Casey's General Stores Inc. vs Carvana Co.
WatchlistCASY / CVNAPrices through Oct 22, 2026
Why these are rivals: #1 and #2 by market value ($65B vs $26B) in Nasdaq's "Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations" industry; SEC SIC 5500 / 5500 (same major group); #1 and #2 by market value ($65B vs $26B) with SEC SIC 5500 (Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations).
Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: -0.03 (needs >= 0.60)
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.51 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Business leadership
CVNA is the larger business
Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.
| Year | CASY | CVNA | Larger |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $17.6B | $20.3B | CVNA |
| 2024 | $15.9B | $13.7B | CASY |
| 2023 | $14.9B | $10.8B | CASY |
| 2022 | $15.1B | $13.6B | CASY |
| 2021 | $13.0B | $12.8B | CASY |
| 2020 | $8.7B | $5.6B | CASY |
Revenue lead switched: 2025 to CVNA. Market value: CASY $25.6B, CVNA $64.6B.
Stock leadership
CASY is ahead now
Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.
CASY leads CVNA by 0.96 standard deviations: +24.6% over its usual price ratio. 3 lead switches in the last year.
| Price change | 3 mo | 6 mo | 12 mo |
|---|---|---|---|
| CASY | -17.2% | -9.6% | +30.2% |
| CVNA | -2.9% | -27.2% | -17.5% |
Relationship
Not a measured twin today
Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.
- Pass
- Aligned sessions: 2385 (needs >= 254)
- Fail
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: -0.03 (needs >= 0.60)
- Fail
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.51 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
- Pass
- Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 32.67 (needs <= 63)
- Data
- Both stocks current
The twins over two years
Prices side by side, and the gap between them
CASY Casey's General Stores Inc. CVNA Carvana Co.Price index, 100 = 2024-10-18. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).
Spread z-score: CASY relative to CVNA, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: CASY ahead; below 0: CVNA ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).
Data table (504 sessions)
| Date | CASY index | CVNA index | z | Ahead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | 182.92 | 153.47 | +0.96 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-10-21 | 178.19 | 154.70 | +0.81 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-10-20 | 175.45 | 157.49 | +0.67 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-10-19 | 177.81 | 153.44 | +0.85 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-10-16 | 176.66 | 153.76 | +0.82 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-10-15 | 172.66 | 158.43 | +0.60 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-10-14 | 167.53 | 151.48 | +0.66 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-10-13 | 164.49 | 157.83 | +0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-12 | 165.51 | 155.53 | +0.51 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-10-09 | 165.65 | 166.56 | +0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-08 | 164.62 | 165.18 | +0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-07 | 162.31 | 164.03 | +0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-06 | 159.12 | 166.95 | +0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-05 | 158.23 | 166.54 | +0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-02 | 158.34 | 166.67 | +0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-01 | 158.79 | 164.76 | +0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-30 | 155.96 | 163.45 | +0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-29 | 153.76 | 166.27 | -0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-28 | 155.39 | 158.04 | +0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-25 | 153.39 | 170.04 | -0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-24 | 153.49 | 167.74 | -0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-23 | 153.10 | 167.14 | -0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-22 | 149.90 | 170.93 | -0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-21 | 150.03 | 175.58 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-18 | 153.14 | 170.17 | -0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-17 | 155.70 | 172.08 | -0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-16 | 150.97 | 170.93 | -0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-15 | 150.49 | 174.85 | -0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-14 | 159.33 | 185.22 | -0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-11 | 157.75 | 180.75 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-10 | 160.87 | 183.68 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-09 | 161.23 | 191.86 | -0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-08 | 188.00 | 195.29 | +0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-04 | 193.79 | 194.95 | +0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-03 | 194.39 | 191.91 | +0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-02 | 193.15 | 193.82 | +0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-01 | 196.57 | 188.65 | +0.51 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-08-31 | 192.80 | 191.99 | +0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-28 | 193.64 | 193.51 | +0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-27 | 195.66 | 193.64 | +0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-26 | 206.87 | 193.27 | +0.64 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-08-25 | 211.44 | 198.03 | +0.63 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-08-24 | 218.94 | 189.04 | +0.97 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-08-21 | 214.21 | 182.71 | +1.02 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-08-20 | 212.32 | 186.92 | +0.90 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-08-19 | 214.32 | 184.10 | +1.01 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-08-18 | 219.15 | 169.88 | +1.43 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-08-17 | 222.99 | 183.18 | +1.21 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-08-14 | 216.96 | 197.56 | +0.80 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-08-13 | 218.83 | 192.62 | +0.95 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-08-12 | 215.05 | 189.43 | +0.95 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-08-11 | 212.72 | 188.18 | +0.94 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-08-10 | 219.01 | 193.82 | +0.95 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-08-07 | 213.75 | 185.17 | +1.04 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-08-06 | 213.36 | 178.61 | +1.19 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-08-05 | 218.60 | 181.59 | +1.23 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-08-04 | 218.03 | 177.80 | +1.31 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-08-03 | 220.52 | 172.83 | +1.49 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-07-31 | 223.25 | 162.98 | +1.79 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-07-30 | 222.35 | 160.58 | +1.86 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-07-29 | 222.26 | 173.33 | +1.56 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-07-28 | 219.62 | 172.68 | +1.54 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-07-27 | 218.73 | 167.37 | +1.67 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-07-24 | 220.85 | 158.02 | +1.97 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-07-23 | 224.34 | 157.31 | +2.08 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-07-22 | 219.59 | 164.00 | +1.84 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-07-21 | 219.98 | 171.40 | +1.67 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-07-20 | 222.08 | 167.63 | +1.83 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-07-17 | 220.20 | 176.00 | +1.60 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-07-16 | 211.98 | 184.67 | +1.24 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-07-15 | 207.23 | 184.49 | +1.16 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-07-14 | 217.14 | 183.94 | +1.38 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-07-13 | 220.20 | 169.86 | +1.81 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-07-10 | 210.13 | 172.05 | +1.56 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-07-09 | 210.69 | 175.42 | +1.50 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-07-08 | 216.10 | 173.44 | +1.68 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-07-07 | 205.56 | 176.39 | +1.40 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-07-06 | 206.89 | 183.94 | +1.26 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-07-02 | 204.39 | 179.29 | +1.33 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-07-01 | 201.02 | 177.38 | +1.31 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-06-30 | 203.71 | 172.02 | +1.52 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-06-29 | 199.98 | 166.54 | +1.60 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-06-26 | 199.57 | 162.96 | +1.70 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-06-25 | 201.13 | 173.02 | +1.48 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-06-24 | 205.40 | 177.49 | +1.47 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-06-23 | 213.22 | 169.44 | +1.88 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-06-22 | 213.17 | 174.25 | +1.76 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-06-18 | 215.88 | 173.96 | +1.85 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-06-17 | 218.08 | 164.29 | +2.19 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-06-16 | 221.78 | 183.05 | +1.78 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-06-15 | 223.60 | 180.07 | +1.92 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-06-12 | 229.43 | 167.53 | +2.42 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-06-11 | 234.85 | 177.25 | +2.30 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-06-10 | 234.68 | 175.76 | +2.37 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-06-09 | 195.10 | 181.93 | +1.31 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-06-08 | 192.65 | 181.51 | +1.27 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-06-05 | 195.29 | 173.83 | +1.56 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-06-04 | 195.20 | 172.99 | +1.59 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-06-03 | 198.43 | 166.35 | +1.89 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-06-02 | 193.31 | 171.45 | +1.63 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-06-01 | 191.10 | 185.56 | +1.19 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-05-29 | 196.63 | 190.79 | +1.20 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-05-28 | 200.17 | 192.07 | +1.27 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-05-27 | 201.05 | 190.79 | +1.33 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-05-26 | 207.46 | 183.34 | +1.71 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-05-22 | 211.46 | 178.45 | +1.96 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-05-21 | 211.41 | 168.29 | +2.29 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-05-20 | 218.51 | 169.65 | +2.45 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-05-19 | 218.42 | 165.57 | +2.62 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-05-18 | 219.37 | 172.55 | +2.47 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-05-15 | 218.57 | 175.55 | +2.39 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-05-14 | 224.91 | 181.72 | +2.40 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-05-13 | 227.70 | 182.69 | +2.48 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-05-12 | 222.27 | 192.67 | +2.08 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-05-11 | 224.80 | 199.23 | +1.98 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-05-08 | 220.30 | 203.70 | +1.76 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-05-07 | 218.11 | 209.10 | +1.57 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-05-06 | 219.95 | 203.53 | +1.78 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-05-05 | 221.03 | 198.15 | +1.98 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-05-04 | 218.54 | 196.83 | +1.97 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-05-01 | 214.26 | 199.99 | +1.78 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-04-30 | 210.73 | 206.89 | +1.50 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-04-29 | 200.31 | 207.30 | +1.20 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-04-28 | 201.10 | 212.44 | +1.08 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-04-27 | 206.20 | 212.60 | +1.22 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-04-24 | 204.93 | 213.83 | +1.15 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-04-23 | 202.44 | 210.66 | +1.16 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-04-22 | 200.67 | 217.86 | +0.91 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-04-21 | 200.39 | 209.57 | +1.11 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-04-20 | 196.96 | 210.12 | +0.99 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-04-17 | 193.44 | 202.57 | +1.09 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-04-16 | 188.96 | 189.35 | +1.33 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-04-15 | 188.86 | 193.97 | +1.19 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-04-14 | 190.30 | 195.60 | +1.18 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-04-13 | 188.39 | 187.79 | +1.35 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-04-10 | 189.20 | 175.79 | +1.73 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-04-09 | 194.48 | 170.89 | +2.04 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-04-08 | 194.38 | 177.10 | +1.82 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-04-07 | 190.14 | 167.38 | +2.00 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-04-06 | 191.66 | 165.62 | +2.12 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-04-02 | 190.55 | 164.08 | +2.15 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-04-01 | 188.94 | 163.13 | +2.15 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-03-31 | 186.56 | 164.33 | +2.05 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-03-30 | 180.65 | 152.00 | +2.32 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-03-27 | 183.07 | 157.88 | +2.20 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-03-26 | 182.45 | 157.53 | +2.22 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-03-25 | 183.07 | 161.29 | +2.12 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-03-24 | 176.61 | 157.32 | +2.07 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-03-23 | 173.53 | 156.60 | +2.00 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-03-20 | 169.07 | 147.03 | +2.21 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-03-19 | 170.49 | 153.77 | +2.00 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-03-18 | 171.61 | 152.20 | +2.11 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-03-17 | 177.31 | 164.52 | +1.84 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-03-16 | 172.57 | 159.93 | +1.85 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-03-13 | 169.39 | 156.89 | +1.85 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-03-12 | 172.71 | 152.97 | +2.11 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-03-11 | 175.57 | 161.77 | +1.88 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-03-10 | 176.83 | 166.62 | +1.75 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-03-09 | 170.33 | 171.59 | +1.36 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-03-06 | 170.34 | 166.07 | +1.56 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-03-05 | 171.96 | 173.10 | +1.38 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-03-04 | 175.29 | 165.31 | +1.77 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-03-03 | 173.84 | 166.74 | +1.68 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-03-02 | 176.09 | 168.89 | +1.69 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-02-27 | 175.72 | 174.67 | +1.49 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-02-26 | 174.89 | 184.99 | +1.13 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-02-25 | 173.20 | 175.05 | +1.40 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-02-24 | 174.67 | 169.96 | +1.63 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-02-23 | 172.18 | 169.93 | +1.56 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-02-20 | 171.02 | 175.96 | +1.32 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-02-19 | 169.96 | 173.95 | +1.37 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-02-18 | 168.57 | 188.98 | +0.82 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-02-17 | 169.56 | 183.44 | +1.04 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-02-13 | 170.67 | 179.22 | +1.23 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-02-12 | 170.16 | 179.89 | +1.20 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-02-11 | 166.29 | 190.30 | +0.72 | CASY ahead |
| 2026-02-10 | 167.56 | 204.74 | +0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-09 | 168.90 | 215.15 | +0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-06 | 169.40 | 211.00 | +0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-05 | 167.38 | 200.56 | +0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-04 | 166.03 | 205.45 | +0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-03 | 164.39 | 214.50 | -0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-02 | 160.42 | 213.21 | -0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-30 | 155.45 | 209.66 | -0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-29 | 156.69 | 223.43 | -0.63 | CVNA ahead |
| 2026-01-28 | 157.71 | 214.33 | -0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-27 | 158.15 | 249.71 | -1.26 | CVNA ahead |
| 2026-01-26 | 158.18 | 247.61 | -1.22 | CVNA ahead |
| 2026-01-23 | 159.77 | 247.40 | -1.16 | CVNA ahead |
| 2026-01-22 | 158.61 | 250.09 | -1.28 | CVNA ahead |
| 2026-01-21 | 160.30 | 237.84 | -0.91 | CVNA ahead |
| 2026-01-20 | 163.67 | 231.19 | -0.62 | CVNA ahead |
| 2026-01-16 | 164.14 | 231.62 | -0.61 | CVNA ahead |
| 2026-01-15 | 163.37 | 240.91 | -0.89 | CVNA ahead |
| 2026-01-14 | 157.96 | 239.72 | -1.08 | CVNA ahead |
| 2026-01-13 | 154.97 | 244.92 | -1.33 | CVNA ahead |
| 2026-01-12 | 154.41 | 242.81 | -1.31 | CVNA ahead |
| 2026-01-09 | 152.20 | 242.06 | -1.40 | CVNA ahead |
| 2026-01-08 | 150.30 | 231.34 | -1.20 | CVNA ahead |
| 2026-01-07 | 147.02 | 235.63 | -1.46 | CVNA ahead |
| 2026-01-06 | 144.52 | 230.22 | -1.43 | CVNA ahead |
| 2026-01-05 | 144.63 | 224.80 | -1.29 | CVNA ahead |
| 2026-01-02 | 142.58 | 209.22 | -0.95 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-12-31 | 141.67 | 220.59 | -1.32 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-12-30 | 143.94 | 224.53 | -1.35 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-12-29 | 145.31 | 226.62 | -1.36 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-12-26 | 145.79 | 229.19 | -1.42 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-12-24 | 145.54 | 230.81 | -1.49 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-12-23 | 145.32 | 228.61 | -1.45 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-12-22 | 147.02 | 226.64 | -1.33 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-12-19 | 143.15 | 235.34 | -1.75 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-12-18 | 140.34 | 243.45 | -2.12 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-12-17 | 142.18 | 233.25 | -1.78 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-12-16 | 141.69 | 237.93 | -1.95 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-12-15 | 140.18 | 234.13 | -1.94 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-12-12 | 138.43 | 238.19 | -2.16 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-12-11 | 139.10 | 247.10 | -2.41 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-12-10 | 136.66 | 244.46 | -2.49 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-12-09 | 144.36 | 238.53 | -1.99 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-12-08 | 145.21 | 234.16 | -1.84 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-12-05 | 145.34 | 208.96 | -1.07 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-12-04 | 144.34 | 208.48 | -1.11 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-12-03 | 142.33 | 206.47 | -1.15 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-12-02 | 145.28 | 199.77 | -0.79 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-12-01 | 145.87 | 196.15 | -0.64 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-11-28 | 146.22 | 195.76 | -0.61 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-11-26 | 146.40 | 186.78 | -0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-25 | 144.93 | 183.59 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-24 | 138.61 | 172.97 | -0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-21 | 143.61 | 161.98 | +0.56 | CASY ahead |
| 2025-11-20 | 141.29 | 163.74 | +0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-19 | 142.69 | 172.36 | +0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-18 | 140.54 | 165.81 | +0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-17 | 137.47 | 168.90 | -0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-14 | 137.94 | 166.38 | +0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-13 | 137.55 | 166.50 | +0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-12 | 137.10 | 171.55 | -0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-11 | 138.27 | 170.86 | -0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-10 | 136.50 | 168.46 | -0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-07 | 136.76 | 158.90 | +0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-06 | 134.07 | 151.66 | +0.54 | CASY ahead |
| 2025-11-05 | 134.73 | 161.87 | +0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-04 | 134.04 | 161.93 | +0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-03 | 131.65 | 173.71 | -0.51 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-10-31 | 131.54 | 160.23 | +0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-30 | 132.91 | 159.46 | +0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-29 | 135.61 | 185.01 | -0.75 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-10-28 | 136.46 | 189.33 | -0.87 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-10-27 | 137.37 | 185.64 | -0.70 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-10-24 | 136.14 | 183.58 | -0.69 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-10-23 | 136.58 | 178.77 | -0.50 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-10-22 | 139.73 | 170.86 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-21 | 140.49 | 186.02 | -0.58 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-10-20 | 144.66 | 176.47 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-17 | 145.34 | 174.49 | +0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-16 | 143.88 | 180.18 | -0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-15 | 144.60 | 185.78 | -0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-14 | 143.84 | 180.81 | -0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-13 | 144.98 | 176.82 | -0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-10 | 142.68 | 172.10 | +0.00 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-09 | 141.55 | 188.19 | -0.64 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-10-08 | 141.93 | 188.65 | -0.65 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-10-07 | 142.20 | 193.57 | -0.81 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-10-06 | 143.23 | 193.19 | -0.76 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-10-03 | 145.45 | 196.39 | -0.77 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-10-02 | 143.89 | 206.32 | -1.17 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-10-01 | 143.32 | 206.69 | -1.21 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-09-30 | 144.90 | 197.19 | -0.85 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-09-29 | 143.78 | 205.25 | -1.16 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-09-26 | 140.34 | 193.03 | -0.93 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-09-25 | 139.21 | 194.12 | -1.03 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-09-24 | 140.22 | 195.92 | -1.05 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-09-23 | 141.25 | 197.64 | -1.06 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-09-22 | 140.32 | 204.30 | -1.32 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-09-19 | 140.23 | 204.85 | -1.35 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-09-18 | 139.36 | 197.67 | -1.17 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-09-17 | 142.33 | 197.62 | -1.04 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-09-16 | 143.84 | 190.58 | -0.75 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-09-15 | 142.23 | 190.97 | -0.84 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-09-12 | 141.97 | 189.10 | -0.79 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-09-11 | 141.99 | 185.17 | -0.67 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-09-10 | 138.02 | 190.85 | -1.01 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-09-09 | 138.74 | 196.02 | -1.14 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-09-08 | 133.67 | 194.56 | -1.32 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-09-05 | 129.60 | 192.82 | -1.45 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-09-04 | 127.69 | 193.49 | -1.57 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-09-03 | 128.05 | 189.39 | -1.44 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-09-02 | 127.64 | 191.52 | -1.54 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-08-29 | 126.75 | 194.41 | -1.67 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-08-28 | 127.13 | 197.26 | -1.75 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-08-27 | 127.72 | 192.02 | -1.59 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-08-26 | 127.33 | 194.55 | -1.69 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-08-25 | 127.29 | 189.28 | -1.55 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-08-22 | 128.99 | 187.03 | -1.42 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-08-21 | 130.77 | 177.24 | -1.04 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-08-20 | 131.59 | 177.00 | -1.01 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-08-19 | 130.47 | 179.94 | -1.15 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-08-18 | 129.74 | 187.92 | -1.44 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-08-15 | 130.17 | 182.94 | -1.28 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-08-14 | 130.25 | 179.08 | -1.16 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-08-13 | 132.02 | 182.88 | -1.21 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-08-12 | 133.19 | 180.39 | -1.09 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-08-11 | 132.20 | 180.47 | -1.13 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-08-08 | 133.02 | 181.67 | -1.14 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-08-07 | 132.84 | 187.00 | -1.31 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-08-06 | 133.66 | 185.51 | -1.24 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-08-05 | 131.94 | 183.34 | -1.26 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-08-04 | 134.12 | 188.52 | -1.32 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-08-01 | 133.99 | 192.24 | -1.43 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-07-31 | 133.32 | 203.95 | -1.77 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-07-30 | 134.59 | 174.37 | -0.92 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-07-29 | 133.78 | 175.89 | -1.00 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-07-28 | 134.57 | 175.80 | -0.97 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-07-25 | 135.21 | 173.60 | -0.89 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-07-24 | 134.84 | 170.45 | -0.82 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-07-23 | 134.31 | 179.29 | -1.09 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-07-22 | 134.16 | 178.54 | -1.08 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-07-21 | 132.84 | 178.73 | -1.14 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-07-18 | 130.78 | 181.65 | -1.31 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-07-17 | 132.17 | 180.91 | -1.24 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-07-16 | 132.72 | 184.01 | -1.31 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-07-15 | 132.68 | 182.12 | -1.27 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-07-14 | 134.12 | 181.56 | -1.21 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-07-11 | 132.41 | 179.64 | -1.23 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-07-10 | 134.20 | 180.62 | -1.20 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-07-09 | 133.88 | 183.52 | -1.30 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-07-08 | 131.31 | 180.82 | -1.33 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-07-07 | 134.86 | 186.78 | -1.36 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-07-03 | 132.57 | 182.08 | -1.33 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-07-02 | 130.95 | 179.49 | -1.33 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-07-01 | 130.88 | 176.81 | -1.27 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-06-30 | 130.79 | 176.13 | -1.26 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-06-27 | 129.74 | 166.88 | -1.05 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-06-26 | 129.18 | 160.20 | -0.89 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-06-25 | 129.47 | 165.05 | -1.02 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-06-24 | 130.95 | 168.82 | -1.08 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-06-23 | 130.83 | 167.31 | -1.05 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-06-20 | 128.23 | 167.21 | -1.14 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-06-18 | 129.77 | 160.95 | -0.92 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-06-17 | 130.11 | 153.67 | -0.71 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-06-16 | 129.79 | 151.61 | -0.67 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-06-13 | 129.73 | 155.26 | -0.78 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-06-12 | 129.95 | 166.72 | -1.08 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-06-11 | 128.04 | 177.89 | -1.43 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-06-10 | 125.64 | 176.94 | -1.50 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-06-09 | 112.60 | 177.67 | -2.00 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-06-06 | 113.81 | 178.49 | -1.99 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-06-05 | 114.24 | 179.45 | -2.01 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-06-04 | 114.89 | 180.67 | -2.03 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-06-03 | 112.44 | 177.78 | -2.07 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-06-02 | 112.78 | 173.25 | -1.97 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-05-30 | 112.20 | 171.01 | -1.95 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-05-29 | 112.91 | 167.08 | -1.84 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-05-28 | 114.70 | 167.43 | -1.80 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-05-27 | 114.70 | 163.56 | -1.72 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-05-23 | 114.25 | 158.96 | -1.63 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-05-22 | 113.82 | 157.99 | -1.63 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-05-21 | 115.45 | 152.68 | -1.43 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-05-20 | 117.55 | 158.01 | -1.52 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-05-19 | 116.90 | 159.54 | -1.60 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-05-16 | 116.92 | 156.76 | -1.54 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-05-15 | 113.40 | 155.45 | -1.65 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-05-14 | 110.43 | 159.70 | -1.90 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-05-13 | 110.93 | 153.19 | -1.71 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-05-12 | 111.96 | 146.16 | -1.48 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-05-09 | 115.00 | 140.15 | -1.19 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-05-08 | 115.98 | 149.25 | -1.44 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-05-07 | 119.43 | 135.47 | -0.89 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-05-06 | 119.75 | 135.28 | -0.88 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-05-05 | 119.54 | 135.68 | -0.91 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-05-02 | 117.56 | 134.39 | -0.94 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-05-01 | 116.76 | 131.66 | -0.89 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-04-30 | 118.57 | 127.72 | -0.70 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-04-29 | 118.77 | 127.33 | -0.68 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-04-28 | 116.42 | 126.25 | -0.73 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-04-25 | 114.66 | 123.96 | -0.73 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-04-24 | 114.65 | 122.85 | -0.69 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-04-23 | 116.72 | 115.49 | -0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-22 | 117.62 | 110.79 | -0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-21 | 115.78 | 102.36 | +0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-17 | 117.92 | 110.51 | -0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-16 | 117.22 | 109.40 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-15 | 119.03 | 111.76 | -0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-14 | 118.10 | 107.01 | -0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-11 | 117.20 | 107.78 | -0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-10 | 112.27 | 106.46 | -0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-09 | 112.71 | 115.23 | -0.55 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-04-08 | 106.75 | 92.16 | +0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-07 | 107.14 | 87.75 | +0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-04 | 106.58 | 84.98 | +0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-03 | 115.13 | 95.02 | +0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-02 | 113.77 | 118.30 | -0.63 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-04-01 | 112.94 | 111.12 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-31 | 111.25 | 109.29 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-28 | 110.73 | 106.85 | -0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-27 | 110.39 | 106.61 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-26 | 109.19 | 107.09 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-25 | 106.99 | 115.86 | -0.80 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-03-24 | 105.73 | 111.67 | -0.72 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-03-21 | 103.55 | 99.81 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-20 | 101.20 | 96.92 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-19 | 103.10 | 92.04 | -0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-18 | 99.16 | 87.04 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-17 | 102.44 | 97.49 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-14 | 101.40 | 94.70 | -0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-13 | 98.69 | 87.12 | -0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-12 | 103.06 | 93.72 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-11 | 97.07 | 90.02 | -0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-10 | 97.83 | 89.70 | -0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-07 | 102.20 | 98.52 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-06 | 101.32 | 97.67 | -0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-05 | 103.76 | 112.85 | -0.87 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-03-04 | 104.58 | 112.43 | -0.84 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-03-03 | 104.58 | 114.71 | -0.91 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-02-28 | 106.17 | 121.84 | -1.06 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-02-27 | 104.85 | 116.67 | -0.97 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-02-26 | 106.63 | 121.60 | -1.06 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-02-25 | 108.35 | 115.87 | -0.85 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-02-24 | 106.26 | 112.72 | -0.83 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-02-21 | 103.96 | 116.72 | -1.01 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-02-20 | 107.79 | 129.49 | -1.23 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-02-19 | 109.24 | 147.31 | -1.59 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-02-18 | 109.18 | 148.73 | -1.63 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-02-14 | 110.77 | 149.15 | -1.60 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-02-13 | 113.43 | 142.39 | -1.39 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-02-12 | 111.59 | 140.05 | -1.40 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-02-11 | 109.59 | 141.73 | -1.50 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-02-10 | 110.77 | 139.99 | -1.43 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-02-07 | 109.40 | 138.03 | -1.43 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-02-06 | 111.56 | 137.56 | -1.37 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-02-05 | 110.07 | 133.80 | -1.33 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-02-04 | 107.90 | 134.68 | -1.41 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-02-03 | 107.54 | 131.53 | -1.36 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-01-31 | 108.10 | 129.36 | -1.30 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-01-30 | 108.44 | 127.51 | -1.25 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-01-29 | 107.55 | 128.30 | -1.30 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-01-28 | 106.55 | 127.99 | -1.32 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-01-27 | 107.65 | 126.57 | -1.27 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-01-24 | 105.41 | 125.70 | -1.31 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-01-23 | 104.52 | 127.08 | -1.37 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-01-22 | 102.83 | 122.34 | -1.32 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-01-21 | 103.14 | 121.44 | -1.29 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-01-17 | 100.35 | 120.48 | -1.35 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-01-16 | 100.21 | 121.23 | -1.38 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-01-15 | 100.29 | 111.88 | -1.17 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-01-14 | 101.24 | 102.03 | -0.91 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-01-13 | 100.61 | 101.67 | -0.92 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-01-10 | 98.95 | 100.91 | -0.95 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-01-08 | 100.18 | 102.97 | -0.98 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-01-07 | 99.78 | 103.68 | -1.01 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-01-06 | 101.69 | 98.71 | -0.85 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-01-03 | 101.99 | 92.60 | -0.68 | CVNA ahead |
| 2025-01-02 | 101.15 | 104.31 | -1.01 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-12-31 | 101.56 | 106.30 | -1.06 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-12-30 | 102.19 | 110.06 | -1.14 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-12-27 | 103.54 | 112.43 | -1.17 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-12-26 | 103.93 | 117.12 | -1.27 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-12-24 | 103.47 | 117.03 | -1.29 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-12-23 | 102.41 | 116.36 | -1.31 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-12-20 | 103.33 | 117.33 | -1.32 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-12-19 | 104.87 | 116.55 | -1.28 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-12-18 | 104.10 | 121.80 | -1.42 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-12-17 | 108.01 | 132.61 | -1.55 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-12-16 | 108.81 | 133.69 | -1.56 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-12-13 | 109.00 | 129.76 | -1.50 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-12-12 | 109.11 | 129.51 | -1.50 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-12-11 | 109.65 | 131.17 | -1.53 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-12-10 | 106.85 | 123.63 | -1.45 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-12-09 | 107.17 | 127.56 | -1.53 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-12-06 | 108.23 | 131.31 | -1.59 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-12-05 | 107.67 | 133.67 | -1.66 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-12-04 | 106.57 | 135.97 | -1.73 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-12-03 | 107.02 | 133.69 | -1.69 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-12-02 | 107.93 | 133.26 | -1.67 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-11-29 | 107.88 | 136.12 | -1.73 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-11-27 | 107.90 | 133.28 | -1.69 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-11-26 | 109.31 | 133.81 | -1.67 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-11-25 | 109.37 | 136.32 | -1.72 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-11-22 | 109.67 | 135.57 | -1.71 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-11-21 | 106.73 | 129.83 | -1.68 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-11-20 | 106.10 | 127.80 | -1.66 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-11-19 | 105.52 | 130.38 | -1.73 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-11-18 | 103.70 | 127.90 | -1.74 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-11-15 | 102.88 | 125.97 | -1.73 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-11-14 | 103.99 | 125.68 | -1.71 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-11-13 | 104.86 | 125.44 | -1.70 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-11-12 | 106.90 | 128.98 | -1.72 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-11-11 | 105.34 | 130.71 | -1.80 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-11-08 | 105.82 | 127.72 | -1.75 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-11-07 | 105.95 | 126.20 | -1.73 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-11-06 | 104.88 | 124.89 | -1.74 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-11-05 | 101.73 | 123.19 | -1.80 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-11-04 | 97.68 | 118.17 | -1.81 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-11-01 | 100.78 | 119.74 | -1.77 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-10-31 | 100.99 | 129.27 | -1.95 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-10-30 | 102.09 | 108.36 | -1.54 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-10-29 | 102.14 | 109.11 | -1.56 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-10-28 | 102.68 | 107.17 | -1.52 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-10-25 | 100.25 | 105.86 | -1.55 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-10-24 | 99.10 | 104.66 | -1.56 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-10-23 | 100.09 | 103.15 | -1.52 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-10-22 | 100.07 | 103.16 | -1.53 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-10-21 | 100.50 | 100.09 | -1.47 | CVNA ahead |
| 2024-10-18 | 100.00 | 100.00 | -1.49 | CVNA ahead |
One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Apr 3, 2025 (CASY +1.2%, CVNA -19.7%); Jun 10, 2026 (CASY +20.3%, CVNA -3.4%). Upcoming earnings: CVNA Oct 28, 2026 (after-hours).
Paired trades
The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart
Forward paper record
No paper position on this pair yet.
Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)
No simulated trade through Oct 20, 2026: the pair rarely passed every test while 2 standard deviations apart.
Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.
The companies
CASY and CVNA at a glance
CASY Casey's General Stores Inc.
- Listing
- Nasdaq · SEC CIK 726958
- Industry
- Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations · SIC 5500 Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations
- Market value
- $25.6B
- Price history
- 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
CVNA Carvana Co.
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 1690820
- Industry
- Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations · SIC 5500 Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations
- Market value
- $64.6B
- Price history
- 2,385 daily closes, Apr 28, 2017 to Oct 22, 2026
Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.
Related
All pairs →Other rivals of CASY and CVNA
| Pair | Status | Ahead now | Industry |
|---|---|---|---|
| CASY / CPRT | Watchlist | CASY by 0.68 sd | Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations |
| CVNA / CPRT | Watchlist | neither | Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations |
Follow the research behind the paper book
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Explore the private betaPaper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.
