AST SpaceMobile Inc. vs EchoStar Corporation
WatchlistASTS / ECHOPrices through Oct 22, 2026
Why these are rivals: #1 and #2 by market value ($25B vs $16B) with SEC SIC 4899 (Communications Services, NEC).
Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.42 (needs >= 0.60)
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -2.44 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Business leadership
ECHO is the larger business
Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.
| Year | ASTS | ECHO | Larger |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $71M | $15.0B | ECHO |
| 2024 | $4M | $15.8B | ECHO |
| 2023 | $0M | $17.0B | ECHO |
| 2022 | $14M | $18.6B | ECHO |
| 2021 | $12M | $19.8B | ECHO |
| 2020 | $6M | $1.9B | ECHO |
ECHO led in every year with figures for both. Market value: ASTS $16.3B, ECHO $25.1B.
Stock leadership
ECHO is ahead now
Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.
ECHO leads ASTS by 2.97 standard deviations: +64.7% over its usual price ratio. 0 lead switches in the last year.
| Price change | 3 mo | 6 mo | 12 mo |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASTS | -31.0% | -50.8% | -50.7% |
| ECHO | -2.4% | -29.4% | +16.3% |
Relationship
Not a measured twin today
Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.
- Pass
- Aligned sessions: 1752 (needs >= 254)
- Fail
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.42 (needs >= 0.60)
- Fail
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -2.44 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
- Pass
- Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 11.20 (needs <= 63)
- Data
- Both stocks current
The twins over two years
Prices side by side, and the gap between them
ASTS AST SpaceMobile Inc. ECHO EchoStar CorporationPrice index, 100 = 2024-10-18. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).
Spread z-score: ASTS relative to ECHO, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: ASTS ahead; below 0: ECHO ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).
Data table (504 sessions)
| Date | ASTS index | ECHO index | z | Ahead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | 137.78 | 338.02 | -2.97 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-10-21 | 145.34 | 365.01 | -3.15 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-10-20 | 146.16 | 340.39 | -2.73 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-10-19 | 148.79 | 339.64 | -2.62 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-10-16 | 144.49 | 336.37 | -2.74 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-10-15 | 158.00 | 342.20 | -2.32 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-10-14 | 149.75 | 346.18 | -2.72 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-10-13 | 167.25 | 360.76 | -2.34 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-10-12 | 182.87 | 374.70 | -2.04 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-10-09 | 181.11 | 373.68 | -2.10 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-10-08 | 202.31 | 367.85 | -1.37 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-10-07 | 215.53 | 384.91 | -1.27 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-10-06 | 224.31 | 394.05 | -1.19 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-10-05 | 207.68 | 386.96 | -1.55 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-10-02 | 207.71 | 371.36 | -1.31 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-10-01 | 202.70 | 347.71 | -1.06 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-09-30 | 209.17 | 352.29 | -0.96 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-09-29 | 211.09 | 354.18 | -0.93 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-09-28 | 216.77 | 351.54 | -0.73 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-09-25 | 219.65 | 355.04 | -0.71 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-09-24 | 216.99 | 356.11 | -0.81 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-09-23 | 213.15 | 365.33 | -1.07 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-09-22 | 226.33 | 376.12 | -0.88 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-09-21 | 219.94 | 375.73 | -1.04 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-09-18 | 207.96 | 368.24 | -1.24 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-09-17 | 222.85 | 370.69 | -0.87 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-09-16 | 210.63 | 368.24 | -1.15 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-09-15 | 208.85 | 362.88 | -1.10 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-09-14 | 213.22 | 369.94 | -1.08 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-09-11 | 212.72 | 366.98 | -1.02 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-09-10 | 212.90 | 361.90 | -0.92 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-09-09 | 221.82 | 359.81 | -0.64 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-09-08 | 234.97 | 368.09 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-04 | 221.43 | 353.82 | -0.55 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-09-03 | 220.79 | 353.78 | -0.57 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-09-02 | 221.75 | 341.57 | -0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-01 | 198.29 | 339.01 | -0.93 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-08-31 | 210.02 | 340.58 | -0.64 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-08-28 | 206.29 | 342.16 | -0.77 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-08-27 | 218.34 | 340.70 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-26 | 212.79 | 337.31 | -0.53 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-08-25 | 220.36 | 340.90 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-24 | 221.57 | 336.17 | -0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-21 | 243.96 | 342.04 | +0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-20 | 231.20 | 342.47 | -0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-19 | 236.07 | 348.44 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-18 | 238.34 | 354.61 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-17 | 252.81 | 364.50 | -0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-14 | 252.24 | 362.06 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-13 | 254.16 | 361.23 | -0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-12 | 264.07 | 364.46 | +0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-11 | 254.55 | 346.65 | +0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-10 | 244.35 | 351.26 | -0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-07 | 255.65 | 354.77 | -0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-06 | 239.37 | 342.91 | -0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-05 | 243.00 | 345.67 | -0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-04 | 249.86 | 360.91 | -0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-03 | 225.73 | 337.39 | -0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-31 | 209.59 | 331.32 | -0.55 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-07-30 | 207.68 | 339.36 | -0.67 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-07-29 | 188.45 | 330.54 | -0.92 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-07-28 | 200.96 | 338.57 | -0.79 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-07-27 | 207.14 | 341.57 | -0.72 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-07-24 | 199.72 | 346.26 | -0.89 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-07-23 | 210.31 | 360.56 | -0.85 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-07-22 | 220.15 | 363.59 | -0.73 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-07-21 | 225.09 | 373.36 | -0.75 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-07-20 | 204.05 | 355.91 | -0.91 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-07-17 | 205.40 | 362.49 | -0.95 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-07-16 | 195.49 | 360.68 | -1.10 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-07-15 | 235.64 | 380.50 | -0.69 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-07-14 | 244.56 | 372.34 | -0.52 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-07-13 | 240.16 | 366.04 | -0.53 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-07-10 | 260.55 | 378.25 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-09 | 262.54 | 385.97 | -0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-08 | 266.35 | 379.35 | -0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-07 | 263.72 | 385.78 | -0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-06 | 286.57 | 387.27 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-02 | 302.52 | 399.92 | -0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-01 | 305.97 | 397.48 | -0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-30 | 315.78 | 399.92 | -0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-29 | 308.35 | 397.32 | -0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-26 | 253.91 | 383.37 | -0.55 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-06-25 | 233.19 | 382.94 | -0.79 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-06-24 | 241.68 | 393.46 | -0.77 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-06-23 | 258.96 | 409.44 | -0.70 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-06-22 | 260.09 | 419.23 | -0.76 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-06-18 | 286.64 | 430.14 | -0.57 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-06-17 | 303.59 | 440.11 | -0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-16 | 292.29 | 476.64 | -0.80 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-06-15 | 311.19 | 464.40 | -0.57 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-06-12 | 292.86 | 449.49 | -0.65 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-06-11 | 346.70 | 504.85 | -0.52 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-06-10 | 310.31 | 454.06 | -0.53 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-06-09 | 315.25 | 460.09 | -0.53 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-06-08 | 327.15 | 459.50 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-05 | 332.62 | 458.16 | -0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-04 | 381.27 | 491.10 | -0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-03 | 382.84 | 476.44 | -0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-02 | 419.94 | 486.80 | +0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-01 | 375.44 | 502.05 | -0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-29 | 403.02 | 509.02 | -0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-28 | 472.96 | 516.43 | +0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-27 | 460.55 | 482.51 | +0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-26 | 425.37 | 485.11 | +0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-22 | 376.19 | 489.36 | -0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-21 | 341.97 | 506.07 | -0.61 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-05-20 | 318.34 | 558.71 | -1.05 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-05-19 | 313.08 | 537.90 | -1.00 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-05-18 | 308.56 | 537.63 | -1.05 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-05-15 | 297.33 | 540.70 | -1.16 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-05-14 | 294.99 | 532.35 | -1.15 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-05-13 | 265.85 | 524.94 | -1.40 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-05-12 | 259.28 | 509.77 | -1.40 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-05-11 | 293.35 | 508.83 | -1.08 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-05-08 | 266.70 | 500.99 | -1.30 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-05-07 | 232.23 | 483.14 | -1.58 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-05-06 | 251.17 | 495.47 | -1.45 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-05-05 | 226.97 | 462.33 | -1.55 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-05-04 | 243.18 | 474.15 | -1.45 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-05-01 | 251.92 | 485.34 | -1.43 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-04-30 | 262.62 | 485.19 | -1.32 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-04-29 | 248.22 | 471.95 | -1.41 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-04-28 | 255.44 | 487.39 | -1.43 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-04-27 | 274.34 | 479.24 | -1.21 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-04-24 | 271.50 | 462.96 | -1.15 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-04-23 | 279.85 | 478.80 | -1.17 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-04-22 | 300.85 | 482.11 | -1.00 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-04-21 | 284.33 | 488.02 | -1.19 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-04-20 | 287.85 | 532.35 | -1.40 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-04-17 | 303.94 | 524.86 | -1.23 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-04-16 | 323.17 | 522.06 | -1.05 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-04-15 | 308.85 | 517.69 | -1.16 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-04-14 | 314.75 | 514.07 | -1.09 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-04-13 | 351.71 | 494.68 | -0.69 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-04-10 | 337.24 | 506.66 | -0.87 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-04-09 | 325.55 | 473.17 | -0.79 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-04-08 | 342.79 | 483.92 | -0.71 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-04-07 | 328.96 | 491.61 | -0.87 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-04-06 | 336.92 | 500.20 | -0.85 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-04-02 | 329.14 | 507.01 | -0.96 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-04-01 | 298.47 | 475.18 | -1.05 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-03-31 | 294.49 | 461.27 | -1.01 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-03-30 | 262.33 | 442.20 | -1.23 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-03-27 | 279.57 | 453.94 | -1.13 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-03-26 | 312.22 | 438.93 | -0.73 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-03-25 | 341.36 | 469.15 | -0.67 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-03-24 | 309.10 | 436.72 | -0.75 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-03-23 | 314.21 | 431.40 | -0.67 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-03-20 | 319.58 | 432.78 | -0.64 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-03-19 | 334.36 | 429.91 | -0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-18 | 322.46 | 424.55 | -0.56 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-03-17 | 340.09 | 442.36 | -0.53 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-03-16 | 316.67 | 450.47 | -0.79 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-03-13 | 306.82 | 426.87 | -0.73 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-03-12 | 309.49 | 424.39 | -0.69 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-03-11 | 313.47 | 442.00 | -0.78 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-03-10 | 311.05 | 427.50 | -0.71 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-03-09 | 318.98 | 433.10 | -0.68 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-03-06 | 317.96 | 418.60 | -0.59 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-03-05 | 333.55 | 436.76 | -0.58 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-03-04 | 372.74 | 449.29 | -0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-03 | 329.35 | 460.60 | -0.77 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-03-02 | 308.88 | 467.61 | -0.99 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-02-27 | 281.41 | 455.20 | -1.19 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-02-26 | 304.76 | 426.99 | -0.78 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-02-25 | 292.68 | 421.63 | -0.87 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-02-24 | 304.98 | 420.72 | -0.74 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-02-23 | 298.15 | 423.25 | -0.83 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-02-20 | 285.00 | 434.83 | -1.04 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-02-19 | 307.04 | 452.48 | -0.95 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-02-18 | 300.04 | 450.99 | -1.01 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-02-17 | 295.06 | 445.23 | -1.03 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-02-13 | 293.21 | 445.82 | -1.06 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-02-12 | 292.18 | 435.42 | -1.00 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-02-11 | 344.42 | 433.65 | -0.52 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-02-10 | 342.11 | 455.75 | -0.68 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-02-09 | 362.90 | 453.86 | -0.50 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-02-06 | 361.73 | 439.76 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-05 | 331.45 | 421.67 | -0.55 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-02-04 | 367.80 | 436.13 | -0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-03 | 411.37 | 452.40 | -0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-02 | 371.54 | 459.22 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-30 | 395.20 | 446.10 | -0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-29 | 433.87 | 447.04 | +0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-28 | 430.81 | 506.58 | -0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-27 | 395.66 | 495.71 | -0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-26 | 372.35 | 471.71 | -0.50 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-01-23 | 403.59 | 498.42 | -0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-22 | 413.54 | 504.20 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-21 | 367.80 | 482.66 | -0.60 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-01-20 | 399.57 | 480.69 | -0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-16 | 411.41 | 485.70 | -0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-15 | 359.81 | 486.80 | -0.68 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-01-14 | 338.38 | 516.51 | -1.03 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-01-13 | 329.50 | 487.55 | -0.95 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-01-12 | 349.64 | 496.73 | -0.83 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-01-09 | 347.09 | 472.81 | -0.72 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-01-08 | 321.82 | 460.80 | -0.86 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-01-07 | 304.66 | 441.92 | -0.91 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-01-06 | 346.45 | 457.29 | -0.64 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-01-05 | 323.10 | 436.05 | -0.70 | ECHO ahead |
| 2026-01-02 | 296.62 | 442.00 | -0.99 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-12-31 | 258.10 | 428.29 | -1.31 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-12-30 | 265.39 | 430.26 | -1.25 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-12-29 | 253.98 | 427.70 | -1.37 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-12-26 | 255.69 | 416.08 | -1.28 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-12-24 | 277.36 | 421.39 | -1.09 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-12-23 | 304.44 | 420.65 | -0.81 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-12-22 | 307.32 | 429.00 | -0.85 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-12-19 | 269.51 | 409.42 | -1.10 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-12-18 | 234.29 | 404.22 | -1.49 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-12-17 | 219.83 | 397.52 | -1.64 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-12-16 | 242.96 | 408.35 | -1.44 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-12-15 | 240.97 | 409.50 | -1.48 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-12-12 | 272.57 | 423.05 | -1.22 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-12-11 | 301.17 | 411.31 | -0.84 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-12-10 | 280.92 | 409.69 | -1.04 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-12-09 | 258.85 | 368.56 | -0.97 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-12-08 | 262.97 | 347.75 | -0.75 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-12-05 | 262.69 | 323.09 | -0.53 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-12-04 | 258.17 | 293.54 | -0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-12-03 | 218.34 | 291.69 | -0.79 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-12-02 | 202.17 | 291.80 | -1.02 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-12-01 | 186.96 | 287.63 | -1.22 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-11-28 | 199.72 | 288.77 | -1.04 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-11-26 | 197.30 | 279.28 | -0.98 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-11-25 | 197.26 | 279.75 | -0.99 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-11-24 | 195.45 | 279.43 | -1.02 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-11-21 | 182.55 | 270.41 | -1.14 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-11-20 | 180.17 | 264.89 | -1.12 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-11-19 | 206.15 | 272.26 | -0.80 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-11-18 | 206.89 | 274.78 | -0.82 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-11-17 | 201.14 | 263.71 | -0.78 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-11-14 | 218.19 | 265.56 | -0.56 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-11-13 | 218.34 | 275.73 | -0.67 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-11-12 | 229.18 | 274.35 | -0.51 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-11-11 | 241.26 | 280.85 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-10 | 244.14 | 290.58 | -0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-07 | 245.88 | 289.52 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-06 | 231.98 | 278.37 | -0.51 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-11-05 | 250.11 | 284.95 | -0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-04 | 248.93 | 289.52 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-03 | 252.83 | 296.97 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-31 | 285.18 | 295.00 | -0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-30 | 272.49 | 288.26 | -0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-29 | 284.51 | 290.07 | -0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-28 | 276.37 | 294.72 | -0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-27 | 282.34 | 293.10 | -0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-24 | 261.90 | 292.04 | -0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-23 | 254.87 | 287.75 | -0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-22 | 253.55 | 284.59 | -0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-21 | 279.35 | 290.66 | -0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-20 | 294.28 | 292.16 | +0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-17 | 296.70 | 285.19 | +0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-16 | 318.05 | 284.99 | +0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-15 | 340.05 | 294.92 | +0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-14 | 335.82 | 295.71 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-13 | 321.61 | 294.92 | +0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-10 | 291.51 | 291.57 | +0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-09 | 308.42 | 301.42 | +0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-08 | 288.56 | 300.43 | -0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-07 | 265.64 | 296.22 | -0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-06 | 259.06 | 302.52 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-03 | 240.80 | 303.86 | -0.65 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-10-02 | 235.11 | 311.27 | -0.80 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-10-01 | 202.35 | 313.24 | -1.29 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-09-30 | 174.41 | 300.87 | -1.64 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-09-29 | 173.56 | 290.19 | -1.55 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-09-26 | 174.45 | 289.40 | -1.54 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-09-25 | 175.52 | 288.18 | -1.52 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-09-24 | 193.67 | 288.02 | -1.22 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-09-23 | 194.74 | 290.15 | -1.23 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-09-22 | 173.60 | 288.18 | -1.59 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-09-19 | 160.27 | 285.54 | -1.83 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-09-18 | 147.26 | 280.61 | -2.07 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-09-17 | 146.38 | 282.94 | -2.15 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-09-16 | 143.67 | 275.02 | -2.14 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-09-15 | 145.59 | 283.45 | -2.23 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-09-12 | 137.60 | 295.07 | -2.60 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-09-11 | 136.35 | 303.55 | -2.77 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-09-10 | 133.55 | 314.78 | -3.03 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-09-09 | 131.17 | 329.28 | -3.34 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-09-08 | 144.88 | 317.69 | -2.91 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-09-05 | 150.71 | 264.93 | -2.14 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-09-04 | 148.76 | 264.85 | -2.22 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-09-03 | 160.70 | 251.81 | -1.77 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-09-02 | 173.28 | 257.05 | -1.59 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-08-29 | 173.92 | 243.46 | -1.39 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-08-28 | 173.95 | 224.39 | -1.09 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-08-27 | 171.46 | 231.52 | -1.27 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-08-26 | 179.21 | 200.43 | -0.59 | ECHO ahead |
| 2025-08-25 | 177.72 | 117.73 | +1.31 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-08-22 | 167.27 | 116.71 | +1.11 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-08-21 | 159.84 | 108.35 | +1.21 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-08-20 | 160.20 | 108.94 | +1.19 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-08-19 | 159.74 | 108.31 | +1.20 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-08-18 | 171.14 | 109.81 | +1.41 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-08-15 | 170.86 | 109.77 | +1.41 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-08-14 | 172.35 | 111.78 | +1.39 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-08-13 | 177.86 | 111.94 | +1.51 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-08-12 | 176.83 | 110.32 | +1.55 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-08-11 | 163.18 | 108.27 | +1.34 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-08-08 | 165.71 | 106.70 | +1.46 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-08-07 | 169.55 | 107.76 | +1.53 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-08-06 | 184.04 | 106.34 | +1.90 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-08-05 | 186.82 | 105.32 | +2.02 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-08-04 | 182.59 | 103.74 | +2.01 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-08-01 | 186.43 | 106.11 | +2.03 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-07-31 | 188.95 | 128.41 | +1.37 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-07-30 | 192.93 | 129.31 | +1.43 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-07-29 | 188.66 | 116.27 | +1.77 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-07-28 | 192.68 | 117.30 | +1.83 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-07-25 | 193.09 | 116.90 | +1.87 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-07-24 | 213.43 | 117.57 | +2.25 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-07-23 | 209.38 | 116.67 | +2.23 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-07-22 | 202.88 | 110.80 | +2.33 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-07-21 | 201.39 | 111.62 | +2.29 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-07-18 | 206.04 | 112.73 | +2.37 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-07-17 | 204.16 | 113.99 | +2.31 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-07-16 | 187.03 | 114.62 | +1.97 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-07-15 | 181.66 | 116.63 | +1.80 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-07-14 | 170.08 | 117.85 | +1.51 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-07-11 | 161.98 | 121.59 | +1.21 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-07-10 | 156.25 | 126.58 | +0.92 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-07-09 | 151.03 | 126.95 | +0.79 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-07-08 | 161.55 | 128.68 | +1.00 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-07-07 | 162.37 | 123.56 | +1.18 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-07-03 | 162.05 | 123.56 | +1.18 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-07-02 | 162.44 | 116.19 | +1.42 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-07-01 | 160.31 | 111.74 | +1.53 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-06-30 | 166.06 | 109.14 | +1.76 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-06-27 | 175.41 | 113.51 | +1.83 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-06-26 | 179.89 | 100.32 | +2.41 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-06-25 | 177.58 | 97.04 | +2.51 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-06-24 | 189.13 | 99.45 | +2.70 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-06-23 | 178.39 | 99.09 | +2.52 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-06-20 | 163.26 | 98.98 | +2.22 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-06-18 | 157.60 | 97.99 | +2.14 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-06-17 | 142.50 | 96.06 | +1.84 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-06-16 | 148.93 | 98.94 | +1.90 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-06-13 | 136.35 | 66.35 | +3.12 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-06-12 | 131.20 | 71.22 | +2.73 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-06-11 | 129.60 | 68.05 | +2.87 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-06-10 | 126.90 | 65.96 | +2.94 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-06-09 | 123.74 | 63.00 | +3.04 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-06-06 | 110.84 | 68.87 | +2.29 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-06-05 | 109.63 | 74.98 | +1.93 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-06-04 | 101.95 | 63.83 | +2.26 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-06-03 | 89.48 | 63.63 | +1.79 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-06-02 | 85.82 | 71.75 | +1.20 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-05-30 | 81.98 | 69.86 | +1.11 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-05-29 | 83.76 | 79.47 | +0.72 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-05-28 | 88.06 | 78.61 | +0.91 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-05-27 | 88.27 | 79.75 | +0.87 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-05-23 | 85.63 | 77.86 | +0.84 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-05-22 | 86.74 | 82.55 | +0.70 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-05-21 | 84.68 | 83.29 | +0.60 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-05-20 | 88.95 | 87.31 | +0.61 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-05-19 | 87.46 | 86.68 | +0.57 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-05-16 | 94.74 | 92.16 | +0.62 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-05-15 | 93.25 | 90.23 | +0.63 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-05-14 | 93.28 | 89.78 | +0.64 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-05-13 | 94.35 | 77.94 | +0.99 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-05-12 | 96.52 | 79.51 | +0.98 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-05-09 | 91.54 | 95.31 | +0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-08 | 89.73 | 93.97 | +0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-07 | 89.98 | 95.55 | +0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-06 | 89.13 | 94.25 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-05 | 87.95 | 94.09 | +0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-02 | 93.89 | 94.68 | +0.55 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-05-01 | 81.81 | 90.70 | +0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-30 | 82.48 | 88.57 | +0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-29 | 84.93 | 89.44 | +0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-28 | 86.18 | 89.36 | +0.51 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-04-25 | 84.43 | 88.89 | +0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-24 | 85.54 | 88.69 | +0.52 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-04-23 | 79.67 | 86.56 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-22 | 75.69 | 83.96 | +0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-21 | 73.79 | 82.74 | +0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-17 | 83.12 | 85.70 | +0.55 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-04-16 | 79.57 | 87.08 | +0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-15 | 81.45 | 90.54 | +0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-14 | 81.41 | 89.60 | +0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-11 | 82.73 | 88.57 | +0.51 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-04-10 | 82.23 | 87.08 | +0.54 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-04-09 | 85.79 | 92.36 | +0.52 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-04-08 | 72.14 | 82.43 | +0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-07 | 75.80 | 83.57 | +0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-04 | 71.32 | 84.83 | +0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-03 | 76.69 | 91.92 | +0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-02 | 79.64 | 103.59 | +0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-01 | 77.65 | 99.25 | +0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-31 | 80.81 | 100.79 | +0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-28 | 85.50 | 98.46 | +0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-27 | 91.68 | 103.07 | +0.50 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-03-26 | 96.98 | 103.70 | +0.58 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-03-25 | 101.46 | 105.20 | +0.63 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-03-24 | 104.12 | 105.91 | +0.66 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-03-21 | 91.36 | 104.26 | +0.51 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-03-20 | 87.74 | 104.41 | +0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-19 | 91.15 | 102.96 | +0.54 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-03-18 | 93.28 | 101.89 | +0.59 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-03-17 | 99.57 | 103.62 | +0.66 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-03-14 | 100.04 | 102.99 | +0.68 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-03-13 | 92.82 | 103.98 | +0.57 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-03-12 | 97.94 | 103.78 | +0.65 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-03-11 | 101.85 | 104.41 | +0.70 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-03-10 | 103.55 | 99.21 | +0.80 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-03-07 | 118.69 | 110.87 | +0.84 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-03-06 | 114.36 | 111.82 | +0.79 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-03-05 | 120.11 | 121.32 | +0.75 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-03-04 | 101.67 | 122.30 | +0.52 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-03-03 | 91.04 | 122.42 | +0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-28 | 96.34 | 123.05 | +0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-27 | 92.68 | 119.82 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-26 | 96.80 | 114.30 | +0.57 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-02-25 | 93.00 | 111.66 | +0.55 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-02-24 | 101.53 | 114.26 | +0.64 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-02-21 | 101.78 | 116.51 | +0.63 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-02-20 | 112.40 | 118.87 | +0.74 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-02-19 | 110.77 | 118.24 | +0.73 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-02-18 | 109.81 | 118.75 | +0.72 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-02-14 | 114.07 | 115.29 | +0.81 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-02-13 | 106.79 | 114.11 | +0.75 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-02-12 | 98.12 | 113.67 | +0.65 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-02-11 | 100.92 | 113.00 | +0.70 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-02-10 | 110.66 | 114.46 | +0.81 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-02-07 | 94.21 | 115.01 | +0.60 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-02-06 | 96.38 | 115.72 | +0.63 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-02-05 | 87.81 | 112.10 | +0.56 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-02-04 | 82.05 | 108.00 | +0.52 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-02-03 | 76.30 | 108.55 | +0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-31 | 71.93 | 108.98 | +0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-30 | 64.71 | 108.23 | +0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-29 | 62.97 | 105.99 | +0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-28 | 71.57 | 107.21 | +0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-27 | 68.09 | 106.74 | +0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-24 | 72.32 | 108.98 | +0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-23 | 70.36 | 110.80 | +0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-22 | 79.92 | 108.43 | +0.53 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-01-21 | 82.09 | 109.30 | +0.56 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-01-17 | 73.85 | 106.38 | +0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-16 | 74.63 | 100.63 | +0.55 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-01-15 | 76.55 | 96.45 | +0.64 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-01-14 | 72.78 | 91.88 | +0.65 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-01-13 | 74.88 | 90.74 | +0.70 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-01-10 | 79.50 | 90.98 | +0.78 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-01-08 | 79.99 | 92.28 | +0.77 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-01-07 | 81.73 | 89.56 | +0.84 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-01-06 | 85.79 | 91.92 | +0.88 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-01-03 | 85.18 | 91.06 | +0.88 | ASTS ahead |
| 2025-01-02 | 76.90 | 89.64 | +0.78 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-12-31 | 74.98 | 90.23 | +0.75 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-12-30 | 77.51 | 90.66 | +0.79 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-12-27 | 81.45 | 88.93 | +0.88 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-12-26 | 87.70 | 90.90 | +0.95 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-12-24 | 83.48 | 90.70 | +0.90 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-12-23 | 82.62 | 89.40 | +0.91 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-12-20 | 81.31 | 89.64 | +0.89 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-12-19 | 81.73 | 89.09 | +0.91 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-12-18 | 83.01 | 87.67 | +0.96 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-12-17 | 88.06 | 90.76 | +1.00 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-12-16 | 86.35 | 93.54 | +0.94 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-12-13 | 83.44 | 91.96 | +0.92 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-12-12 | 82.91 | 92.32 | +0.92 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-12-11 | 83.72 | 92.36 | +0.93 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-12-10 | 86.57 | 91.80 | +0.99 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-12-09 | 92.34 | 93.50 | +1.06 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-12-06 | 89.98 | 94.56 | +1.02 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-12-05 | 79.99 | 94.31 | +0.87 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-12-04 | 80.45 | 94.56 | +0.88 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-12-03 | 81.41 | 96.73 | +0.87 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-12-02 | 82.52 | 99.29 | +0.86 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-11-29 | 84.61 | 99.65 | +0.90 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-11-27 | 82.76 | 98.62 | +0.89 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-11-26 | 83.12 | 97.99 | +0.90 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-11-25 | 86.03 | 96.18 | +0.98 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-11-22 | 85.64 | 90.23 | +1.06 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-11-21 | 85.79 | 92.87 | +1.03 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-11-20 | 83.81 | 92.32 | +1.02 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-11-19 | 92.89 | 95.47 | +1.12 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-11-18 | 91.68 | 93.30 | +1.14 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-11-15 | 86.11 | 89.80 | +1.11 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-11-14 | 95.24 | 86.64 | +1.30 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-11-13 | 99.11 | 84.79 | +1.39 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-11-12 | 86.21 | 89.68 | +1.14 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-11-11 | 87.99 | 102.96 | +0.99 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-11-08 | 78.14 | 101.69 | +0.86 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-11-07 | 76.24 | 102.72 | +0.82 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-11-06 | 80.03 | 107.05 | +0.83 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-11-05 | 85.75 | 96.97 | +1.06 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-11-04 | 85.07 | 95.63 | +1.08 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-11-01 | 84.75 | 97.24 | +1.06 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-10-31 | 84.61 | 98.74 | +1.05 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-10-30 | 89.30 | 99.21 | +1.12 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-10-29 | 95.88 | 99.37 | +1.22 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-10-28 | 94.99 | 99.61 | +1.22 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-10-25 | 91.04 | 99.01 | +1.18 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-10-24 | 89.09 | 98.31 | +1.17 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-10-23 | 93.32 | 98.98 | +1.23 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-10-22 | 99.11 | 98.03 | +1.34 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-10-21 | 98.22 | 96.97 | +1.35 | ASTS ahead |
| 2024-10-18 | 100.00 | 100.00 | +1.34 | ASTS ahead |
One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Jun 16, 2025 (ASTS +9.2%, ECHO +49.1%); Aug 26, 2025 (ASTS +0.8%, ECHO +70.3%). Upcoming earnings: ECHO Nov 5, 2026 (not-supplied).
Paired trades
The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart
Forward paper record
No paper position on this pair yet.
Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)
No simulated trade through Oct 20, 2026: the pair rarely passed every test while 2 standard deviations apart.
Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.
The companies
ASTS and ECHO at a glance
ASTS AST SpaceMobile Inc.
- Listing
- Nasdaq · SEC CIK 1780312
- Industry
- Telecommunications Equipment · SIC 4899 Communications Services, NEC
- Market value
- $16.3B
- Price history
- 1,752 daily closes, Nov 1, 2019 to Oct 22, 2026
ECHO EchoStar Corporation
- Listing
- Nasdaq · SEC CIK 1415404
- Industry
- Telecommunications Equipment · SIC 4899 Communications Services, NEC
- Market value
- $25.1B
- Price history
- 2,520 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.
Related
All pairs →Other rivals of ASTS and ECHO
| Pair | Status | Ahead now | Industry |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASTS / GSAT | Watchlist | GSAT by 2.55 sd | SIC 4899 Communications Services, NEC |
| ECHO / GSAT | Watchlist | GSAT by 1.44 sd | SIC 4899 Communications Services, NEC |
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Explore the private betaPaper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.
