ConocoPhillips vs ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation
WatchlistCOP / XOMPrices through Oct 22, 2026
Why these are rivals: #1 and #3 by market value ($733B vs $174B) in Nasdaq's "Integrated oil Companies" industry; SEC SIC 2911 / 2911 (same major group); #1 and #3 by market value ($733B vs $174B) with SEC SIC 2911 (Petroleum Refining).
Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -2.40 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Business leadership
Business size
Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.
| Year | COP | XOM | Larger |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $58.9B | - | - |
| 2024 | $54.7B | - | - |
| 2023 | $56.1B | - | - |
| 2022 | $78.5B | - | - |
| 2021 | $45.8B | - | - |
| 2020 | $18.8B | - | - |
Market value: COP $174.5B, XOM $733.1B.
Stock leadership
COP is ahead now
Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.
COP leads XOM by 1.36 standard deviations: +4.8% over its usual price ratio. 3 lead switches in the last year.
| Price change | 3 mo | 6 mo | 12 mo |
|---|---|---|---|
| COP | +21.1% | +17.1% | +68.5% |
| XOM | +13.6% | +18.4% | +58.1% |
Relationship
Not a measured twin today
Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.
- Pass
- Aligned sessions: 2520 (needs >= 254)
- Pass
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.81 (needs >= 0.60)
- Fail
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -2.40 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
- Pass
- Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 12.79 (needs <= 63)
- Data
- Both stocks current
The twins over two years
Prices side by side, and the gap between them
COP ConocoPhillips XOM ExxonMobil Holdings CorporationPrice index, 100 = 2024-10-18. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).
Spread z-score: COP relative to XOM, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: COP ahead; below 0: XOM ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).
Data table (504 sessions)
| Date | COP index | XOM index | z | Ahead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | 137.82 | 148.51 | +1.36 | COP ahead |
| 2026-10-21 | 137.85 | 148.40 | +1.40 | COP ahead |
| 2026-10-20 | 138.12 | 148.20 | +1.51 | COP ahead |
| 2026-10-19 | 137.45 | 148.55 | +1.30 | COP ahead |
| 2026-10-16 | 138.65 | 149.14 | +1.45 | COP ahead |
| 2026-10-15 | 134.13 | 145.55 | +1.20 | COP ahead |
| 2026-10-14 | 134.70 | 147.50 | +0.94 | COP ahead |
| 2026-10-13 | 133.34 | 145.05 | +1.14 | COP ahead |
| 2026-10-12 | 130.18 | 143.45 | +0.75 | COP ahead |
| 2026-10-09 | 126.90 | 140.77 | +0.55 | COP ahead |
| 2026-10-08 | 126.99 | 140.40 | +0.63 | COP ahead |
| 2026-10-07 | 122.87 | 136.70 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-06 | 122.41 | 137.06 | +0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-05 | 121.51 | 136.66 | +0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-02 | 119.95 | 136.66 | -0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-01 | 120.24 | 136.51 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-30 | 118.43 | 135.61 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-29 | 118.71 | 134.45 | -0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-28 | 119.28 | 135.42 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-25 | 120.47 | 133.81 | +0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-24 | 122.40 | 135.11 | +0.56 | COP ahead |
| 2026-09-23 | 121.22 | 134.35 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-22 | 118.55 | 132.25 | +0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-21 | 120.69 | 131.91 | +0.81 | COP ahead |
| 2026-09-18 | 124.76 | 136.27 | +0.83 | COP ahead |
| 2026-09-17 | 126.04 | 136.05 | +1.15 | COP ahead |
| 2026-09-16 | 125.43 | 136.09 | +1.00 | COP ahead |
| 2026-09-15 | 133.64 | 141.09 | +1.74 | COP ahead |
| 2026-09-14 | 129.34 | 137.56 | +1.54 | COP ahead |
| 2026-09-11 | 129.98 | 138.31 | +1.52 | COP ahead |
| 2026-09-10 | 129.69 | 137.68 | +1.58 | COP ahead |
| 2026-09-09 | 129.20 | 136.85 | +1.64 | COP ahead |
| 2026-09-08 | 127.79 | 133.87 | +1.93 | COP ahead |
| 2026-09-04 | 127.06 | 132.88 | +1.97 | COP ahead |
| 2026-09-03 | 128.44 | 135.16 | +1.80 | COP ahead |
| 2026-09-02 | 129.84 | 136.78 | +1.75 | COP ahead |
| 2026-09-01 | 128.88 | 137.11 | +1.48 | COP ahead |
| 2026-08-31 | 125.38 | 134.11 | +1.31 | COP ahead |
| 2026-08-28 | 123.36 | 130.58 | +1.56 | COP ahead |
| 2026-08-27 | 122.57 | 130.36 | +1.42 | COP ahead |
| 2026-08-26 | 123.60 | 131.81 | +1.33 | COP ahead |
| 2026-08-25 | 124.77 | 133.86 | +1.16 | COP ahead |
| 2026-08-24 | 126.19 | 136.70 | +0.91 | COP ahead |
| 2026-08-21 | 127.63 | 137.58 | +1.01 | COP ahead |
| 2026-08-20 | 127.65 | 138.45 | +0.84 | COP ahead |
| 2026-08-19 | 123.57 | 137.30 | +0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-18 | 122.76 | 137.96 | -0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-17 | 120.72 | 134.54 | +0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-14 | 119.98 | 133.41 | +0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-13 | 117.84 | 132.16 | -0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-12 | 120.47 | 133.11 | +0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-11 | 119.16 | 133.16 | +0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-10 | 116.43 | 133.15 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-07 | 111.30 | 127.52 | -0.50 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-08-06 | 110.49 | 129.02 | -0.90 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-08-05 | 108.87 | 126.35 | -0.78 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-08-04 | 111.61 | 128.29 | -0.59 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-08-03 | 112.77 | 129.21 | -0.53 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-07-31 | 114.02 | 129.52 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-30 | 112.64 | 130.80 | -0.81 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-07-29 | 111.73 | 130.61 | -0.95 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-07-28 | 107.98 | 127.52 | -1.17 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-07-27 | 109.38 | 128.96 | -1.14 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-07-24 | 113.81 | 130.77 | -0.63 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-07-23 | 113.75 | 130.73 | -0.64 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-07-22 | 112.42 | 128.70 | -0.57 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-07-21 | 111.20 | 126.41 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-20 | 109.47 | 123.62 | -0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-17 | 108.55 | 122.79 | -0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-16 | 106.79 | 121.61 | -0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-15 | 105.48 | 120.41 | -0.54 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-07-14 | 105.87 | 120.90 | -0.55 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-07-13 | 106.79 | 120.41 | -0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-10 | 103.19 | 115.72 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-09 | 102.22 | 114.54 | -0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-08 | 104.78 | 117.60 | -0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-07 | 102.62 | 118.07 | -0.71 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-07-06 | 98.02 | 113.69 | -0.88 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-07-02 | 99.11 | 114.23 | -0.76 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-07-01 | 97.68 | 113.56 | -0.94 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-06-30 | 98.38 | 113.92 | -0.87 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-06-29 | 98.61 | 113.37 | -0.73 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-06-26 | 100.27 | 113.77 | -0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-25 | 100.70 | 114.62 | -0.55 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-06-24 | 101.18 | 114.07 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-23 | 104.07 | 116.43 | -0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-22 | 103.81 | 115.38 | -0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-18 | 101.96 | 114.83 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-17 | 105.24 | 117.27 | -0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-16 | 105.37 | 118.21 | -0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-15 | 106.24 | 117.42 | -0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-12 | 110.70 | 122.50 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-11 | 109.17 | 122.16 | -0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-10 | 113.49 | 125.51 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-09 | 110.52 | 124.08 | -0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-08 | 112.51 | 126.45 | -0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-05 | 110.85 | 124.92 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-04 | 112.83 | 126.69 | -0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-03 | 112.66 | 127.10 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-02 | 110.60 | 124.62 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-01 | 109.38 | 124.47 | -0.61 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-05-29 | 107.86 | 121.04 | -0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-28 | 108.82 | 122.46 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-27 | 108.95 | 123.24 | -0.51 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-05-26 | 110.32 | 124.83 | -0.52 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-05-22 | 114.00 | 129.09 | -0.54 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-05-21 | 114.08 | 129.40 | -0.58 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-05-20 | 115.79 | 130.22 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-19 | 118.40 | 135.45 | -0.75 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-05-18 | 117.86 | 133.73 | -0.60 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-05-15 | 115.84 | 131.59 | -0.63 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-05-14 | 112.59 | 127.31 | -0.55 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-05-13 | 111.10 | 126.30 | -0.65 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-05-12 | 111.55 | 125.51 | -0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-11 | 109.35 | 124.72 | -0.72 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-05-08 | 107.76 | 120.46 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-07 | 108.72 | 122.14 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-06 | 112.52 | 123.90 | -0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-05 | 116.70 | 129.06 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-04 | 118.21 | 128.06 | +0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-01 | 116.58 | 127.28 | +0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-30 | 119.03 | 128.60 | +0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-29 | 121.37 | 128.88 | +0.55 | COP ahead |
| 2026-04-28 | 117.65 | 125.46 | +0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-27 | 115.15 | 123.48 | +0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-24 | 115.23 | 124.08 | +0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-23 | 117.70 | 125.43 | +0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-22 | 116.02 | 124.57 | +0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-21 | 113.81 | 123.62 | +0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-20 | 110.20 | 123.06 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-17 | 109.81 | 122.02 | -0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-16 | 115.05 | 126.64 | -0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-15 | 112.54 | 124.16 | -0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-14 | 112.42 | 124.36 | -0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-13 | 116.99 | 127.19 | +0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-10 | 115.97 | 127.08 | -0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-09 | 116.84 | 129.19 | -0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-08 | 118.50 | 130.17 | -0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-07 | 124.70 | 136.58 | -0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-06 | 124.58 | 136.13 | -0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-02 | 123.52 | 133.90 | +0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-01 | 121.49 | 133.97 | -0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-31 | 124.92 | 141.37 | -0.65 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-03-30 | 125.76 | 142.88 | -0.73 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-03-27 | 126.62 | 142.48 | -0.56 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-03-26 | 126.10 | 137.85 | -0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-25 | 122.01 | 136.04 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-24 | 122.41 | 137.81 | -0.59 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-03-23 | 120.37 | 134.26 | -0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-20 | 120.11 | 133.05 | -0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-19 | 119.26 | 131.79 | -0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-18 | 117.02 | 131.31 | -0.55 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-03-17 | 116.28 | 132.33 | -0.80 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-03-16 | 114.81 | 131.01 | -0.85 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-03-13 | 115.35 | 130.09 | -0.66 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-03-12 | 113.81 | 127.93 | -0.61 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-03-11 | 110.75 | 126.31 | -0.86 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-03-10 | 108.02 | 123.43 | -0.89 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-03-09 | 110.75 | 125.36 | -0.74 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-03-06 | 110.79 | 126.00 | -0.83 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-03-05 | 110.55 | 125.62 | -0.82 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-03-04 | 109.44 | 124.84 | -0.89 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-03-03 | 112.16 | 126.51 | -0.71 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-03-02 | 111.90 | 128.51 | -1.02 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-02-27 | 107.37 | 127.07 | -1.53 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-02-26 | 104.76 | 123.77 | -1.52 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-02-25 | 104.11 | 124.21 | -1.70 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-02-24 | 104.66 | 124.37 | -1.65 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-02-23 | 103.98 | 125.62 | -1.94 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-02-20 | 104.60 | 122.72 | -1.46 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-02-19 | 105.60 | 125.80 | -1.73 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-02-18 | 104.59 | 125.56 | -1.88 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-02-17 | 102.94 | 121.81 | -1.65 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-02-13 | 105.45 | 123.70 | -1.51 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-02-12 | 104.88 | 124.93 | -1.78 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-02-11 | 105.24 | 129.62 | -2.38 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-02-10 | 101.73 | 126.31 | -2.55 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-02-09 | 102.87 | 126.00 | -2.35 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-02-06 | 101.85 | 124.20 | -2.29 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-02-05 | 99.35 | 121.72 | -2.40 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-02-04 | 101.82 | 122.98 | -2.18 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-02-03 | 99.28 | 119.77 | -2.18 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-02-02 | 96.33 | 115.32 | -2.06 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-01-30 | 98.64 | 117.82 | -2.04 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-01-29 | 97.28 | 117.08 | -2.18 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-01-28 | 95.95 | 114.64 | -2.07 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-01-27 | 94.51 | 114.02 | -2.26 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-01-26 | 93.17 | 112.36 | -2.28 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-01-23 | 93.07 | 112.47 | -2.33 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-01-22 | 91.68 | 111.36 | -2.45 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-01-21 | 91.94 | 111.33 | -2.42 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-01-20 | 90.39 | 108.71 | -2.32 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-01-16 | 92.92 | 108.23 | -1.76 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-01-15 | 93.62 | 107.60 | -1.53 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-01-14 | 94.96 | 108.49 | -1.44 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-01-13 | 91.28 | 105.44 | -1.63 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-01-12 | 90.38 | 103.35 | -1.47 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-01-09 | 92.28 | 103.83 | -1.20 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-01-08 | 93.42 | 102.42 | -0.76 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-01-07 | 88.90 | 98.73 | -0.98 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-01-06 | 91.90 | 100.87 | -0.79 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-01-05 | 93.88 | 104.46 | -1.03 | XOM ahead |
| 2026-01-02 | 91.51 | 102.20 | -1.10 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-12-31 | 88.59 | 100.27 | -1.33 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-12-30 | 89.05 | 100.82 | -1.35 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-12-29 | 87.66 | 100.43 | -1.56 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-12-26 | 86.63 | 99.25 | -1.58 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-12-24 | 86.87 | 99.34 | -1.56 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-12-23 | 87.75 | 99.51 | -1.43 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-12-22 | 88.30 | 98.45 | -1.15 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-12-19 | 87.01 | 97.23 | -1.20 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-12-18 | 87.28 | 97.11 | -1.13 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-12-17 | 89.86 | 97.83 | -0.77 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-12-16 | 85.90 | 95.56 | -1.15 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-12-15 | 89.30 | 98.13 | -0.95 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-12-12 | 90.41 | 99.01 | -0.90 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-12-11 | 91.52 | 99.61 | -0.80 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-12-10 | 91.61 | 99.61 | -0.79 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-12-09 | 88.42 | 98.53 | -1.21 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-12-08 | 87.90 | 96.64 | -0.99 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-12-05 | 88.66 | 97.11 | -0.94 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-12-04 | 88.12 | 97.61 | -1.13 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-12-03 | 86.88 | 98.16 | -1.48 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-12-02 | 84.50 | 96.14 | -1.61 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-12-01 | 85.42 | 97.18 | -1.63 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-11-28 | 83.93 | 96.59 | -1.84 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-11-26 | 82.42 | 95.63 | -2.00 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-11-25 | 81.97 | 95.42 | -2.08 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-11-24 | 82.86 | 96.63 | -2.14 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-11-21 | 82.68 | 97.56 | -2.36 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-11-20 | 82.78 | 97.51 | -2.36 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-11-19 | 83.26 | 97.78 | -2.34 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-11-18 | 84.87 | 99.18 | -2.28 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-11-17 | 83.96 | 98.06 | -2.30 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-11-14 | 86.47 | 99.40 | -2.04 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-11-13 | 84.62 | 98.98 | -2.39 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-11-12 | 84.29 | 98.43 | -2.39 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-11-11 | 85.82 | 99.81 | -2.35 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-11-10 | 83.50 | 98.51 | -2.65 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-11-07 | 82.17 | 97.68 | -2.84 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-11-06 | 81.06 | 95.41 | -2.70 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-11-05 | 82.99 | 94.73 | -2.14 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-11-04 | 83.19 | 95.11 | -2.20 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-11-03 | 83.82 | 94.79 | -2.02 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-10-31 | 84.09 | 95.29 | -2.09 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-10-30 | 83.41 | 95.57 | -2.33 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-10-29 | 83.35 | 97.03 | -2.69 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-10-28 | 82.13 | 95.85 | -2.79 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-10-27 | 83.93 | 96.61 | -2.56 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-10-24 | 83.31 | 96.15 | -2.66 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-10-23 | 85.25 | 96.64 | -2.33 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-10-22 | 82.72 | 95.58 | -2.78 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-10-21 | 81.77 | 93.92 | -2.70 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-10-20 | 82.39 | 93.91 | -2.58 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-10-17 | 81.84 | 93.53 | -2.68 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-10-16 | 82.25 | 92.19 | -2.29 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-10-15 | 83.03 | 93.00 | -2.31 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-10-14 | 83.44 | 93.57 | -2.37 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-10-13 | 84.02 | 93.53 | -2.23 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-10-10 | 82.94 | 92.27 | -2.25 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-10-09 | 87.02 | 94.08 | -1.61 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-10-08 | 88.72 | 95.01 | -1.40 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-10-07 | 90.12 | 95.21 | -1.09 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-10-06 | 89.82 | 95.16 | -1.17 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-10-03 | 89.11 | 94.38 | -1.17 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-10-02 | 88.37 | 92.73 | -0.96 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-10-01 | 90.34 | 93.32 | -0.60 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-09-30 | 89.51 | 93.95 | -0.98 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-09-29 | 90.71 | 95.18 | -0.98 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-09-26 | 93.20 | 97.68 | -0.96 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-09-25 | 91.62 | 96.32 | -1.04 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-09-24 | 90.50 | 95.46 | -1.12 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-09-23 | 88.45 | 94.95 | -1.54 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-09-22 | 87.07 | 93.34 | -1.51 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-09-19 | 86.99 | 94.01 | -1.71 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-09-18 | 88.46 | 94.93 | -1.56 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-09-17 | 88.79 | 96.07 | -1.77 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-09-16 | 89.47 | 95.56 | -1.49 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-09-15 | 87.38 | 93.62 | -1.57 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-09-12 | 87.47 | 93.46 | -1.52 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-09-11 | 89.08 | 93.44 | -1.10 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-09-10 | 89.26 | 93.74 | -1.14 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-09-09 | 86.93 | 92.20 | -1.38 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-09-08 | 86.50 | 91.53 | -1.33 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-09-05 | 87.96 | 91.02 | -0.83 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-09-04 | 90.63 | 93.66 | -0.80 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-09-03 | 89.57 | 93.25 | -0.98 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-09-02 | 93.68 | 95.57 | -0.53 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-08-29 | 93.66 | 95.23 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-28 | 93.17 | 94.45 | -0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-27 | 92.65 | 93.95 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-26 | 91.84 | 92.90 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-25 | 92.91 | 93.11 | -0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-22 | 91.59 | 92.73 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-21 | 89.69 | 91.02 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-20 | 89.80 | 90.43 | -0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-19 | 88.73 | 89.51 | -0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-18 | 88.96 | 88.93 | -0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-15 | 90.21 | 88.73 | +0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-14 | 90.52 | 89.48 | +0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-13 | 90.74 | 89.66 | +0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-12 | 89.51 | 88.43 | +0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-11 | 88.51 | 88.18 | -0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-08 | 88.87 | 88.99 | -0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-07 | 87.63 | 88.28 | -0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-06 | 88.11 | 88.75 | -0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-05 | 88.20 | 89.36 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-04 | 87.87 | 89.47 | -0.56 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-08-01 | 87.78 | 91.36 | -1.03 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-07-31 | 90.22 | 93.03 | -0.84 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-07-30 | 91.48 | 93.24 | -0.61 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-07-29 | 92.73 | 94.06 | -0.51 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-07-28 | 91.81 | 92.86 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-25 | 89.86 | 91.99 | -0.72 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-07-24 | 90.49 | 92.32 | -0.65 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-07-23 | 89.94 | 91.60 | -0.62 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-07-22 | 87.99 | 90.44 | -0.81 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-07-21 | 86.12 | 90.03 | -1.16 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-07-18 | 86.72 | 89.80 | -0.98 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-07-17 | 87.83 | 93.04 | -1.44 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-07-16 | 86.60 | 93.52 | -1.83 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-07-15 | 87.58 | 94.08 | -1.74 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-07-14 | 89.12 | 94.93 | -1.57 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-07-11 | 90.48 | 96.18 | -1.54 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-07-10 | 90.25 | 95.77 | -1.51 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-07-09 | 89.46 | 94.83 | -1.50 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-07-08 | 90.65 | 95.15 | -1.32 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-07-07 | 87.58 | 92.58 | -1.46 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-07-03 | 88.65 | 93.49 | -1.43 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-07-02 | 89.37 | 92.53 | -1.08 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-07-01 | 87.05 | 91.03 | -1.28 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-06-30 | 84.92 | 89.83 | -1.50 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-06-27 | 85.33 | 91.14 | -1.70 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-06-26 | 86.01 | 91.65 | -1.66 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-06-25 | 84.22 | 90.30 | -1.79 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-06-24 | 84.59 | 90.28 | -1.72 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-06-23 | 86.79 | 93.11 | -1.83 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-06-20 | 89.61 | 95.58 | -1.73 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-06-18 | 88.77 | 94.32 | -1.67 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-06-17 | 90.38 | 94.99 | -1.48 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-06-16 | 89.90 | 93.73 | -1.33 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-06-13 | 91.76 | 93.43 | -0.90 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-06-12 | 89.61 | 91.43 | -0.95 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-06-11 | 88.34 | 91.08 | -1.14 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-06-10 | 86.29 | 89.34 | -1.23 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-06-09 | 83.32 | 87.47 | -1.49 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-06-06 | 82.54 | 86.88 | -1.56 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-06-05 | 80.77 | 84.85 | -1.53 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-06-04 | 81.34 | 85.24 | -1.50 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-06-03 | 83.19 | 86.49 | -1.36 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-06-02 | 82.07 | 85.87 | -1.49 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-05-30 | 80.77 | 85.24 | -1.65 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-05-29 | 81.01 | 85.57 | -1.68 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-05-28 | 80.04 | 85.08 | -1.80 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-05-27 | 80.96 | 86.26 | -1.85 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-05-23 | 80.62 | 85.85 | -1.86 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-05-22 | 81.51 | 85.80 | -1.66 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-05-21 | 82.47 | 86.38 | -1.58 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-05-20 | 84.88 | 87.45 | -1.30 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-05-19 | 85.56 | 88.72 | -1.42 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-05-16 | 87.47 | 90.15 | -1.32 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-05-15 | 87.97 | 90.48 | -1.29 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-05-14 | 87.60 | 90.39 | -1.36 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-05-13 | 89.12 | 91.21 | -1.22 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-05-12 | 87.32 | 90.96 | -1.53 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-05-09 | 83.84 | 89.42 | -1.95 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-05-08 | 84.05 | 88.38 | -1.71 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-05-07 | 83.00 | 87.17 | -1.70 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-05-06 | 82.93 | 87.25 | -1.74 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-05-05 | 82.91 | 86.05 | -1.51 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-05-02 | 86.51 | 88.50 | -1.28 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-05-01 | 85.79 | 88.14 | -1.35 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-04-30 | 84.34 | 88.02 | -1.61 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-04-29 | 86.95 | 90.29 | -1.53 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-04-28 | 87.94 | 90.52 | -1.39 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-04-25 | 86.80 | 90.47 | -1.61 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-04-24 | 86.87 | 90.52 | -1.61 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-04-23 | 85.10 | 89.47 | -1.76 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-04-22 | 84.94 | 90.24 | -1.94 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-04-21 | 82.85 | 87.78 | -1.91 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-04-17 | 84.21 | 89.09 | -1.89 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-04-16 | 81.73 | 86.82 | -1.97 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-04-15 | 81.12 | 85.91 | -1.93 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-04-14 | 81.81 | 86.15 | -1.85 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-04-11 | 81.75 | 85.94 | -1.83 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-04-10 | 78.82 | 83.27 | -1.92 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-04-09 | 86.60 | 88.16 | -1.35 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-04-08 | 78.22 | 83.97 | -2.18 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-04-07 | 81.07 | 85.78 | -1.97 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-04-04 | 81.66 | 86.94 | -2.08 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-04-03 | 90.14 | 93.68 | -1.72 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-04-02 | 100.41 | 98.88 | -0.90 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-04-01 | 99.74 | 99.19 | -1.05 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-03-31 | 99.38 | 99.10 | -1.10 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-03-28 | 96.88 | 98.10 | -1.33 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-03-27 | 97.30 | 98.23 | -1.29 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-03-26 | 97.66 | 98.55 | -1.29 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-03-25 | 97.05 | 97.15 | -1.18 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-03-24 | 96.71 | 96.49 | -1.14 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-03-21 | 96.45 | 96.24 | -1.15 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-03-20 | 96.82 | 96.58 | -1.15 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-03-19 | 95.89 | 96.17 | -1.24 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-03-18 | 95.14 | 94.69 | -1.14 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-03-17 | 94.03 | 94.79 | -1.33 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-03-14 | 93.64 | 93.24 | -1.16 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-03-13 | 91.03 | 90.55 | -1.16 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-03-12 | 92.50 | 90.93 | -1.00 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-03-11 | 90.29 | 90.96 | -1.36 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-03-10 | 87.92 | 93.16 | -2.10 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-03-07 | 85.77 | 90.84 | -2.12 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-03-06 | 83.85 | 89.68 | -2.29 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-03-05 | 84.11 | 87.86 | -1.97 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-03-04 | 85.78 | 89.61 | -1.99 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-03-03 | 87.66 | 89.79 | -1.72 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-02-28 | 93.83 | 92.77 | -1.21 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-02-27 | 92.15 | 91.78 | -1.33 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-02-26 | 90.97 | 91.21 | -1.43 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-02-25 | 91.87 | 91.43 | -1.33 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-02-24 | 93.52 | 92.72 | -1.29 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-02-21 | 92.68 | 92.23 | -1.35 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-02-20 | 96.53 | 93.33 | -0.94 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-02-19 | 94.23 | 91.91 | -1.08 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-02-18 | 92.22 | 91.78 | -1.38 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-02-14 | 91.09 | 90.19 | -1.31 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-02-13 | 91.70 | 90.10 | -1.21 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-02-12 | 93.12 | 89.45 | -0.89 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-02-11 | 96.25 | 93.05 | -0.99 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-02-10 | 94.14 | 92.47 | -1.23 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-02-07 | 93.08 | 90.73 | -1.13 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-02-06 | 94.58 | 90.35 | -0.84 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-02-05 | 94.83 | 91.56 | -1.00 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-02-04 | 95.18 | 91.63 | -0.97 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-02-03 | 93.20 | 89.23 | -0.90 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-01-31 | 93.53 | 89.02 | -0.82 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-01-30 | 96.02 | 91.30 | -0.81 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-01-29 | 96.11 | 90.55 | -0.69 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-01-28 | 95.94 | 90.03 | -0.64 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-01-27 | 97.18 | 91.80 | -0.74 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-01-24 | 96.37 | 90.54 | -0.67 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-01-23 | 98.41 | 91.78 | -0.58 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-01-22 | 97.53 | 91.27 | -0.63 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-01-21 | 98.68 | 92.88 | -0.71 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-01-17 | 100.17 | 93.59 | -0.62 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-01-16 | 99.94 | 92.76 | -0.54 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-01-15 | 99.82 | 92.92 | -0.58 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-01-14 | 99.25 | 91.43 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-13 | 98.64 | 91.07 | -0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-10 | 96.45 | 88.78 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-08 | 96.17 | 89.10 | -0.54 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-01-07 | 96.21 | 90.62 | -0.76 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-01-06 | 94.62 | 89.78 | -0.87 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-01-03 | 95.67 | 89.88 | -0.74 | XOM ahead |
| 2025-01-02 | 94.71 | 89.42 | -0.81 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-12-31 | 93.85 | 89.63 | -0.97 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-12-30 | 91.88 | 88.13 | -1.03 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-12-27 | 91.72 | 88.73 | -1.14 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-12-26 | 91.69 | 88.73 | -1.15 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-12-24 | 91.90 | 88.66 | -1.12 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-12-23 | 91.21 | 88.58 | -1.21 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-12-20 | 90.02 | 88.22 | -1.33 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-12-19 | 90.07 | 87.92 | -1.29 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-12-18 | 90.71 | 88.68 | -1.32 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-12-17 | 92.99 | 90.00 | -1.21 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-12-16 | 94.23 | 90.38 | -1.10 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-12-13 | 95.60 | 92.36 | -1.20 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-12-12 | 95.50 | 93.18 | -1.33 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-12-11 | 96.71 | 93.26 | -1.20 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-12-10 | 96.87 | 93.88 | -1.27 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-12-09 | 97.62 | 94.08 | -1.21 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-12-06 | 97.68 | 94.63 | -1.28 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-12-05 | 98.84 | 95.64 | -1.28 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-12-04 | 97.96 | 95.23 | -1.35 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-12-03 | 100.36 | 98.05 | -1.42 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-12-02 | 100.44 | 98.20 | -1.44 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-11-29 | 102.53 | 98.29 | -1.21 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-11-27 | 101.63 | 98.04 | -1.30 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-11-26 | 101.05 | 98.30 | -1.41 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-11-25 | 100.41 | 99.97 | -1.72 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-11-22 | 105.75 | 101.48 | -1.27 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-11-21 | 105.90 | 101.60 | -1.28 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-11-20 | 107.34 | 100.26 | -0.95 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-11-19 | 107.02 | 98.85 | -0.82 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-11-18 | 107.66 | 100.25 | -0.93 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-11-15 | 106.29 | 99.42 | -0.99 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-11-14 | 106.86 | 100.46 | -1.06 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-11-13 | 105.82 | 101.22 | -1.29 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-11-12 | 104.70 | 100.28 | -1.31 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-11-11 | 106.04 | 100.38 | -1.18 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-11-08 | 105.60 | 100.92 | -1.31 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-11-07 | 106.37 | 100.95 | -1.23 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-11-06 | 107.53 | 100.82 | -1.09 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-11-05 | 103.35 | 99.13 | -1.38 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-11-04 | 103.02 | 98.83 | -1.40 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-11-01 | 102.05 | 95.78 | -1.13 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-10-31 | 103.66 | 97.31 | -1.14 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-10-30 | 97.45 | 97.23 | -1.93 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-10-29 | 96.83 | 97.73 | -2.10 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-10-28 | 97.72 | 99.08 | -2.19 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-10-25 | 98.95 | 99.57 | -2.12 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-10-24 | 98.77 | 99.65 | -2.18 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-10-23 | 98.90 | 100.22 | -2.27 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-10-22 | 99.37 | 100.57 | -2.29 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-10-21 | 99.36 | 100.06 | -2.25 | XOM ahead |
| 2024-10-18 | 100.00 | 100.00 | -2.19 | XOM ahead |
One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Oct 31, 2024 (COP +6.4%, XOM +0.1%); Mar 11, 2025 (COP +2.7%, XOM -2.4%); Apr 3, 2025 (COP -10.2%, XOM -5.3%); Apr 9, 2025 (COP +10.7%, XOM +5.0%). Upcoming earnings: XOM Oct 30, 2026 (pre-market); COP Nov 5, 2026 (pre-market).
Paired trades
The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart
Forward paper record
No paper position on this pair yet.
Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)
No simulated trade through Oct 20, 2026: the pair rarely passed every test while 2 standard deviations apart.
Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.
The companies
COP and XOM at a glance
COP ConocoPhillips
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 1163165
- Industry
- Integrated oil Companies · SIC 2911 Petroleum Refining
- Market value
- $174.5B
- Price history
- 2,520 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
XOM ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 2115436
- Industry
- Integrated oil Companies · SIC 2911 Petroleum Refining
- Market value
- $733.1B
- Price history
- 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.
Related
All pairs →Other rivals of COP and XOM
Follow the research behind the paper book
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Explore the private betaPaper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.
