ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares vs Lam Research Corporation
Why these are rivals: #1 and #2 by market value ($635B vs $341B) in Nasdaq's "Industrial Machinery/Components" industry; SEC SIC 3559 / 3559 (same major group); #1 and #2 by market value ($635B vs $341B) with SEC SIC 3559 (Special Industry Machinery, NEC).
Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -2.47 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
Business size
Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.
| Year | ASML | LRCX | Larger |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | - | $23.2B | - |
| 2024 | - | $18.4B | - |
| 2022 | - | $17.4B | - |
| 2021 | - | $17.2B | - |
| 2020 | - | $14.6B | - |
| 2019 | - | $10.0B | - |
Market value: ASML $634.8B, LRCX $340.6B.
ASML is ahead now
Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.
ASML leads LRCX by 1.57 standard deviations: +16.3% over its usual price ratio. 1 lead switch in the last year.
| Price change | 3 mo | 6 mo | 12 mo |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASML | -11.2% | +10.1% | +52.2% |
| LRCX | -24.6% | -11.0% | +58.7% |
Not a measured twin today
Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.
- Pass
- Aligned sessions: 2521 (needs >= 254)
- Pass
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.85 (needs >= 0.60)
- Fail
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -2.47 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
- Pass
- Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 20.79 (needs <= 63)
- Data
- Both stocks current
Prices side by side, and the gap between them
Data table (504 sessions)
| Date | ASML index | LRCX index | z | Ahead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | 215.76 | 315.97 | +1.57 | ASML ahead |
| 2026-10-21 | 231.82 | 358.06 | +1.00 | ASML ahead |
| 2026-10-20 | 225.48 | 361.68 | +0.60 | ASML ahead |
| 2026-10-19 | 227.74 | 373.70 | +0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-16 | 226.96 | 362.36 | +0.63 | ASML ahead |
| 2026-10-15 | 229.16 | 380.92 | +0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-14 | 228.13 | 393.90 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-13 | 237.50 | 413.39 | -0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-12 | 241.99 | 424.99 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-09 | 246.15 | 437.73 | -0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-10-08 | 244.70 | 440.13 | -0.61 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-10-07 | 249.56 | 452.38 | -0.69 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-10-06 | 253.59 | 458.39 | -0.67 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-10-05 | 257.15 | 474.74 | -0.88 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-10-02 | 258.18 | 477.06 | -0.89 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-10-01 | 250.05 | 466.91 | -1.00 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-09-30 | 250.49 | 451.00 | -0.66 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-09-29 | 253.63 | 444.62 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-28 | 244.92 | 431.73 | -0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-25 | 241.12 | 432.74 | -0.64 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-09-24 | 238.16 | 421.69 | -0.53 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-09-23 | 241.21 | 421.86 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-22 | 241.67 | 426.91 | -0.52 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-09-21 | 236.61 | 414.99 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-18 | 232.27 | 395.54 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-17 | 225.32 | 369.73 | +0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-16 | 221.53 | 369.62 | -0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-15 | 220.04 | 371.87 | -0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-14 | 217.78 | 375.47 | -0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-11 | 234.81 | 409.42 | -0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-10 | 233.31 | 409.13 | -0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-09 | 239.13 | 433.61 | -0.78 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-09-08 | 244.01 | 439.90 | -0.74 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-09-04 | 237.10 | 422.36 | -0.64 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-09-03 | 227.61 | 401.78 | -0.57 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-09-02 | 232.60 | 395.83 | -0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-09-01 | 230.23 | 398.41 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-31 | 234.50 | 413.91 | -0.59 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-08-28 | 234.52 | 414.47 | -0.61 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-08-27 | 239.89 | 437.37 | -0.87 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-08-26 | 241.36 | 429.54 | -0.68 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-08-25 | 241.15 | 431.99 | -0.74 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-08-24 | 240.60 | 425.82 | -0.64 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-08-21 | 243.86 | 431.08 | -0.64 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-08-20 | 242.00 | 426.32 | -0.62 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-08-19 | 242.20 | 421.71 | -0.53 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-08-18 | 249.29 | 450.19 | -0.83 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-08-17 | 260.37 | 472.05 | -0.87 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-08-14 | 254.97 | 456.29 | -0.77 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-08-13 | 255.50 | 462.67 | -0.87 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-08-12 | 250.27 | 447.71 | -0.78 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-08-11 | 248.79 | 427.53 | -0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-08-10 | 239.68 | 420.65 | -0.64 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-08-07 | 240.71 | 427.44 | -0.74 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-08-06 | 235.65 | 419.78 | -0.77 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-08-05 | 232.04 | 422.05 | -0.94 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-08-04 | 236.69 | 436.22 | -1.05 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-08-03 | 227.10 | 404.46 | -0.79 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-07-31 | 225.23 | 402.28 | -0.82 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-07-30 | 228.33 | 408.73 | -0.84 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-07-29 | 214.40 | 346.44 | -0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-28 | 218.86 | 370.14 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-27 | 228.86 | 400.34 | -0.68 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-07-24 | 242.94 | 419.01 | -0.58 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-07-23 | 249.29 | 439.02 | -0.74 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-07-22 | 249.13 | 438.34 | -0.74 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-07-21 | 249.08 | 442.06 | -0.82 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-07-20 | 240.44 | 421.14 | -0.72 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-07-17 | 241.63 | 430.12 | -0.85 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-07-16 | 246.78 | 440.64 | -0.88 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-07-15 | 250.98 | 460.50 | -1.09 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-07-14 | 245.51 | 475.15 | -1.50 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-07-13 | 238.65 | 452.94 | -1.37 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-07-10 | 248.50 | 480.96 | -1.52 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-07-09 | 249.46 | 484.86 | -1.57 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-07-08 | 244.54 | 457.37 | -1.29 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-07-07 | 241.58 | 447.73 | -1.23 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-07-06 | 252.34 | 480.78 | -1.44 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-07-02 | 244.63 | 482.44 | -1.71 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-07-01 | 254.82 | 537.15 | -2.22 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-06-30 | 275.07 | 594.91 | -2.44 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-06-29 | 260.36 | 564.13 | -2.48 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-06-26 | 248.13 | 520.44 | -2.26 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-06-25 | 254.57 | 551.65 | -2.53 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-06-24 | 243.73 | 514.55 | -2.36 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-06-23 | 245.89 | 509.79 | -2.24 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-06-22 | 266.74 | 562.25 | -2.40 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-06-18 | 266.80 | 534.10 | -2.02 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-06-17 | 258.25 | 513.70 | -1.99 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-06-16 | 249.41 | 507.06 | -2.18 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-06-15 | 261.68 | 533.94 | -2.22 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-06-12 | 257.66 | 503.58 | -1.91 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-06-11 | 262.63 | 497.69 | -1.68 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-06-10 | 239.77 | 441.79 | -1.48 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-06-09 | 245.80 | 449.15 | -1.42 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-06-08 | 241.83 | 445.43 | -1.49 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-06-05 | 226.99 | 416.36 | -1.47 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-06-04 | 242.99 | 461.85 | -1.74 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-06-03 | 238.69 | 471.87 | -2.04 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-06-02 | 235.79 | 459.10 | -1.94 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-06-01 | 225.17 | 435.37 | -1.90 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-05-29 | 222.98 | 436.82 | -2.01 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-05-28 | 222.02 | 436.57 | -2.05 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-05-27 | 220.93 | 437.85 | -2.13 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-05-26 | 225.65 | 443.00 | -2.07 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-05-22 | 225.77 | 419.21 | -1.68 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-05-21 | 220.11 | 414.94 | -1.80 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-05-20 | 214.33 | 401.00 | -1.75 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-05-19 | 201.79 | 375.32 | -1.72 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-05-18 | 203.58 | 381.60 | -1.79 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-05-15 | 207.64 | 390.88 | -1.83 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-05-14 | 219.08 | 410.69 | -1.82 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-05-13 | 218.67 | 405.60 | -1.75 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-05-12 | 210.29 | 397.09 | -1.89 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-05-11 | 216.49 | 406.44 | -1.86 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-05-08 | 220.12 | 403.69 | -1.70 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-05-07 | 209.69 | 393.36 | -1.87 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-05-06 | 213.58 | 407.98 | -2.02 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-05-05 | 199.50 | 378.64 | -1.99 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-05-04 | 191.66 | 354.98 | -1.82 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-05-01 | 197.30 | 352.44 | -1.58 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-04-30 | 198.96 | 354.01 | -1.56 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-04-29 | 192.75 | 341.50 | -1.54 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-04-28 | 191.43 | 344.91 | -1.66 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-04-27 | 198.05 | 356.22 | -1.66 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-04-24 | 201.55 | 367.63 | -1.76 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-04-23 | 196.03 | 354.97 | -1.72 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-04-22 | 199.60 | 364.57 | -1.79 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-04-21 | 201.72 | 354.71 | -1.53 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-04-20 | 204.15 | 361.29 | -1.58 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-04-17 | 201.84 | 367.38 | -1.78 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-04-16 | 195.07 | 358.26 | -1.85 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-04-15 | 204.87 | 364.03 | -1.64 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-04-14 | 209.92 | 373.98 | -1.67 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-04-13 | 207.42 | 367.00 | -1.63 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-04-10 | 204.39 | 361.97 | -1.65 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-04-09 | 200.29 | 355.24 | -1.67 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-04-08 | 196.48 | 338.40 | -1.48 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-04-07 | 180.63 | 308.00 | -1.42 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-04-06 | 180.30 | 302.92 | -1.33 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-04-02 | 182.12 | 299.89 | -1.21 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-04-01 | 188.00 | 304.79 | -1.12 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-03-31 | 182.62 | 293.33 | -1.07 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-03-30 | 173.38 | 274.48 | -0.98 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-03-27 | 180.08 | 290.24 | -1.10 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-03-26 | 183.82 | 290.53 | -0.98 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-03-25 | 192.72 | 320.50 | -1.32 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-03-24 | 193.49 | 327.90 | -1.45 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-03-23 | 189.37 | 320.30 | -1.45 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-03-20 | 182.13 | 313.51 | -1.58 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-03-19 | 188.92 | 321.24 | -1.51 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-03-18 | 187.37 | 308.50 | -1.31 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-03-17 | 192.07 | 310.91 | -1.21 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-03-16 | 190.19 | 301.21 | -1.08 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-03-13 | 186.06 | 291.32 | -1.02 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-03-12 | 186.87 | 287.60 | -0.91 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-03-11 | 191.73 | 300.48 | -1.04 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-03-10 | 191.27 | 295.48 | -0.95 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-03-09 | 187.68 | 289.88 | -0.96 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-03-06 | 178.75 | 273.65 | -0.91 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-03-05 | 189.19 | 294.73 | -1.03 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-03-04 | 193.48 | 306.14 | -1.13 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-03-03 | 188.17 | 298.28 | -1.15 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-03-02 | 196.82 | 317.13 | -1.27 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-02-27 | 200.56 | 321.10 | -1.24 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-02-26 | 202.39 | 328.21 | -1.33 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-02-25 | 211.06 | 342.50 | -1.34 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-02-24 | 207.09 | 335.32 | -1.34 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-02-23 | 205.46 | 332.61 | -1.35 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-02-20 | 203.19 | 336.24 | -1.50 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-02-19 | 201.72 | 325.91 | -1.36 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-02-18 | 203.07 | 329.61 | -1.41 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-02-17 | 196.30 | 323.42 | -1.51 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-02-13 | 194.48 | 323.35 | -1.59 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-02-12 | 194.52 | 317.53 | -1.48 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-02-11 | 198.49 | 322.79 | -1.47 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-02-10 | 195.45 | 311.11 | -1.34 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-02-09 | 197.65 | 314.77 | -1.36 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-02-06 | 195.37 | 317.15 | -1.50 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-02-05 | 186.68 | 292.85 | -1.29 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-02-04 | 185.15 | 288.00 | -1.24 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-02-03 | 193.00 | 315.90 | -1.59 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-02-02 | 199.29 | 326.06 | -1.60 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-01-30 | 196.75 | 320.51 | -1.58 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-01-29 | 201.19 | 340.71 | -1.86 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-01-28 | 196.74 | 328.91 | -1.79 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-01-27 | 201.12 | 327.38 | -1.63 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-01-26 | 195.41 | 305.97 | -1.39 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-01-23 | 192.05 | 299.20 | -1.36 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-01-22 | 192.88 | 302.99 | -1.43 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-01-21 | 188.05 | 313.55 | -1.85 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-01-20 | 183.35 | 305.34 | -1.86 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-01-16 | 187.84 | 306.10 | -1.73 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-01-15 | 184.11 | 298.56 | -1.71 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-01-14 | 174.73 | 286.64 | -1.80 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-01-13 | 175.62 | 294.32 | -1.97 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-01-12 | 177.15 | 302.58 | -2.12 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-01-09 | 176.13 | 299.78 | -2.12 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-01-08 | 165.13 | 275.89 | -2.02 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-01-07 | 169.85 | 278.80 | -1.92 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-01-06 | 171.75 | 284.13 | -1.99 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-01-05 | 169.81 | 267.38 | -1.67 | LRCX ahead |
| 2026-01-02 | 160.91 | 254.06 | -1.70 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-12-31 | 147.92 | 235.01 | -1.76 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-12-30 | 148.24 | 238.58 | -1.87 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-12-29 | 147.39 | 241.45 | -2.02 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-12-26 | 148.32 | 244.47 | -2.08 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-12-24 | 147.32 | 243.45 | -2.13 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-12-23 | 146.81 | 240.47 | -2.09 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-12-22 | 146.14 | 240.61 | -2.15 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-12-19 | 146.01 | 236.50 | -2.06 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-12-18 | 143.28 | 226.11 | -1.89 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-12-17 | 140.40 | 212.77 | -1.61 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-12-16 | 148.78 | 224.14 | -1.58 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-12-15 | 150.41 | 225.56 | -1.57 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-12-12 | 149.44 | 220.37 | -1.46 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-12-11 | 155.25 | 231.62 | -1.56 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-12-10 | 154.76 | 231.00 | -1.57 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-12-09 | 153.67 | 227.64 | -1.53 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-12-08 | 154.81 | 223.42 | -1.35 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-12-05 | 152.02 | 217.87 | -1.31 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-12-04 | 153.48 | 215.66 | -1.17 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-12-03 | 157.75 | 219.32 | -1.10 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-12-02 | 153.30 | 217.17 | -1.25 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-12-01 | 150.43 | 212.51 | -1.24 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-11-28 | 146.56 | 214.17 | -1.51 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-11-26 | 143.93 | 212.99 | -1.62 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-11-25 | 138.71 | 208.58 | -1.76 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-11-24 | 136.58 | 206.45 | -1.82 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-11-21 | 133.64 | 195.84 | -1.60 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-11-20 | 135.64 | 191.64 | -1.33 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-11-19 | 143.70 | 204.28 | -1.39 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-11-18 | 138.82 | 196.65 | -1.37 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-11-17 | 141.03 | 202.44 | -1.49 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-11-14 | 139.23 | 203.54 | -1.65 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-11-13 | 141.01 | 210.49 | -1.83 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-11-12 | 143.42 | 221.61 | -2.13 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-11-11 | 141.36 | 218.53 | -2.16 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-11-10 | 143.63 | 228.40 | -2.42 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-11-07 | 140.61 | 218.77 | -2.28 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-11-06 | 142.30 | 222.67 | -2.36 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-11-05 | 144.31 | 226.59 | -2.43 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-11-04 | 142.43 | 213.87 | -2.08 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-11-03 | 147.50 | 221.36 | -2.11 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-10-31 | 146.45 | 216.17 | -1.99 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-10-30 | 148.69 | 221.05 | -2.08 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-10-29 | 148.06 | 220.58 | -2.12 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-10-28 | 145.52 | 213.65 | -2.02 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-10-27 | 146.56 | 215.40 | -2.06 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-10-24 | 142.84 | 208.24 | -2.01 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-10-23 | 143.30 | 202.55 | -1.75 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-10-22 | 139.86 | 193.92 | -1.60 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-10-21 | 141.72 | 199.12 | -1.73 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-10-20 | 144.09 | 197.76 | -1.54 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-10-17 | 142.31 | 194.28 | -1.51 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-10-16 | 140.97 | 195.46 | -1.66 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-10-15 | 139.62 | 198.76 | -1.91 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-10-14 | 135.94 | 189.88 | -1.76 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-10-13 | 136.14 | 189.20 | -1.73 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-10-10 | 129.44 | 180.35 | -1.77 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-10-09 | 135.57 | 193.57 | -2.01 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-10-08 | 136.58 | 195.69 | -2.06 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-10-07 | 138.58 | 192.68 | -1.81 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-10-06 | 144.25 | 204.76 | -2.02 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-10-03 | 142.72 | 200.18 | -1.93 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-10-02 | 142.43 | 201.80 | -2.04 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-10-01 | 138.71 | 196.03 | -2.04 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-09-30 | 133.85 | 183.83 | -1.80 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-09-29 | 133.09 | 179.97 | -1.67 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-09-26 | 131.56 | 176.18 | -1.59 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-09-25 | 131.29 | 175.91 | -1.61 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-09-24 | 130.93 | 176.17 | -1.66 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-09-23 | 133.22 | 181.12 | -1.77 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-09-22 | 132.43 | 181.49 | -1.87 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-09-19 | 128.88 | 174.24 | -1.75 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-09-18 | 128.28 | 173.42 | -1.77 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-09-17 | 120.60 | 167.35 | -2.03 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-09-16 | 121.45 | 165.39 | -1.87 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-09-15 | 119.92 | 163.66 | -1.91 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-09-12 | 112.53 | 160.57 | -2.36 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-09-11 | 111.19 | 158.68 | -2.40 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-09-10 | 109.66 | 147.39 | -1.84 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-09-09 | 111.32 | 144.93 | -1.55 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-09-08 | 110.09 | 144.25 | -1.62 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-09-05 | 108.08 | 141.34 | -1.62 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-09-04 | 104.17 | 137.86 | -1.74 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-09-03 | 101.87 | 134.18 | -1.71 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-09-02 | 100.36 | 133.21 | -1.79 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-08-29 | 102.68 | 137.49 | -1.89 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-08-28 | 105.56 | 142.90 | -2.02 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-08-27 | 106.46 | 142.33 | -1.92 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-08-26 | 105.52 | 142.27 | -2.02 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-08-25 | 104.31 | 139.04 | -1.92 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-08-22 | 104.37 | 137.40 | -1.82 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-08-21 | 101.68 | 135.10 | -1.93 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-08-20 | 103.63 | 136.12 | -1.84 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-08-19 | 102.81 | 137.74 | -2.05 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-08-18 | 103.36 | 135.75 | -1.88 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-08-15 | 102.61 | 136.61 | -2.03 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-08-14 | 104.42 | 147.42 | -2.65 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-08-13 | 104.47 | 146.54 | -2.63 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-08-12 | 102.56 | 144.54 | -2.72 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-08-11 | 99.73 | 140.03 | -2.72 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-08-08 | 99.87 | 139.69 | -2.72 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-08-07 | 98.60 | 136.12 | -2.62 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-08-06 | 95.53 | 131.71 | -2.65 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-08-05 | 95.35 | 132.73 | -2.80 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-08-04 | 96.70 | 135.10 | -2.90 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-08-01 | 95.38 | 132.30 | -2.88 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-07-31 | 96.05 | 130.20 | -2.67 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-07-30 | 99.75 | 136.04 | -2.79 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-07-29 | 99.34 | 135.83 | -2.88 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-07-28 | 100.93 | 135.39 | -2.71 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-07-25 | 98.34 | 133.11 | -2.88 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-07-24 | 100.25 | 134.24 | -2.80 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-07-23 | 99.12 | 133.31 | -2.91 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-07-22 | 97.54 | 134.12 | -3.26 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-07-21 | 99.51 | 139.68 | -3.62 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-07-18 | 101.57 | 138.19 | -3.31 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-07-17 | 102.99 | 138.37 | -3.22 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-07-16 | 104.31 | 137.80 | -3.07 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-07-15 | 113.79 | 138.76 | -2.02 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-07-14 | 111.54 | 136.77 | -2.12 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-07-11 | 110.88 | 139.66 | -2.53 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-07-10 | 110.90 | 138.74 | -2.48 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-07-09 | 110.59 | 137.03 | -2.38 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-07-08 | 109.79 | 137.05 | -2.52 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-07-07 | 108.55 | 134.73 | -2.48 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-07-03 | 109.85 | 135.65 | -2.45 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-07-02 | 110.55 | 135.68 | -2.40 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-07-01 | 109.29 | 132.91 | -2.29 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-06-30 | 110.80 | 133.64 | -2.20 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-06-27 | 110.05 | 133.44 | -2.32 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-06-26 | 110.35 | 132.95 | -2.25 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-06-25 | 112.72 | 131.82 | -1.81 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-06-24 | 112.46 | 131.29 | -1.81 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-06-23 | 107.81 | 125.77 | -1.82 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-06-20 | 104.60 | 124.23 | -2.12 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-06-18 | 105.31 | 126.63 | -2.35 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-06-17 | 105.06 | 127.21 | -2.50 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-06-16 | 107.19 | 128.24 | -2.34 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-06-13 | 105.22 | 122.90 | -1.98 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-06-12 | 108.70 | 125.84 | -1.85 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-06-11 | 108.41 | 124.86 | -1.78 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-06-10 | 108.53 | 124.93 | -1.78 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-06-09 | 106.49 | 121.22 | -1.61 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-06-06 | 104.11 | 118.55 | -1.63 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-06-05 | 103.39 | 116.57 | -1.48 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-06-04 | 102.70 | 116.38 | -1.58 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-06-03 | 103.32 | 114.85 | -1.28 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-06-02 | 103.22 | 113.23 | -1.07 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-05-30 | 101.87 | 110.91 | -0.95 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-05-29 | 103.29 | 115.54 | -1.41 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-05-28 | 103.21 | 115.32 | -1.40 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-05-27 | 104.64 | 115.24 | -1.17 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-05-23 | 101.28 | 111.29 | -1.14 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-05-22 | 102.41 | 113.34 | -1.27 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-05-21 | 101.92 | 113.66 | -1.41 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-05-20 | 103.53 | 115.72 | -1.46 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-05-19 | 103.58 | 115.07 | -1.37 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-05-16 | 103.43 | 115.91 | -1.53 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-05-15 | 104.85 | 116.41 | -1.38 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-05-14 | 106.31 | 116.65 | -1.19 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-05-13 | 105.62 | 117.04 | -1.37 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-05-12 | 103.72 | 112.92 | -1.08 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-05-09 | 97.64 | 103.46 | -0.62 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-05-08 | 97.89 | 102.83 | -0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-07 | 96.84 | 103.05 | -0.70 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-05-06 | 94.02 | 100.44 | -0.77 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-05-05 | 94.48 | 101.47 | -0.87 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-05-02 | 95.45 | 102.31 | -0.84 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-05-01 | 92.18 | 98.48 | -0.78 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-04-30 | 92.37 | 98.39 | -0.74 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-04-29 | 92.10 | 97.34 | -0.61 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-04-28 | 93.02 | 98.26 | -0.60 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-04-25 | 93.64 | 98.05 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-24 | 93.33 | 97.34 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-23 | 90.97 | 91.61 | +0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-22 | 88.31 | 87.15 | +0.56 | ASML ahead |
| 2025-04-21 | 86.37 | 85.65 | +0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-17 | 88.51 | 87.53 | +0.52 | ASML ahead |
| 2025-04-16 | 87.79 | 89.43 | +0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-15 | 94.46 | 93.96 | +0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-14 | 93.03 | 93.16 | +0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-11 | 92.47 | 92.64 | +0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-10 | 89.81 | 91.20 | +0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-09 | 95.02 | 97.62 | -0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-08 | 82.32 | 82.72 | +0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-07 | 85.15 | 85.39 | +0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-04 | 83.73 | 81.12 | +0.86 | ASML ahead |
| 2025-04-03 | 86.17 | 89.54 | -0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-02 | 92.50 | 101.29 | -1.25 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-04-01 | 92.27 | 99.99 | -1.08 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-03-31 | 91.62 | 99.81 | -1.18 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-03-28 | 93.27 | 99.68 | -0.86 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-03-27 | 95.49 | 102.70 | -0.97 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-03-26 | 97.58 | 104.53 | -0.91 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-03-25 | 100.48 | 106.63 | -0.75 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-03-24 | 100.63 | 107.07 | -0.81 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-03-21 | 99.03 | 104.12 | -0.60 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-03-20 | 101.49 | 106.47 | -0.57 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-03-19 | 101.61 | 106.99 | -0.64 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-03-18 | 101.09 | 106.21 | -0.61 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-03-17 | 100.98 | 107.51 | -0.84 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-03-14 | 98.72 | 108.03 | -1.33 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-03-13 | 96.04 | 103.32 | -1.04 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-03-12 | 97.25 | 105.15 | -1.14 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-03-11 | 95.43 | 100.71 | -0.73 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-03-10 | 94.45 | 101.33 | -1.02 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-03-07 | 101.24 | 108.47 | -1.00 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-03-06 | 98.84 | 104.98 | -0.86 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-03-05 | 102.28 | 108.53 | -0.85 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-03-04 | 97.92 | 104.94 | -1.03 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-03-03 | 96.76 | 104.04 | -1.09 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-02-28 | 98.04 | 105.35 | -1.09 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-02-27 | 96.47 | 104.57 | -1.25 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-02-26 | 103.27 | 111.61 | -1.21 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-02-25 | 100.96 | 110.23 | -1.40 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-02-24 | 101.76 | 114.42 | -1.94 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-02-21 | 101.93 | 118.09 | -2.51 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-02-20 | 102.74 | 122.21 | -3.05 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-02-19 | 102.98 | 120.35 | -2.78 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-02-18 | 102.90 | 118.86 | -2.61 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-02-14 | 103.91 | 113.61 | -1.60 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-02-13 | 107.43 | 114.36 | -1.10 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-02-12 | 104.55 | 111.99 | -1.23 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-02-11 | 104.11 | 114.31 | -1.71 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-02-10 | 102.88 | 114.95 | -2.06 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-02-07 | 100.61 | 113.03 | -2.19 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-02-06 | 102.19 | 113.71 | -2.03 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-02-05 | 102.67 | 112.49 | -1.75 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-02-04 | 101.13 | 109.71 | -1.57 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-02-03 | 101.08 | 110.09 | -1.67 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-01-31 | 102.22 | 111.27 | -1.67 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-01-30 | 101.90 | 110.83 | -1.67 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-01-29 | 98.53 | 103.17 | -0.94 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-01-28 | 94.48 | 102.29 | -1.61 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-01-27 | 95.42 | 103.83 | -1.72 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-01-24 | 101.24 | 109.39 | -1.59 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-01-23 | 103.18 | 111.52 | -1.59 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-01-22 | 106.01 | 114.29 | -1.54 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-01-21 | 105.49 | 111.89 | -1.22 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-01-17 | 104.57 | 110.24 | -1.11 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-01-16 | 103.74 | 108.76 | -0.99 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-01-15 | 100.42 | 104.54 | -0.85 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-01-14 | 101.80 | 103.05 | -0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-13 | 100.57 | 102.21 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-10 | 102.18 | 102.48 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-08 | 102.86 | 105.77 | -0.60 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-01-07 | 104.75 | 106.43 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-06 | 106.26 | 107.06 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-01-03 | 98.77 | 103.12 | -0.89 | LRCX ahead |
| 2025-01-02 | 96.84 | 99.45 | -0.57 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-12-31 | 95.83 | 99.16 | -0.72 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-12-30 | 96.25 | 99.05 | -0.61 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-12-27 | 98.66 | 100.77 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-26 | 98.98 | 101.58 | -0.55 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-12-24 | 99.51 | 101.36 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-23 | 99.69 | 101.32 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-20 | 97.57 | 98.56 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-19 | 98.20 | 97.76 | +0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-12-18 | 99.48 | 103.24 | -0.76 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-12-17 | 101.65 | 106.82 | -1.01 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-12-16 | 99.88 | 106.85 | -1.37 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-12-13 | 99.35 | 104.70 | -1.08 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-12-12 | 98.60 | 103.76 | -1.06 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-12-11 | 98.78 | 107.40 | -1.71 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-12-10 | 97.51 | 103.14 | -1.18 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-12-09 | 97.69 | 106.33 | -1.76 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-12-06 | 98.03 | 105.15 | -1.48 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-12-05 | 98.37 | 103.25 | -1.05 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-12-04 | 99.54 | 107.44 | -1.63 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-12-03 | 99.28 | 107.55 | -1.71 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-12-02 | 98.37 | 107.78 | -1.96 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-11-29 | 94.93 | 101.43 | -1.45 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-11-27 | 92.70 | 98.26 | -1.29 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-11-26 | 92.91 | 99.79 | -1.57 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-11-25 | 94.64 | 101.19 | -1.49 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-11-22 | 93.03 | 99.73 | -1.54 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-11-21 | 92.93 | 100.40 | -1.72 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-11-20 | 91.04 | 96.17 | -1.26 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-11-19 | 91.55 | 96.33 | -1.18 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-11-18 | 91.98 | 96.88 | -1.21 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-11-15 | 91.06 | 96.17 | -1.27 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-11-14 | 95.81 | 102.68 | -1.59 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-11-13 | 93.11 | 101.39 | -1.94 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-11-12 | 92.52 | 103.93 | -2.64 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-11-11 | 92.82 | 104.57 | -2.75 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-11-08 | 92.56 | 107.36 | -3.47 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-11-07 | 93.63 | 108.75 | -3.60 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-11-06 | 91.45 | 105.41 | -3.53 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-11-05 | 93.53 | 104.89 | -2.95 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-11-04 | 92.80 | 101.83 | -2.47 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-11-01 | 93.29 | 102.69 | -2.59 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-10-31 | 92.99 | 102.07 | -2.57 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-10-30 | 94.55 | 104.96 | -2.90 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-10-29 | 98.88 | 107.51 | -2.42 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-10-28 | 97.98 | 103.58 | -1.73 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-10-25 | 98.40 | 106.64 | -2.39 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-10-24 | 98.28 | 105.12 | -2.08 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-10-23 | 97.98 | 100.03 | -0.87 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-10-22 | 99.68 | 100.22 | -0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2024-10-21 | 98.73 | 100.00 | -0.66 | LRCX ahead |
| 2024-10-18 | 100.00 | 100.00 | -0.31 | near the usual relationship |
One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Apr 4, 2025 (ASML -2.8%, LRCX -9.4%); Jul 16, 2025 (ASML -8.3%, LRCX -0.7%); Jul 30, 2026 (ASML +6.5%, LRCX +18.0%).
The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart
Forward paper record
No paper position on this pair yet.
Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)
4 simulated trades to Oct 20, 2026: +6.27% per trade on average after costs, 3 won.
| Legs | Entered | Exited | Why | Days | Before costs | Costs + borrow | After costs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long ASML · Short LRCX | Oct 30, 2024 | Nov 8, 2024 | divergence stop | 9 | -$585.80 | -$24.85 | -$614.19 (-6.14%) |
| Long LRCX · Short ASML | Aug 2, 2024 | Oct 16, 2024 | converged | 75 | $1,002.51 | -$33.14 | $998.91 (+9.99%) |
| Long LRCX · Short ASML | Nov 21, 2022 | May 31, 2023 | converged | 191 | $1,218.20 | -$53.74 | $1,683.16 (+16.83%) |
| Long ASML · Short LRCX | Nov 18, 2019 | Mar 17, 2020 | converged | 120 | $824.14 | -$56.03 | $441.80 (+4.42%) |
Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.
ASML and LRCX at a glance
ASML ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares
- Listing
- Nasdaq · SEC CIK 937966
- Industry
- Industrial Machinery/Components · SIC 3559 Special Industry Machinery, NEC
- Market value
- $634.8B
- Price history
- 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
LRCX Lam Research Corporation
- Listing
- Nasdaq · SEC CIK 707549
- Industry
- Industrial Machinery/Components · SIC 3559 Special Industry Machinery, NEC
- Market value
- $340.6B
- Price history
- 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.
Follow the research behind the paper book
Boostio is a research-first platform in private beta: crypto candidates, daily market stories, public paper trading and now rival stocks. Exploring these pages stays free and open.
Explore the private betaPaper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.
