Shoe Manufacturing

Deckers Outdoor Corporation vs Nike Inc.

WatchlistDECK / NKEPrices through Oct 22, 2026

Why these are rivals: #1 and #3 by market value ($55B vs $12B) in Nasdaq's "Shoe Manufacturing" industry; SEC SIC 3021 / 3021 (same major group); #1 and #3 by market value ($55B vs $12B) with SEC SIC 3021 (Rubber & Plastics Footwear).

Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.

Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.37 (needs >= 0.60)
Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.42 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))

Business leadership

NKE is the larger business

Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.

Year	DECK	NKE	Larger
2025	$5.5B	$46.4B	NKE
2024	$5.0B	$46.3B	NKE
2023	$4.3B	$51.4B	NKE
2022	$3.6B	$51.2B	NKE
2021	$3.2B	$46.7B	NKE
2020	$2.5B	$44.5B	NKE

NKE led in every year with figures for both. Market value: DECK $11.9B, NKE $55.3B.

Stock leadership

DECK is ahead now

Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.

DECK leads NKE by 0.55 standard deviations: +12.2% over its usual price ratio. 1 lead switch in the last year.

Price change	3 mo	6 mo	12 mo
DECK	-11.2%	-20.8%	-17.2%
NKE	-8.1%	-14.4%	-43.9%

Relationship

Not a measured twin today

Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.

Pass: Aligned sessions: 2521 (needs >= 254)
Fail: Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.37 (needs >= 0.60)
Fail: Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.42 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Pass: Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 58.23 (needs <= 63)
Data: Both stocks current

The twins over two years

Prices side by side, and the gap between them

DECK Deckers Outdoor Corporation NKE Nike Inc.Price index, 100 = 2024-10-18. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).

Spread z-score: DECK relative to NKE, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: DECK ahead; below 0: NKE ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).

Data table (504 sessions)

Date	DECK index	NKE index	z	Ahead
2026-10-22	52.69	46.21	+0.55	DECK ahead
2026-10-21	52.82	45.26	+0.66	DECK ahead
2026-10-20	53.98	45.68	+0.73	DECK ahead
2026-10-19	53.90	44.87	+0.81	DECK ahead
2026-10-16	52.96	44.78	+0.75	DECK ahead
2026-10-15	53.49	44.79	+0.80	DECK ahead
2026-10-14	51.17	42.57	+0.84	DECK ahead
2026-10-13	51.91	42.61	+0.91	DECK ahead
2026-10-12	52.07	42.63	+0.92	DECK ahead
2026-10-09	51.21	41.86	+0.94	DECK ahead
2026-10-08	51.01	41.90	+0.92	DECK ahead
2026-10-07	49.66	41.44	+0.86	DECK ahead
2026-10-06	50.45	41.74	+0.90	DECK ahead
2026-10-05	49.56	40.96	+0.92	DECK ahead
2026-10-02	48.88	40.85	+0.87	DECK ahead
2026-10-01	49.16	42.39	+0.73	DECK ahead
2026-09-30	48.28	42.69	+0.63	DECK ahead
2026-09-29	48.00	43.22	+0.55	DECK ahead
2026-09-28	48.42	43.89	+0.52	DECK ahead
2026-09-25	48.61	43.11	+0.63	DECK ahead
2026-09-24	48.61	43.40	+0.60	DECK ahead
2026-09-23	48.56	43.48	+0.60	DECK ahead
2026-09-22	49.32	43.54	+0.67	DECK ahead
2026-09-21	49.57	43.54	+0.69	DECK ahead
2026-09-18	48.46	42.82	+0.67	DECK ahead
2026-09-17	49.25	43.85	+0.64	DECK ahead
2026-09-16	48.17	43.15	+0.62	DECK ahead
2026-09-15	47.89	43.68	+0.54	DECK ahead
2026-09-14	49.76	44.68	+0.62	DECK ahead
2026-09-11	50.21	44.38	+0.70	DECK ahead
2026-09-10	49.35	44.16	+0.65	DECK ahead
2026-09-09	49.57	45.04	+0.58	DECK ahead
2026-09-08	51.03	45.95	+0.63	DECK ahead
2026-09-04	53.02	46.31	+0.77	DECK ahead
2026-09-03	52.21	46.76	+0.66	DECK ahead
2026-09-02	51.75	46.12	+0.69	DECK ahead
2026-09-01	52.26	45.97	+0.76	DECK ahead
2026-08-31	53.80	47.11	+0.78	DECK ahead
2026-08-28	54.22	47.76	+0.76	DECK ahead
2026-08-27	53.34	46.36	+0.83	DECK ahead
2026-08-26	55.28	46.54	+0.98	DECK ahead
2026-08-25	54.83	47.61	+0.85	DECK ahead
2026-08-24	56.89	49.14	+0.88	DECK ahead
2026-08-21	56.65	49.16	+0.87	DECK ahead
2026-08-20	54.90	48.49	+0.79	DECK ahead
2026-08-19	56.58	49.51	+0.84	DECK ahead
2026-08-18	55.30	48.31	+0.86	DECK ahead
2026-08-17	55.68	47.14	+1.00	DECK ahead
2026-08-14	57.52	49.12	+0.97	DECK ahead
2026-08-13	57.65	49.72	+0.94	DECK ahead
2026-08-12	56.35	48.85	+0.92	DECK ahead
2026-08-11	57.98	49.83	+0.97	DECK ahead
2026-08-10	60.20	50.78	+1.06	DECK ahead
2026-08-07	60.22	50.29	+1.11	DECK ahead
2026-08-06	60.47	50.65	+1.11	DECK ahead
2026-08-05	61.36	51.19	+1.13	DECK ahead
2026-08-04	61.71	50.08	+1.26	DECK ahead
2026-08-03	61.48	51.42	+1.14	DECK ahead
2026-07-31	59.86	50.30	+1.13	DECK ahead
2026-07-30	61.59	51.00	+1.20	DECK ahead
2026-07-29	63.97	52.12	+1.28	DECK ahead
2026-07-28	64.21	51.92	+1.33	DECK ahead
2026-07-27	60.38	50.82	+1.16	DECK ahead
2026-07-24	59.34	50.29	+1.14	DECK ahead
2026-07-23	59.46	49.43	+1.23	DECK ahead
2026-07-22	63.31	50.90	+1.40	DECK ahead
2026-07-21	63.83	51.81	+1.37	DECK ahead
2026-07-20	64.28	52.42	+1.36	DECK ahead
2026-07-17	65.80	52.77	+1.44	DECK ahead
2026-07-16	67.36	53.75	+1.48	DECK ahead
2026-07-15	65.82	51.58	+1.57	DECK ahead
2026-07-14	65.86	51.69	+1.58	DECK ahead
2026-07-13	66.60	52.77	+1.55	DECK ahead
2026-07-10	65.49	53.51	+1.43	DECK ahead
2026-07-09	64.42	51.59	+1.53	DECK ahead
2026-07-08	63.16	51.72	+1.44	DECK ahead
2026-07-07	65.54	52.11	+1.59	DECK ahead
2026-07-06	65.29	52.27	+1.58	DECK ahead
2026-07-02	64.68	53.17	+1.47	DECK ahead
2026-07-01	61.99	51.93	+1.39	DECK ahead
2026-06-30	61.35	49.51	+1.58	DECK ahead
2026-06-29	62.58	50.02	+1.64	DECK ahead
2026-06-26	64.60	49.14	+1.89	DECK ahead
2026-06-25	63.39	49.32	+1.80	DECK ahead
2026-06-24	65.31	50.43	+1.86	DECK ahead
2026-06-23	64.03	51.11	+1.72	DECK ahead
2026-06-22	65.23	52.09	+1.74	DECK ahead
2026-06-18	67.41	54.51	+1.69	DECK ahead
2026-06-17	65.32	53.29	+1.66	DECK ahead
2026-06-16	68.07	54.32	+1.79	DECK ahead
2026-06-15	69.51	54.51	+1.90	DECK ahead
2026-06-12	70.33	54.18	+2.01	DECK ahead
2026-06-11	70.66	55.43	+1.94	DECK ahead
2026-06-10	68.69	53.01	+2.04	DECK ahead
2026-06-09	69.50	53.85	+2.05	DECK ahead
2026-06-08	67.80	52.13	+2.11	DECK ahead
2026-06-05	66.81	51.83	+2.09	DECK ahead
2026-06-04	67.32	52.60	+2.08	DECK ahead
2026-06-03	66.33	52.83	+2.00	DECK ahead
2026-06-02	68.45	52.74	+2.21	DECK ahead
2026-06-01	68.47	55.39	+1.97	DECK ahead
2026-05-29	70.34	55.75	+2.11	DECK ahead
2026-05-28	70.63	57.13	+2.02	DECK ahead
2026-05-27	70.66	55.45	+2.21	DECK ahead
2026-05-26	68.85	54.20	+2.22	DECK ahead
2026-05-22	65.91	53.87	+2.02	DECK ahead
2026-05-21	63.40	53.53	+1.85	DECK ahead
2026-05-20	60.70	53.29	+1.64	DECK ahead
2026-05-19	58.25	51.16	+1.65	DECK ahead
2026-05-18	58.46	51.34	+1.65	DECK ahead
2026-05-15	57.81	50.51	+1.69	DECK ahead
2026-05-14	58.68	50.68	+1.76	DECK ahead
2026-05-13	58.04	51.06	+1.66	DECK ahead
2026-05-12	58.63	51.07	+1.73	DECK ahead
2026-05-11	59.72	51.12	+1.83	DECK ahead
2026-05-08	62.05	53.23	+1.83	DECK ahead
2026-05-07	63.47	53.56	+1.93	DECK ahead
2026-05-06	64.21	52.92	+2.08	DECK ahead
2026-05-05	60.88	51.93	+1.90	DECK ahead
2026-05-04	60.33	51.97	+1.85	DECK ahead
2026-05-01	62.33	53.55	+1.88	DECK ahead
2026-04-30	63.14	53.50	+1.98	DECK ahead
2026-04-29	62.61	53.53	+1.94	DECK ahead
2026-04-28	65.60	54.31	+2.15	DECK ahead
2026-04-27	65.97	54.44	+2.19	DECK ahead
2026-04-24	67.06	53.90	+2.38	DECK ahead
2026-04-23	66.55	54.00	+2.35	DECK ahead
2026-04-22	66.54	55.09	+2.25	DECK ahead
2026-04-21	68.07	55.95	+2.32	DECK ahead
2026-04-20	68.62	56.05	+2.39	DECK ahead
2026-04-17	69.51	55.51	+2.57	DECK ahead
2026-04-16	66.93	55.11	+2.40	DECK ahead
2026-04-15	67.27	54.80	+2.49	DECK ahead
2026-04-14	66.61	53.30	+2.64	DECK ahead
2026-04-13	66.81	51.75	+2.90	DECK ahead
2026-04-10	66.64	51.40	+2.98	DECK ahead
2026-04-09	67.82	53.06	+2.93	DECK ahead
2026-04-08	65.71	52.01	+2.90	DECK ahead
2026-04-07	61.95	51.48	+2.60	DECK ahead
2026-04-06	62.80	53.10	+2.52	DECK ahead
2026-04-02	60.74	53.29	+2.28	DECK ahead
2026-04-01	62.35	53.82	+2.43	DECK ahead
2026-03-31	61.84	63.70	+1.16	DECK ahead
2026-03-30	58.68	61.79	+1.00	DECK ahead
2026-03-27	58.11	61.95	+0.92	DECK ahead
2026-03-26	57.89	62.80	+0.79	DECK ahead
2026-03-25	61.82	63.89	+1.14	DECK ahead
2026-03-24	62.64	64.51	+1.17	DECK ahead
2026-03-23	63.30	63.57	+1.37	DECK ahead
2026-03-20	62.05	63.16	+1.28	DECK ahead
2026-03-19	64.82	64.45	+1.46	DECK ahead
2026-03-18	64.59	64.48	+1.44	DECK ahead
2026-03-17	64.70	66.47	+1.24	DECK ahead
2026-03-16	62.84	66.08	+1.07	DECK ahead
2026-03-13	62.27	65.10	+1.12	DECK ahead
2026-03-12	62.21	65.28	+1.10	DECK ahead
2026-03-11	63.47	67.17	+1.04	DECK ahead
2026-03-10	65.04	67.63	+1.18	DECK ahead
2026-03-09	64.45	68.17	+1.06	DECK ahead
2026-03-06	64.41	68.75	+1.00	DECK ahead
2026-03-05	66.47	69.97	+1.10	DECK ahead
2026-03-04	67.19	70.72	+1.11	DECK ahead
2026-03-03	67.88	71.62	+1.09	DECK ahead
2026-03-02	70.75	73.58	+1.21	DECK ahead
2026-02-27	72.46	74.99	+1.25	DECK ahead
2026-02-26	73.78	77.12	+1.18	DECK ahead
2026-02-25	73.78	76.46	+1.25	DECK ahead
2026-02-24	74.72	77.29	+1.26	DECK ahead
2026-02-23	73.01	76.09	+1.20	DECK ahead
2026-02-20	73.33	78.87	+0.95	DECK ahead
2026-02-19	72.95	79.12	+0.88	DECK ahead
2026-02-18	73.46	79.05	+0.93	DECK ahead
2026-02-17	72.51	78.17	+0.90	DECK ahead
2026-02-13	71.50	76.13	+0.99	DECK ahead
2026-02-12	71.68	73.69	+1.23	DECK ahead
2026-02-11	71.28	75.19	+1.02	DECK ahead
2026-02-10	71.37	76.03	+0.93	DECK ahead
2026-02-09	70.74	75.27	+0.92	DECK ahead
2026-02-06	71.33	77.09	+0.79	DECK ahead
2026-02-05	68.69	75.62	+0.65	DECK ahead
2026-02-04	69.35	77.45	+0.54	DECK ahead
2026-02-03	70.03	73.48	+0.95	DECK ahead
2026-02-02	71.83	74.99	+0.95	DECK ahead
2026-01-30	73.73	74.54	+1.12	DECK ahead
2026-01-29	61.72	75.49	-0.11	near the usual relationship
2026-01-28	60.32	75.06	-0.23	near the usual relationship
2026-01-27	61.88	76.09	-0.16	near the usual relationship
2026-01-26	62.59	78.38	-0.28	near the usual relationship
2026-01-23	61.77	78.44	-0.37	near the usual relationship
2026-01-22	62.79	78.94	-0.32	near the usual relationship
2026-01-21	62.98	78.88	-0.31	near the usual relationship
2026-01-20	60.54	76.74	-0.38	near the usual relationship
2026-01-16	62.21	77.64	-0.30	near the usual relationship
2026-01-15	63.68	77.89	-0.21	near the usual relationship
2026-01-14	62.65	79.08	-0.37	near the usual relationship
2026-01-13	62.84	79.96	-0.42	near the usual relationship
2026-01-12	62.90	79.16	-0.37	near the usual relationship
2026-01-09	64.11	79.50	-0.31	near the usual relationship
2026-01-08	66.33	78.70	-0.10	near the usual relationship
2026-01-07	63.66	76.24	-0.16	near the usual relationship
2026-01-06	66.39	78.81	-0.12	near the usual relationship
2026-01-05	66.79	77.82	-0.04	near the usual relationship
2026-01-02	65.98	76.31	-0.02	near the usual relationship
2025-12-31	64.05	76.83	-0.19	near the usual relationship
2025-12-30	64.89	73.79	+0.04	near the usual relationship
2025-12-29	64.08	73.82	-0.03	near the usual relationship
2025-12-26	63.69	73.48	-0.04	near the usual relationship
2025-12-24	62.37	72.36	-0.07	near the usual relationship
2025-12-23	62.21	69.15	+0.11	near the usual relationship
2025-12-22	62.97	69.01	+0.16	near the usual relationship
2025-12-19	61.46	70.80	-0.06	near the usual relationship
2025-12-18	62.13	79.15	-0.50	NKE ahead
2025-12-17	63.26	79.22	-0.44	near the usual relationship
2025-12-16	64.38	80.95	-0.46	near the usual relationship
2025-12-15	64.25	81.74	-0.51	NKE ahead
2025-12-12	62.51	81.37	-0.62	NKE ahead
2025-12-11	62.63	81.69	-0.63	NKE ahead
2025-12-10	62.22	79.34	-0.54	NKE ahead
2025-12-09	62.29	76.37	-0.39	near the usual relationship
2025-12-08	62.53	76.63	-0.39	near the usual relationship
2025-12-05	61.60	79.43	-0.61	NKE ahead
2025-12-04	59.47	79.22	-0.75	NKE ahead
2025-12-03	58.68	79.17	-0.80	NKE ahead
2025-12-02	56.70	78.30	-0.91	NKE ahead
2025-12-01	56.86	78.86	-0.93	NKE ahead
2025-11-28	54.39	77.94	-1.07	NKE ahead
2025-11-26	53.87	77.58	-1.10	NKE ahead
2025-11-25	52.81	76.80	-1.15	NKE ahead
2025-11-24	51.36	74.69	-1.16	NKE ahead
2025-11-21	52.60	75.74	-1.13	NKE ahead
2025-11-20	50.34	74.08	-1.22	NKE ahead
2025-11-19	51.29	75.54	-1.24	NKE ahead
2025-11-18	51.76	75.36	-1.20	NKE ahead
2025-11-17	49.87	75.86	-1.39	NKE ahead
2025-11-14	51.17	77.39	-1.38	NKE ahead
2025-11-13	51.34	79.63	-1.49	NKE ahead
2025-11-12	52.14	77.42	-1.33	NKE ahead
2025-11-11	51.10	76.16	-1.35	NKE ahead
2025-11-10	49.33	73.32	-1.35	NKE ahead
2025-11-07	50.52	73.67	-1.29	NKE ahead
2025-11-06	49.31	74.64	-1.45	NKE ahead
2025-11-05	50.55	74.90	-1.38	NKE ahead
2025-11-04	49.14	73.84	-1.45	NKE ahead
2025-11-03	50.12	75.55	-1.47	NKE ahead
2025-10-31	50.36	77.89	-1.60	NKE ahead
2025-10-30	49.98	78.27	-1.67	NKE ahead
2025-10-29	51.80	78.81	-1.56	NKE ahead
2025-10-28	54.13	81.32	-1.52	NKE ahead
2025-10-27	55.90	82.72	-1.47	NKE ahead
2025-10-24	53.72	83.35	-1.69	NKE ahead
2025-10-23	63.35	84.03	-1.02	NKE ahead
2025-10-22	62.34	83.31	-1.06	NKE ahead
2025-10-21	63.61	82.44	-0.93	NKE ahead
2025-10-20	61.90	81.55	-1.01	NKE ahead
2025-10-17	61.67	81.25	-1.02	NKE ahead
2025-10-16	61.20	80.61	-1.02	NKE ahead
2025-10-15	59.59	82.56	-1.25	NKE ahead
2025-10-14	61.34	81.57	-1.08	NKE ahead
2025-10-13	60.74	81.26	-1.12	NKE ahead
2025-10-10	58.74	78.65	-1.13	NKE ahead
2025-10-09	61.08	82.08	-1.15	NKE ahead
2025-10-08	62.76	83.32	-1.11	NKE ahead
2025-10-07	60.54	83.10	-1.26	NKE ahead
2025-10-06	63.05	85.83	-1.24	NKE ahead
2025-10-03	63.67	86.75	-1.25	NKE ahead
2025-10-02	64.13	89.93	-1.38	NKE ahead
2025-10-01	62.51	89.48	-1.49	NKE ahead
2025-09-30	62.63	84.09	-1.21	NKE ahead
2025-09-29	63.81	83.88	-1.12	NKE ahead
2025-09-26	65.35	83.59	-1.00	NKE ahead
2025-09-25	65.39	83.50	-1.00	NKE ahead
2025-09-24	68.72	85.89	-0.90	NKE ahead
2025-09-23	69.22	85.54	-0.86	NKE ahead
2025-09-22	69.95	85.96	-0.83	NKE ahead
2025-09-19	70.31	85.49	-0.79	NKE ahead
2025-09-18	71.32	86.95	-0.81	NKE ahead
2025-09-17	73.33	87.20	-0.70	NKE ahead
2025-09-16	73.33	87.74	-0.73	NKE ahead
2025-09-15	73.31	88.07	-0.75	NKE ahead
2025-09-12	73.22	88.04	-0.76	NKE ahead
2025-09-11	72.83	89.64	-0.87	NKE ahead
2025-09-10	70.52	89.54	-1.02	NKE ahead
2025-09-09	71.31	88.76	-0.93	NKE ahead
2025-09-08	72.39	89.42	-0.90	NKE ahead
2025-09-05	74.39	89.13	-0.76	NKE ahead
2025-09-04	76.56	90.87	-0.72	NKE ahead
2025-09-03	76.41	90.14	-0.70	NKE ahead
2025-09-02	75.92	89.59	-0.70	NKE ahead
2025-08-29	73.91	93.31	-1.02	NKE ahead
2025-08-28	72.99	93.97	-1.12	NKE ahead
2025-08-27	72.12	94.14	-1.19	NKE ahead
2025-08-26	70.24	94.85	-1.35	NKE ahead
2025-08-25	69.84	95.48	-1.42	NKE ahead
2025-08-22	67.41	94.52	-1.56	NKE ahead
2025-08-21	64.68	91.87	-1.63	NKE ahead
2025-08-20	64.29	91.97	-1.68	NKE ahead
2025-08-19	65.20	92.72	-1.67	NKE ahead
2025-08-18	65.23	93.38	-1.71	NKE ahead
2025-08-15	63.61	92.82	-1.83	NKE ahead
2025-08-14	64.17	92.12	-1.77	NKE ahead
2025-08-13	65.79	93.10	-1.71	NKE ahead
2025-08-12	64.10	90.33	-1.71	NKE ahead
2025-08-11	62.08	89.27	-1.83	NKE ahead
2025-08-08	62.82	89.47	-1.80	NKE ahead
2025-08-07	62.95	89.66	-1.82	NKE ahead
2025-08-06	65.32	91.03	-1.73	NKE ahead
2025-08-05	65.44	89.70	-1.66	NKE ahead
2025-08-04	64.96	90.23	-1.74	NKE ahead
2025-08-01	63.86	89.99	-1.84	NKE ahead
2025-07-31	65.60	90.07	-1.72	NKE ahead
2025-07-30	68.33	92.47	-1.66	NKE ahead
2025-07-29	69.27	94.46	-1.72	NKE ahead
2025-07-28	69.44	95.56	-1.78	NKE ahead
2025-07-25	72.20	91.98	-1.39	NKE ahead
2025-07-24	64.84	90.96	-1.92	NKE ahead
2025-07-23	66.78	92.56	-1.88	NKE ahead
2025-07-22	65.30	90.92	-1.92	NKE ahead
2025-07-21	64.94	89.27	-1.87	NKE ahead
2025-07-18	62.97	87.40	-1.95	NKE ahead
2025-07-17	62.54	88.01	-2.05	NKE ahead
2025-07-16	60.48	86.95	-2.20	NKE ahead
2025-07-15	58.89	86.82	-2.37	NKE ahead
2025-07-14	60.78	87.13	-2.25	NKE ahead
2025-07-11	62.85	87.59	-2.11	NKE ahead
2025-07-10	64.84	89.99	-2.12	NKE ahead
2025-07-09	64.82	88.71	-2.06	NKE ahead
2025-07-08	65.05	89.15	-2.10	NKE ahead
2025-07-07	65.34	92.29	-2.31	NKE ahead
2025-07-03	65.62	92.12	-2.30	NKE ahead
2025-07-02	65.65	92.12	-2.34	NKE ahead
2025-07-01	65.12	88.53	-2.17	NKE ahead
2025-06-30	63.68	85.67	-2.12	NKE ahead
2025-06-27	64.38	86.88	-2.16	NKE ahead
2025-06-26	62.98	75.42	-1.42	NKE ahead
2025-06-25	62.43	73.36	-1.30	NKE ahead
2025-06-24	63.16	74.07	-1.30	NKE ahead
2025-06-23	62.06	73.30	-1.34	NKE ahead
2025-06-20	62.83	72.11	-1.17	NKE ahead
2025-06-18	62.40	71.77	-1.18	NKE ahead
2025-06-17	63.40	72.36	-1.14	NKE ahead
2025-06-16	64.03	74.65	-1.28	NKE ahead
2025-06-13	62.70	73.00	-1.27	NKE ahead
2025-06-12	66.54	75.74	-1.14	NKE ahead
2025-06-11	66.69	76.11	-1.16	NKE ahead
2025-06-10	67.96	77.03	-1.11	NKE ahead
2025-06-09	68.53	74.66	-0.87	NKE ahead
2025-06-06	67.48	75.74	-1.06	NKE ahead
2025-06-05	66.93	75.58	-1.10	NKE ahead
2025-06-04	65.38	75.70	-1.27	NKE ahead
2025-06-03	65.39	75.22	-1.23	NKE ahead
2025-06-02	64.88	74.25	-1.21	NKE ahead
2025-05-30	65.20	73.07	-1.08	NKE ahead
2025-05-29	66.28	74.10	-1.07	NKE ahead
2025-05-28	64.45	74.51	-1.28	NKE ahead
2025-05-27	67.32	75.77	-1.10	NKE ahead
2025-05-23	62.43	72.38	-1.29	NKE ahead
2025-05-22	77.91	73.95	-0.01	near the usual relationship
2025-05-21	76.22	72.33	+0.00	near the usual relationship
2025-05-20	79.60	75.45	+0.01	near the usual relationship
2025-05-19	78.72	74.87	+0.00	near the usual relationship
2025-05-16	79.03	76.11	-0.08	near the usual relationship
2025-05-15	78.43	75.25	-0.05	near the usual relationship
2025-05-14	78.69	74.45	+0.05	near the usual relationship
2025-05-13	79.93	75.24	+0.09	near the usual relationship
2025-05-12	77.90	75.47	-0.08	near the usual relationship
2025-05-09	74.80	70.31	+0.11	near the usual relationship
2025-05-08	77.62	71.04	+0.27	near the usual relationship
2025-05-07	74.67	70.69	+0.08	near the usual relationship
2025-05-06	72.33	68.79	+0.06	near the usual relationship
2025-05-05	73.11	69.16	+0.10	near the usual relationship
2025-05-02	72.25	70.66	-0.09	near the usual relationship
2025-05-01	68.66	68.45	-0.20	near the usual relationship
2025-04-30	68.48	68.02	-0.17	near the usual relationship
2025-04-29	69.01	69.39	-0.23	near the usual relationship
2025-04-28	67.44	69.11	-0.33	near the usual relationship
2025-04-25	67.46	69.49	-0.35	near the usual relationship
2025-04-24	68.37	70.53	-0.35	near the usual relationship
2025-04-23	65.90	69.21	-0.44	near the usual relationship
2025-04-22	65.75	68.81	-0.42	near the usual relationship
2025-04-21	63.98	67.68	-0.47	near the usual relationship
2025-04-17	65.29	67.25	-0.31	near the usual relationship
2025-04-16	63.65	64.58	-0.22	near the usual relationship
2025-04-15	64.37	66.12	-0.28	near the usual relationship
2025-04-14	66.20	66.82	-0.18	near the usual relationship
2025-04-11	67.38	65.59	+0.02	near the usual relationship
2025-04-10	67.74	65.61	+0.05	near the usual relationship
2025-04-09	71.71	71.54	-0.10	near the usual relationship
2025-04-08	62.95	64.24	-0.22	near the usual relationship
2025-04-07	65.57	67.06	-0.23	near the usual relationship
2025-04-04	65.51	69.04	-0.38	near the usual relationship
2025-04-03	62.33	67.03	-0.49	near the usual relationship
2025-04-02	72.89	78.34	-0.48	near the usual relationship
2025-04-01	70.03	78.10	-0.68	NKE ahead
2025-03-31	69.08	76.56	-0.64	NKE ahead
2025-03-28	68.93	76.33	-0.64	NKE ahead
2025-03-27	72.26	79.35	-0.59	NKE ahead
2025-03-26	73.01	79.28	-0.53	NKE ahead
2025-03-25	75.98	80.25	-0.38	near the usual relationship
2025-03-24	77.03	81.27	-0.37	near the usual relationship
2025-03-21	72.82	81.93	-0.70	NKE ahead
2025-03-20	71.47	86.66	-1.09	NKE ahead
2025-03-19	73.56	88.02	-1.02	NKE ahead
2025-03-18	71.24	88.41	-1.20	NKE ahead
2025-03-17	72.59	88.88	-1.13	NKE ahead
2025-03-14	73.33	86.42	-0.93	NKE ahead
2025-03-13	72.31	87.60	-1.07	NKE ahead
2025-03-12	75.12	88.74	-0.93	NKE ahead
2025-03-11	74.47	89.45	-1.02	NKE ahead
2025-03-10	74.83	92.14	-1.15	NKE ahead
2025-03-07	78.29	94.78	-1.06	NKE ahead
2025-03-06	81.51	93.72	-0.79	NKE ahead
2025-03-05	84.08	93.84	-0.63	NKE ahead
2025-03-04	82.66	93.25	-0.68	NKE ahead
2025-03-03	84.79	94.56	-0.61	NKE ahead
2025-02-28	86.10	95.79	-0.59	NKE ahead
2025-02-27	85.57	96.50	-0.65	NKE ahead
2025-02-26	89.57	97.89	-0.49	near the usual relationship
2025-02-25	88.22	98.55	-0.59	NKE ahead
2025-02-24	86.57	96.82	-0.58	NKE ahead
2025-02-21	90.56	92.26	-0.12	near the usual relationship
2025-02-20	92.69	93.14	-0.04	near the usual relationship
2025-02-19	94.25	92.60	+0.07	near the usual relationship
2025-02-18	96.29	93.57	+0.13	near the usual relationship
2025-02-14	95.81	88.08	+0.41	near the usual relationship
2025-02-13	97.69	88.29	+0.50	DECK ahead
2025-02-12	95.17	87.14	+0.44	near the usual relationship
2025-02-11	97.40	86.03	+0.62	DECK ahead
2025-02-10	99.88	85.55	+0.77	DECK ahead
2025-02-07	103.95	82.83	+1.11	DECK ahead
2025-02-06	106.39	86.52	+1.03	DECK ahead
2025-02-05	106.59	89.93	+0.86	DECK ahead
2025-02-04	104.72	92.52	+0.65	DECK ahead
2025-02-03	105.42	92.37	+0.70	DECK ahead
2025-01-31	109.58	92.74	+0.86	DECK ahead
2025-01-30	137.85	94.46	+1.84	DECK ahead
2025-01-29	135.25	92.35	+1.87	DECK ahead
2025-01-28	133.41	89.71	+1.95	DECK ahead
2025-01-27	130.92	91.15	+1.81	DECK ahead
2025-01-24	134.17	88.72	+2.06	DECK ahead
2025-01-23	135.04	89.59	+2.07	DECK ahead
2025-01-22	132.79	89.29	+2.02	DECK ahead
2025-01-21	132.29	88.24	+2.08	DECK ahead
2025-01-17	129.69	85.43	+2.15	DECK ahead
2025-01-16	128.65	85.76	+2.12	DECK ahead
2025-01-15	125.88	85.71	+2.03	DECK ahead
2025-01-14	127.36	85.83	+2.09	DECK ahead
2025-01-13	126.41	86.93	+2.01	DECK ahead
2025-01-10	128.21	85.87	+2.15	DECK ahead
2025-01-08	128.22	85.97	+2.16	DECK ahead
2025-01-07	126.72	86.94	+2.07	DECK ahead
2025-01-06	128.80	86.83	+2.16	DECK ahead
2025-01-03	128.05	88.41	+2.07	DECK ahead
2025-01-02	126.38	88.84	+2.00	DECK ahead
2024-12-31	125.48	91.26	+1.85	DECK ahead
2024-12-30	127.13	90.03	+1.98	DECK ahead
2024-12-27	127.96	92.16	+1.92	DECK ahead
2024-12-26	129.40	92.79	+1.95	DECK ahead
2024-12-24	128.52	92.61	+1.94	DECK ahead
2024-12-23	128.30	92.57	+1.94	DECK ahead
2024-12-20	130.35	92.79	+2.00	DECK ahead
2024-12-19	126.83	92.98	+1.88	DECK ahead
2024-12-18	124.49	92.74	+1.82	DECK ahead
2024-12-17	129.98	94.07	+1.95	DECK ahead
2024-12-16	130.44	93.10	+2.02	DECK ahead
2024-12-13	127.67	93.16	+1.94	DECK ahead
2024-12-12	125.84	94.02	+1.85	DECK ahead
2024-12-11	126.63	95.09	+1.83	DECK ahead
2024-12-10	124.88	92.55	+1.90	DECK ahead
2024-12-09	124.53	93.63	+1.85	DECK ahead
2024-12-06	123.29	95.14	+1.75	DECK ahead
2024-12-05	124.14	94.77	+1.81	DECK ahead
2024-12-04	126.14	94.51	+1.90	DECK ahead
2024-12-03	125.34	95.10	+1.86	DECK ahead
2024-12-02	124.75	95.38	+1.84	DECK ahead
2024-11-29	121.08	95.00	+1.74	DECK ahead
2024-11-27	118.49	94.48	+1.68	DECK ahead
2024-11-26	120.12	93.60	+1.79	DECK ahead
2024-11-25	121.40	95.59	+1.76	DECK ahead
2024-11-22	118.72	93.34	+1.77	DECK ahead
2024-11-21	112.39	90.57	+1.68	DECK ahead
2024-11-20	108.97	88.47	+1.66	DECK ahead
2024-11-19	108.92	89.13	+1.64	DECK ahead
2024-11-18	109.02	90.32	+1.60	DECK ahead
2024-11-15	108.53	92.45	+1.49	DECK ahead
2024-11-14	109.27	91.27	+1.59	DECK ahead
2024-11-13	110.19	92.28	+1.59	DECK ahead
2024-11-12	109.75	92.45	+1.57	DECK ahead
2024-11-11	109.41	92.38	+1.57	DECK ahead
2024-11-08	108.50	91.51	+1.59	DECK ahead
2024-11-07	105.86	91.56	+1.49	DECK ahead
2024-11-06	101.80	90.83	+1.38	DECK ahead
2024-11-05	101.12	94.04	+1.22	DECK ahead
2024-11-04	100.25	93.09	+1.23	DECK ahead
2024-11-01	97.70	94.14	+1.09	DECK ahead
2024-10-31	99.41	93.02	+1.22	DECK ahead
2024-10-30	104.74	92.20	+1.47	DECK ahead
2024-10-29	104.76	94.55	+1.38	DECK ahead
2024-10-28	104.60	95.16	+1.35	DECK ahead
2024-10-25	103.87	95.09	+1.33	DECK ahead
2024-10-24	93.94	95.32	+0.94	DECK ahead
2024-10-23	93.27	96.54	+0.87	DECK ahead
2024-10-22	95.18	98.19	+0.88	DECK ahead
2024-10-21	98.86	98.26	+1.03	DECK ahead
2024-10-18	100.00	100.00	+1.01	DECK ahead

One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Jan 31, 2025 (DECK -20.5%, NKE -1.8%); May 23, 2025 (DECK -19.9%, NKE -2.1%); Oct 24, 2025 (DECK -15.2%, NKE -0.8%); Jan 30, 2026 (DECK +19.5%, NKE -1.3%); Apr 1, 2026 (DECK +0.8%, NKE -15.5%).

Paired trades

The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart

Forward paper record

No paper position on this pair yet.

Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)

No simulated trade through Oct 20, 2026: the pair rarely passed every test while 2 standard deviations apart.

Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.

The companies

DECK and NKE at a glance

DECK Deckers Outdoor Corporation

Listing: NYSE · SEC CIK 910521
Industry: Shoe Manufacturing · SIC 3021 Rubber & Plastics Footwear
Market value: $11.9B
Price history: 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026

NKE Nike Inc.

Listing: NYSE · SEC CIK 320187
Industry: Shoe Manufacturing · SIC 3021 Rubber & Plastics Footwear
Market value: $55.3B
Price history: 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026

Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.

All pairs →

Pair	Status	Ahead now	Industry
NKE / ONON	Watchlist	ONON by 1.17 sd	Shoe Manufacturing
ONON / DECK	Watchlist	neither	Shoe Manufacturing

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Paper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.