SIC 7320 Services-Consumer Credit Reporting, Collection Agencies

Equifax Inc. vs Moody's Corporation

WatchlistEFX / MCOPrices through Oct 22, 2026

Why these are rivals: #2 and #3 by market value ($83B vs $19B) with SEC SIC 7320 (Services-Consumer Credit Reporting, Collection Agencies).

Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.

  • Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.58 (needs >= 0.60)
  • Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -2.34 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Business leadership

MCO is the larger business

Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.

YearEFXMCOLarger
2025$6.1B$7.7BMCO
2024$5.7B$7.1BMCO
2023$5.3B$5.9BMCO
2022$5.1B$5.5BMCO
2021$4.9B$6.2BMCO
2020$4.1B$5.4BMCO

MCO led in every year with figures for both. Market value: EFX $18.6B, MCO $83.4B.

Stock leadership

Neither is clearly ahead

Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.

The gap is 0.23 standard deviations, close to the usual relationship. 0 lead switches in the last year.

Price change3 mo6 mo12 mo
EFX+8.5%+7.0%-18.6%
MCO+4.1%+8.6%+1.3%
Relationship

Not a measured twin today

Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.

Pass
Aligned sessions: 2521 (needs >= 254)
Fail
Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.58 (needs >= 0.60)
Fail
Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -2.34 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Pass
Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 26.10 (needs <= 63)
Data
Both stocks current
The twins over two years

Prices side by side, and the gap between them

EFX Equifax Inc. MCO Moody's CorporationPrice index, 100 = 2024-10-18. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).
6080100Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026EFX 66MCO 101
Spread z-score: EFX relative to MCO, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: EFX ahead; below 0: MCO ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).
-4stop-2idea0+2idea+4stopOct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026
Data table (504 sessions)
DateEFX indexMCO indexzAhead
2026-10-2266.36100.53-0.23near the usual relationship
2026-10-2162.2698.48-0.65MCO ahead
2026-10-2062.6197.32-0.49near the usual relationship
2026-10-1956.2398.53-1.63MCO ahead
2026-10-1657.1899.31-1.56MCO ahead
2026-10-1557.1999.02-1.54MCO ahead
2026-10-1453.3294.74-1.79MCO ahead
2026-10-1352.8795.02-1.92MCO ahead
2026-10-1252.2596.32-2.18MCO ahead
2026-10-0951.7095.04-2.17MCO ahead
2026-10-0851.6193.91-2.09MCO ahead
2026-10-0750.5192.05-2.13MCO ahead
2026-10-0650.5392.60-2.20MCO ahead
2026-10-0550.5791.75-2.13MCO ahead
2026-10-0249.6590.36-2.16MCO ahead
2026-10-0149.5591.59-2.32MCO ahead
2026-09-3048.6792.97-2.65MCO ahead
2026-09-2949.9493.11-2.44MCO ahead
2026-09-2851.7094.19-2.23MCO ahead
2026-09-2552.5295.95-2.27MCO ahead
2026-09-2452.7795.68-2.20MCO ahead
2026-09-2355.0897.01-1.95MCO ahead
2026-09-2256.6696.07-1.60MCO ahead
2026-09-2156.2595.65-1.63MCO ahead
2026-09-1856.3495.93-1.65MCO ahead
2026-09-1757.1594.56-1.40MCO ahead
2026-09-1658.0995.26-1.33MCO ahead
2026-09-1559.2595.64-1.19MCO ahead
2026-09-1461.1097.84-1.13MCO ahead
2026-09-1159.9397.23-1.26MCO ahead
2026-09-1059.5995.68-1.17MCO ahead
2026-09-0959.6197.16-1.31MCO ahead
2026-09-0860.8698.52-1.26MCO ahead
2026-09-0462.79101.04-1.22MCO ahead
2026-09-0367.06103.24-0.84MCO ahead
2026-09-0265.78100.32-0.76MCO ahead
2026-09-0166.03101.28-0.82MCO ahead
2026-08-3167.08103.31-0.86MCO ahead
2026-08-2868.92105.42-0.81MCO ahead
2026-08-2767.51104.21-0.89MCO ahead
2026-08-2667.58105.34-0.99MCO ahead
2026-08-2568.05105.05-0.91MCO ahead
2026-08-2469.02104.69-0.76MCO ahead
2026-08-2168.31103.04-0.72MCO ahead
2026-08-2068.23102.11-0.66MCO ahead
2026-08-1968.12101.75-0.65MCO ahead
2026-08-1864.4899.45-0.93MCO ahead
2026-08-1762.7097.69-1.03MCO ahead
2026-08-1464.1399.28-0.98MCO ahead
2026-08-1365.8199.99-0.83MCO ahead
2026-08-1264.0097.83-0.88MCO ahead
2026-08-1164.5397.55-0.80MCO ahead
2026-08-1064.2097.89-0.88MCO ahead
2026-08-0764.7497.81-0.80MCO ahead
2026-08-0662.3496.86-1.05MCO ahead
2026-08-0562.9099.08-1.18MCO ahead
2026-08-0462.8199.02-1.19MCO ahead
2026-08-0361.7498.96-1.35MCO ahead
2026-07-3161.2197.94-1.34MCO ahead
2026-07-3062.4698.73-1.25MCO ahead
2026-07-2966.3398.93-0.76MCO ahead
2026-07-2866.3299.13-0.78MCO ahead
2026-07-2762.8899.49-1.28MCO ahead
2026-07-2461.1996.53-1.27MCO ahead
2026-07-2359.1296.68-1.59MCO ahead
2026-07-2260.45100.25-1.72MCO ahead
2026-07-2161.35100.47-1.63MCO ahead
2026-07-2063.86103.46-1.54MCO ahead
2026-07-1762.80104.59-1.80MCO ahead
2026-07-1663.70106.26-1.83MCO ahead
2026-07-1560.86103.28-1.99MCO ahead
2026-07-1459.20101.28-2.08MCO ahead
2026-07-1361.21101.49-1.83MCO ahead
2026-07-1059.0299.76-2.01MCO ahead
2026-07-0959.1099.71-2.01MCO ahead
2026-07-0859.2599.31-1.98MCO ahead
2026-07-0761.91102.46-1.88MCO ahead
2026-07-0660.97102.11-2.01MCO ahead
2026-07-0261.02100.42-1.87MCO ahead
2026-07-0157.5195.89-2.01MCO ahead
2026-06-3056.2992.72-1.92MCO ahead
2026-06-2956.2392.69-1.94MCO ahead
2026-06-2656.2092.13-1.91MCO ahead
2026-06-2553.8889.84-2.08MCO ahead
2026-06-2455.8992.08-1.99MCO ahead
2026-06-2354.0990.89-2.19MCO ahead
2026-06-2254.4391.58-2.22MCO ahead
2026-06-1854.5992.26-2.28MCO ahead
2026-06-1754.9193.40-2.36MCO ahead
2026-06-1659.2795.90-1.93MCO ahead
2026-06-1558.5692.96-1.77MCO ahead
2026-06-1258.0691.69-1.74MCO ahead
2026-06-1156.5990.45-1.85MCO ahead
2026-06-1058.8992.27-1.69MCO ahead
2026-06-0959.7192.11-1.56MCO ahead
2026-06-0859.5490.85-1.48MCO ahead
2026-06-0561.0492.40-1.42MCO ahead
2026-06-0460.6491.95-1.44MCO ahead
2026-06-0360.3491.80-1.48MCO ahead
2026-06-0262.4592.86-1.29MCO ahead
2026-06-0161.5695.03-1.63MCO ahead
2026-05-2958.7992.79-1.84MCO ahead
2026-05-2858.1092.22-1.90MCO ahead
2026-05-2758.0592.45-1.95MCO ahead
2026-05-2657.7492.35-2.01MCO ahead
2026-05-2258.1791.95-1.92MCO ahead
2026-05-2157.8491.18-1.91MCO ahead
2026-05-2058.4690.95-1.81MCO ahead
2026-05-1957.0388.95-1.84MCO ahead
2026-05-1858.2490.78-1.85MCO ahead
2026-05-1556.1687.81-1.89MCO ahead
2026-05-1455.9388.58-2.02MCO ahead
2026-05-1356.7289.74-2.03MCO ahead
2026-05-1259.1492.48-1.95MCO ahead
2026-05-1159.5191.80-1.84MCO ahead
2026-05-0862.3592.40-1.50MCO ahead
2026-05-0762.2893.58-1.63MCO ahead
2026-05-0661.4291.85-1.60MCO ahead
2026-05-0560.2993.06-1.89MCO ahead
2026-05-0461.0892.04-1.69MCO ahead
2026-05-0161.6593.31-1.75MCO ahead
2026-04-3061.6894.55-1.87MCO ahead
2026-04-2961.1994.20-1.92MCO ahead
2026-04-2860.8993.76-1.94MCO ahead
2026-04-2760.4994.33-2.07MCO ahead
2026-04-2461.1693.36-1.90MCO ahead
2026-04-2362.0392.61-1.72MCO ahead
2026-04-2263.3695.55-1.83MCO ahead
2026-04-2168.2494.09-1.05MCO ahead
2026-04-2070.3794.16-0.79MCO ahead
2026-04-1769.5893.22-0.81MCO ahead
2026-04-1667.5191.80-0.94MCO ahead
2026-04-1566.2691.47-1.08MCO ahead
2026-04-1466.1189.68-0.94MCO ahead
2026-04-1366.1390.00-0.97MCO ahead
2026-04-1063.1187.50-1.15MCO ahead
2026-04-0964.5189.71-1.18MCO ahead
2026-04-0865.3991.64-1.26MCO ahead
2026-04-0764.4889.67-1.20MCO ahead
2026-04-0664.5790.92-1.33MCO ahead
2026-04-0264.6890.24-1.25MCO ahead
2026-04-0163.7189.83-1.36MCO ahead
2026-03-3163.8689.31-1.30MCO ahead
2026-03-3062.9188.45-1.36MCO ahead
2026-03-2760.9486.98-1.51MCO ahead
2026-03-2661.8988.50-1.54MCO ahead
2026-03-2561.1987.63-1.57MCO ahead
2026-03-2460.1187.72-1.76MCO ahead
2026-03-2363.7190.30-1.50MCO ahead
2026-03-2063.1389.08-1.48MCO ahead
2026-03-1964.3689.22-1.32MCO ahead
2026-03-1865.1889.81-1.28MCO ahead
2026-03-1766.4390.29-1.16MCO ahead
2026-03-1665.6788.58-1.10MCO ahead
2026-03-1365.3588.03-1.10MCO ahead
2026-03-1264.7087.31-1.12MCO ahead
2026-03-1167.9391.29-1.09MCO ahead
2026-03-1069.4892.58-1.02MCO ahead
2026-03-0972.5694.72-0.84MCO ahead
2026-03-0673.7096.62-0.89MCO ahead
2026-03-0573.3696.23-0.90MCO ahead
2026-03-0473.2596.43-0.94MCO ahead
2026-03-0373.2095.05-0.81MCO ahead
2026-03-0273.7795.42-0.78MCO ahead
2026-02-2774.1097.77-0.97MCO ahead
2026-02-2673.7198.16-1.07MCO ahead
2026-02-2570.2694.86-1.20MCO ahead
2026-02-2468.9192.65-1.17MCO ahead
2026-02-2366.8289.49-1.14MCO ahead
2026-02-2070.0291.68-0.93MCO ahead
2026-02-1969.2691.98-1.07MCO ahead
2026-02-1868.3092.28-1.24MCO ahead
2026-02-1768.3486.64-0.64MCO ahead
2026-02-1368.3787.30-0.71MCO ahead
2026-02-1266.7384.98-0.69MCO ahead
2026-02-1170.0784.39-0.16near the usual relationship
2026-02-1071.8985.77-0.08near the usual relationship
2026-02-0970.7892.02-0.89MCO ahead
2026-02-0669.3792.64-1.16MCO ahead
2026-02-0567.7493.70-1.51MCO ahead
2026-02-0464.2094.42-2.11MCO ahead
2026-02-0362.0896.44-2.69MCO ahead
2026-02-0270.63105.85-2.37MCO ahead
2026-01-3071.42105.55-2.26MCO ahead
2026-01-2972.34105.53-2.16MCO ahead
2026-01-2872.81105.77-2.15MCO ahead
2026-01-2773.77106.23-2.09MCO ahead
2026-01-2676.06107.57-1.93MCO ahead
2026-01-2374.38107.28-2.15MCO ahead
2026-01-2275.92108.55-2.09MCO ahead
2026-01-2175.18107.44-2.11MCO ahead
2026-01-2073.89105.90-2.17MCO ahead
2026-01-1677.86110.33-2.07MCO ahead
2026-01-1577.74110.47-2.13MCO ahead
2026-01-1477.94109.73-2.06MCO ahead
2026-01-1377.15109.51-2.17MCO ahead
2026-01-1278.60109.55-2.00MCO ahead
2026-01-0980.49108.83-1.70MCO ahead
2026-01-0877.32108.74-2.15MCO ahead
2026-01-0775.71108.80-2.42MCO ahead
2026-01-0675.27109.10-2.55MCO ahead
2026-01-0578.30107.87-2.02MCO ahead
2026-01-0275.90102.15-1.77MCO ahead
2025-12-3176.95104.58-1.91MCO ahead
2025-12-3078.29105.59-1.84MCO ahead
2025-12-2978.77106.26-1.86MCO ahead
2025-12-2678.75106.47-1.91MCO ahead
2025-12-2478.22105.90-1.95MCO ahead
2025-12-2378.01105.51-1.96MCO ahead
2025-12-2278.18104.34-1.82MCO ahead
2025-12-1977.72102.99-1.76MCO ahead
2025-12-1877.81101.89-1.63MCO ahead
2025-12-1777.36102.16-1.75MCO ahead
2025-12-1677.50100.93-1.60MCO ahead
2025-12-1576.9699.80-1.57MCO ahead
2025-12-1278.3199.62-1.35MCO ahead
2025-12-1178.2399.40-1.35MCO ahead
2025-12-1076.3198.27-1.52MCO ahead
2025-12-0974.1299.57-2.06MCO ahead
2025-12-0874.5799.73-2.03MCO ahead
2025-12-0575.01101.65-2.22MCO ahead
2025-12-0474.92100.21-2.08MCO ahead
2025-12-0374.38100.73-2.27MCO ahead
2025-12-0274.0099.87-2.26MCO ahead
2025-12-0174.0999.75-2.26MCO ahead
2025-11-2875.31100.47-2.18MCO ahead
2025-11-2675.4399.73-2.09MCO ahead
2025-11-2576.2099.43-1.94MCO ahead
2025-11-2474.3498.01-2.10MCO ahead
2025-11-2175.7998.20-1.89MCO ahead
2025-11-2073.2897.15-2.23MCO ahead
2025-11-1973.1496.81-2.24MCO ahead
2025-11-1872.5396.25-2.31MCO ahead
2025-11-1772.6596.65-2.38MCO ahead
2025-11-1473.4698.16-2.47MCO ahead
2025-11-1373.41100.47-2.86MCO ahead
2025-11-1273.89100.49-2.82MCO ahead
2025-11-1175.41100.93-2.63MCO ahead
2025-11-1074.0599.28-2.70MCO ahead
2025-11-0773.6299.90-2.92MCO ahead
2025-11-0672.4198.72-3.05MCO ahead
2025-11-0573.5299.59-3.01MCO ahead
2025-11-0473.9299.80-3.01MCO ahead
2025-11-0374.4199.49-2.91MCO ahead
2025-10-3174.8698.33-2.68MCO ahead
2025-10-3075.0098.06-2.64MCO ahead
2025-10-2976.0796.57-2.21MCO ahead
2025-10-2879.49100.47-2.16MCO ahead
2025-10-2781.22101.36-1.98MCO ahead
2025-10-2482.91100.48-1.53MCO ahead
2025-10-2382.0398.12-1.33MCO ahead
2025-10-2281.7996.79-1.17MCO ahead
2025-10-2181.5499.28-1.63MCO ahead
2025-10-2081.9697.13-1.21MCO ahead
2025-10-1780.4796.43-1.40MCO ahead
2025-10-1680.5795.93-1.30MCO ahead
2025-10-1581.4497.96-1.47MCO ahead
2025-10-1480.9798.52-1.66MCO ahead
2025-10-1379.9596.98-1.62MCO ahead
2025-10-1081.6799.11-1.63MCO ahead
2025-10-0982.72100.82-1.71MCO ahead
2025-10-0885.00100.33-1.22MCO ahead
2025-10-0784.4099.99-1.28MCO ahead
2025-10-0684.1698.97-1.17MCO ahead
2025-10-0383.9399.30-1.27MCO ahead
2025-10-0282.4098.71-1.46MCO ahead
2025-10-0190.0298.23-0.09near the usual relationship
2025-09-3090.9797.55+0.15near the usual relationship
2025-09-2990.6498.44-0.04near the usual relationship
2025-09-2690.1797.60+0.00near the usual relationship
2025-09-2589.2896.77-0.03near the usual relationship
2025-09-2491.2997.20+0.21near the usual relationship
2025-09-2391.3497.61+0.15near the usual relationship
2025-09-2291.1399.97-0.22near the usual relationship
2025-09-1991.3498.42+0.02near the usual relationship
2025-09-1892.4698.74+0.13near the usual relationship
2025-09-1793.03104.77-0.59MCO ahead
2025-09-1692.41104.00-0.59MCO ahead
2025-09-1591.10104.16-0.80MCO ahead
2025-09-1290.87104.88-0.93MCO ahead
2025-09-1192.28106.19-0.90MCO ahead
2025-09-1087.08103.61-1.35MCO ahead
2025-09-0989.37103.99-1.06MCO ahead
2025-09-0889.71103.92-1.01MCO ahead
2025-09-0588.54102.16-0.97MCO ahead
2025-09-0485.32102.31-1.47MCO ahead
2025-09-0384.22101.63-1.56MCO ahead
2025-09-0282.99102.06-1.81MCO ahead
2025-08-2987.34104.36-1.45MCO ahead
2025-08-2886.47104.29-1.58MCO ahead
2025-08-2787.23104.42-1.50MCO ahead
2025-08-2687.80104.69-1.46MCO ahead
2025-08-2588.93104.41-1.27MCO ahead
2025-08-2290.43105.64-1.22MCO ahead
2025-08-2187.04104.30-1.55MCO ahead
2025-08-2088.07105.42-1.54MCO ahead
2025-08-1988.62104.82-1.40MCO ahead
2025-08-1887.10104.25-1.56MCO ahead
2025-08-1587.85105.73-1.64MCO ahead
2025-08-1487.97106.73-1.76MCO ahead
2025-08-1389.83106.69-1.51MCO ahead
2025-08-1285.46105.65-2.03MCO ahead
2025-08-1184.98104.75-2.02MCO ahead
2025-08-0885.04105.49-2.12MCO ahead
2025-08-0785.79105.24-2.00MCO ahead
2025-08-0685.32105.94-2.18MCO ahead
2025-08-0585.16105.61-2.18MCO ahead
2025-08-0486.26106.43-2.15MCO ahead
2025-08-0185.11102.62-1.87MCO ahead
2025-07-3185.19105.58-2.25MCO ahead
2025-07-3085.85104.95-2.10MCO ahead
2025-07-2987.67104.51-1.79MCO ahead
2025-07-2885.45103.90-2.07MCO ahead
2025-07-2587.33105.01-1.95MCO ahead
2025-07-2487.23105.04-1.99MCO ahead
2025-07-2387.19103.98-1.88MCO ahead
2025-07-2284.55102.18-2.09MCO ahead
2025-07-2192.07102.40-0.97MCO ahead
2025-07-1893.30102.34-0.78MCO ahead
2025-07-1792.71102.86-0.95MCO ahead
2025-07-1691.96102.41-1.00MCO ahead
2025-07-1591.28101.40-0.98MCO ahead
2025-07-1492.43103.06-1.03MCO ahead
2025-07-1191.73102.27-1.04MCO ahead
2025-07-1093.97103.53-0.88MCO ahead
2025-07-0994.23102.82-0.75MCO ahead
2025-07-0893.68102.16-0.75MCO ahead
2025-07-0793.65102.85-0.85MCO ahead
2025-07-0392.84103.40-1.05MCO ahead
2025-07-0293.04101.77-0.81MCO ahead
2025-07-0193.60102.87-0.88MCO ahead
2025-06-3091.98102.69-1.10MCO ahead
2025-06-2790.8399.91-0.90MCO ahead
2025-06-2690.7798.58-0.73MCO ahead
2025-06-2591.5098.61-0.62MCO ahead
2025-06-2492.84100.11-0.63MCO ahead
2025-06-2390.4697.50-0.63MCO ahead
2025-06-2090.6896.22-0.42near the usual relationship
2025-06-1889.8696.33-0.56MCO ahead
2025-06-1790.7896.47-0.45near the usual relationship
2025-06-1694.8497.64-0.01near the usual relationship
2025-06-1393.7296.61-0.03near the usual relationship
2025-06-1295.3898.47-0.05near the usual relationship
2025-06-1196.2898.99+0.00near the usual relationship
2025-06-1096.4399.30-0.02near the usual relationship
2025-06-0995.2299.40-0.21near the usual relationship
2025-06-0695.15100.10-0.32near the usual relationship
2025-06-0594.4099.81-0.40near the usual relationship
2025-06-0494.6899.40-0.30near the usual relationship
2025-06-0393.4398.69-0.39near the usual relationship
2025-06-0292.7098.25-0.44near the usual relationship
2025-05-3093.6998.13-0.28near the usual relationship
2025-05-2993.2898.60-0.41near the usual relationship
2025-05-2892.9697.96-0.37near the usual relationship
2025-05-2791.6398.52-0.65MCO ahead
2025-05-2392.9896.15-0.11near the usual relationship
2025-05-2293.4196.58-0.12near the usual relationship
2025-05-2191.6896.79-0.41near the usual relationship
2025-05-2098.2499.70+0.13near the usual relationship
2025-05-1999.49100.75+0.16near the usual relationship
2025-05-1698.83100.09+0.15near the usual relationship
2025-05-1597.5899.77+0.02near the usual relationship
2025-05-1496.1398.07+0.04near the usual relationship
2025-05-1397.0899.23+0.01near the usual relationship
2025-05-1298.0199.71+0.08near the usual relationship
2025-05-0995.7296.36+0.22near the usual relationship
2025-05-0896.1696.56+0.25near the usual relationship
2025-05-0794.3595.78+0.10near the usual relationship
2025-05-0692.9794.77+0.04near the usual relationship
2025-05-0593.0495.13-0.01near the usual relationship
2025-05-0293.7495.15+0.09near the usual relationship
2025-05-0192.4292.51+0.28near the usual relationship
2025-04-3092.2592.77+0.21near the usual relationship
2025-04-2991.7391.51+0.32near the usual relationship
2025-04-2890.9090.03+0.41near the usual relationship
2025-04-2590.9589.80+0.46near the usual relationship
2025-04-2491.2189.99+0.47near the usual relationship
2025-04-2388.4188.19+0.32near the usual relationship
2025-04-2286.9188.01+0.12near the usual relationship
2025-04-2176.3584.61-1.11MCO ahead
2025-04-1778.4686.98-1.12MCO ahead
2025-04-1677.7687.15-1.27MCO ahead
2025-04-1579.9989.07-1.20MCO ahead
2025-04-1479.5589.60-1.36MCO ahead
2025-04-1178.1087.71-1.33MCO ahead
2025-04-1077.2186.60-1.32MCO ahead
2025-04-0979.5989.79-1.40MCO ahead
2025-04-0872.8781.21-1.25MCO ahead
2025-04-0774.0181.48-1.10MCO ahead
2025-04-0474.5082.39-1.16MCO ahead
2025-04-0382.2090.57-1.12MCO ahead
2025-04-0287.7996.40-1.09MCO ahead
2025-04-0186.4895.97-1.23MCO ahead
2025-03-3186.3795.34-1.16MCO ahead
2025-03-2885.2394.46-1.22MCO ahead
2025-03-2786.4696.01-1.26MCO ahead
2025-03-2685.7296.24-1.40MCO ahead
2025-03-2586.2997.70-1.52MCO ahead
2025-03-2487.0196.05-1.20MCO ahead
2025-03-2186.5394.07-1.02MCO ahead
2025-03-2086.3394.13-1.06MCO ahead
2025-03-1985.9194.24-1.15MCO ahead
2025-03-1883.5692.15-1.22MCO ahead
2025-03-1785.2092.86-1.08MCO ahead
2025-03-1483.6691.48-1.13MCO ahead
2025-03-1383.9589.63-0.84MCO ahead
2025-03-1284.8990.51-0.83MCO ahead
2025-03-1184.9190.87-0.88MCO ahead
2025-03-1088.6392.19-0.55MCO ahead
2025-03-0790.3294.48-0.62MCO ahead
2025-03-0687.1596.27-1.27MCO ahead
2025-03-0586.8598.71-1.61MCO ahead
2025-03-0486.2298.53-1.68MCO ahead
2025-03-0386.71102.77-2.11MCO ahead
2025-02-2886.95103.17-2.14MCO ahead
2025-02-2786.04100.90-2.02MCO ahead
2025-02-2686.39102.02-2.12MCO ahead
2025-02-2587.02102.75-2.14MCO ahead
2025-02-2485.06102.56-2.41MCO ahead
2025-02-2184.41102.42-2.52MCO ahead
2025-02-2085.54104.74-2.66MCO ahead
2025-02-1986.26106.31-2.77MCO ahead
2025-02-1887.47106.37-2.65MCO ahead
2025-02-1488.48107.04-2.63MCO ahead
2025-02-1388.96107.99-2.72MCO ahead
2025-02-1290.20103.48-2.06MCO ahead
2025-02-1189.72104.94-2.33MCO ahead
2025-02-1089.68103.23-2.16MCO ahead
2025-02-0788.05103.04-2.40MCO ahead
2025-02-0687.76102.94-2.47MCO ahead
2025-02-0595.83101.51-1.18MCO ahead
2025-02-0494.60100.96-1.28MCO ahead
2025-02-0394.87101.64-1.34MCO ahead
2025-01-3197.44102.25-1.08MCO ahead
2025-01-3098.71102.20-0.92MCO ahead
2025-01-2996.17100.38-1.03MCO ahead
2025-01-2896.94100.93-1.01MCO ahead
2025-01-2797.50101.56-1.02MCO ahead
2025-01-2495.33100.24-1.15MCO ahead
2025-01-2395.3599.52-1.06MCO ahead
2025-01-2296.4199.22-0.89MCO ahead
2025-01-2196.5599.24-0.88MCO ahead
2025-01-1793.2297.42-1.10MCO ahead
2025-01-1693.7198.06-1.13MCO ahead
2025-01-1593.4596.50-0.96MCO ahead
2025-01-1489.4994.70-1.29MCO ahead
2025-01-1387.7993.74-1.42MCO ahead
2025-01-1086.6592.70-1.46MCO ahead
2025-01-0887.9996.65-1.83MCO ahead
2025-01-0787.0694.99-1.76MCO ahead
2025-01-0688.2296.86-1.86MCO ahead
2025-01-0389.8698.09-1.80MCO ahead
2025-01-0289.0696.80-1.76MCO ahead
2024-12-3190.3896.91-1.60MCO ahead
2024-12-3090.5196.94-1.60MCO ahead
2024-12-2790.7897.60-1.67MCO ahead
2024-12-2691.7898.51-1.66MCO ahead
2024-12-2492.6598.35-1.52MCO ahead
2024-12-2391.6796.99-1.49MCO ahead
2024-12-2091.6595.47-1.29MCO ahead
2024-12-1989.9594.60-1.43MCO ahead
2024-12-1891.0896.24-1.51MCO ahead
2024-12-1797.0599.42-1.08MCO ahead
2024-12-1696.99100.15-1.21MCO ahead
2024-12-1394.26100.11-1.62MCO ahead
2024-12-1294.08101.29-1.83MCO ahead
2024-12-1193.17101.86-2.07MCO ahead
2024-12-1092.40100.61-2.04MCO ahead
2024-12-0993.93100.42-1.79MCO ahead
2024-12-0694.62101.29-1.83MCO ahead
2024-12-0592.48100.55-2.08MCO ahead
2024-12-0493.47101.99-2.16MCO ahead
2024-12-0392.64101.07-2.18MCO ahead
2024-12-0291.74101.83-2.48MCO ahead
2024-11-2992.76102.36-2.43MCO ahead
2024-11-2792.62102.54-2.51MCO ahead
2024-11-2691.83102.29-2.65MCO ahead
2024-11-2593.58101.14-2.20MCO ahead
2024-11-2289.9398.40-2.42MCO ahead
2024-11-2189.6897.84-2.40MCO ahead
2024-11-2087.6297.16-2.71MCO ahead
2024-11-1986.8995.97-2.68MCO ahead
2024-11-1886.9996.62-2.81MCO ahead
2024-11-1588.0496.90-2.69MCO ahead
2024-11-1492.9998.70-2.09MCO ahead
2024-11-1394.3298.15-1.74MCO ahead
2024-11-1294.9697.34-1.47MCO ahead
2024-11-1196.1097.95-1.36MCO ahead
2024-11-0896.0897.69-1.32MCO ahead
2024-11-0795.5795.31-0.98MCO ahead
2024-11-0693.6994.41-1.14MCO ahead
2024-11-0595.6294.62-0.84MCO ahead
2024-11-0493.8793.85-1.00MCO ahead
2024-11-0193.7693.43-0.93MCO ahead
2024-10-3193.9892.95-0.80MCO ahead
2024-10-3095.5193.96-0.70MCO ahead
2024-10-2995.2194.28-0.80MCO ahead
2024-10-2895.7694.61-0.75MCO ahead
2024-10-2595.7194.75-0.77MCO ahead
2024-10-2496.3795.59-0.79MCO ahead
2024-10-2396.3795.99-0.85MCO ahead
2024-10-2296.4995.76-0.80MCO ahead
2024-10-2197.8299.69-1.21MCO ahead
2024-10-18100.00100.00-0.91MCO ahead

One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Apr 22, 2025 (EFX +13.8%, MCO +4.0%); Jul 22, 2025 (EFX -8.2%, MCO -0.2%); Oct 2, 2025 (EFX -8.5%, MCO +0.5%); Feb 10, 2026 (EFX +1.6%, MCO -6.8%); Apr 22, 2026 (EFX -7.2%, MCO +1.6%); Oct 20, 2026 (EFX +11.3%, MCO -1.2%).

Paired trades

The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart

Forward paper record

No paper position on this pair yet.

Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)

2 simulated trades to Oct 20, 2026: -8.89% per trade on average after costs, 0 won.

LegsEnteredExitedWhyDaysBefore costsCosts + borrowAfter costs
Long MCO · Short EFXDec 9, 2020May 6, 2021divergence stop148-$1,286.68-$68.91-$1,364.26 (-13.64%)
Long EFX · Short MCOOct 30, 2019Dec 11, 2019divergence stop42-$365.96-$50.22-$413.96 (-4.14%)

Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.

The companies

EFX and MCO at a glance

EFX Equifax Inc.

Listing
NYSE · SEC CIK 33185
Industry
Finance: Consumer Services · SIC 7320 Services-Consumer Credit Reporting, Collection Agencies
Market value
$18.6B
Price history
2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026

MCO Moody's Corporation

Listing
NYSE · SEC CIK 1059556
Industry
Finance: Consumer Services · SIC 7320 Services-Consumer Credit Reporting, Collection Agencies
Market value
$83.4B
Price history
2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026

Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.

Related
All pairs →
PairStatusAhead nowIndustry
SPGI / EFXWatchlistneitherSIC 7320 Services-Consumer Credit Reporting, Collection Agencies
SPGI / MCOWatchlistneitherFinance: Consumer Services

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Paper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.