Alibaba Group Holding Limited vs Mastercard Incorporated
WatchlistBABA / MAPrices through Oct 22, 2026
Why these are rivals: #2 and #3 by market value ($540B vs $263B) in Nasdaq's "Business Services" industry; SEC SIC 7389 / 7389 (same major group); #2 and #3 by market value ($540B vs $263B) with SEC SIC 7389 (Services-Business Services, NEC).
Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: -0.04 (needs >= 0.60)
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -0.73 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
- Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 108.95 (needs <= 63)
Business leadership
BABA is the larger business
Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.
| Year | BABA | MA | Larger |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $148.4B | $32.8B | BABA |
| 2024 | $137.3B | $28.2B | BABA |
| 2023 | $130.3B | $25.1B | BABA |
| 2022 | $126.5B | $22.2B | BABA |
| 2021 | $134.6B | $18.9B | BABA |
| 2020 | $109.5B | $15.3B | BABA |
BABA led in every year with figures for both. Market value: BABA $263.0B, MA $540.0B.
Stock leadership
MA is ahead now
Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.
MA leads BABA by 2.50 standard deviations: +53.8% over its usual price ratio. 1 lead switch in the last year.
| Price change | 3 mo | 6 mo | 12 mo |
|---|---|---|---|
| BABA | -9.2% | -22.7% | -38.9% |
| MA | +17.3% | +26.0% | +10.7% |
Relationship
Not a measured twin today
Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.
- Pass
- Aligned sessions: 2521 (needs >= 254)
- Fail
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: -0.04 (needs >= 0.60)
- Fail
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -0.73 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
- Fail
- Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 108.95 (needs <= 63)
- Data
- Both stocks current
The twins over two years
Prices side by side, and the gap between them
BABA Alibaba Group Holding Limited MA Mastercard IncorporatedPrice index, 100 = 2024-10-18. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).
Spread z-score: BABA relative to MA, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: BABA ahead; below 0: MA ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).
Data table (504 sessions)
| Date | BABA index | MA index | z | Ahead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | 99.40 | 122.63 | -2.50 | MA ahead |
| 2026-10-21 | 101.93 | 120.58 | -2.28 | MA ahead |
| 2026-10-20 | 106.03 | 120.16 | -2.06 | MA ahead |
| 2026-10-19 | 105.99 | 119.38 | -2.04 | MA ahead |
| 2026-10-16 | 106.52 | 119.58 | -2.05 | MA ahead |
| 2026-10-15 | 108.49 | 119.36 | -1.95 | MA ahead |
| 2026-10-14 | 108.53 | 116.83 | -1.84 | MA ahead |
| 2026-10-13 | 108.22 | 117.13 | -1.90 | MA ahead |
| 2026-10-12 | 108.15 | 115.25 | -1.82 | MA ahead |
| 2026-10-09 | 108.73 | 114.10 | -1.74 | MA ahead |
| 2026-10-08 | 103.19 | 111.31 | -1.93 | MA ahead |
| 2026-10-07 | 104.46 | 110.40 | -1.82 | MA ahead |
| 2026-10-06 | 106.67 | 109.73 | -1.67 | MA ahead |
| 2026-10-05 | 108.17 | 109.34 | -1.58 | MA ahead |
| 2026-10-02 | 103.34 | 106.96 | -1.74 | MA ahead |
| 2026-10-01 | 104.90 | 106.52 | -1.64 | MA ahead |
| 2026-09-30 | 104.99 | 106.80 | -1.66 | MA ahead |
| 2026-09-29 | 105.18 | 109.15 | -1.80 | MA ahead |
| 2026-09-28 | 106.18 | 110.06 | -1.82 | MA ahead |
| 2026-09-25 | 107.14 | 109.94 | -1.77 | MA ahead |
| 2026-09-24 | 108.01 | 109.63 | -1.72 | MA ahead |
| 2026-09-23 | 108.17 | 108.44 | -1.66 | MA ahead |
| 2026-09-22 | 113.55 | 107.66 | -1.32 | MA ahead |
| 2026-09-21 | 113.00 | 109.94 | -1.50 | MA ahead |
| 2026-09-18 | 110.55 | 109.47 | -1.63 | MA ahead |
| 2026-09-17 | 105.97 | 109.57 | -1.92 | MA ahead |
| 2026-09-16 | 104.73 | 109.96 | -2.05 | MA ahead |
| 2026-09-15 | 106.75 | 111.03 | -2.01 | MA ahead |
| 2026-09-14 | 106.64 | 111.25 | -2.06 | MA ahead |
| 2026-09-11 | 106.71 | 110.24 | -2.01 | MA ahead |
| 2026-09-10 | 105.98 | 109.50 | -2.04 | MA ahead |
| 2026-09-09 | 106.80 | 109.91 | -2.03 | MA ahead |
| 2026-09-08 | 109.99 | 110.56 | -1.89 | MA ahead |
| 2026-09-04 | 110.55 | 112.18 | -1.97 | MA ahead |
| 2026-09-03 | 109.16 | 113.43 | -2.15 | MA ahead |
| 2026-09-02 | 109.16 | 113.91 | -2.20 | MA ahead |
| 2026-09-01 | 110.17 | 112.54 | -2.07 | MA ahead |
| 2026-08-31 | 111.32 | 114.13 | -2.10 | MA ahead |
| 2026-08-28 | 116.08 | 115.29 | -1.89 | MA ahead |
| 2026-08-27 | 113.55 | 114.60 | -2.01 | MA ahead |
| 2026-08-26 | 116.99 | 115.91 | -1.88 | MA ahead |
| 2026-08-25 | 116.61 | 116.08 | -1.92 | MA ahead |
| 2026-08-24 | 115.66 | 116.18 | -1.99 | MA ahead |
| 2026-08-21 | 116.51 | 112.45 | -1.70 | MA ahead |
| 2026-08-20 | 127.43 | 111.14 | -0.98 | MA ahead |
| 2026-08-19 | 125.84 | 111.11 | -1.06 | MA ahead |
| 2026-08-18 | 125.11 | 111.23 | -1.11 | MA ahead |
| 2026-08-17 | 121.75 | 108.89 | -1.15 | MA ahead |
| 2026-08-14 | 120.87 | 110.25 | -1.28 | MA ahead |
| 2026-08-13 | 119.26 | 109.82 | -1.35 | MA ahead |
| 2026-08-12 | 122.25 | 108.40 | -1.08 | MA ahead |
| 2026-08-11 | 124.82 | 108.73 | -0.95 | MA ahead |
| 2026-08-10 | 129.18 | 109.07 | -0.73 | MA ahead |
| 2026-08-07 | 125.36 | 109.03 | -0.93 | MA ahead |
| 2026-08-06 | 123.80 | 111.54 | -1.17 | MA ahead |
| 2026-08-05 | 125.48 | 110.49 | -1.01 | MA ahead |
| 2026-08-04 | 125.93 | 110.61 | -0.99 | MA ahead |
| 2026-08-03 | 124.28 | 110.58 | -1.07 | MA ahead |
| 2026-07-31 | 119.35 | 110.99 | -1.37 | MA ahead |
| 2026-07-30 | 113.56 | 111.82 | -1.76 | MA ahead |
| 2026-07-29 | 112.30 | 109.10 | -1.68 | MA ahead |
| 2026-07-28 | 112.46 | 108.99 | -1.66 | MA ahead |
| 2026-07-27 | 112.27 | 106.85 | -1.54 | MA ahead |
| 2026-07-24 | 109.48 | 104.52 | -1.57 | MA ahead |
| 2026-07-23 | 111.35 | 102.70 | -1.33 | MA ahead |
| 2026-07-22 | 113.79 | 103.03 | -1.20 | MA ahead |
| 2026-07-21 | 115.17 | 104.25 | -1.20 | MA ahead |
| 2026-07-20 | 117.49 | 106.02 | -1.18 | MA ahead |
| 2026-07-17 | 112.24 | 105.28 | -1.44 | MA ahead |
| 2026-07-16 | 114.70 | 106.82 | -1.39 | MA ahead |
| 2026-07-15 | 114.90 | 103.65 | -1.17 | MA ahead |
| 2026-07-14 | 109.66 | 104.20 | -1.51 | MA ahead |
| 2026-07-13 | 109.68 | 104.14 | -1.50 | MA ahead |
| 2026-07-10 | 109.67 | 102.01 | -1.34 | MA ahead |
| 2026-07-09 | 108.50 | 101.33 | -1.36 | MA ahead |
| 2026-07-08 | 106.39 | 100.68 | -1.44 | MA ahead |
| 2026-07-07 | 95.81 | 102.96 | -2.29 | MA ahead |
| 2026-07-06 | 95.59 | 103.25 | -2.33 | MA ahead |
| 2026-07-02 | 93.86 | 104.46 | -2.55 | MA ahead |
| 2026-07-01 | 95.67 | 101.18 | -2.22 | MA ahead |
| 2026-06-30 | 93.70 | 99.47 | -2.26 | MA ahead |
| 2026-06-29 | 93.24 | 98.70 | -2.26 | MA ahead |
| 2026-06-26 | 92.56 | 96.65 | -2.18 | MA ahead |
| 2026-06-25 | 92.81 | 94.69 | -2.03 | MA ahead |
| 2026-06-24 | 97.43 | 95.75 | -1.77 | MA ahead |
| 2026-06-23 | 100.17 | 94.52 | -1.50 | MA ahead |
| 2026-06-22 | 102.48 | 93.75 | -1.28 | MA ahead |
| 2026-06-18 | 104.56 | 94.86 | -1.22 | MA ahead |
| 2026-06-17 | 104.89 | 95.48 | -1.23 | MA ahead |
| 2026-06-16 | 108.34 | 97.09 | -1.12 | MA ahead |
| 2026-06-15 | 109.88 | 95.02 | -0.87 | MA ahead |
| 2026-06-12 | 110.14 | 94.89 | -0.84 | MA ahead |
| 2026-06-11 | 110.02 | 94.22 | -0.79 | MA ahead |
| 2026-06-10 | 112.64 | 94.72 | -0.66 | MA ahead |
| 2026-06-09 | 116.86 | 95.91 | -0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-08 | 117.22 | 94.06 | -0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-05 | 118.19 | 95.11 | -0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-04 | 122.96 | 93.30 | +0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-03 | 124.19 | 91.33 | +0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-02 | 127.72 | 92.51 | +0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-01 | 122.43 | 95.92 | -0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-29 | 121.27 | 95.67 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-28 | 123.17 | 95.62 | -0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-27 | 124.73 | 95.87 | +0.00 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-26 | 126.40 | 95.48 | +0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-22 | 126.92 | 96.55 | +0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-21 | 128.35 | 96.76 | +0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-20 | 131.28 | 96.46 | +0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-19 | 132.42 | 96.78 | +0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-18 | 130.10 | 97.96 | +0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-15 | 129.44 | 95.71 | +0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-14 | 137.77 | 94.89 | +0.73 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-05-13 | 142.35 | 95.02 | +0.93 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-05-12 | 131.58 | 96.80 | +0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-11 | 134.04 | 96.41 | +0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-08 | 136.74 | 95.96 | +0.64 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-05-07 | 137.65 | 97.02 | +0.61 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-05-06 | 138.08 | 95.26 | +0.75 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-05-05 | 129.12 | 96.27 | +0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-04 | 130.11 | 97.75 | +0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-01 | 128.38 | 95.96 | +0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-30 | 128.75 | 97.40 | +0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-29 | 127.34 | 101.72 | -0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-28 | 127.75 | 98.31 | +0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-27 | 129.38 | 98.08 | +0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-24 | 132.60 | 97.64 | +0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-23 | 128.58 | 97.30 | +0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-22 | 133.18 | 98.80 | +0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-21 | 132.17 | 99.03 | +0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-20 | 136.84 | 100.06 | +0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-17 | 137.66 | 100.96 | +0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-16 | 135.30 | 100.43 | +0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-15 | 130.12 | 100.70 | +0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-14 | 128.23 | 99.38 | +0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-13 | 124.97 | 98.50 | +0.00 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-10 | 124.31 | 96.58 | +0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-09 | 124.65 | 97.53 | +0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-08 | 122.35 | 98.21 | -0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-07 | 116.88 | 96.50 | -0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-06 | 119.41 | 97.13 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-02 | 119.15 | 95.56 | -0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-01 | 120.79 | 95.22 | +0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-31 | 122.48 | 96.77 | +0.00 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-30 | 119.09 | 95.67 | -0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-27 | 119.78 | 93.78 | +0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-26 | 122.43 | 96.98 | -0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-25 | 126.79 | 97.37 | +0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-24 | 122.50 | 96.63 | +0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-23 | 123.07 | 96.91 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-20 | 119.51 | 96.12 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-19 | 121.94 | 95.12 | +0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-18 | 131.24 | 94.60 | +0.55 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-03-17 | 133.33 | 98.11 | +0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-16 | 133.47 | 98.48 | +0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-13 | 132.00 | 96.45 | +0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-12 | 131.02 | 96.31 | +0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-11 | 133.06 | 97.61 | +0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-10 | 133.60 | 99.69 | +0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-09 | 129.49 | 100.27 | +0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-06 | 127.69 | 101.16 | -0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-05 | 127.26 | 101.61 | -0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-04 | 130.11 | 101.27 | +0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-03 | 132.37 | 101.55 | +0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-02 | 139.18 | 100.90 | +0.53 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-02-27 | 140.69 | 100.17 | +0.64 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-02-26 | 144.54 | 99.70 | +0.84 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-02-25 | 148.67 | 98.65 | +1.08 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-02-24 | 149.48 | 96.45 | +1.26 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-02-23 | 149.16 | 96.07 | +1.28 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-02-20 | 150.79 | 101.95 | +0.99 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-02-19 | 150.61 | 100.76 | +1.07 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-02-18 | 152.07 | 102.25 | +1.04 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-02-17 | 151.74 | 101.08 | +1.11 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-02-13 | 152.04 | 100.39 | +1.17 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-02-12 | 154.96 | 102.15 | +1.19 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-02-11 | 160.42 | 104.09 | +1.30 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-02-10 | 162.56 | 104.66 | +1.36 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-02-09 | 159.13 | 103.68 | +1.29 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-02-06 | 158.65 | 106.27 | +1.13 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-02-05 | 154.02 | 106.88 | +0.92 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-02-04 | 155.36 | 107.20 | +0.96 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-02-03 | 159.77 | 106.66 | +1.17 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-02-02 | 164.40 | 107.56 | +1.29 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-01-30 | 165.54 | 104.35 | +1.52 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-01-29 | 170.12 | 105.30 | +1.64 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-01-28 | 171.49 | 100.97 | +1.95 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-01-27 | 168.62 | 100.79 | +1.87 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-01-26 | 167.30 | 102.13 | +1.75 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-01-23 | 169.12 | 101.63 | +1.86 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-01-22 | 172.98 | 103.20 | +1.91 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-01-21 | 164.67 | 102.17 | +1.69 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-01-20 | 158.54 | 102.98 | +1.43 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-01-16 | 161.48 | 104.48 | +1.46 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-01-15 | 166.87 | 105.10 | +1.62 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-01-14 | 165.87 | 105.90 | +1.55 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-01-13 | 163.05 | 105.55 | +1.48 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-01-12 | 162.36 | 109.67 | +1.25 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-01-09 | 147.38 | 111.47 | +0.62 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-01-08 | 150.81 | 112.34 | +0.71 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-01-07 | 143.27 | 112.31 | +0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-01-06 | 147.32 | 112.39 | +0.59 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-01-05 | 152.55 | 110.12 | +0.90 | BABA ahead |
| 2026-01-02 | 152.05 | 109.06 | +0.94 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-12-31 | 143.10 | 110.56 | +0.55 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-12-30 | 143.86 | 111.83 | +0.52 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-12-29 | 144.97 | 111.92 | +0.56 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-12-26 | 148.63 | 112.25 | +0.68 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-12-24 | 146.50 | 112.22 | +0.61 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-12-23 | 147.64 | 111.62 | +0.69 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-12-22 | 147.38 | 111.50 | +0.69 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-12-19 | 146.24 | 110.82 | +0.69 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-12-18 | 143.83 | 109.66 | +0.66 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-12-17 | 143.60 | 109.52 | +0.67 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-12-16 | 145.75 | 109.62 | +0.75 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-12-15 | 146.53 | 110.22 | +0.75 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-12-12 | 151.99 | 110.77 | +0.92 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-12-11 | 153.18 | 109.11 | +1.04 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-12-10 | 155.05 | 104.36 | +1.33 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-12-09 | 152.26 | 104.11 | +1.26 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-12-08 | 154.38 | 104.67 | +1.31 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-12-05 | 154.56 | 105.65 | +1.28 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-12-04 | 153.70 | 105.03 | +1.29 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-12-03 | 154.33 | 107.24 | +1.22 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-12-02 | 157.31 | 105.73 | +1.39 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-12-01 | 160.36 | 105.35 | +1.52 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-11-28 | 153.57 | 106.62 | +1.25 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-11-26 | 153.86 | 105.54 | +1.32 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-11-25 | 153.29 | 105.84 | +1.30 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-11-24 | 156.92 | 104.17 | +1.51 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-11-21 | 149.30 | 104.66 | +1.25 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-11-20 | 149.64 | 102.23 | +1.39 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-11-19 | 155.12 | 102.72 | +1.55 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-11-18 | 155.93 | 102.18 | +1.62 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-11-17 | 153.97 | 103.97 | +1.48 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-11-14 | 150.15 | 105.69 | +1.29 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-11-13 | 156.05 | 107.60 | +1.40 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-11-12 | 154.16 | 108.69 | +1.30 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-11-11 | 156.99 | 108.14 | +1.43 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-11-10 | 161.95 | 107.09 | +1.65 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-11-07 | 162.39 | 106.90 | +1.69 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-11-06 | 163.63 | 107.15 | +1.74 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-11-05 | 160.91 | 107.16 | +1.67 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-11-04 | 160.40 | 107.05 | +1.68 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-11-03 | 163.71 | 105.37 | +1.88 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-10-31 | 166.39 | 106.90 | +1.91 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-10-30 | 169.80 | 107.23 | +2.03 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-10-29 | 175.70 | 107.41 | +2.23 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-10-28 | 172.53 | 109.60 | +2.05 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-10-27 | 175.19 | 110.85 | +2.10 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-10-24 | 170.56 | 111.10 | +1.97 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-10-23 | 167.82 | 111.12 | +1.90 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-10-22 | 161.93 | 110.66 | +1.75 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-10-21 | 162.72 | 110.79 | +1.79 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-10-20 | 169.35 | 109.69 | +2.09 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-10-17 | 163.09 | 108.64 | +1.96 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-10-16 | 161.17 | 106.50 | +2.03 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-10-15 | 161.97 | 109.00 | +1.95 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-10-14 | 159.00 | 109.99 | +1.81 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-10-13 | 162.85 | 108.31 | +2.06 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-10-10 | 155.24 | 107.97 | +1.82 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-10-09 | 169.56 | 109.34 | +2.28 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-10-08 | 176.82 | 111.64 | +2.44 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-10-07 | 177.03 | 112.30 | +2.44 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-10-06 | 182.78 | 112.10 | +2.69 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-10-03 | 183.57 | 112.42 | +2.74 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-10-02 | 184.85 | 111.81 | +2.88 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-10-01 | 178.44 | 111.12 | +2.74 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-09-30 | 174.49 | 110.16 | +2.70 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-09-29 | 175.63 | 110.03 | +2.81 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-09-26 | 167.83 | 109.45 | +2.59 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-09-25 | 171.31 | 109.87 | +2.75 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-09-24 | 172.25 | 110.16 | +2.83 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-09-23 | 159.21 | 110.39 | +2.31 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-09-22 | 160.35 | 113.20 | +2.21 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-09-19 | 158.95 | 113.13 | +2.18 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-09-18 | 158.63 | 113.50 | +2.17 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-09-17 | 162.23 | 115.94 | +2.21 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-09-16 | 158.36 | 113.57 | +2.22 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-09-15 | 154.29 | 112.90 | +2.10 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-09-12 | 151.38 | 112.41 | +2.02 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-09-11 | 151.75 | 114.02 | +1.96 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-09-10 | 140.52 | 112.21 | +1.53 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-09-09 | 143.61 | 113.10 | +1.65 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-09-08 | 137.85 | 113.61 | +1.33 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-09-05 | 132.36 | 113.15 | +1.07 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-09-04 | 127.81 | 115.36 | +0.69 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-09-03 | 133.21 | 114.90 | +1.02 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-09-02 | 135.26 | 114.63 | +1.16 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-08-29 | 131.80 | 115.29 | +0.94 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-08-28 | 116.73 | 114.36 | +0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-27 | 119.33 | 114.39 | +0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-26 | 121.24 | 114.58 | +0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-25 | 121.40 | 114.89 | +0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-22 | 120.02 | 116.00 | +0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-21 | 115.29 | 114.64 | +0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-20 | 116.66 | 114.78 | +0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-19 | 117.14 | 113.40 | +0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-18 | 118.52 | 113.13 | +0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-15 | 118.38 | 112.66 | +0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-14 | 119.38 | 113.06 | +0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-13 | 123.85 | 111.92 | +0.75 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-08-12 | 119.52 | 111.20 | +0.54 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-08-11 | 115.83 | 111.09 | +0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-08 | 117.50 | 111.23 | +0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-07 | 118.09 | 108.69 | +0.64 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-08-06 | 117.99 | 110.22 | +0.54 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-08-05 | 114.26 | 109.63 | +0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-04 | 114.71 | 110.36 | +0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-08-01 | 114.29 | 108.43 | +0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-31 | 117.77 | 109.71 | +0.57 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-07-30 | 114.60 | 108.28 | +0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-29 | 116.53 | 109.10 | +0.55 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-07-28 | 119.25 | 110.06 | +0.65 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-07-25 | 117.18 | 110.05 | +0.54 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-07-24 | 118.28 | 109.13 | +0.67 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-07-23 | 119.67 | 108.86 | +0.77 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-07-22 | 117.85 | 108.22 | +0.71 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-07-21 | 117.42 | 107.42 | +0.75 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-07-18 | 117.38 | 107.03 | +0.77 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-07-17 | 114.52 | 107.61 | +0.57 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-07-16 | 112.98 | 107.59 | +0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-15 | 114.20 | 106.59 | +0.62 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-07-14 | 105.65 | 107.10 | +0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-11 | 104.19 | 106.55 | -0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-10 | 104.11 | 109.14 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-09 | 101.37 | 109.45 | -0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-08 | 105.43 | 108.93 | -0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-07 | 103.75 | 109.45 | -0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-03 | 106.12 | 110.25 | -0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-02 | 108.08 | 108.75 | +0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-07-01 | 111.27 | 109.35 | +0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-30 | 110.72 | 108.83 | +0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-27 | 111.37 | 106.58 | +0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-26 | 111.23 | 105.71 | +0.54 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-06-25 | 111.83 | 106.46 | +0.53 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-06-24 | 114.23 | 107.98 | +0.59 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-06-23 | 110.41 | 105.04 | +0.55 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-06-20 | 110.33 | 103.22 | +0.67 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-06-18 | 110.80 | 104.34 | +0.63 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-06-17 | 112.30 | 110.29 | +0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-16 | 113.21 | 110.13 | +0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-13 | 110.19 | 108.85 | +0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-12 | 113.85 | 114.13 | +0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-11 | 117.48 | 114.41 | +0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-10 | 118.99 | 114.18 | +0.53 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-06-09 | 118.60 | 113.17 | +0.57 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-06-06 | 116.55 | 114.29 | +0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-05 | 117.11 | 113.38 | +0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-04 | 116.62 | 113.13 | +0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-03 | 112.24 | 112.71 | +0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-02 | 112.03 | 112.57 | +0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-30 | 111.14 | 113.41 | +0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-29 | 114.40 | 111.90 | +0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-28 | 113.97 | 111.54 | +0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-27 | 116.68 | 111.27 | +0.60 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-05-23 | 117.87 | 109.15 | +0.80 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-05-22 | 118.60 | 110.42 | +0.77 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-05-21 | 120.66 | 110.30 | +0.90 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-05-20 | 122.19 | 112.54 | +0.85 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-05-19 | 120.04 | 113.57 | +0.67 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-05-16 | 120.53 | 112.96 | +0.74 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-05-15 | 120.96 | 112.76 | +0.79 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-05-14 | 130.87 | 111.03 | +1.44 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-05-13 | 128.53 | 111.67 | +1.28 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-05-12 | 129.41 | 111.99 | +1.32 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-05-09 | 122.36 | 110.13 | +1.06 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-05-08 | 122.81 | 109.83 | +1.11 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-05-07 | 120.31 | 109.68 | +0.99 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-05-06 | 124.63 | 108.26 | +1.33 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-05-05 | 123.57 | 108.67 | +1.26 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-05-02 | 122.78 | 108.34 | +1.24 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-05-01 | 117.67 | 105.87 | +1.12 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-04-30 | 116.60 | 106.14 | +1.05 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-04-29 | 116.06 | 104.52 | +1.13 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-04-28 | 115.56 | 103.52 | +1.18 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-04-25 | 117.43 | 103.32 | +1.31 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-04-24 | 116.46 | 103.70 | +1.24 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-04-23 | 116.15 | 102.65 | +1.30 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-04-22 | 113.13 | 102.13 | +1.16 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-04-21 | 107.54 | 98.64 | +1.06 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-04-17 | 106.29 | 100.19 | +0.88 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-04-16 | 104.22 | 99.44 | +0.80 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-04-15 | 109.62 | 100.20 | +1.10 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-04-14 | 111.27 | 99.25 | +1.28 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-04-11 | 105.17 | 98.72 | +0.94 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-04-10 | 101.71 | 96.71 | +0.86 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-04-09 | 102.29 | 99.82 | +0.68 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-04-08 | 97.01 | 92.95 | +0.82 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-04-07 | 103.47 | 94.03 | +1.19 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-04-04 | 113.78 | 94.85 | +1.79 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-04-03 | 126.26 | 102.75 | +1.98 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-04-02 | 126.71 | 106.01 | +1.81 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-04-01 | 129.55 | 106.23 | +1.97 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-03-31 | 129.09 | 106.15 | +1.97 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-03-28 | 129.29 | 104.70 | +2.10 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-03-27 | 132.41 | 107.99 | +2.08 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-03-26 | 129.10 | 106.34 | +2.03 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-03-25 | 129.60 | 105.58 | +2.13 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-03-24 | 131.29 | 105.29 | +2.27 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-03-21 | 131.93 | 103.75 | +2.45 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-03-20 | 133.66 | 103.88 | +2.58 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-03-19 | 139.80 | 103.82 | +2.97 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-03-18 | 139.35 | 102.68 | +3.09 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-03-17 | 144.07 | 103.03 | +3.41 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-03-14 | 137.75 | 102.19 | +3.20 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-03-13 | 135.07 | 100.68 | +3.24 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-03-12 | 133.89 | 101.61 | +3.16 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-03-11 | 135.72 | 101.83 | +3.34 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-03-10 | 129.40 | 104.02 | +2.82 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-03-07 | 137.28 | 105.89 | +3.24 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-03-06 | 136.63 | 106.48 | +3.23 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-03-05 | 137.68 | 108.13 | +3.24 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-03-04 | 126.77 | 107.50 | +2.60 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-03-03 | 127.71 | 111.35 | +2.38 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-02-28 | 129.37 | 111.61 | +2.52 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-02-27 | 133.31 | 109.39 | +3.05 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-02-26 | 135.78 | 108.70 | +3.36 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-02-25 | 130.83 | 109.24 | +3.03 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-02-24 | 125.98 | 108.26 | +2.80 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-02-21 | 140.34 | 107.97 | +4.02 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-02-20 | 132.74 | 109.09 | +3.45 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-02-19 | 122.81 | 110.10 | +2.59 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-02-18 | 123.89 | 110.12 | +2.73 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-02-14 | 121.77 | 109.38 | +2.66 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-02-13 | 116.70 | 109.68 | +2.21 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-02-12 | 115.52 | 109.35 | +2.16 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-02-11 | 110.10 | 109.37 | +1.65 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-02-10 | 108.68 | 109.52 | +1.51 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-02-07 | 101.05 | 108.99 | +0.77 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-02-06 | 98.00 | 109.84 | +0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-05 | 96.92 | 109.67 | +0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-02-04 | 99.92 | 108.28 | +0.73 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-02-03 | 96.27 | 109.22 | +0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-31 | 96.50 | 107.57 | +0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-30 | 100.30 | 109.62 | +0.65 | BABA ahead |
| 2025-01-29 | 94.43 | 106.29 | +0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-28 | 93.75 | 106.01 | +0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-27 | 87.86 | 106.06 | -0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-24 | 87.03 | 103.32 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-23 | 84.06 | 103.46 | -0.64 | MA ahead |
| 2025-01-22 | 84.35 | 102.10 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-21 | 83.35 | 102.27 | -0.60 | MA ahead |
| 2025-01-17 | 83.10 | 101.62 | -0.57 | MA ahead |
| 2025-01-16 | 80.47 | 101.32 | -0.89 | MA ahead |
| 2025-01-15 | 80.48 | 101.16 | -0.87 | MA ahead |
| 2025-01-14 | 79.74 | 98.58 | -0.70 | MA ahead |
| 2025-01-13 | 78.63 | 97.79 | -0.76 | MA ahead |
| 2025-01-10 | 78.62 | 97.74 | -0.76 | MA ahead |
| 2025-01-08 | 81.70 | 100.01 | -0.60 | MA ahead |
| 2025-01-07 | 82.48 | 99.04 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-06 | 83.49 | 99.15 | -0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-03 | 83.51 | 100.97 | -0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-02 | 82.93 | 101.17 | -0.57 | MA ahead |
| 2024-12-31 | 82.78 | 101.98 | -0.69 | MA ahead |
| 2024-12-30 | 82.13 | 101.78 | -0.76 | MA ahead |
| 2024-12-27 | 83.04 | 103.07 | -0.78 | MA ahead |
| 2024-12-26 | 84.04 | 103.84 | -0.73 | MA ahead |
| 2024-12-24 | 83.49 | 103.75 | -0.80 | MA ahead |
| 2024-12-23 | 83.12 | 102.44 | -0.72 | MA ahead |
| 2024-12-20 | 80.33 | 102.26 | -1.08 | MA ahead |
| 2024-12-19 | 82.31 | 101.34 | -0.72 | MA ahead |
| 2024-12-18 | 82.98 | 100.70 | -0.56 | MA ahead |
| 2024-12-17 | 85.08 | 102.84 | -0.52 | MA ahead |
| 2024-12-16 | 84.02 | 102.71 | -0.65 | MA ahead |
| 2024-12-13 | 85.74 | 102.45 | -0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-12 | 87.11 | 103.11 | -0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-11 | 86.87 | 103.51 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-10 | 87.70 | 102.45 | -0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-09 | 90.13 | 101.25 | +0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-06 | 83.89 | 102.37 | -0.64 | MA ahead |
| 2024-12-05 | 82.15 | 101.63 | -0.79 | MA ahead |
| 2024-12-04 | 82.92 | 100.93 | -0.62 | MA ahead |
| 2024-12-03 | 83.65 | 101.91 | -0.63 | MA ahead |
| 2024-12-02 | 83.91 | 102.91 | -0.71 | MA ahead |
| 2024-11-29 | 85.30 | 103.21 | -0.57 | MA ahead |
| 2024-11-27 | 84.54 | 103.11 | -0.66 | MA ahead |
| 2024-11-26 | 83.16 | 102.35 | -0.77 | MA ahead |
| 2024-11-25 | 83.55 | 101.99 | -0.68 | MA ahead |
| 2024-11-22 | 81.16 | 100.88 | -0.89 | MA ahead |
| 2024-11-21 | 83.55 | 99.76 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-20 | 84.71 | 99.26 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-19 | 85.04 | 100.60 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-18 | 87.23 | 101.02 | -0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-15 | 86.49 | 101.07 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-14 | 88.43 | 100.79 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-13 | 89.82 | 101.07 | +0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-12 | 89.60 | 102.48 | -0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-11 | 93.16 | 102.67 | +0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-08 | 91.96 | 101.63 | +0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-11-07 | 97.76 | 100.30 | +1.06 | BABA ahead |
| 2024-11-06 | 94.44 | 100.93 | +0.63 | BABA ahead |
| 2024-11-05 | 96.86 | 97.91 | +1.18 | BABA ahead |
| 2024-11-04 | 96.07 | 97.92 | +1.08 | BABA ahead |
| 2024-11-01 | 95.27 | 98.40 | +0.94 | BABA ahead |
| 2024-10-31 | 95.66 | 96.76 | +1.13 | BABA ahead |
| 2024-10-30 | 96.36 | 99.49 | +0.91 | BABA ahead |
| 2024-10-29 | 97.46 | 98.05 | +1.15 | BABA ahead |
| 2024-10-28 | 97.56 | 98.43 | +1.11 | BABA ahead |
| 2024-10-25 | 95.11 | 98.26 | +0.87 | BABA ahead |
| 2024-10-24 | 94.07 | 98.89 | +0.70 | BABA ahead |
| 2024-10-23 | 95.68 | 99.49 | +0.79 | BABA ahead |
| 2024-10-22 | 98.08 | 99.36 | +1.03 | BABA ahead |
| 2024-10-21 | 98.52 | 99.74 | +1.03 | BABA ahead |
| 2024-10-18 | 100.00 | 100.00 | +1.14 | BABA ahead |
One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Feb 24, 2025 (BABA -10.2%, MA +0.3%); Jul 8, 2026 (BABA +11.1%, MA -2.2%). Upcoming earnings: MA Oct 29, 2026 (pre-market).
Paired trades
The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart
Forward paper record
No paper position on this pair yet.
Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)
No simulated trade through Oct 20, 2026: the pair rarely passed every test while 2 standard deviations apart.
Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.
The companies
BABA and MA at a glance
BABA Alibaba Group Holding Limited
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 1577552
- Industry
- Business Services · SIC 7389 Services-Business Services, NEC
- Market value
- $263.0B
- Price history
- 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
MA Mastercard Incorporated
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 1141391
- Industry
- Business Services · SIC 7389 Services-Business Services, NEC
- Market value
- $540.0B
- Price history
- 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.
Related
All pairs →Other rivals of BABA and MA
Follow the research behind the paper book
Boostio is a research-first platform in private beta: crypto candidates, daily market stories, public paper trading and now rival stocks. Exploring these pages stays free and open.
Explore the private betaPaper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.
