AbbVie Inc. vs Eli Lilly and Company
WatchlistABBV / LLYPrices through Oct 22, 2026
Why these are rivals: #1 and #3 by market value ($1168B vs $500B) in Nasdaq's "Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations" industry; SEC SIC 2834 / 2834 (same major group); #1 and #3 by market value ($1168B vs $500B) with SEC SIC 2834 (Pharmaceutical Preparations).
Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.38 (needs >= 0.60)
Business leadership
LLY is the larger business
Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.
| Year | ABBV | LLY | Larger |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $61.2B | $65.2B | LLY |
| 2024 | $56.3B | $45.0B | ABBV |
| 2023 | $54.3B | $34.1B | ABBV |
| 2022 | $58.1B | $28.5B | ABBV |
| 2021 | $56.2B | $28.3B | ABBV |
| 2020 | $45.8B | $24.5B | ABBV |
Revenue lead switched: 2025 to LLY. Market value: ABBV $499.5B, LLY $1.17T.
Stock leadership
Neither is clearly ahead
Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.
The gap is 0.07 standard deviations, close to the usual relationship. 2 lead switches in the last year.
| Price change | 3 mo | 6 mo | 12 mo |
|---|---|---|---|
| ABBV | +10.0% | +41.9% | +23.3% |
| LLY | +9.3% | +42.4% | +63.4% |
Relationship
Not a measured twin today
Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.
- Pass
- Aligned sessions: 2521 (needs >= 254)
- Fail
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.38 (needs >= 0.60)
- Pass
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -4.18 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
- Pass
- Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 7.32 (needs <= 63)
- Data
- Both stocks current
The twins over two years
Prices side by side, and the gap between them
ABBV AbbVie Inc. LLY Eli Lilly and CompanyPrice index, 100 = 2024-10-18. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).
Spread z-score: ABBV relative to LLY, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: ABBV ahead; below 0: LLY ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).
Data table (504 sessions)
| Date | ABBV index | LLY index | z | Ahead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | 151.01 | 142.35 | -0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-21 | 150.80 | 138.43 | +0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-20 | 153.07 | 139.84 | +0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-19 | 149.68 | 135.12 | +0.51 | ABBV ahead |
| 2026-10-16 | 151.13 | 136.94 | +0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-15 | 150.06 | 136.35 | +0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-14 | 150.10 | 131.68 | +0.82 | ABBV ahead |
| 2026-10-13 | 145.27 | 127.07 | +0.84 | ABBV ahead |
| 2026-10-12 | 148.85 | 128.83 | +0.96 | ABBV ahead |
| 2026-10-09 | 146.39 | 128.46 | +0.76 | ABBV ahead |
| 2026-10-08 | 144.24 | 127.41 | +0.66 | ABBV ahead |
| 2026-10-07 | 143.68 | 129.49 | +0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-06 | 141.21 | 126.09 | +0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-05 | 140.72 | 124.53 | +0.58 | ABBV ahead |
| 2026-10-02 | 139.16 | 124.50 | +0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-01 | 137.63 | 125.26 | +0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-30 | 138.51 | 126.05 | +0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-29 | 139.41 | 129.05 | -0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-28 | 140.99 | 129.07 | +0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-25 | 139.97 | 128.92 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-24 | 140.38 | 128.75 | +0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-23 | 140.36 | 125.38 | +0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-22 | 140.43 | 127.47 | +0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-21 | 140.04 | 126.90 | +0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-18 | 139.76 | 125.60 | +0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-17 | 139.80 | 125.54 | +0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-16 | 139.00 | 123.95 | +0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-15 | 139.28 | 123.76 | +0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-14 | 138.61 | 124.00 | +0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-11 | 136.14 | 121.54 | +0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-10 | 135.02 | 122.34 | +0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-09 | 132.86 | 122.47 | -0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-08 | 131.73 | 122.43 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-04 | 135.79 | 125.21 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-03 | 137.78 | 126.32 | -0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-02 | 138.58 | 126.37 | -0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-01 | 137.66 | 126.37 | -0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-31 | 135.77 | 126.01 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-28 | 135.27 | 127.96 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-27 | 136.69 | 128.12 | -0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-26 | 139.20 | 129.57 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-25 | 140.73 | 134.39 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-24 | 140.06 | 135.84 | -0.60 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-08-21 | 140.29 | 136.76 | -0.65 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-08-20 | 138.64 | 135.56 | -0.68 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-08-19 | 140.83 | 139.48 | -0.79 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-08-18 | 137.10 | 133.53 | -0.66 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-08-17 | 132.55 | 128.89 | -0.65 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-08-14 | 132.09 | 128.56 | -0.66 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-08-13 | 132.81 | 131.70 | -0.81 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-08-12 | 131.72 | 132.93 | -0.95 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-08-11 | 132.42 | 132.36 | -0.88 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-08-10 | 131.30 | 134.20 | -1.06 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-08-07 | 130.28 | 129.17 | -0.84 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-08-06 | 129.13 | 129.85 | -0.95 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-08-05 | 130.36 | 127.44 | -0.74 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-08-04 | 129.09 | 121.54 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-03 | 129.78 | 122.16 | -0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-31 | 132.87 | 125.15 | -0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-30 | 136.30 | 125.82 | -0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-29 | 139.42 | 131.81 | -0.51 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-07-28 | 139.36 | 132.97 | -0.58 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-07-27 | 136.03 | 130.45 | -0.62 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-07-24 | 137.33 | 130.29 | -0.55 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-07-23 | 136.04 | 129.18 | -0.56 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-07-22 | 134.12 | 126.69 | -0.52 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-07-21 | 135.60 | 128.04 | -0.52 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-07-20 | 134.16 | 124.94 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-17 | 134.75 | 128.45 | -0.60 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-07-16 | 134.70 | 127.36 | -0.54 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-07-15 | 129.25 | 126.00 | -0.78 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-07-14 | 129.61 | 125.55 | -0.73 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-07-13 | 131.31 | 128.75 | -0.83 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-07-10 | 131.36 | 129.48 | -0.88 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-07-09 | 132.33 | 132.57 | -1.01 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-07-08 | 133.82 | 132.45 | -0.92 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-07-07 | 134.84 | 134.60 | -0.99 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-07-06 | 134.89 | 130.73 | -0.77 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-07-02 | 138.23 | 132.24 | -0.68 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-07-01 | 132.93 | 129.82 | -0.84 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-06-30 | 133.24 | 130.66 | -0.88 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-06-29 | 134.66 | 133.98 | -0.99 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-06-26 | 134.15 | 131.61 | -0.89 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-06-25 | 128.74 | 122.85 | -0.68 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-06-24 | 124.37 | 121.71 | -0.88 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-06-23 | 124.30 | 120.60 | -0.82 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-06-22 | 121.79 | 120.06 | -0.95 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-06-18 | 114.63 | 119.67 | -1.40 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-06-17 | 117.14 | 121.14 | -1.34 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-06-16 | 117.80 | 122.28 | -1.38 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-06-15 | 117.33 | 123.03 | -1.47 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-06-12 | 120.58 | 123.42 | -1.29 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-06-11 | 119.01 | 126.47 | -1.60 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-06-10 | 119.11 | 123.79 | -1.43 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-06-09 | 119.36 | 124.70 | -1.49 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-06-08 | 118.11 | 125.18 | -1.62 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-06-05 | 120.32 | 123.25 | -1.36 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-06-04 | 119.10 | 122.58 | -1.41 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-06-03 | 114.97 | 117.52 | -1.36 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-06-02 | 114.05 | 115.92 | -1.33 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-06-01 | 112.74 | 117.89 | -1.57 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-05-29 | 115.28 | 120.37 | -1.58 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-05-28 | 115.76 | 122.75 | -1.72 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-05-27 | 114.05 | 117.97 | -1.53 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-05-26 | 112.85 | 115.99 | -1.49 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-05-22 | 114.21 | 116.02 | -1.41 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-05-21 | 113.58 | 113.47 | -1.28 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-05-20 | 112.41 | 110.99 | -1.19 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-05-19 | 113.18 | 111.27 | -1.16 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-05-18 | 110.88 | 107.64 | -1.06 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-05-15 | 111.40 | 109.47 | -1.17 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-05-14 | 111.60 | 109.67 | -1.18 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-05-13 | 110.40 | 110.65 | -1.36 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-05-12 | 110.06 | 107.83 | -1.18 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-05-11 | 107.37 | 105.34 | -1.20 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-05-08 | 106.72 | 103.32 | -1.09 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-05-07 | 107.33 | 106.21 | -1.29 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-05-06 | 108.56 | 107.53 | -1.30 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-05-05 | 109.13 | 107.72 | -1.28 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-05-04 | 110.22 | 105.44 | -1.02 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-05-01 | 109.39 | 104.94 | -1.04 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-04-30 | 111.89 | 101.81 | -0.58 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-04-29 | 107.96 | 92.73 | -0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-28 | 104.68 | 95.21 | -0.57 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-04-27 | 104.51 | 94.59 | -0.53 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-04-24 | 105.22 | 96.30 | -0.62 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-04-23 | 106.40 | 99.97 | -0.84 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-04-22 | 106.16 | 100.38 | -0.89 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-04-21 | 108.61 | 98.37 | -0.52 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-04-20 | 107.86 | 100.21 | -0.74 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-04-17 | 110.34 | 100.99 | -0.61 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-04-16 | 110.66 | 98.48 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-15 | 110.36 | 98.59 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-14 | 111.33 | 100.49 | -0.50 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-04-13 | 109.32 | 101.26 | -0.72 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-04-10 | 110.10 | 102.34 | -0.76 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-04-09 | 112.46 | 104.05 | -0.72 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-04-08 | 112.04 | 103.85 | -0.74 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-04-07 | 109.27 | 101.43 | -0.76 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-04-06 | 109.44 | 100.99 | -0.72 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-04-02 | 110.58 | 101.92 | -0.71 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-04-01 | 113.83 | 103.98 | -0.64 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-03-31 | 115.16 | 100.20 | -0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-30 | 112.85 | 96.59 | -0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-27 | 110.88 | 95.67 | -0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-26 | 111.79 | 97.72 | -0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-25 | 109.70 | 99.82 | -0.61 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-03-24 | 108.65 | 98.37 | -0.57 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-03-23 | 108.51 | 99.19 | -0.66 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-03-20 | 108.58 | 98.77 | -0.62 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-03-19 | 109.20 | 99.95 | -0.68 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-03-18 | 110.31 | 100.01 | -0.60 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-03-17 | 116.36 | 101.35 | -0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-16 | 117.26 | 107.75 | -0.73 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-03-13 | 116.32 | 107.31 | -0.77 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-03-12 | 119.33 | 106.46 | -0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-11 | 120.55 | 108.92 | -0.59 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-03-10 | 120.20 | 109.08 | -0.64 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-03-09 | 120.43 | 109.85 | -0.68 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-03-06 | 121.84 | 107.88 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-05 | 123.03 | 107.11 | -0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-04 | 125.06 | 109.32 | -0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-03 | 123.83 | 109.78 | -0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-02 | 124.04 | 110.89 | -0.50 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-02-27 | 122.88 | 114.60 | -0.87 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-02-26 | 118.97 | 111.33 | -0.90 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-02-25 | 120.15 | 112.08 | -0.87 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-02-24 | 120.96 | 113.53 | -0.93 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-02-23 | 121.51 | 115.32 | -1.03 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-02-20 | 119.04 | 109.97 | -0.80 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-02-19 | 118.79 | 111.47 | -0.93 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-02-18 | 121.11 | 111.18 | -0.75 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-02-17 | 123.30 | 112.86 | -0.72 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-02-13 | 122.58 | 113.29 | -0.80 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-02-12 | 120.46 | 113.11 | -0.94 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-02-11 | 116.96 | 110.59 | -1.00 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-02-10 | 117.78 | 111.66 | -1.03 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-02-09 | 118.21 | 113.80 | -1.16 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-02-06 | 118.30 | 115.27 | -1.27 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-02-05 | 115.97 | 111.21 | -1.14 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-02-04 | 114.96 | 120.61 | -1.94 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-02-03 | 119.49 | 109.31 | -0.74 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-02-02 | 119.47 | 113.74 | -1.09 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-01-30 | 118.08 | 112.98 | -1.13 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-01-29 | 116.72 | 111.57 | -1.12 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-01-28 | 115.78 | 111.53 | -1.19 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-01-27 | 118.57 | 113.24 | -1.12 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-01-26 | 116.90 | 115.77 | -1.45 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-01-23 | 116.10 | 115.94 | -1.53 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-01-22 | 115.49 | 118.45 | -1.78 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-01-21 | 114.45 | 117.49 | -1.81 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-01-20 | 113.33 | 113.43 | -1.59 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-01-16 | 113.50 | 113.12 | -1.56 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-01-15 | 114.77 | 112.53 | -1.42 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-01-14 | 117.49 | 116.92 | -1.57 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-01-13 | 116.89 | 117.34 | -1.65 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-01-12 | 116.51 | 117.76 | -1.73 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-01-09 | 116.53 | 115.86 | -1.59 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-01-08 | 118.68 | 118.22 | -1.62 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-01-07 | 123.59 | 120.71 | -1.44 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-01-06 | 118.57 | 115.91 | -1.46 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-01-05 | 116.58 | 113.46 | -1.43 | LLY ahead |
| 2026-01-02 | 121.42 | 117.69 | -1.39 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-12-31 | 120.98 | 117.07 | -1.38 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-12-30 | 121.65 | 117.62 | -1.38 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-12-29 | 122.23 | 117.51 | -1.33 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-12-26 | 121.77 | 117.41 | -1.37 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-12-24 | 121.73 | 117.32 | -1.37 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-12-23 | 121.14 | 116.74 | -1.37 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-12-22 | 120.68 | 117.27 | -1.46 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-12-19 | 120.10 | 116.72 | -1.47 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-12-18 | 117.98 | 115.13 | -1.51 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-12-17 | 118.77 | 113.49 | -1.31 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-12-16 | 118.43 | 114.85 | -1.46 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-12-15 | 120.43 | 115.71 | -1.37 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-12-12 | 118.25 | 111.93 | -1.23 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-12-11 | 118.60 | 109.96 | -1.03 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-12-10 | 119.23 | 108.24 | -0.82 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-12-09 | 118.07 | 107.00 | -0.80 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-12-08 | 118.14 | 108.67 | -0.94 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-12-05 | 119.71 | 110.06 | -0.93 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-12-04 | 121.10 | 110.51 | -0.86 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-12-03 | 121.91 | 112.59 | -0.98 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-12-02 | 118.80 | 113.96 | -1.35 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-12-01 | 119.19 | 115.24 | -1.43 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-11-28 | 120.57 | 117.16 | -1.49 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-11-26 | 120.54 | 120.30 | -1.76 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-11-25 | 122.74 | 120.91 | -1.65 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-11-24 | 121.52 | 116.58 | -1.39 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-11-21 | 125.11 | 115.44 | -1.01 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-11-20 | 121.49 | 113.65 | -1.15 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-11-19 | 123.32 | 114.34 | -1.06 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-11-18 | 123.83 | 112.21 | -0.83 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-11-17 | 123.90 | 111.30 | -0.74 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-11-14 | 123.03 | 111.69 | -0.84 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-11-13 | 123.00 | 111.43 | -0.81 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-11-12 | 123.49 | 110.87 | -0.73 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-11-11 | 119.23 | 107.70 | -0.79 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-11-10 | 115.81 | 105.30 | -0.86 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-11-07 | 116.04 | 100.70 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-06 | 115.98 | 102.12 | -0.55 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-11-05 | 114.78 | 100.85 | -0.53 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-11-04 | 114.31 | 98.79 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-03 | 112.23 | 97.66 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-31 | 115.45 | 94.00 | +0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-30 | 120.83 | 92.00 | +0.87 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-10-29 | 119.21 | 88.62 | +1.11 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-10-28 | 120.48 | 89.34 | +1.14 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-10-27 | 120.74 | 90.03 | +1.10 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-10-24 | 120.72 | 89.92 | +1.12 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-10-23 | 120.86 | 89.44 | +1.19 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-10-22 | 121.08 | 88.50 | +1.31 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-10-21 | 122.52 | 87.10 | +1.59 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-10-20 | 122.87 | 88.12 | +1.52 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-10-17 | 121.56 | 87.46 | +1.50 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-10-16 | 120.13 | 89.26 | +1.20 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-10-15 | 119.78 | 90.04 | +1.10 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-10-14 | 121.32 | 88.49 | +1.40 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-10-13 | 121.94 | 89.26 | +1.37 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-10-10 | 122.05 | 90.80 | +1.23 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-10-09 | 122.15 | 93.18 | +1.00 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-10-08 | 122.44 | 92.13 | +1.14 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-10-07 | 123.28 | 91.90 | +1.24 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-10-06 | 121.88 | 92.06 | +1.12 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-10-03 | 123.85 | 91.49 | +1.34 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-10-02 | 125.26 | 89.31 | +1.70 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-10-01 | 129.40 | 89.92 | +1.97 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-09-30 | 122.60 | 83.12 | +2.24 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-09-29 | 118.16 | 79.14 | +2.39 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-09-26 | 116.81 | 78.93 | +2.33 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-09-25 | 115.72 | 77.84 | +2.41 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-09-24 | 116.48 | 80.81 | +2.13 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-09-23 | 117.87 | 81.37 | +2.20 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-09-22 | 117.86 | 82.24 | +2.12 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-09-19 | 117.80 | 81.92 | +2.19 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-09-18 | 117.54 | 83.11 | +2.04 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-09-17 | 116.92 | 82.81 | +2.05 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-09-16 | 114.51 | 83.30 | +1.79 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-09-15 | 115.22 | 81.50 | +2.10 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-09-12 | 115.61 | 82.29 | +2.06 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-09-11 | 116.60 | 82.39 | +2.17 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-09-10 | 112.06 | 82.21 | +1.79 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-09-09 | 111.42 | 81.77 | +1.81 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-09-08 | 111.08 | 80.46 | +1.97 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-09-05 | 112.55 | 79.22 | +2.30 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-09-04 | 112.78 | 80.93 | +2.12 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-09-03 | 112.18 | 80.38 | +2.16 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-09-02 | 112.21 | 80.09 | +2.23 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-08-29 | 111.41 | 79.80 | +2.21 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-08-28 | 110.09 | 79.74 | +2.12 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-08-27 | 110.17 | 79.98 | +2.12 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-08-26 | 110.33 | 80.18 | +2.13 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-08-25 | 109.90 | 75.75 | +2.77 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-08-22 | 111.51 | 77.53 | +2.71 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-08-21 | 110.93 | 77.32 | +2.73 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-08-20 | 110.74 | 76.85 | +2.84 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-08-19 | 109.18 | 76.60 | +2.75 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-08-18 | 109.38 | 76.04 | +2.92 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-08-15 | 109.44 | 76.39 | +2.93 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-08-14 | 108.38 | 74.56 | +3.18 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-08-13 | 106.68 | 71.95 | +3.51 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-08-12 | 105.18 | 69.66 | +3.87 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-08-11 | 105.18 | 69.20 | +4.09 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-08-08 | 104.87 | 68.16 | +4.44 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-08-07 | 105.29 | 69.81 | +4.32 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-08-06 | 103.94 | 81.31 | +1.96 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-08-05 | 105.13 | 83.44 | +1.77 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-08-04 | 104.41 | 83.77 | +1.63 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-08-01 | 103.37 | 83.05 | +1.62 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-07-31 | 100.08 | 80.62 | +1.60 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-07-30 | 100.24 | 82.80 | +1.23 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-07-29 | 101.25 | 83.11 | +1.34 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-07-28 | 99.82 | 88.03 | +0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-25 | 100.75 | 88.53 | +0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-24 | 101.04 | 87.74 | +0.52 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-07-23 | 100.89 | 87.03 | +0.62 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-07-22 | 99.07 | 84.58 | +0.78 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-07-21 | 97.88 | 83.03 | +0.87 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-07-18 | 100.21 | 84.07 | +1.03 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-07-17 | 101.34 | 82.95 | +1.36 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-07-16 | 100.91 | 86.04 | +0.80 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-07-15 | 98.69 | 84.07 | +0.82 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-07-14 | 101.41 | 87.08 | +0.71 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-07-11 | 101.90 | 86.39 | +0.88 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-07-10 | 103.25 | 86.13 | +1.09 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-07-09 | 100.93 | 85.72 | +0.87 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-07-08 | 100.48 | 84.72 | +0.96 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-07-07 | 99.35 | 84.19 | +0.90 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-07-03 | 100.22 | 85.04 | +0.89 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-07-02 | 101.00 | 84.89 | +1.01 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-07-01 | 100.60 | 84.52 | +1.02 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-06-30 | 98.28 | 84.92 | +0.69 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-06-27 | 96.53 | 84.47 | +0.55 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-06-26 | 98.90 | 86.62 | +0.55 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-06-25 | 98.16 | 86.31 | +0.51 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-06-24 | 98.25 | 84.76 | +0.73 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-06-23 | 97.30 | 83.95 | +0.74 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-06-20 | 98.12 | 83.09 | +0.96 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-06-18 | 98.22 | 85.52 | +0.65 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-06-17 | 98.21 | 86.19 | +0.56 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-06-16 | 101.06 | 87.97 | +0.66 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-06-13 | 101.18 | 89.26 | +0.52 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-06-12 | 101.88 | 88.46 | +0.70 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-06-11 | 101.40 | 88.09 | +0.70 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-06-10 | 100.34 | 87.93 | +0.61 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-06-09 | 100.16 | 84.28 | +1.07 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-06-06 | 100.51 | 83.87 | +1.17 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-06-05 | 99.26 | 83.41 | +1.10 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-06-04 | 99.20 | 83.43 | +1.10 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-06-03 | 99.15 | 81.79 | +1.32 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-06-02 | 99.01 | 81.39 | +1.37 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-05-30 | 98.54 | 80.36 | +1.47 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-05-29 | 98.28 | 78.71 | +1.69 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-05-28 | 96.94 | 78.37 | +1.60 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-05-27 | 98.34 | 79.00 | +1.68 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-05-23 | 97.03 | 77.75 | +1.73 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-05-22 | 96.65 | 77.91 | +1.68 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-05-21 | 96.26 | 78.97 | +1.49 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-05-20 | 97.88 | 81.38 | +1.36 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-05-19 | 98.33 | 82.26 | +1.30 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-05-16 | 97.44 | 82.51 | +1.17 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-05-15 | 96.20 | 79.88 | +1.40 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-05-14 | 93.95 | 77.95 | +1.42 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-05-13 | 99.54 | 81.27 | +1.62 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-05-12 | 100.64 | 82.31 | +1.62 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-05-09 | 97.74 | 80.02 | +1.62 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-05-08 | 98.26 | 81.86 | +1.44 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-05-07 | 99.59 | 84.61 | +1.21 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-05-06 | 99.09 | 84.44 | +1.19 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-05-05 | 103.82 | 89.49 | +1.06 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-05-02 | 105.09 | 89.72 | +1.18 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-05-01 | 102.37 | 86.51 | +1.31 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-04-30 | 103.30 | 97.93 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-29 | 102.46 | 96.43 | +0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-28 | 101.84 | 95.57 | +0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-25 | 98.52 | 96.36 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-24 | 95.50 | 93.66 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-23 | 93.75 | 90.35 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-22 | 92.02 | 90.15 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-21 | 90.10 | 89.11 | -0.56 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-04-17 | 91.60 | 91.50 | -0.68 | LLY ahead |
| 2025-04-16 | 90.90 | 80.06 | +0.81 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-04-15 | 93.61 | 82.48 | +0.81 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-04-14 | 94.83 | 82.18 | +1.01 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-04-11 | 92.69 | 79.79 | +1.09 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-04-10 | 92.24 | 78.53 | +1.23 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-04-09 | 95.22 | 82.11 | +1.09 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-04-08 | 93.02 | 79.11 | +1.26 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-04-07 | 98.78 | 78.84 | +2.04 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-04-04 | 98.99 | 80.42 | +1.85 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-04-03 | 106.77 | 85.96 | +1.97 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-04-02 | 108.65 | 89.13 | +1.75 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-04-01 | 109.22 | 87.72 | +2.03 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-03-31 | 110.94 | 89.97 | +1.92 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-03-28 | 108.70 | 89.60 | +1.73 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-03-27 | 107.34 | 89.51 | +1.60 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-03-26 | 106.59 | 90.06 | +1.44 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-03-25 | 106.61 | 92.85 | +1.06 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-03-24 | 110.75 | 94.22 | +1.37 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-03-21 | 111.20 | 91.24 | +1.83 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-03-20 | 112.23 | 91.79 | +1.89 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-03-19 | 112.38 | 91.18 | +2.00 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-03-18 | 113.23 | 89.60 | +2.35 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-03-17 | 113.56 | 89.85 | +2.37 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-03-14 | 112.13 | 88.62 | +2.41 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-03-13 | 112.01 | 87.33 | +2.61 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-03-12 | 112.28 | 89.53 | +2.34 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-03-11 | 113.09 | 89.77 | +2.43 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-03-10 | 114.72 | 90.39 | +2.57 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-03-07 | 113.47 | 94.73 | +1.79 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-03-06 | 111.59 | 99.43 | +0.91 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-03-05 | 112.01 | 101.28 | +0.71 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-03-04 | 110.01 | 99.25 | +0.73 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-03-03 | 111.98 | 101.28 | +0.70 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-02-28 | 110.68 | 100.29 | +0.67 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-02-27 | 108.56 | 98.60 | +0.63 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-02-26 | 107.49 | 99.68 | +0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-25 | 108.09 | 98.24 | +0.62 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-02-24 | 108.06 | 96.02 | +0.93 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-02-21 | 107.00 | 95.18 | +0.91 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-02-20 | 106.36 | 95.11 | +0.84 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-02-19 | 104.50 | 94.45 | +0.69 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-02-18 | 103.91 | 93.38 | +0.77 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-02-14 | 102.12 | 91.97 | +0.74 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-02-13 | 102.43 | 94.98 | +0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-12 | 102.19 | 95.10 | +0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-11 | 101.57 | 94.23 | +0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-10 | 100.78 | 94.65 | +0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-07 | 100.92 | 95.68 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-06 | 102.18 | 94.81 | +0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-05 | 101.53 | 91.74 | +0.64 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-02-04 | 100.58 | 89.99 | +0.76 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-02-03 | 100.68 | 88.29 | +1.02 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-01-31 | 97.37 | 88.36 | +0.56 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-01-30 | 93.01 | 89.68 | -0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-29 | 92.80 | 87.59 | +0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-28 | 92.56 | 87.69 | -0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-27 | 93.67 | 88.04 | +0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-24 | 90.17 | 85.56 | -0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-23 | 90.37 | 83.51 | +0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-22 | 89.59 | 82.14 | +0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-21 | 91.40 | 80.87 | +0.76 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-01-17 | 90.84 | 79.06 | +0.94 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-01-16 | 91.97 | 82.53 | +0.57 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-01-15 | 90.73 | 81.35 | +0.57 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-01-14 | 92.95 | 81.15 | +0.88 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-01-13 | 93.58 | 86.87 | +0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-10 | 92.75 | 87.14 | +0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-08 | 94.51 | 85.76 | +0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-07 | 95.06 | 84.24 | +0.66 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-01-06 | 95.36 | 83.35 | +0.80 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-01-03 | 95.95 | 85.19 | +0.62 | ABBV ahead |
| 2025-01-02 | 95.01 | 84.76 | +0.55 | ABBV ahead |
| 2024-12-31 | 94.09 | 84.10 | +0.52 | ABBV ahead |
| 2024-12-30 | 93.30 | 84.30 | +0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-27 | 94.26 | 85.32 | +0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-26 | 94.89 | 86.51 | +0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-24 | 95.31 | 86.68 | +0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-23 | 94.46 | 86.74 | +0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-20 | 92.97 | 83.64 | +0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-19 | 90.82 | 82.52 | +0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-18 | 91.61 | 83.30 | +0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-17 | 92.86 | 84.82 | +0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-16 | 90.88 | 84.86 | -0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-13 | 91.80 | 85.96 | -0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-12 | 91.70 | 85.23 | +0.00 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-11 | 92.33 | 86.72 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-10 | 93.02 | 87.10 | -0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-09 | 93.49 | 87.54 | -0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-06 | 93.29 | 90.06 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-05 | 93.28 | 89.94 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-04 | 93.43 | 90.40 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-03 | 96.10 | 88.60 | +0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-02 | 96.25 | 87.13 | +0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-29 | 96.86 | 86.64 | +0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-27 | 96.94 | 85.86 | +0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-26 | 95.91 | 85.99 | +0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-25 | 93.75 | 82.25 | +0.53 | ABBV ahead |
| 2024-11-22 | 93.69 | 81.49 | +0.61 | ABBV ahead |
| 2024-11-21 | 90.93 | 81.69 | +0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-20 | 88.83 | 82.07 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-19 | 88.20 | 79.49 | +0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-18 | 88.04 | 79.22 | +0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-15 | 87.36 | 81.29 | -0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-14 | 89.82 | 85.65 | -0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-13 | 90.20 | 88.44 | -0.57 | LLY ahead |
| 2024-11-12 | 90.59 | 89.20 | -0.62 | LLY ahead |
| 2024-11-11 | 92.36 | 90.68 | -0.59 | LLY ahead |
| 2024-11-08 | 105.63 | 90.58 | +0.73 | ABBV ahead |
| 2024-11-07 | 106.17 | 86.87 | +1.20 | ABBV ahead |
| 2024-11-06 | 106.53 | 84.58 | +1.50 | ABBV ahead |
| 2024-11-05 | 106.79 | 87.81 | +1.16 | ABBV ahead |
| 2024-11-04 | 106.15 | 87.82 | +1.10 | ABBV ahead |
| 2024-11-01 | 107.78 | 89.21 | +1.09 | ABBV ahead |
| 2024-10-31 | 107.95 | 90.39 | +0.97 | ABBV ahead |
| 2024-10-30 | 106.69 | 92.25 | +0.65 | ABBV ahead |
| 2024-10-29 | 100.31 | 98.43 | -0.59 | LLY ahead |
| 2024-10-28 | 100.43 | 97.56 | -0.50 | LLY ahead |
| 2024-10-25 | 99.47 | 97.25 | -0.57 | LLY ahead |
| 2024-10-24 | 100.42 | 97.10 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-10-23 | 99.48 | 98.40 | -0.69 | LLY ahead |
| 2024-10-22 | 99.95 | 99.04 | -0.71 | LLY ahead |
| 2024-10-21 | 98.77 | 98.71 | -0.80 | LLY ahead |
| 2024-10-18 | 100.00 | 100.00 | -0.81 | LLY ahead |
One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Oct 30, 2024 (ABBV +6.4%, LLY -6.3%); Nov 11, 2024 (ABBV -12.6%, LLY +0.1%); Apr 17, 2025 (ABBV +0.8%, LLY +14.3%); May 1, 2025 (ABBV -0.9%, LLY -11.7%); Aug 7, 2025 (ABBV +1.3%, LLY -14.1%); Feb 4, 2026 (ABBV -3.8%, LLY +10.3%). Upcoming earnings: LLY Oct 29, 2026 (pre-market); ABBV Oct 30, 2026 (pre-market).
Paired trades
The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart
Forward paper record
No paper position on this pair yet.
Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)
No simulated trade through Oct 20, 2026: the pair rarely passed every test while 2 standard deviations apart.
Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.
The companies
ABBV and LLY at a glance
ABBV AbbVie Inc.
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 1551152
- Industry
- Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations · SIC 2834 Pharmaceutical Preparations
- Market value
- $499.5B
- Price history
- 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
LLY Eli Lilly and Company
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 59478
- Industry
- Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations · SIC 2834 Pharmaceutical Preparations
- Market value
- $1.17T
- Price history
- 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.
Related
All pairs →Other rivals of ABBV and LLY
| Pair | Status | Ahead now | Industry |
|---|---|---|---|
| LLY / JNJ | Watchlist | LLY by 0.87 sd | Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations |
| JNJ / ABBV | Watchlist | ABBV by 0.83 sd | Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations |
Follow the research behind the paper book
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Explore the private betaPaper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.
