Integrated oil Companies

ConocoPhillips vs Chevron Corporation

WatchlistCOP / CVXPrices through Oct 22, 2026

Why these are rivals: #2 and #3 by market value ($443B vs $174B) in Nasdaq's "Integrated oil Companies" industry; SEC SIC 2911 / 2911 (same major group); #2 and #3 by market value ($443B vs $174B) with SEC SIC 2911 (Petroleum Refining).

Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.

  • Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -2.66 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Business leadership

CVX is the larger business

Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.

YearCOPCVXLarger
2025$58.9B$189.0BCVX
2024$54.7B$202.8BCVX
2023$56.1B$200.9BCVX
2022$78.5B$246.3BCVX
2021$45.8B$162.5BCVX
2020$18.8B$94.7BCVX

CVX led in every year with figures for both. Market value: COP $174.5B, CVX $443.3B.

Stock leadership

COP is ahead now

Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.

COP leads CVX by 0.99 standard deviations: +3.9% over its usual price ratio. 3 lead switches in the last year.

Price change3 mo6 mo12 mo
COP+21.1%+17.1%+68.5%
CVX+16.4%+20.8%+47.4%
Relationship

Not a measured twin today

Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.

Pass
Aligned sessions: 2520 (needs >= 254)
Pass
Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.82 (needs >= 0.60)
Fail
Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -2.66 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Pass
Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 13.26 (needs <= 63)
Data
Both stocks current
The twins over two years

Prices side by side, and the gap between them

COP ConocoPhillips CVX Chevron CorporationPrice index, 100 = 2024-10-18. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).
100150Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026COP 138CVX 150
Spread z-score: COP relative to CVX, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: COP ahead; below 0: CVX ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).
-4stop-2idea0+2idea+4stopOct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026
Data table (504 sessions)
DateCOP indexCVX indexzAhead
2026-10-22137.82150.37+0.99COP ahead
2026-10-21137.85150.43+0.99COP ahead
2026-10-20138.12149.72+1.16COP ahead
2026-10-19137.45148.84+1.19COP ahead
2026-10-16138.65149.25+1.35COP ahead
2026-10-15134.13145.49+1.17COP ahead
2026-10-14134.70147.29+0.97COP ahead
2026-10-13133.34144.43+1.22COP ahead
2026-10-12130.18142.62+0.94COP ahead
2026-10-09126.90140.62+0.66COP ahead
2026-10-08126.99140.33+0.73COP ahead
2026-10-07122.87136.09+0.68COP ahead
2026-10-06122.41137.70+0.29near the usual relationship
2026-10-05121.51136.96+0.24near the usual relationship
2026-10-02119.95137.11-0.11near the usual relationship
2026-10-01120.24137.38-0.10near the usual relationship
2026-09-30118.43135.46-0.12near the usual relationship
2026-09-29118.71135.58-0.09near the usual relationship
2026-09-28119.28136.90-0.21near the usual relationship
2026-09-25120.47135.62+0.28near the usual relationship
2026-09-24122.40136.42+0.54COP ahead
2026-09-23121.22136.33+0.31near the usual relationship
2026-09-22118.55134.27+0.14near the usual relationship
2026-09-21120.69135.10+0.44near the usual relationship
2026-09-18124.76138.98+0.57COP ahead
2026-09-17126.04140.34+0.58COP ahead
2026-09-16125.43140.33+0.47near the usual relationship
2026-09-15133.64144.46+1.34COP ahead
2026-09-14129.34140.74+1.18COP ahead
2026-09-11129.98142.00+1.09COP ahead
2026-09-10129.69141.13+1.20COP ahead
2026-09-09129.20141.83+0.99COP ahead
2026-09-08127.79139.17+1.20COP ahead
2026-09-04127.06138.37+1.20COP ahead
2026-09-03128.44140.18+1.16COP ahead
2026-09-02129.84140.48+1.39COP ahead
2026-09-01128.88140.00+1.30COP ahead
2026-08-31125.38136.74+1.20COP ahead
2026-08-28123.36133.90+1.33COP ahead
2026-08-27122.57132.52+1.44COP ahead
2026-08-26123.60132.81+1.62COP ahead
2026-08-25124.77132.60+1.92COP ahead
2026-08-24126.19134.72+1.82COP ahead
2026-08-21127.63136.17+1.86COP ahead
2026-08-20127.65136.50+1.82COP ahead
2026-08-19123.57136.49+0.97COP ahead
2026-08-18122.76136.48+0.80COP ahead
2026-08-17120.72134.46+0.75COP ahead
2026-08-14119.98132.67+0.95COP ahead
2026-08-13117.84131.14+0.78COP ahead
2026-08-12120.47130.41+1.53COP ahead
2026-08-11119.16130.45+1.24COP ahead
2026-08-10116.43129.29+0.87COP ahead
2026-08-07111.30123.75+0.84COP ahead
2026-08-06110.49125.53+0.26near the usual relationship
2026-08-05108.87123.66+0.27near the usual relationship
2026-08-04111.61126.30+0.37near the usual relationship
2026-08-03112.77128.15+0.25near the usual relationship
2026-07-31114.02130.57+0.04near the usual relationship
2026-07-30112.64127.57+0.34near the usual relationship
2026-07-29111.73127.27+0.18near the usual relationship
2026-07-28107.98124.43-0.13near the usual relationship
2026-07-27109.38126.04-0.13near the usual relationship
2026-07-24113.81129.21+0.27near the usual relationship
2026-07-23113.75128.97+0.31near the usual relationship
2026-07-22112.42128.01+0.19near the usual relationship
2026-07-21111.20126.75+0.17near the usual relationship
2026-07-20109.47125.84-0.06near the usual relationship
2026-07-17108.55124.30+0.04near the usual relationship
2026-07-16106.79121.96+0.11near the usual relationship
2026-07-15105.48120.46+0.11near the usual relationship
2026-07-14105.87120.57+0.19near the usual relationship
2026-07-13106.79120.86+0.36near the usual relationship
2026-07-10103.19117.01+0.30near the usual relationship
2026-07-09102.22115.46+0.41near the usual relationship
2026-07-08104.78116.73+0.78COP ahead
2026-07-07102.62115.43+0.52COP ahead
2026-07-0698.02111.51+0.21near the usual relationship
2026-07-0299.11112.24+0.33near the usual relationship
2026-07-0197.68109.91+0.50COP ahead
2026-06-3098.38109.96+0.68COP ahead
2026-06-2998.61111.75+0.31near the usual relationship
2026-06-26100.27113.47+0.35near the usual relationship
2026-06-25100.70114.26+0.27near the usual relationship
2026-06-24101.18113.73+0.52COP ahead
2026-06-23104.07116.74+0.58COP ahead
2026-06-22103.81116.13+0.65COP ahead
2026-06-18101.96115.18+0.38near the usual relationship
2026-06-17105.24117.80+0.62COP ahead
2026-06-16105.37119.48+0.27near the usual relationship
2026-06-15106.24119.67+0.43near the usual relationship
2026-06-12110.70124.19+0.53COP ahead
2026-06-11109.17123.26+0.36near the usual relationship
2026-06-10113.49125.90+0.82COP ahead
2026-06-09110.52123.89+0.55COP ahead
2026-06-08112.51125.53+0.67COP ahead
2026-06-05110.85124.25+0.56COP ahead
2026-06-04112.83124.94+0.87COP ahead
2026-06-03112.66125.84+0.65COP ahead
2026-06-02110.60124.41+0.46near the usual relationship
2026-06-01109.38123.27+0.42near the usual relationship
2026-05-29107.86121.03+0.53COP ahead
2026-05-28108.82121.41+0.68COP ahead
2026-05-27108.95121.00+0.80COP ahead
2026-05-26110.32122.53+0.79COP ahead
2026-05-22114.00126.99+0.72COP ahead
2026-05-21114.08126.71+0.78COP ahead
2026-05-20115.79126.92+1.12COP ahead
2026-05-19118.40130.85+0.90COP ahead
2026-05-18117.86130.10+0.93COP ahead
2026-05-15115.84126.77+1.14COP ahead
2026-05-14112.59123.81+1.01COP ahead
2026-05-13111.10123.38+0.75COP ahead
2026-05-12111.55123.35+0.86COP ahead
2026-05-11109.35122.55+0.52COP ahead
2026-05-08107.76120.48+0.57COP ahead
2026-05-07108.72121.06+0.67COP ahead
2026-05-06112.52122.83+1.16COP ahead
2026-05-05116.70127.79+1.08COP ahead
2026-05-04118.21127.55+1.43COP ahead
2026-05-01116.58126.45+1.30COP ahead
2026-04-30119.03128.23+1.47COP ahead
2026-04-29121.37127.51+2.08COP ahead
2026-04-28117.65124.95+1.82COP ahead
2026-04-27115.15122.57+1.76COP ahead
2026-04-24115.23122.86+1.72COP ahead
2026-04-23117.70124.44+1.93COP ahead
2026-04-22116.02123.60+1.75COP ahead
2026-04-21113.81123.37+1.32COP ahead
2026-04-20110.20121.56+0.89COP ahead
2026-04-17109.81122.05+0.70COP ahead
2026-04-16115.05124.81+1.30COP ahead
2026-04-15112.54122.66+1.19COP ahead
2026-04-14112.42124.06+0.88COP ahead
2026-04-13116.99127.22+1.25COP ahead
2026-04-10115.97125.07+1.47COP ahead
2026-04-09116.84126.28+1.43COP ahead
2026-04-08118.50127.95+1.47COP ahead
2026-04-07124.70133.69+1.66COP ahead
2026-04-06124.58131.91+1.99COP ahead
2026-04-02123.52131.99+1.77COP ahead
2026-04-01121.49130.95+1.56COP ahead
2026-03-31124.92137.25+1.08COP ahead
2026-03-30125.76139.77+0.79COP ahead
2026-03-27126.62140.07+0.91COP ahead
2026-03-26126.10137.84+1.23COP ahead
2026-03-25122.01136.09+0.71COP ahead
2026-03-24122.41137.17+0.59COP ahead
2026-03-23120.37136.13+0.35near the usual relationship
2026-03-20120.11133.82+0.74COP ahead
2026-03-19119.26133.63+0.59COP ahead
2026-03-18117.02131.75+0.47near the usual relationship
2026-03-17116.28131.32+0.39near the usual relationship
2026-03-16114.81130.57+0.20near the usual relationship
2026-03-13115.35130.56+0.32near the usual relationship
2026-03-12113.81130.66-0.05near the usual relationship
2026-03-11110.75127.22-0.06near the usual relationship
2026-03-10108.02123.58+0.06near the usual relationship
2026-03-09110.75125.67+0.27near the usual relationship
2026-03-06110.79126.00+0.22near the usual relationship
2026-03-05110.55125.97+0.17near the usual relationship
2026-03-04109.44123.40+0.44near the usual relationship
2026-03-03112.16125.22+0.69COP ahead
2026-03-02111.90125.77+0.52COP ahead
2026-02-27107.37123.89-0.15near the usual relationship
2026-02-26104.76122.16-0.42near the usual relationship
2026-02-25104.11122.20-0.59CVX ahead
2026-02-24104.66122.95-0.62CVX ahead
2026-02-23103.98122.66-0.73CVX ahead
2026-02-20104.60122.01-0.45near the usual relationship
2026-02-19105.60122.57-0.33near the usual relationship
2026-02-18104.59121.97-0.45near the usual relationship
2026-02-17102.94119.77-0.39near the usual relationship
2026-02-13105.45121.88-0.23near the usual relationship
2026-02-12104.88121.00-0.19near the usual relationship
2026-02-11105.24123.26-0.58CVX ahead
2026-02-10101.73120.90-0.95CVX ahead
2026-02-09102.87121.13-0.72CVX ahead
2026-02-06101.85119.97-0.74CVX ahead
2026-02-0599.35118.89-1.14CVX ahead
2026-02-04101.82120.22-0.81CVX ahead
2026-02-0399.28118.10-1.00CVX ahead
2026-02-0296.33115.44-1.20CVX ahead
2026-01-3098.64117.35-1.02CVX ahead
2026-01-2997.28113.56-0.56CVX ahead
2026-01-2895.95112.72-0.73CVX ahead
2026-01-2794.51112.14-0.98CVX ahead
2026-01-2693.17111.11-1.11CVX ahead
2026-01-2393.07110.59-1.02CVX ahead
2026-01-2291.68110.55-1.39CVX ahead
2026-01-2191.94110.60-1.34CVX ahead
2026-01-2090.39109.65-1.55CVX ahead
2026-01-1692.92110.29-1.04CVX ahead
2026-01-1593.62110.22-0.85CVX ahead
2026-01-1494.96110.94-0.67CVX ahead
2026-01-1391.28108.70-1.13CVX ahead
2026-01-1290.38107.69-1.15CVX ahead
2026-01-0992.28107.54-0.64CVX ahead
2026-01-0893.42105.64+0.05near the usual relationship
2026-01-0788.90102.95-0.50CVX ahead
2026-01-0691.90103.84+0.05near the usual relationship
2026-01-0593.88108.69-0.51CVX ahead
2026-01-0291.51103.42+0.03near the usual relationship
2025-12-3188.59101.10-0.20near the usual relationship
2025-12-3089.05101.03-0.08near the usual relationship
2025-12-2987.66100.16-0.24near the usual relationship
2025-12-2686.6399.52-0.36near the usual relationship
2025-12-2486.8799.83-0.37near the usual relationship
2025-12-2387.7599.84-0.17near the usual relationship
2025-12-2288.3099.37+0.06near the usual relationship
2025-12-1987.0198.01+0.04near the usual relationship
2025-12-1887.2897.97+0.10near the usual relationship
2025-12-1789.8699.18+0.46near the usual relationship
2025-12-1685.9097.35-0.10near the usual relationship
2025-12-1589.3099.37+0.27near the usual relationship
2025-12-1290.4199.50+0.51COP ahead
2025-12-1191.5299.98+0.66COP ahead
2025-12-1091.61100.44+0.57COP ahead
2025-12-0988.4298.50+0.24near the usual relationship
2025-12-0887.9098.65+0.08near the usual relationship
2025-12-0588.6699.50+0.08near the usual relationship
2025-12-0488.12101.00-0.36near the usual relationship
2025-12-0386.88100.56-0.57CVX ahead
2025-12-0284.5099.67-0.96CVX ahead
2025-12-0185.42101.19-1.06CVX ahead
2025-11-2883.93100.25-1.24CVX ahead
2025-11-2682.4299.18-1.40CVX ahead
2025-11-2581.9798.53-1.38CVX ahead
2025-11-2482.8699.34-1.33CVX ahead
2025-11-2182.6899.49-1.41CVX ahead
2025-11-2082.7899.71-1.44CVX ahead
2025-11-1983.26100.63-1.51CVX ahead
2025-11-1884.87101.90-1.39CVX ahead
2025-11-1783.96102.70-1.76CVX ahead
2025-11-1486.47104.56-1.54CVX ahead
2025-11-1384.62103.20-1.71CVX ahead
2025-11-1284.29101.70-1.51CVX ahead
2025-11-1185.82103.64-1.53CVX ahead
2025-11-1083.50103.25-1.99CVX ahead
2025-11-0782.17102.83-2.23CVX ahead
2025-11-0681.06101.45-2.25CVX ahead
2025-11-0582.99101.27-1.78CVX ahead
2025-11-0483.19101.75-1.83CVX ahead
2025-11-0383.82102.18-1.78CVX ahead
2025-10-3184.09104.62-2.19CVX ahead
2025-10-3083.41101.84-1.85CVX ahead
2025-10-2983.35102.89-2.08CVX ahead
2025-10-2882.13102.24-2.26CVX ahead
2025-10-2783.93103.00-2.01CVX ahead
2025-10-2483.31103.19-2.21CVX ahead
2025-10-2385.25103.85-1.91CVX ahead
2025-10-2282.72103.20-2.39CVX ahead
2025-10-2181.77102.02-2.42CVX ahead
2025-10-2082.39102.47-2.39CVX ahead
2025-10-1781.84101.55-2.37CVX ahead
2025-10-1682.25100.64-2.11CVX ahead
2025-10-1583.03100.90-1.98CVX ahead
2025-10-1483.44101.09-1.93CVX ahead
2025-10-1384.02100.79-1.74CVX ahead
2025-10-1082.9498.77-1.60CVX ahead
2025-10-0987.02100.59-1.05CVX ahead
2025-10-0888.72101.98-0.94CVX ahead
2025-10-0790.12102.76-0.80CVX ahead
2025-10-0689.82102.17-0.76CVX ahead
2025-10-0389.11101.86-0.85CVX ahead
2025-10-0288.37101.74-0.99CVX ahead
2025-10-0190.34102.54-0.75CVX ahead
2025-09-3089.51103.01-0.99CVX ahead
2025-09-2990.71103.55-0.86CVX ahead
2025-09-2693.20106.24-0.84CVX ahead
2025-09-2591.62106.61-1.19CVX ahead
2025-09-2490.50105.59-1.24CVX ahead
2025-09-2388.45104.42-1.43CVX ahead
2025-09-2287.07103.52-1.55CVX ahead
2025-09-1986.99103.62-1.59CVX ahead
2025-09-1888.46105.37-1.60CVX ahead
2025-09-1788.79106.20-1.67CVX ahead
2025-09-1689.47105.83-1.50CVX ahead
2025-09-1587.38104.35-1.67CVX ahead
2025-09-1287.47104.22-1.64CVX ahead
2025-09-1189.08104.98-1.47CVX ahead
2025-09-1089.26104.67-1.39CVX ahead
2025-09-0986.93102.72-1.52CVX ahead
2025-09-0886.50102.16-1.52CVX ahead
2025-09-0587.96101.93-1.23CVX ahead
2025-09-0490.63104.60-1.17CVX ahead
2025-09-0389.57104.85-1.39CVX ahead
2025-09-0293.68107.35-1.07CVX ahead
2025-08-2993.66106.53-0.96CVX ahead
2025-08-2893.17105.68-0.93CVX ahead
2025-08-2792.65105.63-1.01CVX ahead
2025-08-2691.84104.38-0.97CVX ahead
2025-08-2592.91104.94-0.88CVX ahead
2025-08-2291.59104.93-1.10CVX ahead
2025-08-2189.69103.18-1.16CVX ahead
2025-08-2089.80101.64-0.94CVX ahead
2025-08-1988.73100.83-1.00CVX ahead
2025-08-1888.96103.03-1.28CVX ahead
2025-08-1590.21103.85-1.20CVX ahead
2025-08-1490.52102.93-1.03CVX ahead
2025-08-1390.74103.40-1.07CVX ahead
2025-08-1289.51102.45-1.14CVX ahead
2025-08-1188.51101.79-1.21CVX ahead
2025-08-0888.87102.83-1.31CVX ahead
2025-08-0787.63101.60-1.34CVX ahead
2025-08-0688.11101.35-1.24CVX ahead
2025-08-0588.20101.52-1.27CVX ahead
2025-08-0487.87100.19-1.14CVX ahead
2025-08-0187.78100.43-1.20CVX ahead
2025-07-3190.22100.59-0.85CVX ahead
2025-07-3091.48101.86-0.83CVX ahead
2025-07-2992.73104.17-0.96CVX ahead
2025-07-2891.81103.67-1.05CVX ahead
2025-07-2589.86102.71-1.23CVX ahead
2025-07-2490.49103.37-1.23CVX ahead
2025-07-2389.94101.57-1.08CVX ahead
2025-07-2287.9999.53-1.11CVX ahead
2025-07-2186.1299.29-1.39CVX ahead
2025-07-1886.7299.53-1.33CVX ahead
2025-07-1787.83100.42-1.29CVX ahead
2025-07-1686.6099.45-1.36CVX ahead
2025-07-1587.5899.96-1.29CVX ahead
2025-07-1489.12100.60-1.14CVX ahead
2025-07-1190.48103.02-1.27CVX ahead
2025-07-1090.25102.27-1.22CVX ahead
2025-07-0989.46101.51-1.24CVX ahead
2025-07-0890.65101.65-1.09CVX ahead
2025-07-0787.5897.78-1.03CVX ahead
2025-07-0388.6598.42-0.96CVX ahead
2025-07-0289.3798.16-0.82CVX ahead
2025-07-0187.0596.56-0.96CVX ahead
2025-06-3084.9294.99-1.09CVX ahead
2025-06-2785.3395.38-1.09CVX ahead
2025-06-2686.0195.81-1.05CVX ahead
2025-06-2584.2295.01-1.24CVX ahead
2025-06-2484.5995.22-1.22CVX ahead
2025-06-2386.7997.42-1.19CVX ahead
2025-06-2089.6199.20-1.00CVX ahead
2025-06-1888.7798.30-1.01CVX ahead
2025-06-1790.3898.74-0.82CVX ahead
2025-06-1689.9096.87-0.63CVX ahead
2025-06-1391.7696.79-0.34near the usual relationship
2025-06-1289.6196.17-0.59CVX ahead
2025-06-1188.3496.04-0.77CVX ahead
2025-06-1086.2995.09-0.97CVX ahead
2025-06-0983.3293.37-1.22CVX ahead
2025-06-0682.5493.01-1.31CVX ahead
2025-06-0580.7790.81-1.29CVX ahead
2025-06-0481.3491.12-1.25CVX ahead
2025-06-0383.1992.57-1.16CVX ahead
2025-06-0282.0791.44-1.19CVX ahead
2025-05-3080.7790.68-1.31CVX ahead
2025-05-2981.0191.48-1.41CVX ahead
2025-05-2880.0490.23-1.39CVX ahead
2025-05-2780.9691.43-1.43CVX ahead
2025-05-2380.6290.57-1.37CVX ahead
2025-05-2281.5189.74-1.08CVX ahead
2025-05-2182.4789.92-0.95CVX ahead
2025-05-2084.8891.06-0.73CVX ahead
2025-05-1985.5691.87-0.74CVX ahead
2025-05-1687.4794.26-0.80CVX ahead
2025-05-1587.9794.37-0.74CVX ahead
2025-05-1487.6093.98-0.75CVX ahead
2025-05-1389.1294.43-0.58CVX ahead
2025-05-1287.3293.94-0.80CVX ahead
2025-05-0983.8491.87-1.07CVX ahead
2025-05-0884.0590.91-0.89CVX ahead
2025-05-0783.0090.08-0.95CVX ahead
2025-05-0682.9389.95-0.95CVX ahead
2025-05-0582.9189.88-0.95CVX ahead
2025-05-0286.5191.87-0.67CVX ahead
2025-05-0185.7990.39-0.56CVX ahead
2025-04-3084.3490.26-0.78CVX ahead
2025-04-2986.9592.40-0.69CVX ahead
2025-04-2887.9492.94-0.62CVX ahead
2025-04-2586.8092.03-0.67CVX ahead
2025-04-2486.8792.25-0.70CVX ahead
2025-04-2385.1090.67-0.75CVX ahead
2025-04-2284.9491.08-0.84CVX ahead
2025-04-2182.8588.71-0.83CVX ahead
2025-04-1784.2191.46-1.02CVX ahead
2025-04-1681.7389.79-1.18CVX ahead
2025-04-1581.1289.25-1.20CVX ahead
2025-04-1481.8189.76-1.17CVX ahead
2025-04-1181.7589.97-1.22CVX ahead
2025-04-1078.8289.54-1.63CVX ahead
2025-04-0986.6096.87-1.45CVX ahead
2025-04-0878.2290.83-1.93CVX ahead
2025-04-0781.0792.97-1.79CVX ahead
2025-04-0481.6695.04-1.99CVX ahead
2025-04-0390.14103.56-1.84CVX ahead
2025-04-02100.41110.43-1.30CVX ahead
2025-04-0199.74111.78-1.55CVX ahead
2025-03-3199.38110.97-1.51CVX ahead
2025-03-2896.88110.18-1.76CVX ahead
2025-03-2797.30110.55-1.76CVX ahead
2025-03-2697.66111.42-1.83CVX ahead
2025-03-2597.05110.08-1.77CVX ahead
2025-03-2496.71109.47-1.76CVX ahead
2025-03-2196.45109.29-1.79CVX ahead
2025-03-2096.82109.30-1.76CVX ahead
2025-03-1995.89108.82-1.85CVX ahead
2025-03-1895.14106.67-1.71CVX ahead
2025-03-1794.03105.29-1.71CVX ahead
2025-03-1493.64104.16-1.64CVX ahead
2025-03-1391.03101.90-1.74CVX ahead
2025-03-1292.50101.27-1.47CVX ahead
2025-03-1190.29102.21-1.93CVX ahead
2025-03-1087.92104.52-2.62CVX ahead
2025-03-0785.77103.71-2.91CVX ahead
2025-03-0683.85101.46-2.98CVX ahead
2025-03-0584.11100.04-2.80CVX ahead
2025-03-0485.78100.83-2.68CVX ahead
2025-03-0387.66101.55-2.52CVX ahead
2025-02-2893.83105.22-2.07CVX ahead
2025-02-2792.15103.93-2.19CVX ahead
2025-02-2690.97102.91-2.26CVX ahead
2025-02-2591.87103.76-2.27CVX ahead
2025-02-2493.52104.74-2.17CVX ahead
2025-02-2192.68104.09-2.24CVX ahead
2025-02-2096.53105.33-1.82CVX ahead
2025-02-1994.23104.30-2.07CVX ahead
2025-02-1892.22103.59-2.33CVX ahead
2025-02-1491.09103.04-2.48CVX ahead
2025-02-1391.70103.40-2.47CVX ahead
2025-02-1293.12102.75-2.15CVX ahead
2025-02-1196.25104.44-1.90CVX ahead
2025-02-1094.14103.33-2.11CVX ahead
2025-02-0793.08101.24-1.99CVX ahead
2025-02-0694.58100.76-1.66CVX ahead
2025-02-0594.83101.49-1.75CVX ahead
2025-02-0495.18101.64-1.73CVX ahead
2025-02-0393.2099.06-1.67CVX ahead
2025-01-3193.5398.97-1.61CVX ahead
2025-01-3096.02103.69-1.98CVX ahead
2025-01-2996.11103.28-1.92CVX ahead
2025-01-2895.94103.62-2.03CVX ahead
2025-01-2797.18104.30-1.95CVX ahead
2025-01-2496.37103.25-1.94CVX ahead
2025-01-2398.41103.49-1.63CVX ahead
2025-01-2297.53103.75-1.85CVX ahead
2025-01-2198.68104.97-1.87CVX ahead
2025-01-17100.17107.11-1.99CVX ahead
2025-01-1699.94105.72-1.81CVX ahead
2025-01-1599.82105.03-1.74CVX ahead
2025-01-1499.25104.08-1.69CVX ahead
2025-01-1398.64103.05-1.64CVX ahead
2025-01-1096.45101.59-1.81CVX ahead
2025-01-0896.1799.70-1.53CVX ahead
2025-01-0796.2199.23-1.45CVX ahead
2025-01-0694.6297.68-1.48CVX ahead
2025-01-0395.6798.08-1.36CVX ahead
2025-01-0294.7197.32-1.41CVX ahead
2024-12-3193.8596.08-1.36CVX ahead
2024-12-3091.8894.91-1.54CVX ahead
2024-12-2791.7295.52-1.71CVX ahead
2024-12-2691.6995.51-1.73CVX ahead
2024-12-2491.9095.42-1.68CVX ahead
2024-12-2391.2194.84-1.73CVX ahead
2024-12-2090.0294.76-1.99CVX ahead
2024-12-1990.0793.63-1.76CVX ahead
2024-12-1890.7195.58-2.05CVX ahead
2024-12-1792.9998.25-2.13CVX ahead
2024-12-1694.2399.08-2.06CVX ahead
2024-12-1395.60102.07-2.40CVX ahead
2024-12-1295.50102.63-2.57CVX ahead
2024-12-1196.71103.62-2.55CVX ahead
2024-12-1096.87104.15-2.67CVX ahead
2024-12-0997.62104.20-2.56CVX ahead
2024-12-0697.68102.98-2.34CVX ahead
2024-12-0598.84105.69-2.68CVX ahead
2024-12-0497.96105.02-2.78CVX ahead
2024-12-03100.36107.41-2.79CVX ahead
2024-12-02100.44107.60-2.86CVX ahead
2024-11-29102.53107.42-2.41CVX ahead
2024-11-27101.63107.54-2.67CVX ahead
2024-11-26101.05107.81-2.91CVX ahead
2024-11-25100.41106.37-2.80CVX ahead
2024-11-22105.75107.70-1.92CVX ahead
2024-11-21105.90107.22-1.80CVX ahead
2024-11-20107.34107.02-1.46CVX ahead
2024-11-19107.02105.87-1.29CVX ahead
2024-11-18107.66106.64-1.33CVX ahead
2024-11-15106.29107.08-1.73CVX ahead
2024-11-14106.86107.33-1.68CVX ahead
2024-11-13105.82105.29-1.47CVX ahead
2024-11-12104.70103.01-1.22CVX ahead
2024-11-11106.04103.81-1.12CVX ahead
2024-11-08105.60104.10-1.29CVX ahead
2024-11-07106.37103.99-1.11CVX ahead
2024-11-06107.53104.62-1.00CVX ahead
2024-11-05103.35101.76-1.28CVX ahead
2024-11-04103.02102.14-1.45CVX ahead
2024-11-01102.05101.54-1.54CVX ahead
2024-10-31103.6698.72-0.55CVX ahead
2024-10-3097.4598.21-1.85CVX ahead
2024-10-2996.8398.52-2.08CVX ahead
2024-10-2897.7299.86-2.21CVX ahead
2024-10-2598.95100.04-1.99CVX ahead
2024-10-2498.7799.80-2.00CVX ahead
2024-10-2398.9099.82-2.00CVX ahead
2024-10-2299.37100.11-1.98CVX ahead
2024-10-2199.36100.09-2.00CVX ahead
2024-10-18100.00100.00-1.84CVX ahead

One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Oct 31, 2024 (COP +6.4%, CVX +0.5%); Nov 1, 2024 (COP -1.6%, CVX +2.9%); Nov 25, 2024 (COP -5.1%, CVX -1.2%); Mar 11, 2025 (COP +2.7%, CVX -2.2%). Upcoming earnings: CVX Oct 30, 2026 (pre-market); COP Nov 5, 2026 (pre-market).

Paired trades

The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart

Forward paper record

No paper position on this pair yet.

Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)

1 simulated trade to Oct 20, 2026: -17.12% per trade on average after costs, 0 won.

LegsEnteredExitedWhyDaysBefore costsCosts + borrowAfter costs
Long CVX · Short COPFeb 17, 2021Sep 16, 2021divergence stop211-$1,746.67-$65.57-$1,712.25 (-17.12%)

Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.

The companies

COP and CVX at a glance

COP ConocoPhillips

Listing
NYSE · SEC CIK 1163165
Industry
Integrated oil Companies · SIC 2911 Petroleum Refining
Market value
$174.5B
Price history
2,520 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026

CVX Chevron Corporation

Listing
NYSE · SEC CIK 93410
Industry
Integrated oil Companies · SIC 2911 Petroleum Refining
Market value
$443.3B
Price history
2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026

Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.

Related
All pairs →
PairStatusAhead nowIndustry
XOM / CVXMeasured twinCVX by 0.33 sdIntegrated oil Companies
XOM / COPWatchlistCOP by 1.36 sdIntegrated oil Companies

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Paper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.