Major Chemicals

Air Products and Chemicals Inc. vs International Flavors & Fragrances Inc.

WatchlistAPD / IFFPrices through Oct 22, 2026

Why these are rivals: #2 and #3 by market value ($67B vs $23B) in Nasdaq's "Major Chemicals" industry; SEC SIC 2810 / 2860 (same major group).

Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.

  • Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.20 (needs >= 0.60)
  • Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -2.37 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Business leadership

APD is the larger business

Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.

YearAPDIFFLarger
2025$12.0B$10.9BAPD
2024$12.1B$11.5BAPD
2023$12.6B$11.5BAPD
2022$12.7B$12.4BAPD
2021$10.3B$11.7BIFF
2020$8.9B$5.1BAPD

Revenue lead switched: 2021 to IFF, 2022 to APD. Market value: APD $66.5B, IFF $23.2B.

Stock leadership

IFF is ahead now

Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.

IFF leads APD by 1.90 standard deviations: +13.9% over its usual price ratio. 3 lead switches in the last year.

Price change3 mo6 mo12 mo
APD+3.5%+1.5%+21.0%
IFF+23.6%+32.3%+44.3%
Relationship

Not a measured twin today

Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.

Pass
Aligned sessions: 2521 (needs >= 254)
Fail
Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.20 (needs >= 0.60)
Fail
Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -2.37 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Pass
Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 11.03 (needs <= 63)
Data
Both stocks current
The twins over two years

Prices side by side, and the gap between them

APD Air Products and Chemicals Inc. IFF International Flavors & Fragrances Inc.Price index, 100 = 2024-10-18. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).
6080100Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026
Spread z-score: APD relative to IFF, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: APD ahead; below 0: IFF ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).
-4stop-2idea0+2idea+4stopOct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026
Data table (504 sessions)
DateAPD indexIFF indexzAhead
2026-10-2292.8189.79-1.90IFF ahead
2026-10-2191.1487.11-1.74IFF ahead
2026-10-2091.1187.28-1.80IFF ahead
2026-10-1989.9387.04-1.97IFF ahead
2026-10-1690.2186.78-1.90IFF ahead
2026-10-1589.3186.40-2.00IFF ahead
2026-10-1488.0885.74-2.11IFF ahead
2026-10-1387.0184.40-2.07IFF ahead
2026-10-1285.4881.30-1.79IFF ahead
2026-10-0984.6980.91-1.86IFF ahead
2026-10-0883.8281.00-2.05IFF ahead
2026-10-0783.7580.49-1.98IFF ahead
2026-10-0684.6180.31-1.80IFF ahead
2026-10-0584.1579.67-1.78IFF ahead
2026-10-0283.5878.87-1.74IFF ahead
2026-10-0182.3079.54-2.10IFF ahead
2026-09-3083.7879.89-1.91IFF ahead
2026-09-2984.0781.58-2.19IFF ahead
2026-09-2883.9482.03-2.31IFF ahead
2026-09-2584.8482.00-2.17IFF ahead
2026-09-2485.6682.15-2.07IFF ahead
2026-09-2386.4182.02-1.93IFF ahead
2026-09-2286.6882.10-1.90IFF ahead
2026-09-2184.1580.00-1.96IFF ahead
2026-09-1885.5779.39-1.62IFF ahead
2026-09-1786.1581.25-1.86IFF ahead
2026-09-1686.4480.77-1.74IFF ahead
2026-09-1587.4980.61-1.55IFF ahead
2026-09-1486.4679.84-1.59IFF ahead
2026-09-1187.7580.01-1.42IFF ahead
2026-09-1088.4280.43-1.40IFF ahead
2026-09-0988.9080.68-1.37IFF ahead
2026-09-0889.6481.93-1.48IFF ahead
2026-09-0490.7282.63-1.44IFF ahead
2026-09-0391.6082.74-1.34IFF ahead
2026-09-0293.1883.20-1.18IFF ahead
2026-09-0191.9482.09-1.19IFF ahead
2026-08-3193.1882.61-1.10IFF ahead
2026-08-2892.7784.16-1.43IFF ahead
2026-08-2791.9883.11-1.38IFF ahead
2026-08-2692.3483.37-1.38IFF ahead
2026-08-2591.4983.41-1.52IFF ahead
2026-08-2492.2182.11-1.21IFF ahead
2026-08-2191.8780.65-1.03IFF ahead
2026-08-2090.4379.80-1.10IFF ahead
2026-08-1991.3079.74-0.97IFF ahead
2026-08-1891.3177.51-0.60IFF ahead
2026-08-1790.5978.31-0.85IFF ahead
2026-08-1493.0480.56-0.88IFF ahead
2026-08-1392.0080.44-1.01IFF ahead
2026-08-1291.5680.24-1.05IFF ahead
2026-08-1193.1481.34-1.01IFF ahead
2026-08-1092.8081.43-1.08IFF ahead
2026-08-0791.3782.19-1.41IFF ahead
2026-08-0690.3180.91-1.37IFF ahead
2026-08-0588.8684.28-2.15IFF ahead
2026-08-0488.7477.41-1.05IFF ahead
2026-08-0388.2177.11-1.09IFF ahead
2026-07-3188.8075.81-0.78IFF ahead
2026-07-3090.3976.06-0.59IFF ahead
2026-07-2988.6176.20-0.88IFF ahead
2026-07-2888.1875.84-0.89IFF ahead
2026-07-2788.1073.11-0.41near the usual relationship
2026-07-2489.6972.67-0.09near the usual relationship
2026-07-2388.6170.59+0.13near the usual relationship
2026-07-2289.4373.88-0.35near the usual relationship
2026-07-2189.2572.98-0.22near the usual relationship
2026-07-2089.3273.94-0.38near the usual relationship
2026-07-1789.0274.83-0.59IFF ahead
2026-07-1689.5274.26-0.41near the usual relationship
2026-07-1588.4372.07-0.17near the usual relationship
2026-07-1490.1571.45+0.20near the usual relationship
2026-07-1390.9271.87+0.24near the usual relationship
2026-07-1090.1974.19-0.29near the usual relationship
2026-07-0989.0875.15-0.63IFF ahead
2026-07-0889.3675.54-0.66IFF ahead
2026-07-0791.8578.31-0.77IFF ahead
2026-07-0693.0079.21-0.76IFF ahead
2026-07-0294.6180.22-0.70IFF ahead
2026-07-0192.2677.66-0.61IFF ahead
2026-06-3088.2875.81-0.88IFF ahead
2026-06-2981.7173.21-1.45IFF ahead
2026-06-2683.6573.06-1.12IFF ahead
2026-06-2584.2971.85-0.79IFF ahead
2026-06-2483.9372.56-0.98IFF ahead
2026-06-2385.0571.49-0.60IFF ahead
2026-06-2285.2572.68-0.79IFF ahead
2026-06-1884.3873.42-1.06IFF ahead
2026-06-1784.8472.78-0.87IFF ahead
2026-06-1684.4674.50-1.25IFF ahead
2026-06-1585.2074.99-1.22IFF ahead
2026-06-1284.8074.90-1.27IFF ahead
2026-06-1183.7574.17-1.30IFF ahead
2026-06-1083.2671.03-0.80IFF ahead
2026-06-0985.2172.52-0.76IFF ahead
2026-06-0883.3469.47-0.48near the usual relationship
2026-06-0585.0269.87-0.28near the usual relationship
2026-06-0485.1770.08-0.30near the usual relationship
2026-06-0385.0070.39-0.38near the usual relationship
2026-06-0284.1070.09-0.46near the usual relationship
2026-06-0183.9871.06-0.66IFF ahead
2026-05-2983.9072.78-0.99IFF ahead
2026-05-2885.4174.67-1.09IFF ahead
2026-05-2786.0473.68-0.81IFF ahead
2026-05-2687.2072.60-0.43near the usual relationship
2026-05-2287.1672.04-0.33near the usual relationship
2026-05-2187.3872.01-0.29near the usual relationship
2026-05-2087.0871.22-0.19near the usual relationship
2026-05-1987.8668.89+0.37near the usual relationship
2026-05-1888.3270.53+0.14near the usual relationship
2026-05-1588.9469.95+0.34near the usual relationship
2026-05-1490.3072.81+0.02near the usual relationship
2026-05-1392.2074.14+0.06near the usual relationship
2026-05-1291.4275.09-0.21near the usual relationship
2026-05-1191.6975.36-0.21near the usual relationship
2026-05-0888.9577.56-0.97IFF ahead
2026-05-0788.8374.89-0.53IFF ahead
2026-05-0690.4079.36-1.04IFF ahead
2026-05-0591.5267.72+1.13APD ahead
2026-05-0489.8467.07+1.03APD ahead
2026-05-0190.6667.76+1.02APD ahead
2026-04-3090.3567.18+1.10APD ahead
2026-04-2991.0965.92+1.45APD ahead
2026-04-2891.3467.72+1.15APD ahead
2026-04-2791.0567.93+1.08APD ahead
2026-04-2490.8668.08+1.04APD ahead
2026-04-2391.4367.89+1.16APD ahead
2026-04-2289.3668.11+0.84APD ahead
2026-04-2188.7669.30+0.54APD ahead
2026-04-2089.1771.23+0.26near the usual relationship
2026-04-1787.8772.61-0.16near the usual relationship
2026-04-1689.5068.96+0.72APD ahead
2026-04-1588.8968.45+0.73APD ahead
2026-04-1489.3269.46+0.61APD ahead
2026-04-1389.9368.61+0.86APD ahead
2026-04-1089.9569.40+0.72APD ahead
2026-04-0989.6569.98+0.58APD ahead
2026-04-0889.3170.59+0.43near the usual relationship
2026-04-0788.0466.97+0.92APD ahead
2026-04-0688.5668.74+0.67APD ahead
2026-04-0288.3969.31+0.55APD ahead
2026-04-0187.1569.44+0.35near the usual relationship
2026-03-3187.4769.43+0.40near the usual relationship
2026-03-3087.7967.90+0.73APD ahead
2026-03-2787.9867.95+0.75APD ahead
2026-03-2688.2868.09+0.77APD ahead
2026-03-2587.3567.67+0.72APD ahead
2026-03-2486.1964.98+1.07APD ahead
2026-03-2383.9165.20+0.70APD ahead
2026-03-2084.6263.75+1.09APD ahead
2026-03-1985.5665.20+0.96APD ahead
2026-03-1884.7465.37+0.81APD ahead
2026-03-1786.1668.21+0.49near the usual relationship
2026-03-1687.0767.07+0.84APD ahead
2026-03-1386.7166.61+0.88APD ahead
2026-03-1287.4767.00+0.92APD ahead
2026-03-1183.6265.76+0.59APD ahead
2026-03-1082.8469.71-0.26near the usual relationship
2026-03-0982.6370.01-0.35near the usual relationship
2026-03-0681.9670.59-0.56IFF ahead
2026-03-0583.2172.13-0.64IFF ahead
2026-03-0482.5774.82-1.21IFF ahead
2026-03-0382.2275.75-1.43IFF ahead
2026-03-0283.2477.27-1.54IFF ahead
2026-02-2783.0178.69-1.82IFF ahead
2026-02-2683.1877.45-1.61IFF ahead
2026-02-2584.4076.44-1.26IFF ahead
2026-02-2484.1578.57-1.67IFF ahead
2026-02-2385.2978.70-1.53IFF ahead
2026-02-2084.6777.89-1.50IFF ahead
2026-02-1984.5378.11-1.57IFF ahead
2026-02-1885.0379.39-1.72IFF ahead
2026-02-1783.6279.18-1.92IFF ahead
2026-02-1384.2379.43-1.88IFF ahead
2026-02-1287.7777.99-1.09IFF ahead
2026-02-1188.2773.66-0.24near the usual relationship
2026-02-1087.5573.45-0.31near the usual relationship
2026-02-0986.2371.94-0.24near the usual relationship
2026-02-0685.2571.60-0.33near the usual relationship
2026-02-0585.3770.27-0.06near the usual relationship
2026-02-0486.3071.09-0.07near the usual relationship
2026-02-0383.7067.35+0.24near the usual relationship
2026-02-0281.6066.75+0.03near the usual relationship
2026-01-3082.0566.80+0.09near the usual relationship
2026-01-2977.0966.60-0.71IFF ahead
2026-01-2877.0569.05-1.21IFF ahead
2026-01-2778.0270.06-1.24IFF ahead
2026-01-2679.0870.84-1.21IFF ahead
2026-01-2378.7070.08-1.14IFF ahead
2026-01-2279.5169.05-0.80IFF ahead
2026-01-2179.2368.23-0.69IFF ahead
2026-01-2077.7467.81-0.86IFF ahead
2026-01-1680.5668.59-0.53IFF ahead
2026-01-1580.0967.78-0.45near the usual relationship
2026-01-1480.4767.16-0.26near the usual relationship
2026-01-1380.1566.61-0.20near the usual relationship
2026-01-1280.4165.99-0.02near the usual relationship
2026-01-0979.4166.12-0.21near the usual relationship
2026-01-0878.6665.63-0.23near the usual relationship
2026-01-0778.8564.40+0.06near the usual relationship
2026-01-0677.8065.90-0.42near the usual relationship
2026-01-0576.4364.08-0.27near the usual relationship
2026-01-0275.4265.10-0.65IFF ahead
2025-12-3174.3864.49-0.70IFF ahead
2025-12-3074.9265.00-0.71IFF ahead
2025-12-2974.6364.84-0.72IFF ahead
2025-12-2674.5064.56-0.68IFF ahead
2025-12-2474.0364.04-0.65IFF ahead
2025-12-2373.7063.51-0.60IFF ahead
2025-12-2273.7163.70-0.63IFF ahead
2025-12-1972.2662.94-0.73IFF ahead
2025-12-1873.4062.59-0.45near the usual relationship
2025-12-1774.1962.79-0.35near the usual relationship
2025-12-1672.9461.80-0.36near the usual relationship
2025-12-1573.7861.41-0.13near the usual relationship
2025-12-1273.1760.54-0.05near the usual relationship
2025-12-1173.3960.53-0.01near the usual relationship
2025-12-1071.2862.57-0.79IFF ahead
2025-12-0969.4961.76-0.95IFF ahead
2025-12-0871.0862.55-0.83IFF ahead
2025-12-0578.5064.29+0.08near the usual relationship
2025-12-0478.7863.63+0.26near the usual relationship
2025-12-0378.4064.23+0.08near the usual relationship
2025-12-0277.3265.59-0.35near the usual relationship
2025-12-0178.5566.29-0.29near the usual relationship
2025-11-2878.6166.49-0.31near the usual relationship
2025-11-2677.9866.78-0.47near the usual relationship
2025-11-2577.9766.22-0.36near the usual relationship
2025-11-2477.2664.55-0.16near the usual relationship
2025-11-2177.5064.55-0.12near the usual relationship
2025-11-2075.6161.78+0.13near the usual relationship
2025-11-1976.2662.33+0.13near the usual relationship
2025-11-1875.9363.16-0.09near the usual relationship
2025-11-1776.2162.33+0.13near the usual relationship
2025-11-1478.0963.04+0.29near the usual relationship
2025-11-1379.2064.53+0.18near the usual relationship
2025-11-1278.7662.59+0.50APD ahead
2025-11-1178.9662.50+0.55APD ahead
2025-11-1077.8260.08+0.87APD ahead
2025-11-0778.2159.33+1.08APD ahead
2025-11-0677.9360.14+0.88APD ahead
2025-11-0571.5361.24-0.35near the usual relationship
2025-11-0472.5058.84+0.29near the usual relationship
2025-11-0372.0759.41+0.12near the usual relationship
2025-10-3173.0560.26+0.11near the usual relationship
2025-10-3073.6760.41+0.19near the usual relationship
2025-10-2974.7860.56+0.34near the usual relationship
2025-10-2876.6162.09+0.34near the usual relationship
2025-10-2777.0162.48+0.33near the usual relationship
2025-10-2476.7663.07+0.20near the usual relationship
2025-10-2376.7662.94+0.23near the usual relationship
2025-10-2276.2362.03+0.32near the usual relationship
2025-10-2176.7062.21+0.36near the usual relationship
2025-10-2076.5561.86+0.41near the usual relationship
2025-10-1776.2461.00+0.52APD ahead
2025-10-1676.2459.90+0.71APD ahead
2025-10-1577.5159.26+1.00APD ahead
2025-10-1478.8959.01+1.24APD ahead
2025-10-1378.5557.51+1.46APD ahead
2025-10-1077.4156.99+1.42APD ahead
2025-10-0979.1157.56+1.54APD ahead
2025-10-0880.8758.66+1.58APD ahead
2025-10-0781.5758.39+1.71APD ahead
2025-10-0681.5958.85+1.63APD ahead
2025-10-0381.7459.50+1.55APD ahead
2025-10-0281.4858.86+1.62APD ahead
2025-10-0180.9158.33+1.65APD ahead
2025-09-3082.1258.89+1.70APD ahead
2025-09-2981.4558.33+1.72APD ahead
2025-09-2680.3358.11+1.63APD ahead
2025-09-2580.0357.70+1.67APD ahead
2025-09-2481.9959.85+1.56APD ahead
2025-09-2383.2859.70+1.73APD ahead
2025-09-2286.5759.52+2.12APD ahead
2025-09-1987.3760.79+2.02APD ahead
2025-09-1888.0661.00+2.07APD ahead
2025-09-1787.5160.61+2.08APD ahead
2025-09-1685.8061.74+1.74APD ahead
2025-09-1587.1861.60+1.91APD ahead
2025-09-1288.1762.79+1.84APD ahead
2025-09-1188.6863.49+1.80APD ahead
2025-09-1086.5761.70+1.84APD ahead
2025-09-0986.4662.27+1.75APD ahead
2025-09-0886.9963.32+1.67APD ahead
2025-09-0587.2863.19+1.72APD ahead
2025-09-0487.3162.71+1.79APD ahead
2025-09-0387.7162.88+1.82APD ahead
2025-09-0287.9863.68+1.74APD ahead
2025-08-2988.5664.60+1.69APD ahead
2025-08-2888.8364.21+1.77APD ahead
2025-08-2788.7163.90+1.81APD ahead
2025-08-2688.5263.85+1.81APD ahead
2025-08-2588.5864.25+1.78APD ahead
2025-08-2290.1265.05+1.83APD ahead
2025-08-2188.3863.28+1.91APD ahead
2025-08-2088.0463.26+1.90APD ahead
2025-08-1987.3963.00+1.89APD ahead
2025-08-1886.7662.50+1.91APD ahead
2025-08-1587.4662.99+1.93APD ahead
2025-08-1487.9862.89+2.01APD ahead
2025-08-1388.5963.65+1.99APD ahead
2025-08-1287.1061.76+2.12APD ahead
2025-08-1185.5060.73+2.13APD ahead
2025-08-0886.9460.82+2.29APD ahead
2025-08-0786.8961.46+2.22APD ahead
2025-08-0687.0463.31+2.01APD ahead
2025-08-0588.0767.58+1.56APD ahead
2025-08-0486.5667.13+1.48APD ahead
2025-08-0184.8466.49+1.40APD ahead
2025-07-3186.6867.97+1.40APD ahead
2025-07-3087.3668.68+1.38APD ahead
2025-07-2988.8971.57+1.19APD ahead
2025-07-2889.0071.99+1.16APD ahead
2025-07-2590.1173.33+1.11APD ahead
2025-07-2489.5072.61+1.14APD ahead
2025-07-2389.7074.12+1.00APD ahead
2025-07-2289.7773.63+1.07APD ahead
2025-07-2188.4472.97+1.03APD ahead
2025-07-1888.9272.73+1.10APD ahead
2025-07-1788.4071.80+1.17APD ahead
2025-07-1687.0271.02+1.14APD ahead
2025-07-1586.3170.48+1.14APD ahead
2025-07-1487.5671.42+1.15APD ahead
2025-07-1187.9272.68+1.05APD ahead
2025-07-1088.5673.32+1.05APD ahead
2025-07-0988.6073.25+1.07APD ahead
2025-07-0888.0372.90+1.06APD ahead
2025-07-0787.0371.77+1.10APD ahead
2025-07-0387.8873.04+1.05APD ahead
2025-07-0287.4173.33+0.98APD ahead
2025-07-0185.9671.86+1.02APD ahead
2025-06-3084.9370.38+1.09APD ahead
2025-06-2785.0271.15+1.03APD ahead
2025-06-2685.2270.74+1.10APD ahead
2025-06-2584.9171.03+1.05APD ahead
2025-06-2484.6171.50+0.98APD ahead
2025-06-2382.2670.58+0.87APD ahead
2025-06-2081.4570.52+0.81APD ahead
2025-06-1882.9271.67+0.83APD ahead
2025-06-1783.4271.80+0.87APD ahead
2025-06-1684.4473.44+0.79APD ahead
2025-06-1384.4272.81+0.86APD ahead
2025-06-1285.3075.00+0.72APD ahead
2025-06-1184.9874.96+0.70APD ahead
2025-06-1084.8875.91+0.61APD ahead
2025-06-0984.2974.83+0.67APD ahead
2025-06-0684.2573.59+0.80APD ahead
2025-06-0583.1773.17+0.75APD ahead
2025-06-0484.3874.13+0.77APD ahead
2025-06-0385.3073.36+0.93APD ahead
2025-06-0283.9272.45+0.91APD ahead
2025-05-3083.9873.26+0.84APD ahead
2025-05-2982.2672.80+0.74APD ahead
2025-05-2881.8371.90+0.80APD ahead
2025-05-2782.6773.91+0.68APD ahead
2025-05-2381.2571.77+0.77APD ahead
2025-05-2281.0772.46+0.69APD ahead
2025-05-2181.2073.75+0.58APD ahead
2025-05-2083.0174.53+0.67APD ahead
2025-05-1983.5174.01+0.77APD ahead
2025-05-1683.9974.37+0.79APD ahead
2025-05-1582.6372.85+0.82APD ahead
2025-05-1481.7571.42+0.90APD ahead
2025-05-1382.4073.21+0.78APD ahead
2025-05-1283.1773.06+0.87APD ahead
2025-05-0981.6470.27+1.02APD ahead
2025-05-0881.1970.89+0.93APD ahead
2025-05-0779.6870.42+0.85APD ahead
2025-05-0680.5875.79+0.41near the usual relationship
2025-05-0581.9775.74+0.54APD ahead
2025-05-0283.6075.66+0.69APD ahead
2025-05-0181.9574.50+0.67APD ahead
2025-04-3081.6375.08+0.59APD ahead
2025-04-2981.5874.21+0.67APD ahead
2025-04-2881.1473.00+0.76APD ahead
2025-04-2580.4372.96+0.71APD ahead
2025-04-2480.9573.34+0.72APD ahead
2025-04-2379.7272.59+0.69APD ahead
2025-04-2279.9071.43+0.83APD ahead
2025-04-2177.5669.58+0.81APD ahead
2025-04-1779.1669.38+0.98APD ahead
2025-04-1678.6968.00+1.09APD ahead
2025-04-1579.8969.37+1.07APD ahead
2025-04-1482.0870.32+1.17APD ahead
2025-04-1181.0070.02+1.12APD ahead
2025-04-1078.9068.31+1.11APD ahead
2025-04-0981.3669.83+1.18APD ahead
2025-04-0874.8663.97+1.23APD ahead
2025-04-0778.0267.67+1.13APD ahead
2025-04-0479.3369.97+1.02APD ahead
2025-04-0385.2873.16+1.22APD ahead
2025-04-0288.8275.23+1.33APD ahead
2025-04-0188.3674.10+1.41APD ahead
2025-03-3188.8074.27+1.44APD ahead
2025-03-2888.0173.19+1.50APD ahead
2025-03-2788.8674.81+1.42APD ahead
2025-03-2688.9174.32+1.49APD ahead
2025-03-2588.2773.61+1.52APD ahead
2025-03-2488.3674.19+1.48APD ahead
2025-03-2187.8274.49+1.42APD ahead
2025-03-2088.2076.31+1.29APD ahead
2025-03-1988.5377.08+1.25APD ahead
2025-03-1887.8777.33+1.18APD ahead
2025-03-1789.0278.51+1.17APD ahead
2025-03-1487.9076.22+1.31APD ahead
2025-03-1388.1875.76+1.39APD ahead
2025-03-1288.7276.12+1.41APD ahead
2025-03-1189.7676.44+1.47APD ahead
2025-03-1091.4576.87+1.59APD ahead
2025-03-0795.2878.97+1.71APD ahead
2025-03-0693.6378.53+1.63APD ahead
2025-03-0593.8277.75+1.74APD ahead
2025-03-0491.9576.35+1.74APD ahead
2025-03-0393.5477.44+1.78APD ahead
2025-02-2895.2078.29+1.85APD ahead
2025-02-2794.0777.55+1.86APD ahead
2025-02-2694.5077.10+1.96APD ahead
2025-02-2595.5676.82+2.11APD ahead
2025-02-2493.1676.18+1.99APD ahead
2025-02-2193.3176.45+2.00APD ahead
2025-02-2094.6376.69+2.12APD ahead
2025-02-1995.4778.46+2.03APD ahead
2025-02-1895.4582.73+1.60APD ahead
2025-02-1495.1981.89+1.68APD ahead
2025-02-1394.9082.30+1.63APD ahead
2025-02-1293.4581.03+1.65APD ahead
2025-02-1193.1981.54+1.59APD ahead
2025-02-1093.5180.66+1.73APD ahead
2025-02-0793.4880.69+1.74APD ahead
2025-02-0698.8081.98+2.10APD ahead
2025-02-05100.3282.47+2.21APD ahead
2025-02-04101.0781.93+2.36APD ahead
2025-02-03101.8082.68+2.38APD ahead
2025-01-31100.9583.34+2.26APD ahead
2025-01-30100.9083.94+2.22APD ahead
2025-01-2998.5682.30+2.21APD ahead
2025-01-2898.4682.81+2.17APD ahead
2025-01-2798.3583.86+2.06APD ahead
2025-01-2499.1482.15+2.35APD ahead
2025-01-2397.5682.74+2.16APD ahead
2025-01-2295.4581.81+2.08APD ahead
2025-01-2196.2881.87+2.17APD ahead
2025-01-1795.6981.23+2.21APD ahead
2025-01-1693.9780.80+2.11APD ahead
2025-01-1592.4180.55+1.99APD ahead
2025-01-1492.7380.07+2.10APD ahead
2025-01-1390.8679.71+1.96APD ahead
2025-01-1088.2577.86+1.92APD ahead
2025-01-0885.8978.54+1.56APD ahead
2025-01-0786.2279.00+1.55APD ahead
2025-01-0685.2978.57+1.50APD ahead
2025-01-0385.4978.97+1.47APD ahead
2025-01-0285.3079.51+1.38APD ahead
2024-12-3187.3480.91+1.45APD ahead
2024-12-3086.9380.34+1.47APD ahead
2024-12-2788.1780.95+1.54APD ahead
2024-12-2688.8581.27+1.58APD ahead
2024-12-2489.1481.44+1.60APD ahead
2024-12-2388.3981.14+1.55APD ahead
2024-12-2088.8382.05+1.49APD ahead
2024-12-1988.2882.24+1.41APD ahead
2024-12-1888.9281.68+1.55APD ahead
2024-12-1791.7583.03+1.71APD ahead
2024-12-1692.3683.40+1.73APD ahead
2024-12-1394.0483.64+1.89APD ahead
2024-12-1293.6184.31+1.77APD ahead
2024-12-1194.0684.06+1.85APD ahead
2024-12-1094.9184.74+1.87APD ahead
2024-12-0995.3485.29+1.85APD ahead
2024-12-0696.3985.09+2.00APD ahead
2024-12-0596.9585.17+2.06APD ahead
2024-12-0498.6185.45+2.20APD ahead
2024-12-0399.5686.28+2.21APD ahead
2024-12-02101.0687.34+2.24APD ahead
2024-11-29100.6787.43+2.20APD ahead
2024-11-27100.3486.91+2.24APD ahead
2024-11-26100.8187.01+2.27APD ahead
2024-11-25100.5686.98+2.25APD ahead
2024-11-2299.9286.90+2.20APD ahead
2024-11-2199.0385.91+2.22APD ahead
2024-11-2098.7285.01+2.29APD ahead
2024-11-1998.7785.10+2.29APD ahead
2024-11-1898.7382.88+2.57APD ahead
2024-11-1595.4882.43+2.28APD ahead
2024-11-1495.1285.52+1.85APD ahead
2024-11-1394.2285.98+1.68APD ahead
2024-11-1293.6885.58+1.66APD ahead
2024-11-1194.5287.28+1.54APD ahead
2024-11-0894.2588.31+1.38APD ahead
2024-11-0794.1987.04+1.52APD ahead
2024-11-0692.3683.80+1.67APD ahead
2024-11-0592.2594.83+0.41near the usual relationship
2024-11-0492.1794.71+0.39near the usual relationship
2024-11-0193.1194.67+0.47near the usual relationship
2024-10-3193.5095.15+0.45near the usual relationship
2024-10-3094.1896.78+0.33near the usual relationship
2024-10-2994.9496.97+0.37near the usual relationship
2024-10-2895.8397.80+0.37near the usual relationship
2024-10-2595.7697.08+0.41near the usual relationship
2024-10-2496.9998.04+0.42near the usual relationship
2024-10-2398.3599.47+0.39near the usual relationship
2024-10-2299.4899.40+0.48near the usual relationship
2024-10-2199.8499.59+0.48near the usual relationship
2024-10-18100.00100.00+0.44near the usual relationship

One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Nov 6, 2024 (APD +0.1%, IFF -11.6%); Nov 6, 2025 (APD +8.9%, IFF -1.8%); Dec 8, 2025 (APD -9.4%, IFF -2.7%); May 6, 2026 (APD -1.2%, IFF +17.2%). Upcoming earnings: IFF Nov 3, 2026 (after-hours); APD Nov 5, 2026 (pre-market).

Paired trades

The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart

Forward paper record

No paper position on this pair yet.

Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)

1 simulated trade to Oct 20, 2026: -11.52% per trade on average after costs, 0 won.

LegsEnteredExitedWhyDaysBefore costsCosts + borrowAfter costs
Long IFF · Short APDJul 8, 2020Aug 14, 2020divergence stop37-$1,103.34-$49.11-$1,151.90 (-11.52%)

Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.

The companies

APD and IFF at a glance

APD Air Products and Chemicals Inc.

Listing
NYSE · SEC CIK 2969
Industry
Major Chemicals · SIC 2810 Industrial Inorganic Chemicals
Market value
$66.5B
Price history
2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026

IFF International Flavors & Fragrances Inc.

Listing
NYSE · SEC CIK 51253
Industry
Major Chemicals · SIC 2860 Industrial Organic Chemicals
Market value
$23.2B
Price history
2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026

Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.

Related
All pairs →
PairStatusAhead nowIndustry
LIN / IFFWatchlistIFF by 1.88 sdMajor Chemicals
IFF / LYBWatchlistIFF by 0.71 sdSIC 2860 Industrial Organic Chemicals
LIN / APDWatchlistAPD by 0.53 sdMajor Chemicals

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Explore the private beta

Paper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.