Ferguson Enterprises Inc. vs Watsco Inc.
WatchlistFERG / WSOPrices through Oct 22, 2026
Why these are rivals: #1 and #2 by market value ($44B vs $12B) with SEC SIC 5070 (Wholesale-Hardware & Plumbing & Heating Equipment & Supplies).
Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.55 (needs >= 0.60)
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.36 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Business leadership
FERG is the larger business
Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.
| Year | FERG | WSO | Larger |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $30.8B | $7.2B | FERG |
| 2024 | $29.6B | $7.6B | FERG |
| 2023 | $29.7B | $7.3B | FERG |
| 2022 | $28.6B | $7.3B | FERG |
| 2021 | - | $6.3B | - |
| 2020 | - | $5.1B | - |
FERG led in every year with figures for both. Market value: FERG $43.8B, WSO $12.2B.
Stock leadership
FERG is ahead now
Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.
FERG leads WSO by 0.61 standard deviations: +5.9% over its usual price ratio. 2 lead switches in the last year.
| Price change | 3 mo | 6 mo | 12 mo |
|---|---|---|---|
| FERG | -1.5% | -13.7% | -7.1% |
| WSO | -9.7% | -25.2% | -13.7% |
Relationship
Not a measured twin today
Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.
- Pass
- Aligned sessions: 1870 (needs >= 254)
- Fail
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.55 (needs >= 0.60)
- Fail
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.36 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
- Pass
- Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 38.27 (needs <= 63)
- Data
- Both stocks current
The twins over two years
Prices side by side, and the gap between them
FERG Ferguson Enterprises Inc. WSO Watsco Inc.Price index, 100 = 2024-10-18. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).
Spread z-score: FERG relative to WSO, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: FERG ahead; below 0: WSO ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).
Data table (504 sessions)
| Date | FERG index | WSO index | z | Ahead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | 111.16 | 65.05 | +0.61 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-10-21 | 111.48 | 60.67 | +1.40 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-10-20 | 111.05 | 60.04 | +1.48 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-10-19 | 110.70 | 58.48 | +1.75 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-10-16 | 113.27 | 58.86 | +1.95 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-10-15 | 111.87 | 59.57 | +1.70 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-10-14 | 109.03 | 58.70 | +1.59 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-10-13 | 108.99 | 57.98 | +1.74 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-10-12 | 107.86 | 56.95 | +1.85 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-10-09 | 107.61 | 55.68 | +2.10 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-10-08 | 105.99 | 56.14 | +1.85 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-10-07 | 105.17 | 56.22 | +1.77 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-10-06 | 109.22 | 57.85 | +1.89 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-10-05 | 109.02 | 58.11 | +1.83 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-10-02 | 109.22 | 59.17 | +1.66 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-10-01 | 108.32 | 59.90 | +1.44 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-09-30 | 108.87 | 60.21 | +1.45 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-09-29 | 109.48 | 59.83 | +1.60 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-09-28 | 111.16 | 62.30 | +1.32 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-09-25 | 108.93 | 63.10 | +0.96 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-09-24 | 107.67 | 63.69 | +0.73 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-09-23 | 108.16 | 64.72 | +0.61 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-09-22 | 108.16 | 64.76 | +0.60 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-09-21 | 105.70 | 63.19 | +0.63 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-09-18 | 104.87 | 62.02 | +0.75 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-09-17 | 104.78 | 60.74 | +0.99 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-09-16 | 104.83 | 60.51 | +1.04 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-09-15 | 105.20 | 60.20 | +1.14 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-09-14 | 108.72 | 61.98 | +1.20 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-09-11 | 108.83 | 62.50 | +1.12 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-09-10 | 108.06 | 61.84 | +1.17 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-09-09 | 109.16 | 61.61 | +1.34 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-09-08 | 110.67 | 62.86 | +1.28 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-09-04 | 111.70 | 62.68 | +1.42 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-09-03 | 109.17 | 62.73 | +1.17 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-09-02 | 108.19 | 61.45 | +1.31 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-09-01 | 107.06 | 62.65 | +0.98 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-08-31 | 109.80 | 61.63 | +1.46 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-08-28 | 111.74 | 61.81 | +1.64 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-08-27 | 114.07 | 62.27 | +1.81 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-08-26 | 115.28 | 62.54 | +1.90 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-08-25 | 113.79 | 60.13 | +2.22 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-08-24 | 115.63 | 61.82 | +2.12 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-08-21 | 118.47 | 62.05 | +2.38 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-08-20 | 117.10 | 62.55 | +2.18 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-08-19 | 118.93 | 63.58 | +2.19 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-08-18 | 119.56 | 62.39 | +2.51 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-08-17 | 119.81 | 62.03 | +2.64 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-08-14 | 119.79 | 62.27 | +2.63 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-08-13 | 121.34 | 61.98 | +2.88 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-08-12 | 119.90 | 61.55 | +2.87 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-08-11 | 123.00 | 63.44 | +2.86 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-08-10 | 129.00 | 64.99 | +3.21 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-08-07 | 125.53 | 65.66 | +2.78 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-08-06 | 123.91 | 63.86 | +3.02 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-08-05 | 124.83 | 66.26 | +2.68 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-08-04 | 124.96 | 66.65 | +2.64 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-08-03 | 122.30 | 63.26 | +3.06 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-07-31 | 114.60 | 61.52 | +2.61 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-07-30 | 110.70 | 61.81 | +2.11 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-07-29 | 110.62 | 63.66 | +1.72 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-07-28 | 113.47 | 73.10 | +0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-27 | 114.49 | 72.48 | +0.54 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-07-24 | 112.81 | 72.01 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-23 | 111.83 | 71.58 | +0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-22 | 112.30 | 72.01 | +0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-21 | 110.77 | 74.19 | -0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-20 | 112.00 | 73.75 | +0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-17 | 113.47 | 73.98 | +0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-16 | 114.49 | 76.61 | -0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-15 | 112.73 | 77.03 | -0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-14 | 114.77 | 78.63 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-13 | 114.04 | 78.31 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-10 | 111.24 | 76.36 | -0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-09 | 109.85 | 75.14 | -0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-08 | 108.30 | 75.63 | -0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-07 | 109.15 | 77.47 | -0.53 | WSO ahead |
| 2026-07-06 | 111.95 | 79.38 | -0.51 | WSO ahead |
| 2026-07-02 | 112.60 | 80.50 | -0.58 | WSO ahead |
| 2026-07-01 | 112.09 | 81.08 | -0.68 | WSO ahead |
| 2026-06-30 | 116.07 | 82.89 | -0.55 | WSO ahead |
| 2026-06-29 | 116.69 | 81.67 | -0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-26 | 116.69 | 81.70 | -0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-25 | 117.74 | 81.99 | -0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-24 | 115.75 | 79.76 | -0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-23 | 114.46 | 77.12 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-22 | 116.04 | 79.00 | -0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-18 | 116.56 | 79.77 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-17 | 112.29 | 76.46 | -0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-16 | 114.83 | 77.41 | +0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-15 | 115.20 | 76.54 | +0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-12 | 112.52 | 75.68 | +0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-11 | 111.52 | 76.45 | -0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-10 | 109.82 | 74.72 | -0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-09 | 115.14 | 76.80 | +0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-08 | 109.69 | 73.96 | +0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-05 | 112.28 | 73.87 | +0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-04 | 112.77 | 73.41 | +0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-03 | 110.57 | 73.27 | +0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-02 | 111.31 | 72.38 | +0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-01 | 109.73 | 71.50 | +0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-29 | 110.51 | 73.02 | +0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-28 | 110.76 | 72.69 | +0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-27 | 112.38 | 75.78 | +0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-26 | 111.16 | 76.01 | +0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-22 | 109.21 | 74.63 | +0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-21 | 109.42 | 75.26 | +0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-20 | 110.37 | 76.89 | -0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-19 | 108.36 | 76.94 | -0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-18 | 107.57 | 77.91 | -0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-15 | 109.46 | 80.19 | -0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-14 | 113.46 | 82.76 | -0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-13 | 114.25 | 83.14 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-12 | 116.44 | 82.97 | -0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-11 | 119.32 | 84.49 | -0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-08 | 118.03 | 83.66 | -0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-07 | 120.56 | 85.38 | -0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-06 | 123.34 | 85.94 | +0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-05 | 123.64 | 83.68 | +0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-04 | 127.54 | 82.51 | +0.53 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-05-01 | 129.24 | 85.25 | +0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-30 | 130.92 | 87.09 | +0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-29 | 125.27 | 85.24 | +0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-28 | 126.26 | 87.22 | +0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-27 | 129.22 | 90.88 | +0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-24 | 128.91 | 87.65 | +0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-23 | 128.80 | 87.02 | +0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-22 | 128.16 | 86.07 | +0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-21 | 128.62 | 87.60 | +0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-20 | 128.82 | 87.21 | +0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-17 | 127.39 | 85.58 | +0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-16 | 125.71 | 83.92 | +0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-15 | 125.76 | 82.74 | +0.50 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-04-14 | 126.59 | 81.68 | +0.60 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-04-13 | 126.39 | 82.80 | +0.53 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-04-10 | 125.49 | 81.37 | +0.59 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-04-09 | 124.06 | 80.34 | +0.60 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-04-08 | 121.87 | 77.76 | +0.67 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-04-07 | 115.38 | 75.93 | +0.54 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-04-06 | 116.93 | 75.29 | +0.64 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-04-02 | 114.96 | 73.66 | +0.67 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-04-01 | 116.91 | 74.78 | +0.68 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-03-31 | 114.07 | 72.36 | +0.72 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-03-30 | 109.38 | 69.40 | +0.72 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-03-27 | 109.92 | 69.06 | +0.77 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-03-26 | 108.23 | 69.22 | +0.70 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-03-25 | 111.91 | 73.03 | +0.62 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-03-24 | 110.49 | 72.30 | +0.62 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-03-23 | 108.81 | 76.64 | +0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-20 | 106.40 | 74.24 | +0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-19 | 106.47 | 76.21 | +0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-18 | 108.50 | 75.18 | +0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-17 | 110.49 | 75.96 | +0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-16 | 109.33 | 74.48 | +0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-13 | 108.59 | 73.28 | +0.53 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-03-12 | 107.46 | 72.36 | +0.54 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-03-11 | 113.28 | 74.41 | +0.65 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-03-10 | 111.46 | 75.48 | +0.53 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-03-09 | 112.76 | 78.36 | +0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-06 | 112.60 | 78.21 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-05 | 117.29 | 79.74 | +0.54 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-03-04 | 120.86 | 80.57 | +0.62 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-03-03 | 121.26 | 80.98 | +0.62 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-03-02 | 125.76 | 81.73 | +0.72 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-02-27 | 127.52 | 83.01 | +0.72 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-02-26 | 129.54 | 81.69 | +0.85 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-02-25 | 127.47 | 81.12 | +0.82 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-02-24 | 128.06 | 81.98 | +0.81 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-02-23 | 122.90 | 81.89 | +0.67 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-02-20 | 124.71 | 81.54 | +0.74 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-02-19 | 126.10 | 81.47 | +0.79 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-02-18 | 127.15 | 83.41 | +0.74 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-02-17 | 126.99 | 84.11 | +0.71 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-02-13 | 127.82 | 83.13 | +0.79 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-02-12 | 128.94 | 82.56 | +0.85 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-02-11 | 130.75 | 85.05 | +0.80 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-02-10 | 129.05 | 84.65 | +0.78 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-02-09 | 127.94 | 82.50 | +0.84 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-02-06 | 128.50 | 83.53 | +0.82 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-02-05 | 124.58 | 80.75 | +0.84 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-02-04 | 127.67 | 81.54 | +0.90 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-02-03 | 126.00 | 77.66 | +1.04 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-02-02 | 124.68 | 76.90 | +1.04 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-01-30 | 123.46 | 76.87 | +1.02 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-01-29 | 125.41 | 76.27 | +1.11 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-01-28 | 123.11 | 76.61 | +1.04 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-01-27 | 123.03 | 76.75 | +1.04 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-01-26 | 124.46 | 76.97 | +1.08 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-01-23 | 124.23 | 76.37 | +1.11 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-01-22 | 123.13 | 77.21 | +1.04 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-01-21 | 121.94 | 76.55 | +1.05 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-01-20 | 118.65 | 74.95 | +1.03 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-01-16 | 121.77 | 75.90 | +1.09 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-01-15 | 122.19 | 75.61 | +1.12 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-01-14 | 120.35 | 74.10 | +1.15 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-01-13 | 118.89 | 74.50 | +1.10 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-01-12 | 118.12 | 74.82 | +1.07 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-01-09 | 116.81 | 74.69 | +1.04 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-01-08 | 112.20 | 71.76 | +1.05 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-01-07 | 108.50 | 69.48 | +1.05 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-01-06 | 110.53 | 71.05 | +1.04 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-01-05 | 111.31 | 70.20 | +1.12 | FERG ahead |
| 2026-01-02 | 110.04 | 69.09 | +1.15 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-12-31 | 108.88 | 67.02 | +1.23 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-12-30 | 110.31 | 68.24 | +1.22 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-12-29 | 111.04 | 69.42 | +1.19 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-12-26 | 111.84 | 69.24 | +1.24 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-12-24 | 111.76 | 69.18 | +1.25 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-12-23 | 111.16 | 68.78 | +1.26 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-12-22 | 112.33 | 69.07 | +1.30 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-12-19 | 111.92 | 69.19 | +1.29 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-12-18 | 110.55 | 69.29 | +1.25 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-12-17 | 110.04 | 68.87 | +1.26 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-12-16 | 109.89 | 68.01 | +1.32 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-12-15 | 110.27 | 68.54 | +1.31 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-12-12 | 109.87 | 70.54 | +1.20 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-12-11 | 111.60 | 71.40 | +1.22 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-12-10 | 113.13 | 70.61 | +1.33 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-12-09 | 110.53 | 67.43 | +1.42 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-12-08 | 120.21 | 67.80 | +1.74 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-12-05 | 121.47 | 69.18 | +1.72 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-12-04 | 122.03 | 69.22 | +1.75 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-12-03 | 123.65 | 70.79 | +1.74 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-12-02 | 123.38 | 67.88 | +1.91 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-12-01 | 123.01 | 67.94 | +1.92 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-11-28 | 123.08 | 68.90 | +1.89 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-11-26 | 123.50 | 68.74 | +1.93 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-11-25 | 121.28 | 68.09 | +1.92 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-11-24 | 117.72 | 65.84 | +1.96 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-11-21 | 115.86 | 66.96 | +1.85 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-11-20 | 113.31 | 64.35 | +1.94 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-11-19 | 115.76 | 66.80 | +1.90 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-11-18 | 115.68 | 67.71 | +1.86 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-11-17 | 115.26 | 67.22 | +1.90 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-11-14 | 118.74 | 68.25 | +1.98 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-11-13 | 118.93 | 68.93 | +1.97 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-11-12 | 123.79 | 69.42 | +2.14 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-11-11 | 124.28 | 70.32 | +2.13 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-11-10 | 123.04 | 69.79 | +2.15 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-11-07 | 122.10 | 69.95 | +2.13 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-11-06 | 120.35 | 69.84 | +2.10 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-11-05 | 121.77 | 71.19 | +2.10 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-11-04 | 119.74 | 71.28 | +2.05 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-11-03 | 121.07 | 71.88 | +2.08 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-10-31 | 121.53 | 73.20 | +2.04 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-10-30 | 120.19 | 71.28 | +2.14 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-10-29 | 121.81 | 73.26 | +2.11 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-10-28 | 120.89 | 71.29 | +2.23 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-10-27 | 122.76 | 72.48 | +2.25 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-10-24 | 121.86 | 72.06 | +2.28 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-10-23 | 119.83 | 71.43 | +2.27 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-10-22 | 117.52 | 70.10 | +2.30 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-10-21 | 119.66 | 75.42 | +2.06 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-10-20 | 118.36 | 75.30 | +2.04 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-10-17 | 115.87 | 73.76 | +2.07 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-10-16 | 115.22 | 73.46 | +2.08 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-10-15 | 118.02 | 71.54 | +2.37 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-10-14 | 117.58 | 72.87 | +2.29 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-10-13 | 114.93 | 72.50 | +2.23 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-10-10 | 113.20 | 72.99 | +2.15 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-10-09 | 114.84 | 75.71 | +2.06 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-10-08 | 114.87 | 78.85 | +1.87 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-10-07 | 112.97 | 78.84 | +1.80 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-10-06 | 114.68 | 81.55 | +1.72 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-10-03 | 113.28 | 82.53 | +1.60 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-10-02 | 113.25 | 81.79 | +1.67 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-10-01 | 110.27 | 80.37 | +1.63 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-09-30 | 109.83 | 80.42 | +1.62 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-09-29 | 110.04 | 79.48 | +1.71 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-09-26 | 110.47 | 79.17 | +1.78 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-09-25 | 110.22 | 78.32 | +1.84 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-09-24 | 110.74 | 77.71 | +1.93 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-09-23 | 114.17 | 78.68 | +2.06 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-09-22 | 113.96 | 77.87 | +2.14 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-09-19 | 112.19 | 77.55 | +2.10 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-09-18 | 112.09 | 76.43 | +2.20 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-09-17 | 109.78 | 77.09 | +2.06 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-09-16 | 113.23 | 78.57 | +2.16 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-09-15 | 104.91 | 76.88 | +1.85 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-09-12 | 103.49 | 75.97 | +1.86 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-09-11 | 110.39 | 79.05 | +2.03 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-09-10 | 109.61 | 77.60 | +2.13 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-09-09 | 111.61 | 79.92 | +2.08 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-09-08 | 116.23 | 81.33 | +2.26 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-09-05 | 116.56 | 81.35 | +2.30 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-09-04 | 116.48 | 80.24 | +2.42 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-09-03 | 112.44 | 78.26 | +2.38 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-09-02 | 112.33 | 78.40 | +2.40 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-08-29 | 113.04 | 80.04 | +2.34 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-08-28 | 114.55 | 79.90 | +2.47 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-08-27 | 114.98 | 81.29 | +2.41 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-08-26 | 114.40 | 80.97 | +2.44 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-08-25 | 113.70 | 81.16 | +2.41 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-08-22 | 114.25 | 82.71 | +2.35 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-08-21 | 112.02 | 80.69 | +2.42 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-08-20 | 112.76 | 83.30 | +2.27 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-08-19 | 113.64 | 84.54 | +2.24 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-08-18 | 113.02 | 83.40 | +2.33 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-08-15 | 113.10 | 82.57 | +2.44 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-08-14 | 111.51 | 83.87 | +2.26 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-08-13 | 112.41 | 86.05 | +2.15 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-08-12 | 110.71 | 84.05 | +2.24 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-08-11 | 108.87 | 82.66 | +2.27 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-08-08 | 109.33 | 81.72 | +2.42 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-08-07 | 109.92 | 82.81 | +2.39 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-08-06 | 109.01 | 83.16 | +2.33 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-08-05 | 110.60 | 85.18 | +2.27 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-08-04 | 110.19 | 84.64 | +2.32 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-08-01 | 108.64 | 86.50 | +2.05 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-07-31 | 109.22 | 89.69 | +1.82 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-07-30 | 110.27 | 88.05 | +2.06 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-07-29 | 110.99 | 92.46 | +1.73 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-07-28 | 110.75 | 95.45 | +1.47 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-07-25 | 109.58 | 97.46 | +1.22 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-07-24 | 109.39 | 96.41 | +1.30 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-07-23 | 111.37 | 96.89 | +1.41 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-07-22 | 109.08 | 95.54 | +1.36 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-07-21 | 107.58 | 93.28 | +1.45 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-07-18 | 108.95 | 93.64 | +1.54 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-07-17 | 107.02 | 93.97 | +1.37 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-07-16 | 106.25 | 93.84 | +1.33 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-07-15 | 106.37 | 94.08 | +1.33 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-07-14 | 107.77 | 94.02 | +1.45 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-07-11 | 107.88 | 93.50 | +1.52 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-07-10 | 109.74 | 94.74 | +1.57 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-07-09 | 109.55 | 94.09 | +1.62 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-07-08 | 108.93 | 91.32 | +1.85 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-07-07 | 109.15 | 91.10 | +1.91 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-07-03 | 109.21 | 90.97 | +1.94 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-07-02 | 108.27 | 90.81 | +1.90 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-07-01 | 108.03 | 90.62 | +1.92 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-06-30 | 106.49 | 87.84 | +2.09 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-06-27 | 106.61 | 86.83 | +2.23 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-06-26 | 106.73 | 86.41 | +2.31 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-06-25 | 107.30 | 84.26 | +2.63 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-06-24 | 107.17 | 85.77 | +2.50 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-06-23 | 105.14 | 85.41 | +2.39 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-06-20 | 105.16 | 83.91 | +2.60 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-06-18 | 104.80 | 84.22 | +2.57 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-06-17 | 103.56 | 84.40 | +2.46 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-06-16 | 104.30 | 85.46 | +2.44 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-06-13 | 104.09 | 85.93 | +2.39 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-06-12 | 104.52 | 88.14 | +2.20 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-06-11 | 104.38 | 88.68 | +2.15 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-06-10 | 106.00 | 89.48 | +2.23 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-06-09 | 104.57 | 88.41 | +2.23 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-06-06 | 103.19 | 88.60 | +2.09 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-06-05 | 104.99 | 87.99 | +2.37 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-06-04 | 105.71 | 88.58 | +2.39 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-06-03 | 103.36 | 88.50 | +2.19 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-06-02 | 88.17 | 86.28 | +0.79 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-05-30 | 89.17 | 88.23 | +0.67 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-05-29 | 89.53 | 88.69 | +0.66 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-05-28 | 89.24 | 88.07 | +0.69 | FERG ahead |
| 2025-05-27 | 89.45 | 91.52 | +0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-23 | 87.15 | 90.55 | +0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-22 | 87.69 | 90.72 | +0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-21 | 87.36 | 91.19 | +0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-20 | 89.03 | 93.47 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-19 | 89.59 | 97.11 | -0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-16 | 90.32 | 97.90 | -0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-15 | 88.86 | 95.29 | -0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-14 | 85.64 | 95.16 | -0.58 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-05-13 | 86.57 | 95.74 | -0.53 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-05-12 | 86.37 | 96.44 | -0.64 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-05-09 | 83.72 | 94.66 | -0.77 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-05-08 | 83.67 | 93.38 | -0.64 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-05-07 | 82.25 | 93.44 | -0.82 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-05-06 | 82.48 | 94.47 | -0.91 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-05-05 | 84.30 | 95.26 | -0.78 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-05-02 | 84.24 | 93.91 | -0.66 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-05-01 | 82.99 | 91.73 | -0.58 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-04-30 | 82.97 | 91.47 | -0.57 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-04-29 | 83.04 | 90.63 | -0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-28 | 83.40 | 90.66 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-25 | 82.87 | 90.72 | -0.52 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-04-24 | 82.90 | 90.13 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-23 | 79.81 | 88.80 | -0.68 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-04-22 | 79.85 | 100.09 | -1.75 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-04-21 | 78.57 | 98.44 | -1.76 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-04-17 | 80.33 | 100.78 | -1.77 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-04-16 | 79.42 | 99.00 | -1.72 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-04-15 | 81.07 | 101.52 | -1.77 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-04-14 | 81.44 | 102.40 | -1.82 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-04-11 | 80.56 | 101.23 | -1.82 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-04-10 | 79.10 | 99.28 | -1.82 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-04-09 | 80.50 | 99.29 | -1.68 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-04-08 | 72.39 | 92.13 | -1.97 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-04-07 | 74.42 | 94.03 | -1.92 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-04-04 | 76.08 | 95.09 | -1.84 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-04-03 | 77.47 | 97.97 | -1.95 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-04-02 | 80.60 | 103.57 | -2.11 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-04-01 | 78.61 | 101.77 | -2.19 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-03-31 | 78.36 | 101.11 | -2.19 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-03-28 | 78.50 | 99.83 | -2.08 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-03-27 | 79.70 | 102.24 | -2.17 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-03-26 | 80.36 | 102.08 | -2.11 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-03-25 | 80.69 | 103.03 | -2.18 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-03-24 | 80.43 | 101.95 | -2.13 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-03-21 | 79.39 | 98.86 | -1.99 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-03-20 | 80.15 | 99.92 | -2.02 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-03-19 | 80.49 | 101.06 | -2.10 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-03-18 | 79.70 | 101.33 | -2.23 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-03-17 | 79.50 | 101.60 | -2.30 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-03-14 | 78.20 | 101.23 | -2.44 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-03-13 | 75.84 | 97.77 | -2.44 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-03-12 | 76.20 | 100.28 | -2.66 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-03-11 | 76.77 | 100.55 | -2.66 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-03-10 | 80.97 | 103.54 | -2.47 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-03-07 | 82.25 | 102.03 | -2.21 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-03-06 | 81.64 | 97.21 | -1.85 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-03-05 | 83.46 | 99.79 | -1.90 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-03-04 | 82.39 | 98.32 | -1.89 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-03-03 | 84.86 | 98.25 | -1.63 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-02-28 | 86.81 | 100.32 | -1.62 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-02-27 | 85.71 | 99.43 | -1.66 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-02-26 | 86.07 | 99.24 | -1.61 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-02-25 | 85.29 | 99.17 | -1.70 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-02-24 | 84.10 | 99.68 | -1.88 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-02-21 | 86.07 | 99.19 | -1.64 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-02-20 | 87.78 | 102.48 | -1.77 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-02-19 | 89.01 | 101.78 | -1.60 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-02-18 | 90.72 | 105.57 | -1.77 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-02-14 | 90.11 | 96.21 | -1.02 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-02-13 | 89.74 | 94.78 | -0.93 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-02-12 | 88.44 | 93.63 | -0.96 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-02-11 | 89.21 | 93.89 | -0.92 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-02-10 | 88.48 | 93.08 | -0.92 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-02-07 | 86.65 | 92.52 | -1.06 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-02-06 | 89.14 | 94.16 | -0.97 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-02-05 | 89.49 | 94.29 | -0.96 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-02-04 | 87.86 | 94.29 | -1.13 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-02-03 | 89.95 | 94.96 | -0.99 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-01-31 | 88.58 | 95.20 | -1.16 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-01-30 | 88.93 | 96.34 | -1.24 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-01-29 | 87.43 | 95.84 | -1.35 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-01-28 | 89.30 | 96.94 | -1.28 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-01-27 | 90.19 | 97.38 | -1.24 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-01-24 | 88.35 | 98.49 | -1.54 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-01-23 | 88.81 | 99.09 | -1.56 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-01-22 | 90.87 | 100.58 | -1.50 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-01-21 | 89.18 | 100.45 | -1.67 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-01-17 | 86.83 | 98.72 | -1.78 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-01-16 | 86.29 | 97.69 | -1.76 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-01-15 | 85.68 | 95.28 | -1.61 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-01-14 | 86.15 | 95.94 | -1.64 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-01-13 | 83.34 | 94.80 | -1.85 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-01-10 | 83.02 | 92.27 | -1.66 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-01-08 | 84.13 | 92.81 | -1.60 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-01-07 | 84.22 | 92.57 | -1.59 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-01-06 | 85.18 | 93.76 | -1.61 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-01-03 | 85.22 | 94.63 | -1.71 | WSO ahead |
| 2025-01-02 | 84.79 | 93.25 | -1.64 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-12-31 | 84.88 | 94.26 | -1.75 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-12-30 | 84.89 | 94.44 | -1.79 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-12-27 | 85.65 | 95.47 | -1.82 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-12-26 | 87.00 | 96.99 | -1.84 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-12-24 | 86.71 | 97.74 | -1.98 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-12-23 | 86.32 | 97.06 | -1.98 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-12-20 | 87.13 | 96.34 | -1.83 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-12-19 | 85.47 | 96.59 | -2.07 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-12-18 | 86.80 | 97.05 | -1.99 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-12-17 | 90.50 | 101.14 | -2.01 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-12-16 | 90.81 | 101.40 | -2.02 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-12-13 | 91.69 | 101.39 | -1.95 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-12-12 | 93.09 | 101.74 | -1.84 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-12-11 | 94.71 | 102.26 | -1.73 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-12-10 | 95.33 | 102.93 | -1.75 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-12-09 | 106.48 | 103.91 | -0.69 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-12-06 | 106.09 | 104.79 | -0.82 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-12-05 | 105.23 | 104.17 | -0.85 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-12-04 | 108.98 | 106.92 | -0.75 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-12-03 | 108.08 | 108.01 | -0.95 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-12-02 | 104.70 | 108.04 | -1.30 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-11-29 | 105.60 | 109.72 | -1.39 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-11-27 | 104.30 | 110.33 | -1.59 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-11-26 | 103.93 | 109.50 | -1.56 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-11-25 | 105.64 | 113.14 | -1.75 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-11-22 | 102.18 | 110.36 | -1.86 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-11-21 | 100.96 | 108.65 | -1.84 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-11-20 | 99.15 | 106.10 | -1.79 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-11-19 | 98.72 | 106.05 | -1.85 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-11-18 | 98.21 | 104.86 | -1.80 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-11-15 | 97.78 | 103.58 | -1.72 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-11-14 | 99.38 | 104.59 | -1.66 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-11-13 | 100.50 | 108.02 | -1.92 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-11-12 | 100.66 | 106.09 | -1.71 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-11-11 | 102.06 | 106.79 | -1.64 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-11-08 | 101.46 | 105.13 | -1.53 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-11-07 | 103.07 | 104.42 | -1.28 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-11-06 | 103.15 | 102.80 | -1.09 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-11-05 | 98.84 | 97.05 | -0.92 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-11-04 | 96.90 | 95.08 | -0.92 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-11-01 | 96.82 | 94.29 | -0.83 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-10-31 | 96.21 | 94.09 | -0.88 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-10-30 | 96.37 | 94.37 | -0.90 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-10-29 | 95.39 | 94.18 | -1.00 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-10-28 | 96.46 | 95.46 | -1.04 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-10-25 | 95.97 | 94.66 | -1.01 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-10-24 | 97.04 | 95.13 | -0.94 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-10-23 | 95.60 | 92.78 | -0.82 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-10-22 | 95.85 | 96.43 | -1.25 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-10-21 | 97.65 | 97.91 | -1.22 | WSO ahead |
| 2024-10-18 | 100.00 | 100.00 | -1.20 | WSO ahead |
One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Dec 10, 2024 (FERG -10.5%, WSO -0.9%); Feb 18, 2025 (FERG +0.7%, WSO +9.7%); Apr 23, 2025 (FERG -0.1%, WSO -11.3%); Jun 3, 2025 (FERG +17.2%, WSO +2.6%); Jul 29, 2026 (FERG -2.5%, WSO -12.9%). Upcoming earnings: WSO Oct 27, 2026 (pre-market).
Paired trades
The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart
Forward paper record
No paper position on this pair yet.
Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)
No simulated trade through Oct 20, 2026: the pair rarely passed every test while 2 standard deviations apart.
Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.
The companies
FERG and WSO at a glance
FERG Ferguson Enterprises Inc.
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 2011641
- Industry
- Miscellaneous · SIC 5070 Wholesale-Hardware & Plumbing & Heating Equipment & Supplies
- Market value
- $43.8B
- Price history
- 1,870 daily closes, May 16, 2019 to Oct 22, 2026
WSO Watsco Inc.
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 105016
- Industry
- Industrial Machinery/Components · SIC 5070 Wholesale-Hardware & Plumbing & Heating Equipment & Supplies
- Market value
- $12.2B
- Price history
- 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.
Follow the research behind the paper book
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Explore the private betaPaper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.
