Automatic Data Processing Inc. vs Reddit Inc.
Why these are rivals: #1 and #3 by market value ($114B vs $30B) with SEC SIC 7374 (Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation).
Rivals, but right now the price gap does not have a measured habit of closing, so there is no paper idea, whatever the gap.
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.19 (needs >= 0.60)
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.44 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
ADP is the larger business
Annual revenue reported to the SEC. Scale, not market share.
| Year | ADP | RDDT | Larger |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $20.6B | $2.2B | ADP |
| 2024 | $19.2B | $1.3B | ADP |
| 2023 | $18.0B | $804M | ADP |
| 2022 | $16.5B | $667M | ADP |
| 2021 | $15.0B | - | - |
| 2020 | $14.6B | - | - |
ADP led in every year with figures for both. Market value: ADP $113.7B, RDDT $29.8B.
ADP is ahead now
Measured against the pair's own last 252 trading days.
ADP leads RDDT by 2.31 standard deviations: +45.0% over its usual price ratio. 1 lead switch in the last year.
| Price change | 3 mo | 6 mo | 12 mo |
|---|---|---|---|
| ADP | +23.1% | +55.1% | +8.4% |
| RDDT | -10.9% | -1.8% | -27.0% |
Not a measured twin today
Only these tests can make a pair tradable on paper.
- Pass
- Aligned sessions: 650 (needs >= 254)
- Fail
- Co-movement: daily return correlation, 252 sessions: 0.19 (needs >= 0.60)
- Fail
- Mean reversion: ADF t-statistic of the spread: -1.44 (needs <= -2.873 (5% critical value))
- Pass
- Speed: half-life of the spread, sessions: 21.75 (needs <= 63)
- Data
- Both stocks current
Prices side by side, and the gap between them
Data table (504 sessions)
| Date | ADP index | RDDT index | z | Ahead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | 105.35 | 185.74 | +2.31 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-10-21 | 100.76 | 189.47 | +1.93 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-10-20 | 100.16 | 192.40 | +1.82 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-10-19 | 98.20 | 191.77 | +1.73 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-10-16 | 98.84 | 193.00 | +1.75 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-10-15 | 97.73 | 196.98 | +1.56 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-10-14 | 95.90 | 183.68 | +1.91 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-10-13 | 94.39 | 191.95 | +1.53 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-10-12 | 93.68 | 197.69 | +1.30 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-10-09 | 92.68 | 197.66 | +1.24 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-10-08 | 92.62 | 193.41 | +1.39 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-10-07 | 90.32 | 188.76 | +1.39 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-10-06 | 89.76 | 184.12 | +1.53 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-10-05 | 89.04 | 185.93 | +1.42 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-10-02 | 88.16 | 182.77 | +1.48 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-10-01 | 90.31 | 184.83 | +1.58 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-09-30 | 88.29 | 176.07 | +1.77 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-09-29 | 89.57 | 179.68 | +1.75 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-09-28 | 89.57 | 176.86 | +1.88 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-09-25 | 90.21 | 185.22 | +1.63 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-09-24 | 90.02 | 188.78 | +1.50 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-09-23 | 90.21 | 187.86 | +1.56 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-09-22 | 92.25 | 192.42 | +1.56 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-09-21 | 92.35 | 196.21 | +1.45 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-09-18 | 92.79 | 186.46 | +1.84 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-09-17 | 93.14 | 188.91 | +1.80 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-09-16 | 93.47 | 194.81 | +1.62 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-09-15 | 94.61 | 197.32 | +1.63 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-09-14 | 94.64 | 200.72 | +1.53 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-09-11 | 91.78 | 195.02 | +1.53 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-09-10 | 91.46 | 192.01 | +1.63 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-09-09 | 90.74 | 181.01 | +2.01 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-09-08 | 91.68 | 184.65 | +1.97 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-09-04 | 94.98 | 190.93 | +2.01 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-09-03 | 97.00 | 192.82 | +2.11 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-09-02 | 96.19 | 195.43 | +1.98 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-09-01 | 96.99 | 178.79 | +2.73 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-08-31 | 97.90 | 182.71 | +2.69 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-08-28 | 98.35 | 189.12 | +2.50 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-08-27 | 97.40 | 190.30 | +2.42 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-08-26 | 96.27 | 192.04 | +2.29 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-08-25 | 96.75 | 200.80 | +2.01 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-08-24 | 96.83 | 188.75 | +2.53 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-08-21 | 96.07 | 189.48 | +2.48 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-08-20 | 95.52 | 185.80 | +2.64 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-08-19 | 94.84 | 187.53 | +2.55 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-08-18 | 92.14 | 195.61 | +1.99 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-08-17 | 91.03 | 203.34 | +1.59 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-08-14 | 93.39 | 220.14 | +1.16 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-08-13 | 94.51 | 195.45 | +2.27 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-08-12 | 92.14 | 189.68 | +2.34 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-08-11 | 92.75 | 193.07 | +2.27 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-08-10 | 93.63 | 196.19 | +2.25 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-08-07 | 92.83 | 199.88 | +2.03 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-08-06 | 93.57 | 186.49 | +2.74 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-08-05 | 92.40 | 191.92 | +2.41 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-08-04 | 92.59 | 197.74 | +2.17 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-08-03 | 92.30 | 191.24 | +2.41 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-07-31 | 91.16 | 173.88 | +3.10 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-07-30 | 90.28 | 220.07 | +0.93 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-07-29 | 93.53 | 220.01 | +1.20 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-07-28 | 90.38 | 220.57 | +0.86 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-07-27 | 87.24 | 221.55 | +0.52 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-07-24 | 85.56 | 208.57 | +0.81 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-07-23 | 83.10 | 208.63 | +0.56 | ADP ahead |
| 2026-07-22 | 83.18 | 210.61 | +0.48 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-21 | 84.24 | 229.72 | -0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-20 | 87.32 | 224.52 | +0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-17 | 87.33 | 223.96 | +0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-16 | 87.78 | 229.00 | +0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-07-15 | 84.67 | 244.78 | -0.51 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-07-14 | 84.31 | 251.26 | -0.72 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-07-13 | 85.89 | 248.37 | -0.52 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-07-10 | 82.77 | 241.46 | -0.58 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-07-09 | 82.55 | 247.60 | -0.76 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-07-08 | 82.58 | 241.42 | -0.61 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-07-07 | 84.03 | 246.53 | -0.64 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-07-06 | 81.94 | 248.28 | -0.84 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-07-02 | 82.89 | 240.63 | -0.58 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-07-01 | 80.65 | 244.45 | -0.85 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-06-30 | 76.62 | 214.56 | -0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-29 | 76.97 | 215.56 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-26 | 76.48 | 206.35 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-25 | 74.01 | 195.33 | -0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-24 | 75.22 | 198.67 | -0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-23 | 75.44 | 204.73 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-22 | 73.42 | 210.68 | -0.55 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-06-18 | 74.72 | 216.27 | -0.60 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-06-17 | 74.84 | 205.13 | -0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-16 | 75.95 | 216.80 | -0.54 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-06-15 | 76.37 | 224.82 | -0.70 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-06-12 | 77.39 | 200.37 | -0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-11 | 77.24 | 214.17 | -0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-10 | 79.07 | 212.87 | -0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-09 | 79.09 | 220.16 | -0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-08 | 78.37 | 211.53 | -0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-05 | 79.36 | 214.40 | -0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-04 | 79.14 | 227.33 | -0.59 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-06-03 | 77.92 | 209.51 | -0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-02 | 79.09 | 209.06 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-06-01 | 79.97 | 219.84 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-29 | 75.90 | 217.55 | -0.59 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-05-28 | 75.22 | 207.28 | -0.44 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-27 | 74.46 | 190.59 | -0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-26 | 74.70 | 178.79 | +0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-22 | 77.08 | 175.12 | +0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-21 | 75.29 | 185.46 | -0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-20 | 75.50 | 181.36 | +0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-19 | 75.42 | 191.45 | -0.16 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-18 | 76.27 | 196.67 | -0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-15 | 73.38 | 195.51 | -0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-14 | 71.29 | 193.21 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-13 | 71.38 | 190.51 | -0.37 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-12 | 73.15 | 188.32 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-11 | 72.42 | 197.17 | -0.45 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-08 | 72.87 | 192.58 | -0.35 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-05-07 | 73.25 | 202.66 | -0.52 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-05-06 | 70.89 | 205.88 | -0.69 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-05-05 | 72.05 | 212.15 | -0.74 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-05-04 | 72.30 | 208.99 | -0.69 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-05-01 | 73.29 | 205.78 | -0.60 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-04-30 | 72.51 | 181.99 | -0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-29 | 73.58 | 182.63 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-28 | 68.14 | 182.86 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-27 | 67.48 | 198.03 | -0.76 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-04-24 | 67.24 | 191.46 | -0.67 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-04-23 | 67.92 | 189.07 | -0.60 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-04-22 | 69.00 | 203.10 | -0.79 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-04-21 | 69.41 | 193.84 | -0.62 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-04-20 | 69.24 | 205.54 | -0.82 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-04-17 | 68.59 | 202.47 | -0.81 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-04-16 | 68.56 | 200.80 | -0.79 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-04-15 | 67.37 | 195.90 | -0.77 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-04-14 | 66.74 | 191.03 | -0.73 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-04-13 | 66.84 | 184.61 | -0.63 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-04-10 | 64.59 | 172.72 | -0.54 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-04-09 | 67.06 | 171.05 | -0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-08 | 68.69 | 179.23 | -0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-07 | 69.66 | 174.46 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-06 | 69.91 | 171.00 | -0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-02 | 69.80 | 168.11 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-04-01 | 68.86 | 168.33 | -0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-31 | 69.51 | 166.44 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-30 | 70.30 | 153.44 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-27 | 68.85 | 150.61 | +0.00 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-26 | 69.97 | 157.31 | -0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-25 | 69.15 | 172.60 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-24 | 70.10 | 168.26 | -0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-23 | 71.75 | 174.24 | -0.32 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-20 | 71.40 | 172.87 | -0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-19 | 72.07 | 170.73 | -0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-18 | 71.26 | 176.50 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-17 | 71.75 | 178.41 | -0.40 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-16 | 71.54 | 173.05 | -0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-13 | 71.34 | 163.61 | -0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-12 | 70.97 | 163.47 | -0.20 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-11 | 72.87 | 169.49 | -0.23 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-10 | 74.37 | 165.80 | -0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-09 | 76.31 | 171.64 | -0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-06 | 77.40 | 172.30 | -0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-05 | 76.19 | 178.42 | -0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-04 | 74.30 | 182.06 | -0.39 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-03 | 73.99 | 180.09 | -0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-03-02 | 73.55 | 181.84 | -0.43 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-27 | 73.34 | 180.23 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-26 | 74.71 | 186.96 | -0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-25 | 73.30 | 185.01 | -0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-24 | 70.37 | 175.62 | -0.46 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-23 | 70.39 | 176.09 | -0.47 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-20 | 73.38 | 185.62 | -0.51 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-02-19 | 73.89 | 180.63 | -0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-18 | 74.31 | 182.27 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-17 | 72.90 | 172.10 | -0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-13 | 72.57 | 172.62 | -0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-12 | 71.83 | 162.01 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-11 | 74.44 | 172.18 | -0.25 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-10 | 77.16 | 185.39 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-09 | 77.53 | 175.20 | -0.19 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-06 | 79.15 | 172.84 | -0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-05 | 80.05 | 186.71 | -0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-04 | 80.29 | 188.74 | -0.29 | near the usual relationship |
| 2026-02-03 | 80.43 | 204.46 | -0.51 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-02-02 | 84.70 | 218.97 | -0.56 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-01-30 | 84.44 | 222.83 | -0.62 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-01-29 | 84.15 | 234.92 | -0.78 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-01-28 | 85.77 | 238.74 | -0.77 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-01-27 | 87.07 | 242.65 | -0.78 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-01-26 | 88.33 | 264.07 | -0.98 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-01-23 | 88.22 | 270.56 | -1.06 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-01-22 | 88.90 | 265.19 | -0.99 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-01-21 | 87.92 | 259.74 | -0.97 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-01-20 | 87.28 | 278.57 | -1.19 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-01-16 | 89.10 | 285.55 | -1.21 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-01-15 | 89.02 | 282.76 | -1.20 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-01-14 | 88.44 | 311.97 | -1.51 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-01-13 | 87.95 | 320.06 | -1.61 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-01-12 | 89.91 | 301.63 | -1.39 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-01-09 | 91.01 | 302.30 | -1.37 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-01-08 | 90.89 | 313.91 | -1.49 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-01-07 | 89.38 | 315.82 | -1.57 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-01-06 | 89.34 | 313.73 | -1.57 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-01-05 | 88.04 | 301.67 | -1.51 | RDDT ahead |
| 2026-01-02 | 86.52 | 299.00 | -1.55 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-12-31 | 88.01 | 284.14 | -1.36 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-12-30 | 88.79 | 288.45 | -1.38 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-12-29 | 88.82 | 290.05 | -1.41 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-12-26 | 88.56 | 279.07 | -1.31 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-12-24 | 88.30 | 279.17 | -1.33 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-12-23 | 87.93 | 279.13 | -1.35 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-12-22 | 88.86 | 288.20 | -1.43 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-12-19 | 88.25 | 288.24 | -1.46 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-12-18 | 89.28 | 285.96 | -1.41 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-12-17 | 90.82 | 281.01 | -1.32 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-12-16 | 89.70 | 276.89 | -1.32 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-12-15 | 90.65 | 270.09 | -1.22 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-12-12 | 91.04 | 277.85 | -1.30 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-12-11 | 90.56 | 288.68 | -1.45 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-12-10 | 88.73 | 294.33 | -1.59 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-12-09 | 88.35 | 291.85 | -1.59 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-12-08 | 88.50 | 292.89 | -1.61 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-12-05 | 89.51 | 289.38 | -1.55 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-12-04 | 88.75 | 275.34 | -1.44 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-12-03 | 89.03 | 272.98 | -1.41 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-12-02 | 87.99 | 275.35 | -1.49 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-12-01 | 87.53 | 276.14 | -1.53 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-11-28 | 87.34 | 267.58 | -1.45 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-11-26 | 87.01 | 256.56 | -1.33 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-11-25 | 87.69 | 270.06 | -1.49 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-11-24 | 85.57 | 241.04 | -1.21 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-11-21 | 86.60 | 226.80 | -0.98 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-11-20 | 85.21 | 224.82 | -1.01 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-11-19 | 85.67 | 232.11 | -1.10 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-11-18 | 85.43 | 229.53 | -1.08 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-11-17 | 85.84 | 231.83 | -1.11 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-11-14 | 86.59 | 238.95 | -1.19 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-11-13 | 87.11 | 234.14 | -1.11 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-11-12 | 87.09 | 250.70 | -1.35 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-11-11 | 87.31 | 257.37 | -1.44 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-11-10 | 86.92 | 252.40 | -1.41 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-11-07 | 86.95 | 240.52 | -1.25 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-11-06 | 86.34 | 227.00 | -1.09 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-11-05 | 88.81 | 242.61 | -1.23 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-11-04 | 88.69 | 232.10 | -1.10 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-11-03 | 87.98 | 253.37 | -1.43 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-10-31 | 89.06 | 258.28 | -1.46 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-10-30 | 89.48 | 240.32 | -1.21 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-10-29 | 89.37 | 260.53 | -1.49 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-10-28 | 95.67 | 263.25 | -1.31 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-10-27 | 95.98 | 271.00 | -1.40 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-10-24 | 96.12 | 264.77 | -1.32 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-10-23 | 96.33 | 248.23 | -1.11 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-10-22 | 97.15 | 243.57 | -1.03 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-10-21 | 97.16 | 254.28 | -1.17 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-10-20 | 96.83 | 250.28 | -1.14 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-10-17 | 96.23 | 240.98 | -1.04 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-10-16 | 95.85 | 245.95 | -1.13 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-10-15 | 97.24 | 248.16 | -1.12 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-10-14 | 97.82 | 242.71 | -1.03 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-10-13 | 97.28 | 251.77 | -1.17 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-10-10 | 97.57 | 245.43 | -1.09 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-10-09 | 97.81 | 261.68 | -1.28 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-10-08 | 99.46 | 250.05 | -1.10 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-10-07 | 100.22 | 254.54 | -1.14 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-10-06 | 99.40 | 251.71 | -1.13 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-10-03 | 99.66 | 256.12 | -1.18 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-10-02 | 99.17 | 248.36 | -1.11 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-10-01 | 99.77 | 250.43 | -1.13 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-09-30 | 100.41 | 284.29 | -1.49 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-09-29 | 100.13 | 299.11 | -1.66 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-09-26 | 99.74 | 296.80 | -1.66 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-09-25 | 98.84 | 287.70 | -1.60 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-09-24 | 99.73 | 291.33 | -1.62 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-09-23 | 98.95 | 293.51 | -1.68 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-09-22 | 100.47 | 318.37 | -1.88 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-09-19 | 99.90 | 326.92 | -1.99 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-09-18 | 99.54 | 334.62 | -2.08 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-09-17 | 98.79 | 329.38 | -2.07 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-09-16 | 98.77 | 329.62 | -2.09 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-09-15 | 99.51 | 325.88 | -2.05 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-09-12 | 100.41 | 314.33 | -1.94 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-09-11 | 101.96 | 322.05 | -1.97 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-09-10 | 100.03 | 320.19 | -2.03 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-09-09 | 101.69 | 296.91 | -1.78 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-09-08 | 102.10 | 284.28 | -1.65 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-09-05 | 101.26 | 296.66 | -1.81 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-09-04 | 103.04 | 286.91 | -1.67 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-09-03 | 102.25 | 275.82 | -1.59 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-09-02 | 102.56 | 272.01 | -1.55 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-08-29 | 104.02 | 278.22 | -1.59 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-08-28 | 104.04 | 278.79 | -1.60 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-08-27 | 103.69 | 260.94 | -1.43 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-08-26 | 103.82 | 271.24 | -1.55 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-08-25 | 103.95 | 271.61 | -1.56 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-08-22 | 105.36 | 268.62 | -1.50 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-08-21 | 104.33 | 270.27 | -1.55 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-08-20 | 105.73 | 269.93 | -1.52 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-08-19 | 104.59 | 282.05 | -1.69 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-08-18 | 103.54 | 298.84 | -1.89 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-08-15 | 103.25 | 304.70 | -1.97 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-08-14 | 103.21 | 300.95 | -1.95 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-08-13 | 104.33 | 290.20 | -1.84 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-08-12 | 102.51 | 276.91 | -1.77 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-08-11 | 103.91 | 272.87 | -1.70 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-08-08 | 104.63 | 266.30 | -1.63 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-08-07 | 103.83 | 261.83 | -1.61 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-08-06 | 103.20 | 263.05 | -1.66 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-08-05 | 102.45 | 246.09 | -1.51 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-08-04 | 103.41 | 249.39 | -1.53 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-08-01 | 102.79 | 233.18 | -1.37 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-07-31 | 105.89 | 198.50 | -0.85 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-07-30 | 106.38 | 184.59 | -0.64 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-07-29 | 105.59 | 179.05 | -0.58 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-07-28 | 105.00 | 187.39 | -0.73 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-07-25 | 105.59 | 184.99 | -0.69 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-07-24 | 104.77 | 183.10 | -0.68 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-07-23 | 104.08 | 180.59 | -0.67 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-07-22 | 103.66 | 180.22 | -0.68 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-07-21 | 102.95 | 180.83 | -0.72 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-07-18 | 103.25 | 183.24 | -0.75 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-07-17 | 103.36 | 176.17 | -0.64 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-07-16 | 102.73 | 178.38 | -0.70 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-07-15 | 102.02 | 178.99 | -0.73 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-07-14 | 103.79 | 180.94 | -0.72 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-07-11 | 103.54 | 179.96 | -0.72 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-07-10 | 104.63 | 176.76 | -0.65 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-07-09 | 105.52 | 180.04 | -0.68 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-07-08 | 105.00 | 180.42 | -0.70 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-07-07 | 105.51 | 189.58 | -0.83 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-07-03 | 105.79 | 194.10 | -0.90 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-07-02 | 104.37 | 196.96 | -0.98 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-07-01 | 106.10 | 188.17 | -0.82 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-06-30 | 105.51 | 186.12 | -0.81 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-06-27 | 103.82 | 176.77 | -0.72 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-06-26 | 103.66 | 177.94 | -0.75 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-06-25 | 102.02 | 175.13 | -0.75 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-06-24 | 106.54 | 174.03 | -0.62 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-06-23 | 106.14 | 165.81 | -0.51 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-06-20 | 104.78 | 172.00 | -0.65 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-06-18 | 104.95 | 174.49 | -0.69 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-06-17 | 105.24 | 165.44 | -0.54 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-06-16 | 105.34 | 156.00 | -0.38 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-13 | 104.97 | 146.08 | -0.22 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-12 | 105.97 | 143.63 | -0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-11 | 106.87 | 142.19 | -0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-10 | 107.61 | 144.73 | -0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-09 | 108.99 | 145.28 | -0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-06 | 111.81 | 149.93 | -0.14 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-05 | 111.61 | 138.74 | +0.06 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-04 | 111.60 | 146.12 | -0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-03 | 111.71 | 137.03 | +0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-06-02 | 111.46 | 138.58 | +0.05 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-30 | 111.37 | 138.88 | +0.03 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-29 | 110.89 | 134.77 | +0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-28 | 110.90 | 130.32 | +0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-27 | 111.43 | 129.32 | +0.21 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-23 | 109.85 | 124.55 | +0.27 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-22 | 110.04 | 121.53 | +0.33 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-21 | 110.38 | 118.48 | +0.41 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-20 | 110.44 | 130.58 | +0.15 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-19 | 110.49 | 133.49 | +0.09 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-16 | 109.26 | 139.96 | -0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-15 | 108.06 | 140.41 | -0.11 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-14 | 105.86 | 154.91 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-13 | 105.44 | 139.48 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-12 | 105.85 | 137.47 | -0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-09 | 105.28 | 134.07 | -0.08 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-08 | 105.06 | 133.29 | -0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-07 | 104.41 | 130.44 | -0.04 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-06 | 103.78 | 135.96 | -0.17 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-05 | 103.99 | 143.79 | -0.31 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-02 | 103.86 | 140.70 | -0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-05-01 | 102.19 | 146.84 | -0.42 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-30 | 102.84 | 144.09 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-29 | 101.19 | 150.98 | -0.52 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-04-28 | 100.44 | 149.83 | -0.53 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-04-25 | 99.82 | 145.98 | -0.49 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-24 | 100.77 | 138.75 | -0.34 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-23 | 100.43 | 132.47 | -0.24 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-22 | 100.21 | 125.66 | -0.13 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-21 | 97.45 | 116.38 | -0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-17 | 100.34 | 118.86 | +0.00 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-16 | 100.63 | 117.90 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-15 | 101.97 | 119.23 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-14 | 103.17 | 121.46 | -0.01 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-11 | 102.48 | 125.03 | -0.10 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-10 | 99.97 | 126.09 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-09 | 100.82 | 137.03 | -0.36 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-08 | 94.69 | 109.88 | +0.00 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-07 | 96.21 | 114.96 | -0.07 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-04 | 97.89 | 107.43 | +0.12 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-03 | 104.48 | 119.78 | +0.02 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-02 | 105.11 | 135.35 | -0.26 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-04-01 | 104.88 | 136.03 | -0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-31 | 104.53 | 129.67 | -0.18 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-28 | 102.92 | 133.14 | -0.28 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-27 | 104.50 | 136.25 | -0.30 | near the usual relationship |
| 2025-03-26 | 103.46 | 148.58 | -0.52 | RDDT ahead |
| 2025-03-25 | 102.43 | 155.04 | n/a | |
| 2025-03-24 | 102.26 | 154.44 | n/a | |
| 2025-03-21 | 101.04 | 143.02 | n/a | |
| 2025-03-20 | 101.79 | 134.43 | n/a | |
| 2025-03-19 | 102.22 | 135.86 | n/a | |
| 2025-03-18 | 101.25 | 136.09 | n/a | |
| 2025-03-17 | 101.47 | 155.20 | n/a | |
| 2025-03-14 | 99.82 | 158.48 | n/a | |
| 2025-03-13 | 99.40 | 150.22 | n/a | |
| 2025-03-12 | 100.65 | 161.53 | n/a | |
| 2025-03-11 | 100.05 | 151.71 | n/a | |
| 2025-03-10 | 103.66 | 132.62 | n/a | |
| 2025-03-07 | 104.84 | 165.61 | n/a | |
| 2025-03-06 | 103.48 | 186.30 | n/a | |
| 2025-03-05 | 106.21 | 208.31 | n/a | |
| 2025-03-04 | 107.24 | 196.75 | n/a | |
| 2025-03-03 | 109.02 | 200.80 | n/a | |
| 2025-02-28 | 107.83 | 199.98 | n/a | |
| 2025-02-27 | 106.50 | 197.50 | n/a | |
| 2025-02-26 | 106.53 | 207.79 | n/a | |
| 2025-02-25 | 107.21 | 197.76 | n/a | |
| 2025-02-24 | 106.81 | 204.66 | n/a | |
| 2025-02-21 | 106.32 | 205.69 | n/a | |
| 2025-02-20 | 106.73 | 216.86 | n/a | |
| 2025-02-19 | 107.16 | 234.44 | n/a | |
| 2025-02-18 | 106.04 | 231.31 | n/a | |
| 2025-02-14 | 105.43 | 242.74 | n/a | |
| 2025-02-13 | 106.13 | 253.34 | n/a | |
| 2025-02-12 | 104.91 | 267.58 | n/a | |
| 2025-02-11 | 104.62 | 264.23 | n/a | |
| 2025-02-10 | 105.01 | 278.03 | n/a | |
| 2025-02-07 | 104.68 | 278.41 | n/a | |
| 2025-02-06 | 105.71 | 267.63 | n/a | |
| 2025-02-05 | 105.43 | 273.37 | n/a | |
| 2025-02-04 | 104.24 | 266.14 | n/a | |
| 2025-02-03 | 105.14 | 250.07 | n/a | |
| 2025-01-31 | 103.67 | 246.66 | n/a | |
| 2025-01-30 | 103.75 | 245.90 | n/a | |
| 2025-01-29 | 102.83 | 249.69 | n/a | |
| 2025-01-28 | 102.06 | 240.73 | n/a | |
| 2025-01-27 | 102.69 | 223.52 | n/a | |
| 2025-01-24 | 101.65 | 225.46 | n/a | |
| 2025-01-23 | 101.20 | 224.96 | n/a | |
| 2025-01-22 | 101.39 | 227.12 | n/a | |
| 2025-01-21 | 102.00 | 232.78 | n/a | |
| 2025-01-17 | 101.33 | 216.72 | n/a | |
| 2025-01-16 | 101.35 | 216.16 | n/a | |
| 2025-01-15 | 100.37 | 210.99 | n/a | |
| 2025-01-14 | 99.79 | 203.73 | n/a | |
| 2025-01-13 | 99.28 | 203.52 | n/a | |
| 2025-01-10 | 98.14 | 206.53 | n/a | |
| 2025-01-08 | 99.86 | 212.62 | n/a | |
| 2025-01-07 | 98.67 | 213.00 | n/a | |
| 2025-01-06 | 98.23 | 221.87 | n/a | |
| 2025-01-03 | 99.79 | 219.70 | n/a | |
| 2025-01-02 | 99.10 | 205.08 | n/a | |
| 2024-12-31 | 100.15 | 202.03 | n/a | |
| 2024-12-30 | 100.23 | 204.61 | n/a | |
| 2024-12-27 | 101.33 | 214.51 | n/a | |
| 2024-12-26 | 101.69 | 218.47 | n/a | |
| 2024-12-24 | 101.43 | 219.30 | n/a | |
| 2024-12-23 | 100.64 | 208.42 | n/a | |
| 2024-12-20 | 100.59 | 211.01 | n/a | |
| 2024-12-19 | 99.67 | 202.37 | n/a | |
| 2024-12-18 | 98.70 | 198.58 | n/a | |
| 2024-12-17 | 101.12 | 208.64 | n/a | |
| 2024-12-16 | 101.55 | 220.15 | n/a | |
| 2024-12-13 | 101.53 | 213.41 | n/a | |
| 2024-12-12 | 102.21 | 202.11 | n/a | |
| 2024-12-11 | 102.89 | 205.09 | n/a | |
| 2024-12-10 | 103.40 | 192.74 | n/a | |
| 2024-12-09 | 101.80 | 206.64 | n/a | |
| 2024-12-06 | 104.20 | 201.19 | n/a | |
| 2024-12-05 | 103.25 | 189.23 | n/a | |
| 2024-12-04 | 103.83 | 190.64 | n/a | |
| 2024-12-03 | 103.86 | 185.20 | n/a | |
| 2024-12-02 | 104.70 | 175.08 | n/a | |
| 2024-11-29 | 105.01 | 173.91 | n/a | |
| 2024-11-27 | 105.01 | 173.10 | n/a | |
| 2024-11-26 | 105.36 | 167.63 | n/a | |
| 2024-11-25 | 104.23 | 175.40 | n/a | |
| 2024-11-22 | 104.40 | 181.30 | n/a | |
| 2024-11-21 | 104.20 | 195.33 | n/a | |
| 2024-11-20 | 102.16 | 168.44 | n/a | |
| 2024-11-19 | 101.80 | 169.54 | n/a | |
| 2024-11-18 | 101.92 | 159.98 | n/a | |
| 2024-11-15 | 101.83 | 154.24 | n/a | |
| 2024-11-14 | 103.32 | 163.02 | n/a | |
| 2024-11-13 | 105.20 | 163.24 | n/a | |
| 2024-11-12 | 105.34 | 157.91 | n/a | |
| 2024-11-11 | 104.96 | 159.74 | n/a | |
| 2024-11-08 | 104.26 | 166.63 | n/a | |
| 2024-11-07 | 104.30 | 162.47 | n/a | |
| 2024-11-06 | 104.41 | 149.67 | n/a | |
| 2024-11-05 | 99.62 | 151.51 | n/a | |
| 2024-11-04 | 99.17 | 134.77 | n/a | |
| 2024-11-01 | 98.59 | 139.65 | n/a | |
| 2024-10-31 | 98.96 | 147.47 | n/a | |
| 2024-10-30 | 100.17 | 143.45 | n/a | |
| 2024-10-29 | 98.52 | 101.04 | n/a | |
| 2024-10-28 | 98.00 | 98.49 | n/a | |
| 2024-10-25 | 98.52 | 100.57 | n/a | |
| 2024-10-24 | 99.02 | 97.16 | n/a | |
| 2024-10-23 | 99.23 | 96.02 | n/a | |
| 2024-10-22 | 99.67 | 95.54 | n/a | |
| 2024-10-21 | 99.53 | 97.10 | n/a | |
| 2024-10-18 | 100.00 | 100.00 | n/a |
One-day company-specific moves (4+ standard deviations, which block ideas for 10 sessions): Jul 31, 2026 (ADP +1.0%, RDDT -21.0%). Upcoming earnings: ADP Oct 28, 2026 (pre-market); RDDT Oct 29, 2026 (after-hours).
The shared paper book and the replay, kept apart
Forward paper record
No paper position on this pair yet.
Historical simulation (a diagnostic, same rules)
No simulated trade through Oct 20, 2026: the pair rarely passed every test while 2 standard deviations apart.
Per $10,000 a leg. A replay on today's companies cannot prove an edge.
ADP and RDDT at a glance
ADP Automatic Data Processing Inc.
- Listing
- Nasdaq · SEC CIK 8670
- Industry
- EDP Services · SIC 7374 Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation
- Market value
- $113.7B
- Price history
- 2,521 daily closes, Oct 12, 2016 to Oct 22, 2026
RDDT Reddit Inc.
- Listing
- NYSE · SEC CIK 1713445
- Industry
- EDP Services · SIC 7374 Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation
- Market value
- $29.8B
- Price history
- 650 daily closes, Mar 21, 2024 to Oct 22, 2026
Daily prices: Nasdaq.com. Filings and industry codes: SEC EDGAR. Earnings dates: Nasdaq earnings calendar.
Other rivals of ADP and RDDT
| Pair | Status | Ahead now | Industry |
|---|---|---|---|
| WDAY / RDDT | Watchlist | WDAY by 1.91 sd | SIC 7374 Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation |
| ADP / INFY | Watchlist | ADP by 1.33 sd | EDP Services |
| ADP / WDAY | Watchlist | neither | EDP Services |
Follow the research behind the paper book
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Explore the private betaPaper only: hypothetical paired positions with modelled costs. No broker, no orders, no real money. A historical simulation is a diagnostic, not proof of an edge. Not investment advice.
