Railroads

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited vs Union Pacific Corporation

WatchlistCP / UNPPrices through Oct 22, 2026

Why these are rivals: #1 and #3 by market value ($171B vs $77B) in Nasdaq's "Railroads" industry; SEC SIC 4011 / 4011 (same major group); #1 and #3 by market value ($171B vs $77B) with SEC SIC 4011 (Railroads, Line-Haul Operating).

Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.

  • Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -2.76 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Business leadership

Business size

Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.

YearCPUNPLarger
2025-$24.5B-
2024-$24.3B-
2023-$24.1B-
2022-$24.9B-
2021-$21.8B-
2020-$19.5B-

Market value: CP $77.3B, UNP $170.5B.

Stock leadership

UNP is ahead now

Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.

UNP leads CP by 1.63 standard deviations: +5.0% over its usual price ratio. 3 lead switches in the last year.

Price change3 mo6 mo12 mo
CP-1.9%+5.2%+19.8%
UNP-3.0%+9.9%+31.6%
Relationship

Not a measured twin today

Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.

Pass
Aligned sessions: 2521 (needs >= 254)
Pass
Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.67 (needs >= 0.60)
Fail
Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -2.76 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Pass
Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 8.82 (needs <= 63)
Data
Both stocks current
The twins over two years

Prices side by side, and the gap between them

CP Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited UNP Union Pacific CorporationPrice index, 100 = 2024-10-18. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).
100120Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026CP 113UNP 122
Spread z-score: CP relative to UNP, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: CP ahead; below 0: UNP ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).
-4stop-2idea0+2idea+4stopOct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026
Data table (504 sessions)
DateCP indexUNP indexzAhead
2026-10-22113.16122.12-1.63UNP ahead
2026-10-21110.01117.93-1.42UNP ahead
2026-10-20109.05117.82-1.69UNP ahead
2026-10-19108.12117.58-1.93UNP ahead
2026-10-16109.09118.41-1.88UNP ahead
2026-10-15108.53118.28-2.03UNP ahead
2026-10-14107.54117.34-2.09UNP ahead
2026-10-13107.06115.67-1.78UNP ahead
2026-10-12106.81115.35-1.79UNP ahead
2026-10-09105.47114.03-1.84UNP ahead
2026-10-08105.33113.97-1.88UNP ahead
2026-10-07104.43112.53-1.76UNP ahead
2026-10-06106.68113.32-1.28UNP ahead
2026-10-05107.14113.50-1.20UNP ahead
2026-10-02107.32114.00-1.30UNP ahead
2026-10-01105.48111.60-1.17UNP ahead
2026-09-30106.27111.48-0.87UNP ahead
2026-09-29108.03112.31-0.56UNP ahead
2026-09-28108.09112.29-0.53UNP ahead
2026-09-25108.53112.16-0.35near the usual relationship
2026-09-24109.04112.28-0.23near the usual relationship
2026-09-23110.24112.88-0.04near the usual relationship
2026-09-22109.88112.42-0.02near the usual relationship
2026-09-21108.40110.46+0.11near the usual relationship
2026-09-18109.24114.45-0.84UNP ahead
2026-09-17110.86115.72-0.72UNP ahead
2026-09-16109.49115.08-0.94UNP ahead
2026-09-15111.16116.34-0.81UNP ahead
2026-09-14112.10116.79-0.67UNP ahead
2026-09-11111.43116.51-0.79UNP ahead
2026-09-10110.94117.07-1.08UNP ahead
2026-09-09112.48116.65-0.55UNP ahead
2026-09-08113.80118.17-0.59UNP ahead
2026-09-04114.39118.65-0.56UNP ahead
2026-09-03114.01118.46-0.62UNP ahead
2026-09-02111.81118.69-1.27UNP ahead
2026-09-01111.10119.06-1.56UNP ahead
2026-08-31115.75123.17-1.36UNP ahead
2026-08-28117.53125.94-1.57UNP ahead
2026-08-27117.21126.04-1.69UNP ahead
2026-08-26118.27127.25-1.72UNP ahead
2026-08-25117.81126.83-1.76UNP ahead
2026-08-24118.23126.94-1.69UNP ahead
2026-08-21120.74126.20-0.90UNP ahead
2026-08-20118.42124.53-1.09UNP ahead
2026-08-19117.93123.64-1.01UNP ahead
2026-08-18116.98122.38-0.95UNP ahead
2026-08-17117.28122.86-1.00UNP ahead
2026-08-14116.76120.31-0.51UNP ahead
2026-08-13117.28122.00-0.80UNP ahead
2026-08-12115.75120.33-0.79UNP ahead
2026-08-11114.79119.98-0.96UNP ahead
2026-08-10113.02119.72-1.36UNP ahead
2026-08-07114.41120.09-1.10UNP ahead
2026-08-06112.70121.01-1.79UNP ahead
2026-08-05114.20121.07-1.42UNP ahead
2026-08-04113.17121.41-1.79UNP ahead
2026-08-03113.20119.31-1.28UNP ahead
2026-07-31113.20119.68-1.38UNP ahead
2026-07-30110.09118.58-1.96UNP ahead
2026-07-29114.00119.70-1.20UNP ahead
2026-07-28114.51120.63-1.31UNP ahead
2026-07-27114.14122.61-1.92UNP ahead
2026-07-24115.33125.90-2.44UNP ahead
2026-07-23115.28124.67-2.18UNP ahead
2026-07-22114.04119.85-1.31UNP ahead
2026-07-21113.84120.09-1.44UNP ahead
2026-07-20114.46121.36-1.60UNP ahead
2026-07-17117.02123.62-1.49UNP ahead
2026-07-16116.02122.66-1.52UNP ahead
2026-07-15112.97118.13-1.20UNP ahead
2026-07-14114.07118.11-0.91UNP ahead
2026-07-13114.07118.45-1.00UNP ahead
2026-07-10112.54117.56-1.19UNP ahead
2026-07-09112.80116.77-0.93UNP ahead
2026-07-08111.64115.09-0.81UNP ahead
2026-07-07110.79115.99-1.28UNP ahead
2026-07-06109.89115.77-1.47UNP ahead
2026-07-02109.63115.63-1.52UNP ahead
2026-07-01107.29113.78-1.69UNP ahead
2026-06-30108.20111.43-0.83UNP ahead
2026-06-29108.53111.72-0.83UNP ahead
2026-06-26109.55109.93-0.08near the usual relationship
2026-06-25108.69109.68-0.25near the usual relationship
2026-06-24105.87106.50-0.17near the usual relationship
2026-06-23106.51105.94+0.14near the usual relationship
2026-06-22106.98106.48+0.11near the usual relationship
2026-06-18107.43105.24+0.54CP ahead
2026-06-17106.91105.71+0.27near the usual relationship
2026-06-16111.33109.57+0.39near the usual relationship
2026-06-15111.48109.51+0.42near the usual relationship
2026-06-12112.49111.72+0.12near the usual relationship
2026-06-11111.53109.91+0.32near the usual relationship
2026-06-10111.89109.39+0.51CP ahead
2026-06-09112.64111.13+0.26near the usual relationship
2026-06-08112.45110.07+0.44near the usual relationship
2026-06-05112.30111.56+0.06near the usual relationship
2026-06-04111.76108.11+0.69CP ahead
2026-06-03111.29107.39+0.73CP ahead
2026-06-02112.57108.43+0.76CP ahead
2026-06-01110.74107.95+0.47near the usual relationship
2026-05-29111.54107.60+0.70CP ahead
2026-05-28113.14109.38+0.64CP ahead
2026-05-27113.96114.46-0.24near the usual relationship
2026-05-26111.29111.06-0.11near the usual relationship
2026-05-22107.72108.92-0.41near the usual relationship
2026-05-21108.28108.74-0.26near the usual relationship
2026-05-20107.82108.89-0.39near the usual relationship
2026-05-19107.55111.25-0.93UNP ahead
2026-05-18107.67112.71-1.20UNP ahead
2026-05-15106.23110.84-1.13UNP ahead
2026-05-14108.52110.34-0.57UNP ahead
2026-05-13106.94108.42-0.51UNP ahead
2026-05-12107.17108.81-0.55UNP ahead
2026-05-11105.86107.89-0.64UNP ahead
2026-05-08107.44108.42-0.42near the usual relationship
2026-05-07106.42108.52-0.66UNP ahead
2026-05-06107.37109.89-0.74UNP ahead
2026-05-05104.27108.16-1.05UNP ahead
2026-05-04103.81107.91-1.10UNP ahead
2026-05-01107.67109.10-0.54UNP ahead
2026-04-30108.59110.40-0.62UNP ahead
2026-04-29105.24108.47-0.93UNP ahead
2026-04-28108.33109.68-0.54UNP ahead
2026-04-27109.09110.16-0.49near the usual relationship
2026-04-24108.50110.08-0.59UNP ahead
2026-04-23107.62111.13-0.99UNP ahead
2026-04-22102.76102.17-0.15near the usual relationship
2026-04-21103.01102.93-0.27near the usual relationship
2026-04-20102.02103.31-0.56UNP ahead
2026-04-17101.75102.88-0.54UNP ahead
2026-04-16100.07102.86-0.90UNP ahead
2026-04-15101.16101.61-0.39near the usual relationship
2026-04-14102.63103.25-0.43near the usual relationship
2026-04-13101.69102.97-0.57UNP ahead
2026-04-10100.74102.63-0.71UNP ahead
2026-04-09101.40102.89-0.62UNP ahead
2026-04-08101.96102.05-0.32near the usual relationship
2026-04-07100.00100.82-0.48near the usual relationship
2026-04-0699.28100.59-0.58UNP ahead
2026-04-0298.61100.25-0.64UNP ahead
2026-04-0197.4399.60-0.74UNP ahead
2026-03-3198.2399.39-0.51UNP ahead
2026-03-3096.8098.00-0.51UNP ahead
2026-03-2797.6997.82-0.28near the usual relationship
2026-03-2698.7597.99-0.08near the usual relationship
2026-03-2599.9898.87+0.00near the usual relationship
2026-03-2498.9598.19-0.06near the usual relationship
2026-03-2399.2397.65+0.11near the usual relationship
2026-03-2097.7096.24+0.10near the usual relationship
2026-03-1997.9895.94+0.22near the usual relationship
2026-03-1899.8396.92+0.41near the usual relationship
2026-03-17100.6499.27+0.08near the usual relationship
2026-03-16102.3499.23+0.44near the usual relationship
2026-03-13101.6099.32+0.28near the usual relationship
2026-03-12101.36100.00+0.10near the usual relationship
2026-03-11103.76102.87+0.00near the usual relationship
2026-03-10104.81102.50+0.29near the usual relationship
2026-03-09104.77103.90+0.01near the usual relationship
2026-03-06103.60104.10-0.25near the usual relationship
2026-03-05106.47106.60-0.17near the usual relationship
2026-03-04108.40109.26-0.30near the usual relationship
2026-03-03109.62108.91-0.01near the usual relationship
2026-03-02111.63109.37+0.27near the usual relationship
2026-02-27109.38108.55+0.02near the usual relationship
2026-02-26108.79108.75-0.12near the usual relationship
2026-02-25107.11108.25-0.34near the usual relationship
2026-02-24107.75109.24-0.39near the usual relationship
2026-02-23105.83108.05-0.53UNP ahead
2026-02-20106.27109.01-0.62UNP ahead
2026-02-19105.77107.73-0.48near the usual relationship
2026-02-18104.56108.56-0.86UNP ahead
2026-02-17104.75107.66-0.65UNP ahead
2026-02-13104.62106.79-0.52UNP ahead
2026-02-12104.53107.24-0.61UNP ahead
2026-02-11104.68107.66-0.66UNP ahead
2026-02-10103.75107.05-0.73UNP ahead
2026-02-09101.30104.20-0.67UNP ahead
2026-02-06100.39103.49-0.71UNP ahead
2026-02-0598.75103.01-0.94UNP ahead
2026-02-0499.35102.32-0.69UNP ahead
2026-02-0395.6798.93-0.77UNP ahead
2026-02-0293.7296.37-0.66UNP ahead
2026-01-3092.8396.31-0.83UNP ahead
2026-01-2994.7195.69-0.31near the usual relationship
2026-01-2889.6493.29-0.89UNP ahead
2026-01-2790.8595.27-1.04UNP ahead
2026-01-2690.6094.59-0.96UNP ahead
2026-01-2390.9594.08-0.78UNP ahead
2026-01-2290.4294.78-1.05UNP ahead
2026-01-2189.9093.97-1.00UNP ahead
2026-01-2087.6790.82-0.82UNP ahead
2026-01-1690.5694.01-0.86UNP ahead
2026-01-1590.4094.43-0.99UNP ahead
2026-01-1490.0093.05-0.79UNP ahead
2026-01-1388.2293.93-1.38UNP ahead
2026-01-1289.4594.02-1.13UNP ahead
2026-01-0989.3793.58-1.07UNP ahead
2026-01-0890.1794.16-1.02UNP ahead
2026-01-0788.0191.96-1.03UNP ahead
2026-01-0691.7395.71-1.00UNP ahead
2026-01-0590.8095.03-1.07UNP ahead
2026-01-0292.9795.01-0.59UNP ahead
2025-12-3191.9594.76-0.76UNP ahead
2025-12-3092.7795.48-0.73UNP ahead
2025-12-2993.3496.08-0.73UNP ahead
2025-12-2693.3295.63-0.65UNP ahead
2025-12-2493.1196.29-0.83UNP ahead
2025-12-2392.9795.92-0.78UNP ahead
2025-12-2293.0196.11-0.82UNP ahead
2025-12-1992.6695.96-0.86UNP ahead
2025-12-1892.6796.03-0.87UNP ahead
2025-12-1791.8196.98-1.26UNP ahead
2025-12-1691.6096.63-1.24UNP ahead
2025-12-1592.9398.51-1.35UNP ahead
2025-12-1293.8798.30-1.10UNP ahead
2025-12-1193.9696.73-0.76UNP ahead
2025-12-1093.5396.46-0.80UNP ahead
2025-12-0991.2694.86-0.96UNP ahead
2025-12-0892.5696.45-1.02UNP ahead
2025-12-0592.1196.40-1.11UNP ahead
2025-12-0492.3597.21-1.23UNP ahead
2025-12-0392.3196.37-1.06UNP ahead
2025-12-0289.7995.14-1.36UNP ahead
2025-12-0190.3694.78-1.15UNP ahead
2025-11-2890.6294.97-1.13UNP ahead
2025-11-2690.0294.49-1.16UNP ahead
2025-11-2589.3293.87-1.18UNP ahead
2025-11-2487.4091.97-1.21UNP ahead
2025-11-2187.4392.68-1.37UNP ahead
2025-11-2086.0190.62-1.25UNP ahead
2025-11-1986.5690.61-1.11UNP ahead
2025-11-1886.8090.46-1.03UNP ahead
2025-11-1787.8490.54-0.80UNP ahead
2025-11-1488.2991.36-0.88UNP ahead
2025-11-1388.8590.73-0.61UNP ahead
2025-11-1290.4591.58-0.44near the usual relationship
2025-11-1189.1792.09-0.84UNP ahead
2025-11-1088.6691.72-0.88UNP ahead
2025-11-0788.5290.73-0.69UNP ahead
2025-11-0686.0489.30-0.96UNP ahead
2025-11-0587.8589.05-0.48near the usual relationship
2025-11-0488.1990.50-0.73UNP ahead
2025-11-0388.2989.64-0.52UNP ahead
2025-10-3189.8590.28-0.31near the usual relationship
2025-10-3090.6789.65+0.02near the usual relationship
2025-10-2991.3788.64+0.41near the usual relationship
2025-10-2892.8789.14+0.63CP ahead
2025-10-2792.9889.40+0.60CP ahead
2025-10-2494.2788.74+1.04CP ahead
2025-10-2394.8390.14+0.85CP ahead
2025-10-2295.5392.27+0.52CP ahead
2025-10-2194.4492.81+0.16near the usual relationship
2025-10-2095.5793.12+0.34near the usual relationship
2025-10-1795.5492.60+0.45near the usual relationship
2025-10-1694.2491.78+0.35near the usual relationship
2025-10-1595.8392.47+0.54CP ahead
2025-10-1495.1393.03+0.27near the usual relationship
2025-10-1394.9992.52+0.35near the usual relationship
2025-10-1093.5392.36+0.07near the usual relationship
2025-10-0994.5794.85-0.26near the usual relationship
2025-10-0896.9895.31+0.16near the usual relationship
2025-10-0797.0794.99+0.24near the usual relationship
2025-10-0696.6097.26-0.34near the usual relationship
2025-10-0396.8997.01-0.23near the usual relationship
2025-10-0294.7396.08-0.50UNP ahead
2025-10-0193.4496.17-0.81UNP ahead
2025-09-3093.0296.83-1.05UNP ahead
2025-09-2991.7096.76-1.34UNP ahead
2025-09-2691.8096.35-1.24UNP ahead
2025-09-2592.6795.04-0.77UNP ahead
2025-09-2492.4894.37-0.67UNP ahead
2025-09-2392.5793.40-0.45near the usual relationship
2025-09-2293.1992.52-0.12near the usual relationship
2025-09-1994.4290.38+0.62CP ahead
2025-09-1894.4290.27+0.64CP ahead
2025-09-1794.0288.97+0.85CP ahead
2025-09-1695.0288.49+1.18CP ahead
2025-09-1594.8288.59+1.12CP ahead
2025-09-1293.7688.04+1.02CP ahead
2025-09-1194.5488.50+1.09CP ahead
2025-09-1093.0388.16+0.84CP ahead
2025-09-0993.3288.51+0.83CP ahead
2025-09-0895.0989.00+1.11CP ahead
2025-09-0595.6990.25+0.96CP ahead
2025-09-0495.8591.38+0.74CP ahead
2025-09-0395.7590.85+0.85CP ahead
2025-09-0295.4490.94+0.76CP ahead
2025-08-2995.1491.59+0.56CP ahead
2025-08-2895.2491.09+0.69CP ahead
2025-08-2795.9890.52+0.99CP ahead
2025-08-2695.2291.25+0.66CP ahead
2025-08-2591.6591.49-0.19near the usual relationship
2025-08-2293.4293.34-0.20near the usual relationship
2025-08-2191.4592.30-0.41near the usual relationship
2025-08-2092.7792.45-0.15near the usual relationship
2025-08-1993.4691.67+0.18near the usual relationship
2025-08-1891.8590.16+0.17near the usual relationship
2025-08-1592.6990.45+0.30near the usual relationship
2025-08-1492.2690.75+0.13near the usual relationship
2025-08-1394.4491.43+0.47near the usual relationship
2025-08-1293.6289.64+0.70CP ahead
2025-08-1193.0689.98+0.50CP ahead
2025-08-0893.6891.04+0.40near the usual relationship
2025-08-0794.1491.22+0.46near the usual relationship
2025-08-0695.5392.36+0.51CP ahead
2025-08-0593.7891.34+0.36near the usual relationship
2025-08-0492.9190.97+0.25near the usual relationship
2025-08-0191.0189.88+0.07near the usual relationship
2025-07-3191.8590.93+0.01near the usual relationship
2025-07-3094.5492.29+0.31near the usual relationship
2025-07-2995.1491.67+0.57CP ahead
2025-07-2894.7893.91-0.01near the usual relationship
2025-07-2596.0792.07+0.68CP ahead
2025-07-2495.0890.34+0.86CP ahead
2025-07-2396.5594.63+0.22near the usual relationship
2025-07-2297.7893.91+0.63CP ahead
2025-07-2196.7892.52+0.73CP ahead
2025-07-1896.8092.12+0.82CP ahead
2025-07-17100.2293.20+1.30CP ahead
2025-07-16100.9694.71+1.11CP ahead
2025-07-15101.3094.69+1.18CP ahead
2025-07-14101.3595.58+0.99CP ahead
2025-07-11102.0296.31+0.96CP ahead
2025-07-10102.9197.09+0.97CP ahead
2025-07-09101.6496.88+0.76CP ahead
2025-07-08100.7996.90+0.58CP ahead
2025-07-0799.5196.42+0.42near the usual relationship
2025-07-03101.1996.80+0.67CP ahead
2025-07-02102.0997.16+0.78CP ahead
2025-07-01100.4796.51+0.59CP ahead
2025-06-3098.9994.26+0.76CP ahead
2025-06-2797.7994.80+0.39near the usual relationship
2025-06-2698.6593.97+0.74CP ahead
2025-06-2597.2992.92+0.69CP ahead
2025-06-2498.9893.37+0.93CP ahead
2025-06-2399.6992.54+1.25CP ahead
2025-06-20100.1191.16+1.64CP ahead
2025-06-18100.0990.95+1.69CP ahead
2025-06-17100.0790.37+1.83CP ahead
2025-06-16101.9992.03+1.87CP ahead
2025-06-13100.4291.51+1.68CP ahead
2025-06-12101.3492.38+1.69CP ahead
2025-06-11100.8592.47+1.58CP ahead
2025-06-10101.4692.83+1.64CP ahead
2025-06-09101.9791.82+1.98CP ahead
2025-06-06102.2791.53+2.14CP ahead
2025-06-05102.2290.39+2.42CP ahead
2025-06-04102.4290.48+2.48CP ahead
2025-06-03102.6690.86+2.47CP ahead
2025-06-02101.6189.67+2.58CP ahead
2025-05-30101.9690.81+2.41CP ahead
2025-05-29101.4191.16+2.23CP ahead
2025-05-28100.8491.02+2.16CP ahead
2025-05-27100.7091.91+1.92CP ahead
2025-05-23100.1190.99+2.03CP ahead
2025-05-22100.4091.30+2.04CP ahead
2025-05-21101.1791.61+2.17CP ahead
2025-05-20102.3993.54+1.98CP ahead
2025-05-19101.9194.02+1.77CP ahead
2025-05-16101.9194.81+1.59CP ahead
2025-05-15101.7694.57+1.63CP ahead
2025-05-14101.5093.54+1.84CP ahead
2025-05-1398.0693.51+1.03CP ahead
2025-05-1295.6594.58+0.16near the usual relationship
2025-05-0991.5888.62+0.68CP ahead
2025-05-0892.1288.83+0.76CP ahead
2025-05-0792.1887.61+1.12CP ahead
2025-05-0691.7187.34+1.07CP ahead
2025-05-0592.4088.71+0.88CP ahead
2025-05-0293.5989.43+1.01CP ahead
2025-05-0190.8287.70+0.75CP ahead
2025-04-3090.5088.35+0.49near the usual relationship
2025-04-2990.0187.89+0.48near the usual relationship
2025-04-2889.7187.10+0.61CP ahead
2025-04-2590.5187.38+0.73CP ahead
2025-04-2491.2588.26+0.67CP ahead
2025-04-2391.0790.04+0.14near the usual relationship
2025-04-2290.9788.86+0.41near the usual relationship
2025-04-2191.3088.51+0.57CP ahead
2025-04-1793.0790.23+0.56CP ahead
2025-04-1691.0588.73+0.43near the usual relationship
2025-04-1592.0090.16+0.29near the usual relationship
2025-04-1492.3291.06+0.14near the usual relationship
2025-04-1191.8589.55+0.38near the usual relationship
2025-04-1088.9289.85-0.39near the usual relationship
2025-04-0991.3891.57-0.22near the usual relationship
2025-04-0883.8585.32-0.55UNP ahead
2025-04-0785.6586.02-0.28near the usual relationship
2025-04-0487.6587.37-0.14near the usual relationship
2025-04-0388.0191.75-1.07UNP ahead
2025-04-0290.4897.69-1.80UNP ahead
2025-04-0188.7297.16-2.12UNP ahead
2025-03-3187.6796.78-2.31UNP ahead
2025-03-2886.6995.10-2.20UNP ahead
2025-03-2789.3596.67-1.93UNP ahead
2025-03-2691.5197.51-1.63UNP ahead
2025-03-2590.3896.60-1.70UNP ahead
2025-03-2491.5296.35-1.40UNP ahead
2025-03-2189.8695.81-1.67UNP ahead
2025-03-2091.8896.19-1.30UNP ahead
2025-03-1992.7296.84-1.26UNP ahead
2025-03-1892.7997.13-1.31UNP ahead
2025-03-1794.0297.44-1.12UNP ahead
2025-03-1494.0297.31-1.10UNP ahead
2025-03-1390.8595.98-1.53UNP ahead
2025-03-1292.5697.29-1.44UNP ahead
2025-03-1191.2797.41-1.76UNP ahead
2025-03-1092.79101.72-2.34UNP ahead
2025-03-0796.98102.13-1.53UNP ahead
2025-03-0697.89100.48-1.01UNP ahead
2025-03-0595.9399.80-1.29UNP ahead
2025-03-0492.7198.94-1.85UNP ahead
2025-03-0394.68100.70-1.79UNP ahead
2025-02-2897.30101.06-1.30UNP ahead
2025-02-2795.55100.40-1.56UNP ahead
2025-02-2697.05100.57-1.27UNP ahead
2025-02-2596.77100.73-1.38UNP ahead
2025-02-2495.2899.27-1.42UNP ahead
2025-02-2196.67100.59-1.40UNP ahead
2025-02-2097.60101.45-1.39UNP ahead
2025-02-1997.79101.21-1.31UNP ahead
2025-02-1899.03102.90-1.40UNP ahead
2025-02-1496.80102.10-1.74UNP ahead
2025-02-1397.75102.81-1.70UNP ahead
2025-02-1297.23101.81-1.62UNP ahead
2025-02-1197.95101.49-1.40UNP ahead
2025-02-1097.55100.09-1.19UNP ahead
2025-02-0796.3899.17-1.26UNP ahead
2025-02-0697.8699.76-1.06UNP ahead
2025-02-0597.50100.16-1.24UNP ahead
2025-02-0496.3099.75-1.44UNP ahead
2025-02-0393.3499.56-2.12UNP ahead
2025-01-3199.40101.51-1.13UNP ahead
2025-01-3099.68102.38-1.27UNP ahead
2025-01-2998.45102.23-1.52UNP ahead
2025-01-2898.90102.07-1.39UNP ahead
2025-01-27100.77104.23-1.44UNP ahead
2025-01-2499.64101.92-1.19UNP ahead
2025-01-2399.94101.62-1.05UNP ahead
2025-01-2297.9396.60-0.36near the usual relationship
2025-01-2197.0096.98-0.66UNP ahead
2025-01-1793.4395.97-1.28UNP ahead
2025-01-1693.1196.23-1.43UNP ahead
2025-01-1592.7794.58-1.12UNP ahead
2025-01-1492.6493.97-1.00UNP ahead
2025-01-1392.1192.90-0.87UNP ahead
2025-01-1093.2792.26-0.43near the usual relationship
2025-01-0895.1594.97-0.63UNP ahead
2025-01-0796.3294.44-0.22near the usual relationship
2025-01-0695.3394.23-0.41near the usual relationship
2025-01-0392.3094.84-1.30UNP ahead
2025-01-0292.0193.86-1.14UNP ahead
2024-12-3190.3793.42-1.45UNP ahead
2024-12-3089.8693.32-1.56UNP ahead
2024-12-2790.6194.20-1.59UNP ahead
2024-12-2691.3394.32-1.44UNP ahead
2024-12-2491.6394.12-1.32UNP ahead
2024-12-2391.3593.05-1.13UNP ahead
2024-12-2090.2392.72-1.34UNP ahead
2024-12-1988.7991.42-1.39UNP ahead
2024-12-1891.1791.99-0.90UNP ahead
2024-12-1791.8194.17-1.29UNP ahead
2024-12-1692.5895.41-1.39UNP ahead
2024-12-1392.8796.26-1.53UNP ahead
2024-12-1293.2395.74-1.31UNP ahead
2024-12-1195.0395.77-0.86UNP ahead
2024-12-1094.4297.13-1.34UNP ahead
2024-12-0994.3895.67-0.99UNP ahead
2024-12-0694.0495.69-1.08UNP ahead
2024-12-0595.3596.12-0.86UNP ahead
2024-12-0495.3496.27-0.89UNP ahead
2024-12-0394.3997.09-1.32UNP ahead
2024-12-0295.2998.64-1.47UNP ahead
2024-11-2995.64100.23-1.76UNP ahead
2024-11-2794.09100.46-2.20UNP ahead
2024-11-2692.89100.63-2.56UNP ahead
2024-11-2596.23102.14-2.11UNP ahead
2024-11-2295.7799.30-1.56UNP ahead
2024-11-2193.8997.92-1.70UNP ahead
2024-11-2091.8295.68-1.69UNP ahead
2024-11-1992.1395.57-1.59UNP ahead
2024-11-1892.3596.03-1.66UNP ahead
2024-11-1592.4096.51-1.78UNP ahead
2024-11-1494.7496.51-1.18UNP ahead
2024-11-1394.9198.49-1.64UNP ahead
2024-11-1296.0297.87-1.21UNP ahead
2024-11-1196.6599.12-1.37UNP ahead
2024-11-0896.8998.93-1.28UNP ahead
2024-11-0798.4199.37-1.01UNP ahead
2024-11-0698.01101.80-1.72UNP ahead
2024-11-0599.0695.81+0.02near the usual relationship
2024-11-0497.5494.19+0.06near the usual relationship
2024-11-0196.2395.33-0.57UNP ahead
2024-10-3196.3595.07-0.47near the usual relationship
2024-10-3097.6395.11-0.17near the usual relationship
2024-10-2997.3995.04-0.21near the usual relationship
2024-10-2897.2895.03-0.24near the usual relationship
2024-10-2596.2994.35-0.31near the usual relationship
2024-10-2498.0494.53+0.08near the usual relationship
2024-10-2398.4498.87-0.92UNP ahead
2024-10-2299.4698.91-0.68UNP ahead
2024-10-2198.3498.46-0.85UNP ahead
2024-10-18100.00100.00-0.83UNP ahead

One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Nov 6, 2024 (CP -1.1%, UNP +6.3%). Upcoming earnings: CP Oct 28, 2026 (after-hours).

Paired trades

The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart

Forward paper record

No paper position on this pair yet.

Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)

No simulated trade through Oct 20, 2026: the pair rarely passed every test while 2 standard deviations apart.

Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.

The companies

CP and UNP at a glance

CP Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited

Listing
NYSE · SEC CIK 16875
Industry
Railroads · SIC 4011 Railroads, Line-Haul Operating
Market value
$77.3B
Price history
2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026

UNP Union Pacific Corporation

Listing
NYSE · SEC CIK 100885
Industry
Railroads · SIC 4011 Railroads, Line-Haul Operating
Market value
$170.5B
Price history
2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026

Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.

Related
All pairs →
PairStatusAhead nowIndustry
CSX / CPWatchlistCSX by 1.92 sdRailroads
UNP / CSXWatchlistCSX by 1.09 sdRailroads

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Paper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.