Honeywell International Inc. vs RTX Corporation
WatchlistHON / RTXPrices through Oct 22, 2026
Why these are rivals: #1 and #3 by market value ($259B vs $67B) in Nasdaq's "Aerospace" industry; SEC SIC 3724 / 3724 (same major group); #1 and #2 by market value ($259B vs $67B) with SEC SIC 3724 (Aircraft Engines & Engine Parts).
Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.16 (needs >= 0.60)
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -0.74 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
- Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 110.80 (needs <= 63)
Business leadership
RTX is the larger business
Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.
| Year | HON | RTX | Larger |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $37.4B | $88.6B | RTX |
| 2024 | $34.7B | $80.7B | RTX |
| 2023 | $33.0B | $68.9B | RTX |
| 2022 | $35.5B | $67.1B | RTX |
| 2021 | $34.4B | $64.4B | RTX |
| 2020 | $32.6B | $56.6B | RTX |
RTX led in every year with figures for both. Market value: HON $66.6B, RTX $258.9B.
Stock leadership
RTX is ahead now
Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.
RTX leads HON by 1.38 standard deviations: +62.8% over its usual price ratio. 2 lead switches in the last year.
| Price change | 3 mo | 6 mo | 12 mo |
|---|---|---|---|
| HON | -10.2% | -49.1% | -44.9% |
| RTX | -8.5% | +8.6% | +12.5% |
Relationship
Not a measured twin today
Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.
- Pass
- Aligned sessions: 2521 (needs >= 254)
- Fail
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.16 (needs >= 0.60)
- Fail
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -0.74 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
- Fail
- Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 110.80 (needs <= 63)
- Data
- Both stocks current
The twins over two years
Prices side by side, and the gap between them
HON Honeywell International Inc. RTX RTX CorporationPrice index, 100 = 2024-10-18. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).
Spread z-score: HON relative to RTX, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: HON ahead; below 0: RTX ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).
Data table (504 sessions)
| Date | HON index | RTX index | z | Ahead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | 51.87 | 154.63 | -1.38 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-10-21 | 51.02 | 152.16 | -1.39 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-10-20 | 50.68 | 153.54 | -1.45 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-10-19 | 49.89 | 152.57 | -1.49 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-10-16 | 50.23 | 154.00 | -1.51 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-10-15 | 50.01 | 148.47 | -1.43 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-10-14 | 49.32 | 148.09 | -1.48 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-10-13 | 49.25 | 145.35 | -1.44 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-10-12 | 49.81 | 148.24 | -1.48 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-10-09 | 49.35 | 147.69 | -1.51 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-10-08 | 49.08 | 146.38 | -1.51 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-10-07 | 49.44 | 143.15 | -1.44 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-10-06 | 50.57 | 145.56 | -1.43 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-10-05 | 50.88 | 146.39 | -1.45 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-10-02 | 50.84 | 146.66 | -1.47 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-10-01 | 50.79 | 146.93 | -1.49 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-30 | 50.12 | 147.43 | -1.55 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-29 | 49.92 | 148.46 | -1.60 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-28 | 50.25 | 149.03 | -1.61 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-25 | 50.50 | 150.41 | -1.64 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-24 | 50.32 | 149.79 | -1.65 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-23 | 50.50 | 152.63 | -1.72 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-22 | 50.33 | 151.68 | -1.73 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-21 | 49.06 | 154.34 | -1.88 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-18 | 49.05 | 154.07 | -1.90 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-17 | 49.06 | 153.70 | -1.91 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-16 | 49.34 | 156.31 | -1.97 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-15 | 48.33 | 155.26 | -2.04 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-14 | 47.84 | 155.13 | -2.09 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-11 | 48.08 | 156.99 | -2.14 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-10 | 48.03 | 157.34 | -2.18 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-09 | 48.69 | 156.89 | -2.16 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-08 | 49.47 | 157.89 | -2.15 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-04 | 49.80 | 159.46 | -2.20 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-03 | 49.33 | 160.52 | -2.28 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-02 | 48.96 | 159.45 | -2.32 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-09-01 | 49.89 | 162.93 | -2.36 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-31 | 50.73 | 164.97 | -2.38 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-28 | 51.66 | 168.13 | -2.42 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-27 | 52.36 | 168.42 | -2.42 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-26 | 52.43 | 168.35 | -2.45 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-25 | 51.24 | 166.99 | -2.55 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-24 | 51.03 | 166.15 | -2.59 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-21 | 51.29 | 166.70 | -2.62 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-20 | 51.87 | 168.59 | -2.67 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-19 | 52.68 | 174.99 | -2.81 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-18 | 54.10 | 179.07 | -2.85 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-17 | 54.51 | 176.02 | -2.81 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-14 | 55.58 | 177.07 | -2.81 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-13 | 55.59 | 175.10 | -2.82 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-12 | 55.91 | 176.91 | -2.89 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-11 | 54.67 | 177.78 | -3.07 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-10 | 57.72 | 177.99 | -2.91 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-07 | 58.49 | 177.12 | -2.89 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-06 | 57.20 | 177.30 | -3.06 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-05 | 58.95 | 176.55 | -2.97 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-04 | 59.11 | 173.07 | -2.93 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-08-03 | 58.63 | 172.05 | -3.00 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-31 | 57.74 | 170.92 | -3.11 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-30 | 57.47 | 170.25 | -3.19 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-29 | 57.29 | 170.94 | -3.30 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-28 | 58.69 | 173.59 | -3.34 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-27 | 58.39 | 173.46 | -3.46 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-24 | 57.77 | 168.99 | -3.47 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-23 | 58.51 | 166.11 | -3.40 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-22 | 55.35 | 154.76 | -3.40 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-21 | 54.61 | 153.80 | -3.53 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-20 | 53.74 | 154.42 | -3.74 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-17 | 53.46 | 153.68 | -3.86 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-16 | 53.77 | 154.35 | -3.97 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-15 | 52.94 | 155.57 | -4.26 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-14 | 52.90 | 153.58 | -4.34 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-13 | 52.80 | 155.96 | -4.63 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-10 | 53.79 | 155.60 | -4.68 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-09 | 53.08 | 155.02 | -4.97 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-08 | 52.35 | 154.79 | -5.32 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-07 | 53.47 | 159.51 | -5.71 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-06 | 54.92 | 159.92 | -5.87 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-02 | 54.61 | 158.24 | -6.24 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-07-01 | 52.68 | 152.30 | -6.74 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-06-30 | 53.19 | 150.68 | -7.17 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-06-29 | 54.12 | 148.77 | -7.58 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-06-26 | 110.34 | 149.29 | +0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-25 | 109.88 | 148.18 | +0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-24 | 108.06 | 146.97 | +0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-23 | 105.66 | 148.02 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-22 | 108.39 | 144.40 | +0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-18 | 108.82 | 147.40 | +0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-17 | 108.63 | 152.94 | -0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-16 | 109.04 | 148.32 | +0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-15 | 108.06 | 145.84 | +0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-12 | 104.68 | 145.75 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-11 | 104.12 | 146.29 | -0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-10 | 97.83 | 140.89 | -0.53 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-06-09 | 102.49 | 144.19 | -0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-08 | 100.64 | 141.88 | -0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-05 | 101.67 | 143.73 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-04 | 103.41 | 142.48 | -0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-03 | 106.08 | 137.03 | +0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-02 | 111.77 | 138.39 | +0.86 | HON ahead |
| 2026-06-01 | 112.39 | 138.51 | +0.89 | HON ahead |
| 2026-05-29 | 113.02 | 142.68 | +0.66 | HON ahead |
| 2026-05-28 | 110.71 | 142.12 | +0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-27 | 110.02 | 140.24 | +0.54 | HON ahead |
| 2026-05-26 | 110.10 | 142.13 | +0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-22 | 108.30 | 140.57 | +0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-21 | 106.34 | 139.76 | +0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-20 | 103.30 | 138.86 | +0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-19 | 103.18 | 138.57 | +0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-18 | 103.22 | 139.73 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-15 | 101.32 | 135.94 | +0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-14 | 103.45 | 139.52 | -0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-13 | 103.57 | 141.45 | -0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-12 | 103.84 | 142.07 | -0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-11 | 104.11 | 141.84 | -0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-08 | 101.27 | 139.84 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-07 | 102.67 | 140.39 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-06 | 103.04 | 140.36 | -0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-05 | 99.34 | 137.29 | -0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-04 | 99.59 | 137.31 | -0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-01 | 100.97 | 138.18 | -0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-30 | 101.84 | 139.83 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-29 | 99.93 | 137.22 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-28 | 101.18 | 139.52 | -0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-27 | 100.76 | 137.69 | -0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-24 | 101.29 | 138.39 | -0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-23 | 101.85 | 142.39 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-22 | 104.52 | 143.67 | -0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-21 | 105.59 | 148.64 | -0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-20 | 109.16 | 155.49 | -0.57 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-04-17 | 110.97 | 155.99 | -0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-16 | 108.99 | 155.54 | -0.60 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-04-15 | 110.33 | 157.55 | -0.61 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-04-14 | 110.83 | 161.06 | -0.75 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-04-13 | 111.02 | 159.95 | -0.69 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-04-10 | 111.68 | 160.07 | -0.65 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-04-09 | 112.17 | 161.36 | -0.69 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-04-08 | 110.46 | 161.59 | -0.82 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-04-07 | 106.36 | 157.18 | -0.90 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-04-06 | 108.44 | 157.57 | -0.78 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-04-02 | 109.03 | 155.82 | -0.67 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-04-01 | 108.43 | 154.64 | -0.66 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-31 | 107.40 | 153.19 | -0.66 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-30 | 106.19 | 148.63 | -0.53 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-27 | 106.02 | 150.66 | -0.65 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-26 | 106.99 | 153.15 | -0.71 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-25 | 107.29 | 154.86 | -0.77 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-24 | 105.28 | 154.07 | -0.88 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-23 | 105.97 | 154.72 | -0.87 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-20 | 105.25 | 157.37 | -1.06 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-19 | 108.83 | 159.41 | -0.91 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-18 | 109.25 | 162.45 | -1.03 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-17 | 109.96 | 161.48 | -0.95 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-16 | 111.43 | 163.64 | -0.95 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-13 | 111.43 | 162.42 | -0.91 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-12 | 110.90 | 161.25 | -0.89 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-11 | 113.77 | 164.60 | -0.87 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-10 | 114.33 | 164.39 | -0.83 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-09 | 112.89 | 165.37 | -0.97 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-06 | 111.80 | 166.58 | -1.10 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-05 | 113.27 | 161.90 | -0.81 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-04 | 116.88 | 165.84 | -0.76 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-03 | 115.87 | 164.01 | -0.75 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-03-02 | 117.86 | 168.49 | -0.83 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-02-27 | 115.74 | 160.91 | -0.63 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-02-26 | 114.46 | 156.95 | -0.54 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-02-25 | 115.08 | 155.64 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-24 | 115.75 | 157.61 | -0.50 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-02-23 | 115.49 | 160.36 | -0.65 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-02-20 | 115.93 | 162.74 | -0.73 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-02-19 | 114.40 | 163.13 | -0.85 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-02-18 | 114.58 | 162.65 | -0.82 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-02-17 | 115.30 | 161.61 | -0.74 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-02-13 | 114.69 | 158.88 | -0.66 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-02-12 | 113.96 | 159.74 | -0.75 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-02-11 | 115.32 | 156.06 | -0.51 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-02-10 | 115.63 | 155.01 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-09 | 113.96 | 155.81 | -0.59 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-02-06 | 113.27 | 157.77 | -0.73 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-02-05 | 111.12 | 155.63 | -0.77 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-02-04 | 111.83 | 156.24 | -0.76 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-02-03 | 109.72 | 161.61 | -1.14 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-02-02 | 108.13 | 159.70 | -1.17 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-30 | 108.11 | 159.57 | -1.17 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-29 | 107.98 | 158.74 | -1.15 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-28 | 102.94 | 158.40 | -1.48 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-27 | 104.97 | 159.85 | -1.42 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-26 | 105.09 | 154.17 | -1.17 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-23 | 105.23 | 155.60 | -1.23 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-22 | 105.74 | 155.92 | -1.22 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-21 | 104.14 | 156.85 | -1.37 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-20 | 102.19 | 155.94 | -1.47 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-16 | 104.25 | 160.36 | -1.54 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-15 | 102.17 | 158.70 | -1.62 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-14 | 101.23 | 157.91 | -1.66 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-13 | 99.92 | 154.13 | -1.59 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-12 | 99.12 | 153.95 | -1.65 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-09 | 98.54 | 149.70 | -1.51 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-08 | 97.52 | 148.64 | -1.54 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-07 | 94.80 | 147.50 | -1.69 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-06 | 97.38 | 151.21 | -1.69 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-05 | 95.55 | 149.51 | -1.75 | RTX ahead |
| 2026-01-02 | 93.07 | 148.71 | -1.91 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-31 | 92.70 | 145.65 | -1.81 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-30 | 93.30 | 146.13 | -1.80 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-29 | 93.65 | 146.46 | -1.80 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-26 | 93.78 | 147.05 | -1.84 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-24 | 93.57 | 148.01 | -1.91 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-23 | 92.89 | 147.52 | -1.95 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-22 | 93.11 | 147.46 | -1.95 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-19 | 94.61 | 144.54 | -1.72 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-18 | 94.12 | 141.59 | -1.63 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-17 | 94.98 | 140.72 | -1.54 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-16 | 94.21 | 142.89 | -1.71 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-15 | 93.82 | 144.62 | -1.83 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-12 | 92.02 | 141.88 | -1.85 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-11 | 92.11 | 140.90 | -1.81 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-10 | 91.26 | 138.75 | -1.78 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-09 | 90.36 | 136.54 | -1.76 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-08 | 91.23 | 136.21 | -1.69 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-05 | 90.91 | 135.88 | -1.71 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-04 | 91.34 | 136.05 | -1.71 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-03 | 91.93 | 133.78 | -1.56 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-02 | 91.78 | 134.05 | -1.60 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-12-01 | 90.39 | 133.43 | -1.69 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-11-28 | 91.32 | 138.91 | -1.91 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-11-26 | 90.28 | 137.54 | -1.94 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-11-25 | 90.77 | 136.71 | -1.88 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-11-24 | 89.64 | 137.56 | -2.03 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-11-21 | 90.29 | 134.75 | -1.85 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-11-20 | 89.40 | 137.17 | -2.07 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-11-19 | 90.55 | 138.00 | -2.04 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-11-18 | 90.97 | 138.75 | -2.07 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-11-17 | 93.17 | 139.48 | -1.96 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-11-14 | 94.58 | 139.43 | -1.87 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-11-13 | 94.97 | 138.15 | -1.80 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-11-12 | 95.79 | 141.11 | -1.91 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-11-11 | 95.23 | 142.33 | -2.04 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-11-10 | 93.17 | 142.18 | -2.21 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-11-07 | 92.21 | 140.54 | -2.23 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-11-06 | 93.09 | 139.06 | -2.12 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-11-05 | 93.63 | 138.18 | -2.06 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-11-04 | 93.35 | 139.46 | -2.17 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-11-03 | 93.97 | 140.60 | -2.22 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-31 | 95.66 | 141.76 | -2.17 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-30 | 95.08 | 140.90 | -2.20 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-29 | 95.89 | 140.06 | -2.12 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-28 | 96.57 | 141.89 | -2.20 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-27 | 96.87 | 142.34 | -2.23 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-24 | 97.35 | 141.88 | -2.20 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-23 | 99.39 | 142.50 | -2.10 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-22 | 93.06 | 141.34 | -2.60 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-21 | 94.17 | 137.42 | -2.31 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-20 | 92.80 | 127.63 | -1.85 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-17 | 91.42 | 125.44 | -1.85 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-16 | 91.51 | 124.72 | -1.82 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-15 | 91.21 | 124.68 | -1.86 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-14 | 93.96 | 126.59 | -1.76 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-13 | 91.39 | 126.15 | -1.99 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-10 | 90.49 | 125.24 | -2.04 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-09 | 91.99 | 128.80 | -2.16 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-08 | 94.52 | 133.87 | -2.29 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-07 | 94.13 | 134.43 | -2.40 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-06 | 94.14 | 134.05 | -2.41 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-03 | 94.16 | 132.29 | -2.33 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-02 | 95.04 | 132.33 | -2.28 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-10-01 | 94.67 | 132.78 | -2.38 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-30 | 94.81 | 132.89 | -2.41 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-29 | 94.26 | 129.95 | -2.30 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-26 | 93.77 | 129.73 | -2.36 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-25 | 93.55 | 127.47 | -2.25 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-24 | 93.96 | 128.16 | -2.30 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-23 | 94.28 | 127.49 | -2.25 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-22 | 94.14 | 126.61 | -2.23 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-19 | 94.30 | 125.67 | -2.16 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-18 | 94.68 | 125.63 | -2.15 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-17 | 95.34 | 125.72 | -2.12 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-16 | 95.01 | 125.94 | -2.20 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-15 | 95.37 | 125.77 | -2.18 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-12 | 95.24 | 123.77 | -2.05 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-11 | 96.98 | 125.20 | -2.01 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-10 | 95.35 | 123.09 | -2.03 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-09 | 96.48 | 120.51 | -1.71 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-08 | 96.73 | 122.47 | -1.87 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-05 | 96.50 | 125.10 | -2.15 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-04 | 96.91 | 126.02 | -2.21 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-03 | 96.39 | 125.56 | -2.26 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-09-02 | 98.01 | 125.48 | -2.10 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-29 | 98.86 | 125.95 | -2.07 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-28 | 99.70 | 127.59 | -2.15 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-27 | 99.65 | 126.94 | -2.13 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-26 | 100.24 | 126.72 | -2.07 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-25 | 99.36 | 124.10 | -1.95 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-22 | 100.36 | 124.08 | -1.86 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-21 | 97.93 | 124.14 | -2.17 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-20 | 97.74 | 124.36 | -2.25 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-19 | 97.62 | 122.03 | -2.07 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-18 | 97.47 | 123.49 | -2.26 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-15 | 97.64 | 122.37 | -2.16 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-14 | 98.28 | 123.16 | -2.18 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-13 | 98.97 | 123.66 | -2.18 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-12 | 97.74 | 123.48 | -2.35 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-11 | 97.49 | 122.94 | -2.36 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-08 | 97.43 | 122.98 | -2.41 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-07 | 97.55 | 123.70 | -2.51 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-06 | 98.74 | 123.69 | -2.39 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-05 | 99.57 | 124.15 | -2.36 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-04 | 99.45 | 124.98 | -2.51 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-08-01 | 98.06 | 124.53 | -2.70 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-31 | 100.15 | 125.14 | -2.52 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-30 | 100.06 | 125.79 | -2.65 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-29 | 99.86 | 124.78 | -2.61 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-28 | 101.38 | 123.94 | -2.32 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-25 | 101.00 | 124.59 | -2.46 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-24 | 101.11 | 123.27 | -2.31 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-23 | 107.77 | 124.28 | -1.54 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-22 | 106.56 | 118.46 | -1.04 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-21 | 105.95 | 120.36 | -1.33 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-18 | 106.54 | 120.31 | -1.25 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-17 | 107.36 | 120.31 | -1.15 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-16 | 106.69 | 119.26 | -1.12 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-15 | 105.98 | 118.07 | -1.08 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-14 | 107.22 | 118.55 | -0.98 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-11 | 106.27 | 116.64 | -0.90 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-10 | 106.64 | 116.26 | -0.82 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-09 | 107.52 | 116.09 | -0.70 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-08 | 108.01 | 115.08 | -0.54 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-07 | 107.81 | 115.88 | -0.66 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-03 | 108.28 | 115.75 | -0.60 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-02 | 107.77 | 114.77 | -0.56 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-07-01 | 107.54 | 114.51 | -0.56 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-30 | 104.89 | 115.96 | -1.00 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-27 | 103.08 | 114.88 | -1.10 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-26 | 101.96 | 113.30 | -1.07 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-25 | 99.90 | 112.28 | -1.21 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-24 | 101.16 | 112.65 | -1.11 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-23 | 101.23 | 115.80 | -1.42 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-20 | 99.90 | 116.45 | -1.64 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-18 | 99.93 | 115.84 | -1.59 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-17 | 99.90 | 117.92 | -1.81 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-16 | 100.93 | 116.31 | -1.56 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-13 | 101.02 | 115.70 | -1.50 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-12 | 101.82 | 111.96 | -1.05 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-11 | 101.71 | 112.62 | -1.14 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-10 | 101.91 | 110.01 | -0.86 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-09 | 102.30 | 111.96 | -1.02 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-06 | 103.04 | 110.47 | -0.80 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-05 | 102.09 | 110.44 | -0.90 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-04 | 102.45 | 110.03 | -0.83 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-03 | 102.14 | 109.20 | -0.78 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-06-02 | 101.58 | 109.16 | -0.85 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-30 | 102.09 | 108.39 | -0.72 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-29 | 101.43 | 107.05 | -0.66 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-28 | 101.17 | 105.50 | -0.53 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-27 | 102.00 | 106.57 | -0.55 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-23 | 100.00 | 105.11 | -0.63 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-22 | 100.73 | 106.47 | -0.70 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-21 | 99.93 | 107.17 | -0.86 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-20 | 101.37 | 108.94 | -0.90 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-19 | 101.32 | 108.96 | -0.91 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-16 | 100.39 | 107.59 | -0.88 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-15 | 100.12 | 107.62 | -0.92 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-14 | 97.82 | 103.87 | -0.79 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-13 | 98.29 | 103.81 | -0.73 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-12 | 98.79 | 103.68 | -0.67 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-09 | 95.95 | 102.18 | -0.84 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-08 | 96.63 | 102.18 | -0.77 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-07 | 96.66 | 101.25 | -0.67 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-06 | 94.55 | 101.78 | -0.98 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-05 | 96.50 | 102.12 | -0.79 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-02 | 96.45 | 103.41 | -0.95 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-05-01 | 94.92 | 101.18 | -0.89 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-30 | 94.81 | 100.17 | -0.79 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-29 | 95.26 | 99.85 | -0.71 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-28 | 90.38 | 99.11 | -1.23 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-25 | 89.70 | 99.44 | -1.36 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-24 | 90.42 | 96.86 | -0.98 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-23 | 88.87 | 95.52 | -1.03 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-22 | 89.35 | 90.34 | -0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-21 | 87.48 | 100.16 | -1.76 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-17 | 88.55 | 102.36 | -1.89 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-16 | 87.06 | 102.64 | -2.15 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-15 | 89.55 | 102.16 | -1.79 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-14 | 90.19 | 102.56 | -1.77 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-11 | 89.43 | 101.86 | -1.81 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-10 | 87.10 | 100.91 | -2.03 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-09 | 89.68 | 101.99 | -1.84 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-08 | 82.36 | 95.66 | -2.11 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-07 | 84.43 | 93.17 | -1.51 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-04 | 86.02 | 93.27 | -1.32 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-03 | 93.09 | 103.42 | -1.62 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-02 | 97.28 | 105.74 | -1.37 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-04-01 | 96.14 | 105.50 | -1.49 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-31 | 95.37 | 105.19 | -1.57 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-28 | 94.74 | 104.61 | -1.59 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-27 | 96.46 | 105.96 | -1.54 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-26 | 95.99 | 106.68 | -1.69 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-25 | 95.54 | 107.74 | -1.88 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-24 | 95.42 | 106.96 | -1.83 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-21 | 94.64 | 105.12 | -1.73 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-20 | 94.99 | 106.79 | -1.89 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-19 | 93.98 | 107.47 | -2.12 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-18 | 94.47 | 105.38 | -1.83 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-17 | 94.78 | 104.87 | -1.75 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-14 | 94.35 | 103.23 | -1.62 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-13 | 93.10 | 102.60 | -1.72 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-12 | 92.94 | 101.62 | -1.63 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-11 | 93.95 | 101.74 | -1.53 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-10 | 96.31 | 102.06 | -1.28 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-07 | 96.62 | 101.97 | -1.24 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-06 | 95.15 | 101.87 | -1.41 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-05 | 94.41 | 102.95 | -1.64 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-04 | 93.69 | 102.21 | -1.65 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-03-03 | 95.50 | 106.28 | -1.90 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-02-28 | 95.89 | 105.61 | -1.79 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-02-27 | 95.61 | 103.65 | -1.62 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-02-26 | 95.19 | 101.10 | -1.39 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-02-25 | 95.49 | 101.13 | -1.36 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-02-24 | 94.55 | 99.61 | -1.31 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-02-21 | 95.46 | 97.91 | -1.01 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-02-20 | 95.19 | 99.36 | -1.22 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-02-19 | 94.95 | 99.59 | -1.29 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-02-18 | 93.70 | 98.28 | -1.30 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-02-14 | 91.32 | 97.21 | -1.47 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-02-13 | 92.46 | 99.94 | -1.66 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-02-12 | 92.34 | 100.68 | -1.78 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-02-11 | 93.21 | 102.53 | -1.89 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-02-10 | 93.92 | 101.85 | -1.75 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-02-07 | 92.57 | 101.61 | -1.91 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-02-06 | 94.51 | 102.27 | -1.76 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-02-05 | 100.15 | 102.57 | -1.14 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-02-04 | 100.69 | 101.95 | -1.02 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-02-03 | 100.18 | 103.18 | -1.22 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-01-31 | 100.77 | 102.41 | -1.07 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-01-30 | 100.92 | 102.43 | -1.07 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-01-29 | 99.56 | 99.37 | -0.88 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-01-28 | 99.41 | 101.93 | -1.19 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-01-27 | 101.66 | 99.31 | -0.66 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-01-24 | 99.77 | 99.52 | -0.90 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-01-23 | 101.64 | 100.29 | -0.78 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-01-22 | 100.48 | 98.78 | -0.74 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-01-21 | 101.37 | 99.86 | -0.77 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-01-17 | 100.25 | 96.18 | -0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-16 | 100.30 | 95.66 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-15 | 98.88 | 94.58 | -0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-14 | 98.41 | 94.88 | -0.56 | RTX ahead |
| 2025-01-13 | 98.68 | 93.50 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-10 | 98.27 | 91.42 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-08 | 99.17 | 92.06 | -0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-07 | 99.37 | 91.17 | -0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-06 | 99.87 | 90.61 | +0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-03 | 102.03 | 92.02 | +0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-02 | 101.58 | 92.13 | +0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-31 | 101.74 | 91.90 | +0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-30 | 102.06 | 91.50 | +0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-27 | 103.37 | 92.69 | +0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-26 | 104.43 | 92.95 | +0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-24 | 103.10 | 92.78 | +0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-23 | 102.31 | 92.62 | -0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-20 | 102.84 | 92.50 | +0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-19 | 102.19 | 91.69 | +0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-18 | 102.18 | 90.89 | +0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-17 | 105.00 | 93.25 | +0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-16 | 106.30 | 93.80 | +0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-13 | 102.52 | 93.51 | -0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-12 | 102.55 | 92.16 | -0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-11 | 103.17 | 92.87 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-10 | 103.18 | 93.40 | -0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-09 | 101.38 | 92.58 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-06 | 101.96 | 93.70 | -0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-05 | 101.92 | 94.12 | -0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-04 | 103.50 | 94.69 | -0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-03 | 102.23 | 93.79 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-02 | 103.57 | 94.25 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-29 | 104.91 | 96.75 | -0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-27 | 103.43 | 95.57 | -0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-26 | 103.77 | 95.78 | -0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-25 | 103.86 | 94.23 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-22 | 103.19 | 95.91 | -0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-21 | 101.83 | 95.72 | -0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-20 | 102.09 | 94.62 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-19 | 102.78 | 94.47 | -0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-18 | 103.08 | 94.81 | -0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-15 | 103.14 | 94.13 | -0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-14 | 103.90 | 94.44 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-13 | 104.98 | 98.28 | -0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-12 | 105.36 | 97.97 | -0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-11 | 101.45 | 98.92 | -0.80 | RTX ahead |
| 2024-11-08 | 98.86 | 98.12 | -0.95 | RTX ahead |
| 2024-11-07 | 97.96 | 95.36 | -0.81 | RTX ahead |
| 2024-11-06 | 97.47 | 96.56 | -0.95 | RTX ahead |
| 2024-11-05 | 94.04 | 94.49 | -1.07 | RTX ahead |
| 2024-11-04 | 93.48 | 93.71 | -1.06 | RTX ahead |
| 2024-11-01 | 94.22 | 94.31 | -1.06 | RTX ahead |
| 2024-10-31 | 92.64 | 96.08 | -1.35 | RTX ahead |
| 2024-10-30 | 91.97 | 96.78 | -1.48 | RTX ahead |
| 2024-10-29 | 92.78 | 97.51 | -1.48 | RTX ahead |
| 2024-10-28 | 92.83 | 99.61 | -1.66 | RTX ahead |
| 2024-10-25 | 93.69 | 99.40 | -1.59 | RTX ahead |
| 2024-10-24 | 94.18 | 99.40 | -1.56 | RTX ahead |
| 2024-10-23 | 99.24 | 101.02 | -1.28 | RTX ahead |
| 2024-10-22 | 100.15 | 99.69 | -1.11 | RTX ahead |
| 2024-10-21 | 99.77 | 99.98 | -1.17 | RTX ahead |
| 2024-10-18 | 100.00 | 100.00 | -1.16 | RTX ahead |
One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Apr 22, 2025 (HON +2.1%, RTX -9.8%); Jun 4, 2026 (HON -2.5%, RTX +4.0%); Jun 29, 2026 (HON -51.0%, RTX -0.3%).
Paired trades
The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart
Forward paper record
No paper position on this pair yet.
Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)
3 simulated trades to Oct 20, 2026: -0.43% per trade on average after costs, 1 won.
| Legs | Entered | Exited | Why | Days | Before costs | Costs + borrow | After costs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long RTX · Short HON | Jan 10, 2019 | May 31, 2019 | divergence stop | 141 | -$407.46 | -$67.75 | -$372.26 (-3.72%) |
| Long RTX · Short HON | Dec 24, 2018 | Jan 8, 2019 | divergence stop | 15 | -$250.65 | -$36.90 | -$276.61 (-2.77%) |
| Long HON · Short RTX | Nov 26, 2018 | Nov 29, 2018 | converged | 3 | $564.77 | -$43.29 | $519.29 (+5.19%) |
Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.
The companies
HON and RTX at a glance
HON Honeywell International Inc.
- Listing
- Nasdaq · SEC CIK 773840
- Industry
- Aerospace · SIC 3724 Aircraft Engines & Engine Parts
- Market value
- $66.6B
- Price history
- 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
RTX RTX Corporation
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 101829
- Industry
- Aerospace · SIC 3724 Aircraft Engines & Engine Parts
- Market value
- $258.9B
- Price history
- 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.
Related
All pairs →Other rivals of HON and RTX
| Pair | Status | Ahead now | Industry |
|---|---|---|---|
| RTX / BA | Watchlist | RTX by 1.84 sd | Aerospace |
| BA / HON | Watchlist | BA by 1.09 sd | Aerospace |
| HON / HONA | Short history | neither | SIC 3724 Aircraft Engines & Engine Parts |
| RTX / HONA | Short history | neither | SIC 3724 Aircraft Engines & Engine Parts |
Follow the research behind the paper book
Boostio is a research-first platform in private beta: crypto candidates, daily market stories, public paper trading and now rival stocks. Exploring these pages stays free and open.
Explore the private betaPaper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.
