04-1593.1799.40n/a
2026-04-1493.4894.38n/a
2026-04-1393.3991.40n/a
2026-04-1091.4290.46n/a
2026-04-0991.2992.42n/a
2026-04-0890.7992.16n/a
2026-04-0789.0892.85n/a
2026-04-0688.7783.90n/a
2026-04-0290.4881.09n/a
2026-04-0187.9178.79n/a
2026-03-3187.5676.83n/a
2026-03-3085.2475.98n/a
2026-03-2784.0774.87n/a
2026-03-2685.8375.64n/a
2026-03-2585.7878.62n/a
2026-03-2485.8978.11n/a
2026-03-2385.2177.85n/a
2026-03-2083.8577.94n/a
2026-03-1985.9076.32n/a
2026-03-1887.7276.66n/a
2026-03-1790.4478.62n/a
2026-03-1689.7980.92n/a
2026-03-1386.1682.79n/a
2026-03-1287.7383.48n/a
2026-03-1186.7784.67n/a
2026-03-1088.5887.99n/a
2026-03-0986.9495.32n/a
2026-03-0686.27102.13n/a
2026-03-0586.49100.00n/a
2026-03-0488.03102.64n/a
2026-03-0391.46106.05n/a
2026-03-0293.81113.63n/a
2026-02-2794.33115.08n/a
2026-02-2689.1295.23n/a
2026-02-2591.9686.54n/a
2026-02-2489.7788.50n/a
2026-02-2390.4389.95n/a
2026-02-2092.9491.23n/a
2026-02-1992.8093.19n/a
2026-02-1892.1094.72n/a
2026-02-1789.3392.25n/a
2026-02-1388.1187.90n/a
2026-02-1287.3387.31n/a
2026-02-1187.5693.78n/a
2026-02-1088.2992.33n/a
2026-02-0986.9390.97n/a
2026-02-0687.8089.95n/a
2026-02-0589.7689.61n/a
2026-02-0489.6091.57n/a
2026-02-0388.3392.08n/a
2026-02-0288.0595.23n/a
2026-01-3089.6295.49n/a
2026-01-2989.8195.91n/a
2026-01-2890.6696.59n/a
2026-01-2791.7598.38n/a
2026-01-2692.37101.28n/a
2026-01-2391.3499.66n/a
2026-01-2290.00100.34n/a
2026-01-2192.1798.81n/a
2026-01-2091.8398.38n/a
2026-01-1691.94100.51n/a
2026-01-1593.20100.77n/a
2026-01-1492.11102.90n/a
2026-01-1393.50103.41n/a
2026-01-1293.27103.49n/a
2026-01-0992.98102.73n/a
2026-01-0894.13104.51n/a
2026-01-0795.49105.37n/a
2026-01-0698.61106.47n/a
2026-01-05101.18110.56n/a
2026-01-02100.97112.27n/a
2025-12-31101.45114.14n/a
2025-12-30101.14115.08n/a
2025-12-29100.76114.99n/a
2025-12-26100.03115.76n/a
2025-12-2499.72117.04n/a
2025-12-2399.61115.25n/a
2025-12-22100.24115.93n/a
2025-12-19100.08111.16n/a
2025-12-1898.95110.82n/a
2025-12-1799.78111.58n/a
2025-12-1698.65117.97n/a
2025-12-1597.67119.17n/a
2025-12-1296.57117.04n/a
2025-12-1196.39120.27n/a
2025-12-1095.06125.38n/a
2025-12-0995.26124.70n/a
2025-12-0893.26124.11n/a
2025-12-0594.95113.84n/a
2025-12-0496.06126.24n/a
2025-12-0395.05124.96n/a
2025-12-0296.16134.75n/a
2025-12-0197.63133.82n/a
2025-11-2898.85136.46n/a
2025-11-2698.50134.50n/a
2025-11-2596.96133.22n/a
2025-11-2495.84128.28n/a
2025-11-2196.31135.35n/a
2025-11-2096.51133.56n/a
2025-11-1998.85131.77n/a
2025-11-1899.62137.05n/a
2025-11-17100.65133.99n/a
2025-11-14101.76133.56n/a
2025-11-13103.74130.92n/a
2025-11-12104.64132.62n/a
2025-11-11105.05142.59n/a
2025-11-10104.90129.90n/a
2025-11-07105.05128.62n/a
2025-11-06106.30126.07n/a
2025-11-05104.44128.54n/a
2025-11-04103.76126.41n/a
2025-11-03102.65131.35n/a
2025-10-31102.83131.09n/a
2025-10-30101.45131.69n/a
2025-10-2998.84135.26n/a
2025-10-2897.89138.08n/a
2025-10-2797.67141.10n/a
2025-10-2497.48142.42n/a
2025-10-2399.92140.29n/a
2025-10-22100.70141.14n/a
2025-10-21100.04140.63n/a
2025-10-20100.95144.72n/a
2025-10-17101.91142.85n/a
2025-10-16103.38143.95n/a
2025-10-15106.66148.47n/a
2025-10-14106.82147.27n/a
2025-10-13107.14145.66n/a
2025-10-10106.28144.80n/a
2025-10-09108.02153.07n/a
2025-10-08109.93157.58n/a
2025-10-07109.91157.67n/a
2025-10-06111.57162.95n/a
2025-10-03107.96162.61n/a
2025-10-02107.26158.60n/a
2025-10-01105.54160.90n/a
2025-09-30107.57161.16n/a
2025-09-29107.39166.10n/a
2025-09-26108.06161.16n/a
2025-09-25107.06161.24n/a
2025-09-24107.91162.86n/a
2025-09-23106.14168.06n/a
2025-09-22105.87158.52n/a
2025-09-19106.77161.16n/a
2025-09-18106.78152.26n/a
2025-09-17105.07152.64n/a
2025-09-16103.50149.32n/a
2025-09-15101.88158.26n/a
2025-09-12102.41160.05n/a
2025-09-11105.19148.72n/a
2025-09-10101.82128.71n/a
2025-09-09104.52129.47n/a
2025-09-08104.88129.39n/a
2025-09-05103.76127.77n/a
2025-09-04102.65125.55n/a
2025-09-03103.03128.28n/a
2025-09-02104.09123.17n/a
2025-08-29102.88125.21n/a
2025-08-28103.06125.13n/a
2025-08-27102.80126.15n/a
2025-08-26104.47134.92n/a
2025-08-25105.49135.95n/a
2025-08-22106.01136.29n/a
2025-08-21104.40136.54n/a
2025-08-20104.71119.08n/a
2025-08-19104.72114.82n/a
2025-08-18103.82114.99n/a
2025-08-15102.40116.87n/a
2025-08-14101.61122.49n/a
2025-08-13103.04127.77n/a
2025-08-1299.4693.44n/a
2025-08-1198.0186.20n/a
2025-08-0898.8789.52n/a
2025-08-07100.00100.00n/a

No one-day company-specific move of 4+ standard deviations in this window. Upcoming earnings: SKYD Nov 3, 2026 (not-supplied); FWONK Nov 5, 2026 (pre-market).

Paired trades

The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart

Forward paper record

No paper position on this pair yet.

Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)

No simulated trade through Oct 20, 2026: the pair rarely passed every test while 2 standard deviations apart.

Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.

The companies

FWONK and SKYD at a glance

FWONK Liberty Media Corporation Series C

Listing
Nasdaq · SEC CIK 1560385
Industry
Broadcasting · SIC 4833 Television Broadcasting Stations
Market value
$22.5B
Price history
2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026

SKYD Skydance Corporation

Listing
NYSE · SEC CIK 2041610
Industry
Broadcasting · SIC 4833 Television Broadcasting Stations
Market value
$34.3B
Price history
305 daily closes, Aug 7, 2025 to Oct 22, 2026

Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.

Related
All pairs →
PairStatusAhead nowIndustry
SPOT / SKYDWatchlistSPOT by 2.18 sdBroadcasting
SKYD / FOXAWatchlistFOXA by 1.38 sdBroadcasting
FOXA / FWONKWatchlistFOXA by 0.92 sdSIC 4833 Television Broadcasting Stations

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Paper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.