Industrial Machinery/Components

ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares vs Lam Research Corporation

WatchlistASML / LRCXPrices through Oct 22, 2026

Why these are rivals: #1 and #2 by market value ($635B vs $341B) in Nasdaq's "Industrial Machinery/Components" industry; SEC SIC 3559 / 3559 (same major group); #1 and #2 by market value ($635B vs $341B) with SEC SIC 3559 (Special Industry Machinery, NEC).

Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.

  • Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -2.47 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Business leadership

Business size

Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.

YearASMLLRCXLarger
2025-$23.2B-
2024-$18.4B-
2022-$17.4B-
2021-$17.2B-
2020-$14.6B-
2019-$10.0B-

Market value: ASML $634.8B, LRCX $340.6B.

Stock leadership

ASML is ahead now

Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.

ASML leads LRCX by 1.57 standard deviations: +16.3% over its usual price ratio. 1 lead switch in the last year.

Price change3 mo6 mo12 mo
ASML-11.2%+10.1%+52.2%
LRCX-24.6%-11.0%+58.7%
Relationship

Not a measured twin today

Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.

Pass
Aligned sessions: 2521 (needs >= 254)
Pass
Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.85 (needs >= 0.60)
Fail
Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -2.47 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Pass
Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 20.79 (needs <= 63)
Data
Both stocks current
The twins over two years

Prices side by side, and the gap between them

ASML ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares LRCX Lam Research CorporationPrice index, 100 = 2024-10-18. Tint = which stock is ahead of the pair's usual 1-year relationship (z beyond +/-0.5).
200400600Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026ASML 216LRCX 316
Spread z-score: ASML relative to LRCX, against the 252 sessions before each day. Above 0: ASML ahead; below 0: LRCX ahead. Lines at +/-2 (idea) and +/-4 (stop).
-4stop-2idea0+2idea+4stopOct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026
Data table (504 sessions)
DateASML indexLRCX indexzAhead
2026-10-22215.76315.97+1.57ASML ahead
2026-10-21231.82358.06+1.00ASML ahead
2026-10-20225.48361.68+0.60ASML ahead
2026-10-19227.74373.70+0.36near the usual relationship
2026-10-16226.96362.36+0.63ASML ahead
2026-10-15229.16380.92+0.21near the usual relationship
2026-10-14228.13393.90-0.18near the usual relationship
2026-10-13237.50413.39-0.27near the usual relationship
2026-10-12241.99424.99-0.36near the usual relationship
2026-10-09246.15437.73-0.49near the usual relationship
2026-10-08244.70440.13-0.61LRCX ahead
2026-10-07249.56452.38-0.69LRCX ahead
2026-10-06253.59458.39-0.67LRCX ahead
2026-10-05257.15474.74-0.88LRCX ahead
2026-10-02258.18477.06-0.89LRCX ahead
2026-10-01250.05466.91-1.00LRCX ahead
2026-09-30250.49451.00-0.66LRCX ahead
2026-09-29253.63444.62-0.41near the usual relationship
2026-09-28244.92431.73-0.47near the usual relationship
2026-09-25241.12432.74-0.64LRCX ahead
2026-09-24238.16421.69-0.53LRCX ahead
2026-09-23241.21421.86-0.42near the usual relationship
2026-09-22241.67426.91-0.52LRCX ahead
2026-09-21236.61414.99-0.46near the usual relationship
2026-09-18232.27395.54-0.20near the usual relationship
2026-09-17225.32369.73+0.12near the usual relationship
2026-09-16221.53369.62-0.03near the usual relationship
2026-09-15220.04371.87-0.15near the usual relationship
2026-09-14217.78375.47-0.33near the usual relationship
2026-09-11234.81409.42-0.43near the usual relationship
2026-09-10233.31409.13-0.49near the usual relationship
2026-09-09239.13433.61-0.78LRCX ahead
2026-09-08244.01439.90-0.74LRCX ahead
2026-09-04237.10422.36-0.64LRCX ahead
2026-09-03227.61401.78-0.57LRCX ahead
2026-09-02232.60395.83-0.27near the usual relationship
2026-09-01230.23398.41-0.42near the usual relationship
2026-08-31234.50413.91-0.59LRCX ahead
2026-08-28234.52414.47-0.61LRCX ahead
2026-08-27239.89437.37-0.87LRCX ahead
2026-08-26241.36429.54-0.68LRCX ahead
2026-08-25241.15431.99-0.74LRCX ahead
2026-08-24240.60425.82-0.64LRCX ahead
2026-08-21243.86431.08-0.64LRCX ahead
2026-08-20242.00426.32-0.62LRCX ahead
2026-08-19242.20421.71-0.53LRCX ahead
2026-08-18249.29450.19-0.83LRCX ahead
2026-08-17260.37472.05-0.87LRCX ahead
2026-08-14254.97456.29-0.77LRCX ahead
2026-08-13255.50462.67-0.87LRCX ahead
2026-08-12250.27447.71-0.78LRCX ahead
2026-08-11248.79427.53-0.47near the usual relationship
2026-08-10239.68420.65-0.64LRCX ahead
2026-08-07240.71427.44-0.74LRCX ahead
2026-08-06235.65419.78-0.77LRCX ahead
2026-08-05232.04422.05-0.94LRCX ahead
2026-08-04236.69436.22-1.05LRCX ahead
2026-08-03227.10404.46-0.79LRCX ahead
2026-07-31225.23402.28-0.82LRCX ahead
2026-07-30228.33408.73-0.84LRCX ahead
2026-07-29214.40346.44-0.06near the usual relationship
2026-07-28218.86370.14-0.41near the usual relationship
2026-07-27228.86400.34-0.68LRCX ahead
2026-07-24242.94419.01-0.58LRCX ahead
2026-07-23249.29439.02-0.74LRCX ahead
2026-07-22249.13438.34-0.74LRCX ahead
2026-07-21249.08442.06-0.82LRCX ahead
2026-07-20240.44421.14-0.72LRCX ahead
2026-07-17241.63430.12-0.85LRCX ahead
2026-07-16246.78440.64-0.88LRCX ahead
2026-07-15250.98460.50-1.09LRCX ahead
2026-07-14245.51475.15-1.50LRCX ahead
2026-07-13238.65452.94-1.37LRCX ahead
2026-07-10248.50480.96-1.52LRCX ahead
2026-07-09249.46484.86-1.57LRCX ahead
2026-07-08244.54457.37-1.29LRCX ahead
2026-07-07241.58447.73-1.23LRCX ahead
2026-07-06252.34480.78-1.44LRCX ahead
2026-07-02244.63482.44-1.71LRCX ahead
2026-07-01254.82537.15-2.22LRCX ahead
2026-06-30275.07594.91-2.44LRCX ahead
2026-06-29260.36564.13-2.48LRCX ahead
2026-06-26248.13520.44-2.26LRCX ahead
2026-06-25254.57551.65-2.53LRCX ahead
2026-06-24243.73514.55-2.36LRCX ahead
2026-06-23245.89509.79-2.24LRCX ahead
2026-06-22266.74562.25-2.40LRCX ahead
2026-06-18266.80534.10-2.02LRCX ahead
2026-06-17258.25513.70-1.99LRCX ahead
2026-06-16249.41507.06-2.18LRCX ahead
2026-06-15261.68533.94-2.22LRCX ahead
2026-06-12257.66503.58-1.91LRCX ahead
2026-06-11262.63497.69-1.68LRCX ahead
2026-06-10239.77441.79-1.48LRCX ahead
2026-06-09245.80449.15-1.42LRCX ahead
2026-06-08241.83445.43-1.49LRCX ahead
2026-06-05226.99416.36-1.47LRCX ahead
2026-06-04242.99461.85-1.74LRCX ahead
2026-06-03238.69471.87-2.04LRCX ahead
2026-06-02235.79459.10-1.94LRCX ahead
2026-06-01225.17435.37-1.90LRCX ahead
2026-05-29222.98436.82-2.01LRCX ahead
2026-05-28222.02436.57-2.05LRCX ahead
2026-05-27220.93437.85-2.13LRCX ahead
2026-05-26225.65443.00-2.07LRCX ahead
2026-05-22225.77419.21-1.68LRCX ahead
2026-05-21220.11414.94-1.80LRCX ahead
2026-05-20214.33401.00-1.75LRCX ahead
2026-05-19201.79375.32-1.72LRCX ahead
2026-05-18203.58381.60-1.79LRCX ahead
2026-05-15207.64390.88-1.83LRCX ahead
2026-05-14219.08410.69-1.82LRCX ahead
2026-05-13218.67405.60-1.75LRCX ahead
2026-05-12210.29397.09-1.89LRCX ahead
2026-05-11216.49406.44-1.86LRCX ahead
2026-05-08220.12403.69-1.70LRCX ahead
2026-05-07209.69393.36-1.87LRCX ahead
2026-05-06213.58407.98-2.02LRCX ahead
2026-05-05199.50378.64-1.99LRCX ahead
2026-05-04191.66354.98-1.82LRCX ahead
2026-05-01197.30352.44-1.58LRCX ahead
2026-04-30198.96354.01-1.56LRCX ahead
2026-04-29192.75341.50-1.54LRCX ahead
2026-04-28191.43344.91-1.66LRCX ahead
2026-04-27198.05356.22-1.66LRCX ahead
2026-04-24201.55367.63-1.76LRCX ahead
2026-04-23196.03354.97-1.72LRCX ahead
2026-04-22199.60364.57-1.79LRCX ahead
2026-04-21201.72354.71-1.53LRCX ahead
2026-04-20204.15361.29-1.58LRCX ahead
2026-04-17201.84367.38-1.78LRCX ahead
2026-04-16195.07358.26-1.85LRCX ahead
2026-04-15204.87364.03-1.64LRCX ahead
2026-04-14209.92373.98-1.67LRCX ahead
2026-04-13207.42367.00-1.63LRCX ahead
2026-04-10204.39361.97-1.65LRCX ahead
2026-04-09200.29355.24-1.67LRCX ahead
2026-04-08196.48338.40-1.48LRCX ahead
2026-04-07180.63308.00-1.42LRCX ahead
2026-04-06180.30302.92-1.33LRCX ahead
2026-04-02182.12299.89-1.21LRCX ahead
2026-04-01188.00304.79-1.12LRCX ahead
2026-03-31182.62293.33-1.07LRCX ahead
2026-03-30173.38274.48-0.98LRCX ahead
2026-03-27180.08290.24-1.10LRCX ahead
2026-03-26183.82290.53-0.98LRCX ahead
2026-03-25192.72320.50-1.32LRCX ahead
2026-03-24193.49327.90-1.45LRCX ahead
2026-03-23189.37320.30-1.45LRCX ahead
2026-03-20182.13313.51-1.58LRCX ahead
2026-03-19188.92321.24-1.51LRCX ahead
2026-03-18187.37308.50-1.31LRCX ahead
2026-03-17192.07310.91-1.21LRCX ahead
2026-03-16190.19301.21-1.08LRCX ahead
2026-03-13186.06291.32-1.02LRCX ahead
2026-03-12186.87287.60-0.91LRCX ahead
2026-03-11191.73300.48-1.04LRCX ahead
2026-03-10191.27295.48-0.95LRCX ahead
2026-03-09187.68289.88-0.96LRCX ahead
2026-03-06178.75273.65-0.91LRCX ahead
2026-03-05189.19294.73-1.03LRCX ahead
2026-03-04193.48306.14-1.13LRCX ahead
2026-03-03188.17298.28-1.15LRCX ahead
2026-03-02196.82317.13-1.27LRCX ahead
2026-02-27200.56321.10-1.24LRCX ahead
2026-02-26202.39328.21-1.33LRCX ahead
2026-02-25211.06342.50-1.34LRCX ahead
2026-02-24207.09335.32-1.34LRCX ahead
2026-02-23205.46332.61-1.35LRCX ahead
2026-02-20203.19336.24-1.50LRCX ahead
2026-02-19201.72325.91-1.36LRCX ahead
2026-02-18203.07329.61-1.41LRCX ahead
2026-02-17196.30323.42-1.51LRCX ahead
2026-02-13194.48323.35-1.59LRCX ahead
2026-02-12194.52317.53-1.48LRCX ahead
2026-02-11198.49322.79-1.47LRCX ahead
2026-02-10195.45311.11-1.34LRCX ahead
2026-02-09197.65314.77-1.36LRCX ahead
2026-02-06195.37317.15-1.50LRCX ahead
2026-02-05186.68292.85-1.29LRCX ahead
2026-02-04185.15288.00-1.24LRCX ahead
2026-02-03193.00315.90-1.59LRCX ahead
2026-02-02199.29326.06-1.60LRCX ahead
2026-01-30196.75320.51-1.58LRCX ahead
2026-01-29201.19340.71-1.86LRCX ahead
2026-01-28196.74328.91-1.79LRCX ahead
2026-01-27201.12327.38-1.63LRCX ahead
2026-01-26195.41305.97-1.39LRCX ahead
2026-01-23192.05299.20-1.36LRCX ahead
2026-01-22192.88302.99-1.43LRCX ahead
2026-01-21188.05313.55-1.85LRCX ahead
2026-01-20183.35305.34-1.86LRCX ahead
2026-01-16187.84306.10-1.73LRCX ahead
2026-01-15184.11298.56-1.71LRCX ahead
2026-01-14174.73286.64-1.80LRCX ahead
2026-01-13175.62294.32-1.97LRCX ahead
2026-01-12177.15302.58-2.12LRCX ahead
2026-01-09176.13299.78-2.12LRCX ahead
2026-01-08165.13275.89-2.02LRCX ahead
2026-01-07169.85278.80-1.92LRCX ahead
2026-01-06171.75284.13-1.99LRCX ahead
2026-01-05169.81267.38-1.67LRCX ahead
2026-01-02160.91254.06-1.70LRCX ahead
2025-12-31147.92235.01-1.76LRCX ahead
2025-12-30148.24238.58-1.87LRCX ahead
2025-12-29147.39241.45-2.02LRCX ahead
2025-12-26148.32244.47-2.08LRCX ahead
2025-12-24147.32243.45-2.13LRCX ahead
2025-12-23146.81240.47-2.09LRCX ahead
2025-12-22146.14240.61-2.15LRCX ahead
2025-12-19146.01236.50-2.06LRCX ahead
2025-12-18143.28226.11-1.89LRCX ahead
2025-12-17140.40212.77-1.61LRCX ahead
2025-12-16148.78224.14-1.58LRCX ahead
2025-12-15150.41225.56-1.57LRCX ahead
2025-12-12149.44220.37-1.46LRCX ahead
2025-12-11155.25231.62-1.56LRCX ahead
2025-12-10154.76231.00-1.57LRCX ahead
2025-12-09153.67227.64-1.53LRCX ahead
2025-12-08154.81223.42-1.35LRCX ahead
2025-12-05152.02217.87-1.31LRCX ahead
2025-12-04153.48215.66-1.17LRCX ahead
2025-12-03157.75219.32-1.10LRCX ahead
2025-12-02153.30217.17-1.25LRCX ahead
2025-12-01150.43212.51-1.24LRCX ahead
2025-11-28146.56214.17-1.51LRCX ahead
2025-11-26143.93212.99-1.62LRCX ahead
2025-11-25138.71208.58-1.76LRCX ahead
2025-11-24136.58206.45-1.82LRCX ahead
2025-11-21133.64195.84-1.60LRCX ahead
2025-11-20135.64191.64-1.33LRCX ahead
2025-11-19143.70204.28-1.39LRCX ahead
2025-11-18138.82196.65-1.37LRCX ahead
2025-11-17141.03202.44-1.49LRCX ahead
2025-11-14139.23203.54-1.65LRCX ahead
2025-11-13141.01210.49-1.83LRCX ahead
2025-11-12143.42221.61-2.13LRCX ahead
2025-11-11141.36218.53-2.16LRCX ahead
2025-11-10143.63228.40-2.42LRCX ahead
2025-11-07140.61218.77-2.28LRCX ahead
2025-11-06142.30222.67-2.36LRCX ahead
2025-11-05144.31226.59-2.43LRCX ahead
2025-11-04142.43213.87-2.08LRCX ahead
2025-11-03147.50221.36-2.11LRCX ahead
2025-10-31146.45216.17-1.99LRCX ahead
2025-10-30148.69221.05-2.08LRCX ahead
2025-10-29148.06220.58-2.12LRCX ahead
2025-10-28145.52213.65-2.02LRCX ahead
2025-10-27146.56215.40-2.06LRCX ahead
2025-10-24142.84208.24-2.01LRCX ahead
2025-10-23143.30202.55-1.75LRCX ahead
2025-10-22139.86193.92-1.60LRCX ahead
2025-10-21141.72199.12-1.73LRCX ahead
2025-10-20144.09197.76-1.54LRCX ahead
2025-10-17142.31194.28-1.51LRCX ahead
2025-10-16140.97195.46-1.66LRCX ahead
2025-10-15139.62198.76-1.91LRCX ahead
2025-10-14135.94189.88-1.76LRCX ahead
2025-10-13136.14189.20-1.73LRCX ahead
2025-10-10129.44180.35-1.77LRCX ahead
2025-10-09135.57193.57-2.01LRCX ahead
2025-10-08136.58195.69-2.06LRCX ahead
2025-10-07138.58192.68-1.81LRCX ahead
2025-10-06144.25204.76-2.02LRCX ahead
2025-10-03142.72200.18-1.93LRCX ahead
2025-10-02142.43201.80-2.04LRCX ahead
2025-10-01138.71196.03-2.04LRCX ahead
2025-09-30133.85183.83-1.80LRCX ahead
2025-09-29133.09179.97-1.67LRCX ahead
2025-09-26131.56176.18-1.59LRCX ahead
2025-09-25131.29175.91-1.61LRCX ahead
2025-09-24130.93176.17-1.66LRCX ahead
2025-09-23133.22181.12-1.77LRCX ahead
2025-09-22132.43181.49-1.87LRCX ahead
2025-09-19128.88174.24-1.75LRCX ahead
2025-09-18128.28173.42-1.77LRCX ahead
2025-09-17120.60167.35-2.03LRCX ahead
2025-09-16121.45165.39-1.87LRCX ahead
2025-09-15119.92163.66-1.91LRCX ahead
2025-09-12112.53160.57-2.36LRCX ahead
2025-09-11111.19158.68-2.40LRCX ahead
2025-09-10109.66147.39-1.84LRCX ahead
2025-09-09111.32144.93-1.55LRCX ahead
2025-09-08110.09144.25-1.62LRCX ahead
2025-09-05108.08141.34-1.62LRCX ahead
2025-09-04104.17137.86-1.74LRCX ahead
2025-09-03101.87134.18-1.71LRCX ahead
2025-09-02100.36133.21-1.79LRCX ahead
2025-08-29102.68137.49-1.89LRCX ahead
2025-08-28105.56142.90-2.02LRCX ahead
2025-08-27106.46142.33-1.92LRCX ahead
2025-08-26105.52142.27-2.02LRCX ahead
2025-08-25104.31139.04-1.92LRCX ahead
2025-08-22104.37137.40-1.82LRCX ahead
2025-08-21101.68135.10-1.93LRCX ahead
2025-08-20103.63136.12-1.84LRCX ahead
2025-08-19102.81137.74-2.05LRCX ahead
2025-08-18103.36135.75-1.88LRCX ahead
2025-08-15102.61136.61-2.03LRCX ahead
2025-08-14104.42147.42-2.65LRCX ahead
2025-08-13104.47146.54-2.63LRCX ahead
2025-08-12102.56144.54-2.72LRCX ahead
2025-08-1199.73140.03-2.72LRCX ahead
2025-08-0899.87139.69-2.72LRCX ahead
2025-08-0798.60136.12-2.62LRCX ahead
2025-08-0695.53131.71-2.65LRCX ahead
2025-08-0595.35132.73-2.80LRCX ahead
2025-08-0496.70135.10-2.90LRCX ahead
2025-08-0195.38132.30-2.88LRCX ahead
2025-07-3196.05130.20-2.67LRCX ahead
2025-07-3099.75136.04-2.79LRCX ahead
2025-07-2999.34135.83-2.88LRCX ahead
2025-07-28100.93135.39-2.71LRCX ahead
2025-07-2598.34133.11-2.88LRCX ahead
2025-07-24100.25134.24-2.80LRCX ahead
2025-07-2399.12133.31-2.91LRCX ahead
2025-07-2297.54134.12-3.26LRCX ahead
2025-07-2199.51139.68-3.62LRCX ahead
2025-07-18101.57138.19-3.31LRCX ahead
2025-07-17102.99138.37-3.22LRCX ahead
2025-07-16104.31137.80-3.07LRCX ahead
2025-07-15113.79138.76-2.02LRCX ahead
2025-07-14111.54136.77-2.12LRCX ahead
2025-07-11110.88139.66-2.53LRCX ahead
2025-07-10110.90138.74-2.48LRCX ahead
2025-07-09110.59137.03-2.38LRCX ahead
2025-07-08109.79137.05-2.52LRCX ahead
2025-07-07108.55134.73-2.48LRCX ahead
2025-07-03109.85135.65-2.45LRCX ahead
2025-07-02110.55135.68-2.40LRCX ahead
2025-07-01109.29132.91-2.29LRCX ahead
2025-06-30110.80133.64-2.20LRCX ahead
2025-06-27110.05133.44-2.32LRCX ahead
2025-06-26110.35132.95-2.25LRCX ahead
2025-06-25112.72131.82-1.81LRCX ahead
2025-06-24112.46131.29-1.81LRCX ahead
2025-06-23107.81125.77-1.82LRCX ahead
2025-06-20104.60124.23-2.12LRCX ahead
2025-06-18105.31126.63-2.35LRCX ahead
2025-06-17105.06127.21-2.50LRCX ahead
2025-06-16107.19128.24-2.34LRCX ahead
2025-06-13105.22122.90-1.98LRCX ahead
2025-06-12108.70125.84-1.85LRCX ahead
2025-06-11108.41124.86-1.78LRCX ahead
2025-06-10108.53124.93-1.78LRCX ahead
2025-06-09106.49121.22-1.61LRCX ahead
2025-06-06104.11118.55-1.63LRCX ahead
2025-06-05103.39116.57-1.48LRCX ahead
2025-06-04102.70116.38-1.58LRCX ahead
2025-06-03103.32114.85-1.28LRCX ahead
2025-06-02103.22113.23-1.07LRCX ahead
2025-05-30101.87110.91-0.95LRCX ahead
2025-05-29103.29115.54-1.41LRCX ahead
2025-05-28103.21115.32-1.40LRCX ahead
2025-05-27104.64115.24-1.17LRCX ahead
2025-05-23101.28111.29-1.14LRCX ahead
2025-05-22102.41113.34-1.27LRCX ahead
2025-05-21101.92113.66-1.41LRCX ahead
2025-05-20103.53115.72-1.46LRCX ahead
2025-05-19103.58115.07-1.37LRCX ahead
2025-05-16103.43115.91-1.53LRCX ahead
2025-05-15104.85116.41-1.38LRCX ahead
2025-05-14106.31116.65-1.19LRCX ahead
2025-05-13105.62117.04-1.37LRCX ahead
2025-05-12103.72112.92-1.08LRCX ahead
2025-05-0997.64103.46-0.62LRCX ahead
2025-05-0897.89102.83-0.47near the usual relationship
2025-05-0796.84103.05-0.70LRCX ahead
2025-05-0694.02100.44-0.77LRCX ahead
2025-05-0594.48101.47-0.87LRCX ahead
2025-05-0295.45102.31-0.84LRCX ahead
2025-05-0192.1898.48-0.78LRCX ahead
2025-04-3092.3798.39-0.74LRCX ahead
2025-04-2992.1097.34-0.61LRCX ahead
2025-04-2893.0298.26-0.60LRCX ahead
2025-04-2593.6498.05-0.46near the usual relationship
2025-04-2493.3397.34-0.39near the usual relationship
2025-04-2390.9791.61+0.21near the usual relationship
2025-04-2288.3187.15+0.56ASML ahead
2025-04-2186.3785.65+0.48near the usual relationship
2025-04-1788.5187.53+0.52ASML ahead
2025-04-1687.7989.43+0.01near the usual relationship
2025-04-1594.4693.96+0.42near the usual relationship
2025-04-1493.0393.16+0.30near the usual relationship
2025-04-1192.4792.64+0.29near the usual relationship
2025-04-1089.8191.20+0.06near the usual relationship
2025-04-0995.0297.62-0.14near the usual relationship
2025-04-0882.3282.72+0.23near the usual relationship
2025-04-0785.1585.39+0.27near the usual relationship
2025-04-0483.7381.12+0.86ASML ahead
2025-04-0386.1789.54-0.34near the usual relationship
2025-04-0292.50101.29-1.25LRCX ahead
2025-04-0192.2799.99-1.08LRCX ahead
2025-03-3191.6299.81-1.18LRCX ahead
2025-03-2893.2799.68-0.86LRCX ahead
2025-03-2795.49102.70-0.97LRCX ahead
2025-03-2697.58104.53-0.91LRCX ahead
2025-03-25100.48106.63-0.75LRCX ahead
2025-03-24100.63107.07-0.81LRCX ahead
2025-03-2199.03104.12-0.60LRCX ahead
2025-03-20101.49106.47-0.57LRCX ahead
2025-03-19101.61106.99-0.64LRCX ahead
2025-03-18101.09106.21-0.61LRCX ahead
2025-03-17100.98107.51-0.84LRCX ahead
2025-03-1498.72108.03-1.33LRCX ahead
2025-03-1396.04103.32-1.04LRCX ahead
2025-03-1297.25105.15-1.14LRCX ahead
2025-03-1195.43100.71-0.73LRCX ahead
2025-03-1094.45101.33-1.02LRCX ahead
2025-03-07101.24108.47-1.00LRCX ahead
2025-03-0698.84104.98-0.86LRCX ahead
2025-03-05102.28108.53-0.85LRCX ahead
2025-03-0497.92104.94-1.03LRCX ahead
2025-03-0396.76104.04-1.09LRCX ahead
2025-02-2898.04105.35-1.09LRCX ahead
2025-02-2796.47104.57-1.25LRCX ahead
2025-02-26103.27111.61-1.21LRCX ahead
2025-02-25100.96110.23-1.40LRCX ahead
2025-02-24101.76114.42-1.94LRCX ahead
2025-02-21101.93118.09-2.51LRCX ahead
2025-02-20102.74122.21-3.05LRCX ahead
2025-02-19102.98120.35-2.78LRCX ahead
2025-02-18102.90118.86-2.61LRCX ahead
2025-02-14103.91113.61-1.60LRCX ahead
2025-02-13107.43114.36-1.10LRCX ahead
2025-02-12104.55111.99-1.23LRCX ahead
2025-02-11104.11114.31-1.71LRCX ahead
2025-02-10102.88114.95-2.06LRCX ahead
2025-02-07100.61113.03-2.19LRCX ahead
2025-02-06102.19113.71-2.03LRCX ahead
2025-02-05102.67112.49-1.75LRCX ahead
2025-02-04101.13109.71-1.57LRCX ahead
2025-02-03101.08110.09-1.67LRCX ahead
2025-01-31102.22111.27-1.67LRCX ahead
2025-01-30101.90110.83-1.67LRCX ahead
2025-01-2998.53103.17-0.94LRCX ahead
2025-01-2894.48102.29-1.61LRCX ahead
2025-01-2795.42103.83-1.72LRCX ahead
2025-01-24101.24109.39-1.59LRCX ahead
2025-01-23103.18111.52-1.59LRCX ahead
2025-01-22106.01114.29-1.54LRCX ahead
2025-01-21105.49111.89-1.22LRCX ahead
2025-01-17104.57110.24-1.11LRCX ahead
2025-01-16103.74108.76-0.99LRCX ahead
2025-01-15100.42104.54-0.85LRCX ahead
2025-01-14101.80103.05-0.30near the usual relationship
2025-01-13100.57102.21-0.37near the usual relationship
2025-01-10102.18102.48-0.11near the usual relationship
2025-01-08102.86105.77-0.60LRCX ahead
2025-01-07104.75106.43-0.36near the usual relationship
2025-01-06106.26107.06-0.20near the usual relationship
2025-01-0398.77103.12-0.89LRCX ahead
2025-01-0296.8499.45-0.57LRCX ahead
2024-12-3195.8399.16-0.72LRCX ahead
2024-12-3096.2599.05-0.61LRCX ahead
2024-12-2798.66100.77-0.46near the usual relationship
2024-12-2698.98101.58-0.55LRCX ahead
2024-12-2499.51101.36-0.41near the usual relationship
2024-12-2399.69101.32-0.36near the usual relationship
2024-12-2097.5798.56-0.24near the usual relationship
2024-12-1998.2097.76+0.05near the usual relationship
2024-12-1899.48103.24-0.76LRCX ahead
2024-12-17101.65106.82-1.01LRCX ahead
2024-12-1699.88106.85-1.37LRCX ahead
2024-12-1399.35104.70-1.08LRCX ahead
2024-12-1298.60103.76-1.06LRCX ahead
2024-12-1198.78107.40-1.71LRCX ahead
2024-12-1097.51103.14-1.18LRCX ahead
2024-12-0997.69106.33-1.76LRCX ahead
2024-12-0698.03105.15-1.48LRCX ahead
2024-12-0598.37103.25-1.05LRCX ahead
2024-12-0499.54107.44-1.63LRCX ahead
2024-12-0399.28107.55-1.71LRCX ahead
2024-12-0298.37107.78-1.96LRCX ahead
2024-11-2994.93101.43-1.45LRCX ahead
2024-11-2792.7098.26-1.29LRCX ahead
2024-11-2692.9199.79-1.57LRCX ahead
2024-11-2594.64101.19-1.49LRCX ahead
2024-11-2293.0399.73-1.54LRCX ahead
2024-11-2192.93100.40-1.72LRCX ahead
2024-11-2091.0496.17-1.26LRCX ahead
2024-11-1991.5596.33-1.18LRCX ahead
2024-11-1891.9896.88-1.21LRCX ahead
2024-11-1591.0696.17-1.27LRCX ahead
2024-11-1495.81102.68-1.59LRCX ahead
2024-11-1393.11101.39-1.94LRCX ahead
2024-11-1292.52103.93-2.64LRCX ahead
2024-11-1192.82104.57-2.75LRCX ahead
2024-11-0892.56107.36-3.47LRCX ahead
2024-11-0793.63108.75-3.60LRCX ahead
2024-11-0691.45105.41-3.53LRCX ahead
2024-11-0593.53104.89-2.95LRCX ahead
2024-11-0492.80101.83-2.47LRCX ahead
2024-11-0193.29102.69-2.59LRCX ahead
2024-10-3192.99102.07-2.57LRCX ahead
2024-10-3094.55104.96-2.90LRCX ahead
2024-10-2998.88107.51-2.42LRCX ahead
2024-10-2897.98103.58-1.73LRCX ahead
2024-10-2598.40106.64-2.39LRCX ahead
2024-10-2498.28105.12-2.08LRCX ahead
2024-10-2397.98100.03-0.87LRCX ahead
2024-10-2299.68100.22-0.47near the usual relationship
2024-10-2198.73100.00-0.66LRCX ahead
2024-10-18100.00100.00-0.31near the usual relationship

One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Apr 4, 2025 (ASML -2.8%, LRCX -9.4%); Jul 16, 2025 (ASML -8.3%, LRCX -0.7%); Jul 30, 2026 (ASML +6.5%, LRCX +18.0%).

Paired trades

The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart

Forward paper record

No paper position on this pair yet.

Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)

4 simulated trades to Oct 20, 2026: +6.27% per trade on average after costs, 3 won.

LegsEnteredExitedWhyDaysBefore costsCosts + borrowAfter costs
Long ASML · Short LRCXOct 30, 2024Nov 8, 2024divergence stop9-$585.80-$24.85-$614.19 (-6.14%)
Long LRCX · Short ASMLAug 2, 2024Oct 16, 2024converged75$1,002.51-$33.14$998.91 (+9.99%)
Long LRCX · Short ASMLNov 21, 2022May 31, 2023converged191$1,218.20-$53.74$1,683.16 (+16.83%)
Long ASML · Short LRCXNov 18, 2019Mar 17, 2020converged120$824.14-$56.03$441.80 (+4.42%)

Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.

The companies

ASML and LRCX at a glance

ASML ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares

Listing
Nasdaq · SEC CIK 937966
Industry
Industrial Machinery/Components · SIC 3559 Special Industry Machinery, NEC
Market value
$634.8B
Price history
2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026

LRCX Lam Research Corporation

Listing
Nasdaq · SEC CIK 707549
Industry
Industrial Machinery/Components · SIC 3559 Special Industry Machinery, NEC
Market value
$340.6B
Price history
2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026

Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.

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Explore the private beta

Paper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.