Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited vs Union Pacific Corporation
Why these are rivals: #1 and #3 by market value ($171B vs $77B) in Nasdaq's "Railroads" industry; SEC SIC 4011 / 4011 (same major group); #1 and #3 by market value ($171B vs $77B) with SEC SIC 4011 (Railroads, Line-Haul Operating).
Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -2.76 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Business size
Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.
| Year | CP | UNP | Larger |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | - | $24.5B | - |
| 2024 | - | $24.3B | - |
| 2023 | - | $24.1B | - |
| 2022 | - | $24.9B | - |
| 2021 | - | $21.8B | - |
| 2020 | - | $19.5B | - |
Market value: CP $77.3B, UNP $170.5B.
UNP is ahead now
Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.
UNP leads CP by 1.63 standard deviations: +5.0% over its usual price ratio. 3 lead switches in the last year.
| Price change | 3 mo | 6 mo | 12 mo |
|---|---|---|---|
| CP | -1.9% | +5.2% | +19.8% |
| UNP | -3.0% | +9.9% | +31.6% |
Not a measured twin today
Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.
- Pass
- Aligned sessions: 2521 (needs >= 254)
- Pass
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.67 (needs >= 0.60)
- Fail
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -2.76 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
- Pass
- Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 8.82 (needs <= 63)
- Data
- Both stocks current
Prices side by side, and the gap between them
Data table (504 sessions)
| Date | CP index | UNP index | z | Ahead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | 113.16 | 122.12 | -1.63 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-10-21 | 110.01 | 117.93 | -1.42 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-10-20 | 109.05 | 117.82 | -1.69 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-10-19 | 108.12 | 117.58 | -1.93 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-10-16 | 109.09 | 118.41 | -1.88 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-10-15 | 108.53 | 118.28 | -2.03 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-10-14 | 107.54 | 117.34 | -2.09 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-10-13 | 107.06 | 115.67 | -1.78 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-10-12 | 106.81 | 115.35 | -1.79 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-10-09 | 105.47 | 114.03 | -1.84 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-10-08 | 105.33 | 113.97 | -1.88 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-10-07 | 104.43 | 112.53 | -1.76 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-10-06 | 106.68 | 113.32 | -1.28 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-10-05 | 107.14 | 113.50 | -1.20 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-10-02 | 107.32 | 114.00 | -1.30 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-10-01 | 105.48 | 111.60 | -1.17 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-09-30 | 106.27 | 111.48 | -0.87 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-09-29 | 108.03 | 112.31 | -0.56 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-09-28 | 108.09 | 112.29 | -0.53 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-09-25 | 108.53 | 112.16 | -0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-24 | 109.04 | 112.28 | -0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-23 | 110.24 | 112.88 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-22 | 109.88 | 112.42 | -0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-21 | 108.40 | 110.46 | +0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-18 | 109.24 | 114.45 | -0.84 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-09-17 | 110.86 | 115.72 | -0.72 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-09-16 | 109.49 | 115.08 | -0.94 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-09-15 | 111.16 | 116.34 | -0.81 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-09-14 | 112.10 | 116.79 | -0.67 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-09-11 | 111.43 | 116.51 | -0.79 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-09-10 | 110.94 | 117.07 | -1.08 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-09-09 | 112.48 | 116.65 | -0.55 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-09-08 | 113.80 | 118.17 | -0.59 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-09-04 | 114.39 | 118.65 | -0.56 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-09-03 | 114.01 | 118.46 | -0.62 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-09-02 | 111.81 | 118.69 | -1.27 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-09-01 | 111.10 | 119.06 | -1.56 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-08-31 | 115.75 | 123.17 | -1.36 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-08-28 | 117.53 | 125.94 | -1.57 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-08-27 | 117.21 | 126.04 | -1.69 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-08-26 | 118.27 | 127.25 | -1.72 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-08-25 | 117.81 | 126.83 | -1.76 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-08-24 | 118.23 | 126.94 | -1.69 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-08-21 | 120.74 | 126.20 | -0.90 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-08-20 | 118.42 | 124.53 | -1.09 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-08-19 | 117.93 | 123.64 | -1.01 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-08-18 | 116.98 | 122.38 | -0.95 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-08-17 | 117.28 | 122.86 | -1.00 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-08-14 | 116.76 | 120.31 | -0.51 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-08-13 | 117.28 | 122.00 | -0.80 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-08-12 | 115.75 | 120.33 | -0.79 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-08-11 | 114.79 | 119.98 | -0.96 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-08-10 | 113.02 | 119.72 | -1.36 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-08-07 | 114.41 | 120.09 | -1.10 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-08-06 | 112.70 | 121.01 | -1.79 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-08-05 | 114.20 | 121.07 | -1.42 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-08-04 | 113.17 | 121.41 | -1.79 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-08-03 | 113.20 | 119.31 | -1.28 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-07-31 | 113.20 | 119.68 | -1.38 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-07-30 | 110.09 | 118.58 | -1.96 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-07-29 | 114.00 | 119.70 | -1.20 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-07-28 | 114.51 | 120.63 | -1.31 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-07-27 | 114.14 | 122.61 | -1.92 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-07-24 | 115.33 | 125.90 | -2.44 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-07-23 | 115.28 | 124.67 | -2.18 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-07-22 | 114.04 | 119.85 | -1.31 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-07-21 | 113.84 | 120.09 | -1.44 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-07-20 | 114.46 | 121.36 | -1.60 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-07-17 | 117.02 | 123.62 | -1.49 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-07-16 | 116.02 | 122.66 | -1.52 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-07-15 | 112.97 | 118.13 | -1.20 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-07-14 | 114.07 | 118.11 | -0.91 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-07-13 | 114.07 | 118.45 | -1.00 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-07-10 | 112.54 | 117.56 | -1.19 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-07-09 | 112.80 | 116.77 | -0.93 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-07-08 | 111.64 | 115.09 | -0.81 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-07-07 | 110.79 | 115.99 | -1.28 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-07-06 | 109.89 | 115.77 | -1.47 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-07-02 | 109.63 | 115.63 | -1.52 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-07-01 | 107.29 | 113.78 | -1.69 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-06-30 | 108.20 | 111.43 | -0.83 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-06-29 | 108.53 | 111.72 | -0.83 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-06-26 | 109.55 | 109.93 | -0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-25 | 108.69 | 109.68 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-24 | 105.87 | 106.50 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-23 | 106.51 | 105.94 | +0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-22 | 106.98 | 106.48 | +0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-18 | 107.43 | 105.24 | +0.54 | CP ahead |
| 2026-06-17 | 106.91 | 105.71 | +0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-16 | 111.33 | 109.57 | +0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-15 | 111.48 | 109.51 | +0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-12 | 112.49 | 111.72 | +0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-11 | 111.53 | 109.91 | +0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-10 | 111.89 | 109.39 | +0.51 | CP ahead |
| 2026-06-09 | 112.64 | 111.13 | +0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-08 | 112.45 | 110.07 | +0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-05 | 112.30 | 111.56 | +0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-04 | 111.76 | 108.11 | +0.69 | CP ahead |
| 2026-06-03 | 111.29 | 107.39 | +0.73 | CP ahead |
| 2026-06-02 | 112.57 | 108.43 | +0.76 | CP ahead |
| 2026-06-01 | 110.74 | 107.95 | +0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-29 | 111.54 | 107.60 | +0.70 | CP ahead |
| 2026-05-28 | 113.14 | 109.38 | +0.64 | CP ahead |
| 2026-05-27 | 113.96 | 114.46 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-26 | 111.29 | 111.06 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-22 | 107.72 | 108.92 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-21 | 108.28 | 108.74 | -0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-20 | 107.82 | 108.89 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-19 | 107.55 | 111.25 | -0.93 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-05-18 | 107.67 | 112.71 | -1.20 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-05-15 | 106.23 | 110.84 | -1.13 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-05-14 | 108.52 | 110.34 | -0.57 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-05-13 | 106.94 | 108.42 | -0.51 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-05-12 | 107.17 | 108.81 | -0.55 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-05-11 | 105.86 | 107.89 | -0.64 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-05-08 | 107.44 | 108.42 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-07 | 106.42 | 108.52 | -0.66 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-05-06 | 107.37 | 109.89 | -0.74 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-05-05 | 104.27 | 108.16 | -1.05 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-05-04 | 103.81 | 107.91 | -1.10 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-05-01 | 107.67 | 109.10 | -0.54 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-04-30 | 108.59 | 110.40 | -0.62 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-04-29 | 105.24 | 108.47 | -0.93 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-04-28 | 108.33 | 109.68 | -0.54 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-04-27 | 109.09 | 110.16 | -0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-24 | 108.50 | 110.08 | -0.59 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-04-23 | 107.62 | 111.13 | -0.99 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-04-22 | 102.76 | 102.17 | -0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-21 | 103.01 | 102.93 | -0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-20 | 102.02 | 103.31 | -0.56 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-04-17 | 101.75 | 102.88 | -0.54 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-04-16 | 100.07 | 102.86 | -0.90 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-04-15 | 101.16 | 101.61 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-14 | 102.63 | 103.25 | -0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-13 | 101.69 | 102.97 | -0.57 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-04-10 | 100.74 | 102.63 | -0.71 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-04-09 | 101.40 | 102.89 | -0.62 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-04-08 | 101.96 | 102.05 | -0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-07 | 100.00 | 100.82 | -0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-06 | 99.28 | 100.59 | -0.58 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-04-02 | 98.61 | 100.25 | -0.64 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-04-01 | 97.43 | 99.60 | -0.74 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-03-31 | 98.23 | 99.39 | -0.51 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-03-30 | 96.80 | 98.00 | -0.51 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-03-27 | 97.69 | 97.82 | -0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-26 | 98.75 | 97.99 | -0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-25 | 99.98 | 98.87 | +0.00 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-24 | 98.95 | 98.19 | -0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-23 | 99.23 | 97.65 | +0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-20 | 97.70 | 96.24 | +0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-19 | 97.98 | 95.94 | +0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-18 | 99.83 | 96.92 | +0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-17 | 100.64 | 99.27 | +0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-16 | 102.34 | 99.23 | +0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-13 | 101.60 | 99.32 | +0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-12 | 101.36 | 100.00 | +0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-11 | 103.76 | 102.87 | +0.00 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-10 | 104.81 | 102.50 | +0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-09 | 104.77 | 103.90 | +0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-06 | 103.60 | 104.10 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-05 | 106.47 | 106.60 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-04 | 108.40 | 109.26 | -0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-03 | 109.62 | 108.91 | -0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-02 | 111.63 | 109.37 | +0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-27 | 109.38 | 108.55 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-26 | 108.79 | 108.75 | -0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-25 | 107.11 | 108.25 | -0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-24 | 107.75 | 109.24 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-23 | 105.83 | 108.05 | -0.53 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-02-20 | 106.27 | 109.01 | -0.62 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-02-19 | 105.77 | 107.73 | -0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-18 | 104.56 | 108.56 | -0.86 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-02-17 | 104.75 | 107.66 | -0.65 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-02-13 | 104.62 | 106.79 | -0.52 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-02-12 | 104.53 | 107.24 | -0.61 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-02-11 | 104.68 | 107.66 | -0.66 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-02-10 | 103.75 | 107.05 | -0.73 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-02-09 | 101.30 | 104.20 | -0.67 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-02-06 | 100.39 | 103.49 | -0.71 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-02-05 | 98.75 | 103.01 | -0.94 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-02-04 | 99.35 | 102.32 | -0.69 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-02-03 | 95.67 | 98.93 | -0.77 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-02-02 | 93.72 | 96.37 | -0.66 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-01-30 | 92.83 | 96.31 | -0.83 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-01-29 | 94.71 | 95.69 | -0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-28 | 89.64 | 93.29 | -0.89 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-01-27 | 90.85 | 95.27 | -1.04 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-01-26 | 90.60 | 94.59 | -0.96 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-01-23 | 90.95 | 94.08 | -0.78 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-01-22 | 90.42 | 94.78 | -1.05 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-01-21 | 89.90 | 93.97 | -1.00 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-01-20 | 87.67 | 90.82 | -0.82 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-01-16 | 90.56 | 94.01 | -0.86 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-01-15 | 90.40 | 94.43 | -0.99 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-01-14 | 90.00 | 93.05 | -0.79 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-01-13 | 88.22 | 93.93 | -1.38 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-01-12 | 89.45 | 94.02 | -1.13 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-01-09 | 89.37 | 93.58 | -1.07 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-01-08 | 90.17 | 94.16 | -1.02 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-01-07 | 88.01 | 91.96 | -1.03 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-01-06 | 91.73 | 95.71 | -1.00 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-01-05 | 90.80 | 95.03 | -1.07 | UNP ahead |
| 2026-01-02 | 92.97 | 95.01 | -0.59 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-12-31 | 91.95 | 94.76 | -0.76 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-12-30 | 92.77 | 95.48 | -0.73 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-12-29 | 93.34 | 96.08 | -0.73 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-12-26 | 93.32 | 95.63 | -0.65 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-12-24 | 93.11 | 96.29 | -0.83 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-12-23 | 92.97 | 95.92 | -0.78 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-12-22 | 93.01 | 96.11 | -0.82 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-12-19 | 92.66 | 95.96 | -0.86 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-12-18 | 92.67 | 96.03 | -0.87 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-12-17 | 91.81 | 96.98 | -1.26 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-12-16 | 91.60 | 96.63 | -1.24 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-12-15 | 92.93 | 98.51 | -1.35 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-12-12 | 93.87 | 98.30 | -1.10 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-12-11 | 93.96 | 96.73 | -0.76 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-12-10 | 93.53 | 96.46 | -0.80 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-12-09 | 91.26 | 94.86 | -0.96 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-12-08 | 92.56 | 96.45 | -1.02 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-12-05 | 92.11 | 96.40 | -1.11 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-12-04 | 92.35 | 97.21 | -1.23 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-12-03 | 92.31 | 96.37 | -1.06 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-12-02 | 89.79 | 95.14 | -1.36 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-12-01 | 90.36 | 94.78 | -1.15 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-11-28 | 90.62 | 94.97 | -1.13 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-11-26 | 90.02 | 94.49 | -1.16 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-11-25 | 89.32 | 93.87 | -1.18 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-11-24 | 87.40 | 91.97 | -1.21 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-11-21 | 87.43 | 92.68 | -1.37 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-11-20 | 86.01 | 90.62 | -1.25 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-11-19 | 86.56 | 90.61 | -1.11 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-11-18 | 86.80 | 90.46 | -1.03 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-11-17 | 87.84 | 90.54 | -0.80 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-11-14 | 88.29 | 91.36 | -0.88 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-11-13 | 88.85 | 90.73 | -0.61 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-11-12 | 90.45 | 91.58 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-11 | 89.17 | 92.09 | -0.84 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-11-10 | 88.66 | 91.72 | -0.88 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-11-07 | 88.52 | 90.73 | -0.69 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-11-06 | 86.04 | 89.30 | -0.96 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-11-05 | 87.85 | 89.05 | -0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-04 | 88.19 | 90.50 | -0.73 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-11-03 | 88.29 | 89.64 | -0.52 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-10-31 | 89.85 | 90.28 | -0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-30 | 90.67 | 89.65 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-29 | 91.37 | 88.64 | +0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-28 | 92.87 | 89.14 | +0.63 | CP ahead |
| 2025-10-27 | 92.98 | 89.40 | +0.60 | CP ahead |
| 2025-10-24 | 94.27 | 88.74 | +1.04 | CP ahead |
| 2025-10-23 | 94.83 | 90.14 | +0.85 | CP ahead |
| 2025-10-22 | 95.53 | 92.27 | +0.52 | CP ahead |
| 2025-10-21 | 94.44 | 92.81 | +0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-20 | 95.57 | 93.12 | +0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-17 | 95.54 | 92.60 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-16 | 94.24 | 91.78 | +0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-15 | 95.83 | 92.47 | +0.54 | CP ahead |
| 2025-10-14 | 95.13 | 93.03 | +0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-13 | 94.99 | 92.52 | +0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-10 | 93.53 | 92.36 | +0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-09 | 94.57 | 94.85 | -0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-08 | 96.98 | 95.31 | +0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-07 | 97.07 | 94.99 | +0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-06 | 96.60 | 97.26 | -0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-03 | 96.89 | 97.01 | -0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-02 | 94.73 | 96.08 | -0.50 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-10-01 | 93.44 | 96.17 | -0.81 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-09-30 | 93.02 | 96.83 | -1.05 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-09-29 | 91.70 | 96.76 | -1.34 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-09-26 | 91.80 | 96.35 | -1.24 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-09-25 | 92.67 | 95.04 | -0.77 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-09-24 | 92.48 | 94.37 | -0.67 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-09-23 | 92.57 | 93.40 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-22 | 93.19 | 92.52 | -0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-19 | 94.42 | 90.38 | +0.62 | CP ahead |
| 2025-09-18 | 94.42 | 90.27 | +0.64 | CP ahead |
| 2025-09-17 | 94.02 | 88.97 | +0.85 | CP ahead |
| 2025-09-16 | 95.02 | 88.49 | +1.18 | CP ahead |
| 2025-09-15 | 94.82 | 88.59 | +1.12 | CP ahead |
| 2025-09-12 | 93.76 | 88.04 | +1.02 | CP ahead |
| 2025-09-11 | 94.54 | 88.50 | +1.09 | CP ahead |
| 2025-09-10 | 93.03 | 88.16 | +0.84 | CP ahead |
| 2025-09-09 | 93.32 | 88.51 | +0.83 | CP ahead |
| 2025-09-08 | 95.09 | 89.00 | +1.11 | CP ahead |
| 2025-09-05 | 95.69 | 90.25 | +0.96 | CP ahead |
| 2025-09-04 | 95.85 | 91.38 | +0.74 | CP ahead |
| 2025-09-03 | 95.75 | 90.85 | +0.85 | CP ahead |
| 2025-09-02 | 95.44 | 90.94 | +0.76 | CP ahead |
| 2025-08-29 | 95.14 | 91.59 | +0.56 | CP ahead |
| 2025-08-28 | 95.24 | 91.09 | +0.69 | CP ahead |
| 2025-08-27 | 95.98 | 90.52 | +0.99 | CP ahead |
| 2025-08-26 | 95.22 | 91.25 | +0.66 | CP ahead |
| 2025-08-25 | 91.65 | 91.49 | -0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-22 | 93.42 | 93.34 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-21 | 91.45 | 92.30 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-20 | 92.77 | 92.45 | -0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-19 | 93.46 | 91.67 | +0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-18 | 91.85 | 90.16 | +0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-15 | 92.69 | 90.45 | +0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-14 | 92.26 | 90.75 | +0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-13 | 94.44 | 91.43 | +0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-12 | 93.62 | 89.64 | +0.70 | CP ahead |
| 2025-08-11 | 93.06 | 89.98 | +0.50 | CP ahead |
| 2025-08-08 | 93.68 | 91.04 | +0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-07 | 94.14 | 91.22 | +0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-06 | 95.53 | 92.36 | +0.51 | CP ahead |
| 2025-08-05 | 93.78 | 91.34 | +0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-04 | 92.91 | 90.97 | +0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-01 | 91.01 | 89.88 | +0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-31 | 91.85 | 90.93 | +0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-30 | 94.54 | 92.29 | +0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-29 | 95.14 | 91.67 | +0.57 | CP ahead |
| 2025-07-28 | 94.78 | 93.91 | -0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-25 | 96.07 | 92.07 | +0.68 | CP ahead |
| 2025-07-24 | 95.08 | 90.34 | +0.86 | CP ahead |
| 2025-07-23 | 96.55 | 94.63 | +0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-22 | 97.78 | 93.91 | +0.63 | CP ahead |
| 2025-07-21 | 96.78 | 92.52 | +0.73 | CP ahead |
| 2025-07-18 | 96.80 | 92.12 | +0.82 | CP ahead |
| 2025-07-17 | 100.22 | 93.20 | +1.30 | CP ahead |
| 2025-07-16 | 100.96 | 94.71 | +1.11 | CP ahead |
| 2025-07-15 | 101.30 | 94.69 | +1.18 | CP ahead |
| 2025-07-14 | 101.35 | 95.58 | +0.99 | CP ahead |
| 2025-07-11 | 102.02 | 96.31 | +0.96 | CP ahead |
| 2025-07-10 | 102.91 | 97.09 | +0.97 | CP ahead |
| 2025-07-09 | 101.64 | 96.88 | +0.76 | CP ahead |
| 2025-07-08 | 100.79 | 96.90 | +0.58 | CP ahead |
| 2025-07-07 | 99.51 | 96.42 | +0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-03 | 101.19 | 96.80 | +0.67 | CP ahead |
| 2025-07-02 | 102.09 | 97.16 | +0.78 | CP ahead |
| 2025-07-01 | 100.47 | 96.51 | +0.59 | CP ahead |
| 2025-06-30 | 98.99 | 94.26 | +0.76 | CP ahead |
| 2025-06-27 | 97.79 | 94.80 | +0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-26 | 98.65 | 93.97 | +0.74 | CP ahead |
| 2025-06-25 | 97.29 | 92.92 | +0.69 | CP ahead |
| 2025-06-24 | 98.98 | 93.37 | +0.93 | CP ahead |
| 2025-06-23 | 99.69 | 92.54 | +1.25 | CP ahead |
| 2025-06-20 | 100.11 | 91.16 | +1.64 | CP ahead |
| 2025-06-18 | 100.09 | 90.95 | +1.69 | CP ahead |
| 2025-06-17 | 100.07 | 90.37 | +1.83 | CP ahead |
| 2025-06-16 | 101.99 | 92.03 | +1.87 | CP ahead |
| 2025-06-13 | 100.42 | 91.51 | +1.68 | CP ahead |
| 2025-06-12 | 101.34 | 92.38 | +1.69 | CP ahead |
| 2025-06-11 | 100.85 | 92.47 | +1.58 | CP ahead |
| 2025-06-10 | 101.46 | 92.83 | +1.64 | CP ahead |
| 2025-06-09 | 101.97 | 91.82 | +1.98 | CP ahead |
| 2025-06-06 | 102.27 | 91.53 | +2.14 | CP ahead |
| 2025-06-05 | 102.22 | 90.39 | +2.42 | CP ahead |
| 2025-06-04 | 102.42 | 90.48 | +2.48 | CP ahead |
| 2025-06-03 | 102.66 | 90.86 | +2.47 | CP ahead |
| 2025-06-02 | 101.61 | 89.67 | +2.58 | CP ahead |
| 2025-05-30 | 101.96 | 90.81 | +2.41 | CP ahead |
| 2025-05-29 | 101.41 | 91.16 | +2.23 | CP ahead |
| 2025-05-28 | 100.84 | 91.02 | +2.16 | CP ahead |
| 2025-05-27 | 100.70 | 91.91 | +1.92 | CP ahead |
| 2025-05-23 | 100.11 | 90.99 | +2.03 | CP ahead |
| 2025-05-22 | 100.40 | 91.30 | +2.04 | CP ahead |
| 2025-05-21 | 101.17 | 91.61 | +2.17 | CP ahead |
| 2025-05-20 | 102.39 | 93.54 | +1.98 | CP ahead |
| 2025-05-19 | 101.91 | 94.02 | +1.77 | CP ahead |
| 2025-05-16 | 101.91 | 94.81 | +1.59 | CP ahead |
| 2025-05-15 | 101.76 | 94.57 | +1.63 | CP ahead |
| 2025-05-14 | 101.50 | 93.54 | +1.84 | CP ahead |
| 2025-05-13 | 98.06 | 93.51 | +1.03 | CP ahead |
| 2025-05-12 | 95.65 | 94.58 | +0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-09 | 91.58 | 88.62 | +0.68 | CP ahead |
| 2025-05-08 | 92.12 | 88.83 | +0.76 | CP ahead |
| 2025-05-07 | 92.18 | 87.61 | +1.12 | CP ahead |
| 2025-05-06 | 91.71 | 87.34 | +1.07 | CP ahead |
| 2025-05-05 | 92.40 | 88.71 | +0.88 | CP ahead |
| 2025-05-02 | 93.59 | 89.43 | +1.01 | CP ahead |
| 2025-05-01 | 90.82 | 87.70 | +0.75 | CP ahead |
| 2025-04-30 | 90.50 | 88.35 | +0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-29 | 90.01 | 87.89 | +0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-28 | 89.71 | 87.10 | +0.61 | CP ahead |
| 2025-04-25 | 90.51 | 87.38 | +0.73 | CP ahead |
| 2025-04-24 | 91.25 | 88.26 | +0.67 | CP ahead |
| 2025-04-23 | 91.07 | 90.04 | +0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-22 | 90.97 | 88.86 | +0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-21 | 91.30 | 88.51 | +0.57 | CP ahead |
| 2025-04-17 | 93.07 | 90.23 | +0.56 | CP ahead |
| 2025-04-16 | 91.05 | 88.73 | +0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-15 | 92.00 | 90.16 | +0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-14 | 92.32 | 91.06 | +0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-11 | 91.85 | 89.55 | +0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-10 | 88.92 | 89.85 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-09 | 91.38 | 91.57 | -0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-08 | 83.85 | 85.32 | -0.55 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-04-07 | 85.65 | 86.02 | -0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-04 | 87.65 | 87.37 | -0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-03 | 88.01 | 91.75 | -1.07 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-04-02 | 90.48 | 97.69 | -1.80 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-04-01 | 88.72 | 97.16 | -2.12 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-03-31 | 87.67 | 96.78 | -2.31 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-03-28 | 86.69 | 95.10 | -2.20 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-03-27 | 89.35 | 96.67 | -1.93 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-03-26 | 91.51 | 97.51 | -1.63 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-03-25 | 90.38 | 96.60 | -1.70 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-03-24 | 91.52 | 96.35 | -1.40 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-03-21 | 89.86 | 95.81 | -1.67 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-03-20 | 91.88 | 96.19 | -1.30 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-03-19 | 92.72 | 96.84 | -1.26 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-03-18 | 92.79 | 97.13 | -1.31 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-03-17 | 94.02 | 97.44 | -1.12 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-03-14 | 94.02 | 97.31 | -1.10 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-03-13 | 90.85 | 95.98 | -1.53 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-03-12 | 92.56 | 97.29 | -1.44 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-03-11 | 91.27 | 97.41 | -1.76 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-03-10 | 92.79 | 101.72 | -2.34 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-03-07 | 96.98 | 102.13 | -1.53 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-03-06 | 97.89 | 100.48 | -1.01 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-03-05 | 95.93 | 99.80 | -1.29 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-03-04 | 92.71 | 98.94 | -1.85 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-03-03 | 94.68 | 100.70 | -1.79 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-02-28 | 97.30 | 101.06 | -1.30 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-02-27 | 95.55 | 100.40 | -1.56 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-02-26 | 97.05 | 100.57 | -1.27 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-02-25 | 96.77 | 100.73 | -1.38 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-02-24 | 95.28 | 99.27 | -1.42 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-02-21 | 96.67 | 100.59 | -1.40 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-02-20 | 97.60 | 101.45 | -1.39 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-02-19 | 97.79 | 101.21 | -1.31 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-02-18 | 99.03 | 102.90 | -1.40 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-02-14 | 96.80 | 102.10 | -1.74 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-02-13 | 97.75 | 102.81 | -1.70 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-02-12 | 97.23 | 101.81 | -1.62 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-02-11 | 97.95 | 101.49 | -1.40 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-02-10 | 97.55 | 100.09 | -1.19 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-02-07 | 96.38 | 99.17 | -1.26 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-02-06 | 97.86 | 99.76 | -1.06 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-02-05 | 97.50 | 100.16 | -1.24 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-02-04 | 96.30 | 99.75 | -1.44 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-02-03 | 93.34 | 99.56 | -2.12 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-01-31 | 99.40 | 101.51 | -1.13 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-01-30 | 99.68 | 102.38 | -1.27 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-01-29 | 98.45 | 102.23 | -1.52 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-01-28 | 98.90 | 102.07 | -1.39 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-01-27 | 100.77 | 104.23 | -1.44 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-01-24 | 99.64 | 101.92 | -1.19 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-01-23 | 99.94 | 101.62 | -1.05 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-01-22 | 97.93 | 96.60 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-21 | 97.00 | 96.98 | -0.66 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-01-17 | 93.43 | 95.97 | -1.28 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-01-16 | 93.11 | 96.23 | -1.43 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-01-15 | 92.77 | 94.58 | -1.12 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-01-14 | 92.64 | 93.97 | -1.00 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-01-13 | 92.11 | 92.90 | -0.87 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-01-10 | 93.27 | 92.26 | -0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-08 | 95.15 | 94.97 | -0.63 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-01-07 | 96.32 | 94.44 | -0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-06 | 95.33 | 94.23 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-03 | 92.30 | 94.84 | -1.30 | UNP ahead |
| 2025-01-02 | 92.01 | 93.86 | -1.14 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-12-31 | 90.37 | 93.42 | -1.45 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-12-30 | 89.86 | 93.32 | -1.56 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-12-27 | 90.61 | 94.20 | -1.59 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-12-26 | 91.33 | 94.32 | -1.44 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-12-24 | 91.63 | 94.12 | -1.32 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-12-23 | 91.35 | 93.05 | -1.13 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-12-20 | 90.23 | 92.72 | -1.34 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-12-19 | 88.79 | 91.42 | -1.39 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-12-18 | 91.17 | 91.99 | -0.90 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-12-17 | 91.81 | 94.17 | -1.29 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-12-16 | 92.58 | 95.41 | -1.39 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-12-13 | 92.87 | 96.26 | -1.53 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-12-12 | 93.23 | 95.74 | -1.31 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-12-11 | 95.03 | 95.77 | -0.86 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-12-10 | 94.42 | 97.13 | -1.34 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-12-09 | 94.38 | 95.67 | -0.99 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-12-06 | 94.04 | 95.69 | -1.08 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-12-05 | 95.35 | 96.12 | -0.86 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-12-04 | 95.34 | 96.27 | -0.89 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-12-03 | 94.39 | 97.09 | -1.32 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-12-02 | 95.29 | 98.64 | -1.47 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-11-29 | 95.64 | 100.23 | -1.76 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-11-27 | 94.09 | 100.46 | -2.20 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-11-26 | 92.89 | 100.63 | -2.56 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-11-25 | 96.23 | 102.14 | -2.11 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-11-22 | 95.77 | 99.30 | -1.56 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-11-21 | 93.89 | 97.92 | -1.70 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-11-20 | 91.82 | 95.68 | -1.69 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-11-19 | 92.13 | 95.57 | -1.59 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-11-18 | 92.35 | 96.03 | -1.66 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-11-15 | 92.40 | 96.51 | -1.78 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-11-14 | 94.74 | 96.51 | -1.18 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-11-13 | 94.91 | 98.49 | -1.64 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-11-12 | 96.02 | 97.87 | -1.21 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-11-11 | 96.65 | 99.12 | -1.37 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-11-08 | 96.89 | 98.93 | -1.28 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-11-07 | 98.41 | 99.37 | -1.01 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-11-06 | 98.01 | 101.80 | -1.72 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-11-05 | 99.06 | 95.81 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-04 | 97.54 | 94.19 | +0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-01 | 96.23 | 95.33 | -0.57 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-10-31 | 96.35 | 95.07 | -0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-10-30 | 97.63 | 95.11 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-10-29 | 97.39 | 95.04 | -0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-10-28 | 97.28 | 95.03 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-10-25 | 96.29 | 94.35 | -0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-10-24 | 98.04 | 94.53 | +0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-10-23 | 98.44 | 98.87 | -0.92 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-10-22 | 99.46 | 98.91 | -0.68 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-10-21 | 98.34 | 98.46 | -0.85 | UNP ahead |
| 2024-10-18 | 100.00 | 100.00 | -0.83 | UNP ahead |
One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Nov 6, 2024 (CP -1.1%, UNP +6.3%). Upcoming earnings: CP Oct 28, 2026 (after-hours).
The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart
Forward paper record
No paper position on this pair yet.
Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)
No simulated trade through Oct 20, 2026: the pair rarely passed every test while 2 standard deviations apart.
Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.
CP and UNP at a glance
CP Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 16875
- Industry
- Railroads · SIC 4011 Railroads, Line-Haul Operating
- Market value
- $77.3B
- Price history
- 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
UNP Union Pacific Corporation
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 100885
- Industry
- Railroads · SIC 4011 Railroads, Line-Haul Operating
- Market value
- $170.5B
- Price history
- 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.
Other rivals of CP and UNP
Follow the research behind the paper book
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Explore the private betaPaper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.
