Air Freight/Delivery Services

Delta Air Lines Inc. vs FedEx Corporation

WatchlistDAL / FDXPrices through Oct 22, 2026

Why these are rivals: #1 and #2 by market value ($70B vs $49B) in Nasdaq's "Air Freight/Delivery Services" industry; SEC SIC 4513 / 4512 (same major group).

Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.

  • Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.35 (needs >= 0.60)
  • Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -2.15 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Business leadership

FDX is the larger business

Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.

YearDALFDXLarger
2025$63.4B$94.7BFDX
2024$61.6B$87.9BFDX
2023$58.0B$87.7BFDX
2022$50.6B$90.2BFDX
2021$29.9B$93.5BFDX
2020$17.1B$84.0BFDX

FDX led in every year with figures for both. Market value: DAL $49.1B, FDX $69.5B.

Stock leadership

Neither is clearly ahead

Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.

The gap is 0.06 standard deviations, close to the usual relationship. 6 lead switches in the last year.

Price change3 mo6 mo12 mo
DAL-6.8%+15.9%+27.2%
FDX-3.5%-2.0%+58.6%
Relationship

Not a measured twin today

Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.

Pass
Aligned sessions: 2521 (needs >= 254)
Fail
Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.35 (needs >= 0.60)
Fail
Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -2.15 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Pass
Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 21.40 (needs <= 63)
Data
Both stocks current
The twins over two years

Prices side by side, and the gap between them

DAL Delta Air Lines Inc. FDX FedEx CorporationPrice index, 100 = 2024-10-18. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).
100150Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026
Spread z-score: DAL relative to FDX, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: DAL ahead; below 0: FDX ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).
-4stop-2idea0+2idea+4stopOct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026
Data table (504 sessions)
DateDAL indexFDX indexzAhead
2026-10-22142.04140.32-0.06near the usual relationship
2026-10-21139.19137.69-0.08near the usual relationship
2026-10-20137.38137.94-0.21near the usual relationship
2026-10-19133.75135.64-0.31near the usual relationship
2026-10-16135.07135.53-0.22near the usual relationship
2026-10-15139.93136.45+0.02near the usual relationship
2026-10-14137.37134.48-0.02near the usual relationship
2026-10-13142.60134.16+0.31near the usual relationship
2026-10-12143.57134.92+0.32near the usual relationship
2026-10-09147.26134.68+0.55DAL ahead
2026-10-08147.20134.69+0.54DAL ahead
2026-10-07148.69133.45+0.70DAL ahead
2026-10-06149.93133.44+0.77DAL ahead
2026-10-05148.89133.49+0.71DAL ahead
2026-10-02150.70134.06+0.77DAL ahead
2026-10-01150.77132.54+0.87DAL ahead
2026-09-30149.57131.62+0.86DAL ahead
2026-09-29152.10132.72+0.93DAL ahead
2026-09-28150.59133.73+0.78DAL ahead
2026-09-25152.22131.97+0.97DAL ahead
2026-09-24148.32129.06+0.94DAL ahead
2026-09-23146.51134.58+0.48near the usual relationship
2026-09-22150.39136.63+0.56DAL ahead
2026-09-21147.85136.56+0.42near the usual relationship
2026-09-18142.69140.19-0.10near the usual relationship
2026-09-17142.35141.22-0.19near the usual relationship
2026-09-16139.55139.30-0.24near the usual relationship
2026-09-15141.38142.32-0.32near the usual relationship
2026-09-14143.01144.31-0.34near the usual relationship
2026-09-11143.21144.04-0.32near the usual relationship
2026-09-10140.22143.96-0.49near the usual relationship
2026-09-09141.13142.75-0.38near the usual relationship
2026-09-08141.51145.03-0.49near the usual relationship
2026-09-04143.67148.91-0.59FDX ahead
2026-09-03141.13149.73-0.77FDX ahead
2026-09-02140.04146.14-0.65FDX ahead
2026-09-01136.88149.99-1.03FDX ahead
2026-08-31139.78151.16-0.94FDX ahead
2026-08-28143.49152.76-0.82FDX ahead
2026-08-27145.41153.01-0.74FDX ahead
2026-08-26148.89155.12-0.67FDX ahead
2026-08-25149.86154.07-0.58FDX ahead
2026-08-24147.81154.23-0.70FDX ahead
2026-08-21147.69150.09-0.51FDX ahead
2026-08-20145.27150.53-0.66FDX ahead
2026-08-19149.27151.61-0.52FDX ahead
2026-08-18153.58151.61-0.31near the usual relationship
2026-08-17156.97153.05-0.23near the usual relationship
2026-08-14160.13154.50-0.16near the usual relationship
2026-08-13163.64156.68-0.11near the usual relationship
2026-08-12161.16150.87+0.06near the usual relationship
2026-08-11162.03148.86+0.19near the usual relationship
2026-08-10159.87150.09+0.03near the usual relationship
2026-08-07163.69147.08+0.35near the usual relationship
2026-08-06164.84145.83+0.46near the usual relationship
2026-08-05166.92143.46+0.66DAL ahead
2026-08-04166.25144.67+0.57DAL ahead
2026-08-03164.14142.77+0.58DAL ahead
2026-07-31156.70141.92+0.28near the usual relationship
2026-07-30158.76142.46+0.35near the usual relationship
2026-07-29154.57142.48+0.15near the usual relationship
2026-07-28160.16144.34+0.32near the usual relationship
2026-07-27155.32143.49+0.14near the usual relationship
2026-07-24152.44145.41-0.10near the usual relationship
2026-07-23146.90145.72-0.38near the usual relationship
2026-07-22149.68148.21-0.37near the usual relationship
2026-07-21151.67145.52-0.15near the usual relationship
2026-07-20151.51141.38+0.04near the usual relationship
2026-07-17150.84144.50-0.15near the usual relationship
2026-07-16155.38146.91-0.06near the usual relationship
2026-07-15154.05144.70-0.01near the usual relationship
2026-07-14153.24144.81-0.06near the usual relationship
2026-07-13154.46144.85-0.01near the usual relationship
2026-07-10156.61145.29+0.07near the usual relationship
2026-07-09159.50143.51+0.29near the usual relationship
2026-07-08156.43143.01+0.18near the usual relationship
2026-07-07158.84144.45+0.21near the usual relationship
2026-07-06164.30143.09+0.53DAL ahead
2026-07-02166.22144.51+0.54DAL ahead
2026-07-01166.77144.92+0.55DAL ahead
2026-06-30167.85144.57+0.61DAL ahead
2026-06-29166.97150.23+0.30near the usual relationship
2026-06-26165.90147.06+0.41near the usual relationship
2026-06-25165.07152.10+0.14near the usual relationship
2026-06-24162.46146.28+0.30near the usual relationship
2026-06-23155.41146.47-0.02near the usual relationship
2026-06-22153.98151.80-0.34near the usual relationship
2026-06-18150.86150.60-0.43near the usual relationship
2026-06-17147.40150.48-0.60FDX ahead
2026-06-16149.00155.01-0.73FDX ahead
2026-06-15150.66156.40-0.72FDX ahead
2026-06-12148.85156.20-0.80FDX ahead
2026-06-11146.65156.05-0.91FDX ahead
2026-06-10137.04147.40-0.99FDX ahead
2026-06-09145.47153.17-0.85FDX ahead
2026-06-08140.16152.46-1.09FDX ahead
2026-06-05142.33152.82-1.00FDX ahead
2026-06-04142.49151.44-0.93FDX ahead
2026-06-03141.18149.80-0.93FDX ahead
2026-06-02143.41151.90-0.92FDX ahead
2026-06-01146.00156.28-1.00FDX ahead
2026-05-29147.81150.05-0.62FDX ahead
2026-05-28147.83149.93-0.62FDX ahead
2026-05-27146.59150.07-0.69FDX ahead
2026-05-26142.28145.77-0.70FDX ahead
2026-05-22136.45143.66-0.90FDX ahead
2026-05-21135.57141.73-0.86FDX ahead
2026-05-20132.83140.98-0.98FDX ahead
2026-05-19121.43136.65-1.42FDX ahead
2026-05-18125.88134.74-1.05FDX ahead
2026-05-15125.86136.95-1.18FDX ahead
2026-05-14128.23138.48-1.14FDX ahead
2026-05-13127.33134.73-0.99FDX ahead
2026-05-12126.72137.18-1.17FDX ahead
2026-05-11127.60138.08-1.17FDX ahead
2026-05-08131.42137.97-0.95FDX ahead
2026-05-07131.02137.00-0.92FDX ahead
2026-05-06131.43137.46-0.93FDX ahead
2026-05-05126.99132.20-0.90FDX ahead
2026-05-04122.76130.39-1.05FDX ahead
2026-05-01123.62143.47-1.73FDX ahead
2026-04-30121.85146.98-2.04FDX ahead
2026-04-29118.76141.61-1.97FDX ahead
2026-04-28120.47142.20-1.90FDX ahead
2026-04-27122.22141.36-1.76FDX ahead
2026-04-24122.67141.39-1.74FDX ahead
2026-04-23122.53143.11-1.86FDX ahead
2026-04-22122.60140.65-1.73FDX ahead
2026-04-21125.84143.80-1.70FDX ahead
2026-04-20127.62143.50-1.59FDX ahead
2026-04-17128.53143.00-1.51FDX ahead
2026-04-16125.25138.80-1.48FDX ahead
2026-04-15129.01132.99-0.91FDX ahead
2026-04-14128.49134.89-1.05FDX ahead
2026-04-13120.16135.53-1.63FDX ahead
2026-04-10121.54136.33-1.59FDX ahead
2026-04-09121.56137.39-1.65FDX ahead
2026-04-08122.01136.09-1.54FDX ahead
2026-04-07117.60130.10-1.47FDX ahead
2026-04-06119.68130.77-1.37FDX ahead
2026-04-02119.64131.79-1.43FDX ahead
2026-04-01121.15130.94-1.27FDX ahead
2026-03-31119.14129.80-1.33FDX ahead
2026-03-30113.24124.55-1.41FDX ahead
2026-03-27116.18125.35-1.26FDX ahead
2026-03-26119.82127.39-1.15FDX ahead
2026-03-25121.85130.29-1.20FDX ahead
2026-03-24119.44131.18-1.42FDX ahead
2026-03-23116.72129.66-1.51FDX ahead
2026-03-20113.69130.78-1.80FDX ahead
2026-03-19116.51129.78-1.55FDX ahead
2026-03-18114.35127.46-1.56FDX ahead
2026-03-17116.18129.25-1.55FDX ahead
2026-03-16109.03128.41-2.01FDX ahead
2026-03-13105.34128.16-2.29FDX ahead
2026-03-12103.84128.69-2.47FDX ahead
2026-03-11105.99131.70-2.53FDX ahead
2026-03-10106.22131.00-2.50FDX ahead
2026-03-09108.57131.60-2.39FDX ahead
2026-03-06105.75130.87-2.61FDX ahead
2026-03-05109.87136.06-2.66FDX ahead
2026-03-04114.39139.97-2.61FDX ahead
2026-03-03115.77139.41-2.51FDX ahead
2026-03-02115.14141.13-2.71FDX ahead
2026-02-27117.74141.03-2.55FDX ahead
2026-02-26126.36141.28-1.94FDX ahead
2026-02-25124.34139.43-1.99FDX ahead
2026-02-24124.07140.87-2.14FDX ahead
2026-02-23119.86139.84-2.43FDX ahead
2026-02-20124.44141.57-2.22FDX ahead
2026-02-19120.86139.63-2.40FDX ahead
2026-02-18127.44139.61-1.91FDX ahead
2026-02-17126.97136.77-1.77FDX ahead
2026-02-13123.66136.56-2.04FDX ahead
2026-02-12124.55134.64-1.85FDX ahead
2026-02-11127.99133.80-1.53FDX ahead
2026-02-10133.44134.09-1.15FDX ahead
2026-02-09134.41132.87-0.99FDX ahead
2026-02-06135.04134.56-1.08FDX ahead
2026-02-05125.05132.64-1.70FDX ahead
2026-02-04126.99132.12-1.53FDX ahead
2026-02-03126.24128.80-1.35FDX ahead
2026-02-02123.80122.19-1.03FDX ahead
2026-01-30118.08117.44-1.11FDX ahead
2026-01-29119.25116.59-0.95FDX ahead
2026-01-28117.97114.67-0.90FDX ahead
2026-01-27118.53113.86-0.79FDX ahead
2026-01-26120.97110.96-0.34near the usual relationship
2026-01-23121.79110.86-0.27near the usual relationship
2026-01-22123.57112.90-0.31near the usual relationship
2026-01-21123.57111.86-0.22near the usual relationship
2026-01-20120.90109.70-0.25near the usual relationship
2026-01-16126.22112.31-0.06near the usual relationship
2026-01-15127.85114.13-0.09near the usual relationship
2026-01-14122.74114.27-0.51FDX ahead
2026-01-13124.25112.85-0.27near the usual relationship
2026-01-12127.29113.67-0.10near the usual relationship
2026-01-09129.59113.83+0.06near the usual relationship
2026-01-08127.76112.61+0.03near the usual relationship
2026-01-07128.41112.00+0.13near the usual relationship
2026-01-06129.43112.22+0.19near the usual relationship
2026-01-05128.71108.40+0.48near the usual relationship
2026-01-02123.76106.83+0.25near the usual relationship
2025-12-31124.37105.27+0.44near the usual relationship
2025-12-30124.27106.07+0.36near the usual relationship
2025-12-29124.61106.74+0.33near the usual relationship
2025-12-26126.97107.99+0.40near the usual relationship
2025-12-24127.17107.84+0.43near the usual relationship
2025-12-23126.34107.58+0.39near the usual relationship
2025-12-22129.14106.70+0.69DAL ahead
2025-12-19127.35105.24+0.70DAL ahead
2025-12-18125.72104.64+0.63DAL ahead
2025-12-17124.95102.85+0.75DAL ahead
2025-12-16127.49102.94+0.94DAL ahead
2025-12-15127.72102.49+1.01DAL ahead
2025-12-12125.11103.62+0.70DAL ahead
2025-12-11126.45103.78+0.80DAL ahead
2025-12-10125.32103.61+0.73DAL ahead
2025-12-09120.81100.27+0.69DAL ahead
2025-12-08120.47100.82+0.61DAL ahead
2025-12-05120.2599.96+0.68DAL ahead
2025-12-04120.5099.87+0.72DAL ahead
2025-12-03120.9598.56+0.89DAL ahead
2025-12-02116.7498.53+0.55DAL ahead
2025-12-01114.9699.61+0.30near the usual relationship
2025-11-28114.87100.47+0.21near the usual relationship
2025-11-26115.18100.52+0.23near the usual relationship
2025-11-25111.3899.81-0.02near the usual relationship
2025-11-24108.7397.30-0.01near the usual relationship
2025-11-21104.9698.19-0.45near the usual relationship
2025-11-20100.3095.88-0.66FDX ahead
2025-11-19101.9295.69-0.48near the usual relationship
2025-11-18102.3895.87-0.46near the usual relationship
2025-11-1799.9396.48-0.76FDX ahead
2025-11-14104.6897.51-0.41near the usual relationship
2025-11-13107.3797.43-0.15near the usual relationship
2025-11-12108.3997.91-0.10near the usual relationship
2025-11-11103.4897.57-0.52FDX ahead
2025-11-10104.9592.53+0.14near the usual relationship
2025-11-07105.5295.51-0.12near the usual relationship
2025-11-06103.6094.34-0.18near the usual relationship
2025-11-05104.9193.33+0.06near the usual relationship
2025-11-0499.7391.79-0.28near the usual relationship
2025-11-03104.8492.20+0.17near the usual relationship
2025-10-31102.8392.50-0.04near the usual relationship
2025-10-30102.3790.72+0.11near the usual relationship
2025-10-29105.3090.98+0.36near the usual relationship
2025-10-28103.6990.94+0.22near the usual relationship
2025-10-27108.3390.14+0.73DAL ahead
2025-10-24109.2387.88+1.07DAL ahead
2025-10-23105.3286.80+0.84DAL ahead
2025-10-22107.5387.25+1.00DAL ahead
2025-10-21111.6888.50+1.24DAL ahead
2025-10-20110.6687.39+1.28DAL ahead
2025-10-17106.8886.66+1.04DAL ahead
2025-10-16108.2486.34+1.20DAL ahead
2025-10-15110.5785.93+1.47DAL ahead
2025-10-14109.8085.52+1.46DAL ahead
2025-10-13105.2383.69+1.26DAL ahead
2025-10-10103.0181.86+1.28DAL ahead
2025-10-09106.7686.37+1.12DAL ahead
2025-10-08102.3787.44+0.60DAL ahead
2025-10-07101.4988.31+0.43near the usual relationship
2025-10-06104.4190.03+0.52DAL ahead
2025-10-03102.6289.14+0.46near the usual relationship
2025-10-02102.2988.31+0.52DAL ahead
2025-10-01100.5687.30+0.47near the usual relationship
2025-09-30101.7085.94+0.73DAL ahead
2025-09-29103.3386.22+0.86DAL ahead
2025-09-26102.5186.67+0.74DAL ahead
2025-09-25101.6886.16+0.73DAL ahead
2025-09-24103.4285.19+0.99DAL ahead
2025-09-23105.2985.17+1.15DAL ahead
2025-09-22105.5483.86+1.31DAL ahead
2025-09-19107.1084.46+1.38DAL ahead
2025-09-18106.5882.54+1.53DAL ahead
2025-09-17105.4182.28+1.46DAL ahead
2025-09-16103.6982.98+1.25DAL ahead
2025-09-15104.7082.25+1.41DAL ahead
2025-09-12107.2983.66+1.47DAL ahead
2025-09-11108.3283.39+1.57DAL ahead
2025-09-10110.0282.25+1.81DAL ahead
2025-09-09108.7582.27+1.71DAL ahead
2025-09-08110.6882.00+1.87DAL ahead
2025-09-05109.6482.99+1.70DAL ahead
2025-09-04108.5182.10+1.70DAL ahead
2025-09-03109.8082.12+1.78DAL ahead
2025-09-02109.5581.70+1.80DAL ahead
2025-08-29110.7284.21+1.65DAL ahead
2025-08-28111.0684.28+1.66DAL ahead
2025-08-27109.7884.62+1.54DAL ahead
2025-08-26109.5984.22+1.56DAL ahead
2025-08-25108.2684.91+1.42DAL ahead
2025-08-22110.5686.30+1.45DAL ahead
2025-08-21103.6682.10+1.35DAL ahead
2025-08-20105.8282.80+1.44DAL ahead
2025-08-19108.4284.96+1.43DAL ahead
2025-08-18109.4882.99+1.65DAL ahead
2025-08-15107.9682.82+1.57DAL ahead
2025-08-14105.6684.21+1.33DAL ahead
2025-08-13106.4984.00+1.40DAL ahead
2025-08-12104.7383.97+1.30DAL ahead
2025-08-1195.8881.85+0.91DAL ahead
2025-08-0896.1383.11+0.83DAL ahead
2025-08-0796.1181.87+0.93DAL ahead
2025-08-0696.9982.53+0.94DAL ahead
2025-08-0594.7581.05+0.91DAL ahead
2025-08-0494.1279.26+1.01DAL ahead
2025-08-0191.6779.12+0.87DAL ahead
2025-07-3195.3681.45+0.94DAL ahead
2025-07-3096.0681.58+0.98DAL ahead
2025-07-2997.6785.47+0.81DAL ahead
2025-07-2899.6688.34+0.74DAL ahead
2025-07-2598.3288.63+0.65DAL ahead
2025-07-2498.0586.19+0.80DAL ahead
2025-07-23100.3286.70+0.90DAL ahead
2025-07-2299.7784.44+1.03DAL ahead
2025-07-21100.4382.26+1.22DAL ahead
2025-07-18100.8882.59+1.23DAL ahead
2025-07-17100.9783.23+1.20DAL ahead
2025-07-1699.5783.36+1.12DAL ahead
2025-07-1599.8484.06+1.10DAL ahead
2025-07-14104.1485.27+1.26DAL ahead
2025-07-11101.5286.03+1.08DAL ahead
2025-07-10101.7687.00+1.04DAL ahead
2025-07-0990.8686.19+0.47near the usual relationship
2025-07-0890.5486.99+0.40near the usual relationship
2025-07-0789.6185.67+0.44near the usual relationship
2025-07-0391.1587.91+0.39near the usual relationship
2025-07-0289.8487.15+0.37near the usual relationship
2025-07-0187.8185.40+0.36near the usual relationship
2025-06-3088.1482.84+0.55DAL ahead
2025-06-2788.8783.42+0.56DAL ahead
2025-06-2687.7680.56+0.69DAL ahead
2025-06-2586.5880.90+0.59DAL ahead
2025-06-2488.8283.64+0.55DAL ahead
2025-06-2386.4783.54+0.41near the usual relationship
2025-06-2084.5982.38+0.37near the usual relationship
2025-06-1885.2381.38+0.48near the usual relationship
2025-06-1784.8081.10+0.47near the usual relationship
2025-06-1688.6482.64+0.61DAL ahead
2025-06-1384.3081.77+0.40near the usual relationship
2025-06-1287.6082.00+0.60DAL ahead
2025-06-1188.1281.63+0.66DAL ahead
2025-06-1092.6283.08+0.84DAL ahead
2025-06-0991.7680.97+0.93DAL ahead
2025-06-0691.3180.03+0.97DAL ahead
2025-06-0587.5378.98+0.81DAL ahead
2025-06-0487.7879.77+0.78DAL ahead
2025-06-0387.5180.09+0.74DAL ahead
2025-06-0286.9279.41+0.75DAL ahead
2025-05-3086.7279.48+0.74DAL ahead
2025-05-2986.9280.27+0.70DAL ahead
2025-05-2887.1079.14+0.79DAL ahead
2025-05-2788.5380.09+0.82DAL ahead
2025-05-2385.8878.94+0.73DAL ahead
2025-05-2286.9279.74+0.75DAL ahead
2025-05-2186.5179.01+0.77DAL ahead
2025-05-2089.5780.59+0.86DAL ahead
2025-05-1991.7482.41+0.87DAL ahead
2025-05-1691.2583.64+0.76DAL ahead
2025-05-1590.1184.22+0.66DAL ahead
2025-05-1490.6584.48+0.67DAL ahead
2025-05-1394.9684.24+0.96DAL ahead
2025-05-1291.6584.89+0.72DAL ahead
2025-05-0986.6379.38+0.78DAL ahead
2025-05-0886.9979.89+0.77DAL ahead
2025-05-0781.1878.56+0.48near the usual relationship
2025-05-0680.3077.77+0.47near the usual relationship
2025-05-0581.5679.08+0.47near the usual relationship
2025-05-0279.2180.07+0.24near the usual relationship
2025-05-0174.3776.55+0.14near the usual relationship
2025-04-3074.6176.65+0.15near the usual relationship
2025-04-2975.4176.48+0.22near the usual relationship
2025-04-2875.2077.08+0.16near the usual relationship
2025-04-2574.5277.10+0.11near the usual relationship
2025-04-2475.3078.60+0.07near the usual relationship
2025-04-2374.1976.91+0.11near the usual relationship
2025-04-2272.2975.28+0.08near the usual relationship
2025-04-2170.7374.75+0.00near the usual relationship
2025-04-1773.2175.64+0.13near the usual relationship
2025-04-1672.7474.18+0.21near the usual relationship
2025-04-1573.1775.56+0.14near the usual relationship
2025-04-1472.2276.69-0.02near the usual relationship
2025-04-1173.2675.72+0.14near the usual relationship
2025-04-1070.5475.22-0.03near the usual relationship
2025-04-0979.3479.42+0.32near the usual relationship
2025-04-0864.3072.18-0.32near the usual relationship
2025-04-0766.8374.79-0.30near the usual relationship
2025-04-0466.7676.57-0.43near the usual relationship
2025-04-0369.3778.67-0.37near the usual relationship
2025-04-0277.7289.35-0.44near the usual relationship
2025-04-0176.0288.19-0.49near the usual relationship
2025-03-3178.1488.84-0.38near the usual relationship
2025-03-2878.5788.09-0.30near the usual relationship
2025-03-2782.7188.89-0.06near the usual relationship
2025-03-2686.1588.80+0.18near the usual relationship
2025-03-2587.2287.85+0.31near the usual relationship
2025-03-2487.6088.31+0.31near the usual relationship
2025-03-2183.8283.94+0.35near the usual relationship
2025-03-2084.1489.73+0.00near the usual relationship
2025-03-1985.5790.06+0.08near the usual relationship
2025-03-1882.2989.58-0.10near the usual relationship
2025-03-1784.0389.40+0.02near the usual relationship
2025-03-1483.7888.27+0.08near the usual relationship
2025-03-1378.7187.82-0.23near the usual relationship
2025-03-1281.1888.74-0.12near the usual relationship
2025-03-1183.6688.54+0.06near the usual relationship
2025-03-1090.2089.84+0.40near the usual relationship
2025-03-0795.4892.54+0.55DAL ahead
2025-03-0698.4991.03+0.82DAL ahead
2025-03-05101.7491.26+0.99DAL ahead
2025-03-0498.0190.28+0.85DAL ahead
2025-03-03104.7594.30+0.99DAL ahead
2025-02-28107.7495.81+1.06DAL ahead
2025-02-27107.0894.22+1.13DAL ahead
2025-02-26110.5793.34+1.37DAL ahead
2025-02-25110.7393.47+1.38DAL ahead
2025-02-24110.2092.40+1.43DAL ahead
2025-02-21107.5392.63+1.29DAL ahead
2025-02-20114.2597.84+1.34DAL ahead
2025-02-19116.5697.26+1.50DAL ahead
2025-02-18115.3097.47+1.43DAL ahead
2025-02-14117.1997.58+1.53DAL ahead
2025-02-13114.8095.89+1.53DAL ahead
2025-02-12118.8795.72+1.76DAL ahead
2025-02-11116.0495.21+1.67DAL ahead
2025-02-10118.6294.11+1.88DAL ahead
2025-02-07122.1193.32+2.13DAL ahead
2025-02-06121.7294.30+2.07DAL ahead
2025-02-05123.7691.99+2.35DAL ahead
2025-02-04123.7691.45+2.43DAL ahead
2025-02-03119.1490.14+2.32DAL ahead
2025-01-31120.5696.53+2.00DAL ahead
2025-01-30122.8998.12+2.04DAL ahead
2025-01-29122.63100.24+1.92DAL ahead
2025-01-28121.24101.55+1.79DAL ahead
2025-01-27121.45102.60+1.75DAL ahead
2025-01-24120.3999.60+1.90DAL ahead
2025-01-23120.8898.41+2.03DAL ahead
2025-01-22121.4798.55+2.07DAL ahead
2025-01-21122.47100.43+2.03DAL ahead
2025-01-17117.96100.26+1.82DAL ahead
2025-01-16118.60101.08+1.82DAL ahead
2025-01-15117.38100.80+1.79DAL ahead
2025-01-14118.80101.17+1.87DAL ahead
2025-01-13116.67100.07+1.84DAL ahead
2025-01-10119.9898.66+2.15DAL ahead
2025-01-08110.07100.18+1.49DAL ahead
2025-01-07109.64100.22+1.47DAL ahead
2025-01-06107.6099.84+1.39DAL ahead
2025-01-03105.73100.00+1.27DAL ahead
2025-01-02105.8699.96+1.29DAL ahead
2024-12-31108.42102.53+1.29DAL ahead
2024-12-30108.82102.24+1.35DAL ahead
2024-12-27109.78102.17+1.42DAL ahead
2024-12-26111.83101.55+1.61DAL ahead
2024-12-24112.1199.07+1.81DAL ahead
2024-12-23110.2598.04+1.79DAL ahead
2024-12-20109.19100.48+1.57DAL ahead
2024-12-19108.21100.54+1.51DAL ahead
2024-12-18105.5299.55+1.42DAL ahead
2024-12-17108.98101.10+1.55DAL ahead
2024-12-16109.41103.29+1.44DAL ahead
2024-12-13110.25103.29+1.51DAL ahead
2024-12-12110.45103.39+1.53DAL ahead
2024-12-11113.76102.46+1.82DAL ahead
2024-12-10112.49101.79+1.80DAL ahead
2024-12-09111.58101.87+1.76DAL ahead
2024-12-06115.65102.29+2.00DAL ahead
2024-12-05117.87101.83+2.20DAL ahead
2024-12-04115.16103.29+1.95DAL ahead
2024-12-03112.13103.08+1.79DAL ahead
2024-12-02113.64108.12+1.56DAL ahead
2024-11-29114.37110.30+1.47DAL ahead
2024-11-27114.01110.56+1.44DAL ahead
2024-11-26114.95110.42+1.53DAL ahead
2024-11-25115.57111.21+1.53DAL ahead
2024-11-22113.51109.32+1.53DAL ahead
2024-11-21113.51107.57+1.66DAL ahead
2024-11-20114.05104.97+1.89DAL ahead
2024-11-19116.04106.80+1.91DAL ahead
2024-11-18113.33107.58+1.70DAL ahead
2024-11-15114.82107.31+1.83DAL ahead
2024-11-14116.22106.52+2.00DAL ahead
2024-11-13115.52106.37+1.98DAL ahead
2024-11-12114.78104.69+2.08DAL ahead
2024-11-11113.91105.61+1.98DAL ahead
2024-11-08109.41104.33+1.79DAL ahead
2024-11-07108.30103.21+1.81DAL ahead
2024-11-06111.68102.06+2.14DAL ahead
2024-11-05104.46100.37+1.78DAL ahead
2024-11-04101.9598.83+1.73DAL ahead
2024-11-01104.6499.98+1.85DAL ahead
2024-10-31102.5499.80+1.73DAL ahead
2024-10-30104.7799.88+1.90DAL ahead
2024-10-29102.76100.23+1.74DAL ahead
2024-10-2899.25100.38+1.48DAL ahead
2024-10-2596.9999.17+1.41DAL ahead
2024-10-2498.1599.44+1.49DAL ahead
2024-10-2397.9497.69+1.62DAL ahead
2024-10-2298.2198.32+1.61DAL ahead
2024-10-2198.7597.96+1.69DAL ahead
2024-10-18100.00100.00+1.64DAL ahead

One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Jan 10, 2025 (DAL +9.0%, FDX -1.5%); Apr 9, 2025 (DAL +23.4%, FDX +10.0%). Upcoming earnings: FDX Oct 28, 2026 (after-hours).

Paired trades

The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart

Forward paper record

No paper position on this pair yet.

Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)

No simulated trade through Oct 20, 2026: the pair rarely passed every test while 2 standard deviations apart.

Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.

The companies

DAL and FDX at a glance

DAL Delta Air Lines Inc.

Listing
NYSE · SEC CIK 27904
Industry
Air Freight/Delivery Services · SIC 4512 Air Transportation, Scheduled
Market value
$49.1B
Price history
2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026

FDX FedEx Corporation

Listing
NYSE · SEC CIK 1048911
Industry
Air Freight/Delivery Services · SIC 4513 Air Courier Services
Market value
$69.5B
Price history
2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026

Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.

Related
All pairs →
PairStatusAhead nowIndustry
DAL / UALWatchlistDAL by 1.58 sdAir Freight/Delivery Services
DAL / RYAAYWatchlistDAL by 1.17 sdSIC 4512 Air Transportation, Scheduled
FDX / UALWatchlistFDX by 0.84 sdAir Freight/Delivery Services
FDX / FDXFShort historyneitherSIC 4513 Air Courier Services

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Paper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.