D.R. Horton Inc. vs NVR Inc.
WatchlistDHI / NVRPrices through Oct 22, 2026
Why these are rivals: #1 and #3 by market value ($38B vs $16B) with SEC SIC 1531 (Operative Builders).
Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.71 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Business leadership
DHI is the larger business
Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.
| Year | DHI | NVR | Larger |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $34.3B | $10.3B | DHI |
| 2024 | $36.8B | $10.5B | DHI |
| 2023 | $35.5B | $9.5B | DHI |
| 2022 | $33.5B | $10.5B | DHI |
| 2021 | $27.8B | $9.0B | DHI |
| 2020 | $20.3B | $7.5B | DHI |
DHI led in every year with figures for both. Market value: DHI $37.8B, NVR $15.5B.
Stock leadership
DHI is ahead now
Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.
DHI leads NVR by 1.30 standard deviations: +9.9% over its usual price ratio. 0 lead switches in the last year.
| Price change | 3 mo | 6 mo | 12 mo |
|---|---|---|---|
| DHI | +0.6% | -10.1% | -6.9% |
| NVR | -4.7% | -8.4% | -21.6% |
Relationship
Not a measured twin today
Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.
- Pass
- Aligned sessions: 2521 (needs >= 254)
- Pass
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.74 (needs >= 0.60)
- Fail
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.71 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
- Pass
- Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 32.45 (needs <= 63)
- Data
- Both stocks current
The twins over two years
Prices side by side, and the gap between them
DHI D.R. Horton Inc. NVR NVR Inc.Price index, 100 = 2024-10-18. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).
Spread z-score: DHI relative to NVR, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: DHI ahead; below 0: NVR ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).
Data table (504 sessions)
| Date | DHI index | NVR index | z | Ahead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | 75.89 | 61.57 | +1.30 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-10-21 | 71.43 | 59.45 | +0.95 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-10-20 | 72.04 | 60.23 | +0.90 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-10-19 | 69.55 | 58.72 | +0.77 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-10-16 | 71.64 | 59.65 | +0.97 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-10-15 | 71.73 | 59.86 | +0.94 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-10-14 | 68.69 | 57.77 | +0.84 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-10-13 | 69.62 | 58.42 | +0.88 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-10-12 | 69.02 | 57.94 | +0.88 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-10-09 | 69.33 | 59.44 | +0.60 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-10-08 | 69.81 | 60.48 | +0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-07 | 68.50 | 59.77 | +0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-06 | 70.29 | 60.93 | +0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-05 | 68.48 | 60.16 | +0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-02 | 69.39 | 60.40 | +0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-01 | 70.45 | 61.73 | +0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-30 | 70.24 | 62.01 | +0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-29 | 71.65 | 62.82 | +0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-28 | 71.66 | 63.16 | +0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-25 | 72.73 | 63.46 | +0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-24 | 72.14 | 62.83 | +0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-23 | 72.04 | 62.89 | +0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-22 | 74.07 | 63.87 | +0.57 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-09-21 | 71.57 | 62.36 | +0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-18 | 70.94 | 61.97 | +0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-17 | 72.15 | 62.90 | +0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-16 | 71.09 | 62.34 | +0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-15 | 72.06 | 63.05 | +0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-14 | 71.65 | 63.48 | +0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-11 | 70.87 | 62.08 | +0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-10 | 69.68 | 61.35 | +0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-09 | 71.41 | 62.34 | +0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-08 | 71.18 | 61.63 | +0.54 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-09-04 | 73.37 | 63.47 | +0.56 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-09-03 | 74.22 | 64.23 | +0.56 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-09-02 | 73.12 | 63.75 | +0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-01 | 72.66 | 63.24 | +0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-31 | 74.30 | 63.63 | +0.71 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-08-28 | 75.76 | 64.45 | +0.81 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-08-27 | 74.66 | 64.14 | +0.68 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-08-26 | 76.71 | 64.17 | +1.05 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-08-25 | 77.51 | 64.83 | +1.06 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-08-24 | 76.57 | 64.46 | +0.98 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-08-21 | 76.25 | 64.07 | +1.01 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-08-20 | 75.72 | 63.48 | +1.05 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-08-19 | 78.05 | 64.68 | +1.22 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-08-18 | 74.88 | 62.96 | +1.03 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-08-17 | 76.24 | 63.47 | +1.18 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-08-14 | 76.49 | 63.56 | +1.21 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-08-13 | 77.04 | 64.24 | +1.17 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-08-12 | 74.95 | 63.42 | +0.98 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-08-11 | 77.50 | 64.79 | +1.15 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-08-10 | 75.38 | 63.40 | +1.08 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-08-07 | 77.65 | 64.39 | +1.28 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-08-06 | 75.05 | 63.53 | +1.01 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-08-05 | 77.84 | 64.14 | +1.39 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-08-04 | 77.29 | 63.15 | +1.52 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-08-03 | 75.38 | 62.51 | +1.32 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-07-31 | 73.53 | 61.94 | +1.12 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-07-30 | 74.80 | 63.37 | +1.05 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-07-29 | 75.64 | 64.30 | +1.01 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-07-28 | 77.69 | 65.21 | +1.19 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-07-27 | 75.89 | 63.60 | +1.21 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-07-24 | 75.43 | 64.64 | +0.92 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-07-23 | 73.05 | 62.02 | +1.05 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-07-22 | 73.25 | 63.98 | +0.68 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-07-21 | 73.77 | 63.74 | +0.83 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-07-20 | 74.42 | 64.96 | +0.70 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-07-17 | 76.78 | 65.39 | +1.02 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-07-16 | 79.37 | 67.52 | +1.04 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-07-15 | 77.89 | 65.47 | +1.20 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-07-14 | 77.09 | 64.27 | +1.31 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-07-13 | 76.51 | 64.87 | +1.10 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-07-10 | 77.91 | 65.29 | +1.26 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-07-09 | 76.87 | 65.21 | +1.11 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-07-08 | 76.33 | 64.78 | +1.11 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-07-07 | 80.04 | 67.45 | +1.20 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-07-06 | 80.63 | 67.45 | +1.29 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-07-02 | 81.50 | 68.02 | +1.33 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-07-01 | 80.73 | 66.94 | +1.41 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-06-30 | 83.72 | 68.65 | +1.55 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-06-29 | 84.41 | 68.73 | +1.64 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-06-26 | 85.47 | 68.81 | +1.79 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-06-25 | 85.81 | 68.66 | +1.87 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-06-24 | 85.58 | 68.16 | +1.94 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-06-23 | 80.22 | 64.38 | +1.86 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-06-22 | 80.15 | 64.01 | +1.93 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-06-18 | 81.11 | 65.40 | +1.83 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-06-17 | 78.37 | 63.24 | +1.83 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-06-16 | 80.35 | 64.87 | +1.84 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-06-15 | 79.71 | 63.83 | +1.94 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-06-12 | 79.20 | 64.23 | +1.81 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-06-11 | 79.37 | 65.29 | +1.65 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-06-10 | 75.41 | 63.53 | +1.39 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-06-09 | 77.65 | 64.55 | +1.55 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-06-08 | 74.16 | 62.38 | +1.42 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-06-05 | 74.84 | 62.30 | +1.55 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-06-04 | 75.25 | 62.24 | +1.63 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-06-03 | 74.27 | 61.66 | +1.59 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-06-02 | 76.02 | 62.28 | +1.75 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-06-01 | 75.54 | 61.68 | +1.79 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-05-29 | 75.60 | 61.51 | +1.84 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-05-28 | 75.51 | 62.07 | +1.74 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-05-27 | 75.97 | 61.45 | +1.93 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-05-26 | 74.84 | 60.79 | +1.90 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-05-22 | 73.87 | 60.83 | +1.76 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-05-21 | 74.09 | 60.94 | +1.79 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-05-20 | 72.86 | 60.36 | +1.72 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-05-19 | 69.24 | 58.18 | +1.58 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-05-18 | 70.67 | 57.60 | +1.92 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-05-15 | 69.59 | 56.06 | +2.07 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-05-14 | 71.63 | 57.24 | +2.18 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-05-13 | 72.33 | 57.64 | +2.24 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-05-12 | 73.64 | 58.40 | +2.31 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-05-11 | 74.51 | 59.56 | +2.25 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-05-08 | 75.88 | 60.20 | +2.36 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-05-07 | 75.03 | 60.55 | +2.20 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-05-06 | 76.67 | 61.46 | +2.30 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-05-05 | 75.28 | 60.50 | +2.31 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-05-04 | 73.77 | 59.77 | +2.24 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-05-01 | 77.09 | 62.01 | +2.36 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-04-30 | 79.08 | 63.64 | +2.39 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-04-29 | 77.95 | 62.55 | +2.45 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-04-28 | 80.39 | 64.91 | +2.42 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-04-27 | 81.89 | 65.32 | +2.60 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-04-24 | 82.19 | 65.53 | +2.65 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-04-23 | 84.41 | 67.20 | +2.71 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-04-22 | 82.84 | 66.61 | +2.62 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-04-21 | 83.37 | 69.86 | +2.14 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-04-20 | 78.81 | 71.51 | +1.17 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-04-17 | 77.00 | 70.54 | +1.06 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-04-16 | 73.68 | 67.55 | +1.06 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-04-15 | 74.12 | 68.19 | +1.02 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-04-14 | 74.66 | 68.96 | +0.98 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-04-13 | 74.18 | 68.33 | +1.02 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-04-10 | 73.31 | 68.01 | +0.94 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-04-09 | 73.88 | 68.51 | +0.95 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-04-08 | 73.33 | 68.07 | +0.95 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-04-07 | 70.45 | 65.42 | +0.95 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-04-06 | 72.84 | 67.67 | +0.95 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-04-02 | 71.80 | 67.14 | +0.88 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-04-01 | 71.06 | 67.15 | +0.77 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-03-31 | 70.53 | 66.40 | +0.82 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-03-30 | 68.12 | 65.49 | +0.58 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-03-27 | 68.97 | 65.00 | +0.82 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-03-26 | 69.88 | 65.80 | +0.83 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-03-25 | 70.77 | 66.02 | +0.95 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-03-24 | 71.10 | 65.49 | +1.11 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-03-23 | 71.35 | 65.80 | +1.10 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-03-20 | 68.42 | 64.18 | +0.91 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-03-19 | 70.92 | 64.67 | +1.25 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-03-18 | 70.54 | 65.32 | +1.08 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-03-17 | 73.06 | 66.47 | +1.30 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-03-16 | 73.03 | 66.16 | +1.36 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-03-13 | 72.21 | 65.16 | +1.42 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-03-12 | 71.46 | 64.88 | +1.36 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-03-11 | 73.33 | 66.61 | +1.36 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-03-10 | 74.67 | 68.35 | +1.28 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-03-09 | 75.91 | 69.24 | +1.33 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-03-06 | 75.69 | 70.12 | +1.16 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-03-05 | 77.04 | 71.29 | +1.18 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-03-04 | 78.48 | 73.07 | +1.12 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-03-03 | 78.44 | 74.17 | +0.94 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-03-02 | 79.36 | 74.72 | +1.00 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-02-27 | 82.44 | 75.75 | +1.30 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-02-26 | 81.71 | 74.91 | +1.34 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-02-25 | 80.93 | 73.39 | +1.48 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-02-24 | 84.27 | 75.62 | +1.62 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-02-23 | 84.42 | 75.14 | +1.74 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-02-20 | 84.35 | 76.38 | +1.55 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-02-19 | 84.18 | 75.83 | +1.63 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-02-18 | 85.96 | 75.80 | +1.91 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-02-17 | 85.47 | 74.78 | +2.03 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-02-13 | 86.24 | 75.65 | +2.02 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-02-12 | 84.60 | 81.58 | +0.86 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-02-11 | 84.22 | 81.59 | +0.81 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-02-10 | 83.41 | 81.56 | +0.70 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-02-09 | 78.90 | 79.42 | +0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-06 | 80.32 | 80.71 | +0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-05 | 81.28 | 81.06 | +0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-04 | 81.32 | 80.87 | +0.51 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-02-03 | 79.07 | 78.30 | +0.57 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-02-02 | 76.98 | 77.77 | +0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-30 | 76.50 | 76.94 | +0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-29 | 77.31 | 76.82 | +0.54 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-01-28 | 77.18 | 76.84 | +0.52 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-01-27 | 76.37 | 75.57 | +0.60 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-01-26 | 77.10 | 77.23 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-23 | 77.36 | 77.03 | +0.53 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-01-22 | 80.05 | 78.21 | +0.77 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-01-21 | 81.27 | 78.56 | +0.90 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-01-20 | 78.74 | 75.94 | +0.94 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-01-16 | 80.16 | 76.19 | +1.13 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-01-15 | 82.75 | 76.81 | +1.43 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-01-14 | 81.88 | 76.39 | +1.38 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-01-13 | 82.67 | 77.32 | +1.36 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-01-12 | 82.09 | 76.50 | +1.42 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-01-09 | 80.84 | 76.39 | +1.25 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-01-08 | 74.99 | 74.42 | +0.66 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-01-07 | 71.60 | 72.01 | +0.50 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-01-06 | 74.27 | 72.95 | +0.80 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-01-05 | 75.29 | 73.77 | +0.83 | DHI ahead |
| 2026-01-02 | 74.90 | 73.34 | +0.85 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-12-31 | 74.03 | 73.48 | +0.69 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-12-30 | 74.80 | 73.83 | +0.76 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-12-29 | 75.02 | 74.11 | +0.76 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-12-26 | 75.21 | 74.38 | +0.75 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-12-24 | 75.36 | 74.42 | +0.78 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-12-23 | 74.25 | 73.94 | +0.68 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-12-22 | 74.72 | 74.53 | +0.67 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-12-19 | 75.65 | 74.56 | +0.82 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-12-18 | 77.82 | 76.19 | +0.90 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-12-17 | 78.13 | 75.29 | +1.10 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-12-16 | 79.73 | 75.88 | +1.27 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-12-15 | 80.42 | 76.90 | +1.22 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-12-12 | 80.41 | 75.75 | +1.42 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-12-11 | 79.77 | 75.68 | +1.34 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-12-10 | 79.81 | 75.62 | +1.37 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-12-09 | 76.76 | 73.74 | +1.21 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-12-08 | 78.35 | 74.95 | +1.27 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-12-05 | 81.53 | 75.96 | +1.61 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-12-04 | 82.61 | 75.77 | +1.83 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-12-03 | 84.81 | 77.38 | +1.91 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-12-02 | 81.45 | 76.59 | +1.55 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-12-01 | 80.89 | 75.74 | +1.62 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-11-28 | 81.73 | 75.64 | +1.78 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-11-26 | 80.57 | 76.24 | +1.51 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-11-25 | 79.43 | 75.10 | +1.54 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-11-24 | 75.08 | 73.19 | +1.15 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-11-21 | 75.41 | 74.45 | +0.99 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-11-20 | 70.58 | 72.18 | +0.54 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-11-19 | 70.69 | 71.74 | +0.64 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-11-18 | 71.16 | 72.02 | +0.68 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-11-17 | 70.81 | 72.11 | +0.60 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-11-14 | 73.21 | 73.27 | +0.84 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-11-13 | 73.70 | 73.11 | +0.96 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-11-12 | 75.06 | 73.43 | +1.15 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-11-11 | 75.55 | 73.57 | +1.22 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-11-10 | 74.31 | 73.93 | +0.94 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-11-07 | 74.41 | 73.06 | +1.12 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-11-06 | 74.64 | 72.50 | +1.27 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-11-05 | 74.67 | 72.37 | +1.31 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-11-04 | 74.83 | 72.00 | +1.42 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-11-03 | 74.56 | 71.26 | +1.52 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-10-31 | 76.62 | 72.66 | +1.64 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-10-30 | 76.73 | 73.01 | +1.60 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-10-29 | 76.22 | 73.89 | +1.36 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-10-28 | 79.02 | 75.18 | +1.62 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-10-27 | 81.65 | 74.95 | +2.13 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-10-24 | 81.18 | 74.88 | +2.09 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-10-23 | 81.49 | 77.38 | +1.70 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-10-22 | 81.32 | 77.56 | +1.65 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-10-21 | 81.53 | 78.51 | +1.52 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-10-20 | 79.03 | 77.40 | +1.29 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-10-17 | 78.99 | 76.97 | +1.36 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-10-16 | 78.60 | 76.64 | +1.36 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-10-15 | 79.79 | 77.03 | +1.51 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-10-14 | 80.56 | 77.96 | +1.48 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-10-13 | 78.43 | 76.43 | +1.39 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-10-10 | 77.91 | 75.08 | +1.56 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-10-09 | 77.81 | 76.77 | +1.22 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-10-08 | 81.55 | 78.16 | +1.64 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-10-07 | 82.83 | 79.00 | +1.72 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-10-06 | 88.16 | 81.30 | +2.23 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-10-03 | 89.92 | 82.40 | +2.34 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-10-02 | 88.13 | 81.33 | +2.26 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-10-01 | 88.63 | 80.98 | +2.44 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-09-30 | 87.10 | 80.96 | +2.20 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-09-29 | 87.29 | 81.57 | +2.14 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-09-26 | 85.94 | 80.94 | +2.04 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-09-25 | 84.81 | 79.67 | +2.09 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-09-24 | 86.07 | 80.98 | +2.07 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-09-23 | 85.46 | 80.41 | +2.08 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-09-22 | 84.41 | 79.86 | +2.00 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-09-19 | 86.50 | 81.56 | +2.05 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-09-18 | 87.18 | 82.41 | +2.01 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-09-17 | 87.37 | 81.99 | +2.13 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-09-16 | 88.25 | 82.73 | +2.15 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-09-15 | 88.45 | 83.41 | +2.06 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-09-12 | 91.42 | 84.79 | +2.33 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-09-11 | 93.04 | 85.98 | +2.40 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-09-10 | 90.53 | 83.99 | +2.35 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-09-09 | 91.43 | 83.39 | +2.63 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-09-08 | 94.59 | 86.08 | +2.70 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-09-05 | 93.44 | 85.67 | +2.60 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-09-04 | 90.82 | 84.72 | +2.33 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-09-03 | 88.49 | 82.53 | +2.35 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-09-02 | 87.51 | 82.32 | +2.21 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-08-29 | 87.11 | 81.79 | +2.24 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-08-28 | 86.82 | 81.36 | +2.28 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-08-27 | 86.09 | 80.95 | +2.23 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-08-26 | 86.54 | 81.30 | +2.25 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-08-25 | 86.84 | 81.89 | +2.18 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-08-22 | 87.73 | 82.75 | +2.18 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-08-21 | 83.20 | 80.14 | +1.84 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-08-20 | 83.97 | 80.93 | +1.83 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-08-19 | 86.41 | 83.10 | +1.87 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-08-18 | 84.89 | 82.14 | +1.77 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-08-15 | 85.13 | 82.98 | +1.65 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-08-14 | 84.24 | 82.61 | +1.55 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-08-13 | 85.09 | 83.60 | +1.51 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-08-12 | 81.34 | 80.23 | +1.44 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-08-11 | 79.65 | 78.53 | +1.44 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-08-08 | 80.44 | 79.19 | +1.46 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-08-07 | 79.10 | 78.90 | +1.23 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-08-06 | 79.18 | 79.30 | +1.16 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-08-05 | 79.58 | 79.67 | +1.15 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-08-04 | 78.78 | 79.31 | +1.06 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-08-01 | 77.25 | 78.20 | +0.96 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-07-31 | 73.42 | 76.07 | +0.59 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-07-30 | 73.66 | 76.92 | +0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-29 | 75.73 | 78.81 | +0.51 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-07-28 | 75.14 | 79.05 | +0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-25 | 74.69 | 78.52 | +0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-24 | 74.37 | 78.49 | +0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-23 | 76.16 | 79.60 | +0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-22 | 78.90 | 79.70 | +0.91 | DHI ahead |
| 2025-07-21 | 67.44 | 74.32 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-18 | 67.74 | 74.79 | -0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-17 | 67.67 | 74.95 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-16 | 67.59 | 74.32 | -0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-15 | 66.72 | 73.57 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-14 | 69.95 | 76.50 | -0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-11 | 70.32 | 76.90 | -0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-10 | 71.76 | 77.48 | -0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-09 | 71.14 | 77.60 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-08 | 67.52 | 75.76 | -0.65 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-07-07 | 67.32 | 76.33 | -0.81 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-07-03 | 67.79 | 76.81 | -0.80 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-07-02 | 69.70 | 78.28 | -0.68 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-07-01 | 68.82 | 77.26 | -0.67 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-06-30 | 66.26 | 74.42 | -0.68 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-06-27 | 66.14 | 74.32 | -0.69 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-06-26 | 65.35 | 73.36 | -0.68 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-06-25 | 65.42 | 72.48 | -0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-24 | 66.63 | 73.33 | -0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-23 | 66.13 | 73.95 | -0.64 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-06-20 | 63.84 | 72.12 | -0.80 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-06-18 | 62.34 | 70.33 | -0.78 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-06-17 | 61.64 | 70.46 | -0.98 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-06-16 | 63.55 | 72.76 | -1.01 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-06-13 | 63.26 | 72.81 | -1.09 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-06-12 | 64.88 | 74.43 | -1.05 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-06-11 | 64.15 | 73.52 | -1.05 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-06-10 | 65.24 | 74.55 | -1.01 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-06-09 | 63.04 | 71.93 | -1.00 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-06-06 | 62.06 | 71.71 | -1.19 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-06-05 | 63.09 | 72.49 | -1.12 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-06-04 | 63.49 | 72.66 | -1.07 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-06-03 | 60.83 | 71.23 | -1.42 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-06-02 | 60.08 | 70.97 | -1.57 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-05-30 | 60.68 | 71.70 | -1.59 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-05-29 | 60.79 | 71.52 | -1.54 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-05-28 | 60.34 | 70.53 | -1.46 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-05-27 | 62.44 | 72.66 | -1.40 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-05-23 | 60.98 | 71.20 | -1.46 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-05-22 | 61.11 | 71.25 | -1.45 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-05-21 | 61.46 | 71.32 | -1.39 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-05-20 | 63.06 | 72.62 | -1.29 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-05-19 | 64.21 | 73.69 | -1.24 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-05-16 | 64.63 | 74.27 | -1.27 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-05-15 | 63.42 | 73.02 | -1.31 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-05-14 | 62.74 | 72.22 | -1.32 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-05-13 | 64.95 | 74.59 | -1.30 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-05-12 | 64.83 | 74.39 | -1.29 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-05-09 | 62.72 | 72.05 | -1.32 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-05-08 | 63.65 | 72.83 | -1.27 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-05-07 | 63.10 | 71.50 | -1.13 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-05-06 | 62.64 | 70.14 | -0.95 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-05-05 | 64.59 | 71.30 | -0.73 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-05-02 | 65.43 | 71.78 | -0.64 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-05-01 | 64.53 | 70.88 | -0.66 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-04-30 | 64.94 | 71.80 | -0.77 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-04-29 | 64.12 | 71.68 | -0.95 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-04-28 | 64.33 | 70.94 | -0.74 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-04-25 | 64.02 | 71.25 | -0.89 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-04-24 | 64.78 | 72.01 | -0.88 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-04-23 | 64.14 | 71.37 | -0.90 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-04-22 | 64.23 | 72.22 | -1.07 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-04-21 | 62.07 | 71.88 | -1.55 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-04-17 | 62.32 | 72.45 | -1.63 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-04-16 | 60.41 | 70.99 | -1.82 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-04-15 | 61.58 | 72.60 | -1.89 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-04-14 | 62.20 | 72.96 | -1.83 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-04-11 | 61.56 | 72.58 | -1.94 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-04-10 | 60.58 | 70.52 | -1.75 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-04-09 | 62.27 | 71.75 | -1.59 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-04-08 | 59.16 | 67.51 | -1.45 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-04-07 | 62.09 | 71.00 | -1.49 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-04-04 | 65.72 | 74.67 | -1.40 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-04-03 | 62.86 | 71.64 | -1.46 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-04-02 | 65.77 | 73.58 | -1.16 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-04-01 | 65.49 | 72.69 | -1.04 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-03-31 | 65.34 | 73.00 | -1.16 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-03-28 | 64.76 | 72.36 | -1.17 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-03-27 | 66.86 | 73.70 | -0.95 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-03-26 | 66.50 | 73.71 | -1.05 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-03-25 | 66.57 | 73.77 | -1.06 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-03-24 | 67.00 | 74.18 | -1.05 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-03-21 | 66.22 | 72.40 | -0.85 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-03-20 | 67.40 | 73.43 | -0.80 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-03-19 | 67.01 | 73.30 | -0.87 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-03-18 | 65.71 | 72.37 | -0.99 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-03-17 | 65.31 | 72.68 | -1.17 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-03-14 | 65.16 | 72.92 | -1.27 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-03-13 | 64.40 | 71.85 | -1.24 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-03-12 | 66.13 | 74.06 | -1.31 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-03-11 | 68.12 | 74.17 | -0.85 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-03-10 | 68.85 | 75.61 | -1.00 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-03-07 | 68.58 | 74.50 | -0.82 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-03-06 | 68.85 | 75.52 | -0.99 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-03-05 | 66.49 | 74.44 | -1.34 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-03-04 | 64.72 | 72.57 | -1.38 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-03-03 | 64.60 | 72.55 | -1.42 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-02-28 | 65.18 | 73.01 | -1.39 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-02-27 | 64.99 | 72.37 | -1.30 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-02-26 | 66.07 | 72.65 | -1.09 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-02-25 | 67.90 | 73.91 | -0.93 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-02-24 | 64.98 | 71.16 | -1.04 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-02-21 | 64.75 | 71.49 | -1.18 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-02-20 | 66.14 | 73.13 | -1.22 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-02-19 | 65.19 | 72.32 | -1.28 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-02-18 | 66.72 | 73.19 | -1.10 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-02-14 | 67.11 | 74.22 | -1.25 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-02-13 | 66.48 | 73.97 | -1.37 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-02-12 | 65.66 | 73.56 | -1.50 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-02-11 | 67.13 | 75.51 | -1.58 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-02-10 | 66.93 | 75.75 | -1.71 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-02-07 | 66.30 | 76.16 | -1.99 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-02-06 | 69.99 | 77.99 | -1.47 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-02-05 | 71.40 | 78.49 | -1.24 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-02-04 | 71.83 | 78.48 | -1.14 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-02-03 | 70.65 | 77.96 | -1.32 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-01-31 | 72.93 | 80.77 | -1.40 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-01-30 | 75.01 | 82.03 | -1.19 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-01-29 | 72.95 | 80.26 | -1.30 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-01-28 | 73.99 | 81.26 | -1.28 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-01-27 | 75.69 | 84.46 | -1.58 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-01-24 | 73.46 | 82.63 | -1.74 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-01-23 | 74.65 | 84.09 | -1.78 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-01-22 | 75.52 | 84.45 | -1.66 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-01-21 | 73.86 | 84.11 | -2.01 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-01-17 | 75.89 | 84.27 | -1.56 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-01-16 | 75.35 | 84.19 | -1.69 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-01-15 | 74.74 | 83.22 | -1.64 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-01-14 | 73.58 | 82.06 | -1.68 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-01-13 | 71.13 | 80.23 | -1.89 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-01-10 | 70.17 | 79.05 | -1.88 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-01-08 | 71.91 | 80.67 | -1.82 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-01-07 | 70.85 | 79.57 | -1.86 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-01-06 | 71.63 | 80.50 | -1.88 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-01-03 | 71.90 | 81.32 | -2.02 | NVR ahead |
| 2025-01-02 | 70.74 | 80.51 | -2.15 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-12-31 | 71.86 | 82.41 | -2.31 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-12-30 | 71.73 | 82.39 | -2.36 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-12-27 | 72.10 | 82.71 | -2.37 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-12-26 | 72.71 | 83.07 | -2.32 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-12-24 | 72.50 | 83.22 | -2.44 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-12-23 | 72.00 | 82.85 | -2.51 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-12-20 | 71.76 | 83.40 | -2.73 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-12-19 | 70.54 | 81.63 | -2.69 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-12-18 | 72.87 | 82.80 | -2.37 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-12-17 | 75.41 | 85.33 | -2.32 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-12-16 | 75.87 | 85.77 | -2.32 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-12-13 | 77.03 | 86.53 | -2.22 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-12-12 | 77.72 | 88.64 | -2.54 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-12-11 | 78.99 | 89.16 | -2.38 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-12-10 | 80.69 | 89.25 | -2.01 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-12-09 | 82.73 | 91.89 | -2.12 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-12-06 | 81.47 | 90.14 | -2.07 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-12-05 | 82.07 | 90.23 | -1.96 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-12-04 | 82.93 | 91.19 | -1.99 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-12-03 | 85.80 | 92.55 | -1.63 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-12-02 | 86.04 | 92.50 | -1.58 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-11-29 | 86.75 | 93.06 | -1.55 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-11-27 | 87.08 | 92.64 | -1.40 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-11-26 | 86.71 | 92.92 | -1.56 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-11-25 | 88.89 | 93.64 | -1.23 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-11-22 | 84.05 | 90.76 | -1.74 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-11-21 | 83.19 | 90.15 | -1.83 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-11-20 | 83.84 | 90.69 | -1.81 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-11-19 | 83.42 | 90.23 | -1.83 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-11-18 | 82.98 | 89.33 | -1.75 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-11-15 | 83.06 | 90.95 | -2.13 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-11-14 | 84.16 | 92.50 | -2.24 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-11-13 | 82.82 | 91.75 | -2.45 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-11-12 | 83.18 | 91.84 | -2.41 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-11-11 | 86.07 | 93.20 | -2.02 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-11-08 | 86.75 | 93.78 | -2.01 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-11-07 | 86.41 | 92.91 | -1.92 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-11-06 | 85.69 | 92.73 | -2.08 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-11-05 | 89.06 | 95.28 | -1.85 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-11-04 | 87.76 | 93.29 | -1.72 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-11-01 | 86.16 | 92.09 | -1.86 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-10-31 | 86.86 | 92.23 | -1.73 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-10-30 | 87.01 | 91.52 | -1.52 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-10-29 | 86.00 | 92.10 | -1.94 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-10-28 | 92.71 | 93.79 | -0.64 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-10-25 | 92.13 | 94.01 | -0.83 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-10-24 | 93.90 | 95.28 | -0.70 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-10-23 | 92.67 | 94.83 | -0.88 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-10-22 | 92.72 | 95.10 | -0.93 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-10-21 | 95.74 | 97.29 | -0.71 | NVR ahead |
| 2024-10-18 | 100.00 | 100.00 | -0.34 | near the usual relationship |
One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Oct 29, 2024 (DHI -7.2%, NVR -1.8%); Jul 22, 2025 (DHI +17.0%, NVR +7.2%); Feb 13, 2026 (DHI +1.9%, NVR -7.3%); Apr 21, 2026 (DHI +5.8%, NVR -2.3%). Upcoming earnings: NVR Oct 28, 2026 (not-supplied); DHI Oct 29, 2026 (pre-market).
Paired trades
The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart
Forward paper record
No paper position on this pair yet.
Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)
1 simulated trade to Oct 20, 2026: +11.01% per trade on average after costs, 1 won.
| Legs | Entered | Exited | Why | Days | Before costs | Costs + borrow | After costs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long NVR · Short DHI | Apr 23, 2021 | Oct 5, 2021 | converged | 165 | $1,236.88 | -$83.72 | $1,101.11 (+11.01%) |
Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.
The companies
DHI and NVR at a glance
DHI D.R. Horton Inc.
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 882184
- Industry
- Homebuilding · SIC 1531 Operative Builders
- Market value
- $37.8B
- Price history
- 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
NVR NVR Inc.
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 906163
- Industry
- Homebuilding · SIC 1531 Operative Builders
- Market value
- $15.5B
- Price history
- 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.
Related
All pairs →Other rivals of DHI and NVR
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Explore the private betaPaper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.
