CF Industries Holdings Inc. vs Nutrien Ltd.
WatchlistCF / NTRPrices through Oct 22, 2026
Why these are rivals: #1 and #2 by market value ($33B vs $18B) in Nasdaq's "Agricultural Chemicals" industry; SEC SIC 2870 / 2870 (same major group); #1 and #2 by market value ($33B vs $18B) with SEC SIC 2870 (Agricultural Chemicals).
Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.17 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Business leadership
Business size
Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.
| Year | CF | NTR | Larger |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $7.1B | - | - |
| 2024 | $5.9B | - | - |
| 2023 | $6.6B | - | - |
| 2022 | $11.2B | - | - |
| 2021 | $6.5B | - | - |
| 2020 | $4.1B | - | - |
Market value: CF $17.9B, NTR $33.5B.
Stock leadership
CF is ahead now
Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.
CF leads NTR by 0.80 standard deviations: +9.9% over its usual price ratio. 1 lead switch in the last year.
| Price change | 3 mo | 6 mo | 12 mo |
|---|---|---|---|
| CF | -5.2% | -5.6% | +42.3% |
| NTR | +1.5% | -4.3% | +23.4% |
Relationship
Not a measured twin today
Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.
- Pass
- Aligned sessions: 2214 (needs >= 254)
- Pass
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.69 (needs >= 0.60)
- Fail
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.17 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
- Pass
- Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 54.20 (needs <= 63)
- Data
- Both stocks current
The twins over two years
Prices side by side, and the gap between them
CF CF Industries Holdings Inc. NTR Nutrien Ltd.Price index, 100 = 2024-10-18. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).
Spread z-score: CF relative to NTR, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: CF ahead; below 0: NTR ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).
Data table (504 sessions)
| Date | CF index | NTR index | z | Ahead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | 141.16 | 144.90 | +0.80 | CF ahead |
| 2026-10-21 | 138.47 | 142.87 | +0.76 | CF ahead |
| 2026-10-20 | 140.41 | 144.78 | +0.77 | CF ahead |
| 2026-10-19 | 141.10 | 145.64 | +0.77 | CF ahead |
| 2026-10-16 | 143.89 | 149.45 | +0.72 | CF ahead |
| 2026-10-15 | 142.60 | 145.93 | +0.85 | CF ahead |
| 2026-10-14 | 142.23 | 146.54 | +0.80 | CF ahead |
| 2026-10-13 | 139.60 | 146.14 | +0.67 | CF ahead |
| 2026-10-12 | 136.42 | 142.62 | +0.69 | CF ahead |
| 2026-10-09 | 132.80 | 141.53 | +0.53 | CF ahead |
| 2026-10-08 | 135.23 | 146.54 | +0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-07 | 136.25 | 146.75 | +0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-06 | 138.14 | 149.33 | +0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-05 | 138.14 | 147.36 | +0.53 | CF ahead |
| 2026-10-02 | 136.93 | 146.94 | +0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-01 | 136.37 | 146.25 | +0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-30 | 137.16 | 147.34 | +0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-29 | 137.77 | 149.29 | +0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-28 | 137.53 | 150.96 | +0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-25 | 136.53 | 151.49 | +0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-24 | 141.02 | 155.12 | +0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-23 | 143.64 | 157.57 | +0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-22 | 143.58 | 158.20 | +0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-21 | 146.77 | 156.33 | +0.56 | CF ahead |
| 2026-09-18 | 152.04 | 161.68 | +0.58 | CF ahead |
| 2026-09-17 | 159.33 | 165.52 | +0.78 | CF ahead |
| 2026-09-16 | 157.15 | 162.92 | +0.81 | CF ahead |
| 2026-09-15 | 161.38 | 165.10 | +0.92 | CF ahead |
| 2026-09-14 | 156.26 | 161.49 | +0.84 | CF ahead |
| 2026-09-11 | 158.44 | 164.53 | +0.81 | CF ahead |
| 2026-09-10 | 160.86 | 165.14 | +0.91 | CF ahead |
| 2026-09-09 | 164.44 | 169.30 | +0.89 | CF ahead |
| 2026-09-08 | 159.94 | 169.21 | +0.66 | CF ahead |
| 2026-09-04 | 158.77 | 166.67 | +0.74 | CF ahead |
| 2026-09-03 | 164.08 | 169.32 | +0.89 | CF ahead |
| 2026-09-02 | 165.82 | 168.39 | +1.03 | CF ahead |
| 2026-09-01 | 161.45 | 162.94 | +1.09 | CF ahead |
| 2026-08-31 | 154.82 | 158.41 | +0.98 | CF ahead |
| 2026-08-28 | 149.77 | 154.17 | +0.94 | CF ahead |
| 2026-08-27 | 149.67 | 153.23 | +0.99 | CF ahead |
| 2026-08-26 | 149.66 | 154.38 | +0.93 | CF ahead |
| 2026-08-25 | 151.52 | 152.77 | +1.14 | CF ahead |
| 2026-08-24 | 153.88 | 155.81 | +1.11 | CF ahead |
| 2026-08-21 | 154.30 | 157.86 | +1.03 | CF ahead |
| 2026-08-20 | 149.66 | 153.36 | +1.02 | CF ahead |
| 2026-08-19 | 141.71 | 147.86 | +0.87 | CF ahead |
| 2026-08-18 | 142.54 | 145.55 | +1.06 | CF ahead |
| 2026-08-17 | 140.23 | 143.23 | +1.07 | CF ahead |
| 2026-08-14 | 140.85 | 143.12 | +1.12 | CF ahead |
| 2026-08-13 | 139.36 | 141.51 | +1.13 | CF ahead |
| 2026-08-12 | 142.89 | 140.90 | +1.41 | CF ahead |
| 2026-08-11 | 140.25 | 141.11 | +1.24 | CF ahead |
| 2026-08-10 | 144.64 | 139.07 | +1.66 | CF ahead |
| 2026-08-07 | 136.15 | 135.11 | +1.38 | CF ahead |
| 2026-08-06 | 138.98 | 140.02 | +1.26 | CF ahead |
| 2026-08-05 | 138.96 | 140.35 | +1.24 | CF ahead |
| 2026-08-04 | 140.62 | 140.35 | +1.36 | CF ahead |
| 2026-08-03 | 140.85 | 138.34 | +1.51 | CF ahead |
| 2026-07-31 | 149.05 | 144.86 | +1.62 | CF ahead |
| 2026-07-30 | 149.74 | 148.32 | +1.46 | CF ahead |
| 2026-07-29 | 151.63 | 148.05 | +1.60 | CF ahead |
| 2026-07-28 | 146.35 | 145.68 | +1.44 | CF ahead |
| 2026-07-27 | 142.61 | 141.36 | +1.49 | CF ahead |
| 2026-07-24 | 148.91 | 142.83 | +1.81 | CF ahead |
| 2026-07-23 | 150.86 | 143.75 | +1.89 | CF ahead |
| 2026-07-22 | 151.63 | 143.67 | +1.97 | CF ahead |
| 2026-07-21 | 146.40 | 140.18 | +1.89 | CF ahead |
| 2026-07-20 | 147.12 | 139.81 | +1.98 | CF ahead |
| 2026-07-17 | 144.56 | 141.11 | +1.74 | CF ahead |
| 2026-07-16 | 141.28 | 140.73 | +1.55 | CF ahead |
| 2026-07-15 | 140.28 | 143.31 | +1.31 | CF ahead |
| 2026-07-14 | 141.91 | 143.96 | +1.39 | CF ahead |
| 2026-07-13 | 143.97 | 141.78 | +1.69 | CF ahead |
| 2026-07-10 | 139.21 | 137.23 | +1.70 | CF ahead |
| 2026-07-09 | 135.75 | 135.42 | +1.59 | CF ahead |
| 2026-07-08 | 139.33 | 140.02 | +1.53 | CF ahead |
| 2026-07-07 | 136.85 | 137.00 | +1.58 | CF ahead |
| 2026-07-06 | 134.78 | 135.36 | +1.56 | CF ahead |
| 2026-07-02 | 131.61 | 136.45 | +1.24 | CF ahead |
| 2026-07-01 | 128.78 | 133.33 | +1.26 | CF ahead |
| 2026-06-30 | 128.90 | 132.03 | +1.38 | CF ahead |
| 2026-06-29 | 125.49 | 128.31 | +1.41 | CF ahead |
| 2026-06-26 | 125.85 | 127.89 | +1.48 | CF ahead |
| 2026-06-25 | 125.60 | 127.85 | +1.47 | CF ahead |
| 2026-06-24 | 122.74 | 126.61 | +1.34 | CF ahead |
| 2026-06-23 | 121.65 | 129.07 | +1.05 | CF ahead |
| 2026-06-22 | 123.35 | 130.56 | +1.08 | CF ahead |
| 2026-06-18 | 122.55 | 131.84 | +0.91 | CF ahead |
| 2026-06-17 | 126.03 | 134.82 | +0.97 | CF ahead |
| 2026-06-16 | 125.72 | 137.33 | +0.76 | CF ahead |
| 2026-06-15 | 127.28 | 138.70 | +0.78 | CF ahead |
| 2026-06-12 | 130.35 | 141.82 | +0.80 | CF ahead |
| 2026-06-11 | 126.87 | 137.50 | +0.84 | CF ahead |
| 2026-06-10 | 130.09 | 136.39 | +1.19 | CF ahead |
| 2026-06-09 | 129.28 | 139.16 | +0.92 | CF ahead |
| 2026-06-08 | 130.31 | 141.11 | +0.87 | CF ahead |
| 2026-06-05 | 135.12 | 140.94 | +1.26 | CF ahead |
| 2026-06-04 | 139.92 | 144.71 | +1.36 | CF ahead |
| 2026-06-03 | 138.83 | 144.32 | +1.32 | CF ahead |
| 2026-06-02 | 135.11 | 143.67 | +1.08 | CF ahead |
| 2026-06-01 | 134.90 | 145.91 | +0.91 | CF ahead |
| 2026-05-29 | 133.77 | 143.77 | +0.98 | CF ahead |
| 2026-05-28 | 138.71 | 146.08 | +1.20 | CF ahead |
| 2026-05-27 | 138.52 | 144.15 | +1.34 | CF ahead |
| 2026-05-26 | 141.87 | 146.69 | +1.42 | CF ahead |
| 2026-05-22 | 144.90 | 147.08 | +1.63 | CF ahead |
| 2026-05-21 | 144.89 | 147.32 | +1.63 | CF ahead |
| 2026-05-20 | 146.80 | 147.04 | +1.81 | CF ahead |
| 2026-05-19 | 152.23 | 150.15 | +2.00 | CF ahead |
| 2026-05-18 | 149.09 | 150.21 | +1.78 | CF ahead |
| 2026-05-15 | 149.11 | 150.21 | +1.80 | CF ahead |
| 2026-05-14 | 146.41 | 148.78 | +1.72 | CF ahead |
| 2026-05-13 | 149.42 | 149.52 | +1.91 | CF ahead |
| 2026-05-12 | 155.24 | 150.96 | +2.26 | CF ahead |
| 2026-05-11 | 148.21 | 149.52 | +1.87 | CF ahead |
| 2026-05-08 | 136.94 | 143.31 | +1.46 | CF ahead |
| 2026-05-07 | 141.30 | 143.41 | +1.83 | CF ahead |
| 2026-05-06 | 142.59 | 154.80 | +1.06 | CF ahead |
| 2026-05-05 | 152.45 | 162.00 | +1.32 | CF ahead |
| 2026-05-04 | 149.89 | 159.02 | +1.35 | CF ahead |
| 2026-05-01 | 146.08 | 157.76 | +1.16 | CF ahead |
| 2026-04-30 | 147.87 | 159.40 | +1.19 | CF ahead |
| 2026-04-29 | 150.95 | 155.47 | +1.74 | CF ahead |
| 2026-04-28 | 145.62 | 152.92 | +1.52 | CF ahead |
| 2026-04-27 | 147.20 | 151.78 | +1.76 | CF ahead |
| 2026-04-24 | 143.98 | 150.10 | +1.64 | CF ahead |
| 2026-04-23 | 149.53 | 151.41 | +2.01 | CF ahead |
| 2026-04-22 | 145.80 | 150.06 | +1.84 | CF ahead |
| 2026-04-21 | 144.43 | 152.41 | +1.55 | CF ahead |
| 2026-04-20 | 138.04 | 149.27 | +1.27 | CF ahead |
| 2026-04-17 | 134.16 | 148.11 | +1.02 | CF ahead |
| 2026-04-16 | 148.48 | 156.31 | +1.62 | CF ahead |
| 2026-04-15 | 143.84 | 153.84 | +1.44 | CF ahead |
| 2026-04-14 | 141.64 | 154.40 | +1.21 | CF ahead |
| 2026-04-13 | 144.87 | 156.00 | +1.37 | CF ahead |
| 2026-04-10 | 144.45 | 154.68 | +1.45 | CF ahead |
| 2026-04-09 | 142.14 | 152.64 | +1.43 | CF ahead |
| 2026-04-08 | 150.21 | 157.05 | +1.77 | CF ahead |
| 2026-04-07 | 159.28 | 161.24 | +2.20 | CF ahead |
| 2026-04-06 | 155.95 | 159.00 | +2.13 | CF ahead |
| 2026-04-02 | 154.74 | 158.28 | +2.10 | CF ahead |
| 2026-04-01 | 152.38 | 156.38 | +2.08 | CF ahead |
| 2026-03-31 | 154.59 | 158.26 | +2.13 | CF ahead |
| 2026-03-30 | 163.83 | 160.55 | +2.74 | CF ahead |
| 2026-03-27 | 162.46 | 158.66 | +2.84 | CF ahead |
| 2026-03-26 | 157.83 | 154.55 | +2.86 | CF ahead |
| 2026-03-25 | 152.53 | 160.70 | +1.89 | CF ahead |
| 2026-03-24 | 151.11 | 161.12 | +1.74 | CF ahead |
| 2026-03-23 | 143.09 | 152.81 | +1.74 | CF ahead |
| 2026-03-20 | 148.71 | 156.73 | +1.94 | CF ahead |
| 2026-03-19 | 149.49 | 159.50 | +1.79 | CF ahead |
| 2026-03-18 | 150.89 | 163.34 | +1.60 | CF ahead |
| 2026-03-17 | 146.79 | 166.84 | +0.91 | CF ahead |
| 2026-03-16 | 145.65 | 163.15 | +1.12 | CF ahead |
| 2026-03-13 | 154.27 | 173.76 | +1.05 | CF ahead |
| 2026-03-12 | 161.92 | 176.05 | +1.56 | CF ahead |
| 2026-03-11 | 143.03 | 166.34 | +0.60 | CF ahead |
| 2026-03-10 | 131.03 | 159.58 | -0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-09 | 132.21 | 159.00 | +0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-06 | 137.85 | 159.84 | +0.64 | CF ahead |
| 2026-03-05 | 131.90 | 156.02 | +0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-04 | 124.67 | 154.34 | -0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-03 | 126.56 | 156.08 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-02 | 124.18 | 158.85 | -0.77 | NTR ahead |
| 2026-02-27 | 118.51 | 157.45 | -1.31 | NTR ahead |
| 2026-02-26 | 115.68 | 153.38 | -1.29 | NTR ahead |
| 2026-02-25 | 114.47 | 152.12 | -1.34 | NTR ahead |
| 2026-02-24 | 114.43 | 152.60 | -1.40 | NTR ahead |
| 2026-02-23 | 113.64 | 150.82 | -1.34 | NTR ahead |
| 2026-02-20 | 115.70 | 149.33 | -0.95 | NTR ahead |
| 2026-02-19 | 118.42 | 150.55 | -0.74 | NTR ahead |
| 2026-02-18 | 114.09 | 147.40 | -0.98 | NTR ahead |
| 2026-02-17 | 111.67 | 146.52 | -1.21 | NTR ahead |
| 2026-02-13 | 112.70 | 148.51 | -1.28 | NTR ahead |
| 2026-02-12 | 112.11 | 147.71 | -1.28 | NTR ahead |
| 2026-02-11 | 115.41 | 153.25 | -1.40 | NTR ahead |
| 2026-02-10 | 114.67 | 149.20 | -1.12 | NTR ahead |
| 2026-02-09 | 113.04 | 146.98 | -1.12 | NTR ahead |
| 2026-02-06 | 110.30 | 143.90 | -1.17 | NTR ahead |
| 2026-02-05 | 108.73 | 142.58 | -1.24 | NTR ahead |
| 2026-02-04 | 112.75 | 149.96 | -1.44 | NTR ahead |
| 2026-02-03 | 110.13 | 147.67 | -1.55 | NTR ahead |
| 2026-02-02 | 106.97 | 144.06 | -1.62 | NTR ahead |
| 2026-01-30 | 111.00 | 144.48 | -1.17 | NTR ahead |
| 2026-01-29 | 111.95 | 149.18 | -1.49 | NTR ahead |
| 2026-01-28 | 110.93 | 150.17 | -1.71 | NTR ahead |
| 2026-01-27 | 109.23 | 147.48 | -1.69 | NTR ahead |
| 2026-01-26 | 109.12 | 147.29 | -1.69 | NTR ahead |
| 2026-01-23 | 109.99 | 148.66 | -1.71 | NTR ahead |
| 2026-01-22 | 106.24 | 142.83 | -1.65 | NTR ahead |
| 2026-01-21 | 109.37 | 144.04 | -1.38 | NTR ahead |
| 2026-01-20 | 105.27 | 140.98 | -1.59 | NTR ahead |
| 2026-01-16 | 103.29 | 139.22 | -1.67 | NTR ahead |
| 2026-01-15 | 103.11 | 142.26 | -1.97 | NTR ahead |
| 2026-01-14 | 101.26 | 138.84 | -1.90 | NTR ahead |
| 2026-01-13 | 98.67 | 128.63 | -1.28 | NTR ahead |
| 2026-01-12 | 96.19 | 124.45 | -1.19 | NTR ahead |
| 2026-01-09 | 98.35 | 125.46 | -1.02 | NTR ahead |
| 2026-01-08 | 96.83 | 125.42 | -1.21 | NTR ahead |
| 2026-01-07 | 92.26 | 123.72 | -1.62 | NTR ahead |
| 2026-01-06 | 94.59 | 127.10 | -1.65 | NTR ahead |
| 2026-01-05 | 95.56 | 130.26 | -1.82 | NTR ahead |
| 2026-01-02 | 95.40 | 132.47 | -2.04 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-12-31 | 92.08 | 129.45 | -2.19 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-12-30 | 91.59 | 131.04 | -2.41 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-12-29 | 92.45 | 131.48 | -2.35 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-12-26 | 92.21 | 131.65 | -2.41 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-12-24 | 92.36 | 133.26 | -2.56 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-12-23 | 93.03 | 133.41 | -2.50 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-12-22 | 92.19 | 131.44 | -2.46 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-12-19 | 93.70 | 130.62 | -2.22 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-12-18 | 93.21 | 129.26 | -2.18 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-12-17 | 94.07 | 132.76 | -2.40 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-12-16 | 92.33 | 129.72 | -2.37 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-12-15 | 93.76 | 129.72 | -2.21 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-12-12 | 94.29 | 131.80 | -2.35 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-12-11 | 93.65 | 127.94 | -2.11 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-12-10 | 90.59 | 123.74 | -2.13 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-12-09 | 91.32 | 123.03 | -1.98 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-12-08 | 91.99 | 123.99 | -2.00 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-12-05 | 92.73 | 126.55 | -2.16 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-12-04 | 95.52 | 125.94 | -1.77 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-12-03 | 94.40 | 125.99 | -1.92 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-12-02 | 94.02 | 124.35 | -1.82 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-12-01 | 95.01 | 126.20 | -1.88 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-11-28 | 93.70 | 122.00 | -1.67 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-11-26 | 93.36 | 120.39 | -1.57 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-11-25 | 92.49 | 119.19 | -1.57 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-11-24 | 92.46 | 117.93 | -1.46 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-11-21 | 93.51 | 117.85 | -1.33 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-11-20 | 92.62 | 115.48 | -1.22 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-11-19 | 93.73 | 117.32 | -1.27 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-11-18 | 96.59 | 120.22 | -1.21 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-11-17 | 96.07 | 119.53 | -1.22 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-11-14 | 101.25 | 124.52 | -1.10 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-11-13 | 100.40 | 123.47 | -1.11 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-11-12 | 100.90 | 126.11 | -1.30 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-11-11 | 99.63 | 124.43 | -1.30 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-11-10 | 98.64 | 123.62 | -1.35 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-11-07 | 97.67 | 119.30 | -1.08 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-11-06 | 96.98 | 116.59 | -0.91 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-11-05 | 101.26 | 113.26 | -0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-04 | 100.67 | 112.50 | -0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-11-03 | 100.50 | 114.37 | -0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-31 | 99.17 | 114.20 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-10-30 | 98.60 | 113.93 | -0.50 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-10-29 | 100.19 | 118.37 | -0.75 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-10-28 | 102.51 | 119.57 | -0.61 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-10-27 | 102.86 | 120.62 | -0.68 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-10-24 | 102.95 | 121.98 | -0.79 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-10-23 | 103.50 | 121.29 | -0.68 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-10-22 | 102.31 | 119.19 | -0.62 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-10-21 | 99.17 | 117.47 | -0.81 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-10-20 | 99.93 | 120.74 | -1.03 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-10-17 | 99.43 | 120.43 | -1.07 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-10-16 | 98.85 | 118.33 | -0.95 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-10-15 | 101.73 | 121.92 | -0.97 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-10-14 | 103.26 | 121.69 | -0.79 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-10-13 | 105.02 | 125.92 | -0.99 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-10-10 | 103.99 | 125.50 | -1.06 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-10-09 | 105.50 | 128.17 | -1.14 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-10-08 | 107.98 | 126.76 | -0.78 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-10-07 | 109.50 | 127.18 | -0.67 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-10-06 | 109.61 | 126.61 | -0.62 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-10-03 | 107.26 | 124.48 | -0.68 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-10-02 | 106.97 | 125.31 | -0.78 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-10-01 | 102.91 | 118.77 | -0.63 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-09-30 | 106.80 | 123.13 | -0.63 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-09-29 | 107.76 | 121.12 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-26 | 109.69 | 123.36 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-25 | 106.81 | 121.96 | -0.54 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-09-24 | 109.12 | 123.80 | -0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-09-23 | 103.75 | 118.23 | -0.52 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-09-22 | 101.96 | 119.55 | -0.83 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-09-19 | 101.31 | 118.73 | -0.83 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-09-18 | 100.13 | 117.93 | -0.89 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-09-17 | 100.24 | 118.46 | -0.94 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-09-16 | 101.15 | 118.94 | -0.89 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-09-15 | 101.62 | 119.76 | -0.92 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-09-12 | 101.95 | 119.44 | -0.86 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-09-11 | 102.55 | 119.80 | -0.84 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-09-10 | 103.46 | 120.41 | -0.80 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-09-09 | 100.80 | 118.39 | -0.91 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-09-08 | 100.61 | 120.22 | -1.10 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-09-05 | 100.58 | 118.35 | -0.94 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-09-04 | 100.23 | 119.51 | -1.09 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-09-03 | 100.93 | 119.09 | -0.99 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-09-02 | 104.10 | 120.81 | -0.81 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-08-29 | 103.14 | 120.85 | -0.92 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-08-28 | 103.95 | 123.36 | -1.07 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-08-27 | 102.81 | 122.00 | -1.07 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-08-26 | 103.14 | 122.80 | -1.12 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-08-25 | 102.60 | 122.21 | -1.13 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-08-22 | 103.00 | 121.43 | -1.03 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-08-21 | 102.82 | 120.83 | -1.00 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-08-20 | 101.71 | 119.63 | -1.02 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-08-19 | 100.01 | 119.11 | -1.16 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-08-18 | 100.55 | 118.92 | -1.09 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-08-15 | 102.27 | 119.82 | -1.00 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-08-14 | 101.52 | 119.36 | -1.04 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-08-13 | 102.89 | 119.30 | -0.90 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-08-12 | 98.70 | 117.55 | -1.20 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-08-11 | 98.38 | 118.10 | -1.30 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-08-08 | 96.33 | 116.80 | -1.41 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-08-07 | 98.69 | 116.84 | -1.15 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-08-06 | 107.04 | 121.54 | -0.69 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-08-05 | 110.39 | 124.01 | -0.57 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-08-04 | 111.50 | 123.87 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-01 | 109.01 | 122.82 | -0.59 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-07-31 | 110.53 | 124.41 | -0.58 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-07-30 | 110.30 | 124.48 | -0.60 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-07-29 | 113.00 | 126.74 | -0.53 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-07-28 | 110.17 | 125.02 | -0.65 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-07-25 | 111.08 | 126.03 | -0.64 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-07-24 | 111.32 | 126.45 | -0.65 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-07-23 | 111.57 | 127.27 | -0.69 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-07-22 | 109.20 | 125.90 | -0.80 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-07-21 | 108.33 | 124.24 | -0.74 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-07-18 | 110.29 | 125.86 | -0.68 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-07-17 | 109.29 | 122.32 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-16 | 110.25 | 122.61 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-15 | 114.18 | 125.59 | -0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-14 | 115.98 | 127.77 | -0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-11 | 116.97 | 127.92 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-10 | 114.01 | 127.52 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-09 | 117.57 | 130.26 | -0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-08 | 115.63 | 128.71 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-07 | 113.33 | 127.41 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-03 | 112.69 | 126.13 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-02 | 111.74 | 125.82 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-01 | 110.12 | 122.73 | -0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-30 | 109.54 | 122.15 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-27 | 108.33 | 121.90 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-26 | 107.98 | 121.75 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-25 | 108.82 | 122.99 | -0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-24 | 112.73 | 124.62 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-23 | 114.93 | 126.53 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-20 | 119.49 | 127.81 | +0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-18 | 119.43 | 130.75 | -0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-17 | 122.01 | 129.97 | +0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-16 | 119.94 | 131.80 | -0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-13 | 118.98 | 131.90 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-12 | 111.72 | 126.76 | -0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-11 | 113.39 | 126.32 | -0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-10 | 109.69 | 125.50 | -0.54 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-06-09 | 110.55 | 126.80 | -0.55 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-06-06 | 109.70 | 125.31 | -0.51 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-06-05 | 109.87 | 126.45 | -0.58 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-06-04 | 109.10 | 126.47 | -0.64 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-06-03 | 109.92 | 125.31 | -0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-02 | 110.69 | 126.30 | -0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-30 | 108.00 | 123.80 | -0.51 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-05-29 | 107.29 | 123.28 | -0.52 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-05-28 | 108.98 | 124.92 | -0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-27 | 108.99 | 125.42 | -0.51 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-05-23 | 105.83 | 125.15 | -0.76 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-05-22 | 105.86 | 123.51 | -0.62 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-05-21 | 106.38 | 125.17 | -0.69 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-05-20 | 104.68 | 123.07 | -0.68 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-05-19 | 104.29 | 121.60 | -0.59 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-05-16 | 104.51 | 121.43 | -0.55 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-05-15 | 102.67 | 120.51 | -0.63 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-05-14 | 102.36 | 119.51 | -0.57 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-05-13 | 104.45 | 121.77 | -0.55 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-05-12 | 100.48 | 117.87 | -0.60 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-05-09 | 98.12 | 116.67 | -0.71 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-05-08 | 96.82 | 114.83 | -0.68 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-05-07 | 96.07 | 118.75 | -1.04 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-05-06 | 97.61 | 118.44 | -0.88 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-05-05 | 96.34 | 117.87 | -0.95 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-05-02 | 95.96 | 119.19 | -1.08 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-05-01 | 94.80 | 119.00 | -1.18 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-04-30 | 93.31 | 119.65 | -1.37 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-04-29 | 95.00 | 119.15 | -1.18 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-04-28 | 94.82 | 116.55 | -1.01 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-04-25 | 93.43 | 113.36 | -0.90 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-04-24 | 92.03 | 112.58 | -0.97 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-04-23 | 90.36 | 111.33 | -1.04 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-04-22 | 89.94 | 112.14 | -1.15 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-04-21 | 89.45 | 110.23 | -1.05 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-04-17 | 89.18 | 110.11 | -1.07 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-04-16 | 88.22 | 111.72 | -1.30 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-04-15 | 87.06 | 109.52 | -1.24 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-04-14 | 86.21 | 109.31 | -1.32 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-04-11 | 85.72 | 107.30 | -1.21 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-04-10 | 83.31 | 101.34 | -0.95 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-04-09 | 83.94 | 101.53 | -0.90 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-04-08 | 81.52 | 98.32 | -0.88 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-04-07 | 85.77 | 99.69 | -0.55 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-04-04 | 87.00 | 99.41 | -0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-03 | 95.08 | 106.35 | -0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-02 | 95.05 | 104.76 | -0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-01 | 94.76 | 103.94 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-31 | 93.05 | 104.17 | -0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-28 | 92.14 | 105.08 | -0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-27 | 92.84 | 106.75 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-26 | 91.25 | 105.94 | -0.54 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-03-25 | 89.33 | 105.16 | -0.66 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-03-24 | 91.48 | 110.17 | -0.87 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-03-21 | 91.42 | 110.07 | -0.87 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-03-20 | 91.58 | 110.00 | -0.86 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-03-19 | 92.12 | 109.79 | -0.79 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-03-18 | 90.96 | 109.21 | -0.86 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-03-17 | 92.55 | 109.38 | -0.72 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-03-14 | 91.24 | 106.52 | -0.62 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-03-13 | 91.46 | 105.01 | -0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-12 | 92.52 | 106.46 | -0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-11 | 91.48 | 107.34 | -0.67 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-03-10 | 91.80 | 106.00 | -0.52 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-03-07 | 91.83 | 107.13 | -0.62 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-03-06 | 91.21 | 107.26 | -0.69 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-03-05 | 90.86 | 104.59 | -0.50 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-03-04 | 89.63 | 101.70 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-03 | 92.83 | 104.03 | -0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-28 | 96.46 | 109.82 | -0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-27 | 94.75 | 110.17 | -0.59 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-02-26 | 92.61 | 111.56 | -0.90 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-02-25 | 93.36 | 112.33 | -0.89 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-02-24 | 92.28 | 109.48 | -0.77 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-02-21 | 92.75 | 110.30 | -0.79 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-02-20 | 95.56 | 111.47 | -0.62 | NTR ahead |
| 2025-02-19 | 99.79 | 110.00 | -0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-18 | 99.08 | 108.35 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-14 | 98.20 | 106.75 | +0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-13 | 96.99 | 106.33 | -0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-12 | 96.65 | 104.72 | +0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-11 | 101.30 | 108.54 | +0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-10 | 103.58 | 109.02 | +0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-07 | 100.07 | 105.45 | +0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-06 | 100.15 | 105.91 | +0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-05 | 106.77 | 108.54 | +0.62 | CF ahead |
| 2025-02-04 | 112.03 | 110.86 | +0.87 | CF ahead |
| 2025-02-03 | 110.10 | 106.88 | +1.05 | CF ahead |
| 2025-01-31 | 109.79 | 108.28 | +0.91 | CF ahead |
| 2025-01-30 | 109.77 | 109.73 | +0.80 | CF ahead |
| 2025-01-29 | 110.16 | 111.35 | +0.71 | CF ahead |
| 2025-01-28 | 107.45 | 110.00 | +0.60 | CF ahead |
| 2025-01-27 | 105.69 | 110.19 | +0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-24 | 104.89 | 110.68 | +0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-23 | 113.39 | 112.92 | +0.86 | CF ahead |
| 2025-01-22 | 111.33 | 110.30 | +0.91 | CF ahead |
| 2025-01-21 | 111.51 | 107.57 | +1.16 | CF ahead |
| 2025-01-17 | 115.50 | 108.26 | +1.43 | CF ahead |
| 2025-01-16 | 115.79 | 108.01 | +1.48 | CF ahead |
| 2025-01-15 | 114.74 | 109.14 | +1.32 | CF ahead |
| 2025-01-14 | 113.10 | 108.41 | +1.26 | CF ahead |
| 2025-01-13 | 113.70 | 107.38 | +1.41 | CF ahead |
| 2025-01-10 | 105.68 | 101.66 | +1.25 | CF ahead |
| 2025-01-08 | 103.60 | 100.31 | +1.20 | CF ahead |
| 2025-01-07 | 105.67 | 101.17 | +1.31 | CF ahead |
| 2025-01-06 | 106.87 | 101.59 | +1.39 | CF ahead |
| 2025-01-03 | 105.38 | 98.22 | +1.59 | CF ahead |
| 2025-01-02 | 102.19 | 94.97 | +1.63 | CF ahead |
| 2024-12-31 | 101.58 | 93.85 | +1.70 | CF ahead |
| 2024-12-30 | 100.05 | 92.66 | +1.69 | CF ahead |
| 2024-12-27 | 100.90 | 92.93 | +1.76 | CF ahead |
| 2024-12-26 | 101.31 | 93.16 | +1.80 | CF ahead |
| 2024-12-24 | 101.68 | 93.33 | +1.83 | CF ahead |
| 2024-12-23 | 101.02 | 93.27 | +1.80 | CF ahead |
| 2024-12-20 | 101.18 | 93.50 | +1.81 | CF ahead |
| 2024-12-19 | 99.80 | 92.37 | +1.81 | CF ahead |
| 2024-12-18 | 100.52 | 94.21 | +1.71 | CF ahead |
| 2024-12-17 | 103.20 | 97.27 | +1.67 | CF ahead |
| 2024-12-16 | 103.20 | 98.34 | +1.58 | CF ahead |
| 2024-12-13 | 106.56 | 101.05 | +1.64 | CF ahead |
| 2024-12-12 | 107.31 | 100.52 | +1.78 | CF ahead |
| 2024-12-11 | 106.94 | 100.42 | +1.77 | CF ahead |
| 2024-12-10 | 105.77 | 101.82 | +1.55 | CF ahead |
| 2024-12-09 | 105.04 | 102.31 | +1.45 | CF ahead |
| 2024-12-06 | 105.30 | 100.52 | +1.66 | CF ahead |
| 2024-12-05 | 106.41 | 100.84 | +1.74 | CF ahead |
| 2024-12-04 | 108.94 | 100.78 | +2.00 | CF ahead |
| 2024-12-03 | 112.08 | 102.31 | +2.16 | CF ahead |
| 2024-12-02 | 108.30 | 100.19 | +2.05 | CF ahead |
| 2024-11-29 | 106.75 | 97.86 | +2.17 | CF ahead |
| 2024-11-27 | 105.56 | 96.67 | +2.21 | CF ahead |
| 2024-11-26 | 104.94 | 96.27 | +2.22 | CF ahead |
| 2024-11-25 | 104.05 | 98.15 | +1.96 | CF ahead |
| 2024-11-22 | 106.91 | 98.43 | +2.24 | CF ahead |
| 2024-11-21 | 107.92 | 98.30 | +2.38 | CF ahead |
| 2024-11-20 | 107.05 | 96.25 | +2.55 | CF ahead |
| 2024-11-19 | 104.23 | 95.55 | +2.38 | CF ahead |
| 2024-11-18 | 104.04 | 95.64 | +2.39 | CF ahead |
| 2024-11-15 | 103.67 | 96.88 | +2.25 | CF ahead |
| 2024-11-14 | 102.08 | 97.25 | +2.07 | CF ahead |
| 2024-11-13 | 101.45 | 98.18 | +1.92 | CF ahead |
| 2024-11-12 | 100.27 | 98.55 | +1.77 | CF ahead |
| 2024-11-11 | 101.30 | 102.41 | +1.47 | CF ahead |
| 2024-11-08 | 99.67 | 101.34 | +1.42 | CF ahead |
| 2024-11-07 | 100.77 | 102.64 | +1.42 | CF ahead |
| 2024-11-06 | 98.92 | 103.84 | +1.09 | CF ahead |
| 2024-11-05 | 103.06 | 106.19 | +1.31 | CF ahead |
| 2024-11-04 | 102.88 | 106.50 | +1.27 | CF ahead |
| 2024-11-01 | 100.08 | 101.43 | +1.52 | CF ahead |
| 2024-10-31 | 97.90 | 100.00 | +1.44 | CF ahead |
| 2024-10-30 | 97.37 | 100.59 | +1.33 | CF ahead |
| 2024-10-29 | 96.87 | 99.98 | +1.35 | CF ahead |
| 2024-10-28 | 97.52 | 101.41 | +1.27 | CF ahead |
| 2024-10-25 | 99.05 | 100.44 | +1.57 | CF ahead |
| 2024-10-24 | 99.08 | 100.25 | +1.61 | CF ahead |
| 2024-10-23 | 100.21 | 100.19 | +1.77 | CF ahead |
| 2024-10-22 | 99.88 | 100.92 | +1.66 | CF ahead |
| 2024-10-21 | 100.23 | 99.22 | +1.92 | CF ahead |
| 2024-10-18 | 100.00 | 100.00 | +1.83 | CF ahead |
One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Nov 6, 2025 (CF -4.2%, NTR +2.9%); Mar 12, 2026 (CF +13.2%, NTR +5.8%); Mar 26, 2026 (CF +3.5%, NTR -3.8%). Upcoming earnings: CF Nov 4, 2026 (after-hours); NTR Nov 4, 2026 (after-hours).
Paired trades
The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart
Forward paper record
No paper position on this pair yet.
Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)
No simulated trade through Oct 20, 2026: the pair rarely passed every test while 2 standard deviations apart.
Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.
The companies
CF and NTR at a glance
CF CF Industries Holdings Inc.
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 1324404
- Industry
- Agricultural Chemicals · SIC 2870 Agricultural Chemicals
- Market value
- $17.9B
- Price history
- 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
NTR Nutrien Ltd.
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 1725964
- Industry
- Agricultural Chemicals · SIC 2870 Agricultural Chemicals
- Market value
- $33.5B
- Price history
- 2,214 daily closes, Jan 2, 2018 to Oct 22, 2026
Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.
Follow the research behind the paper book
Boostio is a research-first platform in private beta: crypto candidates, daily market stories, public paper trading and now rival stocks. Exploring these pages stays free and open.
Explore the private betaPaper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.
